Beyond the Cusp

September 20, 2014

Potentially Righteous Cause but ISIS is the Wrong Group and Wrong Method

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The extremist Islamist terrorist groups, ISIS, released a video (See Below) presumably laying out their grievances and the plan they claim is their goal and the means by which to accomplish their desired end. First and foremost we want to make clear that in no way does our presenting reasons why their grievances have merit mean we support their actions or even the end result such a resolution would produce. ISIS is claiming that their fight is to undo the subversion and sabotage inflicted on the Arab and Muslim causes as a result of the Sykes-Picot agreement. The Sykes-Picot agreement was a treaty entered into by the victors of World War I and initiated for the most part by the British and French whereby the lands of the Ottoman Empire were broken into the countries which currently still exist across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The borders of these countries ignored tribal lands, family potentates and other logical and binding areas and intentionally broke these groups such that the borders placed parts from each existing community in separate countries. In some cases these borders ignored promises made with Arabs and other groups made by the British and French in order to gain additional forces fighting with them against the Ottoman Empire. Where the reasons which caused the Ottoman Empire to enter World War I can be debated ad-nauseum, the validity and merit matter little as their choice was made and they chose poorly. What also should be mentioned about the results of World War I is that many of the borders drawn in Europe that broke up the Austria-Hungarian Empire were also formed with little concern for existing communal groups and appears to have used a similar design as the borders of Sykes-Picot had done to MENA peoples.


Should video not play, try this source here.

The basic design behind Sykes-Picot was to form nations which would, by design, suffer from internal rivalries and violence requiring the ruling government to allot much of their time and resources to quelling these rivalries and maintaining order. The method setup by the French and British with the endorsement and confirmations of the allied powers was to place compromised and controllable dictators in power over these fragmented and often rivalrous sectarian segments of the society which would tend to have hostile relations causing breakouts of violence which would require the governance to quell the fractious groups which might require assistance from the European power each would be paired with. The demarcation of responsibility lines between France (Blue Area and Area ‘A’ under French Mandate will become Syria and northern Iraq), Britain (Pink Area and Area ‘B’ under British Mandate will become Transjordan and southern Iraq), Russia (Yellow Area), Italy (Green shaded and Area ‘C’ under Italian Mandate) and International Area under League of Nations and Allied control (Tan Area which was the area from which Israel was formed and was left mostly to British control) are displayed in the map below.

Sykes-Picot Map

ISIS claims that their desire is to erase the false borders imposed by the Western powers after the end of World War I with the defeat of Germany, Austria-Hungarian Empire and the Ottoman Empire. Their claim is that the dividing of the lands which were united under the Ottoman Empire denied the Muslim peoples of their Caliphate and that wrong must be nullified and erased by the formation or renewal of the Caliphate with its borders erasing the Western imposed individual states with the unified Caliphate. What the leadership of ISIS is intentionally ignoring is the right of the victorious powers after a conflict, especially one in which they were the responding powers fighting a defensive war against the aggressors who initiated the hostilities. They are enabled to disposes those lands as they desire even to incorporating them under their banner and retaining rule over those areas. Initially this was what the allied powers did with the conquered lands of the Ottoman Empire and in time drew their arbitrary lines and established puppet states. The argument the allied powers probably made was by setting the borders as they did, it fulfilled the majority of their promises which were given those who cooperated and assisted their efforts against the Ottoman Empire. Whatever the reasoning, the allied powers had legal rights to do as they chose with the lands in question under International law applicable at that time.

That leads directly to the question, how could the Caliphate be reestablished other than by force of arms? The most obvious answer is that the peoples of the individual nations could elect new leadership and petitions the other nations, those would need to likewise elect leadership so inclined and reestablish the Caliphate uniting one nation after the other through elections and new treaties. This method would take time, effort and a uniting of peoples from different tribes and other differentiating alliances within each nation and then do the same with even more peoples, groups, tribes, and religious sects within Islam as they added additional nations to the reestablishing Caliphate. Of course there is the downside of not being able to pillage cities and towns, pilfer and rob banks and financial institutions, destroy ancient religious and cultural sites from antiquity selling off the precious items located to black market thieves, murder those who might disagree with your plans or methods or simply because they worship in a different form of Islam or religion other than Islam under the banner of righteous cleansing and establishing the one true form of Islam, and simply butchering and raping your way as you go marauding across the entire Middle East should you succeed at your quest for a new Caliphate. Hopefully you have kept an idea in the back of your tiny little brains that should you murder all who fail to measure up to your particular ideas and ideals then you will not have many people in your caliphate and that could cause some real difficulties along the way and potentially ally so many against your idea of how to populate your caliphate that you will utterly fail. Perhaps if ISIS was being a little more compassionate and inclusive, they might find the world somewhat concerned about the issues ISIS claims to be fighting for; but doing so would take a bite out of their taking pleasures as they present themselves in any opportunity.

That is the first of many problems being caused by ISIS and the methodology they are pursuing to form their dreamed of Caliphate. Add to those problems there are also those same Western nations which came together and so carefully; all-right, so carelessly and with little effort or thought; crafted their divisions of the land establishing borders as they saw fit, or by a bump of an elbow assisting in drawing parts of the border for Jordan as it has been alleged. Then there is the violence which you have displayed which included direct threats to the Western nations as you flagrantly performed the inhuman act of beheading thus far three citizens of these nations, freelance reporters James Foley and Steven Sotloff from the United States as well as aid worker David Haines from Britain with another British victim threatened to be beheaded presumed to be Alan Henning who was delivering aid such as medical supplies and other necessities. Where ISIS claims they are performing acts of righteousness and are being guided by the Quran, the Hadiths and practicing Islam in the manner of Muhammad; the rest of the world even including many of the Islamic faith (even a spokesperson claiming to represent al-Qaeda) have denounced ISIS because of their limitless brutality and inexcusable actions against the innocent including children. There have been comparisons equating ISIS plundering, malevolence and slaughtering of innocents to that of the Mongol Hordes, though the brutalities committed by ISIS may make the Mongols acts pale by comparison. The worst is accusing ISIS of such criminal malevolence would be received as if a compliment, and there lies the base reason that their defeat, nay, evisceration is necessary. Some actions can only be interpreted as a cancerous tumor which murders everything precious and valuable that falls within its grasp and as such must be excised and expunged simply to restore the return of civilized behavior and peoples.

Forces such as ISIS have aspects that though disturbing to most still attracts a segment of society, mostly outcasts and mentally defective souls who, when able, will ally with ISIS willingly, even anxiously, as has Boko Haram, another terrorist entity which practice similar traits that ISIS performs such as rape and selling of young women into slavery, even sexual slavery, beheading and murdering those who worship in other manners than exactly the prescribed manner of Boko Haram ideas of Islam. One must consider that ISIS was denounced and rejected by al-Qaeda as being too extreme even for those extremists. ISIS has announced their intention in their video to erase all the lines, the borders imposed, presumably illegally according to ISIS claiming they were forbidden by Islam, by the Western powers starting with the one the spokesperson is standing upon, the Syrian-Iraqi border. The spokesperson points out the border police station building just before it is detonated and destroyed, claiming that just that form or marking of any borders currently in existence will face the same degree of violation. Such fortuitous and infantile savagery is a refusal of the Western ideals of civility and as thus is simply the conflict between the Islamic lands within MENA and Western civilization of Europe and North America. One could almost draw a similarity to the divided world in Orwell’s 1984 with some alterations but still with three major divisions and the threats from each on Oceania. That aside, the threat from ISIS is a direct threat placing their perception of Islam and the teachings from Muhammad and the stated expectations from Allah as interpreted from the Quran and Hadiths. What is necessary and will be of great interest are the reactions from the Islamic nations, especially those who face the most immediate threat from ISIS. The Western nations who take part in the coalition should and must have the Islamic nations of MENA who elect to join the efforts to deter and hopefully eliminate the threats posed by ISIS to state their purpose. Where it is acceptable for their reason to be self-preservation; it would be far more preferable if their reasoning was to eliminate this malignant form of Islam as it is unacceptable and goes against the teachings of the Quran, Muhammad, and most of all Allah. Their reason, if it should become known, will tell the world much about the real teachings in the Quran and how they are viewed by those who make up the body of Islam, namely the Muslim nations around the world. If ISIS is claimed to be acting properly as viewed by the Islamic world and they join the coalition, assuming they will, simply for the reason of maintaining their rule and not because ISIS is blaspheming Islam, then the rest of the world should expect at some future date for the Islamic world to attack the rest of the world demanding as ISIS has that all believe exactly as they do or face a genocidal cleansing. This is the most frightening thing about ISIS, that they are acting exactly as an obedient Muslim should act once they have surrendered their will to Allah.

Beyond the Cusp

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August 13, 2014

So Many Ceasefires and No Peace

The conflict initiated by Hamas when after their abduction of three teenage boys and their murders was followed by an ever increasing numbers of rockets launched from within Gaza onto numerous Israeli civilian areas from Sderot just across the Gaza border all the way to Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, Netanya, Haifa and beyond forcing an Israeli military response is currently in yet another tentative ceasefire. It has almost seemed as if there is a new ceasefire announced every few days and often even multiple times per day when the conflict is hot. This is even more evidenced on those all too frequent times when only the Israelis are attempting to observe an announced ceasefire and some combinations of the terrorist groups populating Gaza have refused to accept that ceasefire. Things can get confusing when there are several, possibly as many as a dozen, separate terrorist entities each with their own hierarchy with some having factions which may act independent from the rest of the main body. There have been a couple of times where Hamas has initially claimed they are honoring the ceasefire but cannot be held responsible for the actions of the other groups they claim are beyond their control. Each case eventually proved out that Hamas had also not been holding to the ceasefire but had simply attempted to muddy the waters in an effort to prevent Israel from any retaliatory strikes, a ploy that soon became mute as Israel carried through on their threat to hold Hamas as the governing power in Gaza responsible for any rockets or other transgressions of any ceasefire. Even so there were those brief pauses by Israel even when a ceasefire resulted initially to be held to unilaterally by Israel in the hope that those initial transgressions would be curtailed and a lull would actually take hold. This was often a hope which fell into the dustbin of false hopes as the rockets raining down only increased going forward. The world has demanded that Israel answer for why these ceasefires have not progressed, as the world believes they should, to a permanent agreement to restore the peace, or at least a level of violence the world can comfortably ignore as Israel was not forced to respond as it is only the Israeli actions of self-defense which animates the self-appointed paragons of moral relative truths to rise up and express their indignations.

That answer was provided early yesterday in a press release from the military leadership of Hamas known as the Al-Qassam Brigades stating about the Egyptian negotiations that, “The warriors in Gaza are waiting with Allah’s help to renew the fighting, or to return to planning the next campaign. There’s no escape. Either jihad or planning.” The Hamas leadership in Gaza has expressed their disappointment with the Egyptians, being the neutral party, being the intermediary entity in the negotiations. This was reinforced by Palestinian Authority spokesperson Mustafa Sawaf, considered to be one of the closest leaders aligned with Hamas, who instructed the negotiation team in Cairo, which is comprised of Hamas and Palestinian Authority members, to go home immediately refusing to continue in negotiations mediated by Egypt. Mr. Sawaf defined the Egyptian efforts to be, “the basic delaying source preventing an agreement.” He even went so far as to threaten Arab League Secretary-General Nabil El-Araby not to make a solidarity visit to Gaza intimating, “El-Araby will not be received warmly, and Gaza residents will hit him and his delegation.” Sawaf went so far as to claim that Arab residents of Gaza now view the Arab League as being a, “partners to the slaughter,” an accusation purporting that they support the Israeli counter-terror Operation Protective Edge.

Should the Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Palestinian Authority negotiators heed the pronouncements from Mustafa Sawaf we can expect this conflict not to wane until Hamas and the other terrorist groups have run out of rockets to launch into Israel and not one moment before. This is what much of the coverage of this conflict have reported completely backwards laying the blame on Israel for refusing to compromise and meet Hamas’s demands at least part way. This demand is asking for Israel to meet Hamas part way in granting what would be suicidal concessions by Israel. It matters little whether Israel ends their naval blockade allowing for inspection of all goods into Gaza for weapons or if they permit Hamas to reopen the international airport in Gaza permitting flights to fly into and out of Gaza freely without any restrictions on the goods they transport and a way to enforce such restrictions. Either way, Hamas and the other terrorist groups would gain access to whatever weapons systems they could afford or their allies wished to provide them. How long after Hamas gains an unimpeded and inspection free avenue to import goods before they receive all the modern weaponry their heart desire? The delay would depend almost exclusively on how long it would take for either aircraft or ships to be loaded and arrive in Gaza and not a second longer. Imagine Hamas armed with AT-4 Spigot or AT-5 Spandrel Anti-Tank Light Infantry Missiles, MANPADS Man Portable Air Defense Systems,  MI-28 Havoc Russian attack helicopter or the KA-52 Alligator Attack Helicopter or possibly the Chinese WZ-10 Attack Helicopter & WZ-19, and possibly with time fighter aircraft such as Russian Mikoyan-Gurevich MiG-25, Mikoyan MiG-29, Sukhoi Su-30 or even the T-50 Sukhoi PAK FA as well as possibly the Chinese J-10 Chengdu or even the Chengdu J-20 and not only attacking Israel in the most costly war Israel would ever have to fight, but also sharing their newfound armaments with the Muslim Brotherhood in their assaults to retake control of Egypt and then beyond. Allowing Hamas to gain unrestricted importation of whatever their devious black hearts’ desire and what would follow would make ISIS sweeping and slaughtering their way across Iraq seem absolutely tame and inconsequential. What granting Hamas such access to weaponry would produce would be an alliance between Hamas and every other Sunni Islamist extremist terrorist groups including ISIS, al-Qaeda, Boko Haram and any others at the price of their funding the arming of what would really make for the new Caliphate. Sometimes the leadership of the world appears to be totally populated by morons who have absolutely no ability to foresee the results of their actions. Fortunately, in Israel the people will rise up and meet any need to instruct our leaders when they decide the time to try national suicide have arrived because their past mistakes failed to produce that result. Still, they often do not listen, thus the Gaza disengagement. Still, there are those throughout the world pressing Israel to meet Hamas half way and only commit suicide half way. Not sure if suicide can be performed merely half way without completing the act becoming self-fulfilling, so perhaps that would be a bad concession to make.

Beyond the Cusp

March 4, 2014

Ukraine Russian Threat Beyond Obama’s Pay Grade

Russia is injecting troops and full compliments of armor, artillery and other ground support into the Crimean Peninsula with full air support wings sitting just over the border in Russia. The nascent government in the Ukraine has called up the entirety of their reserves and are pleading that those who signed treaties with the Ukraine and Russia throughout the 1990s and guaranteed Ukrainian independence to now honor their commitment. The main guarantors were the United Kingdom and the United States, neither of which are currently in any position or have the ready capability of honoring that commitment. Still, President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry are both making desperate statements which Russian President Putin will disregard as he knows from the past lack of fortitude and actions in backing his words by President Obama after Benghazi and throughout the chemical weapons use fiasco in Syria that the United States has as its Commander in Chief a spineless squirrelly indolent childlike leader who only knows how to give a great speech and even then only if the teleprompter provides the words. Putin is likely enjoying a hearty laugh as he watches President Obama attempting to sound threatening and earnest as he bellows threats in a futile attempt to stay the Russian military from rolling over the Ukraine submitting it once again to Moscow’s will. Putin is acting with a lack of concern or regard for the sputtering of both Obama and Kerry taking advantage of that more flexibility that Medvedev relayed as the promise from the American President.

 

Putin knows full well that he has a green light to do as he pleases with the Ukraine completely sure that the Western powers have no taste for a military action any more today than they had when British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain and French Prime Minister Édouard Daladier signed away Czechoslovakia to German Chancellor Adolf Hitler in Munich in 1938 as they also were not prepared for a war or preventing German aggressions. Now we have Great Britain and the United States along with the rest of the Western powers making vacant threats sounded with trembling voices that betray their hope against hope that their bluffs will not be called. President Obama does not even realize that he resembles a small child standing in the kiddie pool while drawing lines in the water and screaming threats at the bigger kids swimming in the main pool. Putin realizes he is looking at what resembles a clown more than a leader of a nation which still has the abilities and potential of a world leading power if only those in the seats of power had any real convictions. Putin has won and the Ukraine is standing alone and that will prove to be a sad affair.

 

Putin said he would agree to a proposal from German Chancellor Angela Merkel to set up a contact group on Ukraine. Angela Merkel made this proposal in a telephone conversation Sunday evening. She has also been quoted as having “accused the Russian president of violating international law with the unacceptable Russian intervention in Crimea.” The reality is that President Putin is simply taking advantage of the situation and weakness in the Ukraine after months of unrest and years of misrule that weakened the Ukraine making it a prime target for the next step in the reassembling of the old Soviet empire. This was part of the reasoning behind the Russian military action against their former state of Georgia where the Russians took control over the two northern provinces of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Now the Russians have taken at a minimum the entirety of the Crimean Peninsula and stands poised to take control of at least the eastern Russian speaking lands of the Ukraine. The new government in the Ukraine has bravely, even if foolishly, they will not stand for the Russian invasion of their nation. Expect Russia to claim that they are simply working to reestablish the rightfully elected leader, President Viktor Yushchenko, back into power and assist in subduing the illegally imposed government. Anybody believing such complete deceptive dishonesty will also believe that the Russian aid to Syria is simply to support the duly elected leader Bashir al-Assad. Granted any comparison of Bashir al-Assad and Viktor Yushchenko is a long stretch but the use of supporting such oppressive leadership by Russia in order to sustain their puppet governments is exactly the same. We are watching the rebirth of the Russian empire, either the Czarist Empire or, more accurately, the Soviet Empire. The big question is, where will Putin turn his attentions next and how far will Putin go to reestablish the Warsaw Pact and reestablish Russian hegemony over the entirety of Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Will the world once again sit still while Putin and Russia swallow nation after nation subjugating hundreds of millions of people and only stand in defiance when Russia invades Poland? We have seen this situation once before in recent history and it inevitably led to the greatest carnage and sacrifice of blood, treasure and civility in all of human history. Will the world stand to stop Putin and end his designs to reestablish a Russian European and Asian Empire early when it might not be as costly or will the world once again wait until the possibility that all efforts will fail as the allied efforts almost failed to stop the spread of Nazi Germany and Empire of Japan in World War II. How many will be sacrificed in the coming war, be it over a hungry Russia swallowing her neighbors or an atomic weapons armed Iran spreading its tentacles wrapping up all of the Middle East oilfields and spreading terrorist attacks worldwide.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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