Beyond the Cusp

September 12, 2015

Obama and Abbas to Start Israel Concessions Drive

 

Now that President Obama has cowed Congressional Senators and a fair number of Representatives into not opposing the Iran deal which was already forced down the throat of all Americans from President Obama taking an end run around Congress by using the Security Council as his enforcer drone making any opposition by Congress a mute matter. Once President Obama had his Chapter Seven United Nations Security Council Resolution giving a huge “Amen” to the Iran deal and side deals making them ‘Kosher’ and imposed upon a largely sleeping and uncaring world, Congress, even if they stopped the deal presumably by overriding a Presidential veto, was powerless to prevent the Iran deal being enforced on the United States. Even if Congress were to impeach President Obama for going to the United Nations as a get around on Congress, the Chapter Seven Resolution would still be enforceable and even with a willing President in the White House, without another repealing vote by the Security Council, the Iran deal is the law of the land as all Chapter Seven Resolutions are enforceable on United Nations members as long as they remain in the United Nations and enforceable even on those who are not members by force of arms by the permanent members of the Security Council and whichever nations they can get to join them. This is one of the fears Israel faces which are the arguments for their remaining in the United Nations as that gives them some influence just for being a part of the discussion and might make some nations to think twice before condemning Israel.

 

With Mahmoud Abbas basically remaining silent while he has had a number of subordinates trot out the idea that the Palestinian Authority (PA) is about to announce at the United Nations Opening Session Ceremonies that they are disbanding the PA and rejecting the Oslo Accords as unproductive and simply going to announce that the nation of Palestine, thanks to gifts which keep on giving from the United Nations General Assembly and NGOs, is declaring themselves as an occupied nation and petitioning the world to assist them in forcing the occupier from their lands. This threat will be leveraged by President Obama in any meeting he can force between now and then, even if he has to phone Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu twice a day, and three times on Sabbath, either forcing a meeting or simply announcing that he has discussed how Israel would be best served by reinitiating the Peace Process and will be required to make a grand sacrifice in order to get the Palestinians to reenter negotiations as the Palestinian Arab leadership has lost all hope in negotiations. This has been the scene which has played out every off-election year in the United States and the result has been exactly identical under Prime Minister Netanyahu as it has under every other Prime Minister (all of which were Labor leftists except for Prime Minister Sharon who already had collapsed before pressures and disengaged from Gaza which ultimately led to rocket madness with Hamas taking those lands) since the 1993 Oslo Accords were signed. So, in the interest of history remembered possibly being history not repeated, let’s take a look at what these grand sacrifices have produced for Israel since 1993.

 

The most obvious change since 1993 was the formalizing of the treacherous concept that Israel could trade “Land for Peace” and that this concept was also the way to reach a final accord with the Palestinians Arabs. So every time there were new talks or rumblings of Arabs going to the United Nations, where the Arab League and Unaligned Nations hold a majority in the General Assembly, it has resulted in a minimum of one-hundred out of one-hundred-ninety-three votes against Israel and supporting Arab Palestinian causes, which is why Israel has been denounced by the General Assembly and has been so willing to take steps to appease this “Land for Peace” threat in order to presumably give cover for the United States in the Security Council to fight against any Chapter Seven Resolutions from forcing Israel into a corner or facing military force used by the permanent members by using their veto if required. This had been the latest additional Sword of Damocles hanging over Israel held by President Obama who has more than any President, even George H. W. Bush (Bush Sr.), threatening to withhold the Security Council Veto and allowing the full weight of the United Nations from striking at Israel and forcing them to defend their entire nation from an assault by the remainder of the world, including the United States and the other four permanent members of the Security Council (Russia, China, France, and Britain) from invading with whatever Arabs felt like getting in on the fun and presumed defeat of the ‘Zionist Entity’ by the world at large. So we are now entering the Obama-Abbas Threatening Zone where anything can be demanded and every potential sacrifice threateningly paraded as potential demands eventually weakening the will of the Israeli Prime Minister and the Knesset allowing for grand sacrifices to be extracted.

 

 

Obama and Abbas together again and plotting on what to hatch on Netanyahu who is necessarily wary

 

One has to wonder what an Israeli Prime Minister might be capable of doing in order to counter such a unified threat coming with all sides, even Israeli (quote) friends (unquote) urging that Israel make some grand sacrifice as it is for peace. Somehow they always seem to get Israel when it is for Peace. One will note that they seldom claim it is do this or face complete annihilation. No, they always couch it as for peace. Even the Israelis who fought to have Oslo Accords implemented promised peace. They scream and promise peace, peace, yet there is no peace. And why is there no peace if Israel has regularly backed further into an indefensible corner for peace has peace not developed? Well, because the Arab Palestinians do not desire peace, they desire and will only accept a dead corpse of Israel with six million plus dead Jews as the cherry on top. The Palestinians have refused every offer even one which had been proposed under what Arafat, remember their arch terror leader, Arafat had stipulated the Arabs would accept only to have Arafat stomp indignantly from the next morning’s talks in Paris when President Clinton stated that the Israelis had agreed to release almost ninety-five percent of Judea and Samaria (the West Bank), all of Gaza and even split Jerusalem in half allowing for the Eastern portion of Jerusalem to serve as the Palestinian Capital City just as Arafat had demanded the night before to President Clinton as acceptable. So, we have seen the truth of the hand the Arab Palestinians are demanding, even if Israel meets their demands they will walk away and instigate another intifada and blame it on Israel for not making peace. So, what is Israel to do, especially looking down the threats of an adversarial America President?

 

This is where Israel needs to look at past performances and what those brought. Even with George W. Bush (Bush Jr.) and Bill Clinton in the White House, two of the most pro-Israel Presidents if we are to believe history, and see what working with these brought. Under the assistance of President Clinton the Israelis were steered from the signing of Oslo Accords which defined Area A as Arab, Area C as Israeli and Area B as to be determined and divided as acceptable to each side, where now we have reached the point where Area A and Area B are now Arab, ninety percent of Area C is Arab including east Jerusalem and that is considered a starting point for more concessions and still is insufficient to make peace. One might look at that and believe that President Clinton was the Israelis greatest enemy yet in Israel he was seen as a misguided fool no worse than the Israeli Prime Ministers he worked with, or against as when he worked desperately through all channels to get one Israeli Prime Minister defeated in order to be the one who forged the peace and even after replacing Netanyahu with Ehud Barak, he could not force Arafat to make peace. Israel was not the problem here. Then under President Bush, Prime Minister Sharon gave away the entirety of Gaza so that the Arabs could prove they could live in peace besides Israel. All it proved was that the Arabs were not willing to live in peace next to Israel but such was still ignored and the United States basically claimed that if Israel were to now surrender all of Judea, Samaria and half of Jerusalem then there would be peace and an end to rockets falling on Israeli communities. Does anybody honestly believe this tripe?

 

Where all this is leading is obvious even to the most casual observer, yet all ignore the obvious and press forever onward. The problem is there are no casual observers. The United States leadership want to be the ones to have made peace no matter the cost, the Arabs want Israel destroyed no matter how long it takes, and the Israelis just want peace and to get on with their lives without the constant threat of war and terrorism. The problem is that there is no break in this viscous cycle which goes like this, the Arabs demand concessions of Israel to restart talks, the Americans force an Israeli sacrifice, the talks start, the Palestinians demand more and more concessions until everything breaks down, the Americans demand more and more until they realize they are demanding too much and they stop and the Arabs walk out or Israel meets some demand completely and the Arabs walk away or Israel finally says no and the Arabs scream foul and walk away demanding the world punish Israel and then the world punishes Israel, if only they would not do so with such zeal. The constants are the Arabs demanding more and the Arabs eventually walking away when the world refuses to completely destroy Israel for them. Eventually the world will tire of this stupid game and simply decide that it is not worth any more efforts on their behalf and demand that Israel surrenders. What, you’re surprised? Remember that Israel simply desires to live at peace, make wondrous discoveries and inventions in agriculture, medicine, physics, chemistry and every other field of human endeavor except one, violence against their fellow man while the Arabs are proficient in one thing above all else, and this is not a slam against the vast majority of Arabs who prefer to live their lives in peace and at peace with their fellow man, is threats and acts of violence. Eighty percent or more of the current wars on earth have as at least one of the sides as an Arab nation or Arab terrorism being the driving force. The greatest conflagrations currently is in Syria where Arabs and their allies have flocked from the world over to engage in a multifaceted war where there are at a minimum five groups engaged in mutual destruction including but not limited to, Bashir al-Assad and the remnants of the Syrian military, Hezballah, ISIS, al-Qaeda, Iran and Russia. Violence continues across Iraq, in Yemen, in the Sinai Peninsula, between the two sides in Sudan despite the presumed settling of that conflict with the establishing of South Sudan, in Nigeria, Mali, Cameroon and their neighbors falling within the violence by Boko Haram and one could continue on.

 

So, how will Israel extricate themselves from this viscous circle of destruction? The only answer is strength. We look at the one consistent item which should convince Israel that they must break free of this is that even those presumably acting in concert with Israel to produce peace only end up demanding more from Israel and delivering nothing ever in return except more demands. Israel must stand and scream out, “No more!” Israel must set what is in her best interest, even if taking all of Judea and Samaria and annexing them and finalizing the annexation of the Golan Heights, Judea and Samaria (West Bank) and all of Jerusalem and declare Jerusalem as it one and only Capital City and invite all nations to join in building an international zone where they will all build new embassies and a grand meeting place where all nations can come and participate in forging peace elsewhere in the world as Israel has always been and remains the nation that had sought peace even to their own detriment. The Arabs residing in Judea and Samaria should be given semiautonomous governance over their cities where they already hold such under the condition that all holy places as recognized by the Israeli government must be respected, remain open to all visitors and all who wish to pray at these sites can do so without any fears of violence. The Israeli security forces will see that such is the case and will act to prevent any act of violence by whatever means are required. The Arabs may become Israeli citizens with full rights and responsibilities through an established series of requirements beginning with their signing a loyalty oath with the understanding that any abrogation of this oath will result in their facing either a minimum ten years in prison or exile from Israel never to be permitted to return under threat of double the ten years in prison followed by exile. Any Arab caught in an act of terror will also face the same punishment as their loyalty oath will be judged to have been taken in bad faith and under the guise of deceit. The school systems will come under Israeli education department with the application of the same expectations and curriculum as any other Israeli academy. Islamic schools will be permitted and treated equally as are Yeshiva Jewish schools when it comes to curriculum and requirements. There will be some period of adjustment but with time and patient efforts and with proof of receiving equality before the law and equality and acceptance as time passes and wounds heal these lands and people will be accepted as full citizens with full and equal rights, some might even claim superior rights than they were afforded under the rule of the PA as the PA ceased having elections as soon as Abbas realized he could no longer control the outcome. Israel has no other manner to end the constant attempts at terrorism, rocket firing, stabbing, rock attacks and worse.

 

There is another reason which, unless one watches the media with great enthusiasm even including numerous Israeli sources, will pass unnoticed but the horrific effects will still be inflicted as the levels of violence and terrorist strikes will ramp up heading through the month and will be used by the Arabs and Americans as the reason that Israel must capitulate and make a grand concessions which will include but not be limited to any and all expectations the Arabs believed were theirs for the taking plus a complete new set of demands which they offer as the opening salvo in this year’s let’s see what the American fools will work with us to force Israelis to surrender in the name of the peace we will never make. Maybe this will be the year and the right leader in the White House to grant us final victory and defeat the Zionist Entity for us as we are unable of doing these ourselves. For this reason and as a stance taken for peace and the end of the farcical set of ruses which are passed off as the Oslo Accords and the path to peace, Israel must bring this circus to an end and take its own path to peace. When the world screams that Israel must return such of the lands they occupied after the Sex Day War, Israel must reply, “We have returned the vast majority of the lands we occupied. As far as Judea and Samaria, these we liberated from Jordanian occupation from the 1948-9 War of Annihilation which the Arabs gained these lands through their aggressions and held illegally. The Jordan River is our rightful and legal border and those Jordanian citizens who were moved into these lands are here illegally but we will grant them the same offers we offer the indigenous Arabs as Israeli is more than fair. As for what we will keep to assure our ability to defend our borders, we will keep the Golan Heights. Remember this above all else, we held the Sinai Peninsula and for some years the border of Egypt and Israel was the Red Sea and the Suez Canal, so do not even begin with Israel must surrender most of the occupied lands as we did so when we reached our peace with Egypt. This we do in the name of peace and if allowed to work through some difficulties we will have a peace that makes all satisfied and equality will reign within our borders for all our citizens and we will even grant better conditions for those who choose to remain as foreign residents within our borders as Israel is an open and equal society. But as Oslo Accords were used purely as a bludgeon, a cudgel to attempt to beat the life from Israel’s borders and crush the spirit of the Israeli people and to which we say, this weapon that used the name of peace in a blasphemous manner is no more and instead truth will be the weapon with which Israel will enforce a new peace, a workable peace while demanding no more and no less than was promised us through treaty and International Law, so be warned that this is the end and the rightfulness of this end. That is what Israel need do and anything less will result in an eventual war where too many will die needlessly as this option remains open and the only other option the Arabs have offered up is a great conflagration where either the Jews are mercilessly slaughtered or the world finally grants Israel her peace and secured borders as we now define such.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

August 7, 2015

Obama May Have His Deal but Who Will Inherit His War

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Thanks to the economic and other sanctions which have hobbled the Iranian economy to the point, about eighteen months ago, it resembled a dying man crawling on his belly in tattered pants and the shreds of his shirt, shoes scuffed to the point that their original color was indistinguishable and two vultures already discussing which would get which of the choicest remains, had Iran at the brink of civil revolt. That was when President Obama held back door negotiations where he released some of the most effective of the sanctions which brought the distant oasis to the parched lips of the Iranian economy saving them to make the better deal. It is that deal President Obama, the hero of the Iranians government, is claiming is the best deal and the only option outside of war. But is this claim of peace in our time really just peace for a while in our time? The comparisons between the Munich Accords of 1938 and now President Obama is desperately seeking the same adulation for this close relative to another situation of a nation spreading its tentacles and preparing for war and barely even concealing their arming and their aspirations which have been laid out in writing. The desires for world conquest and the elimination of the Jewish People was laid out step for step by Adolph Hitler in Mein Kampf and the Iranian Shiites (and also the Sunnis just to be fair and even; after all we would not want to take sides now, would we?) in the Quran and the Hadiths where the world is divided between ‘Dar al-Islam’ (Arabic: دار الإسلام‎) which translates to House of Islam and ‘Dar al-Harb’ (Arabic: دار الحرب) which translates to House of War. The followers of Islam are instructed to continue their struggle to spread their religion until it becomes the only religion practiced anywhere in the world. There are many Muslims residing in Western nations who refute any charges that Islam is to be spread ‘by the sword’ should more passive means prove unproductive and there remain some who adamantly refuse to accept Islam which is simply intolerable.

 

Then there is the Islamic State which has denuded entire cities and swaths of lands in which they have taken control of those who practiced any religion other than not only Islam but their very narrowly defined version of Sunni Islam. The marauders of the Islamic State may have been the Junior Varsity in the eyes of United States President Obama but are anything but the Junior Varsity when it comes to torture and coming up with ever more imaginative ways to ever more slowly murder their victims making sure that they suffered the most mental anguish, even if not the maximum pain, as they progressed from beheadings to burning alive to slowly being lowered in a steel cage into water to drown victims and other horrors and then posted their murderous ways using them as some form of sick recruiting tool. What is even more disturbing are the numbers of those who have rushed from across Europe, the Middle East, North Africa and the rest of the Western World to join the Islamic State. The only productive news concerning Iran is they oppose the Islamic State and desire to eliminate this horror from the world. But then one must ask themselves, is replacing the Islamic State horrors with Iranian, Syrian and Hezballah horrors really a step in the right direction or simply replacing one murderous and fearsome army turned government with another murderous government using its army.

 

These are the leaders of a nation of approximately seventy-eight-million-five-hundred-thousand largely Shia Muslims of which the vast majority are what are referred to as “Twelvers” with the remainder of the population being also largely Muslims following Sunni Islam. The remaining under one-percent of Iranians follows the following religions in order from largest to least; Bahá’í, Gnostic, Christian, Yarsanism, Zoroastrianism, Hinduism, and least but with a very nice Synagogue, the Yusef Abad synagogue in Tehran pictured below, Judaism. Interestingly, there are more Jews of Iranian heritage residing in the United States than remain in Iran which according to the 2011 Iranian census stated this threatened populations of Jews at eight-thousand-seven-hundred-fifty-six souls the majority spread between merely ten families, six of them related by marriage. There are those who inflate the numbers of Jews remaining in Iran to over one-hundred-thousand largely in an attempt to portray Iran as an accepting nation granting equal rights to non-Muslims despite the fact that the minorities walk quietly and taking care to be aware of their surroundings at all times and making sure to keep their heads bowed and their gaze fixates on the ground before them and to never under any circumstance stare any Shiite Muslim in the eyes and to always speak in hushed tones speaking in slow and respectful manners and subservient language never to sound challenging or to ever, ever appear as an equal lest one be reported to the police for such an affront and pay the price for challenging their superiors. There is a very good and solid description of life in Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution for Jews and other minorities given by Karmel Melamed, an award-winning, internationally published journalist and attorney based in Southern California who writes the Iranian American Jews blog. This article titled ”The Iranian-Jewish Tragedy in Iran” which gives the chilling view which the Western World needs to understand before they permit the fascist, supremacist dictatorial leadership to once again, in the brief history from 1900 to the present, to allow a cancer which believes they have a right to destroy the world in order to save the world. The history of Iran in that same time period just might give people some pause to realize the direction Iran has taken since 1900 and the path is chilling.

 

 

Yusef Abad Synagogue (Persian: Kenise e Yusef Ábád کنیسه یوسف آباد‎, Hebrew: בית הכנסת יוסף-אבד‎) in Tehran as originally appeared during the 1950s before its restoration. The person who had just completed returning a Torah to the ark will stand as a reference to the size of the main hall. The main hall of the Synagogue was built and completed in the early 1950s. She was a very ornate and majestic house of worship which will soon fall silent after enjoying hearing prayers recited for almost seventy years.

Yusef Abad Synagogue (Persian: Kenise e Yusef Ábád کنیسه یوسف آباد‎, Hebrew: בית הכנסת יוסף-אבד‎) in Tehran as originally appeared during the 1950s before its restoration. The person who had just completed returning a Torah to the ark will stand as a reference to the size of the main hall. The main hall of the Synagogue was built and completed in the early 1950s. She was a very ornate and majestic house of worship which will soon fall silent after enjoying hearing prayers recited for almost seventy years.

 

 

Yusef Abad Synagogue (Persian: Kenise e Yusef Ábád کنیسه یوسف آباد‎, Hebrew: בית הכנסת יוסף-אבד‎) in Tehran as it appeared after its restoration work. It was with the help of local community leaders headed by Avraham Yusian, the construction of the new facade was completed in October 1965. She was a very ornate and majestic house of worship which will soon fall silent after enjoying hearing prayers recited for almost seventy years. The brightened tiles and golden hue will unfortunately turn a pale shadow of itself as there will be no prayers to give her the joys she had exalted in over her years.

Yusef Abad Synagogue (Persian: Kenise e Yusef Ábád کنیسه یوسف آباد‎, Hebrew: בית הכנסת יוסף-אבד‎) in Tehran as it appeared after its restoration work. It was with the help of local community leaders headed by Avraham Yusian, the construction of the new facade was completed in October 1965. She was a very ornate and majestic house of worship which will soon fall silent after enjoying hearing prayers recited for almost seventy years. The brightened tiles and golden hue will unfortunately turn a pale shadow of itself as there will be no prayers to give her the joys she had exalted in over her years.

 

 

Iran did not exist in the year 1900 as all the way back then it had a name that most will recognize and for the Jews had a varied history where it went from savior to creeping to the edge of committing genocide against the Jewish People except for the bravery of one Jewess, Queen Esther. All the way back as recently as March 20, 1935 the nation was known as Persia. This name of Persia could be traced back to Cyrus the Great, the leader of Persia who conquered Babylonia and granted the Jews the right to return to their homelands and rebuild their holy Temple which many Jews chose to do while some of their brethren remained in Persia. Years later when Persia was ruled by King Ahasuerus (Xerxes I) the Grand Vizier, Haman the Agagite persuaded King Ahasuerus that the Jews were plotting against his rule and needed to be dealt with. This seems to be a repeating theme and almost always leads to someone coming up with the idea that murdering the Jews will make their nation greater, and the order was issued. The problem was that after the King created a vacancy after executing his wife for refusing his orders and generally insulting his authority for which he held a beauty contest, hopefully a contest which took into consideration more than beauty as that had worked so well with Vashti. Well, he chose Esther who the night before the order was to be carried out bravely entered the King’s court without having been invited, punishable by death, begged the King’s attention and broke the news that if his Grand Vizier Haman’s order was to be carried out they could start with her as she was also a Jew. Haman and his sons were executed on the very gallows they would have murdered the Jews of Persia. Haman, Hamas, I wonder, could there be a connection?

 

On March 21, 1935 Reza Shah Pahlavi officially renamed Persia changing the name to Iran. There are two very different theories for the change. One refers to numerous ancient references varying from the Sassanid, the Zoroastrianism, the Romans and other historical references mostly to deal with language. A more modern take takes the date and the rise of the Nazis to power in Germany and the theory of a master race, the Aryans, or the Persian word for the racial designation, Iran. The actual reason is likely was only honestly known to Reza Shah Pahlavi and he will not be giving us any hints. Another item while we are comparing modern day Iran and the Aryans from World War II as a potential enemy; the only war which Iran had fought directly was, to their credit, something which will seldom be found in these editorials in any source, was as a result of Iraqi initiated assaults as Saddam Hussein attempted to grab the Iranian oil fields. That war lasted near to a decade where some of the most horrific and destructive tactics were utilized by both sides. Despite the Iraqi military’s reputation as one of the largest and best trained and equipped in the Middle East outside Israel, Iran held them at bay and often made gains but eventually the war resembled a World War I trench warfare than world war highly mobile and technical war. The most remarked attack in this horrific war came when the Iranians needed to clear minefields and needed to do so with some degree of speed so a fairly brutish and head-on system was necessitated. The Iranians initially attempted to stampede mules and donkeys across the minefields but once the first animal struck a mine the others would scatter and run back the direction they had come from. This led to one of the most disturbing tactics where children were volunteered and upon their death their parents were financially compensated for their patriotic donation to the war efforts. The children were given plastic keys which they were told would unlock the door to heaven for them. In response to the condition of the returned remains led to the wrapping of the children in wet blankets so as to retain their parts when they hit a mine. Such fanaticism and willingness to sacrifice for the religious leadership was horrific and also showed a commitment almost beyond rational belief and which shows the length the Iranians might resort to against an enemy.

 

The question remains as to whether President Obama is saving the world from a war with Iran with his deal or allowing Iran to build up their military and potentially arm themselves with an arsenal of nuclear weapons, potentially thermonuclear warheads and the ICBMs with which to deliver them anywhere on the globe. They may even develop ICBM missiles capable of irregular flight characteristics making anti-missile systems near useless in preventing their striking their targets. Additionally, the Iranians could readily develop cruise missiles and master the ability to launch them from freighter container ships as they have done with some of their fifteen-hundred to two-thousand mile largely unguided rockets, or possibly a poorly guided missile. Of course, if the rocket has a nuclear warhead, exactly how accurate does one need to be? I mean, as long as you strike within a few miles from the intended region and, just as with hand grenades and horseshoes, close counts. What is most worrying is how the situation came to this juncture with the sanctions being weakened by President Obama allowing Iran to continue to limp along while the President and the State Department Team, which included a number of the same people who were responsible for the agreement with North Korea which led directly to their becoming nuclear armed nation, and Secretary of State Kerry appeared to trip over each other seeing who could surrender point after point and succumb to Iranian demands the fastest. The sign that Iran is about to use a fair amount of funds which will represent but a drop in the bucket of the one-hundred-fifty-billion-dollars being unfrozen and gifted to the Mullahs and the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei as they have already made arrangement to purchase Russian S-300 anti-aircraft-and-missile systems, one-hundred-fifty Chinese Chengdu J-10 sophisticated jet fighters with Israeli avionics and finally, two-hundred-fifty highly-advanced Russian Sukhoi-Su-30MK1 heavy-fighter-bombers as well as one-hundred IL78 MKI tanker aircraft; or simply put, Iran is purchasing an entire air force and air defense systems taking them from almost no air power worth mentioning to air superiority by comparison and potentially air superiority over the Kurds, Islamic State, and almost every nation in Northern Africa and many European nations as well. As the nations which Iran is most likely to face if they decide to expand their borders and acquire the airfields and staging areas of southern Iraq, as it appears that President Obama is fully supporting the IRGC forces and eventually other Iranian military forces to operate from within Iraq and Syria against the Islamic State with the United States providing air strikes and air support operations one has to wonder how President Obama might react should Iran decide to turn their forces southward and strike across the Kuwaiti and Saudi Arabian oil fields in response to what they could claim was mistreatment of Shiite Muslims by the two nations after incidents were instigated.

 

The other front we can expect to come from Iran is for their expanding the influence of Shia Islam across formerly Sunni strongholds spreading their control over Madrassas potentially replacing Wahhabi Madrassas after they have swarmed across the oil fields, complete their control through the Houthis of Yemen and then using a pincher attack from the north and the south in order to capture Mecca and Medina and thus controlling the heart of Islam. This would also complete Iranian control of the Red Sea and the Bab El-Mandab Strait. From that jumping off point it would not be difficult for Iran to then establish a beachhead from which to operate starting in Somalia and spreading from there through Eretria and Djibouti in order to spread through the Sudan and from Iraq and Saudi Arabia into the Sinai thus being on Egypt’s southern and eastern borders. Should Iran also desire to place a substantial force injected into Syria to assist Bashir al-Assad retaking the lands he has lost and using Hezballah to cement their control over Lebanon then Iran could have a northern and southern fronts on Israel and even more troubling should they also gain access to Gaza supplanting Hamas and Islamic Jihad in controlling the area. We can also expect that Iran will fortify their ground forces with purchases of armor most likely light armor to facilitate fast swarm style attacks overwhelming any defense an opponent would be likely to have at any front relying on lighter resistance and by overwhelming the initial positions and driving deeper into any nation they intended to strike thus appearing unstoppable and gaining a perceived position of strength which would also give the Islamic State considerable challenge especially when one considers that Iran will have a very well-armed air force, something completely missing in the Islamic State’s arsenal of abilities. The likelihood that President Obama would take any position opposing any Iranian moves in the entirety of the MENA (Middle East and North Africa) as such would be viewed as Iran simply doing exactly what President Obama desired, Iran stabilizing the entirety of the Islamic world, and what better way of being the hegemonic power than to also control all of the valuable lands and suppressing every potential adversary.

 

It would not be a complete surprise if should Iran manage to take control in Egypt that the Muslim Brotherhood might ‘see the writing on the wall,’ so to speak, and decide they had been in error about the lineage and correct successors of Muhammad and turn to back a Shia Islam. The truth is that there will either be a war with Iran or Iran will bring the war to each and every corner of the world one site at a time. The only question is at what point will their expansions be one bite too many and at what disadvantage will the world be in when facing the Iranian threat. History will point to the past decade and a half as the period when Iran could have been collared with minor losses and as being an opportunity squandered placing the world at risk. Once again, it appears the greatest threat building in the world is being left to Israel to stop. Let’s hope that Israel gets the necessary support of those others facing the same dangers or be willing to take on the task themselves. This is one time we can know that the United States has nobody’s back or if they do, then it is the worst of all possible scenarios placing Washington solidly behind Iran as President Obama had tilted his entire time in office, even with his efforts to place the Muslim Brotherhood ruling Egypt or turning a blind eye to Erdogan suppressing Turkey turning it into a Sharia state and potentially joining with Iran. At the very least, a combining of the regions and its people into an alliance of Israel, the Kurds, the Druze and the various Christian strongholds be brought together and aided to eliminate the Islamic State, thus putting Iran on notice that they should carefully consider their next moves as they will make all the difference in the world. As a result of removing the Islamic State, regions of Syria and northern Iraq will now be known as a state for the Kurds in the area originally promised the Kurds for Kurdistan at the end of World War I but not fulfilled due to the Mosul oil fields and politics as usual. The Druze will likely be granted some degree of autonomy within those areas in Syria where they reside and the refugees should attempt to put their lives and country back together and learn to live with a multi-ethnic nation. Further, as Hezballah has shown so much concern for Syria perhaps they can live there and maybe the Bekaa Valley but the rest of Lebanon is to be a Christian refuge free and resolute to act with favor on the Christians of the entire area and make a nation from the ruins left by Hezballah. Such a solution would be so nice and clean which is why it is unlikely to come into fruition. As Winston Churchill told the British Parliament “You were given the choice between war and dishonor. You chose dishonor, and you will have war.” and additionally from his writings from “The Gathering Storm,” “If you will not fight for the right when you can easily win without bloodshed; if you will not fight when your victory will be sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds are against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than live as slaves.” May some heed the warnings that many in the leadership positions in Israel be joined by those in Europe, in France, in Germany, in Great Britain, the Czech Republic, Poland, Romania and even Greece raise their voices and call for those who cherish the G0d of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob not succumb to the forces of those of Abraham, Ishmael and Mohammad, Amen.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 24, 2015

Iran Desires Some Things Even the Saudis Cannot Buy

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Saudi Arabia is used to facing problems for where the determining factor is oil or money. The current crisis is not one of that ilk. It is not one that can be done completely just by controlling the price of oil as doing that might upset Russia, the Saudi’s recent new best friend after the United States proved unreliable and apparently had joined the Iranians whose immediate plan is to take the Saudi oil fields thus neutering the Saudi influence and taking away their only real weapon. But the apparent newest friend of the United States has far more than taking merely oil, they want it all and the Saudis had best know about the other half of the Iranian plans, the half where they take the most valuable of the Saudi influences. The oil is only money and that can be taken back with force even if doing so heavily damages the fields as that too can be easily repaired and the Iranians do not wish to become merely the all but sole power over OPEC and thus be able to push the price of oil up or down according to their whims. But the oil fields, as such, are not even the primary goal because the Iranians have as their primary appetite which is to control Islam, something they find to be the more appealing and possessing a far more important goal requiring their attentions and that is to have the holy cities starting with Mecca and Medina. Some here believe that their backing of the Houthis to take control of Yemen is less about controlling the Bab el Mandeb Straights and more about providing them with a more direct route in reaching Mecca and Medina coming from the south which is often the least guarded area of Saudi Arabia and once the Iranians get past those tasked with guarding the southern borders it would become a three party race to control the holy cities, two being the Iranians closing from Yemen in the south and from Iraq in the north while the Saudi forces would need to be called from their concentration on the oil fields and transported the width of the country to join the fight. This lends to my answering those who have asked about what made me believe that World War III was on the horizon and this is my reply and explanation.

 

Once Iran controls the oil fields and both Mecca and Medina, and thus adding to the Shiite holy sites in Iran and in Iraq where their efforts will be directed in defending those near Islamic State borders or already swallowed by the Islamic State thus requiring liberation they can move to their next challenge. With their control over Mecca and Medina added to Damascus, Najaf, in Iraq with Qom in Iran they can then fortify any other Shiite holy places in Iraq from the ravages of the Islamic State and work towards returning Damascus and all of Syria which at the moment appears more like a pressing and difficult problem. Should the situation turn for the worst, as it appears that the Syrian and Hezballah forces are losing badly in Syria, Iran will need to interject some serious forces to reacquire all of Syria thus rejoining these lands with Iraq and thus attaining a direct land route for resupply. This will require the removal of Islamic State from their holdings and that may prove to be a most difficult task. None of these tasks are dependent on the Iranian production of nuclear weapons as those weapons can only be utilized in places which possess no natural or religiously important sites as such sites becoming uninhabitable due to radiation would defeat gaining their control. Taking out the Islamic State resources in open areas of lesser importance would be the perfect locations for tactical nuclear intervention providing breaking the treaty just negotiated would not prove advantageous as it would give the next President of the United States the perfect excuse to interfere with Iranian immediate plans to take control of the most prized and sensitive locations in all of Islam.

 

Fortunately for Israel and the United States these goals are more likely the primary goals for Iran as their gaining preeminence in the Muslim world and the display of Shia Islam as ascending and Sunni Islam as the weak and decrepit old and stale form of Islam would serve them well in converting the majority of Sunni adherents to Shiite doctrines. The fact that once the Iranians had defeated Saudi Arabia or at least gained the vital parts of the oil fields of the Gulf States and Saudi Arabia along with Mecca and Medina they could then set to establishing Madrassa throughout the Islamic and Western worlds replacing the Wahhabi schools and other centers with Shia schools and centers and will go a long way towards this goal. There are two other obstacles which Iran will need to overcome, Turkey and Egypt, both of which are well armed and have well trained militaries and will each pose their own necessary problems for the Iranians to address. Many might claim that the Kurds would also pose a problem but oddly enough, there are scenarios in which they could become allies if their ends were also considered. Should the Iranians prove to be the chess players they were at the P5+1 nuclear talks, not that President Obama desired to present any bit the real defender of the realm and actually desired to provide Iran with a perfectly clean route to nuclear weapons even to go so far as to provide United States assistance in designing the ultimate in centrifuges and potentially the actual plans, methods and procurement of equipment for the entire production of thermonuclear warheads and setting up multiple sites dispersed around Iran in German designed and build bunkers for their continued safety and Secretary Kerry as the clown at the talks being advised and encouraged all the while to simply give in at any sign of resistance and to make the demands in such a plaintive, diminutive and weak tone as to invite refusals, what could possibly go wrong as long as the American people were never aroused the plan would work, and it functioned like clockwork they will parley these gifts into further gains.

 

So, once Iran has cemented their control over the Arabian Peninsula, and the Shiite crescent through Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, the next two nuts to crack are Turkey and Egypt. Turkey can be defeated quickest and with minimal efforts providing they decide not to simply bow to Iranian hegemony and take the refusal to their retaining independence and instead becoming a semiautonomous district subject to the whims and necessities of Tehran, then Turkey will have been neutered and the Kurds circumvented and thus left alone for the time being as their threat is minimal as all they desire, much like Israel, is their little corner of the world and they will be content ad happy. Unfortunately for the people of Turkey, I do not see Erdogan capitulating and to subside his rule to Tehran which would make him an enemy. The best tactic for invading Turkey would be to seek the aid of the Kurds under the promise of granting them the eastern quarter of Turkey and the lands they already control even including Mosul as an autonomous region loyal to Iran. As long as the Iranians remain loyal to their promises the Kurds would do similarly. This would leave Egypt as the sole roadblock to hegemonic establishment of the Caliphate as the rest of North Africa would readily fall to Iran. There is no easy way to take Egypt but she could be weakened severely just by the loss of the Sinai Peninsula and grabbing control of the two ends of the Suez Canal thus taking from Egypt a major revenue source. Probably the best manner of taking Egypt is from within and by establishing Shia Islam as dominant and thus having them desire to join the strong and growing in power Iranians who are the true leaders of Islam and the emerging Caliphate.

 

After Egypt the goal changes immensely and the impossible must be considered, well, the impossible from the erudite scholars in the West, nobody told the Iranian or the Arab worlds that such was considered beyond acceptable, the seeking to conquer the entire world and willing to do whatever it takes and destroy half the world simply to rule the remainder. The United States has always practiced capture and release policy starting in the twentieth century and this molded their concept that any one nation conquering the world was out of the question. Europe, as we have seen, would be happy to unite Europe and have it ruled by a council of the nations and somehow find some formula that equalized Germany and Greece and the two completely foreign to each other lifestyles. Europe, in its self-imposed demilitarized European theater would pose little opposition should their Islamic populations approach thirty percent and decide that Europe should be required to join the Caliphate as the real and unadulterated authoritative force in the world. It is entirely possible that should there be rioting and mayhem with hundreds if not thousands murdered in the uprising that the European Union would desire quiet to such an extent as to capitulate and then the nations would call for a meeting of NATO and it is quite possible that most of NATO would claim their desire to join the Caliphate and desire all of NATO to simply recognize that this was the future of the world. The United States and possibly some of the eastern European nations would oppose such and NATO would effectively be dissolved allowing the majority of NATO nations and European Union nations would just surrender to Islam without a fight, the preferred method by the rulers of the Caliphate.

 

 

Could this be an Iranian Caliphate resulting from the concessions all are making in the here and now and their hungers being satiated by a weakened and war weary Western World, especially Europe and leftists in America?

Could this be an Iranian Caliphate resulting from the concessions all are making in the here and now and their hungers being satiated by a weakened and war weary Western World, especially Europe and leftists in America?

 

 

At some point the remaining European powers, probably Poland and England and a few of the former Warsaw Pact nations resisting and uniting with the United States, and oddly enough, with China and Russia all unite in order to fight to prevent what they finally recognized was an actual intent to rule the entire globe. The unthinkable would finally begin to be realized that nobody had informed the Iranians that conquest of the world was an undesirable goal and totally unacceptable by what was formerly the civilized Western World. The problem is that only the Western World had ever adopted that concept. Unimaginable as it would be to think so, but even Kim Jong Un probably envisioned a world being ruled by him or one of his progeny. The remaining powers somehow included Israel, which had lost Tel Aviv to the Iranian hope that one bomb would end Israel. Instead that one bomb just steeled their steadfastness and lighted the resolve of one third of American Jewry who made Aliyah bringing with them their wealth, all under an emergency plan by Israel’s government calling for all Jews to male Aliyah immediately. This was stated to be the rallying for the safety of Israel and Jerusalem. This swelled the Jewish population even after the loss of almost two-million souls when Tel Aviv was struck; the Israeli Jewish population reached an unthinkable eleven-million Jews. This in-swelling of the Jews from around the world was seen by many younger Arab Islamists as a sign for them to move across the Jordan River and join with the Caliphate which had absorbed Jordan in a three day blitz. The Jordanian King was able to get his family inside Israel along with many of the ruling elites who desired the relative safety of Israel than to face the often unpredictable dictates of the Shia conquerors. Israel offered safety and provided an escape to the United States where they all took up residence in the Napa Valley and spent their days sipping wine on the various tours of the vineyards.

 

The alliance of Britain, Poland, Romania, Czechoslovakia, Russia, China, a number of other smaller former Soviet satellites and miraculously, Israel joined forces to end the rise of the Caliphate once and for all. It is inevitable given the divisions in this world which have irreconcilable differences and completely opposing philosophic views and precepts, the clash between the two once the weaker, Islam, could be united against the currently still stronger United States and the British commonwealth nations which includes Canada, Australia, the British Isles, Ireland (though they would deny it till the end), United States, India, New Zealand, and a few I probably missed, would band together in a response to any threat against a single state, especially if that threat was aimed at London and Ten Downing Street and Buckingham Palace as the world knows, there are but five Queens in this world and there are near countless versions of four and one stands apart. They are the Queen of Hearts, Queen of Clubs, Queen of Spades, and Queen of Diamonds and above them all is the Queen of England. That will be the next and hopefully final world war though I have my doubts about last. Let us pray that the deal struck with Iran does not make that final World War the one told of by Albert Einstein in the answer he presumably gave when asked what weapons World War III would be fought with and he replied “I do not know with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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