Beyond the Cusp

November 28, 2014

This Will Likely be the Final Extension With Iran

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,Administration,Al-Quds Force,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Apocalypse,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Appointment,Assembly of Experts,Ayatollah,Ayatollah Khamenei,Ayatollahs,Blood Libel,Breakout Point,Britain,Cabinet,Catherine Ashton,China,Civilization,Conflict Avoidnce,Domestic NGOs,Ease Sanctions,Economic Sanctions,Egypt,EMP Attack,Equal Responsibility,Equal Rights,Equality,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Fadjr,Federica Mogherini,Fordo,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,France,German Pressure,Germany,Government,Green Line,Hamas,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,Hezballah,History,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Pressure,IRGC,Islam,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Islamist,Israel,Israeli Interests,Jihad,Lebanon,Leftist Pressures,Libya,Meaning of Peace,Missile Research,Missile Test Launch,Mohammad Javad Zarif,Muslim World,Myth,Netanyahu,North Korea,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Research,Nuclear Scientist,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons Test,Oppression,P5+1,Parchin,Persians,Plutonium Production,Plutonium Production,Politicized Findings,Politics,Qom,Quran,Remove Sanctions,Russia,Russian Pressure,Sanctions,Saudi Arabia,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Scientific Research,Secular Interests,Sharia,Shiite,Sunni,Supreme Leader,Syria,Taqiyya,Terror,Threat of War,Turkey,United Arab Emirates,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Uranium Enrichment,Uranium Enrichment,War Threat,Warhead Development,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,World War III,World Without Zionism or America — qwertster @ 3:19 AM
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The last set of negotiation between the P5+1 (United States, Britain, China, Russia, France and Germany) with Iran ended on Monday without them reaching any agreement and the setting of another deadline for seven months hence. That deadline is meaningless as was very probably the past deadline which just expired as Iran has been holding joint developmental programs on their rocket and missile technology as well as nuclear weapons technology over the last two decades. The bad news is there will probably not be any meaningful future negotiations as before the seven month deadline is reached the Iranians will not only have established a nuclear weapons program but have already produced a number of weapons making them a bonafide nuclear weapons power and quite possibly capable and producing miniature warheads just as has become acknowledged fact for the North Koreans. This will allow the Iranians to mount their nuclear weaponry atop their ballistic missiles which already are capable of reaching much of Europe and most of the United States if permitted to stage their nuclear missiles in Venezuela, Nicaragua or Cuba, the first two of which have already signed agreements with Iran permitting their doing exactly that staging. Even more frightening is that Iran has practiced and proven to have the ability to launch ballistic missiles with close to a two-thousand mile range from onboard merchant ships similar to the North Korean flagged ship which was found to contain just such a missile while traversing the Panama Canal. Where once it becomes known that the Iranians have developed and been producing nuclear warheads there will be many who will rush to accuse President Obama and his administration of falling down on the job and failing utterly in preventing the Iranians from reaching breakout point and actually begin producing nuclear weapons., the reality is that there is more than sufficient blame to go around as these negotiations have been progressing for almost twenty years and none of the American Presidents showed any capability at understanding the facts that they all had been played by the Iranians from the very beginning.

 

Blame is not going to be of any help and will be a simple waste of time and energy. The problem facing the world now is that since the clock cannot be wound back and the ability of Iran to produce deployable nuclear warheads be undone, then steps need to be taken to assure that the ability of Iran for utilizing those warheads is diminished to the point of being made negligible before the Middle East is launched into a nuclear arms race with every nation racing their neighbors trying to maintain sufficient weapons which will presumably attain some strange balance and a very tricky MADD system where Shiite and Sunni nations balance against each other and even intra-Shiite and intra-Sunni nations also balance with each one claiming to have developed sufficient deterrence against all the other new nuclear weapons powers. It can be assumed that Saudi Arabia will receive not only nuclear technology and designs from Pakistan but also an initial set of nuclear warheads potentially already atop ballistic missiles as a repayment for their bankrolling the Pakistani nuclear program after India detonated their first nuclear warhead. Turkey and Egypt likely have sufficient technological expertise to develop their own rudimentary nuclear weapons program with it being simply a matter of time before they also join the nuclear weapons club. Then there are the rest of the oil rich nations who would be capable of investing sufficient funding to attain nuclear weapons technology and build their own arsenals. Then there is the further complication that many of these nations also have ties with nations and terrorist groups who all would be pressuring to be granted a nuclear device with which to resolve some problem or to use to threaten a neighbor such as Syria might want to threaten Turkey or the Sudan might desire a warhead with which to destroy South Sudan and take back any or all of the oilfields which they lost control over. Then there might be desires to threaten Europe or Israel or the Chechens might want to strike Russia and claim innocence as they were not known to have any nuclear devices or the Uyghurs might desire to strike China in much the same manner. Then there is the small matter of Israel and take your pick of who might desire to strike Israel with a nuclear device, especially if they thought they could deflect suspicions onto somebody else. Then there is the idea that Iran has often made known where they desire a world without America or Zionism and as their chant is most often, “Death to America, Death to Israel.” And the small fact that they refer to the United States as the great Satan and Israel as the little Satan, it is obvious that Iran desires to strike the United States as much if not more so that they do Israel. The Iranians also must realize that they would have an easier time striking Israel if the United States had been delivered a decapitating attack first.

 

The only thing more complicated than getting a straight answer from anybody in the Obama White House as to how they were unable to prevent the Iranians from developing and being ready and able to deploy nuclear warheads would be to be able to figure out the resulting rush and development of nuclear weapons and building of arsenals across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) while also predicting whose weapon would be the first actually delivered, at whom it would be targeted, and through which proxy might that strike take place utilizing. The easy prediction is that within eighteen months of Iran testing or declaring their possession of a nuclear device that Saudi Arabia will also be well armed with multiple warheads and it may even take less than a few weeks before they had received their initial shipment of warheads from Pakistan unless Iran is capable of preventing such a transfer from Sunni Pakistan to Sunni Saudi Arabia and the cash cow that Pakistan owes a great debt to Saudi Arabia for underwriting the Pakistani drive to nuclear capabilities and the purchasing of the tools required for the production of the Pakistani nuclear arsenal. The other problem is that once the cat is out of the bag and the Middle East enters into an arms race, the long-standing idea of nuclear nonproliferation will be fatally struck through its heart and die so quickly that there will be insufficient time for the United Nations to call for an emergency meeting, or even for the United Nations to blame Israel, and that is fast. Then there is the one other constant we can expect, and that is when the United Nations does call its meeting to place the blame for the arms race that murdered the nonproliferation treaty, the entire blame will initially be placed on Israel, and after any further investigations are complete, Israel and then the United States will be blamed with the tie breaker going to Israel simply because Prime Minister Netanyahu has been the leader in demanding that force would be required and required earlier rather than later to prevent the Iranians reaching nuclear breakout and actually producing an arsenal. The only question which will not be answered by the end of the next deadline in seven months will be if Iran will have developed, and admitted to having done so, a nuclear weapon. There should be no question that Iran will have attained nuclear breakout and already started to stock a nuclear weapons arsenal before the next deadline and something they have probably been busy building during the time they have been negotiating for the past year or longer. But do not expect anybody from the negotiations let out the truth as the Iranians know they benefit by extending the negotiations for as long as they are able while packing away nuclear warheads and developing intercontinental ballistic missiles and increasing their accuracy and President Obama has placed his legacy on reaching an agreement so that he can claim that he reached the agreement which brought us peace in our times. Let us all hope that peace in our time has far less drastic results as the last time a world leaders exclaimed those words on his return to Britain from Munich. This time the declaration will be made after deplaning from Geneva or Vienna rather than Munich, but does that difference really make a difference? Probably not one iota.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

November 23, 2014

How Obama has Forced the World to Change for the Better

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,Absolutism,Administration,Afordable Healthcare Act,al-Aqsa Mosque,Al-Quds Force,Amalekites,American People Voice Opinion,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab Spring,Arab Winter,Arab World,Arabs,Armed Services,Army Chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi,Asia,Ayatollah Khamenei,Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini,Blood Libel,Blue Water Navy,Border Patrol,Borders,Boycott,Breakout Point,Building Freeze,Cabinet,Calaphate,Canada,Catherine Ashton,Chemical Weapons,China,Chinese Pressure,Civil War,Civilization,Commander in Cheif,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Congress,Constitutional Government,Defend Israel,Demolitions,Deportation,Dhimmi,Disengagement,Ditherer in Chief,Divestment,Divided Jerusalem,Domestic NGOs,Ease Sanctions,Ecology Lobby,Economy,Egypt,Egyptian Military,EMP Device,Enforcement,Equal Responsibility,Equal Rights,Equal Treatment,Equality,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Fatah,Fatah Charter,Federica Mogherini,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Galilee,Gaza,Gaza Blockade,Gender Issues Lobby,German Pressure,Golan Heights,Government,Government Health Care,Green Line,Guard Border,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,Health Care,Hispanic Appeasement,History,Holy Sites,House of Representatives,IDF,Illegal Immigration,Internal Pressures,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps,Iraq,IRGC,Iron Dome,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Islamic State,Islamist,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,Jihad,John Kerry,Jordan,Jordan River,Jordanian Pressure,Judea,Kim Jong Un,Kurdish Militias,Leftist Pressures,Mahmoud Abbas,Mainland China,Mainstream Media,Media,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Military Council,Missile Test Launch,Mohammed,Mubarak,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Muslims,NATO,Netanyahu,North Korea,Nuclear Option,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Scientist,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons Test,Obama Care,Old City,One State Solution,Oslo Accords,P5+1,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,Peace Partner,Peace Process,Peacekeepers,Pentagon,Peshmerga Militias,Plutonium Production,Poland,Polish Military,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Morsi,President Obama,President Sisi,Pressure by Egyptian People,Prime Minister,Promised Land,Protective Edge,Quantitative Easing,Quran,R2P Right to Protect,Rebel Forces,Recognize Israel,Red Lines,Refugee Camp,Refugees,Regulations,Repatriation,Response to Muslim Takeover,Russian Military,Russian Pressure,Salafists,Samaria,Sanctions,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Secretary of State,Secular Interests,Security,Senate,Separation Barrier,Settlements,Sharia,Sharia Law,Shiite,Sinai,Sinai Peninsula,Soldiers,Statehood,Sunni,Supreme Leader,Syria,Syrian Military,Taqiyya,Temple Mount,Terror,Third Intifada,Threat of War,Troop Withdrawal,Ukrainian Military,Union Interests,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Uranium Enrichment,Waqf,War Threat,Weapons of Mass Destruction,Western Wall,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,World Without Zionism or America,Yusuf al-Qaradawi,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 3:21 AM
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There are those who claim that President Obama has been a disaster both at home and in foreign policy. Let us look at domestic policy and accomplishments and resolve those first. The largest area of agreements are President Obama’s signature policy accomplishment according to most, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), aka Obama Care, and the Presidents most recent controversy with his announced intended amnesty of illegal immigrants should they be able to prove they meet requirements generally described criteria which will be defined through not Presidential Executive Actions but through merely ‘memos’ sent to Cabinet Secretaries to implement these changed definitions of policies and not changes of actual policies. The much maligned ACA may be established law as its defenders claim makes it sacrosanct and thus untouchable. Actually, it is as touchable as was the Eighteenth Amendment to the Constitution which was later repealed by the Twenty-First Amendment to that very same Constitution. So, there is precedent of the highest order that laws can be overturned, amended, redefined or altered in ways approaching uncountable and the ACA is not an exception. If the American people express an overwhelming and honest majority demanding the ACA be repealed, it will eventually be repealed, but only by such pressures being maintained until the repeal or redefinition of the changes within meet the people’s expectations. The immigration amnesty can be altered simply by finding a middle ground with legislation and holding President Obama to his promise to revoke his immigration ‘memos’ and sign the Congressional immigration reform legislation once it reaches his office. Further, if the President refuses to sign a truly compromise and rational approach which the American people have heard explained and support, then that veto can be overruled through constitutionally defined votes of both houses of Congress. Finally, the Congress can also prevent the implementation of President Obama’s immigration ‘memos’ by simply interceding and cutting off any federal funding of those changes and allowing them to die on the vine. So, anything that President Obama has done in domestic policies can be altered, repealed, amended, defunded or otherwise neutered by the Congress or potentially by the courts even if it needs to be taken to the Supreme Court making those alterations to the American legal fabric more compatible with the desires of the American people.

 

This leaves us with the effects and affects President Obama and his policies and actions have had on our world. The biggest problem caused by President Obama on the world’s stage was the damages he caused to the trust that both America’s allies and enemies could have in the promises made by any individual President because of the many standing policies which President Obama either ignored or worked with a great animosity and actually reversing previous American constants in foreign policy. Because many NATO countries came to fear that the United States no longer was there to protect them, they began to arm themselves and take on defense for themselves and many met the demanded minimal investments as required as a percentage of their budgets and national wealth on those defenses. Other nations such as Japan, Philippines, Israel, Taiwan and South Korea also realized that the promises made by previous administrations and even treaties may not be fulfilled to the extents they had always been guaranteed in word and actions including cancellation of joint exercises, the withholding of arms, changing promised arms sales replacing the weapons systems like aircraft and submarines with similar but lesser capable systems as well as actually cancelling some already planned and promised radar systems which were replaced with promises to have similar capabilities in place using naval systems or orbital surveillance satellites. No matter what good may come as nations react to a new reality where the United States can no longer be relied upon to keep its word and live up to promises to protect them from deadly threats or simply meet promised sales or stationing of resources, but they now know that promises from any President of the United States becomes null and void as soon as he leaves office and it depends upon the whims and fancies of his successors on into perpetuity. This alone will damage the United States and its foreign policy for decades, even centuries and potentially forever if the Obama perfidy is recalled into the distant future.

 

Now perhaps a closer look at the individual crises which have resulted to date and will likely play a large part of the historical legacy of President Obama’s two terms and its foreign policy and the ripples they have caused. First to examine Japan, Philippines and South Korea and their similar reactions and new realities they face due to President Obama’s foreign policy changes. The primary adversaries these three nations face is obviously China who has been developing advanced weapons systems, upgrading their military capabilities on the land, the sea and in the skies. Their other main adversary who is extremely unpredictable and potentially dangerous is North Korea with its new leader, Kim Jung Un who murdered his own Uncle for reasons which are unknown. With both of these adversaries possessing nuclear weapons, and with China developing a deep sea capable navy, what is often referred to as a blue water navy, these nations used to depend upon the United States and her nuclear threat to balance the nuclear potential threat from China and North Korea. With their faith and assurances broken, at the very least both South Korea and Japan have started to consider whether developing their own nuclear arsenals might be an idea whose time has come. Furthermore, both the Philippines and Japanese have conflicting claims for Islands located between them and China that China also makes claims to. This has caused a great potential for conflict to break out should the Chinese decide to exercise her ownership while the Philippines or Japan also have troops on exercises on the disputed Islands. The conflict potentially brewing for Japan is over the Senkaku Islands which the Chinese claim calling them the Diaoyu Islands. The Philippines dispute is over the Spratly Islands which the questions of ownership is also contested with Brunei, China, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam. And finally there is the problem caused by China claiming the entirety of the South China Sea which is heavily navigated water as it is the central leg of almost every trade route from Southern Asia to Western Asia, Hawaii, the Americas and the Panama Canal. Should either South Korea or Japan decide to go nuclear and develop nuclear arsenals, then the world will then contain two more nuclear armed nations and might spawn North Korea to expand their nuclear capabilities which would make the unpredictability of North Korean young, homicidal, vicious dictator Kim Jung Un even more threatening and of much greater concern for both Japan and the Philippines.

 

Taiwan has all of the same concerns as do Japan and the Philippines. The difference is that unlike the Philippines and Japan, Taiwan ranks mainland China as their greatest concern and threat. This is most likely due to the fact that China has already declared that Taiwan is simply another province of China which they intend to restore and place under Beijing’s control. One of the items which Taiwan was depending on was for the United States selling them a number of highly advanced submarines. Former President George W. Bush April 2001 offered Taiwan a substantial arms package which included eight diesel-electric submarines. Facing the problem that the United States has not designed or built diesel-electric submarines they faced a design problem which they were unable to solve simply by purchasing the plans and schematics of a European ally’s submarine but were turned down. After an exhaustive and determined search, come late 2004 the United States presented plans which included consideration for building the diesel-electric submarines for Taiwan from scratch. In early January of 2010, President Obama had his Defense Department announced a new offer of an arms package for Taiwan which did not include any submarines of any sort. This about-face greatly shocked and distressed the Taiwan defense officials. Taiwan’s reaction was to begin their own ability for building the most modern and advanced diesel-electric submarines on their own and have set out in that direction. The difficulty most nations reported in providing any military aid to Taiwan was their fear of provoking Chinese ire which has been growing in its potential recently.

 

Then there was the ready to be installed and promised placement of a radar and anti-missile battery system already agreed upon and the places were set aside in both Czech Republic and Poland. The reasons explained and guarantees given to Russia and the other nations in the area, that they were not the targeted areas, which would have been their primary concerns, but that the system was being placed in these two countries was for defense of any missiles launched from Iran towards Europe or even the United States and Canada. Russia was nervous but ready to accept the missile interceptors as the mere ten interceptors would be next to useless if they were to attempt to prevent an all-out Russian missile launch. By the end of President George W. Bush leaving office the only step left was to pack up the systems and ship them to be set up by American troops with aid from the two nations of Poland and the Czech Republic. President Obama took office and initially did not act or even press any steps to transit the systems to Europe. President Obama along with then Secretary of State Clinton were busy initially with the reset they were planning to reach with Russia. Finally, in September 2009, newly elected and still within his first year as President, Obama cancelled the entire system and promised to leave an AEGIS Destroyer in the eastern half of the Mediterranean Sea. This cancellation of the radar and anti-missile system was not taken well and considered to be a huge betrayal of their trust and as accepted allies. The promise of keeping a naval vessel to replace an entire system was seen an inadequate and less reliable as the ship, even one of the advanced and new AEGIS Destroyers, would not be capable of having its rockets placed in central Europe as there was no accessible body of water. This was also a broken trust and further proof that the United States has been basically changed and could no long trust the promises from one administration to the next administration as they could only take the promises of the President of the United States to have their weight and veracity disappear with the swearing-in ceremony of the next President.

 

And finally there is Israel where the changes signal an alignment change which they had best internalize if Israel has any plans for permanence. The changes in the United States relations with Israel were startling and shocked many an Israeli. The withholding of critical resupply of weapons and ammunition during the Gaza operation Defensive Shield was reminiscent of the delay in permitting resupply during the Yom Kippur War in October 1976 by President Nixon under the advice of Secretary of State Kissinger. The difference this time was the fact that President Obama added an additional review stage where it must be approved by the State Department after the Pentagon had cleared any supplies, provisions, replacement parts, weapon systems and even aircraft. Forcing any provisions of a military nature to also be granted the approval of the State Department places all military to military agreements and assurances given Israel all voided and allows for the Arabists who have infiltrated deeply into the State Department to interdict any resupply or even initial supply of armaments being shipped to Israel. Add into the mix the open hostility and animus shown to the Prime Minister of Israel as well as many Israeli politicians was another sign that all was not well between Jerusalem and Washington. Then there have been the silent demands on the leadership of Israel which has forced a silent building freeze, refraining security police and the IDF by insisting on Israeli rules of engagement, demanded that the Israeli government back away from any restrictions to Muslim access to the Temple Mount or in resolving the continuous rioting by Muslims while all the time refusing Jewish prayer and even access to the Temple Mount which is the most sacred place for Jews in the world and further demanded that Israel make concession in order to meet all of the demands of Mahmoud Abbas. These overt and far reaching plans by the United States to hamstring Israel and force them to all but surrender completely to the Palestinians demands and allow Muslims to act and enjoy every conceivable freedom even from the law while the Jews are to be treated as if they were Dhimmis within an Islamic state have even turned much of the Israeli public to question whether America is still an ally or has the good and solid relations become a memory from the distant past. There are those in Israel who now believe that the United States has turned on their homeland accusing them of taking the side of Israel’s enemies and joined their efforts to destroy Israel. The one place that thus far the United States has not betrayed the trust of Israel is the United Nations Security Council where the veto of the United States has very often been the savior required while much of the rest of the nations represented on the Security Council vote almost religiously to condemn Israel no matter what the charges or evidence. Should the United States ever break this trust, then the Israelis will know that there has been such a change that they can no longer count on anybody in the United Nations Security Council to mount sufficient, if any, opposition to the assaults upon Israel within that body just as nobody can save Israel from endless condemnations from every element of the United Nations. Potentially the worst entity when it comes to Israel would have to be the United Nations Human Rights Council which has as part of its operations a stipulation for them to issue a condemnation of Israel at the beginning of every session before they even conduct the reading of the minutes from the previous meeting. The one truth which is easily witnessed from as far as Jerusalem is the support and warmth of the feelings of the American people for Israel. This devotion and support for Israel is one of the things which has appeared to only grow as the Administration has slid further and further from Israel. Their support and devotion are highly treasured across all the lands and peoples of Israel.

 

The question in all of these nations’ minds is will the United States they knew return once it comes into new management with the next President. Then what jumps to the front of their minds is what are the possibilities that there may be President after President where the United States runs hot and cold in their treatment of each nation. Their greatest fear would be the United States not bouncing back to the familiar relations and traditional allies. The one probably permanent change caused to be implemented by the drastic changes experienced over the past six years has been the realization that even the most powerful nation which had been the greatest protector of freedoms, democracy, human rights and progress can falter and vanish for all intents and purposes leaving the world scrambling to cope with the collapse of what had appeared to be the natural order in the world. Now we do not have to imagine a world without the United States as we have been living in such a world where the United States was leading from behind rather than boldly going forth to support truth and justice, or at least profits, commerce and unfettered trade routes.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

May 2, 2014

Nuclear Iran Still Looms on the Near Horizon

Remember there was an interim framework agreement which took effect in late January under which Iran and the P5+1 nations (Russia, China, United States, France, Britain and Germany) presumably agreed to lift or lessen sets of sanctions which had been levied against Iran in order to persuade Iran to limit their nuclear program. The fears from the Western nations and many Middle Eastern nations was that the Iranians have been researching and taking steps towards producing their very own nuclear arsenal while the Iranians stick to their claim that all of their research is for purely civilian uses such as generating electrical power and providing medical isotopes for treating patients. What followed has received only minimal coverage by the mainstream media outlets that have had what, in their opinion, are far more serious concerns and threats such as Israel building homes in Judea, Samaria and East Jerusalem. There has been some coverage of this framework agreement much of which presented what appears to be two completely different understandings between the Western nations and Iran on the limits on Iranian nuclear uranium enrichment and further construction and efforts to bring the heavy water reactor in Arak on line. Depending on which statement made by numerous Iranian leaders, one could support conjecture that Iran has virtually ceased enrichment of Uranium beyond five percent and turned over the majority of their stores of Uranium enriched beyond twenty percent along with a large share of their Uranium stores enriched beyond five percent or any position up to the most broad claim where one of the commanders from the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) who on condition of remaining anonymous claimed that Iran was permitted and under the framework could enrich Uranium to over ninety percent as that is the level required to power their nuclear submarines. Apparently the “framework” permits very broad differences and interpretations by the different parties and has also been reported by IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) to being beyond their ability to comprehensively affirm whether Iran was complying with the limitations or was breaking the agreement. With the disparate interpretations which have been expressed to the media, it is no wonder that the IAEA finds themselves ill prepared to verify compliance as first they would need an actually agreed upon framework with a single, clearly defined definition of the terms within the framework.

The other part of the framework agreement was that it would apply for six months and by the end of that time work would have been completed on a final agreement that would be signed by all parties and ready to be implemented and enforced by the IAEA. One might have logically figured that the negotiations over a final agreement would have utilized the temporary framework as the basis for a start point on reaching the final deal. Well, such thoughts would have proven wrong as from all signs the Iranians seemingly scrapped any agreements and pushed the negotiations back to square one and setting definitions and expectations on which the sides were worlds apart. There also appeared some troubling relations such as the seemingly close friendship between Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif and European Union Foreign Policy Chief Catherine Ashton who also appeared to be the principle negotiators. This might beg the question from any astute observer as to ho the Lady Ashton became the lead negotiator for the P5+1 powers when the European Union was not even included as one of the negotiating parties thus should not have even had a representative, let alone be the lead contact point for the Western nations.

Above and around these stuttering negotiations which appear to suffer from fits and starts never quite seeming to make measurable headway before running into yet more disagreements and demands for tighter agreement on the definition of certain terms such as definitions of how to measure enrichment levels and what items were considered dual use technologies and which were permitted and which were forbidden. Needless to point out that the Iranians had very different views from that of the British, French and Germans as well as initially the United States, a temporary situation as President Obama apparently was more willing to sacrifice principled positions and strict definitions and limitations simply to be able to produce an agreement which could be lauded as progress and a workable route to guarantee that Iranian nuclear programs would be solely for civilian usage and that Iran would not be permitted to produce nuclear weapons. There was some verbose outrage expressed over the terms of the interim framework agreements claiming that the agreement dealt far too lightly with the Iranian nuclear program granting them terms so loosely defined as to not present a real and tangible restriction on the Iranian research into the production of a deliverable nuclear device and also went too far in relieving the sanctions and permitting the freeing of hundreds of millions if not billions of dollars which could be utilized by Iran to forward their technology and purchase necessary supplied and technologies to assist in development of nuclear weapons. The loudest from among those decrying the ill and almost uselessness of the agreed framework were Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu and numerous other Israeli leaders along with Saudi Arabian King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud along with Saudi Arabian nuclear experts and other members of the Royal Family. President Obama and the United States State Department had particularly strong denunciation of the Israeli presage complaining over the leniency and lack of seriousness of the framework agreement with particular harshness for Prime Minister Netanyahu.

What is ominous is that the negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 have almost completely vanished from the front page coverage such an important subject deserves. It is almost as if the edict has gone forth from the Oval Office to the mainstream media that Iran is to be put to bed and no longer be permitted to place the Obama Administration in a bad light. With the deadline approaching and negotiations seemingly making slow, if any, progress and Iran demanding an even weaker agreement than the framework is making reaching an agreement in the time allotted appear impossible. That is when the public, providing the media bothers to mentions anything, will have revealed the little gem nestled within the framework agreement where should no agreement be attained at the end of the six months then the framework can be rolled over and start a new six month deadline and this little exercise in kicking everything down the road a bit can be repeated ad- nauseum.

Another little point of interest which appears to have completely escaped notice by the P5+1 negotiators is that there appears to be an alliance between North Korea and Iran where they cooperate in their research into nuclear weapons and rocket and missile technologies with the intent of developing a nuclear weaponized ICBM. What makes this arrangement all the more interesting is that there have been reports that North Korean scientists have visited Iran when missile testing has been conducted and Iranian scientists have been visiting North Korea both when they were testing their newest missiles and conducting nuclear testing. It is not only possible but very strongly likely that the North Koreans could be testing Iranian designed nuclear warheads as well as their sharing missile technologies. What is truly amazing is how such cooperation has been reported by media sources outside of the P5+1 countries and almost totally ignored by the mainstream media outlets and politicians throughout much of the industrialized West. With the seeming inability of the Obama Administration to push even a tepid line on foreign policy, let alone a strong and forceful line, the North Koreans and the Iranians will both become nuclear armed nations with intercontinental delivery systems with which to threaten the entire globe. From Iran this will produce international terrorist activities protected under an Iranian nuclear umbrella and could eventually lead to nuclear terrorist attacks. Imagine a nuclear warhead, a small 10K to 20K nuclear warhead designed to produce a large EMP wave being detonated over the central United States or central Europe. The death toll in the first year after such an attack would number in the tens of millions with European deaths likely to be as high as half a billion deaths from everything starting with starvation to infection to simple diseases such as the flue as the population would be weakened due to lack of food as well as loss of medical treatments and basic sanitation practices which would become rudimentary at best once the power grid was destroyed. This should be the greatest fear and most important of issues facing the United States and European Union who instead seem only interested in forcing Israel to capitulate to Palestinian demands on the way to the formation of a greater Palestine from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea in place of any Jewish interests or state.

Beyond the Cusp

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