Beyond the Cusp

December 2, 2018

Iran and Proxies Increasingly Threatening Israel Part I

 

The level of threats of violence by Iran and its proxies against Israel has taken a marked increase since the ceasefire was negotiated between Israel and Hamas through Egyptian proxies. The Hamas leader in the Gaza Strip, Yahya Sinwar, threatened that Israel would feel the full wrath that the terror group and its allies were capable should Israel start a new round of violence. Hezballah has also threatened to destroy every Israeli city, town and village should Israel attack Lebanon (see video below). Adding to these, Iran has issued a number of threats through President Hassan Rouhani as well as through Supreme Leader, Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei their complimentary denunciations referring to Israel as a cancer which requires excising, while stating on Twitter, “The Zionist regime is clearly weaker than 10, 20 years ago. A few years ago they fought Hezbollah for 33 days and were defeated. They were defeated 2 years later in the 22-day war on Palestinian resistance; in 8-day war on oppressed people of Gaza and recently in the 2-day war.” Adding to these threats is the news that the IRGC has added two new forces in Syria stationing one along the Syria-Iraq border and the other between Damascus and the Golan Heights along the Syrian-Israeli border. A further troubling event has been the flight of a 747 packed with Iranian weapons destined for Hezbollah flying directly from Tehran to Beirut’s Rafic Hariri Airport on Thursday. This opens up an entirely new route being implemented to directly arm Hezballah with the latest Iranian arms. This will likely quicken the pace at which Hezballah receives guidance modules to retrofit their rockets transforming them into highly accurate missiles with which to target specific Israeli vital infrastructure. This addition has crossed one of the Israeli red lines which may be much of what is behind these new vociferous threat warnings coming from Iran and their proxies.

 

 

The crossed red line came about as Iran decided that simply adding more rockets to the already burgeoning one-hundred-fifty-million rockets would be basically wasted efforts. Instead, Iran has been providing add-on kits which provide the ability to target specific structures and deliver the payloads often within a few meters of intended targets. Israel recognizes that the largest of the rockets in the Hezballah inventory being altered into guided missiles threatens Israel in a manner unlike that of the less accurate rockets. With these guidance systems, instead of Hezballah launching fifty, one or two hundred rockets in the general area of the Dimona nuclear plant, they would be able to launch as few as a dozen guided missiles which would all successfully target the actual reactors themselves all requiring that Israel successfully intercept these launchings. We do not mean and are not denigrating the Israeli ability to intercept these devices threatening Dimona, as we are aware that Israel has some newer systems coming on-line recently which will surprise her adversaries. Still the refitting of the rockets in Lebanon and the free shipping route being implemented does not bode well for Israel and has definitively threatened the uneasy peace on the northern border. Iran continues to push the envelope as if they are seeking a resumption of violence along the Lebanese and Syrian borders with Israel. Adding in Hamas with Islamic Jihad along the southwestern border and potentially IRGC aided terrorists from within the Sinai Peninsula and basically, one has surrounded Israel except for her borders with Jordan. This has been a dream of the Ayatollahs in Iran for quite a long time and now having the capability for directly aiding their terror representatives in Lebanon, Hezballah, the upgrading of rockets to guided missiles can continue apace and without delays. This will press Israel to answer as allowing these upgrades to progress past a certain point will make defending critical infrastructures and IDF bases increasingly difficult even with the most advanced defensive capabilities. Israel is being pushed inexorably into a multi-front conflict facing Iranian terror proxies Hezballah and Hamas with Islamic Jihad plus facing threats from IRGC forces in Syria and potentially embedded within the Sinai Peninsula as well as along the Golan Heights. One only need peruse the range of the Hezballah rockets and imagine the largest of them transformed into guided missiles to realize why Israel must not permit such a task to be completed (see table below). Such a transformation changes a serious threat from viable to specific threat against the very life-blood of Israel, her infrastructure imperiling life within the tiny nation.

 

Hezballah Rocket & Missile Threat

Hezballah Rocket & Missile Threat

 

None of these threats sits well with the Israeli public, much of which would understand any activity taken by Israel to mitigate these new levels of threats. This was partly the reason that Naftali Bennett did not crash the coalition when he was denied the Defense Ministry. What becomes truly frightening is if such violence is unfurled next fall while Israelis are waiting to vote on Election Day. Israel is resourceful, would not allow rubble to mark where building once stood, and has never been rebuilt despite receiving funds in payment for its rebuilding. But the Hamas government thrives on misery. Hamas believes that the Gaza population falls into two categories, those who are actively supporting the revolution against Israel and those who can play victim for the western media to use against Israel. Perhaps you recognized the common chord, against Israel. This is the entire methodology behind the governance in Gaza as well as to the Palestinian Authority and numerous international organizations. These Arab funded anti-Israel NGO’s were the initial wave against Israel and as time progressed and leftist NGO’s required additional funding, guess what they discovered, opposing Israel would lead to funding at levels they had only dreamed of obtaining. This made anti-Israelism and anti-Zionism two of the favorite positions of the left, especially the extreme left, as it provided the funds they required. These were the groups at the forefront claiming that blaming Israel for everything was not anti-Semitism, it was simply honest discourse. This caught on like wildfire across Europe as now they could oppose Israel and Jews who supported Israel and to claim to not be anti-Semitic. Iran latched on to this as it served their discourse perfectly.

 

What is frightening is if one was to closely scrutinize the Palestinian Authority, Iran and Hamas and one would be able to draw some simple but obvious conclusions. These three separate governances all are devoted to the destruction of the Jewish State, Israel, and all three are willing to sacrifice their population in exchange for making gains in destroying Israel. All three spend their funding financing those who murder Jews, or any other Israeli as the first fatality in the latest Hamas rocket barrages was an illegal Arab Palestinian residing in Ashkelon from the West Bank Palestinian city of Hebron, not an Israeli citizen. The two others residing in the same building were severely injured but survived, both Israeli citizens. Of course, Iran intends dropping a few nuclear weapons on top of Israel and be rid of that they call a one-bomb country. We must at least give them credit over some of the less educated among us who believe that Israel is about the same size as the United States. There is a comparison between Israel and the United States, unfortunately, it concerns the state of New Jersey which shares size comparison with Israel and the Arab world is larger than the remaining United States and closer resembles the rest of the United States and Canada plus possibly Mexico to complete the comparison. Yes, Israel is a tiny little nation nestled on the eastern edge of the Mediterranean Sea and barely perceptible on most globes of the world.

 

The main difference, for now, is that while Hamas can threaten to be capable of destroying Israel, currently they do not have such a capability and neither does the Palestinian Authority or even Hezballah, they could all hurt Israel and if they used their combined forces possibly push Israel to the edge, but in the end it would be their forces destroyed. Iran, on the other hand, has nuclear weapons, granted they are rather rudimentary, which if they were capable of detonating four or five of them within Israeli borders would almost destroy the nation and make the remnants vulnerable. To accomplish this they would be required to launch very likely twenty-five, thirty possibly over forty to get three missiles past Israel defenses and Iran would never survive the retaliatory strike. Currently, it is doubtful that Iran has that many nuclear weapons to fire at Israel thus they would only be guaranteed of severely upsetting a major nuclear power. The really nice thing is that the people who measure the nuclear weapons capabilities of nations severely underestimate the numbers and kinds of nuclear warheads, but please do not tell them of their error, we prefer it this way. The developed world who are the super-nuclear powers with numbers of thermos-nuclear devices for warheads are of the belief that only their scientists are brilliant enough to design and their machinists so practiced so as to build to design, the necessary components to make the H-bomb, the thermonuclear devices. We agree, there is no way the Israeli physicists, engineers and machinists could ever match the expertise of these other super-powers, Israel is simply a second-rate power, that is all. Of course it is.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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4 Comments »

  1. […] Egyptian proxies. The Hamas leader in the Gaza Strip, Yahya Sinwar, threatened that … (Source 12/2/2018 5:06 […]

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    Pingback by Iran and Proxies Increasingly Threatening Israel Part I - WORDPRESS.COMPASS — December 2, 2018 @ 4:40 AM | Reply

  2. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

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    Comment by OyiaBrown — December 6, 2018 @ 7:31 AM | Reply


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