Perhaps this may be all the fault of Israel for going way to easy and not accomplishing absolute and complete victory as speedily as the IDF capabilities allowed. By acquiescing to the European Union and especially British and United States demands that Israel accept and abide by every possible or even rumored ceasefire regardless of where such innuendoes may have originated have lost much advantage as it has turned out to be a fool’s game. By not single-mindedly proceeding directly to total victory completely vanquishing Hamas, Islamic Jihad and whatever other terrorist forces could be rooted out of Gaza thus removing the need for any permanent ceasefire and having to bend to pressures to compromise with the likes of Hamas and Islamic Jihad Israel finds herself being twisted and pressured with threats of refusal to rearm her in the future unless Israel stands down even should Hamas and friends resume launching rockets onto her civilian populations. The United States just intervened and placed a resupply of Hellfire Missiles on hold and instructed the Pentagon to gain approval from the State Department before providing any military armaments to Israel. Such a restriction would also go towards any military supplier of military armaments in the United States which makes any kind of military request from Israel now under the whims and auspices of the extremely unfriendly depths of the State Department. In many ways this is a direct reflection on what we covered in December of 2013 in an article titled Time for Israel to Diversify her Relations in the World when we suggested that Israel would be well served to pursue additional and alternative sources for weapons and other military supplies and provisions or prepare to produce them domestically. For years the vulnerability of depending almost exclusively on one providing nation allowed that nation to have far greater influence which was going to come back and bite Israel sooner rather than later. It is beginning to look like we have reached sooner. This inconvenience will not prove to be as great a threat as it appears but it is not standing alone, there is another threat.
The other shoe dropping came at about the same time as the bombshell dropped by President Obama out of Britain. The British have threatened to cancel at least a dozen military tenders for parts which are used to keep Israeli tanks, radars, aircraft and other military systems up and functioning to full capacity. Where the British were contracted for these parts and systems, there are alternative sources and, if push comes to shove, Israel could provide these items from internal suppliers with only a slight delay allowing for setting up production equipment, dyes, train people to assemble the systems and arrange to produce or purchase components. Usually some numbers of such component systems and subsystems are kept on hand as a basic stock deemed necessary for repairs and servicing equipment to meet the demands of the nation being in a full combat situation where the majority of military reservists have been activated. In Israel that means planning for a two or three front war against possibly as many as a half dozen armies. Fortunately that is not the current situation as the current threats are restricted to Gaza and there is hopefully little threat of this conflict spreading to other fronts. Still, one hopes that the Israeli leadership takes these threats to the defense capabilities and their readiness into consideration and takes the appropriate and necessary arrangements and preventive steps such that these threats never pose the level of endangerment in the future. The rest of the world needs to understand that these threats from Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the other terrorist and national actors which challenge Israel stem from the same sources as the threats faced by the United States, Europe and the rest of the Western world.
But this appears to be something beyond the capabilities for these nations to comprehend as they appear stuck on believing that the terrorists belonging to ISIS (or IS) are in no way allied with Hamas or that al-Qaeda is in no way associated with Islamic Jihad, despite the little recognized fact that there are al-Qaeda affiliated terrorists in Gaza as well as ISIS aligned terrorists in Gaza. Further, Turkey which supports Hamas also backs ISIS and the Muslim Brotherhood. Qatar supports al-Qaeda as well as Hamas. Iran provides technical expertise and other assets to Hamas and Islamic Jihad as well as Hezballah being a wholly owned subsidiary of Iran and they allow al-Qaeda to train in Iran and provide them with expertise as well. The webs of these terrorist groups crisscross and tangle with each other joining them together across numerous levels and connect them to similar state sponsors making them all be mutually sourced and supported therefore all being part of the same threats. Believing that these separate terrorist groups are completely unrelated and do not work together for the goal of the universal rule of Islam across the entirety of the globe would be to believe that the United States Army and the Marines do not cooperate in theaters of war. But this is a mute argument because the current Israeli Prime Minister was educated in the northeast of the United States and comes from a generation of Israelis who feel they owe the United States a great deal and must operate largely within the guidelines and limitations placed on them by Washington. The younger and up and coming leadership of Israel are not inhibited and crippled by this phobia and the influence from Washington has its use-by-date coming in the very near future.
What needs to be addressed between now and then is where Israel will look for her weapons systems such as fighter jets, firearms, air to ground missiles, ground to ground missiles, mortars, grenades, artillery rounds, tank rounds, bullets, ship to ship missiles and other armaments. The most advantageous route for Israel just might be to plan and manufacture everything within their domestic military providers. These companies have proven to be very capable as they have designed and produced the Merkava tanks, the Iron Dome anti-missile system, the Trophy anti-tank missile countermeasure system and many of the other hi-tech systems currently utilized by Israel. Israel has proven their abilities in system design with some of the most advanced drones and combat robots in the world today. There would be some required time as these new systems would be developed thus likely forcing Israel to remain reliant on her current providers in the immediate future, but unless you start somewhere and sometime, nothing will change. As is often said about positive changes, there is no better time than now.
In the meantime, what is Israel to do when she comes under threats from supposed allies by their forbidding their right to defend themselves and claiming they will be forced to stop providing any military equipment or subsystems should Israel respond to Hamas rockets launched onto their population centers? There were reports that Israel and Hamas were approaching an agreement midday yesterday and into the afternoon the word came from Qatar and the Hamas political leadership for the negotiators for Hamas to strengthen their demands and not only refuse any deal but to claim they are ready to push for more concessions. The news coverage soon provided the impetus which caused this refusal to reach a compromise when it became known the British had threatened Israel and the United States had cut Israel off from resupplies of armament. Hamas must feel like a boxer who was close to throwing in the towel when suddenly his opponent lost the use of his right arm and now smells a complete victory. Hamas may find that Israel still has one heck of a punch with her left arm. Hopefully the future will have Israel never again relying on scoundrels for those weapons necessary for her and her people’s safety.