Beyond the Cusp

April 21, 2015

Iranian Threats Greater Value than Their Treaty Signatures

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Eventually a package will be presented and signed with great flair, fanfare, flourish, pomp and circumstance far in excess of the actual impact and affect the resolutions will possess, no matter whose version you believe, or the pages full of technical definitions, schedules and rights of inspections, both their scope and priorities and their timing and access as well as any specific particulars either side can impress or force the other side to permit to be woven seamlessly into the text, much of which will not survive the first disagreement or protestation despite their being engraved onto fine parchment pages within fine leather bindings, after all, for any agreement of this stature and importance, only the best quality and refinement will do. We were introduced to a taste of the manner by which the different translations apparently can alter the agreement to such an extent as to define the most simple and seemingly obvious of points, such as, “Snap inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will be permitted with access provided within six hours of their initial notice,” can be translated with great care assuring critical points retain their definitions and intents such that one version of these stipulations reads, “Snap inspections will not be attempted or accepted as such are an insult to the integrity and imply distrust which will not be tolerated.” This was an example as nobody is actually sure of any term or sentences included in the actual Framework Agreement as the likely most accurate translations were laboriously produced by the French and the European Union and in both cases the resulting works were claimed to be unintelligible nonsense. So, the next sets of meetings are being scheduled to be held in Vienna for reasons unknown. Our best guess is that one of those select million dollar poker tournaments will be held over a series of weekends allowing for Secretary of State Kerry to unwind while losing some of his wife’s soaked raison monies. We may be wrong but thought it sounded like as great a reason as that they found Lausanne, Switzerland to be far too chilly and figured that a warmer climate might thaw the sides making an agreement more easily accomplished. Perhaps we should start the next paragraph and stop attempting to be amusing.

 

The whole thing is that Iran has been quite up front about their intentions in so many things which when taken at face value are disturbing enough and of such a nature as to make any agreement they sign suspect simply due to their disdain for the Western world and especially their number one enemy which they claim is ripe and primed for destruction. The Fars News Agency has articles full of gems and many make it into their English editions, like this little gem titledIRGC: US Still Remain Iran’s Arch Foe. After a brief introduction they got right into the meat of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRCG) quotes mostly referring to the world according to the elite units which make up this, the special ops and other forces which are tasked with bringing the revolution to the rest of the world. The article jumped right to an IRGC statement released on the threshold of the anniversary of Ashoura, “The US is still the great Satan and the number one enemy of the (Islamic) revolution and the Islamic Republic and the Iranian nation inspired by the lessons of the great uprising of Ashoura, the eternal guidelines of the late Imam Khomeini as well as the wise and vigilant guidelines of Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei as the roadmap and compass of its movement will never allow the dignity and independence of the Islamic homeland to be threatened and harmed by the will of the enemies.” They continued going for the heart of their message and their lack of trust in the negotiations and tactics while blaming the United States for the turmoil and uprisings inflaming the Middle East claiming, “Contemplation on the bitter realities of today, specially the ISIL and Takfiri plots in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon more than any time before shows that the US is the house of the world’s plots and corruption that never intends to compromise and have real friendship with a popular and independent system that manifests the powerful existence of the beloved Islam.”

 

Another article from the same family titled Rallies Held Throughout Iran to Mark US Embassy Takeover relayed a message of great pride reporting that, “Tens of thousands of Iranians from all walks of life, including school and university students, took to the streets to commemorate the National Day of Campaign against Global Arrogance,” and went on to explain once again that “The demonstrators also condemned the US-led western sanctions against Iran, and stressed that the United States is the main enemy of the Iranian nation.” They also placed further emphasis stressing that “Since the 1979 takeover of the US embassy in Tehran, Iranians have been celebrating the occasion every year by holding rallies on the anniversary and marking it as the National Day against the ‘Global Arrogance’.” The article also explained that the day also commemorated numerous other anniversaries and concluded with a message of “Iranian university students took over the US embassy building to thwart what they called Washington’s plots against the Islamic Revolution. Inside the embassy, the students found shredded documents which proved their convictions.” The article was headed with a picture shot with an angle giving the impression of a large crown of people pressed together but only depicting an extremely small section thus could easily have been a particularly poor turnout as you can see below as we include their accompanying picture from the article.

Iranian annual celebration of American Embassy Takeover angled to present largest crowd while viewing a narrow slice

Iranian annual celebration of American Embassy Takeover angled to present largest crowd while viewing a narrow slice

 

 

Iran has made numerous statements since 1979 presenting their hatred and distrust of the United States, the Western world, and their intent to destroy Israel using numerous allegorical and insinuating statements. Of course the first instance we found where words in Farsi do not always mean what any literal translation claims they mean as the Iranians are the ones who decide how each word should translate into other languages and even resort to explaining that there is no accurate translation and if they were to explain the actual meanings of many of their statements the entire Farsi statement would lose all meanings in any translation because other languages are so primitive that they do not have words with the full and accurate meaning including the innuendos, implications, intents and actual and figurative relations between the words thus translation is absolutely impossible. What their disingenuous excuses for the inability of Farsi to be translated to another language is simple, if I may quote the Spaniard, “You Keep Using That Word, I Do Not Think It Means What You Think It Means.” Of course there are no words in Farsi for, “Hello. My name is Inigo Montoya. You killed my father. Prepare to die.” But there likely is a single Farsi word to exclaim the simple command given by Fezzik the giant played by Andre the Giant in response to Inigo Montoya while fighting the crowd calmly requested assistance saying, “Excuse… Excuse me… Excuse me… Fezzik, please?” and Fezzik complied with the unspoken request with a simple, “Everybody Move!” Perhaps somebody should tell all the sides in the Iranian negotiations with the P5+1, which consists of Russia, China, France, Great Britain, Germany and the United States, as they need some added impetus as these negotiations have lasted long enough for Iran to have produced a dozen warheads by the time June 30, 2015 rills around and they very likely will announce to the world that they have grown closer, before growing apart, and with just a few months more and they should be within a lifetime from making a deal both sides can be proud to have pieced together.

 

Meanwhile, the United States can expect the Iranians to continue to stall, deceive and obfuscate all the while spinning an ever increasing number and installing improved quality to accompany the quantity all the while refusing to reply to questions while hampering inspections. The possibility that Iran has been fashioning warheads to match the reverse engineered original deactivated super EMP and other warheads they received during the period where the world was unsure of the status of numerous of the Soviet Union’s nuclear warheads sitting in neighboring nations where they could have been sold to the highest bidder. There were many rumors flying as the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact nations were falling to protests and even outright revolutions where leaders of the Communist Parties needed cash fast in order to reach a safe destination to retire with ample funds for a comfortable life. Selling a few nuclear warheads, even those without their central core making them inert, to an interested party such as Iran who held a fair amount of oil-soaked funds with which to purchase the entire range of such weapons, one should expect that the Iranians took great advantage of this situation. The Russian Super EMP Nuclear Warhead was considered to be in Iranian hands needing simply its nuclear core to be made operational. Of course such a warhead would be worth far more if it could be duplicated by the Iranian scientists, something definitely within their abilities.

 

The probability for Iran to have already manufactured even a single warhead fully armed including having a useable and detonable core, then it must be assumed that they have a couple dozen such warheads, both for EMP and others for regular detonating usage. Iran has presumably been working to produce a nuclear weapon since the early 1990s if not even before then. When one figured that the United States developed and built three devices, one for testing before usage, another of the same type built for use from a Boeing B-29 Superfortress, and another different design which they were so assured that it would be capable of detonation that it was deployed also in the Enola Gay without having been tested. The development of the United States first nuclear weapons systems took under four years. Of course it will be pointed out that the United States managed this under war type conditions where there existed a driving force making the development much faster as it had every top mind necessary working towards the development. The Iranians also believe they are at war with the world. One can see the evidence in the articles referred to at the beginning of the article, and their enemies are Israel and the United States, the little Satan and the Big Satan. These references are the driving necessities matching the same conditions existing back in the early developmental period of the United States. Iran has stated as much and regularly has rallies where the people chant to” bomb the United States” and to “bomb Israel” just as if the two nations, Israel and the United States were at war with Iran. The Iranian People are regularly told that the United States is believed itself at war with Iran and the proof is in the frightening rallies held most often every Friday after prayers.

 

Additionally, the Iranian government regularly has parades where the latest rockets and missiles are paraded before the people with drawings on them as well as notes written saying hello to the United States or Israel in them. These missiles are a part of military reviews which make up many Iranian memorial commemorative parades honoring the military or paying tribute to the Supreme Leaders Ayatollah Ali Hosseini Khamenei, or to the Former Supreme Leader and Father of the Revolution Ruhollah Moosavi Khomeini or Commemorating historic events such as the storming of the Embassy of the United States and taking over four-hundred hostages. There are also such parades held when celebrating historic events which have to do with Shia Islam, the Twelfth Imam, Mohammad’s life and other events where these displays of military might are used to impress on the people that their nation is strong and an equal in power against any other nation on the planet, particularly the United States and Israel. The Iranian President, Supreme Leader and other ranking Iranian political, religious and military leaders often in speeches to remind the people that the Revolution will be spread and that the conquest and glory of their Revolution has plans to place its flag over the White House and that their military leadership have designated numerous targets which are weak which they will strike when the time is right and how the exploding of sixty-thousand missiles will bring the entirety of Western decadence to its knees leaving them eradicated as punishment for their arrogance. These displays are very reminiscent of the Soviet Union May Day Parades and other militaristic reviews as still held in China and North Korea putting the Iranians in good company whose history of broken promises and trashed agreement where their signatures on treaties only promised their inevitable disregard unless the treaty had strictly defined methods putting forth exactly how such terms were to be enforced, or as President Reagan would say it, “Trust but verify.” One vital item on every such treaty which was paramount for the “Trust but verify” was the snap surprise inspection. If such inspections are delayed even a single day then one should assume the treaty has been violated and if the other side refuses to include surprise snap inspections, which indicate they have absolutely no intentions to keep to the terms of the agreement. Another telltale sign that the one side intends to ignore and break even the intents of an agreement is when they demand that their reward be granted upon signing and not delivered in stages after proof of compliance. It is interesting that the Iranians are refusing to permit snap inspections, inspections of military instillations where work might be underway in violation of the treaty, the obligation to answer questions about present and past military applications which have been or are being undertaken, and the Iranians are demanding the complete removal of all sanctions immediately upon the signing of any agreement. If you require any further proof that the Iranians are not planning on keeping any of their obligations to any treaty then you must have been one of those who negotiated with former President Carter at the behest of President Clinton with the North Koreans to prevent their becoming a nuclear weapons power, oh wait, many of the people working on this deal from the State Department are the same ones they had negotiate with North Korea, whatever could go wrong? My bet is that Secretary of State Kerry, in grand fashion very similar to that of President Carter, will announce how this treaty guarantees Iran will be unable to develop and manufacture nuclear weapons for at least ten to fifteen years. This announcement will likely be followed within eighteen months an Iranian test of a nuclear weapon, the best case scenario, or the worst case scenario the Iranians will use nuclear weapons as the initial strike to be followed by their invading the target nation, if it should be as we would expect, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the Gulf States taking control of the remainder of the largest oil fields currently active in the immediate area of Iran and their puppet state of Iraq.

 

We have made a Page with select Military Displays of military parade reviews to give you a smattering of the troops and some of their weapons and missiles with an emphasis on their ballistic missiles. We will be needing at some future date to include pictures of the Russian S-300 series anti-aircraft radars and missile systems, one of the top systems of its kind in the world assessed to equal or possibly surpass the United States Patriot Missile Batteries. The inclusion of these systems will make any airstrike on Iran very costly demanding that either a large force of fourth generation aircraft or an attack force comprised of stealth aircraft if one is to overcome these systems. They are a game changer and Vladimir Putin, or as we like to refer to him, Vlad the Invader, knows full well that the S-300 anti-aircraft system may technically be a defensive system incapable of attacking any nation in itself, its ability to defeat virtually any air assault by any nation save the United States would prove so costly that no nation in the Middle East could dare attack Iran and deter their drive to nuclear weapons capabilities as it would make their enrichment and other facilities near impossible to strike with aircraft, cruise missiles or medium range ballistic missiles thus making the Iranian path to nuclear armaments a well paved six lane freeway without even a single pothole. So much for the S-300 being merely defensive when it guards the Iranian capability to produce nuclear weapons and the ballistic missiles on which to deliver them to their targets.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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1 Comment »

  1. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

    Like

    Comment by OyiaBrown — April 22, 2015 @ 9:25 AM | Reply


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