Iranian Nuclear Paradigm Changed

When Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu made his speech using a picture of a primitive bomb to describe the then Israeli Red Line concerning the Iranian nuclear program he stated that should the Iranians enrich sufficient uranium to 20% to be able to then further process it and attain sufficient uranium enriched to 90% or more to be able to make an atomic device then Israel would have to act as the threat would then become too great to ignore any longer. That Red Line has blurred out of existence since then as the Iranians have made advances in their centrifuge designs which would now permit them to enrich uranium straight from approximately 3% to the 90% plus for weapons grade uranium. This now means that the debate the Iranians are engaging the P5+1 in the nuclear talks where they are offering to no longer enrich uranium to 20% in exchange for the lifting of the majority of the sanctions, especially the sanction on their oil production and sales is a ruse and a false promise as they know full well that they are no longer constrained to need to have 20% enrichment in order to have breakout capacity to reach nuclear weapons capability. The Iranians are promising to only enrich uranium to 3% to 3.5% and no longer enrich beyond that level because they no longer require the higher level yet President Obama and the European leaders are all pronouncing the great willingness of the Iranians to meet the demands of the Western leadership and that they are showing willingness to prove they truly are not interested in attaining nuclear weapons. Either the Western leaders are being poorly advised, are complete fools or are intentionally ignoring realities because they fear actually taking any stand which might force them to back their positions with actions.

 

It is highly unlikely that the Western leadership really has been so badly mislead and ill-informed that they actually believe that the Iranian offer has any validity at this late date. The Iranians are once again playing the Western leaders for foolishly becoming accomplices in the Iranian drive to set themselves up in a position to be able to produce a series of nuclear devices in rapid order taking less than two months with their first device ready within a matter of mere weeks. The Iranians feel that the western leaders are willing to play the part of fools mainly because they have been given signals by the administration of President Obama that the President wishes to avoid any possibility of a conflict and is willing to turn a blind eye and permit Iran to proceed all the way to nuclear armaments as long as no blame can be cast upon him and the other leaders. President Obama and the other Western leaders will hold up the presentation from Prime Minister Netanyahu from years ago and pretend that by having the Iranians agree to inspections and stopping production of uranium to 20% enrichment a great agreement has been reached and the threat of a nuclear Iran has been successfully avoided. And should you be waiting for the mainstream media to report the reality that this agreement not to enrich uranium to 20% as what it is, an empty promise and a ruse, then you will end up just as poorly informed as will the Western leadership once Iran tests their first nuclear device. What should be the concern is exactly how and where will the Iranians test their first nuclear device. It is not as if their designs have not been proven as they most assuredly have been advised by the North Koreans, Chinese, and the Russians and their designs have likely been tested by these same nations on their simulation computers and proven to be proper designs. Actually needing to explode a nuclear device to test its design has not been a necessity for decades now and the Iranians most certainly have had access to simulation programs with which to test their designs and have even figured out the yields to within 10%.

 

Since they will not need to do an actual test, then the sole reason the Iranians would have for exploding a nuclear device would be to announce their accomplishment to the world. One might safely bet that with their device’s functionality guaranteed that the Iranians will announce their entry into the nuclear armed club by actually deploying a nuclear device either by having terrorists transport the device and detonate it on the desired target or by launching the device and striking one of the nations Iran considers to be their most serious of enemies. This would mean that their target of first resort would be either the United States or Israel. The argument for Iran striking Israel first is that such an attack would go extremely far in heaping prestige upon them throughout the Muslim and Arab worlds. The reason behind striking the United States first is somewhat more complicated but put simply is it would give almost the same prestige and would remove the larger strike back ability if they were to utilize their nuclear device or devices to generate EMP waves destroying much of the United States electronic infrastructure and other electronic controlled systems and items such as communications, many modern vehicles, diesel-electric trains, the entire electronic grid, computer controlled systems and countless other systems. Such an attack might render the United States cut off from even being able to contact their forces outside the country initially providing Iran with the necessary tie to launch numerous other attacks against secondary targets and other countries they may feel require neutralizing. As we have discussed previously, the Iranians have been training for an EMP delivery launch sequence for the past decade and have become quite adept and accomplished at doing so. They have even mastered launching such attacks off of cargo ships and barges such that they could launch such an attack from the oceans just off the coasts of the United States which would negate virtually all of the ballistic missile defenses from being effective at all. Despite this being something that has been discussed in Congress for years and by the military for even longer, the United States remains extremely vulnerable to an EMP attack such as the type Iran has been practicing and mastered the tactical methods in performing such a launch sequence. A nuclear armed Iran is a threat to far more than just Israel and do not let the United States leadership tell you different or ever let them ignore such a dire threat because to ignore such a threat is to invite such an attack. The Greek City States ignored King Leonidas who still took his three hundred Spartans of his personal guard and stood against the threat and held them at Thermopylae facing an enemy numbering close to half a million men for three days. Those three days resulted in saving the entirety of the Greeks from falling and guess who their enemy was. That’s right, it was the Persians, the very same that today we call Iran for reasons that are interesting to research as well but will wait for another article.

 

Beyond the Cusp