Beyond the Cusp

February 9, 2016

Amos Oz Does not Speak in My Name

 

Amos Oz speaking at his seventy-fifth birthday celebration stated, “I cannot stand to hear that term ‘price tag’, and even more so I can’t stand to hear the term ‘hilltop youth’.” He continued to decry and denounce what he referred to as ‘hilltop youth’ exclaiming, “It’s time we look at this monster straight in the eye. ‘Price tag’ and ‘hilltop youth’ are just sweet nicknames for a monster that is time to call by its name,” he continued, adding that those who carried out these vandalism attacks were “Jewish neo-Nazi groups.” And Israel most famous leftist egalitarian hater and proven loud denouncer of all who do not tread his narrowest of paths at the extreme opposite end of the political spectrum from Zionist had this to add, “There is nothing that the neo-Nazis in Europe do and these groups do not do,” charged Oz. “Time to call them by name. Perhaps the only difference is that the neo-Nazi groups enjoy the backing of quite a few nationalist, even racist legislators, as well as rabbis who have given them a pseudo-religious basis.”

 

Perhaps Amos Oz lost all sense of reason and sanity and was carried away by the moment and in his exuberance of reaching the age of seventy-five, though this is far from the first outburst, but maybe it is we who should be denouncing the repeated hatreds of his fellow Jews and countrymen praising and exulting a mass murdering convicted terrorist. I am referring to his having sent one of his personally autographed books, translated into Arabic, to the imprisoned arch murderer and arch terrorist, Marwan Barghouti, with the wish that he be released soon from prison. Amos Oz has denounced and belittled Zionist, observant Orthodox Jews, and the entire settlement movement often referring to them as fascist and now adding neo-Nazi to his list of insults and derogatory references to these dedicated, religious Jews. These are his terminologies as I prefer to refer to these heroes as those living and exemplifying Torah and the commandment to settle the lands as was commanded of Moses to instruct the Israelites, of which the majority remaining Jews were from the tribe of Judah whose tribe was always cast to lead by example and conquer the lands and we are now also commanded by Hashem to settle and resume our claim to the lands. Amos Oz would have us refute the title of Israel as the homeland of the Jewish People as he does not see the Jews as tied to anything other than his leftist and reactionary hatred for Zionism and the identification of oneself as one who fears and loves Hashem and realize and exults the gift and blessings we Jews are blessed with by Hashem. I doubt Amos Oz even believes in a Creator and that Hashem exists neither does he see Torah as defining the way to a righteous world where people respect one another and try to see the best in people, even in Amos Oz.

 

I am not what Amos Oz would refer to as a ‘settler’ nor do I consider myself yet to be a strict Torah observant Jew though I am aware of my deficiencies and at least trying to bring myself to a point where I can believe I stand amongst my fellow Jews as we are all making our own attempts at living by the commandments, faithfully exhibiting the traditions of our people, settling the land and by land we mean that which was promised us, and not an inch more or less than those defined in Torah, and lastly living to respect others and expect one thing as a minimum requirement for all others to meet defining civil behavior, thus deserving of respect, is for them to at a minimum to obey the seven Noahic Codes (see below).

 

Noahic Code the 7 laws

 

The one thing I learned in my return to Torah is that the very first step is accepting that you are but somewhere within the mapping of all of humanity and though we are all measured to be at different places on a mapping that only Hashem knows and physicists are trying to determine the number of dimensions there are in the universe Hashem created, none of us are likely to be any closer or further from the divine entrusted to each of us by Hashem and in at least doing less additional damage as it is the part of us which returns to Hashem for the determination of what will be required to permit our individual soul back into the Heavenly Realm. Eventually we all will meet in that realm and we on this plane of existence know not which of us is closest to Hashem’s hopes for us and that makes us all equal in the eyes of Hashem and thusly we should extend the same respects to each other. That is why though I feel pain in the words; the accusations laid upon our fellow Jews by one whom Hashem has been most generous and graced with what others have found worthy and of merit beyond my understanding, but enjoy these earthly rewards because in the reality of our eternal existence those trinkets hold no value. The unfortunate truth is that on this world others place merit upon us using a different scale, one which may or may not hold value in the end but I believe that part of our cleansing process is finding forgiveness from those we maligned and realizing the equality of all in Hashem’s kingdom.

 

I can only speak for myself, as I am likely to be more judgmental than the actual victims of each terse accusation leveled by Amos Oz and his fellow celebrated leftist academics, writers, directors, composers and the host of other intellectuals and academics, the referring of a fellow Jews as a neo-Nazis or any other reference comparing them to such a universally reviled group is not a kind act and only serves to further alienates one from another. Such are of an unkindness linkable to the referenced individuals as it were the Nazis who defined evil and berating of fellow human beings for their beliefs and on that basis alone made them be considered as an entity undeserving of even the smallest of respectful treatments. Such labelling of an entire group as being Nazis, whether neo, paleo, defacto, extra, intra, ante, crypto, anti, arch, astro, hyper, hypo or any other prefix one might care to place before terms such as Nazi, cheapens the Holocaust and its dreaded connotations and denotations and belittles the acts and consequences of their horrors. The terminology ‘Nazi’ is such a term which must remain identified with Adolf Hitler and the criminal governance and open wound they inflicted on their own countrymen and women and all of humanity. The hilltop youth and the settlers from whence they originate have not ever murdered entire groups of people nor have they denigrated an entire race of people simply to gain power.

 

Where you, Amos Oz, and your fellow celebrated elites have a mutual and special uniqueness, you are among the last progressive, liberal leftists who believe that their views are the sole aspect of human development above contempt and thus so far superior to all others that this grants you the right of judgmentalism. There is one small problem with this view; no human being should be permitted such power to decide for an entire society their political viewpoint enforcing a form of prejudicial restriction upon thought so as to produce a world with thought-crime as defined by George Orwell in his later works. There is an interesting parallel between the Amos Ozes of the world, and particularly of Israel, in that in their youth and early adulthood they were all leftists and had the heart that is required of those inexperienced in the ways and consequences of their views but unlike the Amos Ozes of the world, George Orwell witnessed where taking his youthful views and applying them to their logical and unavoidable end and altered his perspective on the spectrum of political thought and thus wrote truly inspired works which will remain staples for people with discerning taste long after your self-serving and self-aggrandizing works have faded from the human consciousness, and perhaps that is the one gratifying piece of knowledge I can tolerate your special hatreds for people who think as do I.

 

We have learned from others’ mistakes such as the horrors brought on the human race by Communism, a proven failed form of governance which still manages to have its proponents who claim that they have the magic formula which will make such a governance produce the magical kingdom which requires that all make great sacrifices for the good of everyone but in practice those sacrifices are still demanded and they serve a select few who rule which leads to ever worsening productivity as people working for the privilege of a few will slowly grind to a halt as the people realize that their efforts do nothing to improve their lot in life. There is another name for Communism and that word is slavery. Granted they are not identical but to the worker slaving away for their Communist masters or the slave working away for the plantation masters, there be little difference.

 

Amos Oz, I realize that you have a feeling of privilege because you have received the loud applause of an audience of your fellow travelers and as your group has invented awards and commendations which provide for you fame and fortune often which does not reach beyond the gilded walls of your mentally restrictive thought police, but there is another side to this world which is that you never get to experience the life and aspect of those who are not exalted by fellow travelers and who all make a living out of purporting and supporting unviable systems which can sound so egalitarian when played against the greed of Capitalism and the horrors of nationalism with blanket denunciations. Your premise that nationalism means fascism is erroneous and I can give you a quick reference on how. During World War II, as in many wars, there was the side of the Axis Powers which were indeed fascist and exhibited nationalism yet even Stalin noted that the Russians who fought and died after the Nazis turned on their former Communist allies were not fighting for any governance or government; they were fighting for Mother Russia, their nation. The English were fighting to preserve and save England. Both sides exhibited nationalistic traits where things were done for King, Queen (especially Queen Elizabeth II) and country. Both sides were nationalist but for very different reasons.

 

The other claim many leftists make is that Capitalism is evil and oppresses the worker but such is not true. Capitalism rewards two things above all else, hard work and smart work. These function in a complimentary manner. When a worker works hard he is paid in accordance with what he produces be it through piece-work where the worker receives a percentage of the production of their work or an hourly rate where the worker receives payment for their hours of labor and their rate of pay is merited in hourly rate raises. Every so often a worker looks at their way of production and believes they have a better mouse trap or a better and more efficient way of producing the mouse trap (all references to mouse trap is imaginary as it could be automobiles, clothing or even widgets). He will be rewarded by increased production which provides greater profit and thus better conditions and payment of the workers. One example of such in practice was the implementation of the assembly line which has had an effect on many and varied industries and thus production increased, increasing sales and lowering prices, all making life easier and more rewarding. Many leftist elitists claim that such is selfish and only serves to reward greed. I will admit that I know something which you also know to be true, people are greedy and if their greed does not hurt anyone else, then they will be as greedy as possible. In a worker this means producing more so his pay rates rise. To the innovator it means more and greater ideas produce more money in their pockets. Yes, Capitalism is powered by greed and as mankind is greedy there will always be fuel for the Capitalist engines of the economy.

 

Socialism, be it communism which is universal socialism or fascism which is nationalist socialism, rewards only the few who stand above the law and above their fellow man. The workers are told that they will receive all that they desire regardless of their work habits or even if they work. This system turns into a problem rather rapidly, when told that reward is not tied to production there starts to be more demand than production can meet because people are too busy taking from the system without investing effort into the system. It does not take a rocket scientist to see where that road leads, to collapse and some very unpleasant end for those at the top. Socialism can work on the small scale as everybody knows and can see what everyone does and those who do not produce can be shamed into working and contributing more. Even being a small group did not work for the early pilgrims who almost starved to death under a purely socialist system where everyone shares in the production of the whole. They had a massive shortfall, but once they permitted each farmer to keep ten percent of their crop for their own use, the production led to excesses and a much happier community. This was the documented story of the Plymouth Colony which has often been challenged and never refuted successfully, though every challenge is quoted by those attempting to discredit the reality but rarely are the results of each challenge touted but instead each retelling of the challenges applies another layer of opaque lacquer slowly dissolving the fact the challenge was refuted as why would anybody argue that a refuted challenge proved their point? How about because by doing so after every telling the failed rebuttal begins to sound as if it were truth for the illogic of using it if it were false. That is how many untruths becomes accepted wisdom despite the entire fiction being well known by those educated few who allow the warping of history to serve their own ends.

 

Plymouth Colony Recreation on Actual Site

Plymouth Colony Recreation on Actual Site

 

The above is something for the average college and even high school student to be aware of so they can dig a little themselves and find the reality and not the reputation where in some circles a reputation is more easily gained through aggrandizement than through hard toil as long as your story is the accepted story. It is sad that many of the ‘soft-sciences’ are taught by ideologues who refuse to condone any divergence from their warped views which they will champion until the cows come home, which will never happen as nobody repaired the holes in the fencing and the cows have crossed the highway and gone to a neighboring Capitalist farm where they feed the cows and repair the fences.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

February 6, 2016

Iowa Results and Insights

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The biggest lesson we learned was that the media placed far too much emphasis on the caucuses. What we learned was that in cases where there was no definitive winner, then the entire choice would come down to a coin toss, how perfectly random. In the six instances where these rules were applied it was apparent that team Hillary got to call the coin-toss and call them they did. Apparently Bernie Sanders was perfectly happy to allow her team to call it, “Heads we win and Tails you lose.” And in six caucuses that appears to have been the call as Hillary either won each or Bernie lost, either way, Hillary went forth and declared a great victory while Bernie, being Bernie, claimed he and his supporters gave it a good fight and promised to continue the “Revolution” on to New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina and beyond. When one looks beyond the primary delegates to the “Super Delegates” which are more or less decided by the Democrat Central Committee, one sees the reality of the delegate race as Hillary has 357, Bernie has 14 and O’Malley has 2 all going towards garnering the 2382 delegates needed to win.

 

We learned that Hillary can place way too much emphasis on her phantasmal ability or luck by her precinct chairs abilities to call coin tosses. Her grand claims of victory soon turned to sand in her mouth and she probably sputtered and spurted still insisting she had a mandate. Perhaps she was looking at the super delegate count which is made up of party hacks and people of whom Hillary had their FBI files on another server which was not used for State department e-mails but whose contents would be just as interesting to the voting public but has zero chance of ever seeing the light of day as it would be burned as soon as it was taken in as evidence. There are far too many people the files held there could damage and who have the power to destroy evidence just as well as Bill and Hill have proven capable. We also learned that Bernie has excited and tapped into an interesting voter group, the young and first time voters. Some of these first time voters have been of sufficient age to vote before but have now found their candidate. This is a large part of the voters eight years ago which propelled Obama into the White House and are just as likely to spoil Hillary’s last chance saloon and give her a really bad case of déja vu hiccups as she watches another upstart, this time a seventy-four year old hippie socialist who never let go of the dream from his college days, or is it daze? Should Bernie Sanders pull this off he will have proven that Hillary is fated to never grasp the golden ring in politics and Bill will never hear the end of how it was supposed to be hers but that Obama beat her and then Bernie the crazed lunatic stole it and it just was not fair. I guess nobody ever had the nerve or the suicidal tendencies to tell Hillary that life quite often is not fair. We learned also that Bernie had a solid and faithful following and that his challenge to the chosen one is real and very possible no matter how many delegates Bill can line up on Hillary’s side as in this day and age of the voters, as a collective intelligence, choose the candidates and the final elevations of a President. We also have seen the inside of the “Feel the Bern” generations and they are coming on strong and this might make Bernie Sanders the more electable Democrat and the real candidate the Republicans should fear facing.

 

The Republicans gave us a different message. The evangelicals, the Christian Right, was supposed to decide the Iowa vote and put one of two candidates on the short list for failure; they did not come through that way but have written the last swan song for Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz needed to corral, he is from Texas you know, the Evangelicals but he somehow lost about half the herd which left him limping into first place by a small margin, though it was a landslide by Hillary standards. Ted Cruz did do well as many had predicted claiming that the majority of the polling numbers for ‘The Donald’ (Donald Trump from here on) were mostly fictitious and when the time came to actually support a candidate, these polling numbers would prove to be a phantasm and disappear. Well, they actually did but not as far as predicted and Donald Trump has proven he is for real and will become a viable and potential winner should he start to actually express serious steps and reasons for his bombastic statements and clarify them into a reasonable platform people can stand behind. Ted Cruz, as wonderful as his supporters claim, will very likely fall flat in New Hampshire and rebound in South Carolina and Florida though it will remain to be seen if that is sufficient for him to remain in the race. After the caucuses in Nevada and Colorado it will be definitively decided who is the acceptable alternative to the establishment choice which appears currently to have fallen from Jeb Bush to Chris Christie to John Kasich and now on the Marco Rubio. Other than Cruz, Trump and Rubio who finished in close proximity to one-another, the rest should start taking stock of how much is this worth pursuing and what actually are your actual chances of emerging from the background in a positive manner. The media will ignore you until you make a mistake, and then they will crucify you until you fall on your sword; trust me, I’ve been there. For a good number, probably larger than those willing to vote for him, Ben Carson leaving will be heart-wrenching. We want so much to just once have the nice guy who refused to go negative and was an exemplary person whose life reads like a storybook where underprivileged youth from the worst part of town rise to prominence and was not only a success but also a solid positive force and contribution to society become Mr. Smith Goes to Washington except with a much happier result as he rises above the political machinery and does great and wonderful things lifting the nation by his inspirations. That would have been Ben Carson but perhaps this is better as the media have not torn him to shreds which would have come next had he shown he might succeed. The media will praise you to the hills and as soon as you start to succeed, partially due to their building you up, they will tear into you until you let out a personal secret, say that one time you lost your temper, we all have at least one such moment, and then that will become your defining moment as if nothing else you ever accomplished really made up for the momentary weakness when you were eight years old.

 

 

Mr. Carson Goes to Washington

Mr. Carson Goes to Washington

 

 

So the result in Iowa placed Ted Cruz momentarily in the cat bird seat with Donald Trump close behind and Marco Rubio in tightly behind Donald Trump. There being merely 8,500 votes between the three out of close to 175,000 they finished in a photo finish which their margins only looked large compared to the difference, or lack thereof, between the top Democrat candidates who basically resulted in a dead heat. The reality hopefully will become obvious to the three that for the race to be determined honestly then one of the non-establishment candidates will need to bow out if the other will have even a chance of taking the nomination. Should all three remain in the race and the contest continue to have similar results then there will be the definite possibility that at the Republican Convention there will be no definitive winner and as long as the three remain holding their delegates to their vote then there will be an arranged result which is basically a fixed convention where a candidate is chosen in some back room with some establishment and insiders making a choice and then bringing their golden boy forward and sweeping the convention as the party machinery steamrolls any opposition and presto, Jeb Bush is brought forward as the great hope of the party and we end up with the potentially lowest turnout election percentage in American history as we end up with that dreaded Clinton-Bush family rerun of the 1992 election without the drama or concern as the people show their disgust by staying home. Should this scenario become reality, then there need be a slight Constitutional Amendment making every Federal elected office have an additional choice at the bottom such that the people can demand better choices than the party line who has scratched the most backs and it is decided to reward them by making it their turn for the House of Representatives and then later the Senate and finally, for the real party hardliners, the Presidency by voting for “None of the Above” and if “None of the Above” receives the greatest plurality then the parties must find new candidates and a reelection will take place six weeks later, so they better choose well and somebody the people would rally to or they could face embarrassment after embarrassment and perhaps allow a primary if it is a Senate or House of Representatives for unaligned people to attempt to gain ballot access and allow the highest independent vote getter to also be on the ballot as it is doubtful such a person could do any worse in the performance than some of those currently in office. We really need to get better quality candidates and until the parties are forced to consider that they have to win over the people or face challenges from what are usually referred to as Joe-six-pack meaning it as a pejorative label when actually that may be a person who would do a far better job of representing the people with their being from amongst them. Still, there are the gems amongst a sea of party functionaries and the quality, or lack thereof, of the candidates on the average ballot simply proves George Washington correct when he claimed, “However [political parties] may now and then answer popular ends, they are likely in the course of time and things, to become potent engines, by which cunning, ambitious, and unprincipled men will be enabled to subvert the power of the people and to usurp for themselves the reins of government, destroying afterwards the very engines which have lifted them to unjust dominion.” Enough said.

 

We regret that nowhere in the conglomerate of offerings is there a single candidate with military service in their background. Some of the candidates I doubt could reduce their self-worth to a sufficient level to survive basic training nor would they know when to stand on principle and when to stand down as that is also something they test in basic training and for the select few who respond accordingly they offer them to attend OCS which is the one way that an enlisted man can become an officer, and maybe a gentleman. The world stage being what it is, we believe would be best served by somebody who has served and our first choice would be Lt. Col. Alan West.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

January 26, 2016

What if Trump Trumps the Competition for Nomination?

 

Trump is still there against almost every prognosticator and editorial writer who keep interpreting polls and explaining how when people have to actually vote they will become serious and then they’ll vote for a serious candidate. Initially that serious candidate was Jeb Bush who flamed out really fast, then it became Governor Scott Walker but he soon decided to walk on home, then it became Senator Marco Rubio who has slowly sunk into the more of mediocracy and now the latest is former Ohio Governor John Kasich who is in third and a fairly distant third which will likely also fade in the setting poll numbers after Iowa, New Hampshire and North Carolina. The betting line now is after Trump, providing Trump snags victories in Iowa, New Hampshire and North Carolina, who will have polled well enough to have a reasonable standing to attempt to catch the nomination starting from behind, a not completely unheard of happening and, except for blessings in the Torah of second born sons, only considered expected in elections and the last two months of baseball season and a few other sports. The latest New Hampshire polling we were able to locate a poll out of New Hampshire which placed Donald Trump at twenty-seven per cent, John Kasich at twenty per cent, Marco Rubio at ten per cent, Ted Cruz at nine per cent, Chris Christie nine per cent and Jeb Bush eight per cent, with at least fifteen percent undecided as of the polling with some obviously supporting Rand Paul or Mike Huckabee and wise enough not to admit so. What is interesting about these polling numbers is that Senator Ted Cruz is receiving much of the bloviating all a titter, not to be confused for a twittered, about the Donald-Cruz one-on-one bashing, smashing, slamming, screaming with blood flowing and bruises and contusions on the stage and some Twitter smears in one-hundred-forty characters or less free-for-all. Now we see a poll of real people, not to accuse media personnel as being other than real or people but me thinks they would all protest too much and break the one-hundred-forty characters or less Twitter limits, and Cruz is in single digits making his chances as remote as expected from the start. So, what are we to take away from all of this?

 

Firstly, there is a lot of room for improved polling for former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina and anyone else still in the race and below Senator Jeb Bush and his eight percent polling and that the media elite and controlling editors apparently have their own agenda. Let’s look at the media, or at least a wide swath of the media and even FOX from what we have seen and read. The media will push candidates which either have little hope of becoming the nominee such as Ted Cruz, one they expect would be a weak candidate against the expected Democrat candidate which will likely be Hillary Clinton or potentially Bernie Sanders. In either case, the universal choice happens to be the front-runner Donald Trump. The media was handed the perfect storm when Ted Cruz and Donald Trump held a one-on-one, mano-a-mano, slugfest which carried on for almost a week and was the only news event as all else fell off their radar screens. The media is simply giving their largest audience exactly what they are paying to hear, and that is whatever is the most sensationalistic and bombastic news with all the gory details and particulars their money can buy. The media live and breathe in the cities and the media which has a much larger area to cover is completely different and that is what conservative talk radio serves and they are covering the rest of the field and even they find they need to invest an inordinate amount of time covering the Donald Trump phenomena as that is where their audience desires to hear about because it affects them as well.

 

 

Democrat Front Runners Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders

Democrat Front Runners
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

 

 

The particulars about this year’s Republican race and the media covering it until the news is up to its neck in coverage of the Donald has part of its root in the fact that the Democrat race is a two person race from the outset and the only real question there is Hilary, Hilary and more Hilary. Bernie Sanders is sneaking up on the media because they did not believe the crowds he was drawing with his carnival like atmosphere were real because the media had been told by the Democrat establishment that they had piled all of their apples into Hilary as it was her turn. Well, the people have different ideas and Bernie has lit up their interest and he is now the face of the true believers on the left and the antiestablishment candidate. When the media realizes that Hilary had a credible challenger, even if it is Bernie Sanders, the media will clump around them and squeeze until the pressure breaks him or the primaries are over and all of a sudden Bernie will be their man and he was their man all along because Hilary was just too much yesterday’s news. If, or dare we say when, Bernie Sanders finished off the last gasp from the Clinton ‘machine,’ the question will be does the Clinton machine now swing in behind Bernie or will they hold their cards and donor lists close to their chests and hope he fails so they can begin claiming that 2020 was their target year all along. That decision may decide if there is a Clinton machine left after this race as if they do not back Bernie and he wins, that will be the end of it, done, over. Be that such as it may, the crash and burn by Hilary twice in a row and in both instances to what everyone claimed were too weak and unknown candidates who had one thing Hilary lacked, excitement. Hilary never ran for the nomination and simply waiting for what she claimed and honestly believed was inevitable, the White House and status as the first woman President and she offered nothing more and a whole lot less.

 

The Donald is proving that there is no inevitability in politics and that it truly has become a circus. Like Hilary on the democrat side there is Jeb, it’s my turn to be President, Bush who thought when he had the walk-in victory well in hand when he was the only candidate we had heard of and all the money was flowing his way, the republicans were almost giddy with the idea of another Clinton/Bush contest they figured they could win simply by showing up. Well, this year is looking anything but set in their ways, establishment backed Party politics and the people have finally decided it is their country and their Party and they are going to do what they desire and not just follow the Party line drawn for them. This is going to be the year of the populace come what may and the establishment is not what they want in either side. There is no ‘anybody but Bush’ line in the Republican race. The race was Jeb’s to lose and it appears he has done exactly that, lost it. What started this insanity which is quickly becoming the mainstream effort if, for no other reason, because that is the story the media may have caught onto right at the onset when Donald Trump, old Clinton friend and cohort grabbed large audiences to his appearances just as much to laugh and at some point turned and supported him just as Bernie has been doing on the Democrat side.

 

 

The Donald-Make America Great Again-Trump

The Donald-Make America Great Again-Trump

 

 

So, what happens if Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination? The question is more as to what will the Republican establishment do should Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination? It is important to remember that Donald Trump does not need the permission of the Republican Party as much as they will need his stamp of approval as he will have already passed the baptism by fire the campaign threw at him and came out on top. Further, Donald Trump does not need to rely upon the Party money to back him and he does not need the Party permission once he has won the nomination and he might do all that much better without the support of the Republican Party establishment. The favor the Republican Party elites would hand the American public would be for them to refuse to accept Trump as their candidate after he wins hands down the elective process and they deny him his rightful place through manipulating the Convention voting or other controls the Parties hold over their nomination processes in each state and in a larger part over their convention voting itself. It is still possible in both parties to win big in the primaries and still lose by a fairly surprising margin in the convention vote.

 

How is that, you ask? Without going through a ton of confusing math, here are the basics. Just because you win a state’s primary, do not go counting those delegates quite yet. Many states have adopted to use some method other than the winners take all allocation of their delegates. They get as confusing as having each voting district winner getting that delegate and the final delegates which would represent the Senators that state has in Congress usually going to the winner of the state overall but that can be altered and given by the Party bosses as they see fit. There are also the super delegates which are controlled by the elitists of the Party by which they retain some degree of control over who wins the nomination. Then there are all sorts of devious manner in which any selection process can be swayed and be controlled by the Party elite through such means as releasing the delegates from their presumed sworn obligation to vote as they were legally instructed by the states and then lean on the delegates seen as most likely to be susceptible to pressures and other manners of ‘buying’ their vote. Then there is the old adage that it is not who wins the election but who counts the votes that matters, also known as the Stalin approach to politics. After all, it was Joseph Stalin who pointed out this little fact that, “The people who cast the votes don’t decide an election, the people who count the votes do.” So, assume it safe to say that as long as Donald Trump does not win the necessary number of votes outright, even going down to the Congressional seats level and delegate by delegate count, then the often referred to as the powers that be will control who the candidate representing the Party and then appoint the person most likely to lose and have their political career ended once and for all. There are serious consequences for crossing the people when it comes to negating the power of their votes. That is a part of the animus against President Obama as he takes matters into his own hands bypassing the Congress.

 

Finally, just as Donald Trump could do by running as a third Party or no Party candidate, the Republican elites could put their influences and resources behind a third Party candidate either overtly or covertly using all sorts of weapons the largest of which is their influence over money. The Party establishment could decide suddenly that the Presidency is less important than winning Congress and claim in panicked desperate soundbites that they must, in order to save the Party, take all the Party monies and use them to elect every office other than the Presidency thus taking huge sums of money and other resources from the Presidential campaign with the most damaging part being the voter rolls and donations from the Presidential candidate in the final two to three months. Against Donald Trump such a move would be suicidal as he could finance his entire campaign without a penny from the Party but his slogan of win against the dirty money; after all there is nothing cleaner than a candidate using their own money to mount their campaign. Any nefarious or clandestine manner used to steal the campaign from the obvious and going away victor from the primary system would simply be the final nail in the Party coffin as when it comes down to it, what makes a political Party if it is not votes from the public, so ignore them at your own peril.

 

So, now Donald Trump is the Party candidate and will be listed on every state’s ballots as the republican nominee for President, now what? This is where the runner meets the road and we stop using these silly catch phrases as this is where the sloganeering gets decisive. The slogans are chosen and the campaign commercials are shot and the final race to the finish has been run and it is Election Day. There are numerous kinds of Republican and Democrat voters. There are the voters who always vote Party line, the absolute, who else would they vote for base. There are the base behind each candidate which may place some voters who were a different candidate’s true supporter who now must choose between two people they did not support or chose to stay home and watch the Gilligan’s Island Marathon on the who are we kidding channel. It are these stay at home my guy lost and I’m going to pout on election day hoping that if the Party candidate fails they can blame the Party for not seeing your infinite wisdom and intelligence when you supported candidate X and the Party foolishly tempted fate choosing candidate Y. The thing which has changed in politics has been the importance of turning out your Party’s base supporters which, except in the most unusual of cases, is not simply the important thing but the most vital thing in the universe. Elections here in the Twenty-First Century are not won on winning the middle voters, the average voter, as almost none of those voters who will cross ideological lines and even Party lines exist any longer. There are all kinds of single or three issue voters and the candidate needs to turn as many of these from their Party’s voters out to the polls. This is why many politicians have mastered talking out of both sides of their mouths simultaneously and some even manage saying three things at once all while stating nothing at all. This is seemingly more important for the conservative candidate as they have far more to lose if they do not hold true to every single issue which gets tricky when there are opposites within your Party structure. The easiest issues are gun rights and abortion. There are those Second Amendment voters on both sides of the abortion issue just as there are pro-life voters on either side of the gun issue. There is no way of parsing these dichotomies which will produce a guaranteed victory and all one can hope to do is tell the truth and hope they have not hurt themselves too badly.

 

These such issues are often far more damaging for conservatives because liberal media types will always attempt to peel back supporters by asking pointed and sharp edged questions on the most contentious issues hoping to cut voters away from the conservative candidate one-by-one if need be and conservative media will question them similarly claiming to want to present the truth to the voters. In elections there is such a thing as too much truth, especially for conservative candidates as each truth may cost them the election. This is especially true in the Presidential elections as there are far more liberal voters who will hold their nose and vote for the liberal party candidate, the Democrat just because they are not that evil person over on the other side of the ballot. Conservatives need a reason to vote for you and not just I’m not that other person, I am the Republican as that does not walk the walk or even talk the talk according to all too many voters. Those who claim they cannot vote for Trump because he used to be a liberal would likely not have liked Winston Churchill as he was among the left when he was young and somewhere during World War I he became a conservative and an ardent proponent of being prepared to fight a war when it is easily won rather than refuse to face facts that a storm is brewing. He had a number of great sayings on just that subject but I would rather use a different category on which he was also a great and wise discerner of humankind. Sir Winston Churchill stated, “If you’re not a liberal at twenty you have no heart, if you’re not a conservative at forty you have no brain.” That’s a great stopping point, till tomorrow.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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