Beyond the Cusp

July 21, 2016

Requiem for Turkey, the Final Chapter

 

There have already been six-thousand arrests made since the abortive coup. Three-thousand Judges and prosecutors as well as three-thousand officers of varying ranks and soldiers all from lists supposedly gathered as a result of the coup. There will be mention of how these individuals were all cooperating and coordinated by Fethullah Gulen from Pennsylvania, USA. Sure, an aging Imam in Pennsylvania organized and commanded step-by-step including telling the pilots of F-16 fighters who had missile lock on President Erdogan’s jet while he was known to be onboard and never fired a single shot, some coup. This coup smells, plain and simple, smells. You do not produce a list of a complete list of judiciary and military personnel within twenty-four hours, if even that long as the list was obviously already prepared. The threat of such a purging may have triggered the coup attempt before the planning was complete if the coup was actually a subversive group. Had the coup been an attempt to return to actual free and open elections and a return to secular rule and bringing an end to the Muslim brotherhood agenda being enacted by Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Freedom and Justice Party, then it would have been well worth supporting. Had that been the case, then constitutionally the entire military should have supported the coup. The fact that this was not the case is another accusation against Erdogan as he has flushed much of the military hierarchy in his last purge and with the current purge all will be loyal to Erdogan who will now wield absolute power.

 

The purge being executed in Turkey would have made Stalin proud. Erdogan will have little if any opposition left in all of Turkey once he completes gathering names from those already arrested and the completion of his purge has removed every vestige of secularism and of all Islamic opposition securing Erdogan President for life status. He and his Freedom and Justice Party, a political party that neither supports freedoms or justice, will rule Turkey with an unopposable outright majority for the foreseeable future. This was Erdogan’s intended desires even when he made his agreement with Fethullah Gulen in order to come to power in his initial election. In each election after this agreement Erdogan has done all in his power in order to attain an unopposable majority even if it, like the last elections, took a second election and the elimination of opposition to attain that majority. Erdogan has been anything but an angel in office often playing power politics and taking any and all steps as required, including intimidations, executions, assassinations and outright military pressures suppressing certain sectors of the society from participating in elections in order to reach absolute power. Absolute power without the need of any compromises has been the desired end which Erdogan has pursued ever since his first election and now that he has attained such he is not about to permit any challenge to his powers. This cements Erdogan as the singular choice for those who desire Sharia and spurn the ideals of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk and his dream of a secular Turkey. It has been Erdogan’s desire from day one to impose Islamic law, Sharia, and he is closer than ever to accomplishing exactly that by ridding himself of all opposition, both secular and Islamic. Such a turn of events has been a long time coming and expected eventually by all who know Turkish politics and Erdogan’s desires from the beginning. He has succeeded where Egyptian President Morsi failed by being cautious and taking things one slow step at a time. That time has now passed and he will enact Sharia in rapid succession as he no longer need fear a challenge from any direction and should anybody be fool enough to oppose Erdogan and his Islamization of Turkey will find themselves either in a cell permanently or hanging from a rope. President Erdogan has attained what he always desired, absolute power which will in time corrupt him absolutely and thus be his failing as Sharia will be the instrument of his downfall.

 

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Accused Coup Leader Imam Muhammd Fethullah Gulen

 

Turkey had an opportunity to survive Erdogan and his Islamist desires but such a move by the military as required in the Turkish Constitution was repudiated and prevented by President George W. Bush and the European Union allowing for Erdogan to purge the General Staff of opposition while the current lists go deep within the officer ranks and lists many middle level officers and senior NCOs which will lead to more names under torture and other forms of distress leading to a witch hunt the likes of Turkey has never seen. In the coming weeks every and anybody who even the slightest might ever stand in opposition of Erdogan will be purged from Government, the military and anyplace else where influence might rise against him. This is the second purging executed by Erdogan and he is hoping the final time. The bad news for Erdogan is that the purges never reach an end once they have started as there will always arise those who will oppose his rule and some might even rise to the position of posing an actual threat. At this moment in time Fethullah Gulen holds this honor and anybody affiliated with him is in dire threat as Erdogan is intensifying his aim to remove any of those who are aligned with the man who was originally responsible for placing Erdogan in power. As the original person with whom Erdogan shared the reins of power, Fethullah Gulen has now become a threat which Erdogan is no longer willing to permit to exist as Fethullah Gulen could potentially stand in opposition to Recep Tayyip Erdogan any point in the future and actually pose a real risk to take power and end Erdogan’s efforts to subvert all of Turkey under Sharia. Gulen is an Imam who also supports democracy and universal rights, a kind of idiosyncratic personality who supports a reformed Islam which subverts itself to universal freedoms and equal rights. This purge is designed to put down any vestige of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk and the secular ambitions subverting them permanently placing all of society under the crushing oppression of Sharia where all independent thought and acts are punishable by severe and often life threatening punishments. Erdogan is shutting down all opposition securing Turkey in much the same manner as Stalin shut out all opposition in Russia within months of taking the reins of power in Soviet Russia. Ataturk is done and all who dreamed that the secular Turkey was protected by the military and would continue forever is done, dead and over. It actually was mortally wounded the last purge which was facilitated by President George W. Bush and the European Union which insisted that should the military ever move to remove a government, a responsibility placed with them by the Turkish Constitution, then Turkey could forget ever being permitted to join the European Union because no normal democracy relies upon the military to protect the realm. Well, Turkey was not a normal democracy and did rely on the military to protect Turkey from Islamic power grabs as Erdogan has slowly enacted since he first took power. Now even that avenue to correct the Islamization of Turkey has been decimated by Erdogan and is now an enforcement of Sharia and Islamic sovereignty over secular governance.

 

This should pose a threat to NATO, a threat which has long existed dating from the initial election of Erdogan. He started his slow but inexorable march towards Sharia from the very outset of his Presidency. His final aim was to alter the Constitution such that it would not only allow for Islamic Sharia governance but welcome such as the desired end all of any government. Soon it will be forgotten that Turkey had dreams of joining the free world and enjoying the advancements of science and technology as the sheath of Sharia falls over the land. Soon simply memorizing the entire Quran will be the ultimate conclusion of a successful education. The Quran will become viewed as the ultimate source for all knowledge as Sharia is incompatible with modernity. What is frightening is the fact that Turkey is a member of NATO which worked as a check on Russia during the Cold War. Such is no longer the situation with Russia standing their Mediterranean fleet docked along the Syrian coast in the Alawite areas which remain loyal to Bashir al-Assad and thus far not under direct threat by the Islamic State or other Islamist forces and are provided with support both from Iran and if needed Russia. Turkey has lost its importance to NATO and with its current threat to become another Sharia ruled Islamic nation should, as we have pointed to before, be dropped from the NATO rolls. The European Union (EU) has thus far refused entry to Turkey and should be glad they had such luck. We refuse to give the EU credit of foresight in not permitting Turkey entrance. We are not even assured that Turkey will not be permitted entrance into the EU as they start their expansion into the Middle East. Once Turkey has been permitted EU membership the ‘refugee’ problem will explode as Turkey allows free access to any and every Arab and Muslim desiring entrance to Europe, Germany in particular. Allow Turkey into the EU and they would become the welcome mat for all peoples desirous of leaving the poverty and backwardness of their Middle East and North African hellholes. From an EU affiliated Turkey these ‘refugees’ would be permitted free travel throughout the EU nations and be permitted settling wherever and whenever they desire and collecting the guaranteed wage proffered by most EU members.

 

The EU already desires entering the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) as explained in their releases to the media and academia. We have discussed these plans in an article titled The European Union Actually Planning Empire and figure the EU plans on surrendering to Middle Eastern pressures. With Turkey on the fast track to Sharia and an end to freedom as the member states of the EU likely remember, the addition of Turkey as a first step to incorporating the Middle East and later Africa into EU membership, then the EU population had best prepare for having Sharia as the basis of their laws. As a member of the EU or just a member of NATO, Turkey holds a prestigious spot; especially when one considers that Turkey has the second largest military in NATO after that of the United States. As such Turkey demands a certain amount of respect but only as long as Turkey maintained a respect for individual rights and freedoms. No matter how the media and others wish to spin the new direction which Turkey has planted itself, those found to favor Erdogan should be watched with additional scrutiny. It is highly doubtful that there would be any changes in how the United States views Turkey as Erdogan has been best of friends with Obama as they are with Hillary through the Clinton Foundation and contributions made to influence Hillary when she was Secretary of State. These influences will likely spend a large amount in campaign contributions, both legal and otherwise as Hillary believes herself above the law; something made abundantly clear at her Senate hearings where she prevaricated, dancing around any truth until the lies became the facts in many a media report. Unfortunately for most Americans, this has become what they expect from the media and the editorializing of the news stories to fit their political leaning tainting many a news story until it is unrecognizable by the truth. Both ends of the political spectrum suffer this affliction.

 

Such twisting, messaging and reworking of facts will inevitably be the only permitted truth out of the media in Turkey. This, once it is not necessarily their fault as the Erdogan controlled government, courts and military; will own the truth and decide what the truth is for the people of Turkey and for the world for good measure. Erdogan knows that his citizens, at least the urban citizens, have access to the world media and thus his spin on reality must therefore become the only story permitted. He, even with the Muslim Brotherhood’s assistance, will find that accomplishing this task will be far more difficult than preventing the poorly executed coup from success. The obvious fact that Erdogan was at the cusp of executing a purge may have pushed those supporters of a truly democratic Turkey or possibly the supporters of Erdogan’s chief rival, Fethullah Gulen, who may have struck a deal with the democracy forces interested in reestablishing Ataturk’s secular Turkey dreams and aspirations for progress, into acting earlier than they had planned facing Erdogan’s imminent purging of their ranks. Whether this was a well played trap or a rushed into execution actual coup will make absolutely no difference down the road a piece. The only item which will matter is, who will survive the sweeping broom of Erdogan and the Islamists as they clean house in the judiciary and the military and likely soon the population at large. The next step is to take those they have rounded up and get public confessions from the most recognized names amongst them. This will definitely be followed by the extracting of names of others who may be of a similar mindset as the coup participants and the others on the prepared lists. This housecleaning was very obviously already planned and just as the coup may have been rushed into execution, so have the cleansing of the Turkish government, military and eventually the public itself.

 

We are witnessing the end of Turkey as it had been known and the birth of Turkey as the hoped rising leader to assume its rightful place as the leaders of the Islamic world. Turkey’s military is both large and well equipped with top of the line NATO equipment, arms and hardware. They have a modern Air Force equipped with F-16s, F-15s as well as other supporting aircraft. Their ground forces have top of the line main battle tanks and armored support. The infantry have modern weapons systems and are supported by highly accurate artillery. The size of the Turkish military is such that they will hardly miss the three-thousand officers arrested in relation to the coup and could lose an equal number before there may be some residual effects. The real question is what will Erdogan do once he attains ultimate and absolute power? Will he use his military against the Kurds, the forces supportive of Bashir al-Assad, attempt a breaching of the Israeli blockade of Gaza to help his Hamas allies, or is Erdogan really planning on a second Ottoman Empire as he has stated in the Past? These questions have ramifications within Turkey, as well as throughout NATO, to Israel, Egypt, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. Erdogan has oft spoken of how he would be the right man to reestablish the Ottoman Empire as well as he has claimed the right to being the Caliph of the next real Caliphate which will be perched to spread Islam throughout the world vanquishing all other religions bringing every man, woman and child to bend and surrender to Allah. Sure that sounds crazy but one must bear in mind that it is solely Western Culture which has given up on world conquest, others still believe they were destined from birth to rule the world. Some such people holding to such insanities include but are not limited to North Korea’s Kim Jung Un, Russia’s President Putin, European Union and Germany’s Angela Markel, United States President Obama and presumed President Hillary Clinton, numerous institutions and financial giants, and of course the Grand Ayatollah of Iran and Erdogan of Turkey. This may sound absurd to you and me but it is real for these crazies who walk amongst us.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 22, 2016

General Election General Feelings Deadly Deal

 

If one goes by the normal general election numbers and stick to what the election gurus and political pundits all know is the gospel truth, then Donald Trump and any Republican Presidential candidate is a lost cause. This is because if one takes the “known” and steady trended Democrat and Republican states electoral vote Hillary has a definitive advantage which would be near impossible to topple. Here are a few examples you can check for yourselves:
This excerpt was taken and quoted from In A Clinton-Trump Race, Just How Much Could The Map Change?, which contains numerous other statistics and suggestions of alternate paths other than ours which follows.

 

It’s the number of electoral votes of 18 states (plus the ever-blue District of Columbia) that have voted Democratic in each of the last six presidential elections. And it leaves a Democratic nominee just a Florida-shy (29 electoral votes) of winning the presidency.
Those 18 states (worth a collective 242 electoral votes): California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington and Wisconsin.
Meanwhile, only 13 states (worth a collective 103 electoral votes) have voted Republican each of the last six times: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah and Wyoming.

 

Additional information, numbers and stock predictions and analysis can be read in Trump seemed impervious during the primaries, but forecasts for electoral votes paint a bleak picture.

 

Presidential Electoral Map 2016

Presidential Electoral Map 2016

 

Now, let us return back to the more unseen elsewhere BTC analysis and path forward. We do not doubt any of these dire predictions and numbers analyzed from trends and other variables, and that is the main word, variables, as they vary. Change is the one guarantee in politics. President Reagan changed the trending tides in the 1980 elections. William Jefferson Clinton took on an impossible to win challenge and changed the tide back followed by George W. Bush and then President Obama who has placed us at this election, one with no actual candidate running for their reelection to the Presidency, with President Obama being prevented running by the Constitution as Amended in Amendment XXII. Finally, a Constitutional limit President Obama appears to be stuck fulfilling. So there is Queen Hillary the Prevaricator and Clown Trump the Irreverent as the two main party candidates essentially from which to choose. Conventional wisdom predicts that Hillary has the election in the bag with her automatic Democratic Party states all but guaranteed while Trump is seen as vulnerable in even the most conservative and natural strongholds of Republican power such as Oklahoma and Wyoming. Our suggestion is adapt a campaign for Trump to win while those coaching Hillary will send her mostly to four or maybe five states with the top three being Ohio, Pennsylvania and the most crucial, Florida. It is said that no candidate can win without Florida. But is all this as sewn up as the mainstream pundits and analyzers and even campaign chiefs claim. If that is their thinking then the United States had best become very comfortable with the sound of President Hillary Clinton for eight years and Democrats into the future as far as anybody can predict. We all know that politics are a whole lot more volatile than that prediction or the Whig Party would still be in the White House and almost all the Presidents would be from Virginia as that was the trend early on.

 

Donald Trump, who is the candidate we will mostly address as his is the more difficult Presidency to wring out electorally, will need to challenge the punditry and experts from the start. Sure the first state he could talk from might be Florida following the wisdom that no candidate wins without Florida. If he does his next two stops should be touted as his message to America on how to unite everybody around a true moderate who will choose solid middle of the road people for his advisors from New York and California. He could list people such as Ben Carson for Surgeon General and other such calm, intelligent and well established and accepted experts in a number of second tier Cabinet Posts. Trump should easily know of people who would accept an appointment to Secretary of Labor, Commerce and Health and Human Services and even Secretary of Defense, a top tier position where he would have any number of retired military people from which to choose. The rationale behind naming these people and appointments with them present would calm the populace and defuse the claims that he is impossible and would be wild and out of control where these appointments would show reason and solid advice. That along with a more restrained and intelligently packaged Trump, with the same bravado, but this time turning top these appointees as his Brain Trust would settle his picture for those watching, and would be gobbled up by an ever hungry media, as this would be against all past trends for a campaign to name appointees early in the campaign. Such names would also point out the due diligence Trump had to have used in making these choices and planning ahead. Something he is claimed to not possess is such planning which is how he built skyscrapers across his properties. He plans, that should have been obvious, but apparently voters are a suspicious lot or totally clueless and need to be spoon fed, neither is a positive assessment.

 

Clinton vs Trump

Clinton vs Trump

 

Actually it would be these challenges in New York and California that once either of these states races tighten in polling, and trust us, they would, then Hillary would have to run there and campaign in frantic and shrillary tones for which she is famous. Watching her changing to adapt to match the location and often slipping into the wrong ones, would be great entertainment. The thinking is that with his business connections and dealings he could challenge Hillary in New York as the northern three-quarters of the state is fairly conservative and it is just New York City that tilts the state Democrat and he could crack that open as there must be a large number of middle of the road normally Democrat voters who could be swayed from Hillary with a decent effort. Even New Jersey might be playable though that is highly doubtful but a few trips into the northern end of the State might bleed support across in The City.

 

California, on the other hand, has a sizeable conservative area of voters who are likely sick of the water wars played by President Obama on the state when they were in a dire need and he all but cut off water to the state. Add in the numbers of Hollywood actors, directors, producers and the like who Trump could get to campaign for him and this along with Trump’s affability on the stump would put California in play. Face facts, no Democrat wins the Presidency without both New York and California in this modern era and both have more than enough electoral delegates to sink Florida off the map and put Trump into the White House. People can point to all the negatives they want, Trump in the White House would send a message which would terrorize the enemies of America and freedom. Our friends would be able to sleep at night knowing that the United States had their backs and was under sane foreign policy again and this message would be carried by the people who decide for Trump which way is up and which way is forward and allow him to choose a mix of the two. If we have Trump pegged, he would challenge these advisors to go out and make it ‘YUGE” and fulfill every last one of the up and forward policy proposals.

 

Trump could have Senator Cruz lock down Texas and possibly Oklahoma as well, and he could play off of Rubio or Jeb Bush if they refused to back and assist in his campaign and add them to the campaign to augment any plans already in the works as neither one has proven to be as effective as they viewed themselves. They would still be a plus as they are original combatants who had said less than flattering charges against The Donald. Perhaps we should reiterate our lack of a dog in this race. Should any of our dual citizen people even cast votes in the election, for whom and why has not reached the floor for debate as of yet except for a Congressman who is facing a challenge from the Republican elites, imagine we would like such a down to earth, home grown, religious, and independent conservative who votes almost identically as we would on every major and minor issues. Individual bills, we trust his sense and judgement, but he was no on amnesty, close the border, support traditional friends and generally right down the line. Our votes for President would likely prefer a ‘none of the above’ choice, as we stated here in We Need a None of the Above Election Ballot and originally around four years earlier, there is something about that four year thing that we cannot quite put our finger on…something about a White House?, anyways, back then we wrote Can I Vote “None of the Above”? Seems we will be revisiting that idea in 2020 or there about. I have a feeling this year ‘None of the Above’ could easily defeat either candidate and might even clear fifty percent which would have been a fabulous message to send about the choices we have been given in these farcical elections.

 

Unfortunately, the choices are what they are and we honestly believe that Donald Trump could tear away either or both New York and California and should try for a few other considered true blue Democrat states and at the least turn them purple. His efforts in such states could, and likely would, bring benefits in downstream elections and potentially swing a few elections to the Republicans where voter turnout has been lackadaisical in the recent past. Let’s face it, true conservatives have not had all that to vote for but voting against this year had a definite appeal beyond past years. Even some on the left feel they must oppose the Shrillary. Imagine four State of the Union addresses as well as numerous, ‘We can feel your pain, Bill and I,’ and ‘Our fellow Americans, in this time of upheaval, Bill and I…’ or, ‘It is my duty as your President to ignore Congress and the Supreme Court and continue to…’ What the ending commentary will be to those phrases, and these phrases are coming and they might very well be those exact phrases, is more Pablum which the media and masses sup upon. Which can do the least damage to an already all but terminally injured America limping forward in need of a transfusion of popularism and we have the Screech and the Jolly Joker as our candidates. This trend has been a set of elections for leader of the Free World which has devolved sinking ever lower with every election and the winning choice turning into ever greater disasters. Where it will end is obvious even to the most casual of observer. Continuing this downward spiral will become the death spiral leading to the next great upheaval which will blast the memory of any previous conflict from our collective memories.

 

There are one of two directions which the world might take in continuing to hurl itself at an ever faster pace towards that aforementioned conflagration where the United States, to quote a famous movie quote, may “Turn to the Dark Side Luke,” thus it becomes a force for evil. Another direction is where the United States and advanced Western World collapses and in the Far East begins the next Great War. This conflict between them and the remaining forces in the remains of Europe and across North America and most of Africa turns its forces to its east and rides into battle for Allah as the accursed Buddhists remain to be conquered now that Christianity has been subjected and surrendered to the Prophet and his deity, Allah. Neither future is attractive which is why we pray for the souls of America to activize and save their great nations and return the world to sanity. The only other choice after Europe succumbs, which she may not suffer herself to actually allow, and the United States is set upon next and also succumbs, leaves only Israel. Tiny little one or two Iranian super weapon strikes away from oblivion and being wiped from the map, Israel and her superior anti-missile technology and the faith in Hashem, will that once again be sufficient to save all? Where it ends is unknown to all but Hashem and all we can do is to carry out that we were meant to perform, not one step less. Oh, and if you can carry more, do so. Simple enough, but seemingly forgotten in this age of connectivity replacing activity, and concentration on the little screen replacing execution of the essentials around us in our lives, leads us into the darkness while we refuse to look up and notice. Perhaps this might be a rant for another article.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 28, 2016

It’s Final and It’s Clinton and Trump

 

Sure it is still possible for Cruz/Kasich or Bernie Sanders to steal the limelight with the teaming up of Cruz/Kasich to temporarily stop Trump or for Bernie to turn the world on its head and win the nomination outright, but pigs have a better chance of flying. So we may as well face it that the United States election will place a criminal against an egotistical buffoon. Such a choice will likely produce the smallest turnout for a Presidential election in American history with over half the eligible voters blowing off the election out of sheer disinterest. The election will be won by whichever of the two candidates sickens their base less than the other. Call it the election where large portions will be voting for the one that makes them less ill. The question must seriously be looked at as to what each Presidency would look like and what the world can expect.

 

Hillary will quite likely be the more predictable of the two as she will be a true leftist performing exactly as advertised. She will continue to spend on social issues taking it from the military. She will cut the NASA budget and we will hear repeatedly about the billions of dollars going to NASA and how such expenditures cannot be justified when the social issues are so dire. She will raise taxes even further on businesses forcing even more companies to flee from what will be an even more oppressive atmosphere. Amnesty for illegal immigrants will be a given and will include a number of millions additional from the troubled Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The flood gates will open for Syrian, Afghani, Iraqi, Libyan, and who knows where else from the failing MENA nations and will be brought in as Europe refuses to accept millions of these immigrants and their nations of origin will disavow them leaving them as people without a country until Hillary rides to their rescue. All financing will be returned to Planned Parenthood. All this and more will result if Hillary has a democratic Congress, especially if they remake the rules preventing filibusters in the Senate by requiring a mere majority vote for cloture as was enacted early in President Obama’s first term.

 

Clinton vs Trump

Clinton vs Trump

 

There will also be a push towards raising the minimum wage above $12.00 and eventually up to $15.00 an hour. This will speed up the automation of fast food service centers, calling such a restaurant would be a stretch. The first company amongst the burger giants to come out with a completely automated service and retrieval and cleaning using robotic servers and cleaning robotic units, especially if they appear humanoid but still obviously robotic to avoid that gulch where they are too humanlike but just enough off to be spooky. We believe the term for such robots are they are in the Uncanny Valley where they freak people out and make them uncomfortable. Unemployment will skyrocket along with the minimum wage hike as more and more jobs simply disappear either through automation of certain sectors of industry or simply fleeing to Asia and other places of lower production costs.

 

There will be pressure by the green movement to tighten pollution standards and a strong push to tax gasoline internal combustion engine vehicles to higher prices making electric vehicles more attractive. Expect a European style carburetor tax or even cylinder tax with a tax based on number of cylinders where production of a car has such a tax pushing the prices skyward. Gasoline taxes will also push gas to European levels or higher. Expect a mileage tax to be levied with GPS mileage tracking systems required on all cars including retrofitting older vehicles. If such a requirement makes keeping your old vehicle on the road too expensive to install the GPS mileage tracking system, enjoy walking or the bus. Automated trucking with self-driving vehicles will become more common. This too might also be another item built into the GPS mileage tracking where every vehicle signals its GPS location, direction and speed which can be read by the automated vehicles to assist them in driving decisions. Such systems could also automate speeding tickets as your speed would be recorded at all times and exceeding the speed limit could result in an automated system sending you a ticket for each violation. Who needs speed cameras when the vehicle itself can turn itself in for speed violations? Cities might even enact car free zones where vehicles are forbidden forcing people to use mass transit. All this and more could be a result of a Hillary Clinton Presidency.

 

Donald Trump will be far more difficult to predict as it will depend largely on whom he appoints as his Cabinet and advisors. The biggest danger of a Trump Presidency would be if his policies become unpredictable, especially in economic programs. Should he start one set of economic programs and after five or six months not have the results he desired so he changes the game and again every four to six months then investors will sit on their money as such a game would become too risky and they would turn into risk adverse investors placing their investments in predictable sectors or overseas. Trump might react to pressures from ecology lobbies and make some concessions and it would depend on which as to the effect. CAFÉ standards might be increased demanding higher MPG ratings for vehicles. Taxes on businesses would likely be lowered which would be a positive; and minimum wage, where it may be raised, would not approach $15.00 which would permit for lower unemployment numbers.

 

Certain advances are going to be unavoidable. The driverless automated trucks are coming and there is no preventing that short of making them illegal, not going to happen. Mileage taxes will be levied by the individual states even if not done by the Federal Government. Requiring GPS reporting mileage and possibly constant recording and reporting trip data to the government is coming and will be used to try and force driverless vehicles to replace human drivers even before the technology is perfected, though it is very close, which is why it will be unavoidable. Trump might actually listen to the car manufacturers and allow for hydrogen powered vehicles as an alternative to electric cars. What the ecology lobby does not want people to know is that electric cars do little to lessen pollution and just change the location of the pollution as charging the electric cars requires greater output by power plants most of which burn fossil fuels with extra demand making up for the pollution presumably not produced by driving gasoline powered vehicles. The hydrogen powered vehicles exhaust is water vapor and its main pollution is thermal as the exhaust is in the form of steam predominantly. Perhaps some system could be installed which would permit some degree of condensation before release into the atmosphere, but the efficiency of such a system would need to be proven before any great claims could be made.

 

The area where either a Trump or a Clinton Presidency would be most in doubt would be foreign policy. Hillary might be more willing to intervene militarily and then leave too quickly after declaring job accomplished which may or may not be a better policy providing the parties understand that intervention remains an option if things are not improved after any regime change. Another Libyan style disaster would serve nobody. Trump, on the other hand, is a complete unknown and the sole plus is that as a complete unknown and with his reputation as being somewhat unstable and capable of flying off the handle, other nations might be tempered in their desires to test a President Trump. There will always be at least one foreign country which will test any new President and how they react to such a test can set the mood for the remainder of their term. After the Bay of Pigs disaster Khrushchev tested President Kennedy by shipping nuclear capable missiles into Cuba sparking the Cuban Missile Crisis and the rest is history. Needless to say there were no more tests after President Kennedy literally blockaded Cuba and prevented any additional missile deliveries and demanded the removal of those already in place. Things got a good deal quieter after that faceoff.

 

What will be the test for the incoming President? We predict it would likely come via the situation in what used to be Syria and potentially Iraq and could be either from Russia or Islamic State. There is the already existing threat in the South China Sea with the Chinese literally building and arming islands right in the heart of the existing sea lanes forcing shipping to detour adding hundreds of miles to the routes between Japan and Asia as they need to circumnavigate around these Chinese newly-fashioned and militarized islands. These also could be utilized to prevent any reinforcement in a timely manner of Taiwan should China finally attempt to make good on their standing threat to restore their province which they claim Taiwan actually should be. Then there is the challenge which is sure to be presented by Iran as they continue to flaunt their disregard for any limitations presumably set by the Iran deal which likely was simply an agreement that Iran not announce or test a nuclear weapon until after President Obama has set off for golfing and placing his Presidential Library between the ninth hole and tenth tee next to the clubhouse on his Presidential Golf Course. Foreign challenges are always an area where second guessing is commonplace as nobody can predict everything accurately as there is always that surprise awaiting around every corner. The one predictable item is foreign powers are less likely to challenge Trump than they are Clinton. That might be a very seriously bad mistake, period. Hillary Clinton could be their worst nightmare if she was having a bad hair day when they pushed her; she could be far more vicious and unpredictable than Trump could ever be. Trump, though potentially unpredictable, would at least be relatively logical even if that logic might be unfathomable to some. Hillary Clinton would be simply terrifying should she feel threatened or being made a fool of or made to appear hesitant and weak as she would be more likely to overreact to any situation and press it to unnecessary levels or even use overwhelming force where a strong show of force without pulling the trigger was all that was necessary to end the threat peacefully. We have far more trepidation when it comes to Hillary over Donald when it comes to foreign threats despite both being unpredictable. No matter which wins there will be no telling the results until either has settled in and the initial actions and reactions have been initiated.

 

The final item is Israel. Trump will depend on who his advisors are on foreign policy, but we believe he will be more even handed and accommodating regarding Israel once he is made fully appreciative of the situation. Trump will need to weigh what the Pentagon and Defense Department give him and what the State Department tells him. With such conflicting information, he will necessarily have to choose and hopefully will have visited Israel and talked to both sides and gotten his measure of the land. Hillary Clinton will likely make President Obama appear to have been a supporter of Israel and best of friends with Prime Minister Netanyahu. We already are fully aware of the lack of good relations between Bibi and Hillary and the special hate she holds for Israel. Expect the chill between Israel and the United States to become an ice age under Hillary with no possible thaw and open threats to become commonplace from the White House to Jerusalem. There will be nobody to answer the calls from Hillary as her animosity is well known in Israel and she will manage to even alienate the Israeli left within the first year of her screeching demands for Israel to surrender completely to Abbas. Any dealing with Hillary by Israel would be suicidal. Trump may initially be an unknown but would at least not enter the situation convinced of their preconceived notions as Hillary would be, and she would be completely anti-Israel no matter what lies she told AIPAC.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

« Previous PageNext Page »

Blog at WordPress.com.