Beyond the Cusp

October 17, 2014

Embattled Nation, Story on Israel Media Ignores

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,1967 War,24/7 News Reporting,Absolutism,Administration,al-Qaeda in Gaza,Aliyah,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Appointment,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab World,Arabs,Basic Laws,Blood Libel,Borders,Boycott,Building Freeze,Building Freeze,Checkpoints,Civilization,Condemning Israel,Defend Israel,Disengagement,Domestic NGOs,Economy,Egypt,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Media,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Gaza,Gaza Blockade,Government,Government Controlled Media,Green Line,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hate,History,IDF,Infiltration Tunnels,International Politics,Intifada,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Israeli Media,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,Judea,Khaled Mashaal,Kidnap Soldier,Kidnapped Israeli,Land for Peace,Leftist Pressures,Legal Blockade,Mahmoud Abbas,Mainstream Media,Media,Media Bias,Media Censorship,Middle East,Misreporting,Mortar Attacks,Murder Israelis,Muslim World,Muslims,Nahariya,Old City,One State Solution,Oslo Accords,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Legislative Committee,Palestinian Liberation Organization,Palestinian Media,Palestinian Pressures,Palestinian Security Force,Peace Partner,Peace Process,PLO,Politicized Findings,Politics,Pre-Conditions,Promised Land,Recognize Israel,Refugees,Religious Jews,Response to Terrorism,Rock Throwing,Rocket Attacks,Samaria,Secular Interests,Settlements,Six Day War,Smuggling Tunnels,Statehood,Suicide Bomber,Support Israel,Television News,Temple Mount,Temple Mount,Terror,Third Intifada,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,UNRWA,Victims,West Bank,World Media,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:22 AM
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Whenever one mentions the state of violence which exists in the situation which has come to be known as the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the story almost always goes to the propaganda media story of the overwhelming power of Israel against the weak and defenseless Palestinians stone throwers. There are a number of discrepancies with reality already conveyed in that sentence which trying to explain to people is an uphill battle where whatever you say gets you accused of being a Zionist stooge or simply a liar. Fortunately I don’t care about the names and will actually correct them and explain I am not a Zionist stooge, I’m the real deal, a proud Zionist, and then I give them the whole story. For the sake of brevity and to not bore everyone I’ll give the short version. Somewhere in my youth I realized I wanted to go live in Israel, to return home which is how every Zionist I have ever known describes the yearning. At age nine I made a pair of promises to myself, first to take care of my parents and be a dutiful, caring and loving son and second to make Aliyah and live the remainder of my life in Israel. My father inquired what my plans were once I had retired after a serious injury placed me on disability and I explain the two promises. He released me from the first explaining I was not getting any younger and encouraged me to make Aliyah and so I have. The one quirk is I do not remember sharing either of my plans with anyone around me but friends from as far back as junior high school have claimed I had mentioned, often casually as kids often do about their future plans, that I would eventually live in Israel. Most of them classified that little comment as a youthful enthusiasm and not an actual goal, my most heartfelt dream. Now happily living my dream I also have gained a closer look at the situation which I was not totally aware of before coming to Israel because the media has not reported honestly on much of what is happening and what I see has me worried for the safety and lives of the Palestinians and angry that the media conceals so much of the realities in the Arab-Israeli conflict which would be the correct terminology to use instead of Palestinian-Israeli conflict. So, what has been concealed and omitted from the story. Let’s look into that part.

Whenever there is a conflict which escalates to the point that the Israeli police, security personnel and especially IDF soldiers (Israeli Defense Forces) are forced to respond with riot control or even more drastic responses the media is filled with stories with pictures explaining how the Israelis overreacted and used disproportional force against mere stone throwing youths. When the terminology ‘youths’ is employed, youths would be better defined as Palestinians from age twelve through age forty-five and when confronting Israeli law enforcement or IDF the younger participants are always placed to the fore while the older Palestinians remain in the rear where they often employ slings or even firearms and of late roman candle fireworks and Molotov cocktails and other improvised weaponry. The media reporting on these confrontations are often fed their stories or write them following the script which has accompanied the pictures for decades now to the point that most confrontations are not reported at all and only those which result in a violent response, especially if there are wounded, or worse, killed Palestinians do these stories make the news. This paints a disturbing image for the Israelis attempting to keep the peace and protect innocents from both sides. The pictures are more often than not provided by Arabist sympathizers with a story to sell and are often misleading or outright fabrications. This kind of reporting was revealed by a reporter for the BBC we covered with link to source video report in our story World Enters Save Hamas from Israeli Annihilation Mode which gives an accounting of just a small sliver of the lies and errors given in social media which is also indicative of many mainstream media coverages as they rely heavily on hearsay and social media reports. They receive many of their videos and still pictures from what they refer to as trusted sources who are stringers often also employed by the Palestinian propaganda department who aids them in their efforts including giving them the lead to scheduled provocations planned in advance. Often these provocations have as much as two hours of preparatory work where the pictures of youths throwing rocks are videoed and pictures taken while they throw stones to miss the cameramen but at empty areas and well before they confront the IDF. The pictures which show the Palestinian youths throwing rocks and it appears that the camera personnel have to be shooting their footage from the front of the stone throwers such that you believe they are embedded with the Israelis, this never made you think and consider the absurdity of such pictures. In such a situation the camera personnel would not be calmly shooting video from within the IDF ranks as if such a situation presented itself the IDF would escort the photographers to their rear to protect them and allow them to shoot from behind the soldiers, not from amongst or in front of them as that would threaten the photographers safety. When it is made to appear like the camera personnel are within the ranks of IDF soldiers it is often Palestinians dressed in IDF uniforms. For more examples of these types of events simply search for Pallywood online and even with the videos there take care and view them with a touch of cynicism.

The truths which are simply not told are that there is an escalating Intifada happening in Israel right now and has been escalating for the past few years. Many Israelis refer to these actions as the ‘Silent Intifada’ because even the Israeli media is downplaying the realities. For the past six weeks the situation on the Temple Mount had become unbearable for Jews wishing to visit the holiest site in all of Judaism and an actual hell for the Police who are assaulted daily with barely a day going by where the police on the Temple Mount are injured requiring medical aid on sight or, if less fortunate, taken for further treatment at an Israeli hospital. The rock throwing at vehicles often done from ambush positions or thrown from cars driven in the opposite direction which is queued when to start accelerating when the intended target passes a point approaching the waiting attack vehicle on the road’s ambush point. These ambush points change but there are some which are regularly used on major roadways which many are required to drive as there is no other route they can use which does not add hours to their commute. The rocks used are often the size of crochet balls and can be as large as cinderblocks and bricks and have similar effect when striking a windshield. There have been a number of seriously wounded drivers and passengers and some fatalities including many children in both categories. These ambush points are well planned and upon the arrival of authorities the Palestinians conducting the ambush melt back into the nearby Arab neighborhoods where they are protected from arrest by the rest of the Palestinians in the neighborhoods. Many do this as they believe their youths are just having harmless fun and if they should not protect them then they would likely face the retribution of the terrorist groups who often arranged these attacks and have been known to summarily execute those they believe have assisted the Israelis in any manner.

Another side to these attacks is they are often paid for and planned, including training the Palestinian youths where necessary, by anarchists and extreme leftists from across Europe. These are well trained provocateurs with much experience in using rioting to assault soldiers and law enforcement personnel and the best uses of media especially in editing film to produce videos of the law enforcement in the worst possible light. These provocateurs arrive often in teams which have their own media personnel who can film confrontations and are excellent editors to produce the most damning short video which then they place on-line and then have their own people start tweeting it and then enforcing their initial tweet with retweets guaranteeing it trending and going viral. The fact these videos also reinforce the storyline of the mean, nasty, criminal Israeli forces beating down innocent Palestinians who have done nothing to provoke such responses only serves for it to be believed and thus shared. Israeli law enforcement and IDF are not permitted to take videos themselves and place anything on social media and as these events are preplanned on the Palestinians side, the only video taken is often by Palestinian sympathizers or European instigators well versed in media manipulations. There do exist some videos which show actual footage of entire provocations which were captured on surveillance cameras but the picture quality is poor and the confrontations are planned such that the actual events are difficult to discern accurately beyond anything but the Palestinian assaulted a checkpoint or patrol and this eventually led to a response by the Israelis who had come under attack. What is seldom if ever uploaded to the Internet are the attempted confrontations where the Israeli soldiers or law enforcement were assaulted and provoked but because there was no real or perceived threat to life or limb they simply did not respond. This is the result of the majority of these confrontations and is so not newsworthy as in choosing news stories the old adage still applies, “If it bleeds, it leads.” You will always see the man bites dog story and not so much dog bites man despite the fact that dog bites man story is the norm and probably outnumbers the man bites dog stories by a ratio near incalculable.

This leads to the most uncovered story. Throughout Israel where approximately one out of five citizens are Arabs there is no strife and Jews and Arabs including Muslims live side-by-side in peace and harmony. When I walk around Nahariya I often pass by Muslims dressed traditionally and there is no animosity and no acts to harm each other and we shop with merchants from both cultures giving the religious or race of the merchants little or no mind. Such events are the norm around almost all of Israel. Further, the buildings which are built, whenever there is not an actual announced building freeze or a stealth freeze where the tenders are given, bids made and recognized and every legal and administrative hurdle passed and completed, the final permission to start construction has been withheld by the political leadership of Israel very likely in response and due to pressures from European governments, the United States, the United Nations and the European Union. Had these apartments been constructed the reality which is ignored is that Arab Israelis including those living in and originating in East Jerusalem would be able to purchase and live in these buildings. There is no restricted housing for the most part throughout Israel. Yes, there exist Kibbutzim and religious neighborhoods where one need apply to live in these areas but that is due to the economic partnership members of these communities share when it comes to rents and other necessities as these communal neighborhoods also care for their less well-off within the structure of the neighborhood. These are just as often Jewish neighborhoods as they are Arab neighborhoods and within Israel there are completely Arab towns and a number of cities with Arab mayors which have mixed Arab and Jewish citizens. That these mixed neighborhoods live happily and in peace almost universally does not exactly make for exciting news, but they exist just the same. One must remember that the news covers the exceptions, the most drastic and outside of the ordinary as that defines news. News agencies which attempted to write ‘good news stories’ exclusively quickly failed to survive as nobody bought their products regularly because such stories are not that exciting. Who cares for the most part what the lady on the corner does to grow such nice petunias, where is the visceral gut wrenching real news, that sells newspapers and makes newscasts worth watching.

Finally we get to the shaky situation for the future which might be closer than many think. There have been some actions threatened to be taken by the Palestinian leadership which could signal something neither side desires but was the eventual outcome due to the indoctrinations and incitements which are integral in Palestinian society. These indoctrinations and instigations are woven into their textbooks, soaked throughout their media, stressed even in preschools, reinforced through social media and visual media such as television, radio, movies and other modes to the point of inundating the Palestinian population with a visceral and red hot hatred of Israel and the Jewish people. This indoctrination has reached such a fevered pitch and so soaked throughout the society that the violence it demands has very likely gotten beyond their ability to control and is now escalating independent of any controls or manipulation. The leadership began this latest Intifada as they had every time before to coincide with negotiations such that they might force Israeli concessions simply to make gains in the negotiations bringing them to a satisfactory end for the time being and the violence would be slowed and eventually a calm with a controllable level of violence would settle in. There does not appear to be an off switch or the usual one had malfunctioned and there is no way for the leadership of the Palestinian Authority to dampen down the riots and violence as they have taken on a life of their own. The daily rioting on the Temple Mount is no longer under Palestinian Authority control and is being financed and pushed by Hamas who desires instability in Judea and Samaria (West Bank) and throughout the Palestinian Authority regions as an inside line to toppling Mahmoud Abbas and the Fatah and PLO leadership replacing it with Hamas and Islamic Jihad, two terrorist groups which more and more appear to have merged, or at least cooperate to the point of being complimentary. With the rioting, rock attacks, fire bombings, assaults, attempted stabbings, and lately shooting between Arab neighborhoods and Jewish neighborhoods in Jerusalem; there appears to be a serious problem which the Palestinian Authority is losing control. This is all most likely the plan by Hamas to unseat the current leadership and also to coopt with the unity government thus completely replacing the Palestinian Authority with Hamas leaders. This was the plan revealed initially by the Israeli Intelligence, the Shin Bet, who, with IDF assistance, arrested the core leadership and organizers of a Hamas coup attempt near the end of August as the ceasefire was being negotiated. The order for the coup to be executed presumably came from Khaled Mashaal, Hamas political leader living in exile. Had the Israelis not prevented the coup the plan was for the violence in Judea and Samaria to escalate completely out of control and while Abbas and the Palestinian Authority leadership was attempting to get a handle on the violence for Hamas planted units to take control of the seats of power eliminating the current leadership of the Palestinian Authority and thus gain complete control over the unity government. This would have permitted Hamas to attack Israel from the advantageous Judean Hills which overlook the heart of Israel including the entirety of the Tel Aviv greater metropolitan area, Ben Gurion International Airport, and over seventy percent of Israeli production, population, infrastructure, power generation and utilities. Having Hamas fire rockets from the Judean Hills would paralyze Israel and be completely ruinous to the Israeli economic health. The only response which Israel could take would be a full-on military assault and reconquest of all of Judea and Samaria. After such, and with the entirety of the Palestinian Authority leadership replaced, there would not existing any authority which would present even the slightest willingness for sane coexistence and there would be no avenue for peace or even an end to the violence outside of eradication of the resistance no matter the amount of force required.

This exact scenario may be what we are witnessing being unveiled before our eyes and if this proves valid, then there is serious trouble brewing which will force a resolution to the Palestinian statehood question. This may be what is behind the Palestinian Authority decision to utilize their alter ego, the PLO (Palestinian Liberation Organization) which was the originating group from which the Palestinian Authority was eventually formed with a side step creating Fatah as the political side of the PLO, and submit a petition requesting a binding resolution from the Security Council at the United Nations to enforce Israeli surrender of the entirety of Judea and Samaria, they will refer to this as the West Bank in their petition, by the end of this October or by no later than November 2016. This may be being sought as a last ditch attempt to regain control over the forces rioting and going so far as to shoot into Jewish neighborhoods. Just for clarification, there has yet to be return fire from the Jewish neighborhoods and if such should occur, then the escalations would lead into that unthinkable area, a place where Hamas may be currently pushing everything. The coup plan may not have been completely prevented by the arrests of the leadership and may be being carried out by Hamas interests right now. Such a situation if proving to be beyond Palestinian Authority abilities to control then the Israeli retaking and imposing martial law in all of Judea and Samaria might prove to be the only alternative. The currently escalating confrontations do not provide for a sustainable situation for Israel and security and order would need to be restored by whatever means are required. If subduing the violence is not something that the Palestinian Security Force, the force trained by the United States by Lieutenant General Keith Dayton, then Israel would have little choice but to suppress the violence using the might of the IDF to whatever levels proved necessary. After such a resolution, the two state solution will have been killed, it currently is on life support and pulling the plug and letting it die has begun to be considered a viable option, and the alternate plan would be proposed and presented as the only solution other than Israeli rule. That alternative is for all defense and security for the Palestinian areas to be provided by Israel while internal policing may be performed by an autonomous Palestinian entity in their areas in Judea and Samaria, probably limited to Areas A and B while Area C would remain Israeli as was the initial plan at the signing of the Oslo Accords in 1993, and the Palestinian could continue self-rule as they see fit but without arms on a level of a militarily viable force. This would be the best of all options should the Palestinians insist on imposing their own solution outside of negotiations and calling on outside forces to impose their demands on Israel. That would be tantamount to their declaring war, a war they could not win. This may be the end result should these escalations continue to their inevitable conclusion which would be Hamas gaining power over the entirety of the Palestinian semiautonomous areas both in Gaza as they have currently from which they attack Israel approximately every two years, and in Judea and Samaria where they could threaten much more of Israel with their rockets as from the Judean Hills their accuracy would be greatly improved and they could almost not miss as they would be launching into the most densely urban areas in all of Israel. As stated previously, such a situation would be taken as a declaration of war by whatever Palestinians were holding the positions of leadership, and such a war will only end one way.

Beyond the Cusp

October 5, 2014

The Lessons of Carthage, a Teaching Moment for Israel

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,Absolutism,Act of War,Administration,Advanced Weapions Systems,Air Strike,al-Qaeda in Gaza,Amalekites,Anti Missile System,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Appointment,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab World,Arabs,Armed Services,Armistice,Ballot Access,Blood Libel,Bombing,Cabinet,Carthage,Ceasefire,Civilization,Code Red Warning System,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Defend Israel,Domestic NGOs,Elections,Europe,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Fatah,Fatah Charter,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Gaza,Gaza Blockade,Government,Green Line,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Haniyeh of Hamas,Hannibal,Hate,History,IAF,IDF,IDF,Infiltration Tunnels,Inteligence Report,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Intifada,Iron Dome,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Interests,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jihad,Jihad,Khaled Mashaal,Kidnap Soldier,Legal Blockade,Mahmoud Abbas,Mainstream Media,Meaning of Peace,Media Bias,Media Censorship,Media Intimidation,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Military Intervention,Misreporting,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Muslims,Netanyahu,Numidia,Omission,One State Solution,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Legislative Committee,Palestinian Pressures,Peace Process,Pillar of Defense,Pillar of Smoke,Politics,Pre-Conditions,Prime Minister,Promised Land,Punic Wars,Quintus Maximus,Rafah Crossing,Ramallah,Recognize Israel,Register to Vote,Response to Terrorism,Rock Throwing,Rocket Attacks,Rome,San Remo Conference,Sderot,Secular Interests,Smuggling Tunnels,Support Israel,Terror,Terrorist Release,Threat of War,Two State Solution,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Validate Elections,Voting,West Bank,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:25 AM
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Any serious study of military history will include the Punic Wars and the lessons which should be taken from the entire series of events and their resultant outcomes and ramifications into the future. The first peculiarity of the Punic Wars is the fact that there were three wars between two of the greatest powers of their time and definitely the strongest forces around the Mediterranean Sea. The initial Punic War was fought as Rome attempted to settle islands in the Mediterranean Sea which were already part of the Carthaginian Empire which was largely based on trade with a strong emphasis on water based trade routes. This resulted in Carthage having a very powerful naval forces which was capable of placing superior numbers of ships with skillful and experienced crews against superior ships of Rome which were only defeated due to their lesser numbers and less experienced crews. Still the Romans managed to severely damage the Carthaginian naval power. Much of the First Punic War was fought in the waters of the Mediterranean Sea with negligible land based fighting except for the battles for control of Sicily which resulted in a Roman crushing land based victory. In the interim period between the first two wars, the Romans seized the opportunity of the troubles and violent conflicts within Cartage taking not only Sicily but also seizing Sardinia and Corsica.

The Second Punic War included the one item almost everyone remembers, the crossing of the Alps with elephants by the Carthaginian General Hannibal. Hannibal’s victories across the northern lands leading to Rome were brilliant victory after victory for his forces defeating the Roman legions. The cost of these battles and the loss of his elephants and almost all of his siege equipment meant that Hannibal was unable to execute the coup de grâce by taking Rome itself. The eventual defeat of Hannibal’s armies came when the Roman Commander Quintus Fabius Maximus utilized a strategy of engagement without fighting. He would position his forces as if preparing to engage Hannibal who would organize his forces and attempt to engage at which point Quintus Fabius Maximus would retreat with his legions into the countryside. The main actual engagement by Quintus Maximus forces were reserved to inhibit and prevent any scrounging by Hannibal’s skirmishers denying Hannibal of the necessities to feed and resupply his troops with necessities which eventually forced Hannibal to retreat. Also forcing Hannibal to retreat home was an offensive by Rome by sea placing troops in Africa threatening Hannibal’s capital and homelands which assisted in his decision to give up his conquest of Rome after fifteen years of mostly success against Roman forces but never quite being able to score that final knockout as the Romans continued to field legion after legion as they were able to replace lost troops seemingly without end. Before peace was finally agreed Hannibal had fallen in battle leading to a void in the leadership of Carthage and a power struggle which forced their suing for peace which Rome accepted also being weary of war and the necessity for tending the homelands and the demands of the people for peace and restoration of order and infrastructure.

Then we come to the Third Punic and final Punic War. This was the most unequal engagement as Carthage not only never recovered fully from the Second Punic War and had also faced skirmishes with Numidian raiders during the intermediate years. Rome, in keeping the peace, was assigned by treaty as the enforcer for resolving any conflicts and had been favoring Numidia over Carthage which alienated the people of Carthage. Rome also desired to avoid any potential for conflict in the future and when it became obvious that Carthage was again building military capabilities, Rome started making increasingly difficult demands under threat of war. The final demand was for the Carthaginians to destroy Carthage the city and move it inland and away from the coast ending their naval capabilities. This was the straw that broke the camel’s back and Carthage refused and Rome had their war to end all Carthage wars. Rome defeated Carthage after a three year siege of the city of Carthage before finally breaching the city walls. The reputed result according to some descriptions from poetic history described the ruins or the city of Carthage was there was no stone or brick left standing upon another and the lands surrounding the city for miles was salted and unable to be productive for the future. Needless to say, the destruction of Carthage was complete and Carthage remained silent through the rest of history and is a suburb of Tunis, Tunisia.

Israel could be said just fought the Third Gaza War against and answering to Hamas aggressions. The First Gaza War from December 27, 2008 to January 18, 2009 was also referred to as Operation Cast Lead in Israel and as the Gaza Massacre in the Arab world and by Hamas as the Battle of al-Furqan. The war was preceded by steadily increasing rocket fire into southern Israel reaching the major cities of Beersheba and Ashdod for the first time during the conflict. The war ended with an agreement partially arranged with outside assistance which included the United States. The Second Gaza War from November 14, 2012 to November 21, 2012 was called Operation Pillar of Defense (Pillar of Cloud is the literal translation) by Israel. The initial launch of the war was in response to the launch of over 100 rockets at Israel from within Gaza during a 24-hour period along with an ambush of an Israeli Jeep on the Israeli side of the Gaza fence. In both of these wars Israel was determined to have gained through military success and resulting from their military victory the Israelis gained a period of quiet from the rocket fire from within Gaza. The victory for Hamas was in media reports and propaganda war damaging Israel’s reputation across the globe. The main difference between the two sides is most stark when you understand what their respective goals are and what they are willing to sacrifice in order to attain those goals. Israel simply desires peace and quiet and an end to rockets launched into their civilian areas and attempts on infiltrations in order to murder and kidnap Israelis, either civilian or military personnel, with the kidnappings to be used to trade for the release of terrorists held in Israeli prisons with emphasis on the release of those whose crimes included the largest numbers of Israelis murdered, almost universally the Israeli casualties are civilians from these attacks which are almost never launched against the IDF. Hamas desires media coverage which paints Israel as monsters that kill indiscriminately and are willing to place as many Gazan civilians in compromised locations in order to maximize the numbers of Gazans injured and killed so that the media has pictures to transmit to the world and they complement these with press releases claiming Israelis target only civilians. The Hamas accusations ring hollow and are closer to projection of their acts onto the Israelis than it is valid and truthful but the media is largely glad to paint Israel in the worst light possible. Further, media in Gaza are subjected to censoring by Hamas minders and often threaten journalists who report damaging truths sometimes ejecting them and placing them on a ban lists never permitted to report from within Gaza in the future.

The recent conflict which actually could reignite at any moment as no peace has been signed and the two sides agreed ceasefire has recently been extended for an additional thirty days until the end of October in order that a peace can be negotiated, theoretically. The reason that such is highly unlikely is because the two sides have only been able to agree to meet towards the end of October and past performance has not indicated any great degree of agreement or cooperation between the two sides. Eventually an agreement will hopefully be reached and signed at a ceremony probably held on the East Lawn of the White House, with President Obama looming over the proceedings grinning like the Cheshire cat from Alice in Wonderland and Vice President Biden wandering around trying to decide where best to stand, while the two parties, who are to sign the agreement, taking positions as far apart as possible without appearing too obvious, eyeing each other warily wondering whether the signing can be pulled off before a disagreement or wrong move is misinterpreted and the entire signing blows up into a shouting match with both sides accusing the other of perfidy and subversion. In the present Hamas threatens repeatedly to return to firing rockets if Israel continues to refuse to meet their every demand, but at least they utilize differing intervals which makes it less predictable and removes any chance for overwhelming boredom. This also is why there are many who hold doubts as to whether the ceasefire can ever lead to an actual armistice or will we wake overly early one morning in the darkness to the sound of the Code Red sirens and the raining of rockets upon our cities renewed. We can ponder on our way to the shelters, as long as it does not interfere with our hopefully quick enough haste as we all have a varying amount of time but all of them measured in seconds, whether the resumption was something an Israeli leader or IDF commander made to the press or did Hamas’s leaders Mashal or Haniyeh just have indigestion during the night and really did not wish to suffer alone. Such a situation is just one more reason that the Israeli leadership, both the military and the politicians though it is difficult to know which should garner the majority of the blame, could and should have taken the lessons of the Punic Wars and the additional carnage, deaths, and destruction heaped on the Roman populace all because their politicians and military leaders were unwilling to take the reins and saddle up and finish what had been started once and for all as they eventually were forced to do after two additional, unnecessary and extremely destructive wars.

There was unity, well as close to unity as is possible in Israel, as over 80% of Israelis in most polls desired, many demanded, the retaking of Gaza and putting an end once and for all with Hamas and Islamic Jihad ending the raining of rockets and wars fought every two or three years. The military was tasked with drawing up sets of plans and their relative cost, projected losses, estimates of Gazan deaths, time frame for length of each scenario and whatever other particulars the Prime Minister and his inner cabinet (war cabinet) had requested or desired. The leadership of the IDF had whomever is tasked with such planning to give them their estimates and the other particulars and also a briefing on the overall strategies and conceivable ramifications likely including reactions by the United Nations, United States, European Union and the rest of the alphabet of NGOs, alliances, compacts and even individual countries and gave them a short time frame, as it is expected by the Command level officers that such plans and their respective costs and eventualities have all been worked out and hashed and rehashed a million times adjusting them to the most recent intelligence and thus all that was required was the summation briefing to be prepared. This all happened in relative quiet and without alarming the public and the briefing for the Prime Minister and his Inner Cabinet was held and everything was probably ignored as I doubt that Prime Minister Netanyahu ever actually desired or would permit the retaking of Gaza as such would cause him extreme discomfort wherever he would travel after Israel did such an, as the rest of the world believes, unthinkable act of cruelty, wretchedness and inhuman brutality. The exercise of having the IDF command work up the briefing was to be able to use that as a balm to soothe the anger and grating disbelief when the backlash came from a public that is sick to death of the repeated wars and the incessant rockets raining down in ever increasing numbers and over increasing range culminating in timeframes measured more in months than years in a crescendo of thousand rockets per week before the leadership finally releases the IDF to take the offensive and silence the rockets at least temporarily. The decision reached was that the cost in lives, equipment, world image, reputation, perception and treasure was too great to bear. The cost analysis considered by the Israeli leadership very probably did not do a cost comparison which included on the ledgers in favor of ending this revolving door of off and on wars the cost of the future wars which if the government continues to balk from responsibility and retake Gaza will continue endlessly at ever shorter intervals of calm and have costs of which eventually will come the cost we cannot bear, the end of Israel under a rain of rockets no amount of Iron Dome, David’s Sling, Arrow 1, 2, 3 or whatever and any other defensive systems. Sometimes the only real defense is a completed offense and if it makes Israel unpopular and denounced, at least we will remain alive which comes before what the idiots around the world think.

Hamas, Islamic Jihad et al refuse to take the responsibility for bringing devastation down on Gaza, making the lives of innocent Gazans horridly difficult. The only crime one can hold the Gazan civilians responsible for was electing Hamas to govern their lives. They may refuse any accusation that they knowingly elected a leadership which would bring these wars down upon them with all the destruction and misery they entail, but because they continue to allow the Hamas government to rule and have not taken any actions to demand new governance they have brought this upon themselves. Where that may sound cruel, it is not as cruel as the actions of the Gazans erupting with joy whenever Hamas realizes and murders Jews to feed the overarching and wanton desire of both Hamas and the rest of the terrorists as well as the majority of Gazans to murder Jews. For Hamas this desire goes further and aims at all of the Jews wherever they reside in their desire to eradicate them starting with Israel and then to continue on that path even if it costs the lives of every civilian who has not picked up a weapon and joined Hamas or Islamic Jihad. The responsibility is as Prime Minister Netanyahu has attempted to explain to a world which does not care to listen; it is the fault of Hamas and the rest of the rocket firing terrorist entities which control Gaza by threat of death. This was demonstrated perfectly and clearly after the first lengthy ceasefire was agreed upon when Hamas executed dozens of Gazans without any trial and without making or proving any charges simply claiming that these were Gazans guilty of not supporting Hamas by collaborating with Israel. Does anybody in the world, let alone in Gaza, honestly believe that the approximately dozen members from Fatah actually were guilty of collaborating with Israel? These were victims of Hamas chosen because they chose to side with Abbas and were no more guilty of whatever crime Hamas claimed than are the Hamas members who are arrested and at times executed in the West Bank in Ramallah by Abbas and Fatah which he commands. There can never be fair and open elections as long as the only candidates running must be vetted and approved by terrorist organizations which includes the West Bank as much as it does Gaza. The last elections which were held under international supervision had Hamas receiving the majority of the votes while Fatah, or the Palestinian Authority, coming in a distant second. This was part of the reasons for the eventual coup by Hamas taking control over Gaza from the Palestinian Authority after Mahmoud Abbas blocked election for the Chairman of the Palestinian Authority as he knew he would lose the election to Haniyeh and Hamas would take control and never relent and all future elections would result in larger Hamas victories. The same situation exists currently and simply because of the conflict Hamas brought down on Gaza. Where the destruction in Gaza should and would cost Hamas votes, Hamas controls Gaza and would control the vote counting, thus they win. In the West Bank Hamas is favored easily over Fatah as Hamas is now viewed as strong and Abbas as weak as he appeared to make statements which were seemingly controlled out of Washington DC and he appeared swayed by the United States and their pressures. This is partly true as his government depends on the billions of dollars they receive every year which originates in the United States though much of it takes circuitous routes to reach the Palestinian Authority while Hamas receives only indirect monies from the United States and will continue receiving these funds as they are actually diverted from UNRWA by Hamas. This is the unfortunate truth and we can expect that before any elections are held for the leadership of the Palestinian Authority either Hamas will be disallowed the right to have a candidate or Abbas will have retired to the French Riviera living comfortably on the billions he has stashed away and having a great view of the Mediterranean, something he has been denied seeing from his office in Ramallah. Just for truth in reporting, Haniyeh is a multi-millionaire and Mashal is a multi-billionaire; and who says terrorism doesn’t pay.

Beyond the Cusp

August 15, 2014

Israeli Allies Turn Cold Shoulder

Perhaps this may be all the fault of Israel for going way to easy and not accomplishing absolute and complete victory as speedily as the IDF capabilities allowed. By acquiescing to the European Union and especially British and United States demands that Israel accept and abide by every possible or even rumored ceasefire regardless of where such innuendoes may have originated have lost much advantage as it has turned out to be a fool’s game. By not single-mindedly proceeding directly to total victory completely vanquishing Hamas, Islamic Jihad and whatever other terrorist forces could be rooted out of Gaza thus removing the need for any permanent ceasefire and having to bend to pressures to compromise with the likes of Hamas and Islamic Jihad Israel finds herself being twisted and pressured with threats of refusal to rearm her in the future unless Israel stands down even should Hamas and friends resume launching rockets onto her civilian populations. The United States just intervened and placed a resupply of Hellfire Missiles on hold and instructed the Pentagon to gain approval from the State Department before providing any military armaments to Israel. Such a restriction would also go towards any military supplier of military armaments in the United States which makes any kind of military request from Israel now under the whims and auspices of the extremely unfriendly depths of the State Department. In many ways this is a direct reflection on what we covered in December of 2013 in an article titled Time for Israel to Diversify her Relations in the World when we suggested that Israel would be well served to pursue additional and alternative sources for weapons and other military supplies and provisions or prepare to produce them domestically. For years the vulnerability of depending almost exclusively on one providing nation allowed that nation to have far greater influence which was going to come back and bite Israel sooner rather than later. It is beginning to look like we have reached sooner. This inconvenience will not prove to be as great a threat as it appears but it is not standing alone, there is another threat.

The other shoe dropping came at about the same time as the bombshell dropped by President Obama out of Britain. The British have threatened to cancel at least a dozen military tenders for parts which are used to keep Israeli tanks, radars, aircraft and other military systems up and functioning to full capacity. Where the British were contracted for these parts and systems, there are alternative sources and, if push comes to shove, Israel could provide these items from internal suppliers with only a slight delay allowing for setting up production equipment, dyes, train people to assemble the systems and arrange to produce or purchase components. Usually some numbers of such component systems and subsystems are kept on hand as a basic stock deemed necessary for repairs and servicing equipment to meet the demands of the nation being in a full combat situation where the majority of military reservists have been activated. In Israel that means planning for a two or three front war against possibly as many as a half dozen armies. Fortunately that is not the current situation as the current threats are restricted to Gaza and there is hopefully little threat of this conflict spreading to other fronts. Still, one hopes that the Israeli leadership takes these threats to the defense capabilities and their readiness into consideration and takes the appropriate and necessary arrangements and preventive steps such that these threats never pose the level of endangerment in the future. The rest of the world needs to understand that these threats from Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the other terrorist and national actors which challenge Israel stem from the same sources as the threats faced by the United States, Europe and the rest of the Western world.

But this appears to be something beyond the capabilities for these nations to comprehend as they appear stuck on believing that the terrorists belonging to ISIS (or IS) are in no way allied with Hamas or that al-Qaeda is in no way associated with Islamic Jihad, despite the little recognized fact that there are al-Qaeda affiliated terrorists in Gaza as well as ISIS aligned terrorists in Gaza. Further, Turkey which supports Hamas also backs ISIS and the Muslim Brotherhood. Qatar supports al-Qaeda as well as Hamas. Iran provides technical expertise and other assets to Hamas and Islamic Jihad as well as Hezballah being a wholly owned subsidiary of Iran and they allow al-Qaeda to train in Iran and provide them with expertise as well. The webs of these terrorist groups crisscross and tangle with each other joining them together across numerous levels and connect them to similar state sponsors making them all be mutually sourced and supported therefore all being part of the same threats. Believing that these separate terrorist groups are completely unrelated and do not work together for the goal of the universal rule of Islam across the entirety of the globe would be to believe that the United States Army and the Marines do not cooperate in theaters of war. But this is a mute argument because the current Israeli Prime Minister was educated in the northeast of the United States and comes from a generation of Israelis who feel they owe the United States a great deal and must operate largely within the guidelines and limitations placed on them by Washington. The younger and up and coming leadership of Israel are not inhibited and crippled by this phobia and the influence from Washington has its use-by-date coming in the very near future.

What needs to be addressed between now and then is where Israel will look for her weapons systems such as fighter jets, firearms, air to ground missiles, ground to ground missiles, mortars, grenades, artillery rounds, tank rounds, bullets, ship to ship missiles and other armaments. The most advantageous route for Israel just might be to plan and manufacture everything within their domestic military providers. These companies have proven to be very capable as they have designed and produced the Merkava tanks, the Iron Dome anti-missile system, the Trophy anti-tank missile countermeasure system and many of the other hi-tech systems currently utilized by Israel. Israel has proven their abilities in system design with some of the most advanced drones and combat robots in the world today. There would be some required time as these new systems would be developed thus likely forcing Israel to remain reliant on her current providers in the immediate future, but unless you start somewhere and sometime, nothing will change. As is often said about positive changes, there is no better time than now.

In the meantime, what is Israel to do when she comes under threats from supposed allies by their forbidding their right to defend themselves and claiming they will be forced to stop providing any military equipment or subsystems should Israel respond to Hamas rockets launched onto their population centers? There were reports that Israel and Hamas were approaching an agreement midday yesterday and into the afternoon the word came from Qatar and the Hamas political leadership for the negotiators for Hamas to strengthen their demands and not only refuse any deal but to claim they are ready to push for more concessions. The news coverage soon provided the impetus which caused this refusal to reach a compromise when it became known the British had threatened Israel and the United States had cut Israel off from resupplies of armament. Hamas must feel like a boxer who was close to throwing in the towel when suddenly his opponent lost the use of his right arm and now smells a complete victory. Hamas may find that Israel still has one heck of a punch with her left arm. Hopefully the future will have Israel never again relying on scoundrels for those weapons necessary for her and her people’s safety.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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