Beyond the Cusp

January 25, 2016

A World Spinning Out-of-Control

 

The first area the world is having difficulties is nothing new as finances and resources are always at a critical point somewhere, but when it spreads wide and wild, then there is a problem. The problems are about to get really tightly strung as the United States cash flow valves are about to be made even tighter until mid to late August when the money will be released to give the economy as good a feel and appearance that people will believe that President Obama’s promises to repair the economy have finally begun to work. This will be reflected in a general media message that all is finally well in the world and the United States is healthy and ready to take on the comeback of the millennia. Nothing could be further from the truth but if the economic weapon is to be taken off the table making the push to place Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton in the White House will begin in earnest. What about the e-mail scandal and the leaking of classified information and her using her own private server to remain out of sight her dealings and what about those dealings and then there is the pay-to-play cashing in on her Secretary of State position by the Clinton Foundation personal slush-fund and so much more it is impossible to keep up with it. These e-mail revelations will all be settled and forgotten by the mid-September push where the world will be all Hillary all the time should her coronation go off as planned at the democrat National Convention, which means Bernie Sanders is the court jester out to entertain the masses while all the Hillary loose ends are tied up nice and neat; then Bernie will disappear and drop out for personal and family needs. Of course he will release his support and give Hillary all his delegates at the second round unless the most unbelievable happens and Bernie Sanders becomes the man and the Democrats will dump on Hillary again and the Clintons will have it out once and for all when Bill tells Hillary that it just was never meant to be. Look for a very vindictive and messy divorce to soon follow as Bill will have not been able to provide the necessary support to assist Hillary when it became her turn. Of course it could never have been that Hillary Diane Rodham Clinton was such a set of damaged goods that anything short a miracle could have ever placed her in the White House as the President. Perhaps the truth lies in that she was better as an ornament assisting Bill and quietly out of the actual scene than she would ever be the ‘One’ herself.

 

Meanwhile American consumerism has yet to recoil from the 2007-8 recession and the United States has been languishing in the shadows making a very slow recovery on the jobs market. This has put a serious damper on American consumerism, the buying power on which much of the world economy sits waiting to serve up the goods for Americans to buy. The European one currency disaster is slowly being repaired by using Germany’s wealth and productivity to provide universal monetary relief making the European Union a full circle system where Germany pays the less affluent countries to pay off their debts to Germany and assist their less than ambitious workforce to at least take welfare and spend it on German goods. This has created a system where Germany produces the goods that the rest of Europe consume with well over half the population using German wealth to buy in, so to speak. This is a model of an economic perpetual motion and cash flow machine. The problem is friction and drag which will eventually cause all the funds to not quite reach their theoretical place and be utilized to purchase German goods. People will use a fair share of the German largesse on feeding themselves and not living on German beer, or is it bier? The governments dispensing this cash flow fungible funds will take their cut as government are known to do and other diversions prevent this perpetual cash flow machine to rather rapidly grind to a halt, then what? This was where American consumerism was to kick in and cover the difference and continue to push cash into the machine to overcome the friction and inertial problems but that did not occur right on time. Then there was supposed to be this new middle class in China ready, willing and wealthy enough to re-prime the European economic model. Another ‘no-go’ as they are spending their cash to prop up much of the Asia markets and doing that slightly better than the Germans, but that too is reaching its tipping point as China’s buying power turned out to be overrated and Japan and Australia were not capable of filling that gap so they were also turning to the American consumerism machine which remained relatively idle for reasons the rest of the world could not understand. The reinvestment in American consumerism is scheduled for lift-off later this year in order to place the next media coronation on-track to place Hillary Clinton back in the White House. Expect Bill to play his role perfectly as the supportive spouse as he provides the necessary cash for her campaign while attempting to resist any temptations which would be a true and dramatic scandal.

 

Then we come to the rest of the world. Saudi Arabia is sitting on that valve with the exception of Iran and the one-hundred-billion-plus bribery to permit them to sit in a really plush hotel suite and dictate their dream nuclear treaty and for President Obama and Secretary of State John François, did we mention he was French, Kerry to appear to be writing and crafting a cleverly devious set of rules and stipulations which would prevent Iran from building any nuclear weapons, especially deliverable ones as they also were writing a prevention to test missiles and related technologies into the treaty. They were terrible actors or at least other than the carefree unconcerned President completely trusting his competent yet bumbling Chief Inspector Jacques Clouseau of the French Sûreté Kerry to bring in the play of the century and deliver the ultimately understated but effective treaty. The entire act failed as none of the parts were played by the late Peter Sellers and thus masterly failing and flailing to the best solution through erroneous thinking always overcorrecting just enough to get the criminal in the end was not pulled off. The Iranians were playing three dimensional chess, or possible a number of dimensions higher, while Obama and Kerry were playing the ever so complicated game of Noughts and Crosses, how so ever European of them. The nuclear path to Armageddon arranged, paved, and decorated by the United States gift wrapped and delivered to the Iranians set Saudi Arabia even further on edge. The Saudis are playing their one card and playing it to its utmost capacity pumping oil from the ground at a pace previously unheard of to crash the market and push prices down as far as it can go.

 

This has had effects all desired and planned by the Saudi government, aka the Saudi Royal Family. The low prices means that the lesser grade or difficult to extract barrels of oil produce little if any profit and even losses for certain lower grade oils less desirable than the light, sweet oil of the Saudi oil field production. This was intended to bankrupt the Iranian oil market which is likely not producing the cash flow which makes Iran operate but fear not, the Obama administration has taken care of that with the unfreezing of over one-hundred-billion-dollar present right into the Mullahs of Iran’s pockets which will neatly finance their missile and nuclear research and production placing their nuclear and missile programs on the fast track for a five year target date which may be even less in the distance than all except soon to be out of office and thus not blamed for what happens next. The low price of oil is also killing any additional fracking or other fairly expensive to initiate oil fields exploration thus slowing the United States ability to develop these technologies until further notice. The final effect is against Iran’s favorite former and soon to be again super power, Russia. Russia is getting next to nothing in profits from oil sales and is likely depending on vodka profits, a real let down.

 

The Russian government is next to broke but this is where gifts from President Obama roll in. Remember that hundred-billion-plus monetary reward the United States is about to turn over to Iran? Well, guess what they are going to do with a goodly amount of that largesse? That’s the ticket; we knew you would figure that out, of course they will be buying tons of military equipment from Russia. Expect the Iranians to repaint those units tan, beige and brown and then claim they designed and manufactured them within the first year. These military sales may end up being the life’s blood, the mother’s milk for the Russian economic engine. So, Iran gets advanced military equipment and will reverse engineer it or also buy production rights and for the Russians to build the factories as well to produce the missiles and other equipment in Iran. This will provide Russia with the funds to operate for a decade longer providing military goods to Iran. What could conceivably go awry?

 

Where does all of this end? Who knows? Sure, we’ll take a stab at it. Even the military equipment will not save Russia from their adventurisms. Propping up Bashir al-Assad is an expensive business and gets all the worse with every downed aircraft, exploded tank and even every bullet shot and supplies shipped to Syria all costs but things could be worse. Turkey is a wary acquaintance with a love-hate relationship with Iran. Should Turkish-Iranian relation devolve back to animosity stages then Turkey might decide to push back closing the Bosphorus thus separating the Mediterranean Sea from the Black Sea and making the bulk of the Russian fleet all but useless. This would also mean resupplying the Russian units in Syria far more expensive as they would all need to go by air routes around Turkey. With the Russian economy still weak and near collapse, such additional expense would be just the impetus that Russia might require to take care of the Turkish problem and take the Bosphorus straights on both sides including Constantinople, well, returning Istanbul to its former name might be part of the plan, couldn’t it? This more than likely would result in an all-out war between Turkey and Russia which might not end with Turkey. The Russians would not even blink when it would come to also raking-in the Kurdish areas of Syria and Iraq taking the northern parts of Syria down as far as Aleppo. Where such aggressions might lead is a troubling thought. Russia, under Putin, might fabricate an insult or problem from the Ukraine, Georgia, Belarus, Latvia, Estonia and many of the old nations, especially those in Central Asia, reestablishing the smaller and more vulnerable nations all in the name of protecting them from untold horrors threatening their futures. Now under the protection of Russia they need not spend anywhere near as much on their fears. It has all been crystalized down to one concern; the big brown ten-thousand-ton bear in the living room.

 

 

Ukraine Was Already a Conflict Spinning Out of Control and in at Least One Possible Future This Will Become a Picture of the Calm Before the Storm

Ukraine Was Already a Conflict Spinning Out of Control
and in at Least One Possible Future
This Will Become a Picture of the Calm Before the Storm

 

 

The hard truth is financial matters on a global scale are similar to the financial situation in Europe right before World War I. Far Eastern Asia such as China was not one of the main conditions as their economy was not producing great amounts of wealth and thus was not part of the purchasing consumer world. Russia was faltering as the Czars were overthrown and the democratic first elected governance was unable to instantly produce a functioning and burgeoning economy such as had been witnessed in the booming economies right after the turn of the century in Europe and the United States. That brought on another governance and government change and the Communists took over and immediately cowed the people and put them under a harder and more forceful boot that the Czars had done, Europe was facing an economic stall as if somebody had mucked up the flow of money and without money flowing the economic sails drooped and became dead weight and unproductive. This was not as true in the United States but the American economy drove American business and the main imports by the United States were exotic fruits from South America and coffee from South America plus America was still growing though far slower than before. The Ottoman Empire, a long deceased empire staggering, was being largely propped up by the Europeans as nobody desired these lands which were tribal, primitive, unproductive deserts.

 

By every measurement, Europe was a tinderbox awaiting a single spark. The Ottoman Empire was an even more volatile place and the Balkans were the Balkans with the different religious conflicts, the tribal conflicts, largely inert economies, no overriding force of arms keeping the lid on and everything in a kind of lingering limbo slowly devolving into Machiavellian might makes right situation where many thought they had the might and were waiting for the time to be right. Well, the time never got around to being right as firing a gun with the tinderbox that was Europe was frightening enough, what followed was simply the explosion that set the world ablaze. On June 28, 1914, then, Archduke Franz Ferdinand and Sophie were touring Sarajevo in an open car, with surprisingly little security, when Serbian nationalist Nedjelko Cabrinovic threw a bomb at their car; it rolled off the back of the vehicle and wounded an officer and some bystanders. Later that day, on the way to visit the injured officer, the archduke’s procession took a wrong turn at the junction of Appel Quay and Franzjosefstrasse, where one of Cabrinovic fellow revolutionaries, 19-year-old Gavrilo Princip, laid waiting. Leaping towards the car the assassin fired into the rear seat shooting Archduke Franz Ferdinand and Sophie at point-blank range. The would-be martyr then attempted to turn the gun on himself but was wrestled to the ground and was basically saved by the arresting officers. The rest is history, no, really, history, literally and exactly World War I history. Nedjelko Cabrinovic was an anarchist and belonged to a subversive group who desired revolution called the Black Hand which was later connected to the Freemasons though there is little evidence we could find of an actual link. Any input either way would be appreciated and allow us to say thanks in advance. Meanwhile, our other conspirator, Gavrilo Princip, was raised in a home of Serbian Orthodox Christian parents though many conspiracy theorists claim because of his appearance he had to be a Jew, the actions of assassinating the Archduke and his wife just sealed the deal on his religious origins had to be Jewish despite all evidence to the contrary. Hopefully there will be no rulers of the Austria-Hungary Empire riding through the Balkans in an open car with a maximum speed of almost seventy miles per hour in the next few weeks having a bang up time at the expense of the downtrodden masses; that would just be tempting fate, now, wouldn’t it. Kidding aside, the world does seem to be picking up speed as if there may be a crashing event in the near future and that is not a happy thought. Really nothing to add to that except the list of national and international leaders vulnerable to some revolutionary anarchist or other form of fanatic is not that far-fetched and that is frightening.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Advertisements

June 2, 2015

Russia Assisting United States Facilitating Nuclear Super Iranian State

Filed under: Absolutism,Administration,Advanced Weapions Systems,Africa,Al Nusra Front,al-Qaeda,Al-Quds Force,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab Authority,Arab League,Arab World,Armed Services,Ayatollah,Ayatollah Khamenei,Barrel Bombs,Binding Resolution,Blood Libel,Blue Water Navy,Boko Haram,Breakout Point,Cairo Speech,Calaphate,Chemical Weapons,China,Chinese Military,Chinese Pressure,Chlorine Gas,Civilization,Communism,Conflict Avoidnce,Coverup,Debt,Debt Ceiling,Default on Debt,Department of Defense,Ditherer in Chief,Domestic NGOs,Ease Sanctions,EMP Device,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs,Executive Order,Federica Mogherini,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Government,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,ICBM,IHH,Ineffective Sanctions,Interest on Debt,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Intifada,Iran,Iranian Military,Iranian Pressure,Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps,IRGC,IRGC,Iron Curtain,ISIS,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Israeli Media,Jerusalem,Jihad,Jordanian Pressure,Leftist Pressures,Light unto the Nations,Mahmoud Abbas,Mainstream Media,Meaning of Peace,Media,Military Intervention,Muslim World,Nationalist Pressures,Non Binding Resolution,North Korean Pressure,North Korean Threat,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Proliferation,Nuclear Scientist,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,P5+1,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,Plutonium Production,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,Promised Land,QE1,QE2,QE3,Quantitative Easing,Quds Force,Rebel Forces,Resolution,Response to Terrorism,Russia,Russian Military,Russian Pressure,Sanctions,Sarin Gas,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Saudi Military,Secular Interests,Sharia,Shiite,South China Sea,Special Forces,Sunni,Syrian Military,Taqiyya,Terror,Threat of War,Troop Withdrawal,Turkey,Turkish Military,Ukraine,Ukrainian Military,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Upgraded Military Capabilities,Uranium Enrichment,US Air Force,US Army,US Marines,US Navy,Victims,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,World Without Zionism or America,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:09 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

 

With the silent blessings from the Administration of United States President Barack Obama, Russia is continuing on their steady path of nuclearizing and militarizing the theocratic government in Iran. The recent announcement that Tehran and Moscow have entered into an agreement to build two additional nuclear reactors in Iran and that building will commence on the first immediately came right on the heels of the announced near term provision of the delivery of sophisticated S-300 surface-to-air missile batteries rather than the delayed delivery which was originally announced in order to pacify Israeli concerns and active opposition to the eventual delivery. This has been an ongoing debate which had been put on hold as sanctions made any delivery impossible over the past two years. With the lifting of certain sanctions unilaterally by President Obama, the delivery of the S-300 antiaircraft systems as well as construction on the next two nuclear plants made construction possible. Further, the release of funds to the Iranians also facilitated their being capable of affording moving forward on these somewhat troublesome initiatives. When these developments are taken individually and outside the context of the recent military offensives backed and supported actively by Iran the case for alarm has mostly been avoided. Israeli concerns and protestations have mostly been swept aside and neglected as a blind, deaf and dormant media has reported on these activities with minimal interest or challenge to their potential ramifications.

 

If the initiation of two additional nuclear facilities being aided by Russia in Iran and the delivery of one of the more advanced air-defense systems being delivered by Russia to Iran were not sufficient to cause loss of sleep and a furrowed brow, perhaps some additional released information might give one pause. There have been recent intelligence reports which claim to have discovered something most astute observers had known for some time, that the North Koreans and the Iranians have been cooperating in their mutual programs to develop advanced missiles including ICBMs as well as cooperation on nuclear weapons research. There have been so many instances where one was able to witness the presence of North Korean scientists at the launch trials of new missile technologies and the presence of Iranian scientists at numerous North Korean nuclear and missile tests that there might have been smoking gun evidence even to the most casual observers of collaboration by the two nations. Additionally, when North Korea protested the loss of several of their technicians and scientists resulting from the Israeli bombing of a nuclear reactor main complex being constructed in Syria apparently of a variety used for plutonium production in North Korea on September 6, 2007, this should have raised further concerns of cooperation between Iran and North Korea as this was certainly a means by Iran to build such a production facility while removing any suspicions from their door by building the nuclear facility in Syria. It is reported that the two nuclear sites the Russians will assist in the productions will be light water reactors which are far less adaptable to the production of plutonium. Below are before and after aerial photographs of the main building struck in the Israeli raid.

 

 

Before and after photographs of Syrian nuclear site, located in the Deir ez-Zor region bombed by Israel on September 6, 2007, preventing the remote location of nuclear facilities for weapons manufacturing by use of Iranian proxy Syria. Raid was initiated by the Israelis after United States refused cooperation or action claiming the site was not a nuclear weapons site. North Korean observer scientists and technicians were apparently killed as per North Korean complaints against Israel for the raid.

Before and after photographs of Syrian nuclear site, located in the Deir ez-Zor region bombed by Israel on September 6, 2007, preventing the remote location of nuclear facilities for weapons manufacturing by use of Iranian proxy Syria. Raid was initiated by the Israelis after United States refused cooperation or action claiming the site was not a nuclear weapons site. North Korean observer scientists and technicians were apparently killed as per North Korean complaints against Israel for the raid.

 

 

These developments between the Russians ad Iranians have not received even the slightest protest from President Obama or his administration, especially Secretary of State Kerry who recently visited Moscow on an apologetic mission seeking Russian assistance in the removal of Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad after attempting to make amends for recent administration efforts to protest Russian activities in the Ukraine. The mission failed on all accountings and things will apparently continue at pace with Russia assisting Iran who are assisting Syrian Dictator Bashir al-Assad. Secretary of State Kerry’s meeting with the Russian leader really got off to a cold start as Russian President Putin arrived for their meeting three hours late offering no reason or apology while expecting one which was given dutifully by Secretary Kerry. After insults and apologies were exchanged, Secretary of State Kerry got down to the actual groveling requesting Russian assistance in ending the confrontations in Syria between numerous rebel groups including the al-Nusra Front (an al-Qaeda affiliate) and ISIS amongst others. Despite Secretary Kerry’s greatest of efforts, little cooperation was arranged as President Putin gave all requests the cold shoulder but left the door slightly opened that perhaps future arrangements might be arranged. It was slightly after this meeting that President Putin announced the earlier than hinted delivery of the S-300 antiaircraft batteries to Iran, an in your face move as stark as could be imagined to Secretary Kerry, President Obama, Israel and the West in general. Now with the announced start of two more nuclear reactor sites, the Russian buildup of Iran is proceeding apace and potentially picking up steam. One can only assume that either President Obama actually approves of the strengthening of Iran or knows that he is powerless due to his puerile and pathetic prowess towards foreign policy practices despite posturing passivity pretending to prideful restraint.

 

This has been the produce from a foreign policy initially given grand but vacant gestures climaxing in various forms of contrite concession, gratuitous genuflections and pompous speeches all designed to present an image of America pleading forgiveness on bended knee humbled before her betters. This introduction was probably the sole truism in all foreign affairs fermentations which eventually produces a poisonous brew of crossed red line after red line, feigned commitment always falling short of the promised mark and general ineptitude which gave green lights to every bad player with grand designs to pounce on the open opportunity presented by a United States in remission so as to permit the world the room to repair all the ill effects from an overbearance of American past use or power. Nowhere in President Obama’s repertoire has there been room for even the slightest of doubts as to the malignance of American policies despite all evidence of best intentions of attempting to right the wrongs, including her own. To President Obama America was the bully who stole the other nations’ riches by economic plundering or through enhancing dictatorial powers while making them and the United States wealthy on the plunder of the poor and downtrodden placed under the dictatorial thumbs thus supported. Nowhere did President Obama and his cauldron of fellow haters of their nation, Samantha Powers, Susan Rice, and even the First Lady amongst others, some under the direction of the likes of George Soros, one of the preeminent America and Israel haters of the lot, did any of them ever consider what might have been the consequence of a world without American efforts. This has what has driven the foreign policy of President Obama, a foreign policy deviously applied hidden by apparent indifference, apathy, failure, and devoid of influence. The policy was to facilitate a multifaceted power structure to balance out America making her but one player amongst a plethora of actors, most aligned to oppose American might.

 

The plan was to empower Russia to take Europe, China to take Asia, Iran to take the Middle East and Africa, and a combination of players to restructure the Americas while the United States would be left relatively weak and gutted financially. The play began over two decades ago with the election of William Clinton who would take up where President Jimmy Carter had left off. President Clinton planted seeds in the military with Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell Policy and taking the peace cash bonus by cutting back military spending and enhancing social spending as well as supersizing the Community Reinvestment Act which eventually forced the housing bubble and related crash. President George W. Bush does not get the pass conservatives are apt to grant him as he was the originator of the monetary spending called Stimulus Acts or Quantitative Easing (QE). President Bush started QE-1 which was subsequently followed by QE-2 and QE-3 which required serious borrowing shooting the debt up to over seventeen-trillion dollars. This figure was attained with an additional investment made during President Obama’s first year in office when he pushed through legislation greatly increasing social spending on programs with some extreme cases leading to near and even over tripling the budget of many departments and programs. These new levels of budgetary spending became the new baseline thus massively increasing the spending on these departments and individual programs leading to runaway government largess and profligate social spending. This new levels of spending has had an additional and planned effect, it makes increasing Defense Department spending impossible for the foreseeable future. This will lead directly to the United States having to pull back on her military presence beyond her borders. What is remarkable about this is that President Obama has, by taking the most extreme of leftist defense and foreign policy positions managed to make the dreams of the furthest right wing paleo-conservatives dreams of isolationism come true. This has been the most perfect example that the extreme right and the extreme left both desire identical results for diametrically opposing reasoning and political positions. The end result will be a world devoid of the American influence anywhere near the levels of the past seventy-five years. President Obama will get to see his dreams almost realized as the United States power cannot be eclipsed by any single Presidential actions over even the full eight years. The risk is if the American people follow President Obama with another President of like mind that the United States might be taken from the world stage until only drastic measures force her to return. An empowered China, Russia, Iran and rising Islamist powers may bring either a Sunni-Shiite reckoning resulting in untold damage to much of the world or a Sunni-Shiite alliance which will present another world power vying for preeminence. Where and how far the world will spin without a strong power for freedom allowing for dictatorial Communism, theocratic supersessionism or whatever a resurgent Russia may become after Putin sees the last of his reign in power to be the tripartite powers dividing up the world and potentially remaining unopposed until one of the three turns on another thus upsetting the balance and leading to who knows what horrors in the ensuing bloodbath. The world may be entering a dark time and Israel may stand alone as the sole person with a flashlight in the darkness.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 31, 2015

Please Name With Whom Israel is to Negotiate?

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,Administration,Advanced Weapions Systems,Africa,al-Qaeda,Alawite,Amalekites,Anti Missile System,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Apocalypse,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab Authority,Arab League,Arab Spring,Arab Winter,Arab World,Arms Transfer,Asia,Assimilation,Barrel Bombs,Bashir al-Assad,Battle of Khaybar,Binding Resolution,Blue Water Navy,Border Patrol,Breakout Point,Britain,British Mandate,Calaphate,Caliphate,Catholic,Catholic Churh,Chemical Weapons,China,Chinese Military,Chinese Pressure,Chlorine Gas,Church,Civil War,Civilization,Clan,Conflict Avoidnce,Covert Actions,Coverup,Damascus,Department of Defense,Dhimmi,Domestic NGOs,Drone Strikes,Earthquake,Egypt,Egyptian Border Guards,Egyptian Military,Elections,EMP Device,Equality,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Historic Anti Semitism,European Pressure,European Union,European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs,Executive Order,Fatwa,Federica Mogherini,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Former Soviet Republic,Gaza,Golan Heights,Government,Great Britain,Green Line,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hezballah,History,Holocaust,Holy Cities,HUMINT,ICBM,Illegal Immigration,Inteligence Report,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Intifada,Intifada,Iran,Iranian Military,Iranian Pressure,Iraq,Iraqi Military,IRGC,Iron Dome,ISIS,ISIS in Gaza,ISIS in Judea and Samaria,Islam,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Islamic State,Islamist,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,Jordanian Pressure,Judea,Judean Hills,Kathmandu,Leftist Pressures,Liberate Occupied Lands,Mahmoud Abbas,Mainland China,Media,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Military Aid,Military Coup,Military Intervention,Military Option,Murder Israelis,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim Expansionism,Muslim World,Nationalist Pressures,Nepal,Nonjudicial Assassination,North Korean Threat,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Proliferation,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Oslo Accords,Ottoman Empire,P5+1,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,Peace Process,PLO,Plutonium Production,Pogroms,Politicized Findings,Politics,Pope,PRC,President Sisi,President Vladimir Putin,Promised Land,Protective Edge,Ramallah,Rebel Forces,Refugees,Resolution,Response to Muslim Takeover,Response to Terrorism,Russia,Russian Military,Russian Pressure,Samaria,Sanctions,Sarin Gas,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Saudi Military,Secular Interests,Sharia Law,Shiite,Shoah,Six Day War,South China Sea,Special Forces,Spying,Statehood,Sunni,Synagogue,Syria,Syrian Military,Taqiyya,Temple,Temple Mount,Terror,Third Intifada,Threat of War,Tibet Occupation,Training Capacity,Tribe,Troop Withdrawal,Turkish Military,Ukraine,Ukrainian Military,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Upgraded Military Capabilities,Uranium Enrichment,Victims,Vlad the Invader,Weapons of Mass Destruction,West Bank,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:43 AM
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

 

Israel is consistently demanded upon to negotiate an end to the occupation and allow for an Arab Palestinian nation to be defined with the borders to be established along the 1949 Armistice lines with mutually agreed upon exchanges of lands. The question is with whom should Israel negotiate? Mahmoud Abbas refuses to sit with any Israeli delegations approved by the governing coalition though he gladly meets with members of the opposition who hold little power or with anti-Israel and anti-Zionist Jewish NGOs mostly from the United States, Europe and some from within Israel who are mostly if not completely subsidized by European NGOs or even the European Union or individual European national governments. These sit downs often are held in Ramallah and with a large map of what Mahmoud Abbas demands are the actual borders of Palestine which depicts all of Israel including the beaches of Tel Aviv and Nahariya with not even the slimmest segment of Israel left standing. One might inquire as to how Mahmoud Abbas plans on determining the government for anything which results in becoming the Arab state. Will he finally hold elections which would appear to be a normal result of the forming of a new nation? But Abbas has refused to hold elections totally skipping the scheduled 2009 election cycle out of fears that he would be voted from office. He is now in the tenth year of a four year term, which many would probably claim is very telling as to his actual legitimate power. Abbas has declared himself, for all intents and purposes, President for life, and that might not be too much longer should he actually agree to borders and the founding of the state he claims to desire above life itself, which very well might be the price he could pay. Israel would not have anything to do with his sudden demise as there are those from within Hamas, Islamic Jihad, ISIS and even his own Fatah Party, PLO and Palestinian Authority who would permanently remove him from office. It is interesting that Mahmoud Abbas holds those final three leading posts plus now signs documents as President of Palestine. The world has never known a man with so many titles who wields so little power and controls perhaps the few blocks of his fortified office complex. The one truism which should be made known, especially to the Europeans and United States President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John F. Kerry, is that Mahmoud Abbas is a man whose power ranges from the tip of his right hand to the tip of his left hand whenever he stands with his arms extended, and that is the largest area he can claim to control. Abbas is in no position to sign anything which would have any meaning ten minutes after it was signed, if it stood that long.

 

What makes matters even worse is that the leadership of Hamas and Islamic Jihad, the other two main power brokers for the time being, have all abdicated their positions to Mahmoud Abbas officially despite retaining every ounce of control they held before the unification of the Arab Palestinian leadership. They claim they are still waiting for the promised elections, the elections which Abbas will never hold unless he has guarantees that he will retain his position whether deserved or not. Do not be too terribly surprised if President Obama with the backing of the European Union and European governments give Abbas a promise that he will be the only person permitted to run for President of any country if he would only reach an agreement and that write in votes will not be considered valid and still he would fear losing. Abbas, with good reason, has become a quivering mass of righteous paranoia which is fully justified after the executions carried out by Hamas at the end of Operation Protective Edge were largely actions utilized on without actual charges or trial simply going from arrest to execution with great efficiency ridding Gaza of numerous opponents and especially members of Fatah or other entities which might have loyalty to Abbas. Mahmoud Abbas got another dose of reality when a diplomatic team was dispatched to Gaza with the intended assignment to gather the name of the Hamas employees who had yet to be included on the paymaster’s roles and thus had not been receiving their paychecks and were less than thrilled over this situation but the team felt so under threat that they cut short their five day assignment after less than twenty-four hours and they never took a step out of their highly guarded hotel suite except to beat a hasty retreat to Ramallah without getting a single name of those Hamas employees. This might seem senseless that Hamas and Islamic Jihad would prevent the Arab Palestinian Authority to garner the names of their own people so they could be included on the payrolls and receive their wages but the reality is Hamas and Islamic Jihad are pushing for the Arab Palestinian Authority to collapse so they can pick up the pieces and be able to force the Europeans to deal through them and thus remove them from any terrorist roles and grant them political power and acceptance as the new chiefs for Israel to reach compromises and eventually reach a peace agreement. This would not be a huge step for most of Europe’s governments and political bodies and NGOs have, unofficially if not outright, removed Hamas from their terror roles and some even Islamic Jihad while the United Nations is set to recognize and legitimize the Palestinian Rights Center (PRC) which is a front group through which Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood operate and granting them full NGO status and all the legitimization which goes along with such. An extensive report on the PRC the Meir Amit Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center released concludes that the group is closely affiliated with Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood as well that several of its members are terrorists who have fled to Great Britain. Such recognition would confer “full access to UN facilities and participation in debates in New York, Geneva, and Vienna, and, perhaps most significantly, global legitimacy,” as well as all other benefits which are granted with being awarded “official UN badges.”

 

Before one starts to believe that things could not become even more bleak, there are a number of other developments which are peeking just over the horizon. Perhaps the more sinister and having the most dire long range ramifications is the threat to Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Imagine a threat to Hamas and Islamic Jihad making the identical claim of being weak willed and not faithful or sufficiently devout in their manner and representation of Allah and having diverted from the true path. This challenge has been made by the only groups who might be believable when accusing Hamas and Islamic Jihad of temerity in purpose and inadequate devotion to the cause of Sharia and furthering Islam, ISIS. We have all likely seen reports which claim that ISIS has made inroads in the Sinai Peninsula and were taking control of much of the area closest to the Israeli border and ignored the fact that such positioning also brought ISIS close to the Egyptian border with Gaza and the heart of Hamas and Islamic Jihad power bases. This places ISIS in the perfect position to infiltrate Gaza in small numbers which would fairly soon become sufficient numbers to cause Hamas and Islamic Jihad great amounts of difficulty if not topple them both absorbing those who showed sufficient zeal for the ISIS cause while dispatching the leadership and others found wanting in spirit or purity mostly be depositing their bodies and heads separately. This might place Israel directly in the ISIS crosshairs or perhaps this would simply be the first stage to taking over the entirety of the Arab Palestinian cause and also making inroads to supplant the Arab Palestinian Authority including Mahmoud Abbas and also finding all of Fatah and PLO members to be wanting in their devotion and dedication to Sharia and Allah as these groups are nationalist secular or mildly Islamic and nowhere near the levels of self-proclaimed devotion and purity of spirit shown by ISIS, by their own proclamations, of course.

 

Such a turn of events would place Israel in a heavily compromised position, or that is what one would believe. What needs to remain in our consideration of the likelihood that ISIS would take control in Ramallah and replace Fatah, the PLO and the Arab Palestinian Authority are forgetting that the IDF and Shin-Bet operate an advanced and capable intelligence gathering network which was evident when preventing a Hamas coup through a general uprising such that in the confusion they could readily replace Mahmoud Abbas by whatever means were required and replacing the entirety of Fatah and the PLO from the upper echelons of the Arab Palestinian Authority. One could rightfully assume that any inroads made by ISIS would also cross the paths of the Israeli intelligence gathering infrastructure and their moves would be carefully monitored until the most critical moment and just before they struck their targets they would find themselves being welcomed to the Israel direct information gathering committee which operates from places unmentioned where discreet methods are employed to extract and glean any pertinent and necessary information which might have ramifications for Israel. ISIS taking the place of Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza would not be in the better interests of Israel but there would appear to be little which could be done unless the Egyptians cared to assist in preventing such an event. The problem with this is that Egypt has just as much distaste for Hamas as it does ISIS and thus they may not care which evil takes its place in Gaza. All would come down to what the value of the people in Gaza had as far as Egypt is concerned. Where one might not see the connection immediately, allow us to give a hint on the one overriding reason which may give Egypt reason to act; there are numerous families who have Egyptian backgrounds and originated in Egypt and have large and numerous extended families who remain in Egypt and we all know how important clan ties can be, especially when members of one’s tribal group or even more severe, one’s relative from their clan faces an existential threat such as ISIS, the pressure placed on the government because of such ties could be overwhelming and Egyptian President Sisi may see the situation as an unavoidable necessity to intervene. The next question is whether President Sisi might request, through back channels and discreetly of course, for any assistance and intelligence Israel might desire to provide, especially to further the two nations’ unofficial relations and to have a card to play in the future. The truth is that it would be a dangerous development to have ISIS take a foothold anywhere in the region and their presence in the Sinai Peninsula must be unnerving for President Sisi and a concern for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Sometimes necessity makes for the strangest bedfellows and this is even more the case in the Middle East. Who would believe that Turkey and Saudi Arabia would be working together in Syria while at the same time as Saudi Arabia is working with Egypt in Yemen and Egypt with Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States would be working with a silent partner in Israel against Iran who is working with Iraq, southern Iraq, Syria, less and less of Syria daily, and Hezballah in Lebanon as well as securing a naval port for the Russians with an assist likely to be provided by Hezballah. Iran will also need to protect as much of the Alawite areas as necessary which will require transferring some of the IRGC assisting against ISIS in Iraq and station them to fight ISIS in the areas Iran deems of military value, such as the roads from Damascus into the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon where Hezballah keeps many of its rockets stored.

 

Hezballah brings us to the final subject. This coming week, and even if this is a secret presently it will be fully evidenced as the week unfolds, Israel is running a full participation, country-wide defense in case of war scenario. This will include Israelis entering their shelters as if under rocket attack and every other contingency. The common prospect behind this according to some postulations is to ready the public for a potential conflict with Hamas and Islamic Jihad this summer. Close but no cigar. The real threat will be Hezballah who will need to make large points with the Lebanese after placing them in peril of attack by ISIS. The reasoning goes beyond just satiating the Lebanese hunger for another war with Israel as the last one proved to be so much fun, but Hezballah also will need to make headlines across the Western World which will supercede any news off of the front pages as Iran takes whatever steps are required in Syria to get Assad out and to solidify those areas which Iran considers vital for their desire which include an operative airport in Damascus through which to supply Hezballah, a safe port for the Russians to utilize in the Mediterranean Sea which is Latakia, Syria. And finally they also would desire to retain some of the natural resources such as mining operations and also have a staging area with direct access to the Golan Heights for wither Hezballah to utilize for an assault on Israel or for the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps or Pasdaran Persian: سپاه پاسداران انقلاب اسلامی) to have a launch facility to strike Israel or even to assault the Golan Heights. This all means that Iran will require another Hezballah war with Israel to divert attentions from their actions, which will be ruthless and potentially cataclysmic as well as to divert attention from the Iranian dash to produce a number of nuclear warheads and the final preparations for their launch at select targets. Thus Iran will require approximately six to ten weeks of conflict. With the known supplies of rockets and a fair number of larger missiles provided by Iran, Hezballah would be capable of launching over a thousand rockets daily for the entire six weeks and approximately eight-hundred rockets launched daily for ten weeks. Should any higher quantity be required they would need to utilize any Syrian rockets remaining under Iranian control or for Iran to provide a fair number of additional rockets which is why Iran requires the Damascus airport as they are unable to resupply Hezballah through Beirut probably because the Bekaa Valley lies along the Syrian border and the Alawite areas, how convenient. This leaves one with a serious question, what will be the Israeli reaction to a war with Hezballah. As Hamas has also threatened a confrontation this summer with Israel, it is entirely plausible that Israel will desire to keep any confrontation from escalating and to decisively end the conflict leaving little doubt as to who won. Thus any confrontation between Israel and Hezballah will result in Israel striking hard and fast swallowing up the lands south of the Litany River and then sweeping up the eastern banks of the Litani River through the heart of the Bekaa Valley taking out the training grounds, provisions, reserves and bases Hezballah has throughout that region. Any violence from Hamas should also be responded to with great prejudice and force of arms with nothing held back. With the growing challenges and rising threats throughout the areas of the Middle East, Northern Africa and the Horn of Africa, it is starting to appear that the whole area has lost their minds, possibly the whole world even. Then there is the continuing threat with Russia menacingly eying the old regions of her power before the fall of the Soviet Union and China literally building new islands and placing oil rigs and military airbases and other facilities in the South China Sea in order to widen her area of control and claim islands which are also claimed by her neighbors but China is the eight-hundred pound gorilla who can basically do whatever she desires unless the United States takes a stand against her, and that is seeming less and less a possibility as the islands grow. Furthermore, most of Europe is also looking at civil unrest in the near future as the growing immigrant population feels stronger and denied an equal opportunity to get a job and live an equal life. Add that they also desire to start a religious war forcing their religion on those they views as a people who have forsaken religion. Then there is violence threatening to break out full force both on the United States college campuses during the anti-Israel, anti-Zionist, anti-Semitic and anti-America demonstrations and potentially within many cities possibly escalating and spilling throughout the city, especially if the police are restrained and ill–equipped as was the case in Baltimore and has had continuing ramifications, especially in western Baltimore where the police have basically been chased from the streets. Similar situations are possible throughout the country, especially in the twelve largest cities. One would be hard pressed to find an area on the globe where there are no threats.

 

Even Kathmandu is still recovering from the series of earthquakes which struck there not that long ago. Will Shangri-La be next? Just because it is mythical might not except even Shangri-La from the ravages of societies gone mad. Maybe only the quiet places in our minds where we can concentrate on the peace and love in our hearts can the world be healed as we heal one soul at a time. But with the Churches, Synagogues, Temples and other religious houses all nearly empty even on the holiest of days, what hope will the world have against true and fanatical believers, especially those who cannot be tempted with baubles and glitter that shines at us in every store window beckoning us to worship consumerism. The hectic pace of modern life with so little time that one simply must collapse for those brief moments between the scheduled meeting, workout, night-school, and the children’s activities. Who has time for anything more? But unless we take the time to refresh our consciences and recharge our moral compasses society will continue spinning further and further out of control. What is it we seek with our frenetic paced lives; do we even know any more? Listen to the quiet little voice in the back recesses of your mind, it is still there, trust me. It will tell you secrets that you once knew but soon got squeezed from your life. I know the crippling schedule for those working two jobs, both full-time. The requirement that you take some time to recharge yourself does not disappear just because, it remains and eventually it will come screaming to the fore and demand you stop and take a deep breath. Sigh in from the mouth and let it out so slowly from the nostrils that you barely tickle the air. Again only deeper and with a more measured exhale. This is the easiest way to slow your pace and make you see reason. After you have done this at the end of each day or at lunch or whenever you can schedule your take a breath for sanity, then that voice can finally be heard and its message is simple, you know not every answer. Sure the news and science and everything you read tells how there is so little left that science does not know that is the lie told to make you forget. The little voice remembers and knows the bliss one can feel when we know that there is reason and value in life. Whatever manner of faith you are comfortable in, that is possibly just the recharging you need. It is just once or twice a week unless you desire more once you return and feel the encompassing warmth, love, acceptance, understanding and all those emotions and assurances which were missing in your life, there is a place where they can be found. We all want the world to be a better place but we seem lost in figuring out how. All each of us can do is our own part. Own, a strange word as it is in this case where it has so much meaning. There is our own part; the part assigned us even if that assignment comes from within us. There is the part in the world we own, we are responsible for and we get to structure it just how we desire others to know our part. Part from the business of life and take a moment with which we part from the fast paced caffeinated life and take a lemonade break on a hot day and you can part from the world and just enjoy the moment. We can take part in displaying that we have found the answer and then you can play the part which you know is what is really important. But the most important part is when you realize that the only real thing you can do to repair society and the world is make your little area, your part clean, warm and with its own sparkle and once you have done your part, then you can invite others to slow down and remember that they too can have a part in the world which they can be proud of and eventually the individual parts reach a point where they can change one small part of the world and from there who knows what they can part, maybe the Red Sea and again we can cross and be received. Just remember that the more we learn about the world the more we often realize how little we know, it is as if each answer spawns ten questions, and that’s what keeps scientists employed.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Next Page »

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.