Beyond the Cusp

February 28, 2015

Netanyahu Speech Coming Tuesday to be THE Speech

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Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is scheduled to give his speech to those of the entire Congress with the backbone and wits to attend what President Obama, his administration, the leftist politicians in the United States, and most embarrassing, leftist politicians in Israel and is willing to withstand the withering barrage from the leftist media which will hopefully be easily over four-hundred-seventy-five who sit through the entire speech. There is planned a show of great lack of significance to show disregard and insult for Prime Minister Netanyahu arranged by the Congressional Black Caucus who decided their ire would be best served if they interrupted THE Speech by noticeably walking out in the midst of THE Speech as a sign of the racist nature of THE Speech. The media has harped on THE Speech claiming it is designed to destroy the United States Israel relations as if President Obama’s wrecking-ball relations and operational leaks of presumed privileged communications had not already set the stage for a mortally wounded relationship. Fortunately, once the United States occupant in the White House regains some manner of balance and diplomatically less caustic intent forming every interaction pertaining to Israel and her future I am sure the Israelis will gladly move ahead and simply never mention the injuries suffered the last six years and the potential bumps in the relationship yet to be suffered. Others in the media have accused Prime Minister Netanyahu of making THE Speech all about campaigning for retaining his term in office and being reelected by displaying the good relations he has with the United States by addressing a joint session of Congress. THE Speech has delivered the opponents of Prime Minister Netanyahu sufficient ammunition to shoot him for the next three or four or possibly a round dozen decades and the Israeli leftist media has loaded their weapons to their capacity and will keep the extra munitions for future use. But the politics being played in the United States are far less problematic than the politics being played in Israel.

 

In Israel THE Speech is the center of efforts to pillory Prime Minister Netanyahu claiming that he has destroyed the closest, greatest, most beneficial and friendly relationship any former or potentially future occupant of the White House that Israel will ever experience. Not to toss the entirety of the Israeli media under the bus, we must admit that there are some media sources and reporters, editorialists, anchors and talk show hosts along with bloggers who have supported the efforts by Prime Minister Netanyahu to sound the clarion bell alarms about the impending P5+1 agreement with Iran concerning their nuclear program which Iran claims is solely for civilian use in reactors present and planned for future development while Israel, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and many other world leaders suspect is being utilized to develop and produce in an industrial manner nuclear weaponry. The most distressing of Israeli dissenters who are actively claiming that THE Speech will be the largest possible disaster which will destroy United States relations with Israel and forever cause animosity between the two nations are the two politicians who head the coalition of the Hatnua Party with the Labor Party which these most notorious post-Zionist politicians have mocked the voting public through their use of the misnomer of Zionist Camp, are Tzipi Livni and Yitzhak (Buji) Herzog. Their campaign has almost universally focused on defeating Prime Minister Netanyahu at all costs, and that includes the allowing Iran to attain the ability to fulfill their stated utmost goal to destroy Israel, or as they have referred to Israel, that one bomb nation. Tzipi Livni and Yitzhak Herzog have completely abandoned the unspoken rule for honorable campaigning which places things having direct effects on Israeli relations with the world, especially those relations with historically friendly nations, beyond the pale in any campaign while general theory or policy differences acceptable if handled by stating one’s positions and not direct attacks on actions being undertaken that have direct repercussions on sensitive relations or the future of the State of Israel. Their attacks claiming that THE Speech and Prime Minister Netanyahu’s entirety in office and every actions taken there as working to cause the isolation of Israel on the world’s stage and especially working to destroy relations with the United States and insulting directly President Obama by insisting on giving immediately rather than after the reaching an agreement with Iran before expressing reservations and accusations of reaching and allowing a bad deal which will permit Iran to become a breakout nuclear nation in Prime Minister Netanyahu’s opinion which will be stated in its purest essence as the central subject of THE Speech. As a matter of fact, THE Speech has become a central theme in their campaign and their drive to unseat and replace Prime Minister Netanyahu with their agreed upon sharing with Tzipi Livni taking the first two years and Yitzhak Hertzog assuming the Prime Ministership the final two years knows no bounds nor any restrictions breaking every accepted protocol which have served Israel since her founding on May 15, 1948.

 

So, if the dye is cast and the nuclear agreement a done deal, which simply has a few particulars left to erase the differences, then what is it that Prime Minister Netanyahu believes he can affect by making this apparently contentious appearance, against the better judgment and to the offence which President Obama has expressed, and delivering THE Speech? Perhaps THE Speech will serve its best possible scenario and sour the agreement forcing President Obama to take a new approach, an approach which does not necessarily mean war with Iran which is one of the favorite over-simplifications used by the media. Should that be the eventuality brought on by THE Speech it might lead where the Congress has already stated they intend to head should there not be an agreement reached by the end of March and bring serious, tight, extreme and crippling sanctions against Iran possibly even more stringent than those sanctions which originally brought Iran to the negotiations table before President Obama relaxed sanctions removing many of the most hurtful and effective sanctions. This may work to not only force Iran to reenter negotiations and even potentially force a far more advantageous deal where Iran is forced to not only forfeit continuing their enrichment of uranium, end their construction of the Arak plutonium producing reactor and disassemble all of their centrifuges. This is the deal that President Obama is impossible to attain and that Congress desires using sanctions to prove it to be attainable if only sanctions and time are permitted to work. But it is more probable that President Obama will complete the negotiations and have an agreement to sign in the near future. The only question left is how far Iran will defrost relations with the United States from their frosty ice age which has been the basis ever since the 1979 Iranian revolution and the ensuing hostage crisis where Iran held fifty-two American diplomats and citizens for four-hundred-forty-four days from November 4, 1979, to January 20, 1981, coinciding remarkably with the inauguration of Ronald Reagan. But really, what if THE Speech makes absolutely no difference regarding the agreement being forged between the P5+1 and Iran?

 

There may be reasons beyond simply giving THE Speech before those willing to attend the joint session of Congress and instead intended for the audience beyond which will either view THE Speech through a video or audio transmission, but in Israel the broadcast has been ruled that it must not be broadcast live but with a five minute delay such that anything considered to be a form of campaigning can be muted or even blackening the screen simultaneously as the audio is muted as a precaution against Prime Minister Netanyahu potential to utilize the speech for electioneering purposes. Outside or inside Israel THE Speech will likely be viewed live on CSPAN and I am sure that any interested head of state or politician will be able to arrange viewing live, so basically there will be political leaders and people worldwide who will be able to view live or otherwise view THE Speech with a little effort thus Prime Minister Netanyahu will be speaking to a far wider audience than the United States joined Houses of Congress minus the detractors who will be heeding the demand for them to be the balm for President Obama’s damaged pride by boycotting Prime Minister Netanyahu’s address or possibly his entire visit including any meetings or question and answer sessions he may attend. Then there will be the release of the text which does lack any emphasis added by the Prime Minister’s delivery. These foreign viewers may also be a significant part of the audience intended to be reached by the Prime Minister. Perhaps THE Speech will cause one of the P5+1 members to come out and oppose the agreement thus using their veto to block its implementation other than the United States which leaves Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia. Obviously, Russia and China are more closely aligned with Iran and potentially have no issues with their attaining nuclear weapons capability so the actual targets to object to the deal and demand far more stringent restrictions hopefully crippling the Iranian drive towards nuclear weapons capabilities would be Britain and France. This is not as preposterous a possibility as many might believe as back when the tentative agreement was reached in December of 2013, in a previous vote on the tentative agreement Britain informed the Saudi Arabian rulers of the terms and expressed reservations though they eventually agreed while the French made their communication with the Israelis and initially the French delegation vetoed the agreement and it took until the next day to persuade or otherwise have the French remove their objections and in a subsequent vote all went as preferred by President Obama and his team. It was months later when it became known that the United States had held secret talks and had already released parts of the sanctions even before receiving affirmations from the other partners of the P5+1 nations. So, there is the potential for THE Speech to influence either the British or the French governments such that they send orders to their negotiation delegates and their Foreign Ministers that they have decided to oppose the arrangement hammered out by the United States and Iran independent of the influences of the rest of P5+1 negotiation teams. But what if THE Speech fails to influence any of the nations taking part in these negotiations sufficiently to actively oppose the agreement which is expected by mid-March leaving a little time before the March 31 deadline to smooth any unexpected ruffles which may occur, then what other possibilities could also be sought by Prime Minister Netanyahu?

 

There is another alternative which is probably the least desirable of the potential possibilities and thankfully one of the least likely. Just because the United States along with Russia, China, France and Britain, the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council and the holders of veto power in that body where the United States veto has been used to Israeli advantage since June of 1967, and Germany which pretty much includes the power brokers from the European Union which has also been included in these negotiations since their inception, reach an agreement or accord, anything other than an actual treaty approved by the United States Congress, does not preclude other nations from attempting to influence or force Iran into negotiations and potentially an even more restrictive and enforceable agreement is not excluded from reality. Such an attempt would require virtually every nation which would otherwise trade with Iran or buy Iranian oil to impose a complete shutdown on all trade with the possible exception originally of medical and food trade goods, but even those would be threatened to be included if the initial sanctions were not sufficiently effective in pressuring Iran into negotiations with this new alliance. Such a decision by a group of nations which might even include one of the first alliances which included Muslim nations such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Kuwait, Bahrain and Indonesia with having Israel as not only one of the nations included, but the nation leading the coalition though it would not be impossible for Israel to operate under the radar, so to speak, and allow Saudi Arabia or Egypt take the leading role. The real threat which would make this such a risk and also so undesirable is the alternative if such sanctions prove ineffective when weighed against the investments and trade with the United States and Europe as well as Russia and China, especially China who buys a large amount of Iranian oil, then that coalition of the willing might find many participating nations not so willing if the time came that makes the need to risk military action against Iran to be placed on the table as an alternate option should Iran continue to refuse to negotiate with this second set of nations. There are very few nations which have sufficient military forces and resources who could join together and pose an actual threat to the Iranian military. There would also be the direct possibility that the nations who took part in the P5+1 negotiations with Iran would decide they needed to enforce their agreement as sufficient and threaten the new alliance with an embargo on them or worse. It is difficult to think of any coalition which would, let alone could, stand against such pressures. The unfortunate thing is there is little hope that THE Speech will have any favorable effects but at least the world, starting with the Representatives and Senators who are in the chamber will receive an in depth explanation of exactly where the Iranian nuclear weapons program has progressed, how long it might take them to build a single nuclear device and how soon after that they would be capable of constructing additional warheads and of the level of sophistications these devices might have and the ever important yields and potential for an EMP device. The one huge question everyone should be clamoring to find the answer, and that is does Iran have the ability to construct a thermonuclear device, in other terms, a hydrogen fusion bomb. If THE Speech reveals that Iran has such technical ability, the engineering specialists capable, and the necessary elements and a trusted and continuous source, as that too would be required to attain such unsettling, daunting and intimidating capabilities; such known to be established capability might even serve as a wake-up call for President Obama, the man who promised to minimize or even reduce the numbers of nuclear armed nations, not initiate and welcome the newest nuclear nation and announcing the newest arms race to nuclear weapon production across the Middle East thus essentially nullifying the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and potentially facilitating the dread inevitability that once almost every nation which desired nuclear weapons were to become so armed which all but guarantees the certitude that a nuclear war will break out somewhere and that will signal the end of civilization and the onset of a world which more resembles those post-apocalyptic B-movies which were released during the Cold War and the threat of a nuclear exchange between the Communist and Western nations.

 

There are those who have claimed, as have I, that President Obama desired to knock the United States from not just the world stage while he was President, but to permanently prevent the United States from reasserting herself as the preeminent surviving super power or even imposing her will through military actions such as was the case in Afghanistan and Iraq until President Obama surrendered both nations through premature retreat pulling out and reducing American military presence such that they served more as advisors and were made too impotent to be a credible force in the field of battle. This is what led to the birth of ISIS and their rise as a threat to Syria and Iraq thus far while the core group also threatens Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Lebanon, and Israel. This was followed, almost ran concurrently, with the pullout of American forces when President Obama pressed Egyptian President Mubarak from office and supported the Muslim Brotherhood and their takeover of Egypt. Following Egypt there was the NATO action initiated by President Obama, though the United States led from behind, that toppled Moammar Gadhafi from power in Libya which destabilized the nation and is where a second core for ISIS was born and has begun to slaughter Egyptians as well as Libyans and threatening to mount an amphibious assault on Italy with the aim of sacking Rome. There have also been reports that ISIS aligned cells are already setting the groundwork to replace the Arab terror groups in Judea, Samaria and Gaza so that ISIS can war with Israel and presumably drive the Jews from their homelands once again. There are bands affiliated with ISIS marauding in the Sinai Peninsula which makes the coup in Egypt potentially a good thing even if it put General Sisi on the throne as a civilian, of course. The destabilization of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) has reached from the eastern borders of Iran to the sandy shores of Morocco and the Atlantic Ocean. During President Obama’s terms in office Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has all but completed the transformation of Turkey from Secular society to an Islamic society and virtually enacting Sharia. About the only things that President Obama has yet to complete of the items I had feared were his goals for his Presidency to live-up to his standards and complete those particulars I suspected he desired to complete, he still has a way to go to make many of them but President Obama has functioned with a firm reliance that he is invulnerable and that he has effectively neutered the Congress and will simply allow the courts to fight out the rest of what he performs and he also hopes to be able to appoint some people to the Supreme Court as well as the lower courts. His wildest dream would be to replace two or three of the four conservative stalwarts on the Supreme Court with youthful and energetic justices who share his political views especially that the Constitution is dated and no longer applicable to modern society and thus to be largely ignored whenever it becomes and threat to establishing a just and fair society. Such a society would be based on equity in all things starting with wealth which requires complete establishment of the engine for redistribution of wealth, judicial decision based on racial, gender, sexual preference guidelines which would give special consideration to the favored peoples, the gutting of the United States military which was started by cancelling the production of the F-22 fighter jet along with numerous other new weapons systems, the reduction of Western nations military abilities such that they became susceptible to invasion incapable of resistance, open borders with amnesty and citizenship for all who desire to live in the United States and can actually get here with the Border Patrol redefined job to be the issuing of all items necessary for proof of citizenship, and to destroy the entirety of the United States nuclear arsenal and the ability for the manufacture of replacements once his terms in office are over. His grand design for the Middle East was for Iran to replace Israel as the hegemonic power, give the Muslim Brotherhood the power to rule in an nation which he succeeded in doing for one year in Egypt before the military responded to the demonstrators’ outcries for liberation from the sliding towards Islamist Sharia governance before it became too late, and the establishment of the Palestinian State even if that required it being consecrated in the corpse of Israel in the process. President Obama still has just under two years and he does not need to fear another election or the support of the people and he did manage to get Obamacare passed inside of his first two years so imagine what he can accomplish in his last two years. Meanwhile, we wait on next Tuesday when Prime Minister Netanyahu stands before the mostly combined Congress and potentially every vital, influential, powerful, wealthy, successful and empowered individuals and groups the worldwide and delivers THE Speech, let us hope it accomplishes something very positive in making that necessary changes in the path being taken currently by our world and alters the hearts and minds of those who hate and those who aim to destroy while preventing any further enfeeblement of the Western world as it nears a time of destiny which will decide the future of the human race possibly permanently. We may be coming up upon the final conflict in which the victors will lead us all beyond the cusp into new full of promises and great accomplishments with wonders beyond our imaginations or backward to a period where we live an unbelievably brutish existence lacking in civility or any refinement and thoughts of plenty and dreams of a future will be torn from our minds as time for such things do not exist in such a world.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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1 Comment »

  1. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

    Like

    Comment by OyiaBrown — February 28, 2015 @ 7:03 AM | Reply


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