The Real War Threat Over Israel

Ask almost any of the people who claim to know what is coming next and they will regale you with all the various scenarios of an Israeli attack on the Iranian nuclear sites and the ensuing regional war or other results. All the so-called professional know-it-alls are blinded against anything beyond Israel going rogue and without consulting anybody, including and especially the United States and any others who might possibly be on the receiving end of some of the repercussions and retaliations which Iran would likely pursue. All of their scenarios ignore anything outside of a laser focus on Iran which blinds them to the growing violence already quite advanced in day-to-day events in much of Israel.

They are ignoring the daily carjacking attempts which threaten to result in the death of any Israeli driving past where these gangs operate. They ignore daily assaults on motorists driving near many of the Palestinian neighborhoods on their daily routes where they may have rocks, some of very large size, raining down on their vehicle often resulting in broken glass in addition to sizeable dents. Some of these attacks have proven fatal but are usually dismissed as much as possible by the authorities who are loath to investigate. They miss the Arab attempts, often with the assistance of the Civil Administration, to take possession of land belonging to Jewish residents in Judea and Samaria. They miss attacks on crops and sometimes upon the homes and residents of the Jewish neighborhoods and farms in Judea and Samaria. The attacks and thefts which occur daily within the green line to Jewish farmers in central and northern Israel and the Bedouin attempts to take possession of lands in the Negev regardless of ownership. They ignore all the violence which has been growing at measurable and alarming rates within the areas under Israeli control.

They ignore the slow increase in the median level of rocket and mortar attacks originating in Gaza and lately also from the Sinai Peninsula. They ignore the increasing number of attempts to shoot or otherwise ambush IDF patrols along the Gaza and Lebanon borders. Even the beginning of the use of roadside bombs and IEDs which have been incorporated into the range of attacks against the IDF patrols are now a part of the Gaza attacks against IDF patrols. Then there has been the latest added front which some blame upon the failure of the Egyptian interim military government’s inability or total lack of desire for keeping order in the Sinai. When the lack of any law enforcement is coupled with the removal of any revenues from their usual means of guiding tourists and other related tourism incomes, the Sinai Bedouins have been driven to find alternate income which Hamas and al-Qaeda terrorists were more than happy to provide. Now the previously peaceable Bedouins who avoided any alignment with the violence or with strident Islam have now appeared to become radicalized and are taking full advantage of making a living supplying arms and other goods for the tunnels into Gaza and in assisting Hamas, al-Qaeda and other terrorists in their attacks on Israel and, as was evident last week, even Egyptian personnel. No matter which direction one cares to sample, violence from Islamic fronts has been radically increasing over the last decade with a definitive uptick in the rate of increase in the past couple of years. The rate has escalated even faster in the last six months and is approaching a tipping point which is actually ahead of the Iranian progress towards a nuclear weapon.

It is quite likely that the increased level of antagonism by terror outlets, especially those in Lebanon, Gaza, and the Sinai could very well be in part due to requests from the Iranians to act as a means of keeping Israel tied down protecting the home-front from the terror assaults and thus unable to also make an attack upon the Iranian nuclear facilities. This does not explain the increased violence being wrought inside and beyond the Green Line which are often controlled by the military arms of Fatah under Mahmoud Abbas leadership. Much of this can be directly tied to increased activity which is encouraged and often financed by leftist sources, many of which are from Europe with some even financed by European governments, the same European governments who are in the midst of financial meltdown yet still finding funds to finance attacks upon Jews and Israel. All of these varied fronts come together to form an effective assault upon Israel and are likely to force a response if the increased levels continue for much longer. This too may be part of the overall intent of the forces allied against Israel.

Some might ask for an explanation on why all the discussion and noise emanating from Israel concerning an attack on the Iranian nuclear sites. Well, first we need to identify the sources of much of the noise. Where Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister have made comments, most of which were either denial of any intent to attack Iran or simply stating that Israel is capable and ready to defend herself from any attack or threat, and have held from any commitment from committing to an attack or denying such. This is the obvious tact for any leader to take in order to not divulge any useable information to those oppositional forces. Secrecy itself is also a weapon of any political conflict and even war is, when viewed analytically, a political conflict of the highest order. Much of the rest of the noise about an Israeli unilateral attack on the Iranian nuclear facilities has come from other sources mostly decrying Netanyahu and Barak over their presumed desire to attack Iran, by themselves if necessary. Prime Minister Netanyahu could hold a primetime press conference and definitively declare that Israel has absolutely no intention of attacking Iran before the P5+1 negotiations have played out completely and a coalition of countries is assembled to make such an attack and you would see weeks of conjecture and hypothesizing on how soon and by what means Netanyahu’s announcement implied an imminent Israeli attack. And at the end of that time the liberal leftist press would pummel and castigate the Prime Minister and Defense Minister over having been endlessly making threatening noises about an imminent Iranian attack. The truth be told, the time to become apprehensive over the imminence of an Israeli action against the Iranian nuclear facilities will be when you hear absolutely nothing being discussed and no threats emanating from any front, then one would be wise to become nervous.

The most likely next actions necessitated for an Israel to respond are against the rising threats within their borders by the various terror fronts and leftist agitators. It is our hypothesis that the next Israeli military response to the growing terror threats and violence will be taken once the level of such reaches a level beyond the level which any sane and reasonable observer would be able to determine was acceptable. It will be triggered by a heinous assault or event and only the most virulent anti-Semites and anti-Zionists would be able to criticize the actions. This action will be one of totality and likely followed by Israel dissolving their cooperation with anything related to Oslo, the Roadmap, the Saudi Initiative or any other proposed coexistence with the Palestinians. Israel will very likely follow this action with the deportation of the leadership of the Palestinian Authority as well as any remaining terror commanders and planners and officially annex all of Samaria and Judea. The Israeli government will more than likely offer any Palestinians who wish to voluntarily relocate to another country some form of financial encouragement which will be offered for some limited, but likely generous, period after which anybody caught committing any act of terror will be deported permanently after they serve their time in prison. Once Israel has been pushed to the point that such actions become palatable and they decide they are willing to withstand the slings and arrows which will most assuredly assail them from every government; United Nations agency, department and bureau; NGO; political activist; editorialist; and other potential do-gooder on the planet, then action will be unavoidable. We can be assured that such an action will not be taken without a willingness to withstand any assault and with the assured knowledge that by taking such action their coalition will likely not withstand the coming meteoric storm. But honestly, is it not time that this charade of forming a non-functional country named Palestine simply for the purpose of the eventual destruction of Israel as the Jewish State gone beyond any pretense that it is for any real and true humanitarian principle. Really, if it had ever been honestly about a country for some people known as the “palastinians”, the peace would have been attained and the country formed back in 1948 when the original and most generous offer was proposed and refused in order to go to war to drive the nascent Jewish State into the Sea, and that failed as has every subsequent attempt and will every future attempt. The ruse should be ended once and for ever.

Beyond the Cusp

Iran Nuclear Crisis Pits Barak Against Barack

Things are once again reaching a critical point where Israeli policy vis-à-vis Iran’s nuclear program runs across the United States policy of pushing all things Iran to beyond the election in November. This little clash of opinions has always begun with Prime Minister Netanyahu commenting during a press conference, speech or other quotable public appearance where he is peppered with questions from the press and he tells those listening that the Iranian nuclear situation is approaching a dangerous level or that Israel is considering what steps may be necessary regarding the Iranian nuclear program or other similar concern. This has been followed within a week to ten days by a State Department higher-up or a senior Pentagon civilian and on two occasions real heavyweights were dispatched, once it was Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Martin E. Dempsey and the other it was Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

Now that Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak has warned on Wednesday that Jerusalem is “committed to doing everything it can in order to stop Iran from going nuclear.” And he added that he is “fully aware of the difficulties and complexities involved in preventing Iran from attaining nuclear weapons.” He referred to Israel facing “difficult and fateful decisions” weighing methods to stop Iran’s controversial uranium enrichment program. Defense Minister Barak purported that “having to deal with the challenge” of facing Iran possessing nuclear bombs “would be many times more complex, dangerous and costly, both in terms of human life and in terms of resources, than a preemptive strike. But a look at the facts leads us not only to avoid reconsidering our calculations, but to move on our intended path with greater confidence. The Iranians are determined to continue deceiving the entire world, in order to achieve nuclear weapons. Whoever wants proof just needs to look at the talks over the last few months, including the most recent talks in Moscow.” As he continued, Ehud Barak referred to “a unique challenge” that Iran poses to Israel.  He was speaking to the graduates of the IDF National Security College.

I have figured that there is a complete department within President Obama’s Administration which is assigned to monitoring all things Israel for any divergence from the desired path. This speech by the Israeli Defense Minister likely has set their hair on fire and they are currently running through the office areas within the White House screaming maniacally that “The end is nigh!” Well, they likely at the least sent a terse memo requesting likely two high level officials be dispatched immediately to set Israel straight and force them back in and toeing the line. I wonder who will be dispatched for the well-deserved reprimand that the Israeli leadership most definitively deserves for not heeding the warning laid down during a previous counseling that approval by President Obama was required before Israel would be permitted to deviate from American officially stated policies concerning Iran, well, at least until after the election in November. On the other side, what happens if President Obama simply cuts Israel loose? Can they be trusted with their own policies and defense without such sagely leadership? Perhaps we may see, but I doubt such will be allowed. It appears the mantra on foreign policies, especially concerning the necessarily evil choice between undesirable catastrophic alternatives posed by the Iranian pursuit of nuclear capabilities, is something like, “It’s the election, all the election, just the election, and only the election at all costs.” Perhaps the United States would move the election up to September; saving the American people the sound, fury, and distastefulness of two months of campaigning and possibly allow the threatened people in the world to addressing Iran before they turn nuclear. Hey, that sounds like a win-win all around.

Beyond the Cusp

Time for Ehud Barak to Go!

It is past time Mr. Prime Minister for you to send your dear friend on his way if he is unable or unwilling to fulfill the coalition position on Jews being bestowed with the necessary permits, allowances, and other legal requisites in order to keep their homes and even to purchase or build homes within Israel, all of Israel, both sides of the false border, the 1949 Armistice Line, the Green Line. If you are unwilling to dismiss Ehud Barak from the position of Defense Minister and also refuse to allow somebody else to be charged with handling these matters of ownership and residence for Jews in Judea and Samaria or anywhere else where Ehud Barak poses as the sole ruler of a fiefdom he intends to keep free from Jewish homes, then we must assume that you must agree with his obstructive actions. Is this the real problem that the leader of Likud is actually just another elitist who holds fast to the false belief that if Jews are just kept out of Judea and Samaria in order to gift the lands east of the Green Line for the Palestinian statehood and terror marshaling area. If that is the case, then perhaps it is time to choose a new leader before the next election. I would bet that the voters in the Likud primaries just held were under the impression that you supported Jews settling in Judea and Samaria. You say the words and put forth a pretense that you are fully behind the Likud Party position supporting those intrepid settlers who brave the perils in order to live in our ancestral lands, the heartland of the Israel of King David and King Solomon, the lands promised through Abraham through the ages to us today. Perhaps you have lost your faith and with it your Zionist mindset.

This latest kerfuffle is over whether fifteen Jewish families will be allowed to reside in the little apartment building they purchased legally right outside the Machpelah where Abraham already paid a premium price for the land and the cave itself. If Jews are forbidden by the government of Israel from living near the Cave of the Patriarchs in Hevron, then what gives Jews any right to Tel Aviv? Hevron was the first capital city under King David before he moved his seat to Jerusalem. Has the leadership of the Israeli government already decided to forfeit our Jewish heritage to the lands of Judea and Samaria and joined with those whose only real desire is the complete and total destruction of the Jewish State and then the Jewish People? If we are ever forced to choose between Jerusalem and Judea or Tel Aviv, may we have the presence of mind and faith to choose Judea and Jerusalem as they are the heart of our true ancestral home of Israel. The time is now to finally end this charade invented by the KGB known as the Palestinian people and their modern invention of a Palestinian homeland.

We need look no further back than to World War II and who served with the British in North Africa in what was named the Jerusalem Brigade. That was not the name of all Arab units; they were what were then called Palestinians, the Jews living within the Mandate Lands. When historical references are made to Palestinians living in the British Mandate or even under the Ottoman Empire, they were referencing the Jews living in the Levant. The Arabs were referred to as Syrian, Egyptian or by whatever country they had arrived from or just simply Arabs. They were not even referred to as Palestinian Arabs; Palestinian was solely used to describe the Jews living in the area. It is time to end this pretend farce and claim that which was our promised, no matter which treaty or conference you wish to refer. Be it the Balfour Declaration, the San Remo Conference, Article 22 of the League of Nations covenant drafted by Jan Smuts, the Council of Ten put it into Part I of the Treaty of Versailles; it became the Covenant or charter of the League of Nations; the cession of Ottoman sovereignty in the Article 95 of the Treaty of Sevres (as amended by the Treaty of Lausanne); and accepted as treaty by the United Nations in its Charter which denotes the full applicable intents of all agreements which had been made under the League of Nations would be transferred intact and accepted and enforced by the United Nations. Or we could simply ask anyone to explain exactly how it came to pass that Judea was to be considered as having nothing to do with the Jewish people and exactly where they believe the word Jew originated. But why should we ruin such worldly fun accusing the Jews of stealing Judea and Samaria from some country called Palestine. Exactly when did Israel take land from a country named Palestine anyways?

Beyond the Cusp