Beyond the Cusp

June 19, 2019

The Threat for a Nuclear War

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 1:58 AM
Tags: , , , , , ,

 

You mention that there is the possibility that the next large conflict could include nuclear weapons and most people just give a half-hearted chuckle and walk away leaving you standing wondering if it was what you said. Well, it was what you said and nobody wants to even consider such a terrible set of events. Those who do engage in such a conversation point out that the efforts for nonproliferation will prevent any such unwanted eventualities. They refuse the argument that every weapon mankind has ever invented were used in the next big war or in the war currently raging. Gunpowder, catapults, trebuchets, ballistae, crossbows, long bows, mines, rockets, nerve gas, other chemical agents, tear gas, aircraft and virtually every other form of weapon has been used. Currently in Israel, Hamas has taken to using such innocent items as kites and helium balloons to carry incendiary devices which are burning fields, forests, wilderness preserves, towns and anything else they land near. They have also attached exploding toys and brightly packaged candies laced with poison. Mentioning that such is simply another example of weaponizing everything and when it comes to nuclear bombs, well, they are already weaponized. The nonproliferation argument also runs into difficulty as if were not for proliferation of nuclear weapons, only the United States and Russia with perhaps china would have nuclear weapons. But many other nations have developed and stockpiled nuclear weapons and others are on the verge and thus far only South Africa has gone from being a nuclear power to destroying their arsenal and becoming a nonnuclear nation with no nuclear weapons program that is known.

 

So, why our concern over nuclear weapons and their use? Well, the nations involved directly in the fighting in World War II were all given a small introduction to the horrors which nuclear weapons cause with the bombings of Hiroshima (image below) and Nagasaki. The devastation was probably no worse than the firebombing of Dresden, Tokyo and other cities. The human toll was not completely understood until much later as the side effects from high doses of radiation became evident over time. The world even agreed at the United Nations to work to prevent such weapons from ever being used again. The record of the United Nations in often causing the exact actions which they were initially attempting to prevent. UNIFIL monitoring Lebanon presumably to prevent Hezballah from rearming the border with Israel is a perfect example. Currently, Hezballah is estimated to have over one-hundred-thousand rockets and guided missiles ready to be used against Israel. Most of these are located south of the Litany River, the region that UNIFIL was to keep weapon free, and we have not even gone into the tunnel and bunker systems Hezballah has built crisscrossing the entire region. So, we would not put much faith in the United Nations preventing proliferation and, even after that, preventing a nuclear exchange leading into a cascade of unpleasant consequences. This brings us back to the fact that every weapon and weapon system ever devised by man became one of the crucial weapons in a later conflict, and usually in a conflict which snowballed into a far larger conflagration than the start ever envisioned.

 

Hiroshima Before and After Atomic Bomb

Hiroshima Before and After Atomic Bomb

 

We have pointed out that Iran more than likely already has a stock of nuclear weapons and the ballistic missiles (chart below) with which to deliver them virtually anywhere on earth. Add on North Korea and there are two nations who could be prime candidates for initiating such a conflict. This has been further evidenced in the frightening commentary made by Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani as part of his Quds Day Speech of Friday, December 14, 2001.


If one day, the Islamic world is also equipped with weapons like those that Israel possesses now, then the imperialists’ strategy will reach a standstill because the use of even one nuclear bomb inside Israel will destroy everything. However, it will only harm the Islamic world. It is not irrational to contemplate such an eventuality. Of course, you can see that the Americans have kept their eyes peeled and they are carefully looking for even the slightest hint that technological advances are being made by an independent Islamic country. If an independent Islamic country is thinking about acquiring other kinds of weaponry, then they will do their utmost to prevent it from acquiring them. Well, that is something that almost the entire world is discussing right now.

 

This is one of the overlooked items when Rafsanjani is touted as a moderate Iranian leader who is a man of peaceful intentions. Sooner or later, we hope sooner, the media and political climate of the developed Western World will start to understand the meaning of Taqiya and realize that, all too often, some of these leaders are simply not telling them the truth. This also likely applies to the Iranian claim not to possess any nuclear weapons.

 

 

Iranian Rocket Types and Varieties of Ranges

Iranian Rocket Types and Varieties of Ranges

 

There are already two nuclear powers which face one another across the thin armistice line separating them in the Kashmir region. These are India and Pakistan and these two have had a very violent history starting from the outset when Pakistan was separated from India and tens of millions of people desired or found it necessary to relocate in order to be in a place where they were assured of survival. During the dual exodus, numerous instances of violence were exchanged by the two groups over the weeks it took for the exchange to be completed. India and Pakistan have had several conflicts and almost had a war break out within the past few years. Both nations are known to have nuclear weapons and one can only wonder how these will be kept from being utilized in some future conflict between these two adversaries. Add in the probable existence of nuclear warheads in Iranian hands and their enmity towards Israel as well as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United States and any other nation not ruled by Shia Islam. These are all instances where such weapons could be used and should Iran simply fire missiles towards Israel, the Israelis would have very little time to decide, first, if they could with total assuredness intercept all the missiles (possible but unlikely depending on the numbers), secondly, whether the missiles were topped with WMDs (whether nuclear, chemical or biological is irrelevant) and finally, would Israel respond in kind and use nuclear weapons in their response to such an attack. The next question would be whether or not Israel has the ability to destroy her own ballistic missiles should the Iranian attack not contain any WMD materials. The United States would also face a difficult decision should Iran utilize WMD’s, specifically nuclear weapons, against Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States or anybody else who the United States is obligated to defend by treaty or other arrangement. In all honesty, in Israel we not only prefer not to have the United States use any of her military in the defense of Israel, as we wish to depend as totally on our own abilities and not risk other nation’s people including service members.

 

The next argument often heard in such conversations is that the human race has moved beyond using weapons which cause such horrific results and cause such damage. How people can still hold on to such a concept after Saddam Hussein using chemical weapons on his own Kurdish citizens, Bashir al-Assad using chemical weapons and barrel bombs on areas known to have a large concentration of civilians and finally the horror show that was the Islamic State should have convinced people that barbarism is still with us. We could add in Rwanda, Ethiopia under Idi Amin, South Africa and numerous other instances and even prolonged inhumanity which were permitted in this presumably modern world. The truth is that the human race has not moved past the tribal society outlook where anyone outside the ruling tribe is considered a non-entity, a non-person, something totally without worth or concern. Yes, Europe has finally started to figure things out and have become so passive that their societies are crumbling due to low population figures which are far below replacement rates. The United States and Canada would also be in this state if it was not for some subsectors of their populations still reproducing at far larger rates making up for the lower rates amongst much of the population. Israel is comfortably above the replacement rate for which we are very happy. The one item which has been seen to correlate with the lack of sufficient reproductive rates is the secular and anti-religion populations which have adopted the far left and ecologic view that the ‘earth is being murdered by people’ religion. These are the same people who also believe that the United Nations is doing a swell job of keeping the peace and firmly believe that large wars and the use of WMDs is in our past never to arise again. These are the people who suffer from a Pollyannaish outlook that no matter what distressing news they read or are told respond with something totally irresponsible such as, but it is such a nice day, isn’t it? They will do anything to change such a conversation as they refuse to admit that things could even become horrific.

 

Does anyone honestly believe that nowhere in the world there exists a potential leader who would use nuclear weapons? If so, why? We have witnessed chemical weapons, nerve gas, barrel bombs, suicide bombers, passenger aircraft filled with people used as building torpedoes, vehicles driven into crowds, terrorism of various varieties and attacks made on places of worship during services to maximize the carnage. How none of these register with so many people is amazing and frightening. These are often the people voting for governments who might actually have to face such difficulties, and the rest are hoping they choose well. With what we have witnessed and some of the bluster coming from often unelected rulers, it would appear that believing that there is little if any chance of a nuclear exchange or a one-sided use of nuclear weapons would appear foolish. There is no real difference between using a nuclear weapon and the use of other WMDs, especially biological agents which do not respect borders. For those shaking their heads at the use of biologic agents, do we have to remind the world of the anthrax attacks, many being faked but there were quite a number which proved to be real. What if instead of anthrax they had access to use a mutant form of plague combined with the flu such that it had a two week or months long incubation of certain viruses and no known treatment while being completely resistant to antibiotics as viruses often are. Such a biologic agent would spread far and wide before the initial victims ever showed symptoms which would be the initial stage of any sort of warning. There are numerous nations who still have very active biological warfare research facilities making what would probably be our worst nightmare were they to ever be unleashed upon the world. With some actually having and potentially intending to use such weapons, why would anybody believe such people would bat an eye at the use of nuclear weapons being used if they were in control of such weaponry. The probability that there will be a nuclear exchange somewhere on earth within the next decade is, in our estimation, probably between one in ten to almost even odds.

 

The real question will be whether or not the nation initially attacked or any of their allies have such weapons and will use them in a response. Were one nation to utilize nuclear weapons against an enemy, it is possible that the victim would decide to take the strike and hope for the best responding with normal ordinance and not resort to using nuclear weapons in their actions. The odds of such is rather low as there are bound to be some anger issues involved in the decision-making process and the ability to resist going nuclear would be a very difficult idea to swallow. This is where the problem comes into play. Let us say that there is some overly aggressive nation’s leader who drank way too many espresso coffees and decided to launch three or four nuclear tipped missiles at an enemy nations fifteen-hundred miles distant. The struck nation returns the favor using ten to twelve of their nuclear weapons. The initiating country, in the fog of events and war, claims that the nation they initiated the attack upon had done something which caused the attack such as attempted an assassination and they make this plea to their allies who now join in a larger nuclear attack of the initial victim. The newly attacked nation knows nothing of any attempted assassination and only knows that they have been struck by missiles and several WMDs from now four or five nations, so they call on their allies, that is how these things work, right? By the time everything is straightened out, half the world is missing a large number of its citizens and their infrastructure is mostly destroyed. This is not an absurd scenario any more than some terrorist in the Balkans shooting some relatively unimportant but favored Archduke and his wife could launch the main powers of the day to wage a war to end all wars. As has been stated often enough, wars have been initiated by lesser acts. The world will have a war where one of the main weapons used fairly early in the conflict will be nuclear weapons, and most likely thermonuclear devices which can destroy even most modern metropolises. It is entirely possible that Iran might test Hashemi-Rafsanjani’s that, “the use of even one nuclear bomb inside Israel will destroy everything.” Israel may only be the size of New Jersey or half the size of Estonia, but that is still beyond the area of devastation which nuclear weapons are theoretically capable of causing immediate destruction. Granted, were such a weapon dropped centrally on the Tel Aviv metropolitan region, that would potentially murder close to half the Israeli population, but the nation would likely still be viable with most of the regular military remaining intact. How Israel would respond would be completely dependent upon who would be the Prime Minister and the members of the Knesset. The bravado that such an attack upon Israel would immediately result in the decimation of Iran is likely just that, bravado for the consumption and responses of the media and people.

 

The other item is that Israel would not have any real desire to cause such upon the people of Iran who actually have little say in who rules their nation and choosing those entrusted with such decisions. Yes, we realize that Iran holds elections for their legislature and President. We also know that only candidates approved by the Guardian Council are permitted to be on the ballot and they do not have anything such as a write-in candidate. Whomever the Guardian Council decides is eligible to run for the parliament and for President are permitted to be on the ballot and all the rest, well, not so much. There are many who believe, including a sizable amount of the citizenry of Iran, that the nation utilizes the Joseph Stalin philosophy for vote tabulating in that it is not so much who votes that counts as who counts the votes that matters. This was evidenced in 2009 with the people contesting the reelection of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Green uprising. We also were made aware and realized exactly how brutal the ruling elite in Iran could be with how they handled the protests and the levels of violence dealt to the demonstrators. This was a peek inside the Iranian leadership and their concept that they are the law and operate above the law. They also provided proving evidence of their general lack of concern for human life. This is a combination which could prove to be the exact dangerous groups with power to initiate a war with nuclear tipped ballistic missiles, with the remaining question merely being against whom.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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June 18, 2019

Election Roller-Coaster Taking Abrupt Turns

 

There have been a few spins and fast turns of late. Some revealed opportunism while others clarified the politics of others. Some were potentially expected and known while others leave one scratching their head as two leaders of one party appear to be heading for different goals. There are some facing an upwards climb in order to remain at the top while others see them simply dancing on in and taking whatever position they desire making any demand they wish. Some of the above may be hyperbole, but it has been a fun and interesting ride this past week leaving much to ponder. Where it will all fall out is anybody’s guess. Likud still expects to form the next coalition and the United Right plans on retaining what they fought over so desperately to put together. Blue White Party is working on damage control on two fronts. First, they are seeking to tone down the anti-Haredi messages and are requesting that Yair Lapid not be so out front and take a quiet seat allowing the all-knowing generals to lead. This is their, as one writer put it, “Rolling out the Generals.” This was a left-wing tactic which has been used before with the most memorable being Ehud Barak, who as having been a general would know every right move. Well, that one did not pan out as prescribed in the campaign and he was soon voted out of politics, then in, then out again and so on. One person not toning down the we give the Haredi too much so it is time for them to serve in greater number in the IDF is Avigdor Lieberman, who has created his own loop-de-loop, more on this later.

 

BTC Israeli Election Banner

 

Let’s start with Likud, the party expecting to put Bibi Netanyahu back in as Prime Minister. The reality is that they are very likely correct in their supposition unless the unexpected should befall us. Please do not take this as supporting Bibi Netanyahu. What must be granted is that Bibi Netanyahu has fulfilled the expectations that he invented himself. He has made the Likud believe that only he as their leader can lead Israel safely. This has allowed the Likud Party to remain as the mainstay of right-wing political expectations and prevented any mass exodus supporting anyone else. Bibi Netanyahu has also seen to the fact that nobody within the party is permitted to challenge his position. Those who do are often politically decimated or given a position which removes them from contention but also is such that one would be insane to refuse the appointment. This has led to Bibi Netanyahu leading his party for an unprecedented amount of time and as his party is the most prominent on the right, he will be the longest serving Prime Minister in Israeli history and will remain as such for the foreseeable future as his accomplishments politically are unprecedented in a democracy. Netanyahu will remain as the Israeli Prime Minister into the future until he, or Sarah Netanyahu, decide that it is time for him to retire and probably seek the position as President, something he is very likely to be given.

 

Meanwhile, there has been a call for a unity government with Likud Joining the Blue White Party along with the rest of the left-wing parties including Yisroel Beiteinu, where we are to expect their leader, Avigdor Lieberman, to be given the Ministry of Defense. This call was made by Avigdor Lieberman who was responsible partially, if not largely responsible, for the collapse of the last Knesset coalition. Lieberman has been suspected of socialist leanings and only joining right-wing coalitions simply to receive those guarantees of positions and monetary support for the Russian immigrants he represents. He is doing exactly that which party members expect, he is supporting the interests of his members. His problem is that his constituents are slowly decreasing as a percentage of the voting population. Avigdor Lieberman knows that any renowned achievements he might still be able to make have to come sooner rather than later as he might not have a later politically. One thing we know is that he desperately wants to be given the Ministry of Defense as from there he believes he can force Haredi into serving in the IDF. What is not being noticed by the media and others when covering Lieberman and this issue is that the Haredi are entering the IDF and National Service in record numbers without anybody pressing the issue. Reality is that the more the Haredim are pressured, the stiffer and more widespread their resistance becomes. Simply leave things to progress naturally and there will be little difference between the Haredi and the rest of the population when it comes to IDF and National Service entrants. People are very much a liquid of some unknown sort which will naturally flow more easily than being pushed which is immediately pressed back against and resisted. The Haredim entering the rest of society when it comes to working, IDF service and National Service volunteering, will probably be more easily attained the less aggressively it is pressed upon them. Sometimes, simply leaving it all up to Hashem and the problems often cure themselves. If only the entire world would take that very same approach.

 

Ayelet Shaked and Naftali Bennett

Ayelet Shaked and Naftali Bennett

 

Now allow us to discuss the variations for the future of the New Right Party. This was the effort by Naftali Bennett for him to establish a secular and accepting of religious Zionist party. His efforts appeared to many to be as if he was forming a party which would be Likud Lite, the slender and more flexible Likud which would annex most of the major settlement communities in the Shomron. They formed this party by taking the top two people and another of the Ministers from the Jewish Home Party leaving their former party lurching as it sought new leadership. The New Right rocketed immediately to twelve to as much as fourteen mandates in polling. We warned people that this was not going to last and their future would be better invested in remaining with Jewish Home. We were almost universally ignored. Well, Jewish Home anchored a three-party coalition and cleared threshold comfortably while the New Right floundered and failed to reach threshold by the slimmest of margins. Now at one extreme we have Ayelet Shaked, or at least people claiming to represent her, making moves to bring the New Right into the United Right providing that they replace Rafi Peretz at the top of the ticket with Ayelet Shaked. This has not sat well with Rafi Peretz who after being wrestled from retirement with little desire if any to enter politics into leading Jewish Home and their rebuilding after Bennett and Shaked bolted to form their own party. Now that he has taken over this responsibility, the retired General, former Chief Rabbi of the IDF and combat helicopter pilot, he is not the type to leave a job half finished. Rafi Peretz has stated that he intends to remain as the head of the United Right. But wait, there’s more.

 

At the same time there have been reports that Naftali Bennett has been trying to attract Moshe Feiglin to form a coalition of his Zehut Party with the New Right as the almost two mandates which Zehut received would easily put the New Right over the threshold to enter the Knesset. This begs the question as to how one party will be capable of making deals with two separate parties. Perhaps there is some trouble brewing in the New Right leadership. They have apparently forgotten rule one of a partnership, communication. Then there is the other possibility; they may have decided to attempt separate paths taking whichever one proves to show the most promise. In the interests of Zehut, the offer by the New Right would guarantee Moshe Feiglin making his way into the Knesset without having to compromise on any positions as they would go their separate way after the election. This might not work as well for Moshe Feiglin should there be a greater coalition of the United Right including both the New Right and Zehut which might gain the United Right an additional five or possibly as many as seven additional mandates and allow for Likud and the United Right along with the Haredi Parties, potentially they might be able to choose only one of the Haredi Parties forming a coalition without any need for Avigdor Lieberman. This possibility of a right-wing and Haredi coalition without Yisroel Beiteinu being required to clear the sixty-one mandates to form a coalition. This would be the intrigue of the pre-election machinations except for the one known, the real suspense is what ploy will Bibi Netanyahu use in the closing days to agitate and awaken his base and the other question is at whom will Bibi target with his coming emergency, all hands on deck call which we are expecting. Bibi would not let us down, would he?

 

The Labor Party is also running around with much of a frenzied emergency. One of the most successful parties in Israel history and the sole leaders of Israel politics are now facing with the distinct possibility of not clearing threshold for the first time. They are looking both to the right and the Blue White Party and to the left to Meretz Party to find anybody to throw them a life-preserver and help pull them across threshold and back from oblivion. This is one of the major results of the Israel public moving to the right as well as becoming more Zionist and religious. Labor, a secular left-wing party has been left behind. Add in the Blue White Party and the excitement they cause with their four generals and their claim that as generals they are far more suited to lead the nation than Bibi as he never reached such high rank and thus must not be as prepared to face the security threats facing Israel. We predict that Blue White might not be favorable to any approach from Labor Party as it would not provide sufficient number of votes to make the surrender of two or possibly three seats on their party list. Labor and Meretz merging would be a more natural fit and could potentially lead to a permanent merger forming a somewhat stronger far left party. They would bridge the entirety of the left between the Arab lists and the Communist party to the Blue White Party. A Labor Meretz merger would garner them likely two additional seats in the Knesset and is the only means for Labor to guarantee to get anybody into the next government. This has a potential to change in favor for the Labor Party as they are choosing new leadership and with change there is always the possibility of the unexpected.

 

Lastly, one last means of solving the apparent confusion between the two leaders of the New Right, Naftali Bennett who is wooing Zehut and Ayelet Shaked who is making approaches to the United Right and still make Rafi Peretz happy as well. First thing is to set the record straight that Rafi Peretz is and will remain at the top of the United Right with Bezalel Smotrich occupying the second position. Then simply dangle having Ayelet Shaked reappointed to the Justice Ministership as part of their criteria for joining the coalition. This would make many within the parties of the United Right somewhat more motivated, Ayelet Shaked would be receiving something she covets far more than a top slot on the ticket and possibly not becoming Justice Minister to finish her work there and Naftali Bennet could continue to take the remainder of the New Right, those who would not follow Ayelet Shaked, and he could join with Zehut. Making any offer to either Ayelet Shaked or Naftali Bennett after their disgraceful bolting from Jewish Home and almost destroying the party has to be seen as generosity seldom found in politics. The only reason we advise that this is a decent idea is due to the work Shaked has already performed at this post and it would be of benefit to Israel for her to complete her vision. Any further tweaks could be made along the road. The only other item is we bet that this election Bibi Netanyahu emergency get out the vote last minute revelation will target Avigdor Lieberman and might be sufficient to prevent his party from clearing threshold, and providing Bibi with what he believes is justifiable revenge.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 17, 2019

The Crux of the Arab-Israel Conflict, Part II

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 12:55 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

 

Click for Part I

 

All the wars in which Israel defender herself, not once was one of the belligerents a nation by the name of Palestine. In all of history there has never been a nation called Palestine. There was a region of a Roman Province called Syria Palaestina. Further. Jerusalem has served as the capital city for only Jewish nations, the initial lands of the Hebrews and when these lands split, Jerusalem became the capital of Judea, from which the term Jews is derived, and after the dissolution and dispersion of the Jewish People by the Romans, Jerusalem has not served as a capital city until Israel was reestablished in 1948. During the nearly two millennia after the Roman dispersion of the Jews and the return of Jews, the lands which today make up Israel were largely a forgotten and abandoned region almost devoid of human inhabitants. This is not our description, it belongs to Mark Twin in his description from his travels abroad in the late 1860’s. The region was then still under Ottoman Rule. Before the Ottomans entered World War I, the regions which is today Israel had last been fought over by Napoleon briefly and before him were the Crusaders after the Caliphate had taken Jerusalem and the Christians attempted to take it back for Christianity and only succeeded temporarily only to lose it again to Islam.

 

Since the Yom Kippur War the Arabs changed their tactics using their invented people, the Palestinians who came into existence in September of 1964 with the KGB and Arab League launching of the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO). When the PLO came into existence, they made no claim of the Shomron or of Gaza explaining that these were already in Arab Muslim hands and thus were not in need of liberation. What they did claim they would liberate was all of Israel which they were going to then turn over to Jordan. It was not until almost three years after their founding and after the 1967 Six Day War that they began claiming their ancestral homelands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea. This has been their claim since then and is exactly what is meant by the chant heard across Europe and North America at the anti-Israel rallies, “From the river to the sea, Palestine must be free.” Often Mahmoud Abbas is quoted as stating that he only wants the 22% of the lands which belong to his Palestinians. Remember when we told you we would get back to the 22% number, here is where it becomes important. Many will try and claim that Abbas is only referring to the West Bank or it and Gaza. Well, both of these combinations cannot be equal to 22%. The reality is though any combination comes close to 22%, the only true 22% is all the lands west of the Jordan River which are not part of the 78% of the Mandate which is Jordan. Further, if you listen carefully, Abbas often states clearly that he demands 22% of the Mandate. That should be a dead giveaway but many politicians are either idiots, ignorant or stating straight out lies when they claim that Abbas wants peace and just his region within Israel.

 

We have understood that if nothing else would save Israel from its occasional suicidal leaders who agree to the most dangerous peace agreements in order to satisfy the demands for another additional two-state solution, we could always count of Yasser Arafat and then Mahmoud Abbas to refuse every offer. The reason is very simple, there is one demand which must be met or every deal lacking this will be refused, the end of Jews being permitted their own state. Under Islam the Jew is incapable of self-rule and must be cared for by its betters until the time is ripe to demand they convert to the only true religion permitted by Islam on the earth or die if they refuse. While under Islamic protection they are considered Dhimmi and are subject to paying the Jizya. Further, according to Islam, all lands which have ever been ruled by Islam must remain under Islamic rule or be in a state of war with all of Islam. Andalusia is another region which Islam claims which to most people is the Iberian Peninsula, otherwise known as Spain and Portugal. Israel is considered an insult to Islam just by its mere existence. This has been obvious by the number of attempts which have been launched to destroy Israel. Honestly, Israel should never have succeeded in any of her first three wars where Islam attempted her destruction in 1948, 1967 and 1973. Since then the war had changed tactics and uses terrorism and rocket attacks to drive the Jews from the lands. Then there is the demand that the Jews simply return to America and Europe from whence they came. This may be the most disingenuous claim made by the Arabs as they are fully aware that half of the Israeli population came from Arab lands across the Middle East and North Africa as well as Iran when almost 850,000 Jews were forced from their lands where many had resided for over a thousand years after having their wealth stripped and allowed maybe two suitcases in which to pack their belongings, and these were often searched before they were permitted to leave. We have serious doubts that when the Arabs claim the Jews can return to the nations from whence they came that they include their Jews returning to their homes, stores, businesses and regaining all they had lost. Below is a video from the United Nations which takes snippets from the Arab representatives and then contrasts that with the representative from United Nations Watch before the United Nations Human Rights Council. The exchange and the attempt to silence the speaker with a point of order are all quite amusing and the fact that he was permitted to continue was as remarkable as it was surprising. This puts much of the focus where it truly belongs but will never be permitted under the current world in which we reside.

 

 

Israel has accepted several peace proposals all of which have resulted in violence and dead Israelis. Israel removed the IDF and its bases, all intelligence operations and removed almost ten thousand Jews from several communities and even reinterred her dead as had their tombs remained in Gaza, their bodies would have been dug out of the ground and likely burned. The greenhouses Israel left for the Arabs to use were disassembled and their pipes used to make rockets and launchers. Israel in 2000 and in 2008 gave offers of over 90% of the West Bank and land swaps to make up the difference and both of these were refused, one by Arafat and the latter by Abbas. Both Arafat and Abbas were often found to state that the destruction of the Jewish State and an end to the Jews was their minimal demand, but they always stated such in Arabic. Apparently, there is no way that many of the European leaders and the United States Department of State could translate anything stated in Arabic into a language they understand, or they would rather not translate these statements. There is also the threat we hear but which will never be carried out that the Arabs are going to take Israel before the world courts. This will never happen simply because Israel had the first right of claim of the lands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea by treaty and under Article 80 of the United Nations Charter. The reason there has not been a settlement of the Arab Israeli Conflict is because the Arabs will not accept the existence of Israel. Israel would be quite happy to be granted the stated borders of the Jordan River, Mediterranean Sea, Lebanese border, Egyptian Sinai-Negev border and keeping the Golan Heights for her own security, which with Syria as it is, one can obviously see why. Israel has no desire for empire, though Islam does and sees the entirety of the world as their rightful empire. Israel simply wants to live in the ancient homelands which she was given by Hashem at the conclusion of the Exodus under Moses and the rest under Joshua.

 

There are those who claim that the Jews seek something called a Greater Israel which they state extends from the Euphrates River to the Nile River. This is nothing more than outright lies. There was a time in ancient Israeli history under Kings David and Solomon where there was a Greater Israel. The Biblical description was that the kingdom reached from the Euphrates River to the River of Egypt. The Euphrates was touched at a northern point in what is today Syria and the River of Egypt is today called the Wadi of Egypt as the river has dried out, and it does not refer to the Nile River. Greater Israel is a historic reference and had no reality or application today except to attempt to paint Israel as an aggressor nation and to blame Israel for every time which the Arab world attempted to wipe her off the map. Apparently, the next attempt is not to arise from an Arab country but from Persia, otherwise known as Iran. This does not for a moment mean that the Arabs are done with attacking Israel as they will continue with their terror warfare. Finally, the Arab refugee problem is an Arab problem as they are the descendants of the 675,000 Arabs who became homeless after the 1948 War by the Arabs in their attempt to destroy Israel at her birth. Israel took in far more Jews and never placed them in refugee camps for generations, they accepted them as the brothers and sisters they were and they are now contributing members of Israeli society.

 

Now the world awaits the Trump Peace Plan known as the Deal of the Century. Mahmoud Abbas has already turned it down casting it as Trump’s Zionist inspired anti-Palestinian plan. This has been his position for the past two years despite his never having seen the plan. Is his claim valid? We cannot say as we have not been privileged to see the plan either. Some have claimed, who also have not seen the plan, that Trump will attempt to bribe the Arab Palestinians with a new home and possibly cash and a job if only they will relocate outside of Israel. As we stated, if this is President Trump’s plan, we have one simple question. How in the world does President Trump plan on extracting the Arab Palestinians from their current rulers, who would rather kill them than allow them to leave, without invading these regions and imposing his plan? Even were Trump able to do such a plan with the Arab Palestinians in the Shomron, under Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority, no plan short of removal of the Iranian backed terrorist forces in Gaza will allow these people to relocate. Both Hamas and Islamic Jihad would respond to whatever the Iranian leadership demanded from them and from what we have seen of how Iran treats internal dissent; it would be an ugly sight of oppressive genocidal rule using an iron fist to prevent the people from serving their own interests. We have witnessed how Hamas and Islamic Jihad are ruthless as they attempt to burn as much of Israel to the ground and are now launching kites with pretty bottles containing poison attempting to murder young children in Israel. Their previous attempt with toys tied to explosive charges failed to entice any victims as the parents warned their children and the children actually listened and obeyed. Israel only wants what the world promised back in 1920, no more and no less. Israel will accept the Jordan River, Golan Heights and the remainder of our borders as they exist. Gaza can remain what it has become as long as they end their attacks with balloons, kites, incendiaries, rockets, mortars or any other form of malicious acts. But if Israel allows Gaza to remain independent, as we did forgo our claim so without the world accepting our reacquiring Gaza, which Europe and the United Nations would never bring themselves to do, Gaza is actually an independent nation of a sort which is ruled by terrorist gangs, like Somalia has been ruled. In exchange for such recognition, Gaza must understand that any form of attack on Israel will be considered an act of war. A series of such acts will bring destruction down upon those responsible. To be honest, there are two Gazas, the one where the Hamas and Islamic Jihad elite and their wealthy friends reside and the one where they wage war from with total disregard for their own people.

 

The Two Gazas with One Pristine and the Other Ravaged

The Two Gazas with One Pristine and the Other Ravaged

 

Israel has spent most of their efforts destroying the rocket launchers and tunnel systems. Hamas and Islamic Jihad have placed these regularly within working-class neighborhoods, most often amongst or atop apartment buildings. Next to schools and mosques, near hotels where media stay, and virtually anywhere it could cause casualties they can put on display for the media. Hamas and Islamic Jihad have been proven to use human shields with a frequency which implies it is a method used intentionally. For Hamas and Islamic Jihad any dead Gazan is a potential Israeli war crime no matter who caused their death. In the recent rocket assaults out of Gaza, the world media immediately repeated the Hamas charge that Israeli strikes had killed a pregnant woman and her accompanying child which Israel denied and in the end it turns out that they were killed by a misfired Islamic Jihad rocket. This was far from the first time such has occurred with the most infamous being the al-Dura case. Israel celebrates life, and we do so in everything we do including attempting to cause as few unintended casualties as possible while Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the Palestinian Authority proudly assert their adoration and love of death. Judaism instructs its adherents to live their earthly existence to the best as they are able with the six-hundred-thirteen commandments of the Torah as our guide with any afterlife as something which comes hopefully after a long and fruitful life. Islam degrades life and puts their expressions into an afterlife which is a refuge from earthly existence which is described as brutal and almost worthless while the afterlife can be a place of flowing streams, endless wine, green grass, and should one die fighting for Allah there are the seventy-two perpetual virgins. Judaism does not even promise a body in the afterlife, thus, no guaranteed virgins for Jews.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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