Beyond the Cusp

June 18, 2016

Political Declarations and Social Movements

 

Every social construct exists solely because at some point it was a political declaration made by a social movement. One glaring example was the anti-slavery movement which eventually became the abolitionists. Even as the political potential of the abolitionists, they were mostly members of a faction within the Whig Party and when the Whig establishment refused to be rushed into opposing slavery openly and politically the abolitionist movement became the Republican Party and the rest is, as they say, history. For every social movement there is eventually made a political declaration which more often than not begins in one party. From humble beginnings often come greater results and this becomes even more likely when the social movement can claim the moral high ground through respected spokespersons lending their names and reputations being place amongst the ranks of the early movement.

 

In the brief history of Israel there have been a few peace initiatives which gained their acceptance due to the names of great and respected military heroes whose names were placed behind them. The Four Mothers movement turned into the call of Ehud Barak and the pacifist wing of the social left movement and the heart and soul of the Labor Party. Almost all of the Israeli self-made catastrophes began as peace movements which then took on a name or founded a political party and finally that party took that movement’s cause up to electoral victory or as a means to facilitate a desired political end. Each of these in recent history was formed around soothing the raging beasts across Israeli borders and their echo chambers in the European Union, United Nations and the Presidency of the United States and more. The first was the call to pull the troops from Southern Lebanon as the government had already admitted the IDF was holding land to which Israel was making no claim making them an occupying force, a position untenable under the best of circumstances and impossible in anything less. Almost the entirety of the nation was made to appear behind bringing our boys home and ending the slow bleeding of our forces and Ehud Barak bent to this movement making it into a political declaration supported by the Labor Party as they were the Peace Party who exemplified trusting Israel’s neighbors to do as promised and the assurances of the United Nations who would be providing additional troops under an agreement setting up UNIFIL (United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon) in Southern Lebanon which Israel vacated.

 

Today, one abortive military fiasco known laughably as the Second Lebanon War, and later those very areas turned over to the Lebanese Army and the UNIFIL forces of the United Nations, now bristle with twice as many UNIFIL forces acting twice as futile in their complete and total failing to prevent Hezballah from arming with upwards of a quarter of a million rockets and missiles. These include antitank missiles, short and medium range rockets, Multiple Rocket Launch Vehicles (MLRV), entire systems of mobile and fixed launching platforms for long range ballistic missiles with GPS and other sophisticated guidance systems, RPGs (Rocket Propelled Grenades), anti-ship C-803 missiles (Chinese YJ-83鹰击-83; pinyin: yingji-83; literally: “eagle strike 83”), anti-air surface to air missiles SAM sites, and various surface to surface rockets and missiles. Much if not almost all of this firepower was provided by Hezballah benefactor Iran. But wait, there’s more.

 

Enter another of Israel’s greatest warriors, the Bulldozer himself, Arik Sharon. He led a social movement which called for an experiment to prove the worthiness of the Palestinian society to work in peace side-by-side with Israel, a kind of mini two states for two peoples living side-by-side in peace and security and with programs which would prove mutually advantageous. This time the infection started in the Likud Party which had a strong resistive force dragging down the efforts and resisting the necessary efforts of trust and change which would eventually lead to a dull Arab Palestinian State living side-by-side with Israel. Prime Minister Sharon tired of the resistant Likud Party members holding him from this vision for a future filled with peace where Israel would no longer be the occupying power but instead the fountain for peace. To facilitate his vision he formed Kadima Party (Hebrew: קדימה‎‎, translates to; Forward) and gathered likeminded people from Likud, Labor and other parties and independents forging a new coalition mid-term, an unusual and may prove dangerous precedent in Israeli governance as it now frees any Prime Minister from their own party which when elected chose them if they can forge a new coalition dropping those members of their original party list and replacing them with others even including from the opposition and then making up your own party midstream. The Gaza removal of “settlements,” which were actual cities functioning and employing Arabs as well as Jewish residents, and the removal of the IDF allowing for the Palestinian Security Forces to take over the challenge of enforcing the rule of law and keeping order, failed and Hamas with Islamic Jihad and a number of other lesser terror groups and criminal families stole Gaza in a coup where the Palestinian Security Forces made for scant resistance before fleeing. Numerous wars later, with one threatening on the horizon, Israel faced a better armed and stronger force each time rocket fire reached levels which demanded interventions. Again Iran has a finger in the pie pumping in monies, expertise and the plans for larger and guided missiles capable of striking as far north as Haifa and easily striking Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. Currently Hamas has been promising a reign of terror with bombings, shootings, abduction of soldiers and civilians and other infiltrations through expertly built tunnels using the European Union provided cement which did not rebuild a single house when purloined, more like appropriate, for tunnel construction. This also allows for another Hamas propaganda line where they claim that Israel would not allow the free flow of cement and that this was why all of Gaza was not rebuilt and then during the next conflict Hamas points to the previous damage as part and parcel of the damage this time adding to the apparent toll and making Israel appear to be the monster. We know this because pictures taken at the start of the last war showed the remaining rubble and destruction from previous wars and could correlate the claims of Hamas that these were caused by Israeli carpet bombing and destruction proving further disproportional use of force and the world laps up this poison.

 

Now we have the multi-front set of social movements, political statements, and the potential making of a new peace party structured around numerous retired military generals, Shin Bet security chiefs and other renowned names and faces from the IDF, Mossad, Israel Security Agency and Police. Commanders for Israel’s Security is the name of this group and once again the name sounds so much better and stronger than the actual politics, programs and desires of the group. We wrote about this movement yesterday but it deserves another look as it is still forming and revealing its truth. What needs coverage first is the initiation of a social movement brought to the fore by two former IDF Chiefs of Staff Benny Gantz and Gabi Ashkenazi. Both have previously been named as the latest and greatest potential leader for Israel to realize a new age and lamenting their required waiting period before they can enter politics designed to allow a cooling period thus preventing a general staff officer to sweep into politics upon their return to civilian life potentially leading to catastrophic consequences. This social construct is the designed path for keeping both men in the limelight thus preventing the cooling period to have its complete and desired effect. Joining them is former Education Minister Shai Piron who served as a Minister in the Knesset for Yesh Atid in the previous government, a political construct by Yair Lapid to advance his political aspirations populated by a number of self-proclaimed political visionaries and opportunists. According to Channel 2 News, the new movement will be called “Pnima” (Hebrew: פנימה literal translation: inside) and is defined as a “cultural movement.” Benny Gantz and Gabi Ashkenazi, both IDF Chiefs of Staff who were well viewed by the public and were predicted to be capable of forming their own centrist party and winning any election hands down with possibly a straight all-out win by receiving over sixty mandates. As these proclamations were first trumpeted by Haaretz and then echoed around the leftist circle so often and so strongly that the reporting itself became a news story furthering this prediction as being next to gospel, one must also realize their definition of centrist is to the left of the Labor Party and in Meretz territory.

 

So, now Benny Gantz and Gabi Ashkenazi have their Pnima “cultural movement” which will grant the left-leaning media their avenue for keeping their names in circulation as they go through their cooling off period by not cooling off. This is absolutely genius in action, a marvel to witness. Additionally we have this new “Commanders for Israel’s Security” and their political manifesto which is a rework of the Saudi Peace Plan with a few twists which would all prove unworkable and disastrous for Israel and her future. They claim to have learned from history but apparently have missed every lesson along the way. Perhaps part of this reason was due to their being such an integral part to the events to which we refer, the Gaza retreat and the South Lebanon retreat. These great military and security minds with their cumulative six-thousand-years of experience in Israel’s various security agencies are expounding their plan as political agreements and security arrangements with the Arab World, including the Palestinians, which are vital Israeli national security objectives, plus additionally recognizing local and regional realities that make it mandatory and urgent to pursue these objectives of peace with security. They do merit the IDF as being by far the most potent military force in the region which can provide effective security and address all challenges within the present or any future borderline as agreed-to by our government and endorsed by our people. This last stipulation is extremely important to their claims to a future for Israel as the wording would make the IDF capable of defending an Israel defined as only the greater Tel Aviv area, a claim which is complete nonsense. Their idea for peace is to use a slight variant of the Arab Peace Deal, also called the Saudi Plan. Their difference is more a difference without a difference than anything else as they call for the new borders to be the security barrier while the Saudi Plan demands the 1949 Armistice Lines better known as the Green Line. The differences are small but stark as the Saudis and the Arabs have already declared their complete opposition to any alteration from their plan as stated using the pre 67 lines as the border. The map below shows the two lines which are within yards of each other along the majority and anywhere there is no Separation Fence the two are the same and no changes are proposed.

 

Green Line versus Separation Fence Borders

Green Line versus
Separation Fence Borders

 

The “Commanders for Israel’s Security” plan has proposed that all Israeli cities, towns and “settlements” be removed and the hundreds of thousands of Israeli be uprooted, their livelihood destroyed and then dump them next to the Gazan Israelis removed from their homes and employment in the August of 2005 Gaza withdrawal. Their plan would once again divide Jerusalem and surrender any and all Israeli claims to the lands beyond the Security Barrier unilaterally. But having learned from Gaza the “Commanders for Israel’s Security” will insist on instead utilizing the Southern Lebanon historic record with having the IDF defend Israel from potential enemy activity from land Israel has no claim upon. Eventually the human toll in murdered soldiers along with internal political pressures and world political pressures the IDF would necessarily beat a hasty retreat turning the area over to whoever proves to be the strongest which would likely be either Hamas or Islamic State, a difference without any difference. The plan is a straight out surrender to every demand the Arab side has ever made with one exception, Israel has yet to retreat to Masada. The reality of this plan is the complete surrender within a couple of years if not measured in months giving up everything back to the 1949 Armistice Lines, the Auschwitz Borders to quote Abba Eban.

 

Masada Fortress

Masada Fortress

 

This is the total reset the Arabs have been seeking as their first step towards slowly chopping up the remainder of Israel by any and all means possible. As we have pointed out in discussions repeatedly is that after the initial success of shrinking Israel down as close as readily attainable to the pre-June 1967 borders, the next step was to claim the Negev belongs traditionally to the Bedouins and thus must be surrender to the Palestinians as these are Palestinian Bedouins. Never mind that the Bedouins are nomadic and it is only in Israel that they are seen as having indigenous rights and claims to land ownership. Never mind that most of their deeds are suspicious as they are written on modern paper often by an electronic printer for the picture and the embossing seal is flat as if a print and not a stamping crimp. The reason given is that these are copies of the originals provided by Jordan or Egypt or Saudi Arabia or even the Palestinian Authority (PA). Some even suspiciously are copies of the Ottoman Empire deeds with obvious changes made to the location and owner name as if a real one was scanned and then alterations made and not that professionally. The PA has already begun their claiming the Galilee as their natural homelands and that Israel, you guessed it, stole the land from them. This falls right in line with their teaching the school children from an early age which city or town their family came from within the Green Line including Tel Aviv, Haifa, Nahariya, Ashkelon, Caesarea, Netanya, Beersheba, Jaffa, Eilat, Tiberius, Lod, Nazareth and all the rest as shown in Palestinian television show excerpted below.

 

 

The problem that Israeli leaders need to understand and the military generals and all the wonderful security chiefs is that the whole storyline which has been shoved down our throats and that of the world until it is all their ears know is all a lie and the truth must be spoken clearly, repeatedly and at every turn and opportunity. Every time there is stated the lies that Israel stole the land we must insist that all the land is ours and has always been ours since over three-thousand-five-hundred years. We need to restate that the Israelites returning to the Promised Land drove out the idolaters cleansing the land from savages who practiced abominations such as human sacrifice and particularly child sacrifices. That was their form of abortion and population control. Any and all children found to be deformed, weak, dull or in any way not capable of defending the village, the fiefdom, would be sacrificed before any investment of food and other materials were wasted on a future liability. This was replaced by the Israelites with a Hashem fearing and obedient people though flawed which we admit in Torah and all Jewish writings. Still, we were civilized ahead of the time then as now and treated human life with a reverence of something special and precious in all its forms. We do not sacrifice the weak or the disabled, we protect them and allow them to grow to their full potential and many are surprising when we view their accomplishments. This was amongst the lessons brought to the world and the world which adopted these customs flourished for as long as they followed the law that all human life is precious.

 

The Jewish and Israelite claims to the lands are written into history and are probably the best defined borders through historic writings of any nation existing today. Oh, wait, none of the civilizations from those days still exist in their original community as the Greeks did not yet exist, when we built our second Temple after the Babylonian Exile Confucius and Buddha were teaching their first disciples. Christianity was still a dream yet to be dreamt and Islam was well over two thousand years into the future. Rome was not even a strong city-state, Athens and Sparta were still fighting each other at every opportunity, Persia had yet to rise and Egypt was on her downward slope. China was awakening and the Israelites were readying the world to accept the Ten Commandments and concepts such as the Day of Rest, the Sabbath, the rotation of crops and a Jubilee Year where the land is rested and debts mitigated. The contract law was part of Torah along with six-hundred-thirteen Commandments for the Israelites to live by. They included limited governance, fair and impartial judges, individual rights, abolishment of slavery by replacing it with a system of wages for work and a day of rest for the worker and even the beasts of burden. Some might claim the Israelites invented the Bar-B-Que and the pancake. Even back in those primitive times when the world ran by “might makes right” the Israelites, the Jewish Peoples, had a code where right and wrong decided relations and not strength. They respected strength for what it was, but it did not automatically make one right in the eyes of the law and justices. It was Torah that initiated the ideal that justice was to be just and judgement would be to bring just justice free from any influence or pity. Torah instructed not to favor the rich for their wealth nor the pauper for their lack thereof.

 

Those are the facts and those are the base of our claim to the land between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea, just as it is defined in Torah. That is what has been our promise since before time was recorded by dates and was instead ruled by the stars and their positions as they were the gods to others, not to the Israelites as Hashem made those stars and thus it would be absurd to believe that Hashem was merely a star or group of stars. The discussion needs to change to the land is ours and of that there is no doubt, what we are discussing is how much autonomy will you have to rule over your areas where we permit. There will be no Palestine, just a semiautonomous area which will be permitted to decide over the areas allowed it for as long as such is permitted and to our favor. Violence against us in our lands will not be tolerated ever and each time that law is ignored you will lose another metric dunam (exactly one decare 1000 m² approximately 31.6m square). Write such into the laws of the land and step one disassemble the PA Security Force and disarm the men as it is more a safe haven for terrorists than an agent against terrorism. With time the people under PA rule will be eligible to apply for Israeli citizenship which will be considered on a family by family situation unless one is running from their family at which time as this is verified, they will be given a new identity and protection from their own family should the threat prove valid. Still any Palestinian self-rule will take place under Israeli sovereignty and their schools will include the mandatory teachings of all Israeli schools and learn the history of the land, the real history. Mahmoud Abbas and the rest of the ruling class from the PA will be granted a choice of relocating to the Gaza which Israel will leave as independent, relocate to another nation or live in a safe house in Israel where they will be under all but house arrest and we will try to make you comfortable. Allowing your continued practicing of incitement and hate speeches is a risk we cannot take if we are to expect the PA people to live at peace and develop their society. That has to be the new paradigm as the current whittling away a little here and there and our own generals proving to explain why winning outright has become so difficult. An army cannot win decisively if their leadership has no faith in what they are doing, why they are doing, or the honest validity of their actions. That is a breeding for failure and that must be turned around. We need more commanders who enter the battle with a prayer on their lips and their men and their lives forever on their minds. That is how we regain our land and the impetus to retain what is ours and has always been ours and that, my friends, is Israeli Security First and Foremost. Any questions?

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

August 1, 2015

Is the Choice Between the “Deal” or War, Period?

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The working agreement between the P5+1, and primarily President Obama, with the Iranians will in this discussion be referred to as the “Deal” for simplicity’s sake. This Deal has been panned by conservatives and anti-terror specialists as being dangerous and potentially deadly accords. It has been predicted that Iran will easily become a major economic power the equivalent of Saudi Arabia with the infusion of one-hundred-fifty-billion dollars and its resurgence into the oil market even at todays lowered prices, a situation caused by Saudi Arabia pumping oil at near peak levels intending to damage the economies of the Iranians and hurting Russia as well in the interim. The pain caused the Iranians will be offset by the cash infusion. The one thing we can be thankful for the warning but feel accursed by the aimed for results was the announcement after the signing of the Deal by Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei that his intentions are to utilize the cash infusion to resupply and rearm his terror proxies to levels believed impossible until a few days ago with the announcement of the Deal crafter by the Iranian demands and the quickness with which Secretary of State Kerry (to be referred to as ‘SKerry’ through the remainder of the article) revealed to be at the orders of President Obama, folded his hand and capitulated to every command and refusal to accept any limitations or requirements upon Iran thus in the final weeks of negotiations surrendering virtually every gain pressed forth through great efforts by the rest of the P5+1 from Iran. There was a glimmer of hope against hope that the Deal might crumble at the last minute due to the honor and integrity shown earlier in the negotiations when the initial framework was decided before the initial six-month pushback of the deadline for producing an agreement when the French Foreign Minister vetoed the framework only to be pressed by President Obama and his minions with a small cosmetic change in the phrasing of a minor item was made as the reason for the French veto though most believed the problems were more systemic than that one minor, insignificant item which was altered.

 

Back to the question at hand; is the Choice Between the “Deal” or War? One item which has to be brought into the consideration is some of the terms as far as items to be provided to Iran by the United States or other members of the P5+1 or any other entities. We have heard that the United States will be providing additional cyber protection with a mentioned direction of protecting the entirety of the Iranian nuclear research, development and particularly their enrichment program from interference, especially from Israeli cyber capabilities above and beyond other cyber assaults. There has been mention that President Obama through his lackey SKerry promised the Iranians that they could expect United States to provide air security both from the ground in Iraq as well as from the naval taskforce including, if necessary, from the aircraft deployed from the carrier in the Arabian Gulf. This guarantee appears to include, as some reports have stated, shooting down Israeli fighters should the situation demand such, and the expressed targeting of Israeli forces was exactly as heard. How much further to the other side the Administration will stray from the normative distance it has shown former allies making them into potentially targets of United States military assets is far beyond anything expected by any number of Americans who voted for President Obama, particularly my Jewish friends.

 

What does this paint for the future for Israel? Israel can feel a little less alone in her neighborhood as Egypt and Saudi Arabia along with their allies along the gulf coast are all in the same sinking boat right now. Unfortunately this situation will not aid Israel immensely. Where Saudi Arabia and Egypt might be cooperating, Israel should not expect any overt or announced cooperation from her new friends or even any thanks should Israel take actions which prevent Iranian production of nuclear weapons. Should the United States have actually sent orders to their military to intercept any attack on Iran, that could make any attack on Iran extremely problematic. By now Israel will hopefully have figured out that informing the United States of their intents is not tactically the brightest move available. This causes more problems than many might realize as there are numerous Israelis both within the IDF and within the government who believe it is their specific responsibility to announce every move to the corresponding department within the American government. This would require that care be taken on who might be trusted with any information and orders which were given to implement actions against the Iranian nuclear sites. Any such attempt to neutralize the Iranian nuclear sites had best be discussed with trustworthy advisors alone and should be tested as one of a number of potential interventions when being discussed with people having knowledge of the Iranian government and their expected and especially unexpected reactions and in plane plans made to address any resultant actions by Iran and her many allies and proxies. Further, Israeli intelligence should be on alert to find out the plans by any other actors as Iran has promised a reign of terror upon Israel should any attack be taken on their nuclear programs or any other resources within Iran.

 

The brilliance displayed by President Obama and his advisors which has been displayed through such exercises and actual events as Benghazi which was determined to be a response to a YouTube Video with about five thousand views before it was referenced by the Administration. There was the success of President Obama’s brilliant collapsing of al-Qaeda and how “stable governments” were taking form and President Obama gave as the prime example Yemen which burst into civil war overthrowing the “stable government” and forced to flee the Capital and head to the next largest city where two or three days later they were forced to flee again and have barely been heard from since. But we have heard from Iran and their arming of the Houthis and we have heard from Saudi Arabia which is supporting any entity which stands against the Iranian proxies, the Houthis. It is almost as if the Iranians are seeking anywhere and everywhere to make President Obama look the fool, but he and Secretary SKerry are too busy strutting their stuff purporting the great Deal they made and how it will prevent any need for a war to prevent Iran from attaining nuclear weapons. The Deal puts that the probability for setting the date for an Iranian nuclear weapon to be about a decade from now, give or take two, three or four years assuming that Iran gets caught in the web of intrigue and becomes entangled in all the minutia placed there to prevent an Iran desperate to please the West and the United States and Israel in particular but is absolutely useless against an Iran that intends to bull rush straight through any supposed restrictions in the Deal.

 

When asked what would happen if Iran simply took the one-hundred-fifty-billion dollars which are being released and used the improved centrifuge plans provided and open some undeclared enrichment laboratories in order to build nuclear weapons, warheads to be exact, with intent to make their warheads clandestinely and quickly; the administration replied with stunned disbelief stuttered slowly, but the Deal does not permit such actions and how dare you cast doubts about the Deal as it is a good deal fashioned for a good people to obey its restrictions and Iran had promised to abide by its restrictions. There appears to be a mental disconnect between President Obama and Secretary SKerry making them incapable of addressing any potential shortcomings of their deal and how it may prove completely impossible at restraining any government which practices subterfuge and dishonesty as stark principles reminiscent of the Germans after the Munich Agreement of 1938 which inevitably led to war within two years as Germany had since then annexed Austria, absorbed the rest of Czechoslovakia, and proceeded to make the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact agreement with Russia by which the two powers invaded hapless Poland from opposite ends and met in the middle thus starting World War II.

 

Iran will not need to make any additional agreements as they have sufficient agreements in place to provide them with control of a large crescent starting at the Indian Ocean and cutting a swath of land passing through the Middle East passing through Iran, southern Iraq, Syria and Lebanon and ending in the Mediterranean Sea. Currently Syria is in remission but the cash spigot is about to come wide open and as promised by Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, his friends will be rearmed and strengthened and will soon have all the necessary weapons and assistance to take the offensive. Add to this the promises from President Obama to provide a wall of protection both in the virtual domain and in the realm of the real where he promises have been made to prevent any and all assaults mounted, in particular, by Israel or any of her new-found allies. Of course by now the farthest reaching terms of the Deal have reached all those who have been waiting anxious to begin to understand what threats may be coming their way and if so, how long do they have to prepare. For Saudi Arabia, they know already that they have zero time as the fighting is on their southern and northern borders with the Yemeni Houthis fighting the Sunnis on their southern border and Iraqi Shia forces tangling with the Islamic State and Iranian backed and augmented Iraqi units facing off. Where most of the fighting has been between Shia and Sunni forces Iran has been known to finance Sunni groups as long as they did not bring any shame upon Iran, something amazingly enough accomplished by Hamas as Iran has cut their relations with Hamas, a blessing we would rather just accept and be thankful for small favors. Many of the groups and states supported by Iran is done simply to further the spread of the ideology and dogma of Shiite Islam and to bring as many misguided Islamic Sunni souls into the embracing arms of Shiite Islam and there is the we have the struggle of the ages. But in addition to this struggle there are the other tactical struggles. Iran desires to amass to themselves the rich oil fields of southern and central Iraq, the Saudi oil fields as well as the oil fields of the Gulf States including any offshore drilling. Additionally Iran believed that the time has arrived that the Shiite form of Islam becomes the dominant form supplanting Sunni through conversion by way of persuasion initially and by force if that becomes necessary. The Iranians also know the importance in geography and in particular of choke points. In that desire Iran definitely has desires to take control of both sides of the Straits of Hormuz, they seek ownership of Oman and the United Arab Emirates and for control of Bab el Mandeb Straits which is fueling much of their desire to have the Houthis control Yemen and be holding to Iran for their victories.

 

Meanwhile, the problem facing Israel as well as much of the Sunni Islamic world, though few would be capable of doing much about Iranian hegemony, is the prevention of permitting Iran to attain nuclear weapons and in particular what is referred to as weaponized delivery systems, a long way of saying miniaturized warheads. The reason for this is two-fold; the first being the obvious in that a rocket is limited in range by three factors, the first is the amount of fuel it can hold which is pretty much set by its initial design, second is the efficiency of the rocket motor, which consists of the combustion chamber, the valves, the atomizer, and some complex combinations in sizes and diameters which is called rocket science for a reason, and finally the weight of the warhead. This is where miniaturizing brings home the benefits as the weight of the warhead is by far the easiest part of a rocket or missile that the user can address. If we have a warhead that weights one-kilogram and a rocket which can hold one-kilogram then that is the limit you can arm said rocket with. But if you can miniaturize the warhead with a superior design which brings its weight down to three-hundred grams then you can place three warheads on that rocket and because that still allows for one-hundred additional grams that are not going to be used then the range of the rocket or missile just increased by almost ten percent, not that would be something as your miniaturization had tripled the capacity of the device’s damage capacity but also increased the range of the weapons package. This is where Iran will need to develop its technology as, just because you can produce a nuclear device does not necessarily mean one can deliver the weapon efficiently and here size and weight are the twin kings, especially if the intent is to place warheads atop missiles or within aircraft.

 

The best example of the difference is that the initial bombs the United States dropped on Japan to end World War II were huge in size by today’s standards. Their names were Little Boy (a uranium gun-type atomic bomb was dropped on Hiroshima on August 6, 1945) and Fat Man (a plutonium implosion-type bomb on the city of Nagasaki on August 9) both of which took a Silverplate Boeing B-29 Superfortress aircraft. The Enola Gay, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets’ mother carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima while, like William Dawes who was the other rider with Paul Revere and who actually made the warnings as Revere was captured by the British but Dawes proved too difficult to rhyme so it became “The Midnight Ride of Paul Revere” and not William Dawes, while the B-29 named Bockscar piloted by Major Charles W. Sweeney whose plane was not named after either of his parents, carried Fat Man over Nagasaki. Each of these atomic bombs had yields under twenty-thousand-kilograms of TNT (Trinitrotoluene C6H2(NO2)3CH3) which is considered quite low compared with modern thermonuclear devices which carry yields measured in Mega-tons of TNT yet are so much smaller than the original devices that if a B-29 were to carry modern weapons they could carry numerous bombs each with multiple warheads though the plane would likely not be capable of flying high enough and fast enough to clear the area before detonation though with a lighter load it might have a prayer’s chance.

 

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Enola Gay, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets' mother, carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Enola Gay, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets’ mother, carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima

 

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Bockscar of the 509th Composite Group which dropped an atomic bomb on Nagasaki piloted by Major Charles W. Sweeney

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Bockscar of the 509th Composite Group which dropped an atomic bomb on Nagasaki piloted by Major Charles W. Sweeney

 

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Enola Gay with Pilot Col Paul Tibbets, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets' mother carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima historic picture og man and his aircraft

Silverplate B-29 Superfortress Enola Gay with Pilot Col Paul Tibbets, named after its Pilot Colonel Paul W. Tibbets’ mother carried Little Boy to its target of Hiroshima historic picture og man and his aircraft

 

 

So, even should Iran detonate a trial nuclear bomb, depending on its yield, it could be determined what variety of device was detonated and what the intended use might be. A really low yield but leaving a high gamma radiation signature would signal they had developed an EMP bomb used to knock out electronic grids and sensitive electronics rendering entire weapons systems useless, especially those dependent on radar from ground based systems such as any aircraft batteries and other targeting systems as well as most command and control as they are dependent on computers and communications networks, both systems very vulnerable to an EMP attack. Such a device could spell a real disaster for most nations but mostly the United States or Europe as both societies are heavily dependent on communications for their economy, computers for their investment and banking systems, their electrical grids for refrigeration and for hospital equipment, and for supplying virtually everything as the majority of vehicles currently depend on computers to run and both Television and radio would be knocked out which in itself and without computers the United States would go completely bonkers within hours.

 

The real problem is that with the United States presumably defending the nuclear sites from military attacks and from cyber-attacks as well as providing advanced radar systems from aboard naval vessels matched to anti-missile interceptors of various types including jamming and interception, and have aircraft capable of taking out any aircraft identified as foreign and entering Iranian air-space with unclear intent or bombs hanging under the wings defiantly stating its mission, all of which means that for the foreseeable future the United States has joined the other side even against the people of the United States who knowingly continue to reside in the Great Satan and have yet to mend their ways and become good Dhimmis living the life in burka-land. The real question is how Iran can be derailed from attaining nuclear weapons, and not just any nuclear weapons, but miniaturized, weaponized, multiple-warhead, thermonuclear devices and the stealth cruise missiles capable of three-thousand-five-hundred mile routing at under fifty meters altitude and what would be the consequences to the nation which so took one for the team, and not necessarily an appreciative team? Because of the United States provided protection, should this continue to be the United States policy by the next President elected in November 2016 and taking office in mid-January 2017 no matter what their reasoning, such would mean that Iran might have such capabilities before they become easily targeted. This situation would present the parts of the world under threat, oddly enough including the United States, in so desperate a position that they might see tempting a shootout with the United States over Iran as giving them better hopes of survival than waiting for another President as by then protecting Iran would have become cemented policy that only the most assured and confident of Presidents would go against meaning there would be no end in sight. Boy, that sure is a SKerry Deal President Obama has there.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

 

July 5, 2015

Can the World be Defused?

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Once a while ago there were three leaders who defused the terrors and monsters of their day. There work took a while longer and they may never get the credit they deserve. They were the magic combination which comes around only when things seem darkest. In a much earlier time the combination of leaders need not all be present on the world’s fields of battle at the same time, but the world moves at a different pace these days. The old team which between them staved off Europe falling, thus eventually led to our modern age as we have known it, consisted of one hero in the west of Europe, The Battle of Tours pitting Charles the Hammer Martel defeating the Umayyad Caliphate led by ‘Abdul Rahman Al Ghafiqi, which halted the Islamic threat from advancing further eastward and eventually led to the forced retreat of Islam from the Iberian Peninsula under the reign of terror known as the Spanish Inquisition established in 1478 by Catholic Monarchs Ferdinand II of Aragon and Isabella I of Castile, a retrograde purge for which Spain would never quite recover as that evil, or is as some might claim the purification, left Spain without a curious mind in all the realm as the Inquisition allowed not such stray thoughts other than those found in the ‘Good Book’. A few hundred years later the Ottoman Turks were prevented from further adventures in Europe being turned back at the Battle of Vienna by a somewhat unusual hero, King John III Sobieski of Poland who struck a deal whereby his lands would be left untouched by the greedy hands of the other barons and monarchs while he and his entire army would cross to the southern end of Europe and free Vienna breaking the Ottoman siege. This would stall and lead to the end of Ottoman expansion into Europe.

 

Between these two battles was a smaller battle that gained a larger than life share of attention from historians but was still none-the-less of great importance by what it avoided. The battle of which so much is made was the almost war that King Philip II of Spain decided to bring to a conclusive end and forever rid England of its Church, which followed not the Pope in Rome, restoring the rightful ruler of Christendom, Pope Clement VIII. The Armada was assembled and sailed on its historic mission which failed as it was made up of large and cumbersome ships of the old technology which favored the retrograde habits left over from the Inquisition and the purification of thought within the rule of Rome where science would become as close to defined as sin and as a threat to the sanctified rule of a Pope. The defeat of the Spanish Armada allowed the Church of England to prevail and their more open attitudes and the advantage of a strong political royalty which ruled alongside the Church of England but separate when decision of State were decided and the rule of law endured while the Church of England was to content itself with matters of faith. This partial separation between Church and the State had its periods of difficulty but it also permitted great strides in science which eventually spread through Europe beyond where the Pope had extended the Church’s strangling long reach from Rome. Eventually Rome too saw the light of the reformation and the separation between religion and government became the supreme and crowning achievement which was a long time coming with the many fits, starts and backtracks that make history fascinating. The ancient Israelites (or Hebrews) had achieved a form of separation between religious influences and the rule of a king as the limitations of each were delineated in Torah leaving certain powers to the King, others to the Clergy and the freedom to override either, though solely through admonition and persuasion, went the Prophets during their era. The one unfortunate result of the separation of Church from the matters of the ruling elites was that Europe no longer had a single overseeing power structure that the Pope provided when all prayed in the manner instructed out of Rome. This would eventually lead to many wars between the many states in Europe culminating in World War II. With these conflicts came technology which placed Europe as the crowning achievement of its time.

 

The modern realms had a tripartite power structure which managed to work towards their shared goals in what resulted in a mutually supportive series of actions despite there being no treaty or visible connection where these three strong leaders actually were collaborating, instead each added to the strength and power of the others with minimal appearance of collaboration. The three leaders were the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Margaret Hilda Thatcher, Baroness Thatcher, who presided in that office from May 4, 1979 through November 28, 1990, while Queen Elizabeth II was the supportive monarch; Pope Saint John Paul II whose Papacy began on October 16, 1978 and ended April 2, 2005 and was a strong advocate for the rule of the people and their rights to a government deserving of the people and not the reverse and strongly held to the traditional beliefs working tirelessly largely behind the scenes while making appearances often with intent to back freedom and human rights for all people; and lastly United States President Ronald Reagan whose Presidency began on January 20, 1981 lasting until January 20, 1989 and the challenging force behind the scuttling of, as he coined it, the Evil Empire which was the Soviet Union which he did as much as anyone in facilitating the sudden downfall of the Soviet system and its iron curtain fell in under one week from the inception of the collapse of Communism in Europe. These three people had as much influence in their short decade where all three stood at the pinnacle of the power that swept in a new life and vitality born of freedom and challenging the greatest tyranny which stood in opposition to all these three defenders of the people, their individual rights and their right to choose their own governance and take control of their national ship and steer it through the ballot box and supportive of human dignity and the sanctity of life.

 

The world is once again spiraling into the void that lies beyond the cusp where freedoms are forever lost and tyranny and darkness extinguish the light of hope and the dignity of the spirit. Once again a retrograde influence is oozing from every corner advancing across the plains devouring everything in its path. The seriousness of this threat can be measured in the resisting flames in the eyes of those readying to fight a battle they know they cannot win but fight it they will in the hopes that somewhere a leader will have the courage to step forth and hold the line from crossing beyond the cusp and darkness once again gripping the heart of Europe. This threat comes from every front and ignores all borders and had many masters of which not a one honors freedom, individuality and the rights of the people to choose their own destinies and those who will lead them into the light and not towards the darkness. Currently the forces of freedom sleep as their ruling head of state has little stomach for such as the struggles barking from the far frontiers. This man who leads by following knows only that the previous leadership suffered from flaws that came from striving and this leader swears not to make such mistakes and instead retreats before taking stands and charging forth as doing so may reveal his flaws as it did his predecessors, but he realizes not that timidity and failure of vision are his flaws though his slow shrinking before every challenge is his plan to avoid mistakes. This comes when Europe also means to do well by refraining from the competition and instead seeks to facilitate and placate their way to oblivion that also lie beyond the cusp where greatness fails the timid and the freedoms hard won become easily surrendered and lost as they tip beyond the cusp and fall into the night of oblivion. There are the few who have clear sight and identify the threats but can the world rely on the strength of those who previously held roles of a supportive nature and have not been leaders of the free world as is now asked of them. The leaders in some instance are up to the challenge while in other leaders we see the rage of mediocrity hoping only to hold the line as best as possible waiting for one of the historic leaders to step forward and take the helm once more. What must the few who can lead do when the majority in the world are too tired, fat and lazy to put their shoulders to the wheel and strive to remain free, to stop the mad plunge and assure that their people are not forced beyond the cusp as from there the return will take generations and may never recover as some points, once crossed, may well mean there will be no return for this will be the final fight, the final battle between freedom and all that does empower the greatness in the human effort and spreads the light of freedom giving every last soul the power of flight so as to soar to new heights and new greatness ever pressing forward the boundaries of the mind through new equations which describe the actual functions of the universe and to eventually voyage into the far unknown and visit those points of light seen in the night’s sake for as sure as there is light there is hope for the future or the death of the individual spirit and the complete surrender to darkness forever extinguishing those final glowing embers of hope and heart as we fall beyond the cusp.

 

I have been asked by some close friends why I spend anywhere from three hours to all too often more than the eight hours demanded by a regular employ to continue to write to my slowly growing field of readers. Truthfully, I write in the hopes that somewhere an individual will find something that elevates them such that it awakens within them that spark of imaginations, the boldness to fight mediocrity, the hope that the future will continue to be filled with light and just one person at a time engage more to fight against the ever increasing flow dragging mankind towards a darkness that knows it has little time before the ingenious minds make that singular breakthrough which cements the condition of mankind at the cusp of a great adventure as we spread our wings and fly out into the cosmos and forever have insured that never shall all humankind be swallowed by the darkness beyond the cusp, beyond the whirlpool that swallows all imagination, enslaves every mind, demands total and permanent surrender, insisting on complete compliance never once to again dare. The war to remain in a place where there are a plethora of alternative paths and nobody is forced into the restriction of thought or held to a permanence of class must not be lost but there is this trepidation that the youth are not made aware of the coming threats nor are they largely taught to think independently and are made to believe that there are molds into which every person must choose their mold never to expand or reach beyond the restrictions of their mind. I write to express the truth that no two people are completely alike and thus there are no molds, only self-imposed prisons of the mind and the extinguishing of every flaming spirits as the mold makers impose a correctness of thought and attempt to ridicule and intimidate any who refuse to fold before their stifling approved dictionary for acceptable terms and their definitions. Look up the word ‘discriminate’ and unless you have an unapproved and ‘outdated’ dictionary you will not find it defined as a positive trait through which one sets standards for excellence in all things and thus chooses to expand and investigate things beyond their strict education. Trust that the elite are given the lesson that discriminate is not solely an evil where people are categorized by physical, racial, religious or national traits and all else is ignored. Discriminate also means to choose wisely, something the programmers of the public school system in too many nations is not a part of their indoctrination. Resist the limitations and open your eyes and if you suspect that the teacher is not teaching you how to think but instead what to think, start your own rebellion, a rebellion of one at first as you will need to first arm yourself and then set out to change the world. Presuming you are an adequately proficient reader this list should not take more than a few summer’s free time. With these and a few other items of personal interest, yours, not mine, you may be ready to set out but remember one other item, failure is what redirects efforts towards accomplishments and may even tach us some lessons along the way. There often is more to learn when we fail than when we finally persevere and reach the necessary and inevitable conclusion after exhausting every conceivable failure along the way, or so it may seem.

 

Rebel by reading books, yes they still exist, and writings not on the approved list. Read books such as Atlas Shrugged or other Ayn Rand writings, Animal Farm and 1984 by George Orwell who was a socialist programmed by his education but who became disenchanted as he experienced life and later in his life wrote of the evils of socialism as he had witnessed it applied in his day, Brave New World by Aldous Huxley and Unintended Consequences by John Ross. Read books about history especially by those who lived in the times they wrote about starting with The Innocents Abroad by Mark Twain with special attention to his travels in what is today Israel and his commentaries on Jerusalem and Bethlehem as well as his travels through the deserted lands and remember that his writings came from a period immediately before Zionists began arriving in greater numbers. Read the Bible, both New and Old Testaments, the Quran, and the life of Confucius and Buddha for some insights into the differing religions and investigate ancient Egypt, Greece, Persia, Rome, Babylon, the Phoenicians, Hittites, Mongols, and acquaint yourself with Oriental religious and societal structures and their philosophies. Read some books on war and strategy as they are useful in life and interactions in the world even in peace times such as the writings of Sun Tzu, Carl von Clausewitz and The Prince by Niccolò Machiavelli. Learn to play both checkers and chess. Learn logic both as taught in math and electronics as well as philosophy, this will arm you in debates. Arm oneself with knowledge and one will be prepared for anything life sends your way.

 

I also write for my own catharsis as it soothes the mind when one is forced to organize their thoughts so as to put them down as coherent writings, and if my writings have appeared to not be as clear as hoped and lacking in total coherence, then imagine the jumbled mess in my head and what that must be like, and then imagine living with such a racket of fighting ideas but not ideals as without ideals we wander undefined through a dark forest of frightening thoughts forever to remain lost. The world seems that way at this moment and it will take a few miracles to set things back to right, but fortunately the world is full of miracles if one only knows not only where to look but how to look and discern the hidden miracles behind so much that happened every day. Smell the roses and drink some strong coffee and find some simple pursuits in life and make then your anchor by which to have a place or item you define as normalcy. Mine is real, good and strong coffee brewed from just ground whole beans blended often with little care and allowing the mixture to give me a little bit of surprise in life. A little sweet chocolate seems to make it so much tastier and gives it a round robustness that is next to addictive. But everybody deserves one addictive vice they refuse to surrender before the demands for normalcy. Ah, normalcy, how boring a thing can be.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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