Beyond the Cusp

July 22, 2016

The Lens that Clears the Vision, Thomas Sowell

 

Whenever one sees an article written by Thomas Sowell one can safely believe it will be entertaining, instructive and likely to clarify to its crystalline essence whatever subject or conjecture on which he is writing. Thus was his recent article on his favorite subject, as he is a renowned economics professor, income inequality and why everything in life is not fair or evenly distributed. He writes on this from varying angles always providing examples which even the lesser and uneducated in economics will fully grasp. His example this time was precious as it showed two examples in one lesson, something he likely intended. Apparently somebody seeking high and low for inequality recently attached onto a new cause célèbre which is as silly as it is laughable, the uneven distribution against women at the highest levels of chess. To use another of Prof. Sowell’s examples, this is like asking why midgets are so underrepresented in the NBA or the NFL, as one would have to conclude there has to be some position they would excel at making them desirable. As Prof. Sowell makes as his main point, not that many women, especially young women in high school or college desire playing chess, not even the most nerdy (my observation), and you find largely male membership in Chess Clubs and competitions. My observation was the under-representation of females on the Math Team in my high school of over three-thousand students where there were two out of twenty plus members on the math team, including one reluctant me (long story includes threats of failing grades from my math teacher and faculty advisor to the math team), and we elected one as the team leader. Still, even representation would have required eighteen additional female students or cutting the team down to two boys and girls and being disqualified as each team must have eight members to compete. If memory serves me correctly, there were no girls, young women, in the chess club or on the team and, knowing the fellow nerds who populated these groups, these boys would have killed to have a young woman, or any woman, join their club and team and such a person would have been treated as a goddess or something close.

 

Professor Thomas Sowell

Professor Thomas Sowell

 

Anyway, back on subject. As Prof. Sowell makes clear, the top positions in chess are computed by games won and lost and against whom. I had an uncle by marriage who was a rated chess master with competition points and he never was able to rise higher than competing in local area and sometimes had qualified for state wide competition but never higher. We played a game of chess; he destroyed me eventually, where he commented that I had a head for the game and played a very disorganized but effective game. He wanted me to start entering tournaments and studying the game seriously. Anyone who knows me knows I take very few things seriously, even politics, and find amusement wherever I can find some. Yes, this presidential race in the United States should provide me entertainment galore, or will it be entertainment of gore? I expect it will be a mud-slinging contest with blood drawn on both sides and whoever wins will emerge a walking wounded with wounds the press will allow to heal or continue shooting at depending who wins. End tangent. Chess positions do not care what gender you are, what race you are, what religion you worship or even if you have a religion at all, they care about your proven record and nothing else. One gains points for every win even if it is minuscule as one would gain beating me in a first round match of the Northwest Israel Chess Tournament, if there is one. I am unranked and likely would need to find a more local tournament, say one from my apartment complex, all two buildings of it, or slightly larger (being in Israel I suspect there is a high density of chess players with any serious players). Should you be ranked and placed against a past champion and lose there might still be points, I am not sure how their ranking points are gained, and should you win there would be a larger number of points than beating little old me. So, if a woman, and my guess is there are many ranked women players even if few if any are in the top ten, were to amass serious points and rise in the ranking then she would rate entering the top level tournaments. This is where things get sticky as one might point out that since men hold the top spots, a woman might be on edge and off her game facing all male competition in a tournament. So what are the tournament managers to do, give her a tranquilizer to calm her, which would definitely be an egregious interference and led to investigations that they were attempting to keep her from winning. Believe it or not, they do not simply give women one-thousand competition points for showing up and men two-hundred-fifty-thousand competition points for showing up. They give points for winning games and only for winning games at the beginning and on throughout competition the big points go to winners and others, well, it’s tough when you lose.

 

As Prof. Sowell points out, life is full of examples of inequities. Jobs, wealth, careers, sports, and any other category one can measure even including numbers of the population and numbers of registered voters, both of which women have the slight advantage of fifty-one or two percent against men being forty-eight or nine percent. Women could elect nearly an all women Congress with at least three-hundred out of four-hundred-thirty-five Representatives and easily sixty-five Senators against thirty-five men. President would equally be a woman should only women support their candidacy. This is an important statistical fact which will be very important in the coming Presidential Election as if for any reason Hillary Clinton does not win the Presidency, it will not be because she was a woman and men did not support her as she would win if women and only women voted for her in high nineties percent so Hillary loses only if she does not win the votes of all women. And do not for a minute think her advisors do not know this as it is partly what is behind the “First woman President” sloganeering which is aimed at the whole of the population but is even more targeting women as with the women’s vote Hillary could win with almost no male votes. Hillary is counting heavily that she can win and force a high turnout of minorities, women high amongst them, and swing as many married women to vote for her despite their husband voting for Trump or third party candidates as splitting the household votes by gender Hillary can win hands down as she knows she likely has the singles vote in her favor. The Presidency is Hillary’s for the taking and if she loses, it will be solely because she was unable to convince sufficient women to vote for her and Trump somehow wooing these women voters. With the accusations against Trump and his public history of divorce and other alleged and some proven activities, he should have some degree of difficulty winning the women’s vote. His one saving grace has been that his hosting of women’s pageants and reality television without even the suspicion of improprieties, there is little proof of him acting in any manner other than respectfully over the years of such involvements. Any such accusations which may appear now seemingly out of the blue, they should be considered to be opportunists or politically motivated attempts to take advantage of his candidacy and probable desire to end such intimidations with minimal publicity. The problem, as we see it, is that even if advised to fold before such challenges as quickly and quietly as possible, Trump will be more likely to take these challenges on directly and very publically when he feels assured of no actual wrong-doing. As far as Trump is concerned, if he can win the suit, he can also play this as campaign advertising of his being above board and forthright in his dealings. This is something we will have to observe as the campaign quickens this fall.

 

There is another front that will be brought to the fore, the companies in which Donald Trump has invested and went bankrupt, some almost immediately. One need know about finances at the level that Donald Trump lives in as they sometimes are purchased companies which have assets or other qualities which are required by other assets. In such instances a failing company can be restructured and made profitable providing it can be purchased or merged with other assets or with a structured payment schedule to meet obligations and thus bankruptcy is a means of saving as much of an investment as is economically sound. These bankruptcies are an intricate and necessary part of investing and making the needed adjustment to gain a return on your investment. It is the same as when one buys a new car and trades their older vehicle as the down-payment. When would you trade in your thirty year old baseline truck which barely functions and has not been driven in ten years, in a regular trade-in or when the dealer offers that if you can drive it in they will give you $5,000.00 in trade-in? The answer is obvious and investments are exactly the same, you do what maximizes your return or, in a bad situation, what minimizes your losses.

 

It would be wise to remember that business is business and politics is not. Politics is all about painting your opponents as the greatest evil the world has ever witnessed. This can be accomplished easily with anyone whose life took place outside of politics as the political world is completely opposite of the business world. In politics it is all about looking at inequalities and promising the masses at the bottom you will give them monies from those at the top. This is due to the tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, of those at the bottom for everyone to ten at the top. A truth which no politician will tell you is that somebody earning two-hundred-fifty-thousand dollars a year is in the top ten percent and those earning over seventy-five-thousand dollars a year are the top twenty-five percent. If minimum wage is pushed to fifteen dollars an hour, that is slightly more than thirty-thousand dollars a year for a forty hour week, that currently in comfortably in the top fifty percent. As it is not possible to have even minimum wage earners be in the top fifty percent, what does one think will be the result? The result is that employers will invest in the construction of robotics to perform these minimum wage jobs just as Wendy’s has already done by replacing cashiers and delivery people from their burger operations and made it an automated system. Similar but less polished systems existed in the 1950’s and were called automat food stores and were big because it was in these years that the minimum wage was increased above the median salary for workers. When this is what happens and those positions which used to be below median salary are forced by minimum wages to be above median, then they will be minimized or erased from the job market as they become unsupportable. When politicians tell you that a company is making undue profit, they are spinning an evil tale that making profit, the driving impetus of all businesses, is an evil when in reality if a business comes close to breaking even and producing no profit, the seeming desire of politicians, then the entire operation comes under inspection and the weaker links are optimized, automated, or cost-lotted out to another company and the people in that department stand for some or all to lose their jobs. Business is in business to make profits and profits tend towards the top but all gain when the company gains as then there are more funds for salaries. All business models have a set percentage they denote as for salaries and the management is tasked with seeing that salaries remain within those guidelines. Often management is granted a bonus for keeping salaries in check and not exceeding their budgeted amount. Anything below budget will then be shared with a set percentage, usually under five percent, is given to the manager for keeping salaries below target. That is simply how business functions at all levels as the vice-president of a company gets a bonuses for keeping costs, including salaries, below target for expenditures, thus giving management limits and limiting managements’ salaries under their control.

 

On another side, when a candidate claims they can control government spending, especially a presidential candidate who is from the business world, they are ignoring an important reality, they answer to Congress as equal branches and not as president to underlings. Congress can adopt an agenda and has the power to overrule a Presidential veto with a two-thirds vote in both houses. Should Trump win the Presidency he will not even have the total support of the Republicans in the Congress and probably none of the Democrats so he will be facing an adversarial Congress and will have only one means of defeating an objectivist Congress, the will of the people. This was what President Reagan used and made possible with his common sense appeals to the people he made during numerous policy speeches he gave in prime time. We expect a President Trump would need to do likewise as his appeal will be dependent on the support of the public. The one thing Trump would have in his favor is that many people who may not have supported his candidacy and voted for Hillary Clinton or one of the third party candidates (leftist liberals all including the Libertarian Party and of course the Green Party) might support some even if not all of his policy positions and thus legislation towards those ends. Where I find Trump’s “Make America Great Again” slogan to be somewhat a slur, I would change it to “Make America’s Greatness Known (Evident) Again” as a better and more accurate representation as America is still the world’s leading nation despite the efforts of the past eight years. As far as Prof. Sowell might say, we need a President to bring all America into the best and most competitive edge over the rest of the world so America can shine bright again. The secret for doing this is actually simple; America needs to make everything using smarter and more accurate precision and the highest possible quality and dependability and that will place America at the forefront again. America needs to be amongst if not the best over the rest making America worth the extra cost because the product is worth the extra cost. This is why the majority of the world buys American military equipment and how Israel, Britain, Russia, China, Czech Republic, Germany and a select group of others manage to sell their military equipment. Israel triumphs in avionics and command and control systems for military uses while the Czech Republic makes some of the finest accuracy rifles and dependable assault grade weapons and Germany has a high quality main battle tank every bit as good as the American Abrams and the Israeli Merkava and Russia has the best fighter jets per ruble using less technology dependent systems thus easier maintenance. These are simply proof that when you make the best for a certain price range then you will own that market and America needs to reclaim some markets which though not languishing have been inhibited from moving to the next level by regulations and tax policies which do not reward such improvements. That is it plain and simple and do not sweat that somebody makes more money than you, work harder and deserve that money and you will find you too will advance. Sometimes you might even be required to take a different position in your or in another company for a little less or the same but that is just another opportunity to prove oneself and take off from there. After all, you only make master point in chess by beating somebody who already earned their own masters points and the better chess players you can best, the higher the points you will earn and it is all about amassed points and nothing else.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 18, 2016

Netanyahu’s Risky Response to World Threats

 

There have been the usual threats and accusations along with rumors and rumors of rumors all of which indicate the possible move announced through trial balloons may be the biggest threat of them all. The United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) has again found no problems in Syria, well, one general denunciation of the needless violence, no such complaints or other commentaries on Iraq, Iran, Cuba, North Korea or any of the other spots on the globe except for a number of mentions of supposed Israeli wrongs. Israel was blamed for spousal violence and honor killings in Gaza and the Palestinian Territories as apparently the presence of IDF troops assisting in keeping the calm and Abbas in power in the Judea and Samaria (West Bank) was the driving cause. There were other minor complaints which can be generally placed under the same old same old perfidies accused of Israel all stemming from the mere existence of the Jewish State.

 

 

Obama and Abbas together again and plotting on what to hatch on Netanyahu who is necessarily wary

 

But the United Nations has been busy on another front, the front of historic and significant places. UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization) has determined the historic relevance of the Temple Mount, the Mosques, Churches and Shrine upon it, the Western Wall and Plaza and all surrounding areas are of solely Islamic origins. Apparently the wall built by Herod in the years before the start of the Gregorian calendar was actually built solely for Muhammad to tie up his first magic steed which transported him in his dream to the farthest Mosque, which happened to be present despite not being built for another two to three centuries where he strode upon second magical beast which carries him through the planes of Heaven where he met Moses, Gabriel, Abraham and a who’s who of Biblical greats and Allah as well where he was bid to write the Quran which would eventually be understood by the great sages of Islam instructed them to spread Islam across the face of the Earth until it was the sole religion putting to the sword all others in a final struggle.

 

Such decrees from UNESCO are not new and have the same weight as a feather blowing in the winds of war in Syria had of ending that carnage any time soon. Still, when these are added to the rest, we wonder why the Catholic Church and the other Christian religions who are bid to care for the holy Christian Churches on the Temple Mount which were included in the general gifting of the entire area and transforming those as well into Muslim shrines are not up in arms. The same can be asked of the Israeli government and Jewish Chief Rabbis; where are their protests and indignations? Meanwhile there is the idea that the IDF (Israeli Defense Forces) may be pulled from their presence in Area A of the West Bank where they have assisted the Palestinian Security Forces with subduing terrorism including any attempts by Hamas, Islamic Jihad and we can guess potentially the Islamic State from toppling Mahmoud Abbas and setting up shop launching suicide bombers and rockets into Israel and other violences including the favorite pastime of hurling rocks through the windshields of passing vehicles in attempts to crash the vehicles and kill its occupants. One can only wonder where the impetus for such an idea could have arisen.

 

There was that interesting idea flushed out in the Huffington Post article titled To Save His Middle East Legacy, Obama Must Recognise a Palestinian State Now written by Ibrahim Fraihat, a Senior Foreign Policy Fellow at the Brookings Institution’s Doha Center and Affiliate Scholar at Georgetown University in Qatar. In the article it was put forth that President Obama should recognize Palestine declaring its existence and potentially its borders as a final stab at preserving any legacy for President Obama in the Middle East, to finally earn his Nobel Peace Prize apparently given him in the promise that he would establish Palestine, and make a final, in your face, insult to pay back Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu for his insults and actively campaigning in the United States for the Republicans against President Obama in his bid for his second term. It also stated that the United States would eventually recognize Palestine and why should President Obama allow such a great prize slip through his fingers and fall to some subsequent President. The piece de resistance was noting how once leaving office Presidents and other high officials from the United States government had all readjusted their positions on Israel and the Palestinians after leaving office and no longer falling under the pressures and influences of that eternal damnation (extra descriptors from our impressions) of the Israel Lobby. The prime example coming from that fairest of judges, Jimmy, Israel and the Jews be damned, Carter who never missed an opportunity to pile more grief and shames upon Israel at every turn.

 

Add the UNESCO rulings, the Human Rights constant irritations, the Huffington Post floating an idea for President Obama and the pulling of IDF troops from Area A allowing for the possible declaration of that area, the one guaranteed the Palestinians in the Oslo Accords where Area C was preserved for Israeli expansion and Area B was to be donated as to who got what and the then required borders which such would imply. The immediate reaction came from Yair Lapid among others who view themselves as Israel’s next Prime Minister warning of renewed suicide bombings, buses exploding on the streets of Tel Aviv and throughout Israel and a terror wave of unprecedented proportions as these attacks could now be organized and launched without the usual IDF and Shin Bet intelligence warning of the imminent attacks. May these warning be nothing more than political maneuvering and second guessing, there still is a grain of truth but Israel would not likely be the initial target, and there is the fly in the ointment. Without the IDF and other intelligence gathering there is a distinct possibility, some might say likelihood, that Hamas, or worse, Islamic State could launch a successful coup potentially using many of those exact same Palestinian Security Forces to assist their takeover. Where would the United Nations, European Union and all the other myriad of forces be in blaming Israel for such an eventuality and the instituting of a true and recognized terrorist takeover in the Palestinian governance? This would result in the unbelievable response where Hamas would be recognized as now being the new democratically chosen leaders and Gaza would no longer be that threat thus leading to demands for Israel to lift the embargo. But wait a moment, was there not a mention out of Turkey that Netanyahu had promised to lift the embargo and assist Turkey in building a sea port in Gaza as part of the reconciliation between the two nations. That simply places the cherry atop the giant ice cream sundae which apparently is in the offing if all these floated ideas come to fruition.

 

As to how much of this is valid we can only guess. The IDF pull back from Area A is very doable and would not particularly be a disaster and actually only an inconvenience in the loss of intelligence which would be nowhere near as serious as some have implied. The real danger of an IDF pullout is the possibility that Abbas would lose control and be replaced by somebody or some group worse than the Palestinian Authority. One must remember that the actually elected Palestinian Parliament has a majority of Hamas and allied ministers which would imply their having the real support in the West Bank, or at the least in Area A. The latest polling out of Gaza show the majority of the people asked actually called for the replacement of Hamas by anybody more attuned to their needs and less concerned with terror tunnels and rocket construction and more dedicated to rebuilding their homes and shopping areas and the rest of the destruction which has been all but ignored as the lion’s share of the concrete and building materials have indeed gone into terrorist infrastructure and largely tunnels which have been collapsing with an unbelievable frequency. It is notable that the people of Gaza have tired of the war every two to three years against Israel where Hamas assures the maximalist damage and the minimalist repair afterwards such that the next conflict starts with great photoshoots of destruction already in place before Israel fires their first salvo. How absolutely convenient if you are the media seeking a story condemning Israel or Hamas assuring their narrative of woe has a maximalist effect with the aid of the media.

 

All of these items start with the truths of the United Nations through UNESCO and the UNHRC and their decisions condemning Israel and all Israeli claims especially to any religious or historical sites. The declaration of the entirety of the Temple Mount and surroundings is right in step with the Cave of the Patriarchs where Abraham, Sarah, Isaac, and Leah are all buried in the cave which Abraham bought using foreign monies so as to differentiate his claims from that of the Canaanites. That along with Rachel’s Tomb and Jacob’s tomb have all been designated Islamic holy sites if memory serves us correctly (validations or corrections would be accepted and appreciated). The article calling on President Obama to recognize Palestine though containing numerous and generous falsehoods is real and the rumor of an imminent IDF pull back from Area A is also real. What they all add up to is anybody’s conjecture and one is as good as any other unless you possess the demonstrable predictive powers of a Nostradamus, through writing in cryptic quatrains assisted in his being applied to any and every situation or event or more. Finally, any conclusions which imply the end of the Jewish State are great exaggerations with absolutely no connection to reality as we are not going anywhere, period. Lastly, the future is the one item where any prediction is usually malleable enough to at least contain a grain of truth otherwise who would believe them other than those already firmly in the camp from whence such preposterous prediction arise. One of our favorites for consistency is indeed former President Jimmy Carter who will always denounce Israel and praise Cuba, what a man of foresight, everything he represents is basically upside down and consistently so. He and the United Nations are two institutions where you can hardly ever go wrong opposing.

 

For your viewing pleasure, here is an outtake from the latest CNN Democrat Presidential debate where Hillary and Bernie square off over Israel, enjoy and do not take anything said by Hillary as denoting actual policies she would enact. Enjoy!

 

 

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 10, 2016

Palestinians and Israeli Arabist Jihadist War

 

Mahmoud Abbas has two faces, one that screams ‘peace, peace but there is no peace’ to the West and they dutifully blame Israel for not simply giving Abbas all the lands he desires. Nobody ever attempts to discover the land Abbas demands as if they did they might soon catch their first glimpse of his other face. That is the face that demands ‘jihad, jihad, kill the Jews’ and take all the land from the river to the sea, Palestine will kill until free. That face is easy to find if one just translates his speeches from Arabic to English, French, whatever language the Western politicians need to understand what more and more Israelis have learned. There is a reason nobody from Europe or the United States translate Abbas speeches and the lessons taught using the textbooks dripping with Jew hatred that the Western nations are paying to provide and poison another generation and guarantee there will be no peace as long as the Jews are alive. There are those who believe that the reason nothing is ever demanded of Abbas is because all too many of the political class agree with what Abbas is instigating and know that as long as they berate Israelis and blame only Israel for the lack of peace then Abbas will kill some more Jews for them. One hopes that such is not the reality and that peace is actually what all sides desire and ignorance is the only reason that no demands are made of Abbas and the West actually does not know that the Charter never was altered and still calls for the death of all Israelis and the liberation from the river to the sea and nothing less is acceptable to Abbas or the Palestinians as they are assured by the lack of any real actions demanding both sides compromise and that all demands for concessions have and apparently always will be demanded solely of Israel. As long as they are never called upon to compromise and continue to vocally demand every inch of land with the erasure of Israel and her Jewish population then all must be on their side. One can only be confused that the Israelis have never bolted and rejected this status quo. Perhaps that time is way overdue.

 

 

Burning Israel Star of David

 

Perhaps the United States will finally elect a President who understands the lies upon which all previous Presidents have followed and finally break this fatal trend and strike out on a more realistic and fair path which demands both sides meet in the middle and that the Palestinians at long last actually change their charter such that it no longer demands the death of the Jews and the complete destruction of Israel replacing it with Palestine. That would require that the United States elect the candidate who would break with the past and actually seek a real peace and if Abbas refuses to compromise to simply walk away and free Israel to do that which removes the jihadi threat that Abbas poses and end the cycle of violence which is always initiated by Abbas and his band of jihadists. That would mean the removal of Abbas, Fatah, the PLO and the entire alphabet soup of terror mongers and allow those Arabs who would desire to live in peace to remain and those who act against Israel be deported and never permitted to return. This would also allow for replacing the texts and the hate that they teach and instead teach academics which would train the Arabs for gainful employment and a future of freedom and productivity. This would finally give the Arabs in Judea and Samaria to improve their lives and have something to live for which would have to be better than training them such that they only know how to die for Abbas and his war which he will never fight as he demands of them and he will not throw his life away attacking soldiers as he has the youth who he indoctrinates on hatred and chasing the afterlife as if that is the best future these youth can desire, it is criminal and is enough of a reason to rid the Arab society of his poisonous hate. But which of the four leading Presidential candidates would best walk that new path?

 

Since the Israeli leadership feels with good reason that Israel is dependent on the United States for too much to make a go without United States aid at this time, there is a sense of indentured servitude. One of the main reasons that this is so dates back to the deal where Israel accepted the United States promise to provide air superiority for Israel in the Middle East and bought Israel subservience with F15s and F16s if Israel gave up their designing and production of the Lavi fighter which was similar to the F16 but did not have the F15 strike capabilities. The F15s made that deal near impossible to pass up and Israel fell into the trap of dependence on the United States for their fighter and most other aircraft and the Israeli aircraft industry retooled to research, design and produce other military and civilian products. Now it would likely take Israel five to ten years to retool, design and start to produce her own fifth generation or even sixth generation, whatever capabilities and design features those airframes might entail. Likely the sixth generation fighters would be such that one pilot and gunner would control five other birds as well as their own and fly their own cover, and thus a dozen airmen would control thirty-six attack aircraft and with 360o helmets as the canopies of all the aircraft would be solid carbon fiber and Kevlar composite formed under aluminum skin making the aircraft bullet resistant and that much more difficult to shoot down. These aircraft would also have laser intercept such as the Elbit Systems C-MUSIC anti-missile Protection retooled and upgraded to divert and destroy all versions of antiaircraft missiles, heat seeking and radar lacking as well as ground-to-air and air-to-air thus removing much of the need for aircraft to need to use avoidance maneuvers as their inboard systems would remove the necessity. This could be just one of the systems incorporated along with stealth and low frequency anti-radar systems making the aircraft ultimately improbable to intercept or shoot down. But such designing and resting would take likely a dozen years to design and put into production and in the meantime Israel would need to depend on the F35JSF fighters she has already contracted for with the United States.

 

Meanwhile, what would the future most likely be like depending on each of the four Presidential frontrunners? First off, let’s take Donald Trump. He is the most difficult to gauge. Would we get the debate Donald Trump who distanced himself placing wiggle room between his foreign policies and Israel or would we get the AIPAC Donald Trump who proclaimed the United States had no closer friend and to whom he pledged his unfaltering support. The truth probably lies somewhere in between and just might be better on Mondays, Thursdays, Saturdays and Sundays while colder on Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Fridays, who knows. One thing likely is whatever the relations, they would constantly be fluid which would mean that no might not always mean no, it might mean ask again next week and remember which are your good days. So, Donald is what he will be on many issues, a puzzle which will develop and change with time and mood, not necessarily a great thing.

 

Donald Trump

 

Then we have Hillary Clinton. We got a good measure of her approach when she lectured Prime Minister Netanyahu for close to an hour if not more about how when President Obama or herself told him to jump the only response they want to hear was, “How high?” Hillary did pay Israel some lip service when she was running, or should we say buying and collecting her consolation prize of Senator from New York. That was supposed to give her the Presidency in 2008 but apparently somebody was not in on that arrangement so she got another consolation prize instead, Secretary of State, which again was supposed to prepare her for a cakewalk to the Presidency but apparently somebody did not get the memo again, imagine that. So, Hillary Clinton and the Clinton Foundation now being a wholly owned subsidiary of Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) will not exactly be all that enamored with Israel or Egypt and there will be more contribution likely coming from Iran just to complicate matters. Israel can expect tire tracks up and down the Prime Minister’s back with a Hillary Presidency along with more telephone berating demanding he toe the line and know his place. Should there be an election in Israel we can also expect the entire Democrat election machinery to set up camp in Tel Aviv and work diligently to elect whoever a coalition backing either the Labor Party or Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid Party depending upon who promises to be the best little soldier doing whatever they are bid to do.

 

Hillary Clinton

 

Next we will discuss Ted Cruz. Ted is the easiest of the candidates to predict only rivaled by Bernie Sanders. Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders are polar opposites when it comes to Israel. Ted Cruz has stated and can be believed that he will invite Prime Minister Netanyahu to the White House as his first act after being sworn in. The next item on Ted Cruz’s list will be setting in motion a grand White House dinner and possibly grand black tie ball. The meal will be Kosher and the prayer before eating will be performed by a Rabbi of note and probably recommended by the Zionist Organization of America (ZOA). Ted Cruz might just be the President who breaks with the past and ignores the State Department and might even clean out the State department which has often acted as the main functionary for America’s enemies. They appeared to back the Soviet Union and once it collapsed, they quickly swung over to support the Arabist and jihadists. Ted will be the first President to completely ignore Mahmoud Abbas and his litany of complaints and back Israel in their fight against the same Jihadist enemies the United States and the free world are facing. There is little if any difference between Hamas and Islamic State, Hezballah and the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps), Fatah and the PLO (Palestinian Liberation Organization), Islamic Jihad and al Qaeda. These are all either Sunni or Shiite jihadist movements all of which desire an entire world under the boot of Islam; they just differ over which flavor of Islam, rocky road or peanut butter fudge ripple. Ted Cruz fully understands this and if he is smart and can get Allen West for either Secretary of Defense or, if cleaning out the State department is on the to do list, Secretary of State. With Col. West Israel will have another friend in high places.

 

Ted Cruz

 

This leaves Bernie Sanders. Bernie Sanders was born Jewish, or at least into what was a Jewish family. Bernie Sanders himself is not all that caught up in the Jewish thing; actually he appears to run from it as fast and far as he is able. On Israel Bernie Sanders is the one candidate who makes Hillary appear friendly to Israel. Bernie while in the Senate voted to defund Israel. He would quite possibly decide to save money by cancelling the Israeli order for F35JSF fifth generation fighters. He would then likely cut all aid to Israel as well as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Turkey and the rest of the Middle East right before he slashed the Defense budget seeing it all as unnecessary and monies which could be better used correcting income inequality. Bernie would possibly cut all aid to the Palestinians until the leftist and his friends from the socialist camp demanded he continue or possibly increase the aid to these people as they deserved every penny and were not getting sufficient because if the United States supported them half as well as they had Israel all these years the Arab-Palestinian Israel conflict would have been resolved and Palestine would be freed from the river to the sea as it deserves. Bernie Sanders would be a disaster initially for Israel making them potentially endangered for the immediate future but fortunately Hezballah is quite preoccupied and Hamas is nowhere near strong enough to take on Israel and the Islamic State has sufficient problems holding what they have gained and also are in no position to attack Israel. Should Bernie Sanders walk away from supporting Israel it would take Israel less than a year to reinforce their position and be ready for any challenge and could then work on designing their next generation fighter. In the long run Israel would be ahead and more self-reliant and would actually owe Bernie a thank you visit where the Israelis could give him a demonstration of the new Israeli fighter which was going to make many decide to purchase from Israel and forgo the limitations and the leash which the F15JSF has connecting them permanently to the United States which requires regular uploads and downloads feeding the United States every bit of information on how the fighter was used, where it flew, when it flew and any other data including weapons loads that it carried on each mission and if they were deployed and any of the armaments fired and if so at what and whether they hit target or missed. Surely nobody could be concerned about the F35JSF relating such data during maintenance which it would require regularly. So, by cutting Israel off, Bernie Sanders might actually be providing Israel with the incentive to become self-reliant and self-sufficient for her own defense for the immediate and longer future.

 

Bernie Sanders

 

The one thing which was obvious from the start of the American primary elections, the only party which had any chance of offering a candidate who would back Israel even slightly was the Republicans. This stands in stark contrast to elections past where supporting Israel was a guaranteed given in word even if action was less convincing. Things have turned in the United States and we are witnessing the slow but inevitable erosion of the American Israeli love affair. The marriage is without a doubt heading for a divorce and Israel had best get their arms around this inevitability and begin to make whatever adjustments will become necessary and required. The first is get prepared to at the least make their own aircraft as American jets may not be forthcoming after the F35JSF, and that is a fact, not conjecture. We know not how much longer the Republicans will be able to be trusted to support Israel, but once they slide the end will be in sight.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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