Afghanistan’s President Hamid Karzai has agreed in principle to the deal hammered out concerning a residual presence for United States military personnel but has informed United States President Barack Obama that he will not be able to sign the agreement until after the upcoming Afghani elections in a few months putting off the application date into 2014. Needless to say, the spineless American President has accepted this demand without even a whimper. There is also the small matter of putting the agreement before the Loya Jirga, a council made up of over 2,500 tribal elders, for their approval which is a necessary step as they hold great influence, sufficient to unseat Karzai from the Presidency. The agreement is anything but a panoply of favorable restriction on powers the United States military personnel will be permitted to perform. The agreement basically turns one of the finest and powerful fighting forces on the planet into President Hamid Karzai’s personal riot control force. Some of the restrictions on the American personnel is that any mission undertaken must receive Afghani approval before being executed allowing for those within the Afghani government who are more loyal to the Taliban than the United States to warn any targeted Taliban personnel, the Americans are banned from entering any Afghani personnel residence making every single hut, home, apartment or other residence a safe hiding place for the Taliban and others who oppose the United States, as well as other restrictions making posing any threat to the Taliban and other terrorist interests virtually an impossibility.
The main reason given by Afghani President Hamid Karzai was, “my trust with America is not good. I don’t trust them and they don’t trust me. During the past 10 years I have fought with them and they have made propaganda against me.” While President Karzai was speaking a female senator interrupted him, shouting that any deal with the Americans meant betraying the country. State Department spokeswoman Jen Psaki spoke about the desires of the United States referring to the treaty stating that signing it “sooner rather than later is essential to give Afghans certainty about their future before the upcoming elections, and enable the United States and other partners to plan for US presence after 2014.”
But what is the reality behind president Karzai’s reluctance to ratify fully and sign the treaty now and wanting it to be delayed until after the elections? The reality is as obvious as it could possibly be, Hamid Karzai is basically demanding if the United States really wants him to sign the treaty then they had better make sure he wins reelection by any means necessary. He is basically pointing to the fact that his adversaries in the elections would likely not be treating anything to do with the United States favorably and would definitely demand that President Obama pull all American personnel from Afghanistan. The validity of his claims is unimportant because if even a few or even just one of his opponents in the elections for President opposes any American presence, then can President Obama really risk just waiting to see who wins and hoping for the best? Judging from much that President Obama has done concerning the policies of the United States in the Middle East he might very well not only gladly wait until after the elections but actually support an anti-American candidate behind the scenes. The sole reason that may prevent President Obama from such a nefarious move is that he has taken ownership in many speeches and comments over his Presidency and thus needs to show success at least on the Afghani front. Still, bending to the blackmail by Hamid Karzai that the United States turn a blind eye or possibly assist him in stealing the election, if that becomes necessary, just to preserve a treaty may be a price considered too high by a principled individual. I suspect President Obama will do whatever is necessary and provide President Karzai with whatever he requires in order to prevail in the upcoming elections much to the disgrace of the United States. This may be an election which will deserve some closer attention than would normally be normal for an election in Afghanistan. Any shady dealing should be investigated and if the United States State Department or the White House and its operatives have any part in influencing the Afghani elections then prosecutions should be considered. The reputation of the United States should not be sullied by such dealings as her reputation has suffered sufficient damage throughout the Middle East over the last almost five years.
Some notes on other fronts from the Middle East. Resulting from the pressures from President Obama and the State Department for the reinstallation of dethroned President Morsi and returning Egypt to Muslim Brotherhood rule rather than the current military rule which has thus far received the support of the majority of Egyptians, Wednesday came reports that Egypt reached a $4 billion arms deal with Russia designed to let Egypt at least achieve parity with the Israeli Defense Force. This deal is being underwritten by the Royal Family of Saudi Arabia who are also on the outs with the Obama Administration over the surrender to Iran over their nuclear weapons program. With Turkey also turning away from the United States and Israel feeling like she has been cut loose and is on her own in preventing a nuclear Iran and actually being opposed actively with both President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry doing everything in their powers to assist and back every demand and desire of the Palestinian Authority, the United States sole friend in the Middle East may be the Iranians who are sworn to a “World without America and Zionism.” Could it get any worse? Just wait, there are still three years plus for even more misadventures in foreign policy and especially the Middle East. We did say repeatedly that Obamacare and the economy were of little importance in the last American Presidential Elections and that the main concern must be focused like a laser on foreign policy. The reasons appeared obvious to us but apparently history is going to be given every chance possible to repeat itself. We just hope that somewhere there is another Winston Churchill and we believe one candidate is Canada’s own Prime Minister Stephen Joseph Harper. What a world where Canada, France, Australia and Israel are left to lead the free world and save the world from another Dark Ages.
Beyond the Cusp