Beyond the Cusp

November 17, 2017

Saudis Could Push Abbas into Iranian Hands


The smell of the United States is all over the recent Saudi Arabian initiatives being executed by Riyadh in the Middle East. Just last week Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri was called to Riyadh by the Saudi Royal Family for some emergency talks. While there he resigned his post giving a television interview soon after. In the broadcast, Hariri was attacking Iran and its Hezbollah proxy, and claiming that he would return to Lebanon in the coming days to formally submit his resignation to Lebanese President Michel Aoun. This was not completely outside his honest feelings but was not a normal act. Should Hariri remain in Lebanon for any extended period of time and remain at all active politically, he can expect to face the same end as his father, assassinated.


Now we hear that Mahmoud Abbas has been demanded by the Saudi Royal Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman to accept the upcoming Trump peace proposal or resign. He was further instructed, or warned depending on your interpretation, to not seek the assistance or relations with Iran or any Iranian proxies. The Saudis expressed to Abbas, according to reports, their distrust, disfavor and distress over Saleh al-Arouri visiting Tehran in October. Arouri, a Hamas terror chief, was the Hamas signatory on a reconciliation deal with Abbas’s Fatah group signed in Cairo last month. The Saudis making him into an Iranian agent is an attempt to drive a wedge between the Palestinian Authority (PA) and Hamas using Iran as the issue. They are also giving Abbas a direct challenge, either you are with us, the Saudis and implied the United States, or you are with them, Iran, Hezbollah, Syria and implied the Russians. This is hardball tactics and is being implemented ham-handedly. With Iran having already tendered generous offers of weapons, training and possibly manpower including volunteers to carry our suicide bombings inside Jerusalem and potentially Tel Aviv and other sensitive prime targets within Israel, Abbas being pressed now by the Saudis simply to choose, as the Saudis are not offering anything additional to what they already provide, implied here American support, and Abbas requiring what the Iranians are proffering will very likely choose Iran. Abbas is more likely to challenge the Saudi Royals and test President Trump and may very well bet that he is safer and better supported by the Iranians and prefer IRGC and al-Quds Brigade support to Saudi cash and as he knows the United States must talk with him to make any peace, and be willing to push President Trump to choose.


Saudis Tell Abbas to Accept Trump Peace Plan or Resign

Saudis Tell Abbas to Accept Trump Peace Plan or Resign


If, as we suspect, President Trump is behind this Saudi push to force choices to be made concerning Iran or Saudi support, he has miscalculated badly. This will only serve to push more influence to Iran and take it from the Saudi Royals. Saudi Arabia, despite its oil revenues, is currently somewhat cash strapped and not able to both buy arms and pay the bills of their member states who depend on their support for their existence such as Egypt, Lebanon and others while Iran, thanks to President Obama’s generous gifts in his attempt to make Iran the hegemonic Middle East Islamic power, had hundreds of millions of dollars which they plan on using to their greatest benefit and in attempts to surround Israel. They already own the southern half of Iraq including Mosul, thanks to Western imperial stupidity led by the British in their efforts to prevent the Kurdish People from realizing self-determination and their own nation state, as well as Syria and its Golan Heights border with Israel. Iran through Hezbollah pretty much control Lebanon and, with the Hariri resignation, will soon control the government squeezing out the moderates, Christians, non-Shia Muslims and other minorities. The pressure placed on Hariri, if that was what was the impetus for his resignation, has lost any hope for Lebanon to break free from Iraq and now has given the opportunity for IRGC forces to set up the planned Iranian base in southern Lebanon near the Israel border. The next targets in the Iranian plot to surround Israel, Jordan and the PA. With the Saudi Royals placing a choose now with no middle ground options to Abbas, he is very likely to call the Saudi’s bluff and see if the United States will abandon all hope of an Arab-Israeli peace.


Abbas knows that President Trump has salivated over the opportunity to manage to end the Arab-Israeli conflict, or at least the Palestinian side of this conflict, as he has already laid down the gauntlet and taken on that quest. President Trump sees himself as the ultimate deal-maker and just the person to hammer out an agreement; after all, as he puts it, he has made billion dollar deals in New York City and, to quote a show tune, “If I can make it there, I’ll make it anywhere. It’s up to you, New York, New York.” Unfortunately, if what has leaked is true and President Trump is designing a peace offering around the “Two-State Solution of two states for two peoples living side by side in peace and security,” we have all been there, rejected that by Abbas and as long as President Trump insists that the Jews rule their own state, the deal is dead on arrival. That is a fact which Abbas has made very clear on numerous occasions. But as long as President Trump is going to attempt to make a peace proposal, then he is going to have to meet with Abbas or the problems will remain and the violence continue which would make for a horrific resulting peace. That means that Abbas and not the Saudi Royals is sitting in the driver’s seat and controlling the vehicle and if the Saudis demand Abbas choose his preferable passengers, his preferred partners, they had best sweeten their deal and stop making threats as the Iranians are out bribing people to buy their friendship. In the Middle East, you are my friend as long as you can and are empowering me and right now, the Iranians are offering to empower Abbas while the Saudis are threatening to cut him off. Which way would you choose? Here is the lands of crazy friends where Sunni and Shiite are considered impossible bedfellows you have Sunni Hamas in bed with Shiite Iran and Turkey playing all sides against the middle, that will not end well for Erdogan at some point, and Iraq dancing completely to the Iranian tune yet the only force to oppose them are the Kurdish militias which would be far stronger together defending their own lands yet the Sunnis are opposing their efforts simply because they are not true Arabs, actually not Arab at all.


The Middle East is currently in flux and everything and everyone is ready to jump ship and seek a more affluent and generous benefactor. Turkey is seeking some route whereby they become the renewed Ottoman Caliphate with much of Syria and Iraq as their territory, which are also the lands where the Kurdish People are found which explain why Erdogan has the Turkish forces engaged in Syria fighting the Kurds and calling them Islamic State. Egypt is seeking to be left alone except for their need for funds as their economy is stuck in the mire and going nowhere and even doing that slowly. The other two powers are Iraq and Saudi Arabia who are fighting one another in Yemen. The Saudis are presumably aligned with the United States and with Rex Tillerson holding the office of Secretary of State; this gives the Saudis a friend advising the White House. The Iranians no longer have an ally in Washington, are content with having Russia as their friend of the moment, and are seeking more than simply control of the Middle East and an end to Israel. While the Saudis are attempting to hold on to the status quo and are not acting proactively, they very well may find themselves out of the picture perceived as being weak. On the other hand, the Iranians appear strong and willing to do whatever must be done to empower the people of the Middle East and this fact may allow them to gain the support of the Arab Middle East despite their being Persians and not actual Arabs.


If the United States plans to prevent Iran from spreading their tentacles into Europe, the time to act is immediately. Iran has made great strides in their trade relations and contracts with European countries, France and Germany in particular. Should Iran manage to gain the upper hand with most of the Islamic communities in Europe, we could see them start to take control over governments in Europe starting with France and Germany. What everybody need understand and understand now is that Iran intends to rule the world and will take as long as required in order to do so. They played President Obama like a Fender Stratocaster guitar. They realized his time was limited and he was desperate to make a deal and willing to buy their cooperation. That is why the Iran nuclear deal gives Iran an all but immediate route to nuclear weapons, gave Iran boatloads (actually plane loads) of cash and provided them with a secret deal on the side, which has been kept a deep dark secret. Iran is poised to make a start at control of much of the Middle East, placing a foothold in the Horn of Africa, making inroads in Europe and generally extending their control to a point where they are on the threshold of a breakout from which only three nations in the Western hemisphere would be standing in their way, Russia, the United States and, of course, Israel. Of the three, the only one recognizing this threat and calling it out to the world are the Israelis. The question now is will anybody even listen to the Israeli warnings and even should they hear it, would they heed it and take any actions. We fear the answer to all those queries is the same resounding “No.” The world is following a familiar path where empires fall and evils run amuck.


Beyond the Cusp


1 Comment »

  1. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.


    Comment by OyiaBrown — November 25, 2017 @ 10:17 AM | Reply

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