Beyond the Cusp

July 19, 2014

Israel Hamas War and Other News

Israel on Thursday began the ground operations which are intended to rout out all of the Hamas tunnels and underground facilities, bunkers, rocket launching positions, mortar emplacements, ammunition storage rooms, rocket and mortar round depots as well as their safe rooms that contain their living quarters while they launch rockets into Israel. This extensive network includes smuggling tunnels which lead into the Sinai Peninsula where they have a secondary use in attacking Egyptian military posts in support of the Muslim Brotherhood against the military government, and the infiltration tunnels which cross beneath the separation fence which is heavily guarded above ground by remote cameras in the numerous observation towers watched carefully by troops which largely are made up of the women of the IDF and these towers also have remotely controlled machineguns which are also controlled by these wonderful women. These infiltration tunnels have been found to reach as much as a mile or more into Israel. One was used this past week where the Hamas terrorists surfaced from their tunnel and readied for an assault when they realized they were spotted and the Israeli troops were waiting for them. They scurried back into their tunnel as it was struck and destroyed by an Israeli Air Force (IAF) strike. Here is the video which was released.

 

One final comment on the air battle between the IAF bombings and missile attacks against the rocket and mortar barrages by Hamas must be issued concerning the claims of Israel using disproportionate military might. Even if such were true, that is a desirable condition which usually leads to victory in short order. Simply ask the United States Marines who once they received their surge of additional manpower simply rolled through much of central Iraq using exponentially disproportionate force and the world somehow missed protesting that use of raw military might, and that is how it should be. The problem is that the numbers do not play out demonstrating a huge sizeable advantage in rounds delivered by the two sides. Yes, Israel did enjoy a slight edge and did get greater result for their efforts than did Hamas but that was not for lack of trying. The truth is that the ten days of fighting leading up to the ground war Israel delivered strikes on more than 2,000 targets in Gaza while Hamas launched over 1500 rockets and mortars at Israeli targets. The sole reason there was not massive loss of life in Israel was solely due to the miraculous efficiency of the Iron Dome system and the orderly manner in which Israeli took shelter when they heard the warning sirens. Had there not been Iron Dome batteries spread throughout Israel there would have been massive damage and carnage probably well beyond the casualties suffered by the people in Gaza whether aligned with a terror group or not. Now Israel is sending in her young troops to find the tunnels and destroy them, the networks of rooms and the stored arms within those tunnels. This method of going in with troops instead of simply bombing these sights into remission the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) will meticulously scour every inch of Gaza seeking the entrance to the tunnels in order to destroy them and their contents with the minimal loss of life and property. If Israel had instead decided to simply use heavier penetrating bombs, she could have easily taken out the entirety of the underground systems but in the process have destroyed much of Gaza’s structures. That destruction would have included the main hospital as there is a rocket storage center underneath the hospital. That is exactly the scenario Israel often faces when fighting terrorists who will blatantly and cowardly use the women and children as their version of a bullet proof vest, and why not as even if he gets shot and the human shield is also shot the incident can be quickly converted from a terrorist shot despite his child human shield, all that is needed is to take the rifle and any munitions the terrorist was carrying and place them outside of the picture of what can now be sold as a poor Arab child and his father, big brother, or some form of relative to fit the narrative and pictures of the two will most certainly be plastered all throughout the world media taken as the gospel truth because why would Hamas need to lie about such things. Gullibility increases directly proportional to fit the individual or corporate bigotries, whatever those shall be. Meanwhile, without Iron Dome I would dare claim that Israel would have suffered far greater casualties and destruction during the first ten days, and the ground invasion on an enemy which has fortified every inch of the grounds to be covered. It would have been far more simple and antiseptic to have continued the bombing and obliterated whatever proved necessary in order to destroy the underground network which Hamas has built with much of it being built in the past year.

 

Malaysian Airlines has lost another jet passenger liner but this time the location and means of its destruction are known. Now all the inquiry which is bound to come is to discern which nation or group was responsible. The Boeing 777 was flying eastward returning to Malaysia from Amsterdam. Flight 17 had 280 passengers and 15 crew members who all perished in the downing of that civilian aircraft. As the plane was heading eastward, logic would dictate that the aircraft could be mistaken for any other plane but as it came out of Europe and crossed into the Ukraine from the east it would likely not be any threat assessed. Then, according to sources at the scene, the Malaysian fight had to cross into Russian airspace from the west which leaves the potential that it was mistaken by the radar operator or by the person who fired the anti-aircraft missile downing the aircraft. The Russians have ruled out their people from being responsible and the Ukrainian Leaders have done likewise which still leaves the separatists and Russian sympathizers as the most likely group. The reality concerning the downing of the aircraft may never be known as it will depend who finds the black boxes (they are actually a very bright orange) first and thus will control all reports on their contents. There is probably very little that would be pertinent as there would be no mention of anything strange until it was too late for anybody to say much of anything that these boxes could discern. We can only hope and pray that there is finality and proper blame assigned to those responsible for this reprehensible and unprovoked act of violence as well as our prayers of comfort for the families of those lost in this tragic act. All sides have announced intentions to cooperate with any inspectors. We will simply need to wait and see if this is true. One can only imagine the frustration and mixed emotions at the home base of Malaysian Air as this is the second plane they have lost almost back-to-back.

 

In Syria and Iraq there has seemingly been a news blackout since the start of the conflict between Hamas in Gaza and Israel. ISIS is still cleansing the lands it now controls of those who are deficient in their practice of their version of Sunni Islam. Not a Muslim and within the areas under ISIS control, get out before they find you as once they locate those who are not Muslim, a fate worse than death awaits in the form of a torturous and cruel death possibly by crucifixion. Yes, that is what I said, crucifixion, and there have already been reports of ISIS utilizing crucifixions as a punishment for crimes of religious impurity. In Syria Bashir al-Assad continues to punish anything living that does not wear a Syrian military uniform and the various rebel factions continue to occasionally fight the Syrian army and more often fight each other for supremacy from among the rebels and to prove who is the one that is the chosen of Allah, which really bodes poorly for the small band of secularists that remain from the initial revolt which they initiated and could have been aided and victorious if anybody had committed to a decisive action of arming them before the Jihadists took control of the civil war and made the conflict a war between Shiite and Sunni Islamic forces. The sole choice now in Syria is which oppressive leadership would you prefer, Sunni extremists or Alawite al-Assad backed by Shiite Iran or Shiite extremists, but I repeat myself. The horrific war in Syria has displaced millions of Syrian people and murdered thousands of innocent civilians as well as close to if not more than a thousand fighters on all sides. Perhaps the world’s media finds the Hamas against Israel a far easier dispute to follow as in Syria there are at least five or many more groups all fighting in multiple directions that it can be dizzying. There are the Syrian military, the Hezballah forces from Lebanon and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) fighting on the side of al-Assad and they are well organized and are not infighting while there are the Al Nusra Front which is one of the Sunni Islamic groups, Free Syrian Army which is a predominantly Sunni group with some Christians and desires a secular state with a definite separation between religion and state, ISIS which is the fanatical Sunni extremists that even al-Qaeda shunned from their ranks due to their being too extreme for al-Qaeda, and there have been reports of some smaller militias some of which have banded together in order to prevent their being swallowed by the larger groups. Perhaps if I had to cover the Middle East I too would cherish covering anything other than what is happening in Syria, Iraq and even reaching into Iran.

 

Of course, we know that the conflict between the Ukraine and Putin’s Russia is alive and simmering as they just downed a passenger airliner as covered above. Japan is arming itself up to and possibly beyond the military force they possessed at the height of World War II. While this was completely against their Constitution in which after World War II the Japanese leadership and military generals demanded that a disarmament clause be included in the rules that General MacArthur was drafting for them. The Japanese actually debated and altered their restriction as they fear the hegemonic actions of China against them, the Philippines and any ships traversing the South China Sea all without so much as an excuse me from the United States. Simply put, Japan and the Philippines both feel betrayed. There is the evacuation by thousands of parents in Central and South American nations in revolt or under stifling governments sending, for the most part, just their children to the United states after hearing quotes of United States President Obama out of context implying intentionally to these desperate people that if their children can cross the border into the United States they will be permitted to remain. These ads are particularly deceitful and will cause ill will and great difficulties on all nations and individuals affected by this campaign. One might ponder whether the world could ever be in even more trouble and closer to the brink of dissolving into mass carnage. The answer might be yes, but I hope that such does not become our new reality, it’s distressing enough already.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 18, 2014

The Terror Plagued Planet Earth

Filed under: Act of War,Administration,Afghanistan,Africa,al-Qaeda,Allah,Amalekites,Apocalypse,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab Spring,Arab Winter,Arab World,Asia,Ayman al-Zawahiri,Balkans,Bashir al-Assad,Belgium,Blood Libel,Boko Haram,Boston,Burgas,Children Crippled,Children Murdered,China,Christians,Civil War,Civilization,Clan,Conflict Avoidnce,Domestic NGOs,Egypt,Europe,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Fatah,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Gaza,GCC,Government,Gulf Co-operation Council,Hamas,Hate,Hezballah,History,Hostages,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Intifada,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Iraq,ISIS,Islam,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Islamic State,Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham,Islamist,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish,Jewish State,Jihad,Judea,Judean Hills,Judeo-Christian,Kidnap Children,Kidnapped Israeli,Koran,Kurdistan,Kurds,Mubarak,Muslim,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Nigeria,Pakistan,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,PFLP,Philippines,PLO,Pogroms,Politics,President Morsi,Pressure by Egyptian People,Protect Citizenry,Religion,Response to Terrorism,Rocket Attacks,Russia,Russian Pressure,Samaria,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Secularist,Security,Sharia,Shiite,Shiite,Somalia,Statehood,Sudan,Sunni,Sunni,Syria,Taliban,Taqiyya,Terror,Third Intifada,Three No's,Tribe,Tunisia,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,War,World Opinion,World Pressures,Yemen,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 3:02 AM
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Recent news has displayed a planet gone mad with terrorist threats spanning wide areas and multiple continents with varying levels of violence and horrors. Across Europe there have been attacks on Jewish targets including assaults on a Jewish school where three young children and the Rabbi father of two of the children in Toulouse, France; a bombing assault upon a tour bus outside the airport in Burgas, Bulgaria; an attack on a Jewish Museum in Brussels, Belgium; and during the revolutionary period of unrest in the Ukraine there were numerous reports of attacks on Jews and Jewish targets such as synagogues. While these attacks were the most news worthy, there has also been a steadily increasing amount of both reported and unreported anti-Semitic attitudes and resulting actions many of which have not risen to the point of being reported other than be polls and studies which have reported these general increases across Europe and the entire globe. On another front in Europe have been the reports of governmental concerns over the increasing numbers of youths who have answered the call to arms in Syria and the serious repercussions which their return may present to these nations and their public order. But Europe is far from alone in feeling the repercussions of terrorism which are spreading across every continent.

 

Africa has been the place of many serious terrorist developments, most of which have not received much in depth or even mention in Western news programs. There are daily clashes in Somalia as the numerous militaristic leaders test their neighbors and defend their areas and keep their own kind of vigilante justice. There was the vicious military style attack in Nairobi, Kenya where shoppers were quizzed on Muslim prayers and Quran quotations murdering those who failed their tests. The violence between northern and southern Sudan continues despite the attempts to separate the two areas by recognizing that southern Sudan as its own separate nation. There has also been the terror across Nigeria committed by Boko Haram which recently broke into the news cycle with the abduction of over two hundred girls from a school. This large kidnapping of the school girls was simply one of a string of such crimes of varying lesser abductions. These abductions by Boko Haram are part of another source of terrorism which is the source of much of the problems in Africa, namely the struggle between Christianity and Islam for preeminence with the greatest areas of violence being in regions which are being contested between the two religions.

 

The strongest area of terrorism and Islamic violence is obviously in the Middle East, North Africa and the Asian areas neighboring the Middle East. The current news has covered the onslaught by the terrorist group ISIS, which was rejected and expelled from membership by al-Qaeda over their overt and extreme violence, has assaulted all of the nation of Iraq which is outside the control of the Kurdish northern enclave currently closing in on the capital city of Baghdad. The onslaught by ISIS which had been fighting largely in Syria turned their attentions and struck into Iraq. Some have claimed the reasons that ISIS has attacked Iraq are due to the transference of supplies, fighters and other support for the forces defending Bashir al-Assad in Syria across Iraq from Iran with the cooperation of the Iraqi government. There has been a steady and destructive level of terrorism resultant from the Arab Spring which has actually resulted in a trail of violent events which have turned this wave of change into something more resembling an Arab Winter as we anticipated when the initial flare-up struck in Tunisia and spread to Egypt. This has resulted in spawning extreme cases of violence not only in Tunisia but also in Egypt as governments were overturned in successive years with Mubarak being deposed followed by his replacement backed by the Muslim Brotherhood being ousted by a military coup one year after being elected. Egypt has suffered far less violence than has Libya which has a weak government which replaced ousted dictator Gadhafi. There has also been a steady level of violence in Yemen with much of the violence a result of al-Qaeda fighters against the government. There is the violence against the government supported by the United States and their allies by the Taliban both within Afghanistan and also out of the tribal areas of Pakistan.

 

In the Far East of Asia there are areas of violent terrorism with the most prevalent areas are the Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia. Also originating in Pakistan was the horrific attack which lasted three days on the neighboring nation of India’s city of Mumbai. Then there has been terrorist violence from Chechnya and Russia and terrorist against China originating in the northwestern province of Xinjiang, both of which go mostly unreported. Across the Americas the frequency of terrorist attacks are less reported, or should we say less identified. To this day the government of Argentina is still attempting to find and arrest the perpetrators of the two assaults on Buenos Aires where within a couple of years the Israeli Embassy was bombed on March 17, 1992, where twenty-nine were murdered and another two-hundred-fifty were injured; and the bombing of the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) Jewish Community Center on July 18, 1994, in which eighty-seven people were killed and over a hundred people were injured. Both terror attacks are still being investigated with strong evidence that the bombing of the AIMA Center was committed by high level persons coordinating the efforts from out of Iran. There is also a terrorist stronghold located in a town in an area referred to as the Tri Border Area where Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay borders meet. It is reported that this area is a hub for activities of organized crime groups, terrorist groups, and narcotics traffickers who operate beyond the reach or interventions by law enforcement officers. The largest city controlled by these lawless forces is Ciudad del Este. There are reports that Mexico has become another place which has areas in which terrorists are harbored by drug cartels and that these groups share capabilities, training, resources, smuggling routes into the United States and terror tactics designed to minimize opposition by the utilization of terrorist acts and other means of intimidation.

 

Still, the nation which has suffered the most from terrorist violence has been Israel. Even if one counted all of the terrorist strikes within the United States which were attributed to other reasons, still Israel has a more frequent and violent record. This does not mean that there have been no terrorist attacks which were either initially or still had not been identified as terrorism such as the Trolley Square Mall shooting from February 12, 2007, where five innocents were murdered by Sulejman Talović and was initially not classified as a case of terrorism despite reports that the shooter continued to shout, “Allahu Akbar” as he continued to shoot people. Then there was the attack which, while not actually being the first modern age terrorist strike, were the first universally accepted and heavily witnessed terrorist attacks on the multiple targets on September 11, 2001. This one assault with multiple targets including both towers of the World Trade Center, the Pentagon and an unknown target likely in the nation’s capital of Washington DC but was forced down by a passenger assault on the cockpit crashing the plane in southwestern Pennsylvania. Another reported terrorist attack was the Boston Marathon bombing of April 15, 2013, which murdered three and caused various injuries to at least two-hundred-sixty-four innocent victims whose only act was to remain at the finish line awaiting friends or family to finish the race. There was the assault by Nidal Malik Hasan on November 5, 2009, at the Soldier Readiness Center of Fort Hood in Texas shooting murdering thirteen people and wounding twenty-nine other innocents while also shouting, “Allahu Akbar!” Despite all evidence this terrorist crime was and still is referred to as a case of workplace violence and there is no official mention of terrorism. One of, if not, the earliest terrorist attack in modern era America was the assassination of Robert Kennedy on June 5, 1968, in Los Angeles, California by Sirhan Sirhan, who was born in Jerusalem who during questioning revealed his motivations stating, “My only connection with Robert Kennedy was his sole support of Israel and his deliberate attempt to send those fifty bombers to Israel to obviously do harm to the Palestinians.”

 

Israel has been the target of terrorist activities even back before the Jewish State was even in existence. One of the major such terrorist attacks was the Hevron rioting on August 29, 1929, where sixty-seven Jews and nine Arabs were killed. Among the deceased were twelve women and three children under the age of five. After the terrorist rioting was finally subdued by British soldiers, the British forcefully removed all the Jewish residents of Hevron as a move to prevent further violence. There has been near constant terrorist attacks from the very day on which the nation’s independence was announced and made formal to the current time. The most recent and still continuing terrorist act is the kidnapping of three innocent teens. The three teens’ names are Eyal Yifrach, Gilad Shaar, and Naftali Frenkel. Between these pair of attacks there have been nearly countless attacks so many that even some news media within Israel have pretty much stopped covering many of the terror attacks which through repetition have become less than news worthy. This includes the thousands of rockets, missiles, mortars and anti-tank rounds that have been fired into Israel with designs of murdering innocent civilians. The abduction of these three youths has infuriated much of the nation and nearly all Israelis have joined in prayers for the safe return of these poor victims who were innocent despite what some have claimed. Both CNN and BBC when reporting the abductions actually placed the word “kidnapping” within quotes. The subject has received even less coverage from many Western news sources mainly because they all made guidelines ages ago. Most people around the globe have seldom heard coverage, not to mention in depth analysis, into the rockets which often rain down onto southern Israel from Hamas controlled Gaza. The question currently heard in Israeli society is centered on the kidnapping and what should the response be if their worst fears are true. Many people are holding to hope which becomes more and more difficult as each day passes with no demand or claim of responsibility for this heinous event. Hope is the main emotion but what will that hope give way towards if we find the three missing youths bodies? What is the appropriate response to a people who would revel in the abducting of three teenage boys and further, what to do should they continue the dancing while handing out candies and sweet cakes to those who pass by? That question is an important one which will be impossible to determine, or even to have polled as many have not permitted their emotions to go far enough to reach any conclusion. All that is being pursued by much of Israeli society consists of prayers and attempted mutual comforting, all in the hope that their prayers will suffice. The question over what actions should be taken should the perpetrators of this horrid act be caught is currently a place nobody desires to go. Going into that area is beyond anyone’s desires; all they wish is for the safety of the abducted youth.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 8, 2014

The Middle East Bereft the United States

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,Absolutism,Administration,Afghanistan,al-Qaeda in Gaza,Algeria,Amalekites,American People Voice Opinion,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab World,Army Chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi,Blood Libel,Breakout Point,Building Freeze,China,Chinese Pressure,Civil War,Civilization,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Congress,Consequences,Domestic NGOs,Egypt,Eritria,European Pressure,Executive Order,Fatah,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Gaza,Government,Hamas,Hamid Karzai,Hate,Hezballah,History,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Iraq,Islam,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish Home,Jewish State,Jihad,Kabul,Lebanon,Libya,Mahmoud Abbas,Middle East,Military Council,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Liberation Organization,Palestinian Pressures,Peace Process,PFLP,PLO,Plutonium Production,Politics,President Morsi,President Obama,Pressure by Egyptian People,Promised Land,Russia,Russian Pressure,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Sinai,Sinai Peninsula,Six Day War,Statehood,Syria,Taqiyya,Terror,Third Intifada,Turkey,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Upgraded Military Capabilities,Uranium Enrichment,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 3:25 AM
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When President Barack Obama entered the White House in January of 2009 the United States had already begun its reduction in forces in Iraq with aims of having a residual force remaining to assist in training the Iraqi forces and assisting with security if required and were starting to shift the nation’s and military’s attentions to Afghanistan. This presumably fit well with the new President’s announced intentions as President Obama stated that Iraq, being a war of opportunity, was being the wrong war and Afghanistan was the real war which required the full attention of the United States. The real intentions of President Obama became evident early on as while announcing his intentions to apply a tactic which had worked well in Iraq, a surge of troops to turn the tide of battle, he announced an actual date when the additional troops used for the surge would be redeployed outside Afghanistan. At some point President Obama began to hold secretive negotiations with the Taliban in the hope of arranging an agreement where the Taliban would share power in a future Afghanistan after the United States had pulled up stakes and gone home. Two things resulted from these negotiations; first the Taliban realized that if they simply bide their time the United States would depart and leave Afghanistan ripe for the plucking and second Afghanistan President Karzai eventually discovered President Obama’s perfidy and entered into negotiations of his own with the Taliban and great distrust grew between the United States and the Afghan leadership. This eventually led to the refusal of the Afghans to sign another continuing resolution allowing the United States forces to remain in country and instead made plans to continue forward in concert with the Taliban. Whether any agreements and arrangements between President Karzai and the Taliban will hold up or if the future will simply result in another civil war in the Middle East, this time between the Afghan military and their current leadership and the Taliban and their allies. Should the result of the United States forces departing result in an Afghan civil war, it will be yet another civil war directly resulting from the actions of the United States and their adventurism which has set the entire Middle East on fire from Syria to Yemen, Tunisia to the Sinai, Libya to Iraq and even the possibility of generating a nuclear arms race should the Iranians develop nuclear weapons spurring similar developments in Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt and who knows where else.

 

There have been additional ramifications of decisions made in foreign affairs under the current administration. Because of the perception that President Obama has less than forthright intentions to actually prevent Iran from attaining nuclear weapons, Saudi Arabia has taken steps to find additional allies other than the United States suspecting that there may have been a dramatic shift in the foreign intentions of the United States some of which may be at the expense of Saudi Arabia. Due to President Obama’s outspoken support for the Muslim Brotherhood even to the extreme of demanding that the Egyptian military stand down and return elected Muslim Brotherhood supported President Morsi to power after the military removed him in a coup they claimed was necessitated by the will and massive displays of opposition demonstrated by the people of Egypt. The continued pressure from President Obama and his administration for returning power to the Muslim Brotherhood and the protestations over the use of force, mass arrests and trials and other tactics considered to be overt and anti-democratic by the Egyptian military has driven the Egyptians to seek other allies as they perceived an unreliable and antagonistic United States President and Administration. Then there has been the egregious and unremitting pressure President Obama has inflicted on Israel demanding they surrender on virtually every demand and go to great extents to placate any and all complaints raised by the Palestinians. This included President Obama personally making uniquely demanding and previously unexpressed demands of the Israelis including but not limited to their withdrawal to the pre Six Day War borders, initiate an open-ended building freeze throughout Judea, Samaria and East Jerusalem and more recently continue to negotiate with the Palestinians despite their inclusion of the terrorist groups of Hamas and Islamic Jihad into their new unified governance. Israel has remained just as trustworthy and steadfast ally of the United States with the Israeli government providing assurances and justifications for their continued trust and attempts to continue their friendly relations with the United States. Still, the Israelis have also signed scientific research agreements with the Europeans, expanded trade relations and opened additional areas of trade with both China and India and sent out feelers to initiate more open relations with Russia. All of these changes, shifts, recriminations and manifestations of a changing United States Middle East foreign policy, the big questions are numerous with two of the top queries being who will prove preeminent in the new Middle East in the future and where will the future players be from outside replacing the United States as the mediator and enforcer in the future Middle East?

 

Israel is still one of, if not the most, powerful nations with the best armed and trained military within the Middle East and North Africa but this may be challenged much sooner than many might believe. Currently Egypt is still receiving military hardware from the United States though many of the equipment is either sent after some period of delay or are being placed on hold in an attempt to influence Egyptian politics and the struggle for power which continues between the Muslim Brotherhood and the Egyptian military as well as the problems with terrorist attacks plaguing Egypt coming from within the Sinai Peninsula but still striking within central Egypt and have even assassinated some Egyptian government officials, members of the leadership and leading figures and others from within the Egyptian judicial and law enforcement system. In addition to any aid received from the United States, with aid monies provided by Saudi Arabia, Egypt has begun to supplement their military hardware with Russian equipment and President Putin has stated that he intends to equip the Egyptian military with weaponry and systems equal or superior to those possessed by Israel. Additionally, the Russians have made similar statements concerning arming Saudi Arabia. This is all part of a Russian plan to replace the retreating United States and become the predominant external power in the Middle East. Then there is the potential for additional Chinese presence should they expand their trade and other relations with Iran which are in addition to the relations and cooperation between Iran and Russia in the areas of trade, nuclear generated power, military equipment and technology, nuclear research in medicine and other areas, and other general areas of trade, finance, petroleum industries and on and on. These are the current potential trends should the retreat of the United States continue into the future even beyond this last term of President Obama. Of course some of these developments will be highly contingent on who takes up residence in the White House come January 2017.

 

Then there is the question of the striations of power within the Middle East and North Africa. Should Iran become a nuclear armed nation, this will have extreme ramifications throughout the entirety of the Middle East and North Africa, and North Africa must be included in these determinations due to the numerous predominantly Muslim nations found there. Already the intentions to also seek nuclear weapons capability should Iran become a nuclear power have been announced by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt. One can only postulate who else might pursue nuclear weapons capabilities once the nuclear jinni is released from the bottle. Once Iran develops nuclear weaponry there is a high probability that Syria would also receive the necessary tools, knowledge and likely access to equipment and even nuclear material for their own nuclear weapons program. The real fear would be nuclear weapons in the hands of Lebanon which would place such weapons of mass destruction in the hands of Hezballah, one of the most capable and widely spread terrorist organizations in the world with bases within Europe, South America, Central America, and suspected assets already within the United States. The possibility that terrorists beyond Hezballah such as some of the numerous al-Qaeda groups which now can be found in Yemen, Syria, Libya, Mali, Nigeria and elsewhere along with other terrorist groups such as Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Fatah, the PLO and the pirates and others in places such as Somalia, Eritrea, and others throughout the Islamic world and beyond, then the likelihood of a nuclear attack anywhere in the world would become not only possible but probable since a nuclear armed terrorist group would not have the facilities to store and provide the necessary upkeep required by a nuclear weapon. These limitations would make any nuclear device they possessed to possess a limited life span before it would become inoperative thus necessitating its use before it became inert. This means that a nuclear armed terrorist group would almost guarantee a nuclear attack within a short period of their receiving such a weapon and most likely such an attack would take place relatively close to the point of receipt. This would actually make the highest risk areas for the use of a terrorist nuclear weapon to be within the Islamic sphere of influence or some neighboring nation such as India, Israel, Russia, China, Eastern Europe or South East Asia. This does not mean that other targets would be out of the question as it is already known that there is some cooperation between the drug cartels and the terrorist groups especially in areas where the cartels have significant roots and power as well as anywhere that the Cartels have established smuggling routes into nations of interest to the terrorist organizations which definitely includes the drug cartels in Mexico and their smuggling routes into the United States. This means that there is some calculable risk of use for a terrorist nuclear device virtually, if not everywhere on planet Earth. Nowhere is truly beyond their reach and thus can afford to be complacent regarding terrorists coming into possession of a nuclear device. All of these threats and dangers must be taken into consideration in the future should Iran become a nuclear armed nation. Since North Korea and Iran share much information and research into such areas as nuclear technologies and rocket and missile technologies, the worst possible scenario may already be reality as North Korea is presumed to have at the least a primitive nuclear weapon and the probability that it is so rudimentary as to make it undeliverable should not make anybody complacent or comfortable with this fact. The termination of stewardship provided by the United States which has been the stabilizing influence in the ever turbulent Middle East and North Africa coming to an end should send shivers up the spine of any conscious and intelligent member of the human race and this is the future which may arrive before we are prepared or even have considered all of the ramifications. If this prospect makes you feel some degree of trepidation and cause a growing anxiety, then congratulations, you are a reasoning, intelligent and potentially insightful person and a likely contributing member of the human race. Thank you for your contribution to the general consciousness of our little pebble swimming in this corner of the vast cosmos. May we continue long enough to explore the far beyond of that cosmos.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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