Beyond the Cusp

July 14, 2014

Sunday Surprises in Northern Israel

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Before getting into some of the technical information and adding some credible commentary and statistics on the situation here in the Hamas-Israel ongoing confrontation, a little personal note. There have been Code Red sirens warning of potential rocket strikes in Nahariya and Ma’alot which are normally only concerned with rockets fired by Hezballah out of Lebanon but apparently are at the extreme end of range for some of the Fajr 5 and the M75 rockets used by Hamas in Gaza. Thus far there has not been any strike within earshot of our place in Nahariya, Bruch Hashem and we pray that things remain that way. We have seen the effects of having a Code Red siren on some of our fellow citizens. Tapping an elderly lady on the shoulder lightly in order to allow her with her three items to go in front of us at the checkout drew a different response than one would normally expect. The poor lady nearly jumped out of her skin and reacted breathlessly stating firmly and emphatically, “Don’t touch me, I thought it was a rocket.” After her breathing, and I suspect heart rate, came back to normal we had a pleasant conversation and all ended well. I am blessed that my wife does not appear to be anywhere near as nervous or panicked; actually she has been very calm. I am quite proud of her for her fortitude as I realize that living under the gun, so to speak, can rattle even some of the most resolute and strong willed of us. Another point of interest was we had to go out within fifteen minutes of the Code Red alarm, they suggest you remain in a safe place for at least ten minutes, and we expected to have the sidewalks and roads to ourselves, no such luck. The roads, sidewalks and especially the beach by the Mediterranean were less crowded that usual, they were anything but devoid of people. The Israelis are mostly very calm and resolute in seeing that these hardships, even though they do require certain precautions and interruptions to our daily lives, will not steal from us the feelings of normalcy and safety in our homes and cities and nation. That is something we refuse to allow.

 

For everybody’s information, there were three weeks of steadily increasing rocket fire into Israel which had reached a crescendo of almost one hundred in a single day before Israel responded with a forty-eight hour warning for the assaults by rockets to stop. That included rockets shot at Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and central Israel where the majority of the population, infrastructure, manufacturing and commerce all reside. Even then, it was almost thirty-six hours past the deadline before Israel launched a response. Where you are hearing all these national leaders, international representatives and leaders of NGOs, Human Rights Groups and various others all condemning the Hamas rockets fire and the use of disproportionate force, that is all well and good but where were these very same sources of such equanimous condemnations when only Hamas was firing tens of rockets and approaching a hundred rockets a day for three weeks before Israel made any response? Were they sleeping like Rip Van Winkle or Sleeping Beauty and only arose from their slumbers right after Israel finally responded to protect her citizenry? Yes, there were a few who condemned the Hamas assaults before any Israeli response, but most of those people are still demanding that Hamas stop the rockets knowing full-well that once the rockets stop raining down on Israeli civilians, the Israel attacks will also cease. The same cannot be said for Hamas stopping their rocket barrages should Israeli forces stand down.

 

There are a number of contrasts which need to be examined and brought into the light so the world can see reality, not that many of those who only see a problem if Israel is defending themselves, such as United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights Navi Pillay who released a statement claiming that the Israel defensive actions were criminal as they struck the homes of Hamas leadership where it is known to most everybody, but apparently Ms. Pillay did not receive the memo, that there are stores of rockets, weapons, ammunition, explosives and other tactical information and resources which under international law makes those homes legal military targets which can be struck and destroyed. Demolishing those homes does not constitute war crimes or any other offense other than to Ms. Pillay’s sensitivities. Another point apparently unknown to the outside world despite the evidence is that a Hamas officer made a television announcement demanding that the brave citizens of Gaza should remain in their homes after receiving warnings of a potential strike in their area and others should run towards any targeted location when they receive such notices and not run to safety. The reasoning behind this directive is that Israel has often called off strikes when civilians are seen to be in harm’s way of the attack and there have been a number of attacks that Israeli commanders or pilots have called off their primary target and either returned to base or struck a secondary target because of civilians, or especially children, are seen to be in close proximity to the target. The cases where civilians have been injured or killed are when Hamas places civilians inside the targeted location in order to have human tragedy stories and war crimes complaints they can sell to an ever willing and compliant press anxious for any news with which to condemn Israelis and the IDF.

 

Another front which very exactly focuses one’s attentions on the difference between Hamas and the other Palestinian terrorists, that includes Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority and Fatah, versus Israel is the developments and steps taken by each side since the last confrontation between Hamas and Israel in 2012. Hamas has added three new rockets to their arsenals and has built extensive smuggling tunnels and infiltration tunnels under the Gaza-Israel border and into Kibbutzim or concealed areas in order to sneak attack or abduct Israeli soldiers or civilians in order to repeat their successful trading of Gilad Shalit for over one thousand terrorist prisoners. Israel has produces as many Iron Dome batteries as they could make with little regard to the cost and built a great number of new and better shelters for the civilian population and such that there are always sufficient shelter space in close proximity to virtually any location. Israel has included into their building codes requiring that every apartment or house have a rocket safe room reinforced to prevent most rocket attacks even from direct strikes. Israel has placed their premium and critical attentions to the protection of their civilians and their efforts have given the greatest of all fruits, very few serious casualties from the barrages of rockets and mortars. Hamas demands that their civilians try to become martyrs that they can use in their public relations war on Israel. Hamas realizes that when there are many more Palestinian casualties when compared to Israeli casualties they can scream that Israel is using such overwhelming force that they are committing genocide and the mainstream media in the West will gobble these accusations and run with them all day and night on every newscast and special report. That is a lie and the truth is that Israel values human life to such an extent that they take every conceivable and available step to protect their citizens while giving the residents in Gaza at least ten minutes and even a whole day’s warning before they strike a target in the hopes that they can get a safe distance and prevent their becoming casualties.

 

I cannot stress the difference in the safety of civilians between Israel who even values the lives and health of their enemy’s civilians more than their leaders appear to value them. This is proven in another little mentioned part of the story which has been covered here but few other places. Israel has continued to transfer tons upon tons of supplies into Gaza every day even while the conflict has raged. We are speaking of anywhere from seven to twenty tractor trailer loads of food and medical supplies. Israel has continued to provide Gaza with one third of their electricity and with water. Israel is not treating their injured as they are being treated by the Egyptians in hospital in the northern Sinai Peninsula. Israel is permitting the transfer of people of which some are probably Hamas members to the hospitals in Egypt for treatment despite it being well within Israeli capabilities to prevent such transfers of people. Israel continues to treat the Gazans who were receiving treatment in Israel when hostilities broke out. This would have included the relative of one of the leaders of Hamas, recently resigned as of the forming of the unity government Prime Minister Haniyeh, whose mother-in-law was recently treated in an Israeli hospital. What nation provides their enemies during active warfare with food, medical supplies, electricity, water and treats the relatives of their enemies’ highest leadership in their hospitals? If you can find one other than Israel I would be interested in hearing all about such a generous people.

 

There are many realities which are not being reported throughout the world in the mainstream media. I can write about the realities and give the examples all of which are readily and easily verifiable through simple searches on the Internet. The best thing that could ever come of these efforts would be for many to verify what I report and then tell those people you meet on the way through your busy day and correct the misinformation and replace it with the truth and perhaps together we can rectify some of the smaller evils taking place in our worlds. The minds of people do respond when they are introduced to new information which can be verified or comes from a trusted source. It may be a slow and possibly tedious and possibly tendentious way to try and set the world right, but if we do not at least try then we are permitting the lies to rule the world. When lies rule the world then freedom and liberty find themselves orphans without a home. The truth not only sets you free but can also set those you meet on your way free and eventually can free everybody if only we try and simply refuse to relay falsehoods and propaganda from evil and deceitful sources. Any deceitful source is also an evil source as it poisons the minds and the character through its retelling of lies which will rot one’s soul over time. Breathe in the refreshing winds of truth and allow them to spread and sweep away the stench of lies and condemnations of the innocents. Israel is fighting a war on the front lines against the world’s most powerful force for darkness. Don’t take my word; allow me to introduce you to what Winston Churchill said of the Muslim people and religion. Part of Churchill’s writings on Islam stated, Individual Muslims may show splendid qualities, but the influence of the religion paralyses the social development of those who follow it. No stronger retrograde force exists in the world. Far from being moribund, Mohammedanism is a militant and proselytizing faith. It has already spread throughout Central Africa, raising fearless warriors at every step; and were it not that Christianity is sheltered in the strong arms of science, the science against which it had vainly struggled, the civilization of modern Europe might fall, as fell the civilization of ancient Rome.” You can read the rest here if you are so interested.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 10, 2014

The Middle East Without an Israel

Imagine the United Nations, European Union, United States State Department, many several of the European national governments, unions worldwide, the Arab world, the Arab League, much of the non-Arab Muslim world, the majority of the major church organizations throughout the world and near countless NGOs succeeded in imposing strict limitations on the IDF and Israeli government leading to the formation of the Palestinian nightmare, Palestine established on the graves of over six-million Israeli Jews as they finally succeeded in pushing them into the sea. Mahmoud Abbas finally realized his supposed life’s highest goal by replacing Israel with yet another Arab state cleansed of the Jews who resided in that narrow strip of land at the eastern edge of the Mediterranean Sea. The first realization of this new state will be the radical and murderous contesting of who will rise to be the leader of Palestine. Mahmoud Abbas would likely be ensconced as the new President or Prime Minister recognized by the United Nations, European Union, United States and the Arab League as being the rightful leader of the Palestinian peoples, and they are a peoples as many are from Syria, others from Egypt and some from Iraq while there are those from Turkey and others from even further places in the Arab world. The Palestinians are just as disperse a peoples as many claim the Jews have become over the centuries despite medical genetic studies to the opposite. There would be some predominant families who would vie for power as well as strong contesting by Hamas, Islamic Jihad with other terrorist entities selling their support to one larger group or another prolonging the struggles. Most would predict the likely result being similar to the result in Gaza when Hamas deposed Fatah and with them the Palestinian Authority as ruled by Mahmoud Abbas.

 

Those limiting the struggle for power over the corpse of Israel to those parties currently vying for top spot in governing the Palestinians are somewhat foolish as the end results would have more to do with which outside interests decided to make the necessary investment in treasure, troops and military hardware. The gaping deficiency existing with the Palestinian ruling groups which all are better at their initial existence as terrorist groups than they would be at ruling a nation is that they also have limited military heavy equipment such as heavy battle tanks, large bore artillery, and absolutely no air force, a glaring and probably fatal deficiency. The first thought that comes to mind when one realizes that the Palestinians would be completely unable to defend against an attack by any well-armed national military or even some of the more well-armed terrorist groups such as Hezballah or ISIS. Add in Egypt, Syria if their civil strife has been resolved, Iran, Turkey and even Lebanon (which is actually controlled by Hezballah). There is a very good reason that many of the neighboring nations would be interested in claiming the lands which had formally been Israel, the gas deposits sitting in the Mediterranean Sea.

 

The reality is should the world impose such restrictions and intercede to such an extent in the Arab-Israeli conflict constantly protecting the Arab and terror forces by demanding Israel show restraint, return all lands Israel might gain in defensive warfare, stop all missions when the Western leaders decide that the terrorists have been served a sufficient lesson thus preventing Israel from completely destroying terrorist groups such as Hamas in Gaza, the target of the current strife. Without an Israel there would be nothing to prevent Turkey from completing their conquest of Cyprus taking the gas fields within the territorial waters of the southern half of the island which is currently controlled by Greece. Turkey has sufficient military power to not only take Cyprus but possibly also take Lebanon and Israel declaring their intents to restore the Caliphate by reestablishing the Ottoman Empire. Iran would also love to simply make their claim to being the leaders of the Muslim world by establishing their control over Iraq, Lebanon and backing one of the terrorist groups vying for control of the Palestinian state, probably Hamas who they have worked with before. Egypt would be interested in taking control over these areas in order to rid it of the terrorist groups, especially those aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood such as Hamas and al-Qaeda. By conquering and controlling these areas they could also end the troubles they been experiencing in the Sinai Peninsula.

 

Once the internal battles and the new lines are established in the Middle East, then Islam may turn their interests and attentions to Europe starting in the Balkans and working their way west and north. Should the controlling government over the Muslim world be able to unify and reach accords with the Muslim nations across northern Africa, then they would also be able to attempt to regain control of Andalusia, the name used by the Muslims before 1492 when they controlled much of Spain and even into southern France. Between the struggling economies of Europe and their population in decline forcing their reliance on immigrant populations which mostly originate in the Arab and Muslim worlds, the situation is almost the perfect storm with which the growing Islamic immigrant invasion providing those controlling the largest of armies in the Muslim world a foothold and fifth column which would make a weakened and demilitarized Europe ripe for the plucking. Should the United States continue in their policy of receding from interfering in wars and other actions which do not threaten the interests of the United States, there would be nothing to prevent the Islamization over Europe followed by an Islamic absorption by combined immigration invasion aiding a military invasion. If Islam were to be successful in a conquest of Europe, whether they took Britain or not, they would potentially have sufficient technical innovations added to their petro-wealth to become the largest and best armed military on the planet. Islam could easily at this point turn their attentions eastward seeking to absorb Southeast Asia. This would leave Islam with sufficient control of the world’s resources that they could easily dictate the economic engines of the entire planet. With such control the leaders of Islam would be capable of weakening any other nation or groups of nations setting them up for Islamic conquest. Without Israel there is but one reason that the powers of Islam would not be capable of taking Europe and then much of Asia and from there nothing could stop them except for the very distinct probability of internal fighting with each factions or groups fighting with all the others eventually weakening all of the Islamic powers leaving them vulnerable to conquest to whatever nation is perched with the necessary military power and political determination to place their stamp on the Islamic world and gaining control of the petroleum reserves, or at least the remainder of the Arab oil reserves. Is the world really anxious to depend on the Muslim world not being able to unify to save them or would they prefer to allow Israel to be the cork on the bottle keeping the building pressures inside from exploding across the globe? If you doubt that nothing could unify the majority of the Muslim world, take a good long look at ISIS and the wealth in gold and monies as well as the great amounts of advanced American military equipment and provisions as well as currently holding lands equal in size to many of the other nations in the Middle East and far more area than makes up Israel even including the contested areas of Judea, Samaria and Gaza.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 30, 2014

Middle East War Imminent

The forces fighting under the banner of the terrorist army of Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) have swept across central Iraq and are only now facing any real opposition. This lack of resistance has emboldened ISIS as well as having provided them with advanced weapons systems which were abandoned by the Iraqi Army as they retreated, refusing to even engage the oncoming terrorist army. Only now has the Iraqi Army properly prepared to face the onrushing hordes by holding their ground around Baghdad. Much of the Western World has focused upon Baghdad with low expectations and have set attacking Jordan as their line in the sand. Former Israeli National Security Council director Yaakov Amidror commented on the situation Sunday expressing that, “It’s not just in Jordan’s interest, but in Israel’s as well, to work together to solve this problem.” The comments came amidst reports of Jordan deploying massive army forces on its Iraqi border Friday, including tanks, army vehicles, missile launchers and soldiers, citing the Arab news source Asharq Al-Aswat. Jordanian concerns are validated by calls from amongst the advancing ISIS forces for Jordanian King Abdullah’s execution.

 

Further aggravation has been caused by the ISIS leadership declaring themselves as a new Islamic Caliphate and defining the lands that they have taken by force as being a new Islamic State. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was given the title of Caliph which permits him to take whatever he desires and to do so by force if that is what is required. ISIS is also now declaring that they should now be referred to as simply the Islamic State and give them the deference usually reserved for recognized and established nations. Spokesman Abu Muhammad al-Adnani released a statement to the press where he claimed, referring to Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi being given the title of Caliph and the establishing ISIS as the Islamic State, “He is the Imam and Khalifah for the Muslims everywhere. It is incumbent upon all Muslims to pledge allegiance to and support him. The legality of all emirates, groups, states, and organizations, becomes null by the expansion of the Khalifah’s authority and arrival of its troops to their areas.” I guess that all has been said and done and we can expect any moment now for the Family Saud, the Emirs of Kuwait and the Emirates, President el-Sisi in Egypt, Prime Minister Erdogan of Turkey and every other Sunni national leader to surrender their nations and pledge their troops to the new Islamic State and the great Khalifah Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Well, I guess this takes care of Jordan as obviously Jordanian King Abdullah II ibn al-Hussein will order his armies which are currently deployed in force and on high alert to stand down and take whatever is required of them by the new Khalifah al-Baghdadi including executing the King for his crimes against Islam which Khalifah al-Baghdadi has ordered. Well, then again, maybe not; and the same likely goes for Egyptian President Sisi, Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan, the Family Saud and any of the other “righteous leaderships” that currently rule by the will of Allah and their having most of the guns throughout the Sunni Muslim World, and we have yet to address the Shiite Islamic world which Khalifah al-Baghdadi has declared all Shiite Muslims to be heretics deserving of death.

 

So, what can we make of all this fury and bluster? Giving it some thought, we can likely conclude that ISIS has stretched their lines close to their limits without an new influx of fighters, and even more importantly, supply and logistics personnel which are more difficult to find as such positions are not the positions desired by the glory and martyrdom seekers and require intelligence and education if they are to be useful and as well organized as required. No army has ever run on all soldiers on the lines fighting and nobody bringing them supplies, food and all the other requirements for battle and survival. The age of plunder as you go is over and the only soldiers still employing such tactics are small specialized forces who are executing specific missions and targets and are not as concerned with taking and holding land. ISIS has declared their intent to transform the lands they have conquered into a state, even if it is a nonfunctional state for now, and that requires holding and defending the lands you possess and still providing for the troops to continue onward in your lust for complete power. Does this mean that ISIS is done and not going to proceed further? No, they will still likely be capable of launching attacks on the southern extremes of Iraq which they must take if only for the oil fields and a port to the open seas in order to trade that oil taking in monies they can then utilize for further conquest. They might even attempt to take on the Jordanian army. It would serve Jordan to announce if they have any assurances or agreements with Israel for their mutual defense before ISIS crosses their border and hostilities start. Warfare is easier to force your enemy to reconsider attacking you than it is to force them to end such an assault and disengage from the conflict on your front.

 

Are there any other options for ISIS if they should prove capable of capturing the southern parts of Iraq? There are basically three options, after they solidify their conquest of Iraq and have dealt with the fairly significant numbers of Shiites, they will have remaining on the lands they would then control. Demanding mass conversions to Sunni Islam would be attempted but if there are those who are respected within the Shiite community who refuse, that could result in a large segment also refusing to swear their allegiance to Sunni Islam and to follow Khalifah al-Baghdadi. Providing that either ISIS risked raising the general levels of ire towards them by murdering en-mass the Shiite population of Iraq, the option for what next would be completely taken care of by Iran who would necessarily declare Jihad against ISIS declaring them apostates, idolaters or heretics and another Iraq-Iran War would ensue and would be to the death. In such a scenario the only hope ISIS would have is if the rest of the Sunni Islamic world would answer their calls for unity against the Shiites and a final last war between these two largest branches of Islam. Should ISIS find another route whereby the Shiite population they would have conquered is not forced necessarily to convert and are not murdered en-mass, then they would face choices. Attacking Jordan runs the risk of also engaging Israel and possibly others from the Western nations though it would be very unlikely that the United States would do anything beyond perhaps some attempts to target leaders of ISIS for drone strikes, killing the head of the snake, so to speak. The other choices would be to strike either Kuwait or Saudi Arabia. These two options basically end with the same results, starting the general war between the Family Saud and the leadership of ISIS for control of the Sunni Islamic world. The Saudis would have the deeper pockets and would have the assistance of Western nations who would only likely demand a lower price on oil for some period which would help to stimulate their sluggish economies to climb out from the recession much more quickly and with less pain and austerity. At this point ISIS has the choice of which bad idea will they pursue. There still remains the final option, do nothing and consolidate their gains for the time being. Then once they have established this new Islamic State and gained recognition, and why should they not expect recognition as they are no worse a terrorist group than is Hezballah, Islamic Jihad, Hamas or Fatah and the Western nations have demanded Israel negotiate with or otherwise deal with those terror groups and give them a state of their own, why would ISIS be any different other than they are not attacking Israel yet. So, depending on the next move taken by ISIS, I’m sorry, the “Islamic State”, that will determine whether we are about to enter into a general Middle East War or continue with ever increasing terrorist strikes the world over and the first step to redrawing the Arab and Muslim world to represent reality and the tribal, clannish and sectarian differences establishing new nations which represent a pure citizenship with little or no multicultural citizenry such as was forced upon the Middle East after World War I by the Sykes–Picot Agreement which spawned much of the turmoil in the region ever since the imaginary and arbitrary lines were drawn seemingly free of any considerations or thought and completely at random as if by a child scrawling with multicolored crayons on the map of the Middle East.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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