Beyond the Cusp

January 30, 2019

Iran Threatens Israel with Missiles from Lebanon and Gaza

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 2:58 AM
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General Ali Shamkhani, Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, stated in reference to former Minister of the Knesset Gonen Segev, “While the affairs of corruption are about to suffocate the Israeli prime minister, whose cabinet ministers have become a source of information for Iran and under whose feet hundreds of kilometers of tunnels have been dug, he creates unnecessary noise and still claims that his regime enjoys intelligence superiority.” This barb aimed at Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu pushed the disgraces Knesset Minister Segev, who was recently sentenced to eleven years in prison, after he agreed to a plea bargain deal with prosecutors, while making threats about superior Iranian intelligence abilities as well as the terror tunnels which Israel has been detecting and destroying. Apparently, General Shamkhani has overlooked or forgotten the little fact that Israel stole half of a ton of Iranian nuclear research records from their central Tehran secure location in a single night not all that long ago (read some of the taken files here. But the Iranian General just had to gloat and follow that up with threats adding, “Accurate missiles are in the strong hands of the resistance fighters in Gaza and Lebanon, and they are ready to fire at Israel if it commits an act of stupidity. The shooting of the missiles can make their lives hell.” The problem comes when one understands what the Iranian regime considers Israel acting stupidly.


There are almost an infinite number of things which the Iranian regime considers stupidly. Almost all of them are in the category of nonthreatening acts and a small percentage belongs in the category of defense of border integrity or threat removal when intelligence infers that an attack may be imminent. The obvious items on the list are the attacks Israel has conducted concerning Syria. Using only Israeli air space, Israel has struck targets within Syria containing IRGC missile logistics and launch facilities. Such attacks have been utilized to prevent, as much as Israel finds possible while remaining within Israeli air space, Iranian forces in Syria from placing missile facilities which are placed for their use against Israel and not for the fighting ongoing in Syria. These have been defensive strikes attempting to limit the logistical buildup by Iran of facilities for an attack on Israel. Iran has often declared their intent to destroy Israel and have declared sufficiently loud and clear enough their intentions that a technical state of war exists between the two nations. Still, as no formal declarations have been announced, Israel takes care not to overfly Syria as much as is possible. The threat coming from the Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council refer directly to their assistance in the buildup of ever greater threats by rockets and missiles in the hands of the two main terror threats perched on the Israeli northern and southern borders. These are Hezballah along the border with Lebanon and spreading into Syria as well, plus Hamas teamed with Islamic Jihad in Gaza. Hezballah has an estimated one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles of which about half are capable of striking anywhere within Israel even to Eilat at the southern tip. Some of the Iranian provided missiles are also capable of striking beyond Israel making parts of Egypt and Saudi Arabia susceptible to an Iranian missile launched from Lebanon. Hamas and Islamic Jihad also have some larger rockets which can potentially strike Jerusalem and Haifa which makes Tel Aviv well within the range of these projectiles (see map below for locations of these cities and rest of Israel). The stocks in Lebanon have a significant percentage of smaller rockets which can reach as far south as Haifa and can make the northern parts of Israel uninhabitable outside of a shelter should hostilities break out. By making the Iranian threat one which would have Hezballah coordinate an attack with Hamas and Islamic Jihad would make for some very trying days for all of Israel until the rocket threat had been silenced.


Israel with Select Major Cities

Israel with Select Major Cities


There are those who have claimed that all the bluster and threats made towards Israel have never come to fruition and that Israel simply overreacts to minor provocations. When challenged with this irritating little thing, facts, they will often modify their claim to say that no Arab country has ever made good on their threats. Once we reach this point, we realize that any facts we present will simply result in their making further and further qualifiers always ending with the phrasing that Israel simply overreacts to minor provocations which other nations would shrug off. Then they will group attacks by Hamas and Islamic Jihad from Gaza and Hezballah from Lebanon as simply terror attacks which too many nations have been feeling and none have attacked anyone over these incidents. Terror attacks are one thing, hundred to thousands of rockets a week, or even a day, is not just a simple terror attack. Having over half the nation living in bomb shelters is not a simply terror attack. Israel has absorbed an almost uncountable number of terror attacks and not attacked anyone either. But when rockets are raining down on most of the country, then something needs be done and done immediately.


We sort of remember a similar thing which was far smaller in numbers when France was launching rockets, unguided rockets, over the English Channel onto Britain hoping to strike the major populations centers, London in particular and the British responded with everything they could muster including bombing Berlin. Sure, it was World War II, but we remember being taught that the British public were horrified by the buzz bombs, the British name for the V-1 rockets. The British citizens soon learned that if you could hear these rockets, then you were most likely not to be struck, the next seconds one held their breath searching the sky for the trail of smoke which would signify that that bomb was headed further north. The British military and public had a far more terrifying response to the V-2 rocket, the first true ballistic rocket, as this one struck well before it could be heard thus was dealing silent, unannounced death. These were supersonic and also carried a far larger warhead and would have been capable of carrying some of the modern nuclear warheads had the Nazis developed such. They had the scientists but many theorize that the leading German scientists worked together to hamper the Nazi’s progress to develop such a weapon preventing them from achieving nuclear capabilities. The Nazis also had worked to develop an even longer-range rocket, the V-3, which was a two-stage rocket, basically a V-2 placed atop a modified V-2 used as the initial boost stage of the two-stage system, which they planned to strike New York. Hitler had dreams of New York in flames from this new wonder weapon but technical difficulties and the war ending, all worked to prevent the plan from coming to fruition. The point here was that Israel has suffered rocket attacks which exceeded those of the Battle of Britain and similar in number to the bombing runs of that period. Britain used everything they could throw into the sky in attempts to intercept the Nazis and Israel has developed means of intercepting the new Nazis who are the latest to claim they will end the existence of the Jewish People.


The reality is that Hamas increased gradually the number of rockets per week from one or two to fifty or so leading to each of the wars. That was a mere seven a day which within the next month became almost one-hundred per day. Then the numbers climbed above one hundred and as it reached two-hundred and return fire was not proving successful in deterring the numbers of rockets, that was when Israel responded more forcefully. The European Union, United Nations and all the rest of the usual suspects screamed about the horror that Israel was attacking innocent people who had done nothing to Israel. What one needs to understand about the world reaction to most of the violence suffered by Israel is that they believe that somehow the Jews must have done something to provoke the Arab Palestinians into attacking them. Apparently, raging hatred stoked by their governance and peddled as their education system such that the next generation will hate the Jews even more than the current group is not sufficient to cause Hamas, Islamic Jihad or Hezballah to start launching rockets and shooting at Israel. There actually is another reason for these attacks upon Israel, at least one Gaza and the Second Lebanon War were triggered not by Israel and only under direction did Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza and Hezballah from Lebanon rain rockets and artillery (Hezballah) down upon Israel because Iran gave the order. There is a price that Hamas and Islamic Jihad pay and almost the sole reason Hezballah is as powerful as they are in Lebanon, and that is Iran provides the rocket engines and technologies and in return, Iran can order these terror groups to attack Israel. Asking why Iran would order an attack on Israel, and what purpose could such lunacy prevail, the answer is simple, hatred. The absolute hatred and villainous feelings the Mullahs hold for the Jewish State (Zionist Entity, as they cannot often even say Israel) would be more than sufficient to have them order such strikes, and on occasion, they order a smaller period and degree just to force Israel to respond to see how such responses damage the Israeli economy. Other times they order a ramping attack, which is usually used on the Gaza front, or a full out attack, that is usually Hezballah on the northern front with Lebanon, both with the intent on causing a war between the terrorist groups and Israel so as to divert attention from Iran. This is their means of diverting the world’s attention when they are caught doing something untoward and uncomely.


This current threat comes amongst a slowly escalating number of threats coming from numerous Iranian politicians and military commanders. What is their actual intent and are they going to pull the trigger at some point and lose the dogs of war? Nobody can claim that the growing frequency and intensity of the threats is not at least minimally disturbing, but in Israel, you learn to live a normal life while minimally perturbed. Asking when anything might actually happen is something at which we could take a stab. Iran is currently sailing a naval fleet to the western North Atlantic Ocean. This region has a better known name, the United States East Coast. This is the coast with some relatively important cities including but not limited to Boston, New York, Washington D.C. and Miami. Iran has made a sizable number of threats to attack and destroy the United States. They appear to believe that were they to destroy New York, Washington D.C. and perhaps a few more large cities such as Los Angeles, Dallas-Ft. Worth, San Francisco or even Chicago that the United States would seek to mollify Iran and be all but defeated. They might have decided that they wish to test their two favorite theories. The one about America having become too soft for an actual war with Iran and that they can destroy Israel with a single knock-out attack from the north and south and possible launching from within Iran, Iraq and Syria simultaneously. This would also precipitate catastrophic events as Iran was struck at by both Israel and the United States with both intending to end the rule by the current regime. Unfortunately, one nation or the other would strike hard enough, if not both, that the Iranian people would also end up paying for the mistakes made by their unelected leaders. We do not desire to debate whether or not Iran has fair elections, as it is well known that the Mullahs determine who is eligible to run in their elections thus controlling the choice the people have. There have been claims that they also manufacture the results and that even their reports on the numbers of those who voted do not correlate with the precinct reports. The reality is that at the infamous Friday rallies the crowds, often led by some of the ruling clerics, chant in turn, “Death to America” followed by “Death to Israel.” This is repeated often for as much as an hour and the rallies are held immediately after Friday services. That is the time which most of the Arab Palestinians hold their demonstrations. The Gaza rioting started on a Friday and is often stoked to a peak on Fridays and should Hamas decide or be ordered to ramp things up, such an increase will also be started on a Friday. So what will need watching is how well the Iranian naval fleet holds up or if they need to turn back short of the Atlantic and will the calls to destroy Israel continue to increase or be permitted to lessen for a while. There is a feeling here in the office, such as it is, that something is in the works and is simply waiting for certain things to line up as Iran requires. It may be that the Israeli strikes in Syria are preventing their preparations which would be just such a sad thing that we might need to celebrate.


As far as what could Israel be doing which would qualify as an act of stupidity. There are any numbers of things. Since there were no reprisals, stealing half a ton of nuclear documentation did not qualify, so we can rule out Israeli successes against Iranian interests. This means that the Syrian interventions are not going to be the act of stupidity. To be honest, the main act Israel can do to be considered an act of stupidity by the Mullahs is simply to continue to be and to succeed and be such an asset to the world even if most of them do not appreciate Israeli generosity. Ask any nation after a natural disaster who gave the most advanced, efficient and qualitative assistance and often the answer will be Israel and the Americans. When you compare the two nations in area, population, GDP or anything other than Nobel Prizes and Israel is insignificant by comparison but has an equal presence when people are most in need. Ask them at the United Nations General Assembly and they will denigrate Israel by large proportions every time. Israel could prevent an Iranian attack, a serious attack and not just a volley of rockets which are launched out of Syria ever so often. Fortunately, the Iron Dome systems usually intercept these before they strike any populated region. Most often, it is Israel’s existence which most upsets the Mullahs along with the financial and other successes for which Israel is famous, or infamous in certain circles, that most infuriate the Iranian leadership. Israel simply needs to continue to do what Israel has been doing for over seventy years and getting better at it all the time, and the Iranian Mullocracy will slowly boil into a frothing madness. Israel frustrates Iran because it is in the heart of the lands of Islam and was a part of the Islamic Caliphate, the Islamic Ottoman Empire and under Islamic rule for close to nine-hundred years. As the Quran promises that lands once conquered by Islam must never be permitted to leave Islam and be ruled by another, and especially not the accursed Jews, the Iranians desire to be the ones who succeed in removing this offense to Allah and drive the Jews from what the Muslims consider Islamic lands. For everyone’s information, the Muslims feel the same way about Andalusia, which is the name that they gave to the parts of Spain and Portugal which they conquered before suffering their defeat at Tours when Charles “the Hammer” Martel turned back the Islamic conquerors preventing the fall of France. The Muslims continued to rule much of Spain until King Fernando and Queen Isabella instigated in 1492 the Spanish Inquisition. Yes, we know, Columbus and all that fun stuff, but as Jews, 1492 was memorable for something entirely different in Spain, Jews became even more endangered than the Muslims. But Spain should back Israel as should Israel ever be destroyed, the Muslims will be coming for Spain. Of course, by all appearances, the Muslims are attempting to birth their third attempt at the conquest of Europe, they do not count their defeat at Tours as an abortive attempt to conquer Europe, only their attempts from the east. Both ended at the Gates of Vienna. Meanwhile, Israel continues to act foolishly and often even commits acts which could be considered stupidly simply by insisting on continuing to be successful and inventive with a healthy economy while persisting as having one of the happiest national averages for her people. Israel is also the only nation in the entirety of the Middle East to have freedom of religion, a growing Christian population as well as one of the central places for the Baha’I as well as a number of other minority populations. It is also where one can see such as the picture below and nobody finds it uncommon or disturbing. Israel is a place which is multicultural, multiracial and a free and open democracy with equality for all, every single person regardless of race, religion or ethnicity.


Jew and Muslim in Prayer

Jew and Muslim in Prayer


The only way to understand Israel well, is to visit Israel and travel her for a few weeks, not on some tour but on your own taking in the variety of life. Believing the propaganda without actually checking to see if there is any truth is what leads to Israel being protested so vehemently, especially on campuses of higher learning. The stories about the Arab Palestinians being mistreated are largely untrue or embellishments on anti-Semitic tropes being recycled now as hatred for Israel. Israel does not rule the Arab Palestinians as they are either ruled by Hamas in Gaza and the Palestinian Authority in regions of the Shomron. They are not Israeli citizens and thus are not ruled by Israel but by their own governments, both are primarily dictatorial. Israeli Arabs have all the rights, privileges and freedoms as every other Israeli including the Druze, Bedouins, Christians, Muslims, Jews and every other peoples who are citizens of Israel. Blaming Israel for the problems faced by the Arab Palestinians is the same as blaming the United States for poverty and difficulties in Mexico. Nobody, nobody who is sane at least, demands that the United States permit the people of Mexico to vote in their elections and thus Israel should not be expected to allow the Arab Palestinians to vote in Israeli elections. But these are other things Israel does that the Iranian rulers believe are acting stupidly as they believe that the Jews should be ruled over by Islam and Jews should never be permitted to rule over Muslims.


Beyond the Cusp



  1. Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.


    Comment by OyiaBrown — February 14, 2019 @ 7:44 AM | Reply

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