Prepare for the True Face of Iran

 

Iran, or should we call them the English translation for the Ancient Farsi word we represent by Iran we discussed yesterday, Aryan, will soon be ready to flex their muscles and do so to great surprise of the Western World who have misjudged Iran every step of their development since President Jimmy Carter personally made sure the Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini attained the leadership and turned Iran, Aryan, into an Islamic Theocratic dictatorship where a select group of sagely appearing Imams appeared to guide an elected Parliament and the elected President all chosen from a select group of candidates who had been vetted by the Imams who make up the Guardian Council who also are to advise the Grand Ayatollah who holds ultimate power. Other than the Guardian Council to a lesser extent and the Grand Ayatollah to a much greater extent, the remainders of the governance, the President, the Parliament are all simply trappings to give a semblance of allowing the people any degree of power with their mostly meaningless votes. In all honesty we can probably safely state that the results of the elections could likely be published by the government media three weeks before they will presumably be cast. Iran has been patiently biding their time and their awakening is close at hand and the world will never be the same.

 

The Iranians worked quietly, clandestinely, and with great care on developing nuclear warheads for their missiles working for that day when they become and announce their entry as a nuclear power. They know that with a fair number of nuclear weapons they can do far more and make demands upon the world. Nuclear weapons make one a superpower and with the right delivery weapons they make a nation far more effective and respected. The Soviet Union was considered the equal of the United States even though they were in economic ruination which eventually caused their inevitable collapse. Still, despite that collapse Russia is respected if for no other reason for their nuclear weapons and their ability to virtually destroy human civilizations. China became a nation to reckon with when they proved to have developed thermonuclear weapons and the ICBMs with which to deliver them to any point on the globe. Iran knows that Israel was considered the strongest nation in the Middle East due to their victories in their wars in 1967 and 1973 defeating Egypt and Syria in both conflicts and also Jordan in 1967. Their survival in 1948-9 was considered a miracle in the West and a calamity in the Arab World. Even with India and Pakistan their conflict over who owns what of the corpse of Kashmir changed and became more of a low level simmering conflict with occasional outbursts but any opening of the conflict seemed far more likely to immediately turn to mediations than escalation and thus there, at least, nuclear weapons had a calming effect as the alternative was unthinkable.

 

What about Iran? Will it have a calming influence and also cause their sponsoring of terrorism to also decline? These are very serious questions which should have been included in the nuclear deal and were not even an afterthought. Iranian influence through Hezballah by which the governance of the nation was changed and even the demographics took a drastic turn caused the Christians to flee from the terror tyranny. Hezballah was another instance where a nation, upon reaching a critical percentage of its population made up of Muslims, turned violent with outside arming and instigation. This resulted in the non-Muslim population who could leave and restart their life in Europe, Australia, Israel, New Zealand or the United States emigrating with no intention of ever returning. They went giving up their ancestral home in many instances and choosing to turn their backs on that history and with heavy hearts setting their sights to take root elsewhere away from the growing violence. Such decisions are rarely reached easily and require dire situations which tear at the heart and require a mindset which once the situation reaches that point you make the decision and, like a steel trap, close the past and step into a new future hoping that you might find some others who made a similar decision before you. Maybe you have relatives or were able to locate and land employment, something which always sets a mind into a better state when making such a traumatic decision. Still, the children, they seldom understand the reasons and have the hardest time at first but fortunately children are resilient; sometimes they have no other choice. This was the effect in one small nation due to Iran and their terror proxy Hezballah but Iran needed a base from which to operate and Syria was always known to be a pyramid turned on its tip and always threatening to topple in the slightest of political winds. After the mantle passed to Bashir al-Assad it became obvious early on he was not his father, not by a longshot which made Lebanon all the more essential for Iran. But soon all that will be different, won’t it.

 

Iran is heavily involved in Lebanon through Hezballah who they have armed with hundreds of thousands of rockets of various sizes, warheads, ranges and multiple usage types from ground to ground, MLRV*, anti-ship, anti-tank, anti-aircraft, multiple warhead and rumored to also have cluster munitions which are illegal under the international rules of war, something which seems not to apply to Iran, Hezballah and others when used against Israel. Hezballah is only a single front which Iran has been building to destroy Israel or to use against Israel as a distraction from other actions they may be preparing for elsewhere. They are also arming Hamas and Islamic Jihad as best they can with Israel doing what they are able to prevent such shipments. Israel had captured a few of the ships carrying arms to unload into the Sinai Peninsula for smuggling through the tunnels from the Sinai Peninsula into Gaza for Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Israel is rumored to have also bombed trucks in the Sudan which were taking arms shipments from Iran to smuggle into the Sinai Peninsula by ferrying them across the Red Sea presumably under cover of night. Iran has also been rumored to have contacted Mahmoud Abbas in an attempt to also give him arms if he would be willing to take directives as to when and how to attack Israel from Tehran. Abbas has made a number of trips to Iran as have other Palestinian authority (PA) officials. Read what one may but they have also made trips to Saudi Arabia and Egypt when Morsi was President. The trips were rumored to have been about collecting on promises for funding though such is only rumor and unconfirmed.

 

Other than Israel, Lebanon and the entire imbroglio which is Syria, the Iranians are also involved in a proxy-war with Saudi Arabia in Yemen where recriminations of improper tactics and the illegal targeting of civilians and using the same civilians as human shields. The civil war in Yemen would have faltered and petered out except for the addition of Iranian heavy weapons and other supplies as well as IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corp) trainers and special operations specialists to aid the Houthis in their efforts to take control of the whole of Yemen. The Saudi Arabian efforts have largely been providing artillery and air support to the remaining government forces which have fled the capital city and are fighting to retain the southern port city of Aden. Additionally, for all intents and purposes the Iranians are the Iraqi government and control the entirety of the Shiite areas under government control. The Iranians by being the military command in Iraq they also are the ones placing requests for and more often than not receiving air support from the United States which had all but placed the United States Air Force planes and pilots under Iranian directives. This would not be so bad if the other sorties the United States had run against the Islamic State have largely returned with armaments still locked to their hard-points with none having been deployed as targets reported by Intelligence either were moved before the aircraft arrived as the intelligence was already dated. The Islamic State had figured the delay from satellite passing to any United States attack plan to reach the actual units which scramble their aircraft and they have the satellites timed so they move their resources as soon as the satellites have passed and before the orders reach the attack units. Thus far the United States is losing the cat and mouse game with the Islamic State and there are two main reasons. First the orders have to travel from the satellite intelligence reaching the surface in Iraq which is then forwarded to Washington for interpretation and orders to be cut after receiving White House approval. Then the orders are relayed back to Iraq where they are then passed through command and assigned to an actual Air Force unit which scrambles the pilots after the approved and required armaments are placed on the aircraft. All said and done, from satellite to aircraft is an hour or over leaving the Islamic State all the time it needs to almost casually move their assets to new locations and even return them to the originally determined location for the next satellite.

 

These efforts are restricted to the Arabian Peninsula and around the Middle East. If only these were the limit of the Iranian efforts it would be troubling enough, but alas there is so much more. Hezballah has been training terrorists in a complex along with IRGC units both providing specialist training to the terror units which rotate through the training area. The area has two separate airports, barracks and plenty of Jungle in which to train as well as a mock urban setting. The area is known as the Tri-Border Area which sits on the border area of Paraguay, Brazil and Argentina. The terrorist training area is also used by the drug cartels to further train their guard units, personal protection guards and any other people who need specialized training which the IRGC or Hezballah trainers are capable of providing. The advent of this training became evident very quickly as the Drug Cartels sent their most trusted personnel for training as soon after their return to Mexico there was a number of beheadings occurring with some performed and the heads later rolled into locations for the most impact to further enforce the threat the Cartels were to the public in Mexico as well as government law enforcement, courts and elected officials. Most of these beheadings took place largely within a hundred or so miles from the border with the United States as the American illicit drug markets are the main consumers of their wares. The training provided along with armaments including mines and anti-personnel devices could be used to make the main house safer from any encroachment by other cartels or law enforcement personnel. In exchange it is thought that Hezballah has gained free use and assistance by human smugglers to gain entrance into the United States and potentially even housing purchased and readied to provide the cover home for a terror group of individuals who may have an immediate assignment or they may be a sleeper cell of a mother, father and teen aged appearing sons who are likely bored in their high school classes which they must attend to retain the appearance of being a family with teenage sons. The Tri-Border Area has been used for decades by now and is a perfect location as it is very remote and each of the government’s claims that it is the other two countries that are responsible for security and law enforcement. With each government pointing their fingers at the other two’s responsibility to enforce the law, it is needless to point out that while each is pointing at the other two they are not bothering to provide much of any in the way of law enforcement over these areas thus leaving well enough alone as all three nations have no appetite for incurring the wrath of Iran and Hezballah. Make no mistake, should any of these nations take any steps to enforce the law against the terrorist and IRGC or any other Iranian forces training or waiting for orders to infiltrate the United States to carry out an immediate attack or join others who are simply lying in wait for orders some time in the future, the officials and military commanders had best watch their front, back, right, left, up and down as they will have painted a target on themselves.

 

The simple thing is that Iran with their world-wide reach through Hezballah and Hamas operatives as well as their own IRGC which was formed to provide a dedicated unit with the same size, financing and equipment as the regular Iranian Army to extend their reach beyond their borders would become a primary resource in such instances. The proof that Iran’s arm can reach around the world was where Hezballah, with IRGC assistance and possibly participation, accomplished the assaults on the AMIA bombing, an attack on the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (Argentine Israelite Mutual Association) on July 18, 1994, killing 85 people and injuring hundreds as well as the March 17, 1992, attack on the Israeli Embassy in Buenos Aires as a pickup truck driven by a suicide bomber and loaded with explosives smashed into the front of the Israeli Embassy where the blast killed 29 and wounded 242 others. The AIMA attack was being investigated by Alberto Nisman who left the investigation unfinished upon his suspicious death.

 

 

Tri_Border Region of South America Terror training haven and Iranian proxy state in the Americas and Base of operations for the 17 March 1992 Israeli Embassy Bombing murdering 29 injuring 242 and the Asociación Mutual Israelita Argentina (AMIA) 18 July 1994 bombing murdered 85 injured over 800 and now we must add the murdered Argentine Prosecutor Alberto Nisman to AMIA fatalities

 

 

The day after Prosecutor Nisman was found dead in his apartment the morning he was scheduled to report to the Argentine legislature from what was initially reported to have been a suicide, we here at BTC reported our suspicions with our January 21, 2015, article titled Prosecutor’s Fate Mirrors Western Culture. The previous day, we regret to say, we missed the mark when we claimed that his death would be classified as a suicide and never investigated in our January 20, 2015, article The Death of Alberto Nisman. Though a prosecutorial team was assigned to investigate his untimely death and the circumstances surrounding this horrid murder, there was never anyone prosecuted and the paths investigated led either beyond the borders which was simply stated as beyond their prosecutorial privileges, something which would only have piqued Alberto Nisman further and his indomitable will to find the real truth no matter the obstacles or inconvenience to powerful people. It is really pathetic that a man who gave his all because of his zeal to follow the path of truth no matter where it led would have his murder swept under the carpet to satisfy crooked politicians, a terrorist group operating partially in Argentina in the tri-border region to be given a pass and to allow Iran’s implicated hand also to go unslapped. That is the saddest tribute a man can receive as to have his death be left unresolved as the result of an abortive investigation which was never given the honesty which he had dedicated and given his life. An upstanding and outstanding man deserved more.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

 

*MLRV means Multiple Launch Rocket Vehicle which come in various numbers of tubes, size of tube and rocket, all ranges depending on size and most important they are highly mobile (see pictures below)

 

 

Hezballah MLRV Units and Ranges

 

 

Russian Produced S-300 Anti-Aircraft Missiles
with Radar System and Control Vehicle

 

 

The Best Manner to Destroy the Iran Deal

 

The first and most important item which our friends in the United States, and for those in the Congress who wish to oppose the Iran deal in the most effective manner still available, is they all need to understand that the United Nations Security Council Resolution has forced the hand of the United States as it passed and was enacted by the United Nations which is binding on the United States as well as the rest of the P5+1 nations and also on the European Union and all the member nations of the United Nations. Thanks to President Obama immediate actions the Congress has been basically relegated impotent when it comes to preventing the adoption of the Iran nuclear deal. Additionally, pursuing rejection of the deal against the Presidential veto, which President Barack Hussein Obama had guaranteed, is an act of pure futility and will simply open those supporting such a move to ridicule when they fail to override the Presidential veto. Even should they override the veto, the President still has the United Nations Security Council vote to implement the end to sanctions and thus again much of the media pointing out the futile waste of time and taxpayer monies by the Republicans and those select Democrats who will meet opposition backed by the party as they face what we here at BTC refer to as the Senator Joe Lieberman treatment. President Obama has taken every possible step to minimize, or even eliminate, the avenues available to the Congress or even the American people from denying the stipulation in the Iranian Nuclear Deal to terminate the sanctions placed on Iran by the United States. So, if anything the Congress can do to prevent the elimination of the existing sanctions, what should they be doing concerning the Iran Nuclear Deal and all its ramifications.

 

The one thing that might be to the advantage of the Congress might be instead of passing legislation killing the Iran Nuclear Deal as currently in progress, would be to allow the President to have his celebration but to not feed his triumph by passing legislation just to have President Obama veto it in an in your face mode and very publically using the media to emphasize his victory over those luddites and their feeble attempts to prevent moving forward as the Iranian Nuclear Deal allows. Simply do absolutely nothing. That is correct, nothing. Simply allow the discussion over the Iran Nuclear Deal to die a natural death and give the President a temporary victory and prepare to do something constructive and effective. Wait about six weeks until all the fervor dies down and even the longest attention spans have moved to another subject, perhaps Hilary’s e-mails, or Bernie Sanders poll numbers or whatever any of the almost dozen and a half Republican candidates have done to advance or serve a coup de grace on their campaign and may as well pack it up and better luck next time. That may not even take the full six weeks, but wait six weeks just so most everyone will believe that any new sanctions, even if they resemble the previous sanctions, as if anybody would be so knowledgeable to tell, are something being addressed over some great new information about the Iranians breaking their agreement and thus the move to new sanctions. I am sure if one were to discreetly inquire of the Israelis to provide any new information which could be used to grab the attention of the average American, something not overly technical but still a few sprinkles of scientific terms and a few ominous descriptions should be sufficient to give any hearing exactly the force and urgency required for a quick debate and vote. Applying new sanctions, not reapplying the old sanctions that the President so opposed, but new sanctions brought against new violations by Iran in their nuclear program requiring these new sanctions should be an easier sell and would also circumvent the United Nations Security Council Resolution as that was on the old sanctions and not others going forward. Then lobby and get sufficient Democrats’ votes to add to all Republican Congressional members’ votes allowing those Democrats who are hesitant to vote their conscience once there are sufficient votes assuring the new sanctions pass with a veto proof majority.

 

There should also be efforts to try and get the assurance from members of Congress such that if the President were to oppose the legislation and insult the Congress or otherwise be demeaning in his treatment rather than simply vetoing the legislation quietly and returning it to Congress with his reason for using his veto, then gain their assist in overriding any veto used as a weapon to insult Congress. One could even attempt to gain additional assistance in passing the legislation should the President take overt initiatives to attempt and belittle Congress or threaten any Democrat or others who are supporting new sanctions. If there has to be a fight over sanctions on Iran, make the fight about actual sanctions which are actually able to be applied to the Iranian Nuclear Program. The sanctions could even be targeted should Iran be found to avoiding IAEA inspections or seen to be utilizing every delaying tactic to deny snap inspections or otherwise working to circumvent the terms and stipulations of the Nuclear Deal, something which very likely will be suspected within a few months after the finalization and acceptance of the terms. As the Iranians pose greater and greater resistance against speedy and immediate inspections and refusal to inspection of sites despite sufficient announced inspections schedule then passing new sanctions, should “snap back” sanctions prove impossibly, should be the answer which even President Obama should support, and if not eventually public pressures will either force the President’s hand or that of the necessary members of Congress to override any veto from the White House. Forget kicking a dead horse and instead run down new threats which are sure to come from the Iranian nuclear program in the ensuing months.

 

Further, the Iranian nuclear program is far from the only activity being pursued by the Iranians which could bring undo attention from Congress as they arm many various terrorist or rebellious groups throughout the Middle East. Then there are the constant threats to Israel and the United States, the attempted subversions against Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Lebanon, Kurdish areas, the GCC nations (Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf) and likely far more proliferate meddling once the initial inflowing of funds from the cancellation of the current sanctions and the increased income from new oil and pistachio sales. The reality may be that Iran and new Middle East turmoil may be the surprise influence on the United States elections as Iranian interference could easily begin to take violent and unpredictable turns. Iranian influence arming Hamas could result in Hamas and other supporting terror groups to be instructed to, instead of starting another rocket war with Israel, overthrow the Arab governing bodies in Judea and Samaria. Only then would they be loosed to start a terror war from both the east and the southwest against Israel. Another possibility is that Iran could place sufficient numbers of troops, predominantly from the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) in Syria and central and southern Iraq and after destroying the Islamic State then turn their forces on the Kurds or Jordan. Such an assault in any direction would depend on the United States elections and seeing if the new President will turn away from isolationist governance which would bring to an end any Islamic unfettered conquests. Only time will tell whether or not Islamic expansion will come to a definitive end once President Obama leaves office. Exactly what direction Iran will take in the next year plus until the new President is sworn into office is anyone’s guess. With a large influx of funds and their already having placed orders for the Russian S-300 anti-aircraft-and-missile systems, one-hundred-fifty Chinese Chengdu J-10 sophisticated jet fighters with Israeli avionics, two-hundred-fifty Russian highly-advanced Sukhoi-Su-30MK1 fighters as well as one-hundred IL78 MKI aircraft refueling tankers they have already bought themselves a modern Air Force. What other purchases Iran makes in the next few months may give a better lead as to what their immediate plans might be in the long run.

 

 

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

 

Is the Choice Between the “Deal” or War, Period?

 

The working agreement between the P5+1, and primarily President Obama, with the Iranians will in this discussion be referred to as the “Deal” for simplicity’s sake. This Deal has been panned by conservatives and anti-terror specialists as being dangerous and potentially deadly accords. It has been predicted that Iran will easily become a major economic power the equivalent of Saudi Arabia with the infusion of one-hundred-fifty-billion dollars and its resurgence into the oil market even at todays lowered prices, a situation caused by Saudi Arabia pumping oil at near peak levels intending to damage the economies of the Iranians and hurting Russia as well in the interim. The pain caused the Iranians will be offset by the cash infusion. The one thing we can be thankful for the warning but feel accursed by the aimed for results was the announcement after the signing of the Deal by Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei that his intentions are to utilize the cash infusion to resupply and rearm his terror proxies to levels believed impossible until a few days ago with the announcement of the Deal crafter by the Iranian demands and the quickness with which Secretary of State Kerry (to be referred to as ‘SKerry’ through the remainder of the article) revealed to be at the orders of President Obama, folded his hand and capitulated to every command and refusal to accept any limitations or requirements upon Iran thus in the final weeks of negotiations surrendering virtually every gain pressed forth through great efforts by the rest of the P5+1 from Iran. There was a glimmer of hope against hope that the Deal might crumble at the last minute due to the honor and integrity shown earlier in the negotiations when the initial framework was decided before the initial six-month pushback of the deadline for producing an agreement when the French Foreign Minister vetoed the framework only to be pressed by President Obama and his minions with a small cosmetic change in the phrasing of a minor item was made as the reason for the French veto though most believed the problems were more systemic than that one minor, insignificant item which was altered.

 

Back to the question at hand; is the Choice Between the “Deal” or War? One item which has to be brought into the consideration is some of the terms as far as items to be provided to Iran by the United States or other members of the P5+1 or any other entities. We have heard that the United States will be providing additional cyber protection with a mentioned direction of protecting the entirety of the Iranian nuclear research, development and particularly their enrichment program from interference, especially from Israeli cyber capabilities above and beyond other cyber assaults. There has been mention that President Obama through his lackey SKerry promised the Iranians that they could expect United States to provide air security both from the ground in Iraq as well as from the naval taskforce including, if necessary, from the aircraft deployed from the carrier in the Arabian Gulf. This guarantee appears to include, as some reports have stated, shooting down Israeli fighters should the situation demand such, and the expressed targeting of Israeli forces was exactly as heard. How much further to the other side the Administration will stray from the normative distance it has shown former allies making them into potentially targets of United States military assets is far beyond anything expected by any number of Americans who voted for President Obama, particularly my Jewish friends.

 

What does this paint for the future for Israel? Israel can feel a little less alone in her neighborhood as Egypt and Saudi Arabia along with their allies along the gulf coast are all in the same sinking boat right now. Unfortunately this situation will not aid Israel immensely. Where Saudi Arabia and Egypt might be cooperating, Israel should not expect any overt or announced cooperation from her new friends or even any thanks should Israel take actions which prevent Iranian production of nuclear weapons. Should the United States have actually sent orders to their military to intercept any attack on Iran, that could make any attack on Iran extremely problematic. By now Israel will hopefully have figured out that informing the United States of their intents is not tactically the brightest move available. This causes more problems than many might realize as there are numerous Israelis both within the IDF and within the government who believe it is their specific responsibility to announce every move to the corresponding department within the American government. This would require that care be taken on who might be trusted with any information and orders which were given to implement actions against the Iranian nuclear sites. Any such attempt to neutralize the Iranian nuclear sites had best be discussed with trustworthy advisors alone and should be tested as one of a number of potential interventions when being discussed with people having knowledge of the Iranian government and their expected and especially unexpected reactions and in plane plans made to address any resultant actions by Iran and her many allies and proxies. Further, Israeli intelligence should be on alert to find out the plans by any other actors as Iran has promised a reign of terror upon Israel should any attack be taken on their nuclear programs or any other resources within Iran.

 

The brilliance displayed by President Obama and his advisors which has been displayed through such exercises and actual events as Benghazi which was determined to be a response to a YouTube Video with about five thousand views before it was referenced by the Administration. There was the success of President Obama’s brilliant collapsing of al-Qaeda and how “stable governments” were taking form and President Obama gave as the prime example Yemen which burst into civil war overthrowing the “stable government” and forced to flee the Capital and head to the next largest city where two or three days later they were forced to flee again and have barely been heard from since. But we have heard from Iran and their arming of the Houthis and we have heard from Saudi Arabia which is supporting any entity which stands against the Iranian proxies, the Houthis. It is almost as if the Iranians are seeking anywhere and everywhere to make President Obama look the fool, but he and Secretary SKerry are too busy strutting their stuff purporting the great Deal they made and how it will prevent any need for a war to prevent Iran from attaining nuclear weapons. The Deal puts that the probability for setting the date for an Iranian nuclear weapon to be about a decade from now, give or take two, three or four years assuming that Iran gets caught in the web of intrigue and becomes entangled in all the minutia placed there to prevent an Iran desperate to please the West and the United States and Israel in particular but is absolutely useless against an Iran that intends to bull rush straight through any supposed restrictions in the Deal.

 

When asked what would happen if Iran simply took the one-hundred-fifty-billion dollars which are being released and used the improved centrifuge plans provided and open some undeclared enrichment laboratories in order to build nuclear weapons, warheads to be exact, with intent to make their warheads clandestinely and quickly; the administration replied with stunned disbelief stuttered slowly, but the Deal does not permit such actions and how dare you cast doubts about the Deal as it is a good deal fashioned for a good people to obey its restrictions and Iran had promised to abide by its restrictions. There appears to be a mental disconnect between President Obama and Secretary SKerry making them incapable of addressing any potential shortcomings of their deal and how it may prove completely impossible at restraining any government which practices subterfuge and dishonesty as stark principles reminiscent of the Germans after the Munich Agreement of 1938 which inevitably led to war within two years as Germany had since then annexed Austria, absorbed the rest of Czechoslovakia, and proceeded to make the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact agreement with Russia by which the two powers invaded hapless Poland from opposite ends and met in the middle thus starting World War II.

 

Iran will not need to make any additional agreements as they have sufficient agreements in place to provide them with control of a large crescent starting at the Indian Ocean and cutting a swath of land passing through the Middle East passing through Iran, southern Iraq, Syria and Lebanon and ending in the Mediterranean Sea. Currently Syria is in remission but the cash spigot is about to come wide open and as promised by Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his friends will be rearmed and strengthened and will soon have all the necessary weapons and assistance to take the offensive. Add to this the promises from President Obama to provide a wall of protection both in the virtual domain and in the realm of the real where he promises have been made to prevent any and all assaults mounted, in particular, by Israel or any of her new-found allies. Of course by now the farthest reaching terms of the Deal have reached all those who have been waiting anxious to begin to understand what threats may be coming their way and if so, how long do they have to prepare. For Saudi Arabia, they know already that they have zero time as the fighting is on their southern and northern borders with the Yemeni Houthis fighting the Sunnis on their southern border and Iraqi Shia forces tangling with the Islamic State and Iranian backed and augmented Iraqi units facing off. Where most of the fighting has been between Shia and Sunni forces Iran has been known to finance Sunni groups as long as they did not bring any shame upon Iran, something amazingly enough accomplished by Hamas as Iran has cut their relations with Hamas, a blessing we would rather just accept and be thankful for small favors. Many of the groups and states supported by Iran is done simply to further the spread of the ideology and dogma of Shiite Islam and to bring as many misguided Islamic Sunni souls into the embracing arms of Shiite Islam and there is the we have the struggle of the ages. But in addition to this struggle there are the other tactical struggles. Iran desires to amass to themselves the rich oil fields of southern and central Iraq, the Saudi oil fields as well as the oil fields of the Gulf States including any offshore drilling. Additionally Iran believed that the time has arrived that the Shiite form of Islam becomes the dominant form supplanting Sunni through conversion by way of persuasion initially and by force if that becomes necessary. The Iranians also know the importance in geography and in particular of choke points. In that desire Iran definitely has desires to take control of both sides of the Straits of Hormuz, they seek ownership of Oman and the United Arab Emirates and for control of Bab el Mandeb Straits which is fueling much of their desire to have the Houthis control Yemen and be holding to Iran for their victories.

 

Meanwhile, the problem facing Israel as well as much of the Sunni Islamic world, though few would be capable of doing much about Iranian hegemony, is the prevention of permitting Iran to attain nuclear weapons and in particular what is referred to as weaponized delivery systems, a long way of saying miniaturized warheads. The reason for this is two-fold; the first being the obvious in that a rocket is limited in range by three factors, the first is the amount of fuel it can hold which is pretty much set by its initial design, second is the efficiency of the rocket motor, which consists of the combustion chamber, the valves, the atomizer, and some complex combinations in sizes and diameters which is called rocket science for a reason, and finally the weight of the warhead. This is where miniaturizing brings home the benefits as the weight of the warhead is by far the easiest part of a rocket or missile that the user can address. If we have a warhead that weights one-kilogram and a rocket which can hold one-kilogram then that is the limit you can arm said rocket with. But if you can miniaturize the warhead with a superior design which brings its weight down to three-hundred grams then you can place three warheads on that rocket and because that still allows for one-hundred additional grams that are not going to be used then the range of the rocket or missile just increased by almost ten percent, not that would be something as your miniaturization had tripled the capacity of the device’s damage capacity but also increased the range of the weapons package. This is where Iran will need to develop its technology as, just because you can produce a nuclear device does not necessarily mean one can deliver the weapon efficiently and here size and weight are the twin kings, especially if the intent is to place warheads atop missiles or within aircraft.

 

The best example of the difference is that the initial bombs the United States dropped on Japan to end World War II were huge in size by today’s standards. Their names were Little Boy (a uranium gun-type atomic bomb was dropped on Hiroshima on August 6, 1945) and Fat Man (a plutonium implosion-type bomb on the city of Nagasaki on August 9) both of which took a Silverplate Boeing B-29 Superfortress aircraft. The Enola Gay, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets’ mother carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima while, like William Dawes who was the other rider with Paul Revere and who actually made the warnings as Revere was captured by the British but Dawes proved too difficult to rhyme so it became “The Midnight Ride of Paul Revere” and not William Dawes, while the B-29 named Bockscar piloted by Major Charles W. Sweeney whose plane was not named after either of his parents, carried Fat Man over Nagasaki. Each of these atomic bombs had yields under twenty-thousand-kilograms of TNT (Trinitrotoluene C6H2(NO2)3CH3) which is considered quite low compared with modern thermonuclear devices which carry yields measured in Mega-tons of TNT yet are so much smaller than the original devices that if a B-29 were to carry modern weapons they could carry numerous bombs each with multiple warheads though the plane would likely not be capable of flying high enough and fast enough to clear the area before detonation though with a lighter load it might have a prayer’s chance.

 

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Enola Gay, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets’ mother, carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima

 

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Bockscar of the 509th Composite Group which dropped an atomic bomb on Nagasaki piloted by Major Charles W. Sweeney

 

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Enola Gay with Pilot Col Paul Tibbets, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets’ mother carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima historic picture og man and his aircraft

 

 

So, even should Iran detonate a trial nuclear bomb, depending on its yield, it could be determined what variety of device was detonated and what the intended use might be. A really low yield but leaving a high gamma radiation signature would signal they had developed an EMP bomb used to knock out electronic grids and sensitive electronics rendering entire weapons systems useless, especially those dependent on radar from ground based systems such as any aircraft batteries and other targeting systems as well as most command and control as they are dependent on computers and communications networks, both systems very vulnerable to an EMP attack. Such a device could spell a real disaster for most nations but mostly the United States or Europe as both societies are heavily dependent on communications for their economy, computers for their investment and banking systems, their electrical grids for refrigeration and for hospital equipment, and for supplying virtually everything as the majority of vehicles currently depend on computers to run and both Television and radio would be knocked out which in itself and without computers the United States would go completely bonkers within hours.

 

The real problem is that with the United States presumably defending the nuclear sites from military attacks and from cyber-attacks as well as providing advanced radar systems from aboard naval vessels matched to anti-missile interceptors of various types including jamming and interception, and have aircraft capable of taking out any aircraft identified as foreign and entering Iranian air-space with unclear intent or bombs hanging under the wings defiantly stating its mission, all of which means that for the foreseeable future the United States has joined the other side even against the people of the United States who knowingly continue to reside in the Great Satan and have yet to mend their ways and become good Dhimmis living the life in burka-land. The real question is how Iran can be derailed from attaining nuclear weapons, and not just any nuclear weapons, but miniaturized, weaponized, multiple-warhead, thermonuclear devices and the stealth cruise missiles capable of three-thousand-five-hundred mile routing at under fifty meters altitude and what would be the consequences to the nation which so took one for the team, and not necessarily an appreciative team? Because of the United States provided protection, should this continue to be the United States policy by the next President elected in November 2016 and taking office in mid-January 2017 no matter what their reasoning, such would mean that Iran might have such capabilities before they become easily targeted. This situation would present the parts of the world under threat, oddly enough including the United States, in so desperate a position that they might see tempting a shootout with the United States over Iran as giving them better hopes of survival than waiting for another President as by then protecting Iran would have become cemented policy that only the most assured and confident of Presidents would go against meaning there would be no end in sight. Boy, that sure is a SKerry Deal President Obama has there.

 

Beyond the Cusp