Beyond the Cusp

March 30, 2015

The Coming Deal that Iran Wrote

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The defection of Amir Hossein Mottaghi, Rouhani’s public relations manager during his 2013 election campaign for President, removed any doubts or glimmers of hope that what was being acted out in Lausanne, Switzerland, nestled in the Alps, was an actual deal meant to deny Iran anything they desired and packaged it as an accomplishment. The crux of the problem is that the Iranians have neither desired nor needed any form of a deal as they always were and are going to do exactly that which best serves their purposes, and that is to build as many nuclear warheads and as many missiles on which to place those warheads and do so at whatever speed they desire. The warning signs have been everywhere for all to see. Even the French and the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) claim the deal is so pathetic as it does not limit or even begin to prevent the Iranians from proceeding forward to producing nuclear weapons nor does it address the concerns expressed recently by the IAEA, an agency notorious for being unable to prevent or even monitor any nation which has had any desire to attain nuclear weapons. When the IAEA is expressing serious concerns that the Iranians have kept much of their work and engineering work for the supplemental items to weaponized nuclear materials such as the triggering mechanisms, warhead design and other necessities concealed and has been reticent about reporting such activities, then there may be a serious problem. The IAEA reports claim that Iran has refused to come clean in any number of areas and that they suspect Iran has nuclear research and production sites which they have refused to report and may even have some of which the IAEA has no knowledge or information about and may reveal in time that the Iranians are running a parallel program intended solely to produce the required nuclear weapons materials such as highly enriched uranium and all other parts required for the manufacture of nuclear weapons thus allowing for Iran to negotiate a deal while producing nuclear weapons clandestinely.

 

Meanwhile every report out of Lausanne, Switzerland, has been another piece of the puzzle which is beginning to reveal an ugly reality. What is becoming evidenced this week is satisfying the worst fears of those watching the charade being carried out by the United States negotiating team which appears to be cheering and working for the Iranians and simply attempting to drag any unwilling partners along down the primrose path and producing a document replete with the appropriate signatures all signifying nothing. The Iranians have taken measure of President Obama and found him to be lacking in all ways. They have detected an empty suit which envisions himself as a great negotiator whose simple presence, even from behind the scenes, as so inspiring that others will bend to his will and he can win the day with virtually no effort. They have seen the man-child for what he truly represents, a narcissist with delusions of grandeur and of great moral and intellectual prowess unequaled in all fields and so full of himself that he cannot even begin to believe the reality that Iran has simply been going through the motions of negotiating and simply have been baiting the United States team, the same team which negotiated the agreements with North Korea as they became nuclear capable, manipulating their every response leading them to the exact point the Iranians desired with which they would continue their clandestine operations while also using their agreed upon centrifuges working in order to continue the façade of staying within the letter of the agreement. Iran has used the negotiations to their advantage all the while laughing at the ridiculous actions of President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry who have taken every word and action to heart and have never actually shown any intelligence or perceptive abilities all the while being largely led around by their noses going wherever the Iranians had wished to move them. As we have pointed to before, the French see the deal as weak and beyond the monitoring force’s ability to enforce. The IAEA will continue to never receive total access to the Iranian nuclear facilities thus never knowing definitively whether or not Iran is producing nuclear weapons behind their backs.

 

The Institute for Science and International Security was quoted in The Tower magazine having stated, “A deal that does not include Iran addressing the IAEA’s concerns about the past and possibly ongoing military dimensions of its nuclear program would undermine the verifiability of the deal, and thus the credibility of a comprehensive deal.” Their spokesperson was further quoted, “Fordo will remain open, and its centrifuges will spin.” As the information attained monitoring the news out of the negotiations revealed that it truly is a part of the deal that Iran may continue to utilize the Fordo facilities and continue to maintain six-thousand centrifuges at any given time by our latest information. Six-thousand centrifuges are a really large number for supplying fuel rods for the few reactors currently in use and thus one must conclude that Iran has measured the spines of the Western powers and found them to be lacking and thus capable of misleading themselves and their public into believing they had negotiated a good deal. The Iranians were likely convinced that they were negotiating with a pack of fools simply by how they reacted to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s address to a joint session of Congress by claiming they had Iran cornered and that the deal was as good as was possible all things being considered. Meanwhile, the IAEA had been sounding the warning bells trying to get anybody at the negotiating table in Lausanne, Switzerland to heed their concerns and realize that the deal they are debating is a complete and total lie as the Iranians have been dealing falsely and has no intentions of observing any limitations written into the deal and are making as many of the terms denoted in vague terminology such that there is potentially two manners in which one would be able to interpret the meaning and operate their centrifuges and other materials as freely as they wish. The truth of the matter is that the Iranians often were only capable of running their centrifuges at around forty to forty-five percent of capacity thus agreeing to around one-third of the units in use at any given time, so the six-thousand centrifuges turns out to be the number they use at any given time.

 

The claims by the French that the United States has spent much of the negotiations parroting the Iranian demands trying to make them more readily digestible for the remaining members of the P5+1 were pretty much validated by the defecting Amir Hossein Mottaghi. His relating the weakness displayed by the United States negotiating team also gives credibility to the claims made a couple of weeks ago by some Iranian dissidents that Iran had recently completed and already using a new unreported uranium enrichment site beneath the outskirts of Tehran. They explained the methods used to conceal its construction and how centrifuges were brought into the facility and assembled within the new laboratory and they claimed that the new site was recently completed and the cascades of centrifuges were tested and functioning well producing enriched uranium. The dissidents’ were dismissed as alarmists by the United States and dismissed as unreliable, pretty much as these same dissidents were dismissed when originally claiming that Iran was running secretive enrichment and other nuclear weapons related development which eventually proved valid producing these very talks.

 

But Iranian uranium enrichment is but the tip of the iceberg whose concern should be taken more seriously by the United States and the rest of the appeasing western nations. There is also the question of their rocket and missile research and their near completion of a true ICBM (intercontinental ballistic missile) capable of carrying a nuclear warhead anywhere in the globe with relative accuracy. The definition of relatively accuracy is simply because with nuclear weapons, like horseshoes, often close is sufficient to score. This is one reason the difference between the super accurate United States missiles which were capable of striking their exact target missing it by no more than a couple of inches and their Soviet counterparts which had an accuracy of striking within twenty to thirty or even fifty yards really made little difference when talking about warheads which would lay waste to most of the targeted city. It has been proven by observing Iranian rocket and then missile tests that they have progressed from the simple rockets, which generally went where you pointed them and would strike more often than not within the country they were aimed at, though this might have proved more difficult when striking Israel due to her narrow profile, to large ballistic missiles which have ranges of up to three-thousand kilometers and striking within fifty kilometers of their intended target. Iran has recently claimed to have developed a cruise missile with a range of close to two-thousand kilometers and an accuracy of less than ten meters, an impressive level of accuracy. So there is this front which makes the Iranian development of nuclear weapons all the more ominous and threatening, especially with their continued chanting of, “Death to America”, and “Death to Israel.” These chants which have been a response to the policies of their government and the promises given to destroy these two main enemies and obstacles to a world dominated and ruled by the Iranian Mullahs.

 

This concept brings us to the last leg of the triad of threats posed by the Iranians, namely their ever more rapid attempts to control areas of the Middle East and their expressed desire to further their conquest across Europe. Additional to the Iranian conquest to becoming the leader of the entire Muslim world and spreading their form of Islam across Europe, they have a particular desire to vanquish the Greek islands in revenge for the Persians defeat at the hands of Alexander the Great. The Iranian eventual goal is perhaps the most difficult to believe and pertains to drenching the entire planet in a conflagration in order to speed up the arrival of the Messiah, the Twelfth Imam, who will climb from his hiding place in a well in Qom and lead the Iranians in the purification and conquest of all mankind. This sounds incredulous when one first contends with this Iranian belief that their savior has been hiding since childhood in a well to avoid being murdered by his enemies, the Sunni Muslims, and upon the world being bathed in fire and chaos will climb out from that very same well to lead in the Shiite conquest of the earth. Those who believe this concept are referred to as Twelvers for obvious reasons though I might have called them as duodenary dunderheads. This is perhaps partly the reason why many who have studied the leadership of Iran have posited the idea that deterrence is impossible as such a threat merely plays into their belief that the Twelfth Imam would then arise and lead them to their destined victory over all odds and adversaries, and that is truly frightening when one realizes that it is more likely that Iran is currently manufacturing nuclear warheads which are merely waiting to be married to their own ICBM and launched to the far corners of the globe and everywhere inbetween in order to bring on the salvation of the true believers. If this is not frightening enough to any sane individual, then I know not what might be.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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2 Comments »

  1. Shared your brilliant observations on Google+

    Like

    Comment by Alexis X — March 30, 2015 @ 3:36 AM | Reply

  2. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

    Like

    Comment by OyiaBrown — March 30, 2015 @ 10:22 AM | Reply


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