Beyond the Cusp

March 29, 2017

When Normalcy Takes a Holiday

 

Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Mahmoud Abbas on Monday called on Israel not to waste new opportunities for a peace agreement based on the “two-state solution”. Abbas’s comments came at a press conference in Brussels with European Union (EU) Foreign Policy Chief Federica Mogherini. “Our meeting today was important to discuss the latest developments in international efforts to find the best way to reach a just and comprehensive peace between us and the Israelis in light of the intention of the U.S. administration under President Trump to work for peace. There were many contacts and meetings, and we are continuing discussions for the success of the American and international efforts, and I have assured President Trump that we are ready for a peace deal,” said Abbas, according to the PA-based WAFA news agency.

 

Mahmoud Abbas does a few things and he does them very well. He can dress in a suit where every part is properly positioned and every tie knot tied perfectly, the tie clasp is perfectly positioned as are the buttons fastened properly for the two or three button suit. The creases in his pants are crisp and the coat and shirt perfectly aligned and centered as if positioned by an engineer. The man can dress for success. Another thing he can do extremely well is smile, even when a smile is completely out of place, he smiles perfectly as a good smile means you are in control, happy and nothing in your world is out of place and most of all, you can trust a man with a smile, well, unless the smile is completely out of place as when at the ceremony to mourn and honor those lost in the Charlie Hebdo and Hyper Cacher memorial march in Paris, France in January 2015. Everybody has an expected somber look as they honor and mourn those murdered in two horrific terror attacks and following shootout capturing two of the terrorists all of which stole twenty lives and wounded, many seriously, another nineteen individuals. Somber appearances were the norm of the day, well, except for the man who does not understand that Islamists murdering innocents and wounding a near equal number all in cold blood with them either at their job or shopping for food for the weekend is an evil event and not something the world is supposed to simply accept and expect as the price of being infidel.

 

The reality for Mahmoud Abbas is that he deals with Israel where the world has accepted the murder of Israelis daily by Muslim terrorists because they are merely Jews who should expect that they be murdered by anyone desiring to do so. That has been the truth throughout both Europe and the MENA states (Middle East and North Africa) because, after all, they are Jews whose definition is they are interlopers in other people’s lands and have been the target of every civilization for as long as anybody can remember and just because they were given their own nation, imagine that, a Jew nation, they still should expect that their situation could not have changed, they should continue to understand that nobody cares when they are murdered. But Abbas believes that what applied to the Jews in Israel or elsewhere should apply just as equally to French citizens who mocked Muhammad and those shopping in a Jew supermarket because they too are infidel making them justified targets. Abbas is so used to his terrorists being accepted in their actions when they murder Israelis, or as he sees all Israelis, Jews, because the world has decided that Jews, even in Israel, are simply Jews and thus can be murdered by whomever feels the urge and why should anybody care now just because this is in Israel instead of outside Champagne or Toledo or Stuttgart by Crusaders or Inquisitors or by the local Caliph in order to settle disruptions in his district as these were common practices for centuries, for as long as anybody was able to remember, why should now be different. He thinks Jew, Christian, whatever, all infidel and thus their lives are equal to the Jews he has always murdered with the world’s approval, or at least their looking away. Why should these twenty infidel be different and this is a parade and there are news cameras from the world over, this is the reason for Abbas for the gathering, to parade before the world’s media and cameras and this is the reason for one to smile as if all is well and happy. That is why Mahmoud Abbas looks like a harpy amongst normal people in the picture from that gathering to mourn the losses from the terror attack targeting Charlie Hebdo and Hyper Cacher shown below.

 

Mahmoud Abbas smirking while at remembrance rally for Charlie Hebdo in Paris after terror slaughter of a dozen writers and cartoonists for the satirical magazine.

Mahmoud Abbas smirking while at remembrance rally for Charlie Hebdo in Paris after terror slaughter of a dozen writers and cartoonists for the satirical magazine.

 

When it comes to Israel and terrorism where Israel is the target, the truth is that normalcy takes a holiday. The world takes their historic position that it is only Jewish lives and thus completely understandable. This is true across the Middle East, North Africa, Europe and surprisingly also Asia, Africa, South America, Central America, Oceana and even more and more of North America where the United States and Canada had been the exceptions to this rule, but that is changing and not for the better. The initial changes are appearing as is usually the case, in academia and on the college and university campuses. This is made evident with the Israel Apartheid Week demonstrations, anti-Israel demonstrations, anti-Zionist speakers, and all kinds of attacks which start against Israel and then slowly have started to include Jews who are not sufficiently hostile against Israel, the Jewish State. If you find yourself saying the normative, “So what? They should oppose those crazy Zionists just like all good-thinking, progressive, liberal leftists,” then you have joined the silent anti-Semites, most of whom do not believe hating Israel and expecting Jews to join in that hate makes them anti-Semites. Well, here is the truth which you may not have stopped to reason through. Denying that the Jewish State should exist and only the Jewish State must meet overt demands and place itself in mortal danger and nowhere else, then you are an anti-Semite. Would you challenge an Indian student from Mumbai to protest against India’s war with Pakistan over who gets to control Kashmir? How about a Spanish student from Colorado, do they have to protest against Spain over the oppression of the Basque? Would you demand a Chinese student to protest China’s illegal conquest and occupation of Tibet? How about a Russian student because Russia occupies parts of Georgia; a Canadian for Canada’s oppression of the Inuit; a Turk for Turkey’s oppression of the Kurds; an Iranian for their oppression of the Kurds; an Iraqi for their oppression of the Kurds; a British subject for the British for their broken promises to the Jews, Kurds, Irish and countless others throughout their history of conquest and colonialism as well as the French, Spanish, Zulu, Mongols, Chinese, and Arabs for their conquests and colonialisms. If the initial concerns over Israeli evils seemed normative and all of these others simply brought forth more of a giggle than serious self-criticism, then you may be an irretrievable anti-Semite. Meanwhile, how about we take another look at Abbas when a camera occupies a near proximity, in the picture below.

 

Mahmoud Abbas as Almost Always Pictured

Mahmoud Abbas as Almost Always Pictured

 

There was more that Mahmoud Abbas had to say before his meetings with European Union Foreign Policy Chief Federica Mogherini and United States President Trump with Administration Officials and Abbas also will bring along his entourage of fellow advocates. His further encouraging comments to the media included, “There were many contacts and meetings, and we are continuing discussions for the success of the American and international efforts, and I have assured President Trump that we are ready for a peace deal. We are committed to a just, comprehensive and permanent peace with our Israeli neighbors based on international and United Nations resolutions and the Arab Peace Initiative that would end the Israeli occupation of the territory of the State of Palestine occupied since 1967 with East Jerusalem as its capital, which we want to keep as an open city for the followers of the three monotheistic religions (Jordan made the same promise in exactly the same words right before closing the entirety of the Old City of Jerusalem to all religions other than Islam and proceeded to destroy every synagogue and every Jewish cemetery within the areas of Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria they controlled).” Abbas continued speaking out against Israeli construction in Judea and Samaria with the warning that “continuation of settlement activities and expropriation of Palestinian land will lead to the one-state situation with an apartheid system.” But what does all this oft repeated gobbled-goop really mean in plain, easy to understand language, the kind of language that advocates of such terms deny because once the truth of their positions are known, they lose supporters because the truth comes out and their real intended end results become evident.

 

As we pointed out above, Jordan also made the promise that they would, we quote, “East Jerusalem as its capital, which we want to keep as an open city for the followers of the three monotheistic religions.” This is a bald faced deceit as they have no intention of doing so. Just as Jordan stated this claiming, honestly, that the Quran demands that they treat the other two Abrahamic religions with respect and would honor their traditional relation and requirements to their holy sites in Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria. What the Palestinians mean, just as the Jordanians before them, is that every last religious holy site of the other two Abrahamic religions, Judaism and Christianity, are actually Islamic holy sites and will be named as such. Just as Mahmoud Abbas has sworn to protect their holy sites on the Temple Mount (known to Muslims as the Haram esh-Sharif or in Arabic it is الحرم الشريف‎‎) from the Jews listing the Dome of the Rock, the al-Aqsa Mosque and the Church of the Holy Sepulchre as all as being Islamic holy sites. The video below depicts exactly how Mahmoud Abbas plans on permitting Jews to ever visit the Temple Mount and with his claim of the reason for the Christians to visit as being claimed by Islam, Church of the Holy Sepulchre, which should whisper loudly exactly the view and lack of respect that Abbas and his fellow Palestinians have for other religions and people.

 

 

Another video from this timeframe depicts the story of what was actually occurring and was behind the violence and led to these claims by Abbas which were actually a bravo and carry on as we love you and you will be rewarded by Allah, the Islamic deity. The following video also gives further evidence of the wonderful Israeli peace partner which the world claims would not have snow melt in his mouth. Of course they deny that he ever speaks with flames stoking violence using that same mouth as that would make a mockery of the “peace process” and the blame Israel and always Israel meme. Another thing you might want to notice, Mahmoud Abbas does not smile anywhere near as he does when meeting with Western leaders or standing before their cameras, but talking to his people he is expressive and in a completely different manner than most are used to seeing when there are news reports in America, Canada, Europe or virtually anywhere outside his own people. This is a sign to the Palestinian people, when he is smiling he is speaking lies while when he is speaking truthfully, his emotions show through. It is very easy to understand, smiling equals with telling lies while changing expressions usually means speaking the truth. Here is the news report from what many will tell you is a biased news service, the Christian Broadcast Network (CBN). Perhaps that is considered to be biased because they speak truths nobody wants to admit, you decide.

 

 

Let’s take a look at another person who you might initially not believe would support Israel. The following is about a Canadian human rights activist born in Samaria and raised in Saudi Arabia. Sandra Solomon has received death threats for her work against the spread of radical Islam in Canada and her pro-Israel message. “I am Palestinian, but I stand with Israel,” Solomon said at the counter-demonstration. “We are the Arabs. We occupy the land of the Jews. This (is) Jewish land. It’s going to be there for ever and ever. I used to be a Muslim. They taught me to hate Israel and the Jewish people. There is no Palestine. It’s a lie. They are using Palestine just to kill the Jewish people. Just to hate the Jews. They teach me to ‘purify al-Aqsa mosque from the filthy Jews’. Palestinians are liars.”

 

How about some of what a Bedouin raised in the village of Kabiya, named after his family. His name is Muhammad Kabiya, the last name not much of a surprise, but he is a recently demobilized IDF soldier and has decided to join the fight on behalf of Israel and to do so outside of Israel starting in the United States and Canada. With any fortune, he will have sufficient success and feel a sense of accomplishment and continue on to the more difficult challenge of Europe, we would love to find that Europe is not a lost cause. He had the following to say to Israel Channel 10, “People don’t know anything about what goes on here. I’m defending the image of the state that they are trying to destroy. When I arrived for an address, ‘Israel Apartheid Week’ had just started. I confronted Jewish students who claimed that Zionism is racism. I told them that they should be embarrassed. I, Muhammad, an Israeli-Arab, was the one who needed to go out and confront anti-Israel Jews. It drove them nuts.”
“On the first day (of the speaking tour) a Jewish student gave me a flyer for an address which claimed ‘Zionism is racism’,” said Kabiya. “I told him ‘you should be ashamed of yourself’, you don’t need to be working with groups whose goal is to spread hatred and lies against the State of Israel, against your state, the state of the Jews – and I’m telling you that as an Israeli Arab.”

 

Bedouin soldier turned Israel advocate Muhammad Kabiya (Courtesy of Muhammad Kabiya and Arutz Sheva)

Bedouin soldier turned Israel advocate Muhammad Kabiya
(Courtesy of Muhammad Kabiya and Arutz Sheva)

 

There is more Muhammad Kabiya had to say which can be read here, along with the entirety from Sandra Solomon, our Canadian human rights activist born in Samaria and raised in Saudi Arabia. More information on Sandra Solomon and her efforts can be read here. This tells of her efforts during the recent AIPAC Convention in Washington D.C. recently.

 

Probably the most important things one need remember from this article are the people who defend Israel will sometimes amaze you. In this article alone we have an Arab Bedouin who resides in Israel in his family’s hometown, a hometown named after his family itself and a community which fought with the Israelis during the 1948 war where the surrounding six Arab nations, including a division of Bedouins as part of the Jordanian Army, invaded with the intent of slaughtering every single Jew, and his family history includes a dedication to the State of Israel which would be extremely admirable of any family in Israel. We also had a former Muslim who was born in Samaria and raised in Saudi Arabia who as a Palestinian admits that there is no such entity as a Palestinian and that the claimed existence that there once was a Palestinian nation is a lie and is used in order to murder Jews and deny Israeli existence. The one other item to remember is that Mahmoud Abbas smiles when he lies and actually shows a variety of emotions when speaking truthfully to his people. Abbas adds to the incitement and advocates violence against Israelis, Jews in particular. Further, try and remember that picture of Abbas from the beginning of the memorial procession for Charlie Hebdo and Hyper Cacher in Paris, France and how he muscled himself to the front despite not being granted such a place such that he would be right in front of the cameras. He targeted and attained a relatively central location and despite being amongst a sea of somber faces on people seriously considering the reason they had gathered while Mahmoud Abbas had a completely separate reason for his attendance which had absolutely nothing to do with honoring the deceased people from two heinous terror attacks, he was there to show he is an upbeat and amiable person who one can trust and like and that he should be accepted as an honest and decent person. This is what a smile would normally mean; here is an honest and friendly person. In this instance, that harpy-like smirk, that leering grin is completely wrong and insulting to the people whose lives were snuffed-out by Islamist terror violence and another nineteen seriously injured stating that my image and need to be seen smiling no matter the reality around me is the most important thing in the world. I must be seen smiling in front of Western cameras trumps the memory of those murdered violently and is more important that the recovery of the near twenty people hospitalized, some bordering on death and one who did succumb in the next couple of days, but Abbas smiles on as there are cameras recording him, Western cameras.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 28, 2017

What Went Wrong with Trump Healthcare?

 

Trump Ryan combination could not pass Trumpcare to replace Obamacare, and America should be glad, that is if the claims we hear are true. We heard from so many that they wanted Obamacare repealed and their old insurance back, well, with a few niceties left over. They still wanted their kids to be able to remain on their parent’s plans till age twenty-six because college takes half a lifetime you know. They liked that existing conditions should not have to be penalized with higher premiums. Oh, yea, the people receiving high subsidies; got to keep them. So what exactly was it they did not want from Obamacare again? Oh yes, the people who had lost their doctors and their insurance plan or had their hours reduced at work or were simply fired or owned a small business and were afraid to expand past forty-nine employees. So the problem is the same old problem with all Democrat buy vote plans when they replace something that worked with something which really didn’t work but could be patched, smeared, slid along, tweaked, twirled a few times, rewrapped and it would eventually fail tragically and then like the Phoenix some new plan would rise from the ashes to replace it and the entire cycle restarts. That has been the way and the reborn is usually called an overhaul even though much of the new plan appears very similar to the old plan with the debt just tossed aside and we pretend that there had been no problem. So we stand where we always stand, where we have stood on education since the birth of the department of Education, on crime since the War on Crime, on drugs since the War on Drugs, on immigration since the promise to enforce immigration laws in the 1980’s, on you name the federal program since it replaced the church, charity, public institutions, the family, the private sector, or simply replaced people being people and had the government become our teacher, our best friend, our employment guarantee, our minimal income provider (welfare and related programs), our retirement planner, our security blanket, our fair housing guarantor, our fair everything guarantor, our everything over the last three or four generations as government has swallowed responsibility for darn near everything and that they have not they regulate to death.

 

It turns out with Obamacare the same two forces are tugging and we all know which one will win. The forces are those whose lives have been made easy with free stuff against those who know there is no such thing as free stuff because they have to pay for those other people’s free stuff. The people getting the free stuff have more time to make noise while those paying for the free stuff have two or three jobs to pay for the free stuff and no time to make noise or any energy with which to do so. Further, the people paying are seldom around or have the time to take those calls asking their opinion while those getting the free stuff have all the time in the world. End result is the polls show that the people want the free stuff. There really is only one simple answer to the entire situation, a complete and total reset. By that we mean that we take the Constitution and the Bill of Rights and only very delicately tweak things such that we include the additional succession adjustments, the incapacity of a President Amendment, term limits on everything except judges, include the demand that each piece of legislation must include every aspect and enforcement and all the particulars and there can never be anything outside of what the legislation states added or altered by any bureaucrat, administrator, judge or other official without there being legislation stating exactly what is to be altered, added or subtracted passed by Congress and signed by the President. There should be an agreed upon maximum tax rate. And the biggest change is that the government must be precluded from performing any charity, setting a guarantee of minimal income or wages, providing insurance of any nature especially unemployment, any service which can be served by the private sector must be forbidden to government, and the people must be permitted to challenge any legislation passed by Congress and signed into law by the President for a period of ten years through a recall by collecting some reasonable number of signatures not to exceed one-half-of-one-percent of the national population. There are likely a great number of other items which people would like to see incorporated into such a new Constitution and Bill of Rights and as long as they do not diminish any of the rights laid out in the original Constitution and Bill of Rights as taken in their most general and originalist interpretation, then they should be voted upon by the people and those accepted incorporated. The only other modifier would be that these suggestions would need be one of two types, guarantors of rights to the people and the individual states as incorporated by the Tenth Amendment or be a limit on the government starting at the federal level and even including the state and local level if desired also as per the spirit of the Tenth Amendments empowerment of the people themselves. Until something such as this occurs expect more demonstrations and suffocating government laws and regulations, especially regulations.

 

One thing which we found most threatening by the Obama Administration was their positions called Czars who were nothing more than a shadow government replacing the actual power of the Cabinet Secretaries by people who were never vetted by the Senate as they were never required to be confirmed by the Senate as other appointees are required. This permitted a government level within the administration which was unanswerable to the elected representatives of the people which was a way around the confirmation system and placed Obama appointees who were beyond reproach. One such position had no equivalent Cabinet position, the Regulatory Czar Cass Sunstein whose position defined his position as reviewing all previous legislations, laws and even regulations to see whether additional regulations could be derived from these items which had not previously been conceived of and were in line with the desires and goals of the administration. There was no record kept on the numbers of new regulations generated by his position but he remained in this czarist fiefdom for close to the first four years that President Obama was in office. We guess he left when he had run out of things to review and felt that X many thousands of additional regulations should be sufficient to muck up the works of anything anybody in the private sector desired attempting to do without first greasing the wheels of governance. Many estimates place the number of added regulations over the past decade to exceed half of a million pages of new regulations on the books. We do know that the deficit spending through 2010 with 2011 projected in the graph below proves that government is broken and very probably unsalvageable. Without a massive cutting of the size, scope, width, breadth, depth, reach and overall weight of the gargantuan, all-encompassing and devouring behemoth which now threatens the health and welfare of the nation which we call the federal government, the United States will drown in its own swill of regulations, taxes and overreaching programs. This is the sad truth and many know this and still insist on continuing with the same mindset claiming they can spend their way out of this morass.

 

Deficit Spending Through 1980 - 2010 (with 2011 CBO estimate)

Deficit Spending Through 1980 – 2010 (with 2011 CBO estimate)

 

That is what was wrong with the Trumpcare and Ryan should have realized that and worked to do the right thing. The solution to Obamacare is to hunt down every last single shred of that monstrosity whether it was part of the original legislation or passed as a set-up piece hidden in a defense spending bill, and omnibus bill or an extending government operations bill and nix every last letter and punctuation from the record and then hunt down every single regulation written to enact every scintilla and erase them with equal fervor. The only true solution to the Obamacare nightmare would be to remove it all and if that means that some pieces of other healthcare existing strategies and programs will be cut back, good. Then allow churches and clubs to offer group plans which would spread their care over those who need coverage but cannot find affordable programs and these systems can get group rates which will bring costs down for those in need. Allow charities to pay for healthcare for the people needful of such assistance and do something horrific, require those who are able-bodied to get work and pay their own healthcare. Please pass tort reform, good luck as congress is chocked full of lawyers. Pass limits on malpractice rewards lowering malpractice insurance costs and allow hospitals and health maintenance groups to get group plans for their physicians’ malpractice bringing those costs down. By promoting group insurance for all forms and across state line coverages the prices will become more competitive. There could even be plans made where people residing in a community to purchase healthcare as a group which would offer another means for lower price coverage. Health savings plans should be encouraged and even allow one support from government that money put into a health savings accounts to be tax free along with the interest earned and once an account reaches the set amount, it can then serve as their insurance plan as long as they continue to contribute a minimal amount monthly so that as costs rise with inflation they remain covered sufficiently well plus as they age they will accrue more coverage as it will be necessary. There are ways through private sector to cover almost everybody and almost all who desire coverage, and for those who require care and do not have insurance, there should be a means for loans for such coverage from financial institutions willing to take such ventures under their programs offered similar to vehicle loans and charities for tragic cases as per their discretion. Americans are a people known and renowned for their generosity and are perhaps one of the most giving nations on the planet (we think possibly with an exception except that the exception gives in such ways as cannot be measured as there is no record as much of the charity is through religious institutions where no records as from where their donations came or even how they were dispensed as they were given in quantities and to recipients both of which remain unrecorded for the benefit of all involved and the dignity of the less fortunate. Were the United States to return much of the care for those in need to their religious institutions and charities they might find that would prove to be a superior system and the people who could afford to help would and those who chose not to help would be allowed their greed, in the end it would not matter. Life is funny that way.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 27, 2017

What Happens When the World is Warned and Ignores the Warning

 

Well, the United Nations has been informed and their response was a simple, “Ho Hum” and they went on as if nobody had spoken. They claim that the people have not said anything and query, “Would not the people protest such things?” But why would people make any complaint over their own nation having the military place their weapons in their towns as they would be told this was for their protection. But who is protecting what? Are these weapons of war to protect the people of the town or are the people protecting the weapons from attack? This depends on who you ask and their perspective of the entire matter. Those whose weapons are spread amongst the towns and even in homes will claim that the safety of the people and the weapons are all one and the same. They will tell the world that this is necessary because their enemy is likely to attack at any time with no warning and that this at least allows some of the weapons to survive to defend the people. The enemy is one of the most vicious and heinous of enemies in the entire area after all they have been condemned by the United Nations so many times as to be near countless. Their perfidy has been established by the United Nations Human Rights Council at virtually every meeting even requiring special sessions just to address their acts against people across the entire region. Almost every country across much of the nations included in the MENA alliance (Middle East and North Africa) repeatedly bring complaints against Israel to such an extent that they include almost all measures taken for the nation’s defenses. Anyway, the people have volunteered as they are patriotic and know what the risks are and are willing to assist their national military in this attempt to protect the nation as they see this as their patriotic duty. Additionally, they realize that the military will also be in their location which will only serve to make their towns and villages even safer.

 

There are a few things which should probably be added to clarify this picture. The evil entity which requires all this using of civilian homes and locating weapons stores, rocket launchers and the rockets themselves in and around towns and villages is, in case you did not guess, Israel. The claim is being made by the Lebanese Army. The Lebanese Army has another name with which you are likely more familiar with, Hezballah. Recently the Lebanese government, which is heavily influenced if not controlled by Hezballah, merged their military with the forces of Hezballah, a merger where it is difficult to know which one was more heavily armed. The main difference for Hezballah is they will gain some American weaponry and weapon systems. These weapons and weapon systems include, but are not limited to, M-4 assault rifles, M-16 assault rifles, Barrett M82 50 cal. sniper rifle, M-24 7.62 mm, sniper rifle, M249 squad automatic weapon (SAW), M-60 30 cal. machine gun, M-2 (Ma Deuce) 50 cal. machine gun, M-203 grenade launcher, M-72 LAW (light antitank weapon), M-141 bunker defeat munition (BDM), M-40 105mm recoilless rifle, MK-19 40 mm grenade launcher, and BGM-71 TOW (“Tube-launched, Optically tracked, Wire-guided antitank weapon). These are the firearms, but wait, there’s more. Wait for it, because here are the vehicles they have provided care of the United States. Starting with the tanks they have M60 Patton main battle tank, M48 Patton main battle tank, M1 Abrams main battle tank, Humvees, M113 armored personnel carrier, AIFV-B-C25 Armored Infantry Fighting Vehicle, M109 self-propelled 155mm howitzer, M198 self-propelled 155mm howitzer, M114 155 mm howitzer, M101 and M102 105 mm howitzer plus jeeps and other various military vehicles.

 

The one item which simply screams at you is the M1A1 Abrams main battle tanks which were recently delivered a mere two years ago. The Obama Administration and military personnel, including the Joint Chiefs of Staff, made a direct query of the Lebanese government as to whether their military was also under or cooperating with the Hezballah terrorist group. From the best we have been able to determine, the question was very likely phrased something like this, “Our friends, the Lebanese government, could you tell us that your military is not aligned in any way and is completely separate from the Hezballah terror group as if it is we could not in good conscience provide you with the A1M1 Abrams main battle tanks.” And somehow the Lebanese government provided the expected guarantees that their military was not aligned in any way and is completely separate from the Hezballah terror group. What a surprise. Who would have ever predicted such an answer? We are surprised as we thought that it was known and understood by even the most casual of observers that Hezballah now ruled Lebanon and had complete control and full access to all military and other such equipment owned or operated by the Lebanese government. We had been under the idea that Hezballah had a majority coalition in the government and had placed their personnel alongside the generals and other command officers within the Lebanese military and that the two had full operational cooperation in all means and measures since immediately after the 2006 Second Lebanon War with Israel as Hezballah realized they required similar weapons systems to the Israelis, particularly when it came to armored fighting vehicles such as main battle tanks, armored personnel carriers, wheeled fighting vehicles and mobile artillery. As Hezballah is not about to be capable of buying such weaponry on the open market because even should some government feel inclined to sell Hezballah such weapons to use against Israel or Islamic State, doing so would place them in a position where they would be considered a pariah amongst nations due to selling weaponry, especially weapons of war, to a known and universally recognized terrorist group.

 

This brings us down to the specific problems. Imagine if Israel were placing their weapons of war inside its towns, cities or villages; placing artillery pieces, rockets and/or missiles as well as their launchers within built up civilian areas and even within people’s homes. Other than the United Nations and the European Union and their member states denouncing Israel, there would be calls universally for weapons embargoes and possibly general trade embargoes and Israel would be excised from the community of nations. But when Israel pointed out to the world that the villages and towns across Lebanon were being utilized by Hezballah to locate their rockets and missiles, their launchers, entrances to their tunnel and bunker systems (which keep their fighters safe but are forbidden to the Lebanese people even including those whose houses hide their entrances), MLRV’s (multiple launch rocket vehicle), fighting and ambush positions, and weapons and ammunitions caches. Hezbollah reportedly has gone so far as to offer reduced-priced-housing to Shiite families who allowed the terrorist group to store rocket launchers in their homes. The Israelis even declassified one of their military maps which had been researched through intelligence and surveillance drones allowing for an accurate and precise location and classification of each location (see map below). Our map only displays the weapons distribution in the Nabatieh region of Lebanon which can be used as a representation of the remainder of Lebanon. This area is also including part of the Bekaa Valley, a Hezballah stronghold, but the entirety of the areas south of the Litani River, which was presumably prevented from Hezballah returning and building up their provisions, weapons stores, rocket and missile launchers and their bunker and tunnel systems by the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) which was presumably doubled in size in order to enforce such a return by Hezballah, has now been transformed into an area bristling with offensive weaponry and underground facilities. Their failure was complete enough that one might even suspect they assisted in Hezballah’s efforts in rearming the areas south of the Litani River (see lower map). These was the same identical region from which Hezballah launched their murder and kidnapping raid on an Israeli squad patrolling the border killing eight Israeli soldiers and taking three captive, who they later simply executed.

 

Declassified Map of Hezballah’s Military Infrastructure in Lebanon

Declassified Map of Hezballah’s Military Infrastructure in Lebanon

 

Southern Lebanon South of Litani River to the Israel Border

Southern Lebanon South of Litani River to the Israel Border

 

The reality is that Nasrallah has been threatening Israel rattling sabers and dealing threats. His big threat is that he promises to destroy the huge ammonia storage tank in Haifa, and a nuclear reactor in Dimona. His threats are directly aimed to emphasize high casualty events and declaring the improved accuracy of the Iranian provided missiles which also have far greater range and accuracy than those Hezballah possessed in the 2006 war. He has also expressed that targeting Eilat is within their capabilities which is the southernmost tip of Israel and the furthest from Lebanon. Nasrallah has also warned that when he strikes Israel that it will be due to the Israeli strikes on Hezballah soldiers and innocents in Syria. What he has left out is that the Israeli strikes have been targeting advanced weapons being smuggled into Lebanon which are absolute game changers such as advanced anti-aircraft batteries and heavy weapons. These are legal attacks as Hezballah is a recognized and universally declared terrorist group. Nasrallah is now claiming that these attacks are on Lebanese military stores using the fact that Hezballah has taken control of the Lebanese military absorbing their armaments and the majority of their troops which already consisted of a fairly high overlapping of personnel. The world will soon realize that there is no longer an independent nation of Lebanon but that it has become a simple cover story for Hezballah. The world will likely continue to turn a blind eye to the reality in Lebanon for as long as possible as to do otherwise would create a situation where all travel and trade with Lebanon would become problematic, and the world has sufficient problems and is not seeking another. As far as Europe, the United Nations and likely just about everybody else, the situation in Lebanon will be treated as a purely Israeli problem. The world really does not desire to accept another Syria. What is really sad is that Syria is much of the reason that Hezballah has taken such complete control over Lebanon as Iran simply desired that Lebanon become the final peg in their Shiite Crescent from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean Sea which includes Iran, much of Iraq, Lebanon and they are working on cementing Syria once they retake Syria from Islamic State and the rest of the rebels (see map below). Iran has been working to establish this slash across the Middle East providing them with an opening on the Mediterranean Sea allowing them to become a major player in the Muslim world and as their initial play to bring Shiite Islam into the mainstream and end it being simply the little sideshow playing second fiddle to Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the Sunni world. This is why the war in Syria is so important to the Iranians, but a war solely in Syria is becoming hard to sell both for Iran and Hezballah at home.

 

Iranian Crescent Resulting from an Iranian Surge Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad Connecting Iran to Mediterranean via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon

Iranian Crescent Resulting from an Iranian Surge
Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad Connecting
Iran to Mediterranean via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon

 

There is a solution to the Syria dilemma, and that solution unfortunately is Israel. If Iran can sell the war in Syria as their next front against Israel, their people would be more willing to accept the losses being taken by Iranian soldiers from the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) fighting in Syria. They could sell such as further support for Hezballah against Israel claiming that Hezballah also sees the advantage to having another front against Israel through the Golan Heights if they can gain control of Syria. Hezballah has all but completely taken control of Lebanon and one last war with Israel and they can use such to finish their takeover and totally divorce the Christians and other opponents from the public domain. Those who have attempted to rescue Lebanon from Hezballah and keep them from taking complete control have been fighting a slowly losing battle. Lebanon is but a slip and a fall from falling into the graveyard of failed terror controlled states across the MENA expanse. Already there are Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Libya, Sudan, South Sudan and Iraq with some even including Afghanistan which is falling inch by inch to the Taliban. Even Iran could be considered to be a nation controlled by a terrorist group commanded by the Mullahs and enforced by the IRGC and religious police. The Middle East is facing the danger of falling to any of a number of terrorist entities including but not limited to the Muslim Brotherhood, Islamic State, Hezballah, Taliban, Iran as the IRGC, and other groups such as Boko Harem and smaller groups from Sudan, Somalia and throughout lower Sahara states including Nigeria, Kenya, Niger, Chad and others in what has been called the African Transition Zone (see map below). This is an area currently under threat by Islamist terrorists and considered to now becoming more and more unstable. These are the areas where in the future we will see new failed states in the future. This is an area of the world which, were the West not under threat itself, it would be receiving greater attention but with the world currently so unstable, these nations are going to be left on their own for the immediate future.

 

African Transition Zone

African Transition Zone

 

The greatest threat looking at the world in the near term future is the area surrounding Syria. Within this area is Lebanon which will soon be lost to the Hezballah terrorists who all but control the area and should there be yet another war started by Hezballah with Israel, part of their reasoning will be that any opposition to their complete control will be more easily destroyed while the world is ignoring their war with Israel and thus not looking at what is happening inside Lebanon beyond what Israel is doing that they can condemn. The United Nations and European Union will both play a large part as they condemn Israel defending herself against Hezballah and their rocket and missile placements within people’s homes, hospitals schools and other public buildings and locations such that they can picture suffering Lebanese victims of Israeli strikes, of course the remains of the rocket launcher in the living room in the bed room will be ignored as that is of little consequence and certainly no reason for a bomb to be dropped on a house. Then there will be the stories of the people who lost everything in the evil Israeli raid and the higher death count than the count in Israel. We will hear all about the disproportionate damage and disproportionate civilian casualties and we will almost hear the question of where are the dead Jews equal to the dead Lebanese. There will be no mention of the obvious difference where the Lebanese are forced to be human shields while Israel provides shelters and defends their civilians keeping them as far as possible from the war, not the first line victims as Hezballah will do. The world will stop turning and all eyes will be on Israel and the lack of casualties by comparison and they will demand to know why so few Israelis have died, why so few, well, do we even need say it?

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Next Page »

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.