Beyond the Cusp

July 3, 2015

ISIS, Egypt, Sinai Peninsula and Hamas in Gaza

Filed under: Absolutism,Amalekites,Anwar Sadat,Appease Islamic Interests,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab Spring,Arab Winter,Arab World,Arabs,Army Chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi,Blood Libel,Cairo,Calaphate,Caliphate,Civilization,Coverup,Egypt,Egyptian Border Guards,Egyptian Military,Gaza,Gaza Blockade,Government,Halal,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hate,History,IDF,Infiltration Tunnels,ISIS,ISIS in Gaza,ISIS in Judea and Samaria,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic State,Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham,Islamist,Israel,Israeli Interests,Jihad,Koran,Leftist Pressures,Legal Blockade,Mahmoud Abbas,Mecca Koran,Medina Koran,Military Council,Mohammed,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Muslims,Nationalist Pressures,Negev Desert,Ottoman Empire,Palestinian Authority,Peace Process,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,President Sisi,Quran,Rafah Crossing,Salafists,Secular Interests,Sharia Law,Shiite,Shooting Victims,Sinai,Sinai Peninsula,Smuggling Tunnels,Statehood,Submission,Suez Canal,Sunni,Tahadiya,Terror,Tribe,Victims,World Opinion,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:33 AM
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Is it a simple case of one of those strange quirks which history will muse over or is it a divine sign that the man who removed the Muslim Brotherhood horrors from governing Egypt and answered the cries of his people winning him the prized office of Egyptian President has a name which as spelled in English transliteration is the exact reverse of the English initials of the newest and most deadly allies of the Muslim Brotherhood, thus we have Egyptian President Sisi now facing forces from ISIS, Sisi vs. ISIS (and as we have said before, we pronounce ISIS as is, is thus it all depends on what the meaning of Is-is, is.) Now for the existing and coming horrors and the potential coming allies who have worked silently and in only the most untraceable means to support each other’s efforts in the Sinai Peninsula as well as Gaza may become all too public and by doing so be one of the most important ends of the coming series of conflagrations. There may be no choice for the Egyptian forces for success in forcing both the Muslim Brotherhood and the Islamic State allied fighters from the Sinai Peninsula as President Sisi knows that he must not commit the entire strength of the Egyptian military into any sweep of the Sinai. Further, there are many within the Egyptian military whose villages and relatives live and are amongst if not having actually joined the Muslim Brotherhood or potentially joined the new Caliphate of ISIS and thus President Sisi and his generals are aware that they can only use troops specially chosen and known for their complete loyalty and discipline. Even those chosen for regular checkpoint or other daily military or security assignments are likely chosen carefully. One can bet that President Sisi probably witnessed, and not just knows of, the historic assassination of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat by disgruntled members of the Egyptian military who were far more loyal to the Muslim Brotherhood.

 

There are many who will claim that there is nothing which would permit the presumably secular Muslim Brotherhood and the fanatical religious ISIS to form any alliance despite the truth that the Muslim Brotherhood spawned al-Qaeda which established the Iraqi organization for al-Qaeda from which ISIS was spawned. The reality is that the Muslim Brotherhood is a religiously based organization whose credo states that “The Koran is our constitution, the Prophet is our leader, jihad is our path and death in the name of Allah is our goal.” Where the Muslim Brotherhood has somewhat of a secular view is when it comes to governance that they claim to support a socialist governance which holds elections until the Muslim Brotherhood gains control over the national governance and then such inconveniences become less important. What has been overlooked in this false dichotomy is that the Muslim Brotherhood has not made any statement concerning their position on should the Caliphate be reestablished. By their apparent coordination in horrific and deadly assault on the Egyptian checkpoints and other positions throughout the Sinai Peninsula both the Muslim Brotherhood and ISIS displayed a level of cooperation that should put to bed any doubts about their levels of agreement.

 

Further, there was obvious coordination and cooperation given these operations which included arms and other logistics from within Gaza provided by Hamas which should put to bed not only any doubts about Hamas working with their parent group, the Muslim Brotherhood, but also their cooperation and general support for ISIS and the willingness of ISIS to work willingly and knowingly with Hamas. This coordinated and seamless planning and execution of an assault on this level provides all the evidence necessary to prove that there is recognition and compliance with the authority granted to ISIS to lead the efforts of the Islamist groups and puts to lie the claims that ISIS was planning to go to war with Hamas but instead should provide all the evidence that the recent breakup of the Fatah unity government with Hamas was initiated by Hamas as they were already planning coordinated and supportive efforts with ISIS and the Muslim Brotherhood against the government of President Sisi in Egypt. The thing which needs to be given the greatest amount of concern should be the replacement of Fatah and the Arab Palestinian Authority by the ISIS led, Muslim Brotherhood supported Hamas takeover of the Arab Palestinian operations in Judea and Samaria (West Bank) presenting Israel with the challenge of operations in Judea and Samaria taking on a whole new level of violence and coordinated threats should Fatah be defeated or simply collapse as any support it once enjoyed changing horses and moving to give their loyalties to the ISIS led Sunni Islamist merging of Hamas and Muslim Brotherhood into the ranks of ISIS.

 

This brings us to the facing off against a mutual foe between Egypt and Israel and the potential for coordination and potentially joint missions within the Sinai Peninsula as well as throughout Gaza between Israel and Egypt. This would mean a deeper level of coordination beyond simply intelligence sharing and the mere coordination of movements to assure that the two sides do not reach a point where they might interfere with each other’s execution of operations to a level where the coordinated and complimentary operations are planned with the aim of mutual strengthening the other’s effectiveness. There would also be situations, especially within Gaza, where operational support for Egyptian operations within Gaza would be granted close in air support and ground use of sorties from artillery fire to compliment one another’s operational effectiveness. Such coordination between Egyptian military operations, especially when such operations would require informing Israel of the size and scope of Egyptian operation in the Northern Sinai and especially such operations that may extend necessarily into Gaza, as all such in-force operations by Egypt are required to be cleared through Israel according to their peace treaty and supportive accords and also to avoid clashes between the two nations which could easily spiral out of control dissolving any gains made between the two nations in building trusts and peace. Such sharing of intelligence and potential coordination of operations even, if simply done to avoid direct confrontations which could arise as a result of a friendly-fire incident where both sides were attempting to establish their control over a particular objective, be that objective a central strongpoint or the eradication of a permanent large rocket and missile launch site in order to silence its use against both sides, as such a dedicated site would pose a definitive set of difficulties to any operations.

 

Cooperation between Israel and Egypt would not be an entirely new event as the levels of cooperation have been exercised previously as to who would take the lead position in apprehending any vessels attempting to break the blockade of Gaza which has been in effect since the Hamas takeover of the region from Fatah. This has been evidenced when on multiple occasions Egypt, both when under Mubarak and now under Sisi, when ships tried to smuggle by circumventing the Israeli blockade by hugging the Egyptian coast of the north of the Sinai Peninsula the Egyptians had a surprise for them, they guarded against such efforts as President Sisi and his government have had just as much to fear from Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza as has Israel. Egypt has had just as tight a closed border with Gaza as has Israel and in some ways an even tighter closure as no aid reaches Gaza in any manner, let alone comparable to the multiple tonnage crossing daily into Gaza, daily even during the entirety of the Gaza War Operation Protective Edge last summer. Egypt has had better effectiveness in finding and closing tunnels under their border with Gaza which are used to smuggle things in and out of Gaza as has Israel in locating the infiltration tunnels which caused such a stir as the IDF had appeared completely surprised by the extensive tunnel system Hamas had been planning to utilize in a massive operation against the Israelis during the High Holy Days last year. Keeping the borders controlled has been a primary effort of both Egypt and Israel as both have suffered threats from within Gaza with the Egyptian threats having often been estimated and paid in lives for any missed tunnels by the Egyptians often lead to infiltrations into the Sinai Peninsula in the form of manpower and also weaponry and explosives for the design of car and truck bombs, IEDs (improvised explosive device used in place of land mines) and other explosive delivery methods and systems which are as varied in kind as they do in their delivery. The reality has been that Hamas, Islamic Jihad and numerous other terrorist groups have just as much hate for the Sisi government as they do towards Israel.

 

With ISIS moving into the Sinai Peninsula one has to wonder what there objective may be. Thus far there has been little to no change across the Negev-Sinai border and there have been the usual ramping up of terrorist strikes which accompany summer but surprisingly much of that can be attributed to problems in Judea and Samaria. What has been somewhat disconcerting has been the increase in attacks in Judea and Samaria claimed to have been attributable to Hamas and Islamic Jihad. The one item which had been surprising which this assault upon the Egyptian forces and the particulars have put to rest were the dire warnings that there was a definitive expectation for a war in Gaza waged by ISIS against Hamas and potentially Islamic Jihad. Something about the threat has seemed strange, especially the ISIS against Hamas warnings as in so many ways Hamas and ISIS appear to be natural allies. The only thing which made sense about these threats was they were disinformation though the target escaped reason, well, until now. The intended target of ISIS being out to overthrow Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood was more about throwing off any investigation by the Egyptians into the validity of these claims and the simple overlooking of things being exactly the opposite. The three have been cooperating and this past week the blood soaked reality came crashing home with all the signals coming together all at one time putting to lie the ISIS against Hamas false flag arguments. The similarities between Hamas and ISIS has been a major part in the explanation by Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu as early as last summer when explaining why it had been paramount that Operation Protective Edge be fought with much the same ferocity which had been reserved thus far for only ISIS by Western interests. But even back then there had appeared to Israeli sources of intelligence that Hamas and ISIS were natural allies which is why more efforts had been expelled into drawing out and eliminating ISIS cells in Judea and Samaria than in Gaza.

 

Apparently Israel had best ramp up their surveillance in seeking out and destroying ISIS cells in Judea and Samaria as they could easily be precursors to Hamas making their new move to replace the current Fatah centered Arab Palestinian Authority with one which places Hamas and ISIS to enter into Judea and Samaria replacing Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas. This was the expected move which may have found Hamas and ISIS working together to gain additional leverage against Israel by taking over the entirety of the Arab Palestinian Authority, something that with Hamas would have already occurred had Abbas ever permitted the Arabs in Judea and Samaria to be able to vote for their own government, something Abbas has been refusing to allow knowing full well that as soon as elections were held that he would fall from power. Apparently the threats of an ISIS-Hamas war in Gaza worked if its intention was allowing the two to have close cooperation setting up this assault on Egypt. Perhaps this is the main event of this coming summer, an alliance which will have Gaza spread its tentacles and wrest power from Abbas giving it to Haniyeh, the former Prime Minister in Gaza before resigning last year to permit the formation of a unity government. Hamas leader Haniyeh knew he was risking nothing despite appearances to the contrary. The ruse was an effort to try to force Abbas to finally allow Arab elections across Gaza, Judea and Samaria. The effort failed to materialize and perhaps the one unknown may have been the undoing of the carefully laid out, years in the making, plan. This unknown was the extent in which ISIS had infiltrated into the Arab Palestinian society. What made knowing this impossible was the fact that there could have been untold numbers of disenchanted Arab Palestinians tired of never being allowed the vote over who controlled their governance. This could have produced fertile growing lands for the ISIS message of rules as written in the Quran. Life by the structures dictated in the Quran might have appealed except many in Judea and Samaria did not desire something more along the lines of a Constitution that would have permitted the enshrining of modern rights and society. Sharia was not what many Arab Palestinians desire as they have witnessed how the Israeli society has produced people very happy with their lives and their society despite the threats of terrorism. They see a people who are slowly but inexorably moving to realize the advantages of a religious life but also realizing that religious life must not be imposed by government and that the only control the religion should have on the governance are the Biblical limitations through which government is prevented from enriching those in its service and that government must serve the people it is in the end responsible to care for. Government cares for the people, and the people do not need to be made subservient in any manner to their government and this is best realized by assuring that there never comes a ruling elite who have usurped unto themselves through government or economic means the ability to enslave the people. The people are what are to be kept as noble and government should act noble but never be permitted to become nobles. This is why Sharia will always be an impossible sell to those who have known true freedom and liberty. The fact that many of the older Palestinians who remember freedom and elections having meaning who will be the saviors of the Arab Palestinian society providing they step forward in the short term and teach their society the beauty of living and celebrating life and not the opposite of existing in order to die with how one dies defines how they lived. One’s life must define ones death and by that we mean the tributes and loving memories they leave the world with after living and inspiring others by their lives. When a society starts to define one’s life by how they die prematurely and before their time then there is a society which serves Ba’al and has reinstituted child sacrifice, for what else can one call a society which reveres a child because they went out to serve their society and their god by an act of suicide, and even worse, a suicide which attempted to take as many who were full of life and living the best they were able as their victims in their sacrifice. Life is already too short; making one’s life tragically shorter is just that, a tragedy. A society that reveres those who chase death is a society doomed to destroy the very future it claims to promise. The slogan which must be at the bedrock of a society is to choose life, in all things and all ways choose life and use that life to help everyone else choose life and live a life which celebrates life.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 13, 2015

Israel in Need of Bold Zionist No Excuses Leadership

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,Administration,al-Aqsa Mosque,al-Qaeda,Amalekites,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab World,Arabs,Benyamin Netanyahu,Bible,Bible Study,Blood Libel,Boycott,Britain,British Mandate,Cairo Speech,Calaphate,Civilization,Commandments,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Covenant,Coverup,Domestic NGOs,East Jerusalem,Equal Responsibility,Equal Rights,Equal Treatment,Equality,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Gaza,Golan Heights,Great Britain,Green Line,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hate,Hezballah,History,Infiltration Tunnels,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Intifada,Intifada,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Islamic State,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jihad,Jordan,Jordan River,Judea,Judean Hills,Land for Peace,Leftist Pressures,Leftist Propaganda,Light unto the Nations,Mahmoud Abbas,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Mortar Attacks,Murder Israelis,Muslim World,Muslims,Nasrallah,Nationalist Pressures,Netanyahu,Nile River,Noahic Covenant,Old City,One State Solution,Oslo Accords,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,Peace Partner,Peace Process,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,Promised Land,Recognize Israel,Religious Jews,Response to Terrorism,Rock Throwing,Rocket Attacks,San Remo Conference,Secular Interests,Security,Settlements,Sharia Law,Shiite,Sinai,Smuggling Tunnels,Sunni,Support Israel,Supreme Court,Syria,Tel Aviv,Temple Mount,Terror,Third Intifada,Three No's,Torah,Torah Study,Tradition,Transjordan,Two State Solution,United Nations Presures,United States Pressure,War of Independence,War on Religion,West Bank,White Papers,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:21 AM
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Israel is under attack both from without and within. What is most depressing is that the same people finance most of both kinds of groups sworn to tear Israel down. There are channels used by European government and NGOs to pass heaping amounts of funding through various channels to what are licensed Israeli NGOs as well as financing European and international NGOs all with the same designs, to destroy the Jewish state by all means available. The most used method has been to challenge Zionist efforts and organizations in Israeli courts for internal NGOs and some of the external NGOs and in European and international courts by international and European NGOs and by European governments often using one another’s courts in complimentary efforts. The usual targets are to embargo or otherwise target Israeli exports which are often placed on the defensive of having to prove that none of their product, including their wrappers, shipping containers, labels or even inks came from beyond the Green Line which despite being Israeli sovereign lands by the enactment of the San Remo Conference Agreement and Article 80 of the United Nations Charter are now simply referred to as belonging to some imaginary entity called Palestine which touts a series of terrorist leaders who would be imprisoned in virtually any other nation if they were to use similar violent tactics and subversions anywhere in Europe. With the United States following the European lead concerning Israel and still attempting to tell Israel and American Jewish associations that Israel has never seen a more advantageous and supportive administration, a view fully supported by some of the most liberal and anti-Zionist Jewish organizations in the United States, has backed Prime Minister Netanyahu into a corner where he is too timid to defy President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry most likely under some threats of the United States surrendering Israeli sovereignty to the Palestinians and any other claimants who might claim territory as being their ancestral lands against the Israelis in the United Nations Security Council.

 

The initial reaction by the political leadership in Israel has been to cringe, duck down tight and hope the barrages from Washington pass overhead and nobody gets hurt. The problem is there have been numerous people who have been hurt and continue to be hurt by the acquiescence by Israeli political leadership who out of fear of facing actual threats coming to fruition have led the government in destroying Jewish buildings, many which proved to have been legal but too late, using an overt leftist Supreme Court to approve destruction orders allowing the political leaders to claim their hands were tied. Some of these destructions have been rushed through before the legal teams working with the Jewish owners have had sufficient time to chase down the legal paperwork to prevent the destructions making their eventual production simply too little too late. The forces pushing to force Israel to surrender all of Judea and Samaria along with all of East Jerusalem are the same leftist anti-Semitic and anti-Zionist forces which pressed for the Israeli disengagement from the Gaza Strip and its fall to Hamas and the barrages of rockets on ever more of Israel in each assault leading to the next war. All those politicians, pundits, and various others with marginal credibility all know full well their claims that once the Palestinians have been given the West Bank that their claims will be satisfied and all terrorism and related threats will vanish from Israel’s future are completely false. They have ears just as anybody with ears and even the most minimal interest and curiosity have come to know that the Palestinian claims are to all of Israel. Anybody caring to attend the demonstrations at their neighborhood college campus hearing the Palestinian supporters chant of, “From the river to the sea Palestine must be free!” know exactly what the Palestinian demands are, all of Israel with every last Jew removed or they will remove them final solution style.

 

Furthermore, they know that the Israeli claim that giving up Judea and Samaria along with East Jerusalem will bring rockets to the heart of Israel are true. They also know that such a situation will bring all tourism to Israel to a screeching halt the minute a single passenger airliner or cargo airline is shot out of the sky landing or taking off from Ben Gurion International Airport as every airline insurance company will immediately terminate any insurance for any airline carrier, be it passenger or cargo, if they persist in flying to Ben Gurion or any other airport within Israel. El Al will lose their insurance and be closed down as they operate out of Israel and what good is an Israeli airline which does not fly into or out of Israel. Then the first close call, not necessarily a hit, on any ship coming to an Israeli port the same will end all sea traffic in and out of Israel with the exception of some intrepid Israelis in their private small craft, which will have become uninsured should they not move its mooring to Crete or further. The cynical pro-Palestinian peace camps know that should Israel surrender what they cynically call the West Bank adopting the same terminology invented by Jordan during their occupation of Judea and Samaria as well as East Jerusalem between 1948 and 1967 in order to remove the Jewish roots of the occupied areas, occupied from who, by the way, Israel would be the correct answer. During the nineteen years under Jordanian occupation not only was there no mention of Palestinian lands being under occupation, there were also no attempts to return to the Palestinians any lands. The knowledge cynically denied by the anti-Israel organizations, politicians, and individuals is the threat to Israel. Why would these entities go to such extents to deny any threats which might be posed to Israel by turning over Judea, Samaria and East Jerusalem to the Palestinians? Their drive is to destroy Israel by any means necessary which has been a desire started initially by the British immediately after they received the Mandate to establish the Jewish state in the Mandate lands granted their oversight. While the Zionists were too weak to oppose any British perfidy they demanded that the Zionist Congress sign off on allowing an Arab state to be formed west of the Jordan River for guarantees that the lands east of the Jordan River would remain sacrosanct belonging solely to the future Jewish state. At the same time other English politicians and leaders promised the Arab leadership they would never permit sufficient Jewish settlement to form the Jewish State. This was why the British immediately recognized the Jordanian occupation of Judea, Samaria and East Jerusalem along with one singular other nation, Pakistan. The rest of the British efforts to prevent Jewish immigration to Israel even when it could have provided the Jews of Europe an escape from the coming holocaust the British refused to open the area to Jewish immigration. There will always be forces both overt and covert working to the detriment of Israel. Additionally, Israel has more enemies thanks to the Arab and Muslim world’s animosity as well as sufficient enemies in Europe, South America, most ardent leftist politicians, anti-Semites the world over, and those who are held at the tender mercies of the oil producing nations already strongly opposed to Israeli existence.

 

Israel is the proverbial bridesmaid but never the bride when it comes to being accepted through much of the world. Will the world ever accept anything Israeli, yes, of course they will. They will accept the technological products, software, agricultural advances, medical procedural advances, medical imaging technology, weapons advances, drone technology and the numerous other areas where Israel leads the world and is often more than happy to share these advances. Such has been evidenced by the sharing with the third world the technology of drip irrigation which allows for irrigating fields with a fraction of the water required from conventional methods. There is the Save a Child’s Heart Organization which not only flies children in to Israel to perform delicate life-saving heart operations but also sends their specialists to third world nations to perform operations and teach the surgeons in the hospitals which the Save a Heart Foundation sets up with the necessary medical equipment necessary to perform these lifesaving procedures and remain ready to advise over the internet or to fly in upon request for any difficult or unusual situations. Israel has even taken the precaution of flying children with a family member from any Arab or Muslim nation to Israel after having them flown to a neutral nation before being brought to Israel and returned them by similar manner to avoid their facing any difficulties and their visit to Israel never will show on any of their paperwork such as Passports. For the treatment Israel provides to enemies as well as friends and even compared to their own IDF soldiers one can read an account which proved to be a life changing experience for Brigitte Gabriel’s autobiographical work Because They Hate.

 

There are a few things about Israel which most people are not aware but might change your view and have you look into Israel with a different viewpoint and the things you may find will amaze you. First is that Israel is not some nation out to claim any areas commonly purported as Greater Israel and extending from central Iraq to the Nile in Egypt. All Israel really cares to claim, even the most avid Zionist, is simply the lands promised under the San Remo Conference Agreement which extend from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, which is where the Palestinian claim derives just as their claimed history closely mirrors the history of the Jews minus the persecutions. The main expectation Israel extends to the peoples of the world is for them to base their laws and nations on the Noahic Code, seven laws of Noah. The religious Jews in Israel realize that the main purpose of Israel besides being a homeland for the Jewish people is also for the people of Israel to live their lives in such a manner as to be an example for others to follow. It is not their place to expect others to follow their example no matter how perfectly they manage to conduct their individual and collective lives. Still, the purpose of Israel and her people is to live in as exemplary a manner simply in the hope of realizing the joys of living a life in service of the L0rd G0d and observing the totality of His Commandments by which we fulfill our half of the covenant and we have faith that once we all work towards observing the Commandments that He will fulfill the promises of lives fulfilled. We are not guaranteed that the world will love us, our history pretty much has taught us the opposite, but that is not the point, living a G0dly life is sufficient reward in and of itself. There are numerous items which makes a number of the Commandments impossible to fulfill but with faith the answer to these challenges will be presented in due time. It is not always heartening to admit but our time scale is not that of the L0rd and all we can do is our best and hope that we will live long enough to witness the fulfillment of our Covenant with the L0rd. Until such time we must be content with perfecting ourselves and aiding one another in their efforts to do the same. Still, many wish our political leaders would have more faith in our nation and would stand against those who would prefer to see Israel fail because as the leaders of Israel your first responsibility is to Israel and us her people first, foremost and without any secondary thoughts or distractions.

 

One last link to something I read after completing the article that is well worth a quick read titled, Supporting Middle Eastern Christians is Zionism. Please take a moment to read as the combination working with the article’s author, Father Gabriel Naddaf, may really surprise you, it almost did me.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 9, 2015

The Israeli Iran and Obama Dilemma

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,1967 War,Absolutism,Act of War,Administration,Alawite,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Authority,Ayatollah Khamenei,Ayatollahs,Azerbaijan,Bashir al-Assad,Benyamin Netanyahu,Breakout Point,Calaphate,China,Civilization,Condemning Israel,Coverup,Dhimmi,Disengagement,Ease Sanctions,Egypt,Ehud Barak,EMP Device,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Union,Executive Order,Fatah,Federica Mogherini,Forced Solution,Framework,France,Galilee,Germany,Government,Great Britain,Green Line,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,History,Holy Sites,International Politics,Intifada,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps,Iraq,IRGC,ISIS,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,John Kerry,Judea,Judean Hills,Land for Peace,Leftist Pressures,Mahmoud Abbas,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Munich Accord of 1938,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Muslims,Netanyahu,Neville Chamberlain,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Scientist,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Oslo Accords,P5+1,Palestinian Authority,Peace Process,Plutonium Production,Politicized Findings,President Obama,Prime Minister,Promised Land,Rebel Forces,Refugees,Samaria,Sanctions,Saudi Arabia,Secretary of State,Sinai,Sinai Peninsula,Six Day War,State Department,Supreme Leader,Syria,Taqiyya,Temple Mount,Terminal War,Terror,Turkey,Union Interests,United Arab Emirates,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Uranium Enrichment,War,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,Yemen,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:10 AM
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What do you do when you presumed ally’s leader appears to have joined the other side? This is only the tip of the iceberg that Israel and her elected Prime Minister will be facing when the new government is formed sometime this month, possibly towards the end of the month as the forming of a coalition often takes the threat of an impending deadline to alter demands into something more tenable. The Framework Agreement has not made the dilemma any simpler as it appears that every party to the negotiations walked away with a completely different piece of paper or each translation took great amounts of liberty with definitions of the terms. Whatever the actual cause, the statements coming out of Washington D.C. and out of Tehran, Iran appear to be diametric opposites. The classic example is the claim by the Administration in Washington D.C. that the Iranians will be limited to using their slowest, least productive and most problematic centrifuges while the Iranians have had numerous military, civilian and IRGC (Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps) commanders relate that at the date the agreement is signed they will be able to fully implement the use of their advanced IR-8 centrifuges which are twenty-times as productive and reliable as compared to their earliest models. Such gaps in interpretations of the Framework Agreement does not bode well for reaching any desired result in a final agreement with both sides permitted their own so very liberal translations and definition of the terminology. These disparate readings of the Framework Agreement should signal to Secretary of State Kerry and the negotiating team that their attempts to make the wording inconclusive in its desired definitions which has apparently led to such a different take on the Framework Agreement which is probably best served reading the French and European Union versions which are so opaque and generalized using terminology which was technically meaningless leaving the entire document a singular masterpiece in diplospeak doubletalk worthy of a George Orwell novel.

 

The definitions and interpretations are even less worrisome for the Israelis as they probably have yet to receive a copy of the Framework in any language. The one saving grace is that the Israelis do not need to research the Framework and what might be concluded from the disparate interpretations; they need only consider whatever the Iranians believe is the intent. As much as President Obama has raked the United States relationship with Israel over hot coals and through a harvester shredder, the United States President does not pose any threat or difficulty by having a unique definition of the terms in the Framework while whatever the Iranians discern from the document is potentially a direct threat to Israel and her survival. Yes, it is true that the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was chanting “Death to America” right along with the throngs chanting and cheering right along with their leader, the same man also this past weekend called for the destruction of Israel referring to Israel as that “barbaric” Jewish State which “has no cure but to be annihilated.” The Iranian Supreme Leader went on to present a strategy titled “Nine key questions about the elimination of Israel” which was also placed on his Twitter account Saturday night where he used the hashtag of #handsoffalaqsa, an oblique reference to the continuing terrorist riots and other tensions on the Temple Mount especially in reference to the right for Jews and other non-Muslims to pray on the holy site to three religions. The Ayatollah’s plans laid out a political path to replacing Israel completely with an Islamic run state where the Jews and other non-Muslims would necessarily be forced to accept Dhimmitude and a life of constant disgrace and the downtrodden shame as second class citizens living at the grace and good tidings of their Muslim masters. What he left out and even went so far as to claim his plan did not include was the death of the Jews living in the area once the Muslims were granted rule as at any point the Muslim rulers could give the Jews the choice of paying the Jiyza special tax or converting to Islam and eventually at their whim change that choice replacing the Jiyza tax making the new choice between conversion to Islam or death. Should any Jew choose to convert, if any Muslim believed that the Jew was not a true and faithful believer in Islam, they could bring charges which would inevitable result in the death penalty for apostasy. That is the truth behind the nine point plan by the Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

 

But there is another bothersome problem which has raised it head some claim as many as four different times. Israel, as an ally, so as not to interfere with or be mistaken for a hostile force, will present any military plans to the United States Pentagon who shares these plans with the White House. Off the top I recall once when it was understood that the Israelis would be granted overflight permission which would include potentially refueling of F-15 and F-16 Fighter-Bombers over Saudi Arabian territories potentially just before launching a raid into Iran and potentially repeating such a refueling on their return flight. This was a quiet, under the radar, under even the kitchen table as this was obviously a super sensitive and secret permission being extended by the Saudis. Any revelation of such permission of such a sensitive and volatile agreement would immediately cause massive denials from both sides and the agreement would crash and burn. Not all that surprising but that was exactly what occurred at some point before said raid was launched when somehow the news of this agreement between Saudi Arabian rulers and Israel leaked to the press with in the aftermath it becoming obvious that the leak originated not with the Pentagon but with either the White House or the State Department, which it actually was is irrelevant as the real source of the leak was much closer if not actually to the top man in the White House. Months upon months later there was an arrangement for Israel to lease a pair of derelict unused military airfields in Azerbaijan which both lay a short distance north of Iran. The agreement might have been for these airbases to solely be used in cases of emergency such as a damaged or short on fuel fighter jet needed a landing point for repair or refueling as they would otherwise not be capable of making the entire return trip to Israel from their mission over Iran. Once again there was a leak that Azerbaijan was working with and assisting the Israelis on a potential attack on the Iranian nuclear sites. Needless to say but the complete rejection of there being such a plan was claimed and sworn to by both sides. Again the leak was traced back to the White House. Obviously Israel has a problem informing the United States about any plans to address the Iranian nuclear program in a manner separate from the Framework or any negotiated agreement but rather a more direct approach.

 

There is another problem with the United States when it would come for Israel to launch an assault on the Iranian nuclear sites or any other targets which might be included in such a scenario, and that is the fact that there are probably always two aircraft carriers and the airbase at Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean and within range of any Israeli attack route on Iran. These United States assets matter because it has also been rumored that the United States forces in the region have orders to intercept the Israelis and force them to return to their bases in Israel or face being shot out of the air. The actual leaked information stated that the United States pilots were to make it as difficult as possible but not to shoot at the Israeli aircraft first but to sweep them from the skies as soon as one fired at a United States aircraft or ship. These intercepts were to be taken over Iraqi airspace which is technically under United States security until the Iraqi Air Force is competent enough to do the job themselves. Needless to point out that the most direct route for Israeli aircraft would take them over Jordanian airspace followed by Iraq airspace and in reverse order upon their return to Israel. A further problem might exist within the Israeli political and military command and personnel where there are those who firmly believe that nothing Israeli has plans to do should be attempted until they receive affirmation of their plans by the United States. In many cases that person is also a member of the Prime Minister’s inner security Cabinet. One such was Defense Minister Ehud Barak who was feeding intelligence and all plans in detail directly to the White House and quite possibly directly to President Obama. Odds are this was done with the knowledge of Prime Minister Netanyahu and it is possible or even likely that it was Bibi Netanyahu who has ordered the exchange of information, especially on plans for attacks on the Iranian nuclear sites.

 

This leads to the current Israeli dilemma on what path to take and whether any or every plan should be shared with Israeli allies. Israeli leadership does need to take under consideration the obvious fact that President Obama has an apparent amorous desire to complete a deal with Iran and nurture said plan while building up the Iranian power granting them recognition and respect while protecting the Iranians from threats of a military address to destroy their nuclear program by preventing that option from being taken off the table and put into practice. It appears that President Obama and his closest advisors not only seek to empower Iran granting them hegemonic powers throughout the Middle East and even into South East Asia, Northern Africa and Eastern Europe, surpassing Israeli powers in similar areas, and completing this shakeup and restructuring of the Middle East, the President seems set on pressing Israel to take steps President Obama sees as the solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict even if those steps end up being performed unilaterally and result in Hamas or ISIS taking control over Judea and Samaria (West Bank) and causing a direct threat to the Israeli heartlands where close to three-quarters of her citizens reside and an even higher percentage of her infrastructure, industry, manufacturing, commercial and service industries exist. Pulling back to the borders envisioned by President Obama would return Israel to the borders which would permit any attack on Israel from Judea and Samaria to cut Israel completely in half isolating the Galilee from the Negev and destroying and occupying a quarter of Israel simply by advancing the approximately the diameter of the Washington D.C. Capital Beltway which is just a smidge over nine miles. That is the width of the central neck of Israel should she be forced back to the Green Line, the pre-June 1967 Six Day War. As modern artillery is capable of firing well beyond ten miles with great effect and accuracy, simply mounting artillery batteries almost anywhere in western Judea and the Arab forces could systematically destroy all of central Israel within a single twenty-four hour period. Israel would not need fear an attack by missiles from Iran when artillery from Iran would do just as well if not better and cost far less. This would be the biggest gift President Obama could grant Iran, even better than the ambiguous Framework and the agreement to follow. This was why it was assumed even in the United Nations that Israel would be allowed to retain the lands of Judea and Samaria and any refugees would be settled within the country where they were located and considered an even treatment as Israel absorbed many hundreds of thousands refugees from Middle Eastern and North African Arab and Muslim states by 1960 as these were Jews chased from their homes and towns where they had resided often for over fifteen-hundred-years, some even over two-thousand-years.

 

All those who have been claiming that all Israel has to worry about is surviving the remainder of President Obama’s term in the White House, this is far from true. Israel is facing so numerous threats of annihilation and from so many directions that it is almost impossible to get one’s arms around it. Even Egypt and Jordan, two nations which have made their peace with Israel and now reside with frosty borders and relations, have at least kept those borders peaceful. There are even those occasions where Israel will take steps to aid Jordan and Egypt and they, mostly Egypt, have been known to take measures which assist Israeli survival. The greatest example of such cooperation has been the enforcement by the Egyptians of their own embargo and strict rules enforced for passage through the Rafah Gate into the Sinai Peninsula from Gaza. This is not done by Egypt completely out of friendship as much as it is due to the assistance that Hamas provides the terrorist groups located in the Sinai Peninsula who attacks Egyptian soldiers, border guards, and even attack Egyptian resorts located in the Sinai Peninsula along the coast of the Red Sea. The truth is Iran is also a threat to Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and all of the other Arab Sunni nations with Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Egypt and so on. Currently the Iranian threat and control has spread to some very challenging areas where they threaten far more than Israel. Iran is openly supplying arms and also IRGC soldiers to Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad along with Hezballah terrorist forces from Lebanon allowing al-Assad to survive against ISIS and the other rebel groups. Iran has great influence over the Shia majority in Iraq and is assisting the fighting again ISIS in Iraq. This is not entirely altruistic as it is a definitive possibility, some might say inevitability, that ISIS has plans for engaging Iran directly at some point once it gets control over Iraq.

 

Furthermore, Iranian backed Houthis are moving directly across Yemen and have already swept the United States backed government from the capital and disbanded replacing themselves as the rulers of Yemen. Yemen is doubly important as it furthers the Iranian encirclement of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. Their reaching the southwest corner of Yemen gives Iran control of the Bab el Mandeb Strait (Arabic: باب المندب‎) which translates as “Gateway of Anguish”, or “Gateway of Tears” and is important because it connects through its narrow waterway the exit from the Red Sea, which includes all shipments from the Israeli port of Eilat and the Jordanian port of al-Aqabah and ships passing southward through the Suez Canal, into the Gulf of Aden and on to the Arabian Sea and the east coast of Africa or on to the Indian Ocean and all of Asia. This would be an additional maritime choke point which matches well with their ability to shut down the Straits of Hormuz which is the choke point for the Persian Gulf through to the Gulf of Oman and on to the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean with passing through the straits what is claimed to be at least one-third of the world’s oil. Should Iran ever close both of these points then international trade would be greatly hampered and Europe would basically have to take the old route around the Cape of Good Hope or across the Atlantic Ocean and through the Panama Canal and across the Pacific Ocean which would be longer but some might believe it provides safer waterways. Still, closing these two passages would still bring much of maritime trade to a screeching halt while greatly increasing shipping times and place a burden on retail outlets to raise their prices on many if not all imported goods.

 

Finally, the biggest threat of an nuclear armed Iran is the threats posed to Israel and other nations of a nuclear armed Saudi Arabia, a nuclear armed Egypt with the potential to have the Muslim Brotherhood return to power, a nuclear armed Turkey, Syria, Hezballah, al-Qaeda, nuclear armed UAE, Kuwait, Iraq and who knows who else as terror elements gain access to nuclear weapons supplied by their state sponsors such as Iran or Saudi Arabia. The spread of nuclear armed states spreading throughout the Muslim world might inspire and motivate other nations to begin their own nuclear armed program and they might receive assistance from other new nuclear powers. The fact is that a nuclear armed Iran would forever alter the balances of power everywhere. We very well might need to adjust to a world without any restraints on who can have nuclear weapons and it simply becomes anybody with the cash to finance their breakout point making it realistic for every nation who really desires such weapons. Of course if your neighbor decides to join the nations with nuclear weapons stockpiles and then another neighbor announced their advanced program and claims to have developed thermo-nuclear devices, hydrogen bombs, and has produced a number of those in their stockpile, how long before the nation, now surrounded by nuclear armed neighbors, makes the only logical decision they can for their future survival they begin their own nuclear weapons research and development. As we pointed out in our April 7, 2015, article titled Historic Lessons and Future Nuclear War where we traced some of the super weapons through the ages as man developed from clubs to thermonuclear devices which can level whole cities or destroy only the electronic infrastructure bring a nation to its knees, we realized that there has never been the development of a super weapon which was not used, sometimes these weapons made such a difference that it decided which trail the human genome traveled from that one crucial super weapon for that warfare. We also found that often the super weapon from the last war is the standard for weapons used in the next war and thus one can only deduce that there will be a future war where some form of nuclear weapon will be used on the battlefield which may easily lead to an exchange of nuclear weapons which might be misinterpreted as a launch and use their nuclear weapons against their enemies while they are still able and the spread continues from this one episode to a conflagration which would be immeasurable. All this might be the eventuality after Iran becomes a nuclear armed state and it spreads through the Arab and Muslim worlds and from there beyond spanning the globe. Perhaps holding such power under one’s control will temper their arrogances and put their pride and conceits in perspective and nation shall choose to no longer lift their sword against their neighbor as war might then draw too large a cost to even be imagined. But what about the terrorist entities of which there are a number who are supplied by Iran which include Hezballah and Hamas, both of which border Israel and have started conflicts using every weapon they could muster. What will be the result if these entities are given access to nuclear weapons which they could then use against Israeli cities? Additionally, Iran has been attempting to gain favor and supply Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas’s Palestinian Authority which occupy Judea, Samaria and have access to all of Jerusalem and control the Temple Mount through the use of civil disturbances and rioting. Should Fatah receive a nuclear device it would not be impossible to place it in a vehicle, likely a stolen vehicle from within Israel and sporting Israeli citizen plates granting it free travel with relative ease. Such a situation could result in such a device being set to detonate right outside the Knesset Parliament Building and possibly even timed to coincide with a second device being set-off in central Tel Aviv. Such an attack would leave Israeli little choice but to strike back and to do so with the ferocity of a wounded mother protecting her children as that would be exactly what Israel would be engaged in, protecting those Children of Israel who had survived despite having much of her heart torn from within her. Never Again also meant that we would never allow the Masada ending to be played out again and no longer would Israel sit still to be carved-up by her neighbors, Never Again!

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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