Beyond the Cusp

December 2, 2014

Existential Crisis Most Likely to Bring New Elections

Filed under: Abdullah Abdullah,Absolutism,Abu Mazzen,Act of War,Administration,Al-Aksa Martyrs Brigade,al-Aqsa Mosque,al-Aqsa Mosque,Amalekites,Appeasement,Appointment,Arab World,Arabs,Ariel Atias,Aryeh Deri,Avigdor Lieberman,Balanced Budget,Ballot Access,Barbarian Forces,Bashir al-Assad,Battle of Khaybar,Blood Libel,Borders,Britain,British Mandate,Budget,Cabinet,Cabinet,Caliphate,Chancellor Merkel,Civilization,Class Warfare,Coalition,Colonial Possession,Corruption,Count Ballots,Courts,Crusades,Danny Danon,Debt,Divided Jerusalem,Economy,Employment,Equal Responsibility,Equal Rights,Equal Treatment,Equality,Estonia,Eugenics,Europe,European Governments,European Union,Executive Order,Failed State,Fatah,Fatah Charter,Fayyad,Federal Reserve,Financial Crisis,Fiscal Cliff,Foreign Trade,Gaza,Germany,Golan Heights,Government,Government Control,Government Shutdown,Government Worker,Grand Mufti of Jerusalem Hussani,Green Businesses,Green Line,Haaretz,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hate,Hatnua,Health Care,Herzog,Hevron,Hezballah,History,Holy Sites,Hunger Strike,IDF,Inquisition,Internal Pressures,Internationalist,Intifada,Iron Dome,ISIS,Islamic Jihad,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Israeli Media,Jerusalem,Jerusalem Day,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jordan River,Joseph’s Tomb,Judea,Judean Hills,Justice Minister,Kever Yosef,Knesset,Labor Party,Land for Peace,League of Nations,Lebanon,Leftist Pressures,Likud,Mahmoud Abbas,Mainstream Media,Meaning of Peace,Media,Mediterranean Sea,Mercaz Harav Yeshiva,Meretz,Middle East,Middle East Media Research Institute,Ministers,Ministership,Moshe Feiglin,Moshe Yaalon,Mount of Olives Cemetary,Muhammad Abu Shahala,Muslims,Nablus,Naftali Bennett,Nahariya,Nasrallah,Nationalist,Negev Desert,Netanyahu,New York Times,Old City,One State Solution,Oslo Accords,Palestinian Authority,Parliament,Parliamentary Government,Partition Plan,Peace Process,PLO,PLO Charter,Pogroms,Politicized Findings,Post-Zionist,Power,President for Life,Price Tag Crimes,Prime Minister,Prime Minister,Prisoner Release,Promised Land,Protect Citizenry,Protective Edge,Public Service,Rabbi Yosef,Ramallah,Recognize Israel,Red Lines,Refugee Camp,Refugees,Religious Jews,Response,Response to Muslim Takeover,Response to Terrorism,Right of Return,Rock Throwing,Rocket Attacks,Roman Empire,Rome,Ron Prosser,Run-Off Elections,Saeb Erekat,Samaria,San Remo Conference,Sanctions (BDS),Security,Seige of Vienna,Senate Majority Leader,Senate Minority Leader,Separation Barrier,Settlements,Shas,Shechem,Shelly Yachimovich,Siege of Vienna,Single Payer Plan,Speaker of the House,State Legislature,Statehood,Support Israel,Syria,Tel Aviv,Temple Mount,Terror,Terrorist Release,Third Intifada,Threat of War,Tribe,Tzipi Livni,United Nations,United States,Uri Ariel,Validate Elections,Vote of No Confidence,Waqf,West Bank,World Opinion,World Pressures,Yair Lapid,Yasser Arafat,Yesh Atid Party,Yisrael Beiteinu,Yuli Edelstein,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 3:40 AM
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Prime Minister Netanyahu and Prime Minister in his own mind Yair Lapid had their fateful meeting where the real Prime Minister basically laid out what would be required from Yair Lapid and his party members in order to continue the current coalition. One of the problems which have struck the coalition has been the idea by the other party leaders that they should be the Prime Minister and run the government. Yair Lapid was rumored to even have attempted to patch together his own coalition and exercise a coup of sorts and take over the government through a deal with opposition parties thus forcing a new government without having new elections. Then we have the twisted dreams of Tzipi Livni who believes that she is fated to be Prime Minister because she honestly feels she has been robbed of her opportunity to lead the nation and will likely continue to pursue this phantom reality for the rest of her political life. There is the expected leader and head of the opposition parties Yitzhak Herzog, the leader of the Labor Party, has already claimed his rightful position as Prime Minister in waiting convinced that new elections will serve as the cleansing of the government of Prime Minister Netanyahu and instead bring a liberal wave sweeping Herzog into the Prime Minister slot. He was quoted speaking of the inevitable results of new elections stating, “The Labor party will lead the bloc that will win the election and give hope and a new reality for the citizens of Israel.” Apparently these Prime Ministerial candidates holding these delusional beliefs have either not read any of the polling done or they believe, as Yitzhak Herzog stated just the other day, that the polls are meaningless as they have sampled those they know and all of the people in their circle agree that new elections will place them at the head of the next government. If I were to ask those closest to me if I would win the coming elections and get to form the next coalition government I am sure that at least one or two would play along and assure me that I was not delusional, but they would also realize I was joking. Unfortunately for Israel, these Prime Minister wannabes are not joking and believe their own propaganda that they are the next chosen one.

 

This crisis was brought to a head when the proposed Jewish State Law which was intended to restate and reaffirm that Israel is the home of the Jewish People as well as a democracy where every citizen is guaranteed their respective rights as citizens. To any casual observer this law would be a no brainer but instead it became the initial protest vote where both Yair Lapid and Tzipi Livni threatened their voting against the Jewish State Law should it be brought to the Knesset for a vote. This led to rewording the bill in attempts to make it palatable to the few who insisted on remaining unappeasable. The reality is that both party leaders were actually more upset that the governing coalition refused to tow their line and follow their agendas and instead were following the agenda put forth by the Prime Minister and originally voted for as part and parcel of joining the coalition upon its formation. So, it now appears that Israel is about to go into another election with all the usual posturing and backstabbing starting with each party holding their disparate meetings or votes or some combination thereof in order to present their list of proposed Knesset Ministers for well past their polled expectations to receive once the election results are finalized. The expectations from current polling, something that is almost meaningless as elections have historically brought surprises and twists beyond belief, has Likud remaining the largest block of Ministerial positions and thus most likely to be chosen to form the next coalition. There are indications that the next largest party might be Jewish Home which will be a surprise to the leftist parties who are expecting the Israeli voters to cast off both Likud and Jewish Home in favor of Labor, Meretz and Yesh Atid. The polling has also indicated that Lapid’s Yesh Atid Party will only manage to win half the number of seats in the Knesset than they did in their initial and surprising success in their inaugural presentation before the voting public in the last election. These polls also depicted Tzipi Livni’s HaTnuah Party as barely making a minimal entry number of seats if even breaking the threshold required to be represented in the Knesset, let alone receive the nod to form the next government. The one hope all of those vying to be the next Prime Minister can invest their aspirations upon is that the least likely thing which was unexpected by all the pollsters, party leaders, experts and prognosticators and initially dismissed as insignificant can still resonate with the Israeli public while remaining below the radar and surging forth on election day to produce the unexpected results in the next elections completely throwing all the news outlets an unseen curve which they will be at a loss to explain. The elections may prove once again that there is no such thing as a sure bet when the voting public gets to make the decisions.

 

Of course new elections are not yet guaranteed as it will take a vote in the Knesset to dissolve the parliament and hold elections and there is the possibility that Yair Lapid will return to the fold and swallow his pride for the good of the coalition and by such an action garner some new supporters which always is a desired result for any politician. Lapid was given five acts he must agree to if he desires to avoid new elections. These were to stop attacking the coalition and especially to end his criticisms of the building plans in Jerusalem, Judea and Samaria and the Israeli relations with the United States. Next he was to transfer the six billion shekels to the defense budget as promised for their development of Iron Dome systems and armored personnel carriers. Third was to release the funding for the IDF relocation to the new Negev as was agreed upon by coalition agreements, something Lapid was blocking going so far as to have frozen this funding taking what he referred to as a principled stand. Fourth was for him to support the final version of the Jewish State Law. Finally he would be required to surrender and shelve the zero percent VAT relief bill he had been pushing for very determinedly. This final demand is expected to be the last straw and the one Lapid will refuse to meet thus likely forcing new elections.

 

One reading the polls would expect that Lapid would find it easier to remain in the current coalition where his Yesh Atid Party enjoys nineteen seats in the Knesset, a far cry better than the nine seats which many polls have indicated he would receive from new elections. The guessing here believes that Yesh Atid would probably suffer an even bigger embarrassment and only manage six or maybe seven seats and be on its way to extinction unless Yair Lapid could find a path back to the promises and apparent ideals he initially presented as the guiding essentials set forth in the last election. Those who suspected that much of the Zionist and nationalist line that Minister Lapid had professed was more ruse than ideological foundation as it was presented. These suspicions proved to be valid as once in the government Yair Lapid appeared to inexorably veer to the left and discard much of his nationalist agenda and instead attempt to inject his liberal slant into policy even at the expense of manipulating the budget which he had promised certain arrangements and allocations which he in the end did not deliver on. And this may only be the tip of the iceberg of potential changes which might be produced by holding new elections. The largest changes are always the ways in which the factions and parties arrange their own coalitions’ makeup. The most evident breakup has already taken place in which the one-time marriage of Likud with Yisrael Beiteinu which will also mean that Avigdor Lieberman will be leading his own party rather than being second on the combined ticket with Bibi Netanyahu taking the top slot. Netanyahu is probably expected by most to continue to take the top slot on any Likud ticket but that may not be as guaranteed as one might believe. There will be a credible challenge to Netanyahu in the voting for the Likud ticket as Danny Danon is expected to give Netanyahu a challenge from the right and even more nationalistic Zionist side of the party. We could potentially see a Likud ticket with a new face at the helm which may signal a changing of the guard within Likud even should Danny Danon fall short in his challenge. Danon is definitely one of the future leaders in Likud and the time is rapidly approaching for these new leaders to step forth. Other than the breakup of Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu, there may be other alterations to more parties and combinations than could be readily covered in this article and are best left for after the parties have all filed and made public their intents. Then there will be the leadership challenges in parties other than Likud. We have to wait and see if the somewhat controversial leader of Jewish Home, Naftali Bennett, remains the top man on their ticket and whether they will continue with their current makeup or if some factions might go it on their own. Then there may be a contest for the leadership position of the Haredi parties, largely concerning in Shas and whether the more liberal and left leaning Arye Deri remains in the number one slot or if Eli Yishai or Ariel Atias will make a successful challenge from the more nationalist and right leaning side of the party. With the passing of Rabbi Ovadia Yosef there can now be a true contest for the leadership of the Shas Party. Labor just recently had a change in leadership with Yitzhak Herzog taking the top spot replacing Shelly Yachimovitch. After all is said and done the next government may very well have a similar outward appearance to the current coalition but within there will be some changes, just how many and how far this difference proves to be remains to be seen. If Likud has a new person topping their ticket, such a change could excite the electorate or perhaps the shock of Bibi Netanyahu being replaced will be too much for the Israeli public. Then there are some polls which have shown Jewish Home Party actually replacing Likud as the leader in the Knesset and thus very likely making their first name on their Knesset list the next Prime Minister. It still remains to be seen if that name will continue to be Naftali Bennett. And then again, there is still hope for yours truly as, after all, those I have talked to still hold out hope for me to be picked to form the next government, and why not? Talk about strange happenings, that would take the cake.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

August 4, 2013

Why the Secrecy Mr. Secretary?

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,1967 War,Absolutism,Administration,Aliyah,Allah,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appeasement,Arabs,Blood Libel,Borders,Building Freeze,Building Freeze,Civilization,Condemning Israel,Consequences,Defend Israel,Defend Palestinians,Dhimmi,Disengagement,Divided Jerusalem,Domestic NGOs,Europe,European Governments,European Union,Executive Order,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Government,Green Line,Hamas,Hate,Hezballah,History,Holy Sites,International Politics,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Jerusalem,Jewish,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,Jihad,John Kerry,Jordan River,Jordan Valley,Joseph’s Tomb,Judea,Judean Hills,Kever Yosef,Kotel,Land for Peace,Lebanon,Mahmoud Abbas,Martin Indyk,Media,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Mount of Olives Cemetary,Muhammad Abu Shahala,Muslims,Netanyahu,Old City,Oslo Accords,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Peace Process,PLO,Politics,Pre-Conditions,President Obama,Prime Minister,Prisoners,Promised Land,Refugee Camp,Refugees,Religion,Response to Terrorism,Rocket Attacks,Saeb Erekat,Samaria,Secretary of State,State Department,Statehood,Suicide Bomber,Support Israel,Taqiyya,Taqiyya,Tel Aviv,Temple Mount,Temple Mount,Terror,Terrorist Release,Third Intifada,Tomb of Rachel,Tomb of the Patriarchs,Two State Solution,United States,United States Pressure,West Bank,Western Wall,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 4:57 AM
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United States Secretary of State Kerry has emphasized twice that the peace negotiations between the Israelis and the Palestinians will be held in complete secrecy from the Press and that both sides have been instructed not to release any information concerning any progress, problems, concessions, agreements, or probably even what the menu was for lunch. The clamping of such secrecy can only lead one to surmise that the negotiations are going to be controversial and that there will be positions resulting that would prove provocative and very possibly disheartening. Since Secretary Kerry has also pointed out that any information which may become public will not have any validity unless it comes from Secretary Kerry himself, and he added that he will not be speaking about the talks very much if at all, so anything that is stated by any media will be purely conjecture. Well, I almost feel like sending Secretary Kerry a thank you note for his kindness for putting the rest of the media with yours truly on a level and equal playing field. With such a challenge, how could one not make predictions and estimations of what will be the final outcome. Let the guessing games begin.

 

Well, my first supposition is that while Palestinian President and Chairman of the Palestinian Authority and the leader of the Fatah faction of the PLO which also includes the al-Aksa Martyrs Brigades terrorist wing Mahmoud Abbas may have been forced to declare he will forgo requiring the entire litany of preconditions of the Israelis before allowing negotiations to proceed, Palestinian Chief negotiator Saeb Erekat has made no such promise and will begin to threaten to refuse to return to the negotiations unless Israel meets the very same preconditions. Rumors have already been spreading on Saturday night when this article was written that he has already demanded that Israel once again implement a complete building freeze. Maybe you remember the building freeze was the brilliant suggestion from none other than United States President Obama at the beginning of his first term when he boldly announced he had the answer to the Israeli-Palestinian deadlocked peace process. President Obama had the impression that Israel was the impediment in the peace process and if Israel were to be leaned upon and forced to negotiate from a weak and compromised position that the Palestinians would receive their state and Palestine and Israel would then live side-by-side in peace and security. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu under pressure gave President Obama a ten month building freeze which Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas wasted almost the entire ten months waiting until well into the ninth month to agree to meet only to use the meeting to demand that the Israeli Prime Minister extend the building freeze until a peace agreement was reached. We will never know whether President Obama attempted to pressure Netanyahu to comply or not, but Prime Minister Netanyahu refused to bend to that further demand and the peace process remained frozen.

 

So, now Mr. Erekat has assumed the responsibility for running interference by demanding the imposition of the preconditions in order to avoid any possibility that any negotiations may accidentally lead to a peace agreement. His announcement that went along with his demand for Israel to reinstitute a building freeze Mr. Erekat said, “The talks have ended. The government of Binyamin Netanyahu is trying to scrap all what was agreed upon in previous sessions of negotiations. They want to take us back to point zero.” The next claim when pressed on why the Palestinians are attempting once again to push for preconditions, which if accepted by Israel would be a total surrender on every single one of the final status issues, will be to claim that he is not demanding Israel meet preconditions but rather these demands are for Israel to meet their obligations and he is only asking for the world to assist the Palestinians in enforcing these obligations which Israel has refused to meet. The Palestinian leadership does not desire to negotiate and will only accept a complete Israeli surrender, and by a complete Israeli surrender they do not mean to the pre June 1967 positions which are the Armistice Lines from the 1949 end of hostilities from the initial war to eradicate Israel. The only solution the Palestinians will ever accept is the complete eradication of Israel replacing it with their Palestinian state. Whether they will allow the Israelis to continue to remain within the Palestinian state as a protected Dhimmi people or if they intend to simply deport or worse every Jew currently living in Israel, their intentions have not yet been definitively stated. The only question is what will President Obama, Secretary of State Kerry, and the now apparently unemployed mediator Indyk going to do now that Mr. Erekat has walked away from the negotiations almost before they officially started. At least the Palestinian negotiating tactic has continued to be consistent, meet once for the initial handshake and walk away crying foul and demanding Israel unconditionally surrender by precondition. This has just begun to get interesting. How much abuse will President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry take from the Palestinians playing them in this disrespecting manner before they decide that they have been presuming the wrong side as the obstructionists and finally demand an initial concession from the Palestinians, that they actually negotiate in earnest and end their obstructionism? This will never happen though I do believe that the leadership of the United States will probably figure out the realities of the situation long before the Europeans even get clue one.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 16, 2012

From the Hidden Crevices of the Palestinian Front

Fortunately, most of the news from this past weekend will cover the horrendous attacks on the central areas of the United States by nature in one of her favorite areas to strike, Tornado Alley. Numerous twisters demolished at least one town and has been the cause of a few fatalities and numerous injured. Some coverage out of the Middle East might cover the slow escalation of the war by the Syrian government against the Syrian people in what can only be termed a battle for that countries immediate future. There will also be some sporadic coverage of the attempted fly-in to protest the Israeli treatment of the Palestinians. The fact that most of the activists had their tickets cancelled and never reached their destination did not prevent their riotous behavior as they rioted at the airports in Brussels and Paris. A small number actually reached Ben Gurion International Airport where they were either immediately turned away and placed on planes back from whence they came or arrested when they resisted being turned away. There was also an incident between an IDF officer and an anarchist protester during what had been a two hour confrontation. The officer was filmed striking one of the protesters using the magazine of his rifle. Subsequently, the officer was suspended to await the results of an investigation. The clip has since received ample attention, far more than another report from other soldiers at the scene which described previous provocations by the protestor by striking the officer repeatedly with a wooden rod or stick causing broken fingers and abrasions.

Now for the hidden side of the news which will receive little attention, especially out in the wider world. While the human rights protesters were being foiled at their attempt to protest Israeli abuses, the Palestinian Authority, according to their interior minister Said Abu Ali, closed down the offices of Human Rights Organization. The Palestinian Human Rights Monitor reportedly ordered the shuttering of the human rights office for the reason that group’s activities were not consistent with the interests of the Palestinian people. Translating that from bald-faced misdirection into understandable truth, the organization was insisting on reporting on actions probably taken by the Palestinian Authority, the PLO, the al-Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigades or other political or terror groups operating within Judea and Samaria (aka West Bank) to some world body such as the United Nations or worse, the international press going public with their findings. Obviously, the truth cannot be allowed to malign those valiant forces that have as their sole interests the destruction of the state of Israel and the maligning of the Jews in Israel or in general. As for what this agency might have been about to shine the light of day upon? Well, I cannot be sure but this next item sure would rate high on our “this might not make the Palestinian Authority look so pure” meter.

Muhammad Abu Shahala is a Palestinian Arab and a Muslim who is currently being held by the Palestinian Authority awaiting his execution for heinous crimes against the Palestinian people. He was arrested last week when news of his evil schemes came to light, crimes and schemes to which he had given a full confession after some hours of intense methods had been used to extract the truth from him. Apparently he was not completely forthcoming with the admission of his guilt and some degree of persuasion was required. The former intelligence agent for the Palestinian Authority, Muhammad Abu Shahala appears to have gone astray and joined the enemies of the Palestinian people. For this he was given a speedy trial almost immediately after he confessed and now awaits his execution which will proceed as soon as Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, whose nom de guerre is Abu Mazen, finds the time to sign the order making it official. By now you must be wondering what heinous crime Muhammad Abu Shahala must be guilty of committing to raise such a fevered pitch for justice. He had the audacity to assist in selling an apartment building in Hevron to fifteen Jewish families. You see, under Palestinian Law, just as under Jordanian Law, it is forbidden under pain of death to sell any property, land, housing, or other items as may be deemed detrimental to the Palestinian cause to any Jew. So, by assisting in the sale of an apartment building to some Jewish families, Muhammad Abu Shahala must pay with his life.

Thus far the only people who seem to have taken up this poor unfortunate’s cause have been some of the leadership of the Jewish communities living in Judea and Samaria. You may have heard of these Jews who are more often referred to as “settlers” which is used as a pejorative term. The Jewish settlers who live beyond the Green Line in Judea and Samaria are often portrayed as cold-hearted, selfish people who stand in the way of any peace efforts and are attempting to steal Palestinian lands and have only the worst of intents for the Palestinian people. This is obviously why these Jewish settlers are protesting the execution of this criminal who had the audacity to sell a property to a group of Jewish families. The settlers have petitioned the Israeli government to take whatever steps prove necessary to prevent the execution, or should I say vindictive murder of Muhammad Abu Shahala. They have even called for use of a military raid to free him and prevent his sacrifice on the altar of hatred. One can only ask what kind of world are we living in if a person can be executed for selling property to somebody who happens to be Jewish. And, does the world really believe that the Palestinian Authority is ready to join in the community of nations if they use torture to gain confessions and execute their own people for selling land to a Jew? This whole sordid affair sheds a light on those who lead the Palestinian Authority and those with whom the world demands that Israel meet halfway making them into a country where such actions as this execution may continue to be commonplace. It all makes sense when you remember and add into the discussion that Mahmoud Abbas and all of the leaders in the Palestinian authority demand that once they have their own independent country it must be wiped and made free of Jews while they also demand that Israel accept millions of Palestinian Arabs as full citizens of Israel. Does nobody see the rank hypocrisy in all of this?

Beyond the Cusp

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