Beyond the Cusp

May 28, 2016

Brexit, Obama, Cameron and the EU Elites

 

What do Brexit’s opposition, President Obama, Prime Minister Cameron and the European Union Elite have in common along with the British Treasury, the International Monetary Fund, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development? They all are using hyperbolic, exaggerated paranoid economic forecasts of doom and gloom pitched with great arm waving and volume. Those supporting the British Isles leaving the European Union are equally voluminous and strident. There are entire lists of arguments favoring each side as well as dire predictions of horrific disasters with which to attack each side. So, where is the reality which a sane and measured approach of scientific study would support? The sad truth is that no such rational and unemotional report has actually been released and for good reason, leaving the European Union is a completely unprecedented occurrence. The best thing we can do in approaching Brexit is to simply add another opinion which in reality is not that different from every other opinion out there, the best we can reason out and then we will wait and see what happens should the vote go the way we would advise, but we so not expect to influence too many Brits as the other thing that has been polled is that the populace is divided mostly by age and everybody has chosen and are unlikely to compromise on their assumptions. The older generations, possibly because they remember the pre-European Union Britain, favor Brexit while those who have lived entirely as members of the European Union do not support rocking the boat. Perhaps it does break down to whether you lived in a period when Britain was not just another national entity lost within the folds and bureaucracy known as the European Union.

 

The one thing which the British have done which would facilitate their leaving the European Union much more easily than most other European Union nations is the British kept the Pound Sterling as well as accepted the Euro. This may prove to be one of the smartest decisions the British have ever made as eventually, whether it is next month or not all that far into the future of humankind when the European Union finally tears itself apart as the economic strains of retaining Greece, Italy, Spain, France, Poland and Germany as a single economic union while continuing to allow each of the aforementioned nations to rule themselves and make their own economic decisions within some unenforced presumed limitations which would have made minimal difference anyway. So, there will come a time when Britain will be leaving the European Union or the European Union will be leaving Britain along with every other member nation as it melts down from economic hemorrhage. The one thing which is easy to predict is what will happen if Brexit is voted down next month, nothing, absolutely nothing as the entire world will continue with possibly a slight amount of sighs in Brussels and a few perplexed looks from some of the financial wizards across Europe and in the United States as all their studies and predictions of the perils that Brexit will entail.

 

Pound Sterling

Pound Sterling

 

The question which needs examination is what will happen should Brexit pass. The only honest answer is that we have no idea, none at all. President Obama has predicted that should Brexit pass that Britain will lose out in every manner especially in trade with other nations. President Obama threatened that Brexit passing will necessarily place the British at the back of the line in trade with the United States. The President did not explain why this condition would come to pass; he just claimed that would be the result. Perhaps somebody should inform President Obama that first he cannot place anybody at the back of a line which does not exist and unless he was going to place trade sanctions on the British, there was nothing preventing their trade continuing with the United States without suffering any change as membership with the European Union has little effect on United States trade with Britain. The trade between the two nations would simply revert to the same manner as before Britain joined the European Union. Sure there would likely be some legislation passing through the Congress and being sent to the President reverting some of the trade regulations clarifying trade relations but even that would likely be more a reassurance than any drastic alteration such as what President Obama threatened. Even should President Obama veto such legislation, it could be readdressed come January 21 immediately after the new President is sworn in and it is doubtful that whomever should be in the White House would make any difference as such legislation is fairly innocuous and there would be little reason outside obstinacy for a veto.

 

That will not prevent us from offering our point of view. The immediate advantage the British would gain is they would no longer be constrained by the monetary policies of the European Union and the Euro. The British have had the advantage in setting some form of monetary policy free of European Union regulations as they did maintain their old currency, the Pound (we love the old term of Pound Sterling as it sounds so provincial and proud). The British also have their natural relations with the Anglosphere nations of New Zealand, Australia, Canada, United States and a few other more minor English speaking nations. Such a natural set of trading partners being made simpler by a common language grants Britain an easier transition should Brexit pass and they be free to trade under their own desires free of European Union constraints. Further, the British economy would no longer be having some of their resources diverted to support those nations which are in financial meltdown which is causing an ever more serious crisis one after another. Despite the economic restructuring and presumed limitations placed on spending pressed upon those nations suffering economic difficulties ranging from slow economic growth after the 2008 worldwide financial meltdown which began with market collapse in real estate and mortgage collapse due to lax lending standards which were dependent upon rising real estate prices to complete financial freefall such as the collapse in Greece, these nations often ignored these limitations regarding them as impinging on their national pride and being so draconian that they prevent their addressing the economic needs to climb out of their difficulties. Whatever the reasoning, the strain these failing economies place on the productive nations is slowly strangling their monetary gains, threatening to drag them down the same drain with the financially crippled nations. This could be the main reason for the appeal to many British and the reason that establishment supporters of the European Union desire to persuade the defeat of Brexit as they fear an even faster decline of the European Union should the British economy be removed from the sum total of the European Union economy.

 

What those who have as their desire the continued existence of the European Union fear most is Brexit passing as they are completely aware that Brexit would be the first and far from the last nation to exit the European Union. The reality is well known, once Britain leaves the European Union the writing is on the walls in Brussels, the end is nigh. How much longer would France or Germany remain should the British economy become positive and surging forward with a bright future becoming apparent? The answer is not long, weeks, months, but definitely not years. As the European Union is seen as the best stalwart against another ruinous European war and the only manner where the continent of Europe can fairly compete with the United States, China, Brazil, India and any other up and coming economic powers; the European Union core believers are of the mind that only as a unit does the European nations have any hope of competing with any form of equality with the far larger economies and simply larger nations which have the advantage that size brings. The European Union members see their union as the enabler of trade advantages and refuse to see that they are simply another layer of regulatory strangulation and further taxation depriving the nations and some companies from greater profits. They claim that without the European Union such companies as Airbus could never have been created and survived as it was the European Union which allowed the separate nations to work as if a single unit. The reality is that the nations would cooperate as doing so increases their financial strength and in this world of information technology the old differences and impediments which often strangled trade with tariffs and protectionism would not return as the new reality so obviously rewards cooperation between nations and so many of the corporations are now international in nature that nations no longer benefit from such measures. That is the reality and the British remember the freedom of pre-European Union Britain and with any luck, they will be able to reason and influence those without such experience and Brexit will pass and strike a mortal blow to the European Union.

 

Counter to what numerous economists claim, and luckily this is not a universal opinion, the European Union is not the answer to the problems faced by the troubled economies such as Greece, Italy and Spain but rather the result of the Economic Union and its common currency, the Euro. Whether Brexit passes inflicting a mortal wound to the European Union or if we need wait for the European Union to reach its inevitable implosion, the individual nations reverting to their natural independent currencies will initially cause some difficulties but will soon be able to alter their currencies in relation to one another and thus permit the struggling nations to have a devalued currency permitting them to have economic advantages of lower manufacturing costs and thus an economic advantage that accompanies such. That will bring a new vitality which is impossible when they must share an equal cost rate against Germany as the two nations are as different as night and day. Greece and the other struggling nations are closer to an agrarian or light industrial base while Germany is a heavily industrialized and entered the information age and has robotic manufacturing in many industries making a similar currency preposterous in the max. Brexit may just be the key to freeing Europe from Brussels and the self-appointed crowned aristocracy which has placed themselves over a continent for far too long and have reached well past the point where they have gone from a unifying and strengthening of the continent to a detractor which now regulates Europe slowly into a stagnation which was unavoidable as the simple fact that the European Union was an unelected oligarchy which thought itself above the people and not for or of the people and saw the people and individual governments and the nations as merely pawns in their social and economic games and misadventures. There may never be a study done which will find exactly when the European Union went from a path for greater economic growth and strength to a drag upon the continent and a guarantee of a slow but inevitable decline as the bureaucracy grew to the point that it became a ponderous beached whale no longer capable of reacting to financial needs and instead squelching any vibrancy making responding to changing economic forecasts next to impossible. The European Union has gone from a force for European economic cooperation to a farce siphoning off an ever increasing price dampening economic activity.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

February 6, 2016

Iowa Results and Insights

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The biggest lesson we learned was that the media placed far too much emphasis on the caucuses. What we learned was that in cases where there was no definitive winner, then the entire choice would come down to a coin toss, how perfectly random. In the six instances where these rules were applied it was apparent that team Hillary got to call the coin-toss and call them they did. Apparently Bernie Sanders was perfectly happy to allow her team to call it, “Heads we win and Tails you lose.” And in six caucuses that appears to have been the call as Hillary either won each or Bernie lost, either way, Hillary went forth and declared a great victory while Bernie, being Bernie, claimed he and his supporters gave it a good fight and promised to continue the “Revolution” on to New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina and beyond. When one looks beyond the primary delegates to the “Super Delegates” which are more or less decided by the Democrat Central Committee, one sees the reality of the delegate race as Hillary has 357, Bernie has 14 and O’Malley has 2 all going towards garnering the 2382 delegates needed to win.

 

We learned that Hillary can place way too much emphasis on her phantasmal ability or luck by her precinct chairs abilities to call coin tosses. Her grand claims of victory soon turned to sand in her mouth and she probably sputtered and spurted still insisting she had a mandate. Perhaps she was looking at the super delegate count which is made up of party hacks and people of whom Hillary had their FBI files on another server which was not used for State department e-mails but whose contents would be just as interesting to the voting public but has zero chance of ever seeing the light of day as it would be burned as soon as it was taken in as evidence. There are far too many people the files held there could damage and who have the power to destroy evidence just as well as Bill and Hill have proven capable. We also learned that Bernie has excited and tapped into an interesting voter group, the young and first time voters. Some of these first time voters have been of sufficient age to vote before but have now found their candidate. This is a large part of the voters eight years ago which propelled Obama into the White House and are just as likely to spoil Hillary’s last chance saloon and give her a really bad case of déja vu hiccups as she watches another upstart, this time a seventy-four year old hippie socialist who never let go of the dream from his college days, or is it daze? Should Bernie Sanders pull this off he will have proven that Hillary is fated to never grasp the golden ring in politics and Bill will never hear the end of how it was supposed to be hers but that Obama beat her and then Bernie the crazed lunatic stole it and it just was not fair. I guess nobody ever had the nerve or the suicidal tendencies to tell Hillary that life quite often is not fair. We learned also that Bernie had a solid and faithful following and that his challenge to the chosen one is real and very possible no matter how many delegates Bill can line up on Hillary’s side as in this day and age of the voters, as a collective intelligence, choose the candidates and the final elevations of a President. We also have seen the inside of the “Feel the Bern” generations and they are coming on strong and this might make Bernie Sanders the more electable Democrat and the real candidate the Republicans should fear facing.

 

The Republicans gave us a different message. The evangelicals, the Christian Right, was supposed to decide the Iowa vote and put one of two candidates on the short list for failure; they did not come through that way but have written the last swan song for Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz needed to corral, he is from Texas you know, the Evangelicals but he somehow lost about half the herd which left him limping into first place by a small margin, though it was a landslide by Hillary standards. Ted Cruz did do well as many had predicted claiming that the majority of the polling numbers for ‘The Donald’ (Donald Trump from here on) were mostly fictitious and when the time came to actually support a candidate, these polling numbers would prove to be a phantasm and disappear. Well, they actually did but not as far as predicted and Donald Trump has proven he is for real and will become a viable and potential winner should he start to actually express serious steps and reasons for his bombastic statements and clarify them into a reasonable platform people can stand behind. Ted Cruz, as wonderful as his supporters claim, will very likely fall flat in New Hampshire and rebound in South Carolina and Florida though it will remain to be seen if that is sufficient for him to remain in the race. After the caucuses in Nevada and Colorado it will be definitively decided who is the acceptable alternative to the establishment choice which appears currently to have fallen from Jeb Bush to Chris Christie to John Kasich and now on the Marco Rubio. Other than Cruz, Trump and Rubio who finished in close proximity to one-another, the rest should start taking stock of how much is this worth pursuing and what actually are your actual chances of emerging from the background in a positive manner. The media will ignore you until you make a mistake, and then they will crucify you until you fall on your sword; trust me, I’ve been there. For a good number, probably larger than those willing to vote for him, Ben Carson leaving will be heart-wrenching. We want so much to just once have the nice guy who refused to go negative and was an exemplary person whose life reads like a storybook where underprivileged youth from the worst part of town rise to prominence and was not only a success but also a solid positive force and contribution to society become Mr. Smith Goes to Washington except with a much happier result as he rises above the political machinery and does great and wonderful things lifting the nation by his inspirations. That would have been Ben Carson but perhaps this is better as the media have not torn him to shreds which would have come next had he shown he might succeed. The media will praise you to the hills and as soon as you start to succeed, partially due to their building you up, they will tear into you until you let out a personal secret, say that one time you lost your temper, we all have at least one such moment, and then that will become your defining moment as if nothing else you ever accomplished really made up for the momentary weakness when you were eight years old.

 

 

Mr. Carson Goes to Washington

Mr. Carson Goes to Washington

 

 

So the result in Iowa placed Ted Cruz momentarily in the cat bird seat with Donald Trump close behind and Marco Rubio in tightly behind Donald Trump. There being merely 8,500 votes between the three out of close to 175,000 they finished in a photo finish which their margins only looked large compared to the difference, or lack thereof, between the top Democrat candidates who basically resulted in a dead heat. The reality hopefully will become obvious to the three that for the race to be determined honestly then one of the non-establishment candidates will need to bow out if the other will have even a chance of taking the nomination. Should all three remain in the race and the contest continue to have similar results then there will be the definite possibility that at the Republican Convention there will be no definitive winner and as long as the three remain holding their delegates to their vote then there will be an arranged result which is basically a fixed convention where a candidate is chosen in some back room with some establishment and insiders making a choice and then bringing their golden boy forward and sweeping the convention as the party machinery steamrolls any opposition and presto, Jeb Bush is brought forward as the great hope of the party and we end up with the potentially lowest turnout election percentage in American history as we end up with that dreaded Clinton-Bush family rerun of the 1992 election without the drama or concern as the people show their disgust by staying home. Should this scenario become reality, then there need be a slight Constitutional Amendment making every Federal elected office have an additional choice at the bottom such that the people can demand better choices than the party line who has scratched the most backs and it is decided to reward them by making it their turn for the House of Representatives and then later the Senate and finally, for the real party hardliners, the Presidency by voting for “None of the Above” and if “None of the Above” receives the greatest plurality then the parties must find new candidates and a reelection will take place six weeks later, so they better choose well and somebody the people would rally to or they could face embarrassment after embarrassment and perhaps allow a primary if it is a Senate or House of Representatives for unaligned people to attempt to gain ballot access and allow the highest independent vote getter to also be on the ballot as it is doubtful such a person could do any worse in the performance than some of those currently in office. We really need to get better quality candidates and until the parties are forced to consider that they have to win over the people or face challenges from what are usually referred to as Joe-six-pack meaning it as a pejorative label when actually that may be a person who would do a far better job of representing the people with their being from amongst them. Still, there are the gems amongst a sea of party functionaries and the quality, or lack thereof, of the candidates on the average ballot simply proves George Washington correct when he claimed, “However [political parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion.” Enough said.

 

We regret that nowhere in the conglomerate of offerings is there a single candidate with military service in their background. Some of the candidates I doubt could reduce their self-worth to a sufficient level to survive basic training nor would they know when to stand on principle and when to stand down as that is also something they test in basic training and for the select few who respond accordingly they offer them to attend OCS which is the one way that an enlisted man can become an officer, and maybe a gentleman. The world stage being what it is, we believe would be best served by somebody who has served and our first choice would be Lt. Col. Alan West.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

January 17, 2016

Problems, Problems, Problems

 

The world is in a state of flux, well, let’s be honest, the world is in a state of convulsions. The European Union has decided that perhaps the produce grown by the labors of the Jews who planted and tended their groves for well over twenty years just to receive their first fruits worth mention, grape vines tended carefully and the wines made by wineries which have won blue ribbons in France, the land of wine, recognizing their careful blending of grapes or choices of the very best of a single grape both of which rely on care from the very start of setting up your vines with great care and then pray that the weather is kind and provide the exact amounts of rain when needed and sunshine between the rains and lots of sun with the right temperatures for the grapes. Then the harvest must be timed for when the grapes are their plumpest and full of sugars and the exact chemistry to produce the perfect wines. From there the grapes must be pressed, filtered, blended and married with the perfect yeast and then aged to the perfect point for bouquet, color, clarity, texture, taste and complexity which will spark the imagination of the entire panel in France and beyond. But the years it took these agricultural based businesses are of no consequence and that International Law actually backs the Israeli claim to the lands, all the lands, between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea. The actions by the European Union also ignores their own better interests but are actually attempting to eat their cake and still have it. The European commissioner for research, innovation and science, Carlos Moedas, while visiting Israel earlier this month commented to Israeli President Rivlin, “I love this country. I hope the cooperation between Israel and Europe will increase. For us, and for our scientists, it is extremely important. During my tenure I hope to be here for you, because you have been here for us in terms of everything in science and innovation. I want to be a little bit of your voice in terms of the great people I have met here and the many innovators and entrepreneurs. The drive and energy that you have in this country to create businesses is unique and is an example to Europe. I am here to tell you that I hope this cooperation will increase. For us, and our scientists, it is extremely important.” It is good to know that there is at least some sanity remaining in Europe though the re-release of “Mein Kampf,” even with the certain explanatory commentary presumably intended to mitigate the ravings of a madman who captured Europe in an transfixed rage which destroyed their souls and their humanity only eighty odd years ago. One must wonder whether the rising anti-Semitism in Europe might not find solace and supportive arguments for their savage hatreds.

 

If Europe were the sole insanity, but alas, the world is not that kind as Iran with the favorable nuclear treaty granting them a path to nuclear weapons has started flexing their muscles. This became ever so obvious when Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) forced two United States Naval Vessels to surrender and allow the capture of both crews when one was on a rescue to assist a disabled ship when the two were swarmed (see video below). They timed this assault on a disabled craft but waited for the rescue ship to slow and stop before making their assault and with one ship disabled and the other engaged in preparation to tow thus maximizing the vulnerability of both vessels timing the capture for the same time to hold and display the captured and cowed sailors concurrent to President Obama’s final State of the Union Address. The Iranians released a picture which showed the female American Navy personnel wearing an Islamic style head covering sitting on the floor with the other captives (pictured below) all appearing the picture of helpless. It would not be surprising to find out that the American Naval Personnel were under orders not to open fire so as to avoid a “situation” which would spoil the President’s special day. The real question is if this was a drill, it would be interesting to know who ordered the training mission and gave the coordinates for the first vessel to stop and kill their engines and wait for rescue vulnerable to the waves and currents in which they were drifting. The Iranians have also increased their military involvement in Syria and are arming Hezballah with far more heavy weapons to use when fighting the rebels and the Islamic State. These forces have been incorporated and used to augment Russian efforts to harden and secure the areas around the Russian port in Latakia, Syria. These same weapons will continue to be used by Hezballah should, or more likely when, they open another assault against Israel with the one critical difference being that with Hezballah now can open a front against the Golan Heights as well as along the Lebanon border. Hezballah holding the Golan Heights even for one day would be ruinous to Israel and all Israelis residing in the northeastern and central northern Galilee as they would once again be vulnerable to sniper fire. But if these are not enough, what else can there be?

 

 

 

 

 

American Naval Personnel with Female Forced to Wear Islamic Style Head Cover

American Naval Personnel with Female
Forced to Wear Islamic Style Head Cover

 

 

The world spins naturally on its axis while it revolves around the Sun which slowly makes its way around the Super Massive Black Hole at the center of the Milky Way which is going to collide with the Andromeda Galaxy potentially coinciding with the death of Sol, our sun, proving even in galactic events there can be multiple disasters befalling any planet as this did not mention what effect all of this will have on the various clouds of debris such as the, starting with the outermost cloud, the Ort Cloud moving towards the Sun we find the Kuiper Belt and finally the inside the orbit of Jupiter we find the Asteroid Belt and all of these are capable of shooting something towards the Sun and numerous objects of appreciable size cross the earth’s orbit both on their way in and again on their way out. The further out the object starts its trip, the faster it will be flying as it crosses the Earth’s orbit in either direction. The Comet Shoemaker–Levy 9 made its fantastic set of collisions with Jupiter leaving battle-scars in Jupiter’s outer gas cloud of which many were many times larger than the Earth (see below). This event amassed such attention that the United States Congress rode the wave and authorized a number of teams of cosmologists to search the heavens and map the paths of those objects which posed a potential threat of colliding with the Earth. Another group of scientists were commissioned to prepare emergency plans for dealing with such a menacing threat which could end all significant life on the surface of the planet. Of course the lawmakers sobered up and realizing that there was no manner of making the tedium of searching for any space threats to Earth mostly by asteroids but also comets which would need to be a constant vigilance as they come from well beyond our ability to monitor until they are close enough to plot their trajectory to be sexy and attention getting so they cut funding to the bone and used the money on projects which buy those all-important votes. How the human race will ever venture out into space is a mystery but whichever nation gets to put a base on the moon, populate it with construction personnel and engineers and mining equipment such that they could bore passages and other bases such that somebody could transverse from the main base station to any other in order to carry out research or just visit and play the greatest volleyball game ever.

 

 

 

 

 

Solar System Exploded Picture Top to Bottom Asteroid Belt Ominously Orbiting Between Jupiter and Mars Kuiper Belt Around Pluto and Beyond Full of Lovable Dwarf Planet Leading to the Ort Cloud which Surrounds Solar System in an Orb-like Shell

Solar System Exploded Picture Top to Bottom
Asteroid Belt Ominously Orbiting Between Jupiter and Mars
Kuiper Belt Around Pluto and Beyond Full of Lovable Dwarf Planet
Leading to the Ort Cloud which Surrounds Solar System in an Orb-like Shell

 

 

The truth is that all of the planet Earth needs to come together and find some way of settling all the differences such that everybody has their space and can accept what they have and let go of the demands, schemes, dreams, designs or any other spark or even fading ember that too many nations, religions and even individuals hold that drive them to conquer others and invade, infiltrate or otherwise conquer, subsume, infiltrate or other way force others to change to suit your ideas and ways. The desire of all needs to be peace and if one really has to have designs on greater grandeur then instead of conquest here on our little space rock and take that desire to venture into the unknown and find your own world where you and those who agree with the need for dominion over the entirety of a planet, they have at your own planet and everybody else will leave you to your planet because they too will be seeking a world of their own or be amongst others and have a pluralist attitude and establishing multi-cultural, multi-ethnic, multi-populated with some of all who can reside with others without conquest, instead using such drives to seek and settle more worlds and discoveries. Once humankind has begun the settlement out in the stars, then humankind will necessarily both acquiesce and accept others as you would prefer they accept you. We can, as human-kind, work together or continue to war until there are no more and in the end we become an unrecorded memory that evaporates as the sands of time, the winds of fate and the tides of eternity which wash the world clean of all of human existence and our futility. It is our choice to make and I fear we, not all but enough will seal our fate and space will never become ours to populate and discover as we will never actually leave our rock.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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