Beyond the Cusp

June 13, 2018

The Consequence of the View from Hamas

 

The initial requirement to discuss this subject is to establish why Hamas matters and what their view is. Hamas matters because in an election held in Gaza they received over three-quarters of the votes. Many polls of the Gazan population have shown over eighty percent of Gazan support firing rockets into Israel. The leadership recently was passed on and the new person who is responsible for day-to-day activities and reality in Gaza was passed to Yahya Sinwar. We recently were provided with statements made by Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar who stated, “eat the livers of those besieging” as well as “tear out their hearts from their bodies.” Such statements do not leave much room for doubt. Additionally, Yahya Sinwar has declared, The March of Return will continue,” Sinwar said. “It will not stop until we remove this transient border.” On the violent riots and attempts at the border that Hamas refers to as the “March of Return,” he additionally stated, (The) “March of Return affirms that our people can’t give up one inch of the land of Palestine. The protests will continue until the Palestinians return to the lands they were expelled from 70 years ago.” What must be noted of great importance is his reference to seventy years ago. Seventy years ago was the year 1948, the year when Israel came into existence. He is simply declaring that the violence in one form or another, mass rioting on the border, tunneling into Israel to attack Israeli civilians, firing rockets over the border targeting Israeli communities, flying kites with incendiary explosive devices over the border intending to burn crops or peoples homes or businesses or other properties, and new forms of violence we have yet to witness as well as military action should they receive sufficient provisions to be a potent enough threat to invade Israel, all until Israel is completely destroyed and the Jews eradicated. This is the view from Hamas and thus the generally accepted view of the vast majority of Gazans.

 

To reach an agreement with Hamas and the denizens of Gaza, the Jews in Israel would need to flee, commit suicide or allow Hamas and the Gazans to slaughter them while the remainder of the Israeli population would have to decide to live under Sharia with Hamas as their permanent governance or fleeing. Hamas will not stop violent resistance and insurrection until they erase Israel or something very much dramatic should occur. Even if Hamas were forced from Gaza along with their supporters into the Sinai Peninsula, they would carve out an area on the Israeli border where they would fight any Egyptian forces while continuing to attack Israel. Read that again, Hamas pushed from Israel would remain on the Israeli border and fight Israel while also removing any remnant of Egyptian authority even if such would require Hamas to fight a war with Egypt. This would end up placing Hamas backed by Iran and potentially reinforced by IRGC troops sent by Iran fighting against Egypt unless Egypt simply surrendered their border area with Israel to Hamas and Iran. This would provide Iran with another border where they could place their troops along the border with Israel in addition to the Lebanese and Syrian borders. So, if Israel were to push Hamas and their supporters out of Gaza into the Sinai Peninsula, that would very definitely make Egyptian leaders very upset as they have enough problems with the terrorist and criminal entities currently populating much of the vast Sinai Peninsula, and to Israel it is very large, almost three times the size of Israel. Pushing Hamas from Gaza thus would not only not resolve the problem; it would also make problems for Egypt who would rightfully blame Israel for this added distress. But that would be but a small part of the added problems such would cause.

 

Additionally, pushing Hamas into the Sinai Peninsula would make the problem a factor of over four from fifty-one kilometers to two-hundred-sixty-six kilometers. What would make things exponentially worse is the fact that once established on the Egyptian side of the Israel-Egypt border, Hamas would gain access for importing heavy weaponry and whatever provisions they might desire by simply using the Red Sea or Mediterranean Sea as well as the smuggling routes already existent within the Sinai Peninsula. Where Israel might be capable of patrolling the Red Sea and the Mediterranean Sea where they border the eastern leg of the Red Sea and the northern Sinai Peninsula along the Mediterranean Sea, the western leg of the Red Sea is largely within Egypt and thus Israel would need to rely on Egypt to patrol this region. As this is also the route taken by shipping using the Suez Canal, patrolling this region would be next to impossible. The result of these conditions would result in a far more dangerous and heavily armed Hamas with provisions of any nature which Iran might decide to provide. This could include tanks, heavy mobile artillery, far larger missiles with advanced guidance systems, anti-armor weaponry far more advanced than the current level, more advanced anti-aircraft weapons including MANPADS and if they establish a region of sufficient size, they could be provided with aircraft and pilots. The simple point is that with Hamas in Gaza, Israel is capable of enforcing a blockade permitting all non-military use goods to pass including all humanitarian provisions while preventing military and other weaponry. Egypt also has a similar blockade on Gaza which permits in negligible aid when compared to the amounts which pass through Israel into Gaza. The problems of losing control prevents Israel simply pushing Hamas out of Gaza into the Sinai Peninsula as this would, with time, make Hamas into another Hezballah with over one-hundred-fifty-thousand missiles and rockets all aimed at Israel now along the southern Egyptian-Israeli border just as Hezballah has along the Lebanon-Israeli border and now the Syrian-Israeli border. Pushing Hamas from Gaza would actually be counter-productive.

 

Israeli Borders Map showing current border with Hamas and Gaza and Israeli border with Hezballah in Lebanon and Syria and Egyptian border with Gaza and Israeli blockade of Gaza

Israeli Borders Map showing current border with Hamas and Gaza
and Israeli border with Hezballah in Lebanon and Syria
and Egyptian border with Gaza and Israeli blockade of Gaza

 

That leads us to the big question, what option does Israel have concerning Gaza as continuing with the threat growing constantly more dangerous is completely unacceptable. Israel would be foolish to push Hamas along with Islamic Jihad into the Sinai Peninsula for the reasons above. This would mean that the reconquest of Gaza allowing the leadership and other members of Hamas and Islamic Jihad to escape is not a viable solution. Any point at which an Israeli intervention into Gaza would begin to give the hint that this was not going to be another smash and leave operation but a complete reconquest, the leadership of Hamas and Islamic Jihad would do everything in their power to escape to the Sinai Peninsula, something which must be prevented. This would require more than simply taking the Gaza side of the Gaza-Egypt border as it is assured that there exists more than one escape tunnel leading from their network surrounding their command bunker in the sublevels of the Shifa Hospital into the Sinai Peninsula crossing either under the Egypt-Gaza border or even passing under the Mediterranean Sea and back into the Sinai Peninsula. Israel would need to take all these separate tunnels and do so before the leadership under the Shifa Hospital could discern what Israel was planning. The simple and only means of reaching peace on the Gaza border would be to destroy the entire leadership of both Hamas and Islamic Jihad and completely cleanse Gaza of all weaponry and weapons manufacturing facilities. The factories can be left intact but the forms and molds for making rocket engines and as much other dedicated weapons machinery would need be destroyed or confiscated. It is understandable that not all such machinery can be removed as some equipment is dual use and thus legal, but taking the vast amount and the dies for making the rocket and mortar components would set back production to such a point as to remove much of the threats. Further, those who manufacture these weapons would be amongst the Hamas officials who would be on the Israeli lists of wanted personnel, which would start with Yahya Sinwar. Lastly, any Hamas officials who might escape would need to be placed on international arrest warrants by Israel and any other nations who would also desire to remove these terrorist leaders from becoming a threat.

 

One item of interest is that despite his brave words, Yahya Sinwar has not been an active member in the border rioting. He has not joined those slinging rocks across the border, those flying kites with incendiary kites over the border, those cutting the border fence attempting to cut holes through which to pass, those crawling to the fence with weapons to shoot at IDF positions nor those burning thousands of tires to produce smokescreens. Yahya Sinwar has appeared one morning at the aid station over half a kilometer behind the active rioting where he delivered his great speech declaring, “The protests will continue until the Palestinians return to the lands they were expelled from 70 years ago.” This has been his contribution, the man who used to be the commander of the militant arm of Hamas and now its absolute leader within Gaza, shouting where the media could cover his brave outbursts demanding the followers risk their lives committing acts of violence and war against Israel. It is an act of war to hurl incendiary devices onto fields of crops causing close to twenty-million dollars in damage and soon to surpass even that number. It is an act of war to attempt to force a mass border transgression with the intent of murdering the civilians of another nation. It is an act of war to fire upon border agents of a neighboring nation. It is an act of war to purposely destroy border-monitoring equipment with the intent of allowing for an invasion or the incursion of a small group to conduct terrorist attacks. It is an environmental act of war to pollute the air across a border through the burning of tens of thousands of tires causing noxious smoke to cover acts of aggression and attempted breaching of the border to conduct acts of terror. It is an act of war to have leaders demand people riot on the border with the intent of their actions leading to the destruction of another nation. The actions which Hamas and Islamic Jihad have been taking on the border with Israel are sufficient provocation which any other nation would have used troops to bring such actions to an end removing any threat posed. Such actions would be legal under international law as explained in this article, “Anticipatory Self-Defence Under International Law” (PDF File).

 

Yahya Sinwar Bravely Declaring Support for Rioters from the Remote Safety of the Aid Tent

Yahya Sinwar Bravely Declaring Support for Rioters from the Remote Safety of the Aid Tent

 

The rioting and the entire coverage by the world media have been disgraceful. Their depiction of everything being an orderly, peaceful, benign, civil rights demonstration has been literally turning a blind eye. The stringers are providing the media with their stories as they sit calmly and safely on the Tel Aviv beach at their favorite coffee bistro, sleeping in their five-star hotel, and eating in the finest restaurants. These stringers are mostly Hamas propaganda operatives, better known as trusted sources within Gaza. These stringer know to stand exactly in the middle of the entirety of the action with the rioting and violence on one side and the peaceful scenes of families having picnics and kids playing soccer, of men kneeling in prayer and the aid tent treating the injured, and they know to face away from the rioting when aiming their cameras except to take a video of a group rushing by with a person on a stretcher. We showed one of their videos which showed a youth on crutches who suddenly was capable of fleeing with great alacrity despite his crutches which he held over his head waving them in the air, suddenly he was perfectly capable and no sign of a limp. (video can be watched in our article here) This has a name here calling it Pallywood. The media in Hamas has their stories and pictures checked by minders from Hamas and if they hope to continue covering things as they occur in Gaza, then they must keep to the dictated lines of propaganda. There is a limit to what is permitted to be shown through the Western Media to their viewers and break these rules and you no longer are provided with coverage. Lose your ability to report on the happenings in Gaza and you might also lose your position, your employment. This is why the major media companies’ reporters use the stringers which Hamas assigns them and choose to sit in Tel Aviv all comfortable and safe. What is also interesting is that reporters can freely report from inside Gaza knowing they are safe from injury but the same is not true from the Israeli side. Think about this for a minute, it is not because the Israelis are more dangerous, it is because the Israelis are in greater danger of being shot. In Gaza, you know that unless you are very unfortunate, you will only be targeted if you are performing an act of aggression. If you are with the IDF forces and poke your head up to take a picture or shoot a video, you are very likely to be shot by a sniper from within Gaza, a Hamas or Islamic Jihad sniper. The reality is very different from reported and the solution is definitely different from reported. As far as the Deal of the Century from President Trump, it will be dead on arrival, as Mahmoud Abbas will refuse anything which permits Israel to exist as the Jewish State; and Hamas, under Yahya Sinwar, will not even be read as long as Israel exists and it would not be necessary should Israel cease to exist. The simple truth is the Palestinian Arabs from both societies under their current leadership and any leadership in the foreseeable future have one stipulation for peace, no Israel and no Jews. It really is that simple, and Israel simply refuses to commit suicide, thank you.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

1 Comment »

  1. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

    Like

    Comment by OyiaBrown — June 17, 2018 @ 7:56 AM | Reply


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