Beyond the Cusp

September 29, 2015

Social Fabric is Being Torn Apart


The social fabric since the urbanization caused by the industrial revolution has taken the majority of mankind out of a rural setting and thrust us into a more urban environment. The question which should be occupying a large part of those pondering the future is how will our society adjust the social fabric when approaching one third initially and within this century well over three-quarters of what we consider now as the workforce not only not having gainful employment but no opportunity for employment as more and more occupations are performed by robotic systems. In a recent study Oxford University researchers have forecast that machines might be able to perform half of all jobs in the United States over the next two decades, and by implication the same will be true for the rest of the Western and Industrial nations and beyond. Once robotic workers are capable of executing an occupation, that occupation will be on a fast track to making the human employee a luxury, no employer will be capable of wasting further investments and instead will automate or perish before the competitors who have automated their workforce. Our societies throughout the world will need to adjust to a permanent unemployable class which will far outstrip the active workforce projecting sufficient tax revenues no matter what the taxation rate to support the remainder of society. But do not fret as the price of production and delivery of most goods will be delivered at a great savings which will continually become more efficient and less expensive to produce.


One example I recently read of compared the human workers to a former workhorse which powered much of our production either by providing the raw power or was at least required to bring the products to the public. This power and transportation utilized animals such as plowing with an oxen or mule, horse drawn wagons transporting goods from production to the consumers and any other animals mankind once relied upon. In our modern age the sole use for animals is recreation or as a raw material such as sheep for wool and food, cattle for food, dogs and cats as pets and so on with the animals no longer being used as a source of power within modern and industrialized societies. Where the horse drawn wagons and carriages were commonplace on the city streets of New York, Washington D.C, London, Paris and across the world; now a horse within the city limits for transportation is relegated today as some form of recreational use normally reserved for tourists such as carriage rides offered around Central Park in New Your City or central tourist areas in London and Paris and so on. This has caused a drastic drop in the horse population where they have become something that relatively wealthy people keep for their own use and the noble steed has passed its use-by date. The most telling replacement was made painfully obvious when at the start of World War II some of the finest cavalry troops saw their last in the Polish Army until January 27, 1947, when the 1st Warsaw Cavalry Division was disbanded. The initial breakout of World War II saw the attempt to use horse cavalry, as pictured below, in the field against German tanks; one can guess the end result was not too good for the cavalry.


Polish Uhlan cavalry armed with the wzor 35


The use of machinery initially to aid and augment human workforce was the driving technology of the industrial revolution. Power was initially provided by draft animals or water powered systems some of which have been found dating back well before the Industrial revolution to the Roman Empire. Eventually animals were replaced with steam engines followed soon thereafter by more efficient engines such as the internal combustion engine and also the use of electricity to power the factories using electric motors. Whatever the use in the modern factories of the industrial revolution it could be traced back to either hydropower or petroleum and natural gas powered electrical generators or direct use of fossil fuels as in trains, planes and automobiles. The terminology often used to describe the current stage is the information age though one could make an argument for the full utilization of programmable mechanisms. Such systems can trace their history back to the card operated weaving machines which often were water powered used in the making of cloth fabrics. With the development of the microchip we have seen an explosion in the variety of automated machines and had their size drastically reduced and made more agile and adaptable. These robotic units can be programmed or taken through a routine by a skilled operator and then allowed to simply repeat the process it was ‘trained’ to perform. Electronic automating has taken leaps forward to a point where virtually any manual task can be performed by an automated system even to the point of self-driving automobiles, buses, trains, trolleys, trams and other conveyances. Modern airports have installed moving floors to remove the necessity of having to actually walk to your terminal to board or disembark your flight. The exacting standards can and will be facilitated, and will only become more versatile in material and intricacy, as 3-D printing continues to be developed and integrated into the modern, fully-automated factory with robotic employees and a minimal human presence to basically monitor operations and hit the ‘stop’ button in case of, what will be made less common, an emergency or breakdown. What is frightening is there are robots being developed which would facilitate the repair of such a breakdown.


One thing I can attest to from my own work experience is that the printed circuit integrated boards have reached a level of sophistication and the manufacture of the integrated circuits made so affordable that the vast majority of these boards, or even modules, are less expensive to replace the entire part of the unit and send the malfunctioning board to be recycled or even destroyed (in an environmentally sensitive manner, of course). One industry which has turned to automation in a big way has been the automotive industry, both in their products and the assembly of the product (pictured below). The muscle of a robot is one of its major benefits as it never tires of doing its assigned tasks, never takes a break, is rarely ill or out of commission, does not complain and is very efficient. The latest addition to the productivity and versatility of the robotic assembler is that the software is almost to the point where a robot will be fully capable of replacing the majority of service jobs as well. In the future there may well be some upscale stores which will offer their patrons a level of service advertised as the most personal service one could expect, and such a boutique would actually have real flesh and blood people. What will be amazing is those people may even approach the efficiency, attentiveness, level of service and any other category except for speed and acute knowledge of the entirety of products available but otherwise just as good service as one can get from an automated shop. The basic for such a machine requires a special set of electronics which will have a microprocessor board which will contain any number of required CPUs (central processing unit), Memory ICs (both read/write and worm, write once-read many), support data ICs holding the AI (Artificial Intelligence) and the various switching, logic gates, and drivers (all of which look a lot alike to the chip displayed below). The current form of Artificial Intelligence in a robot can take many various forms each with their own special abilities and limitations. Some you might choose to have around the home to do the cleaning and be a walking-talking data base to provide information or even take your selfies and post them on Instagram, Facebook or whatever is the latest and greatest once we all have our personal assistant. (see below)


Modern Automotive Robotic Assemple Line


CPU Central Processing Unit Integrated Curcuit



Robotic Personal Assistant and Augmentation Suit


The predictions are that humans as a part of the workforce will be limited to personal touch niche and specialty markets but manufacturing will be fully automated within the next fifty years. Some of the effects of just sending many manufacturing plants overseas have had a huge debilitating effect of employment and pay scale of average incomes. Additionally, the United States has faced this drain in particular and it is not simply the income of the workforce which has driven many manufacturers overseas but rather the additional restraints and extra costs of making many products which drove them from American soil. The cost of pollution controls are quite stringent by comparison to the near nonexistence of such laws and restrictions in China and other markets. Taxes are another driving force pushing these jobs overseas. One has to realize what the extra costs with compliance with all the labor laws, inspections, building codes, noise limitations and the additional costs of employees with the new addition of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) which in and of itself has produced an expected quirk as far as new hires in the United States. Where part-time work for people employed from twenty to twenty-nine hours per week has increased measurably, some estimates place it as high as twenty-five percent with the average assessments placing it at approximately twenty percent but on the other end. Full-time employment figures have not only not increased as well but in most assessments has dropped approaching five percent. College graduates can expect lower starting wages with many even working in their field starting at below fifty-thousand dollars a year. This is after at the minimum of four years at an average cost of over one-hundred-thousand a year for room, board, books and other supplies and fees. There are also a record number of college graduates who have been forced to accept employment in other fields and at positions which do not require a college degree, and we are not talking about those who majored in Renaissance French Sonnets of the Sixteenth Century.


The coming explosion in robotics will be from two perspectives. The first will be the rapid advancement of AI (Artificial Intelligence) to levels where one would have some degree of difficulty determining if they are speaking with an actual person or a computed employee, basically a telephone operator robotic unit. There is work being done now that has computer programs that write the codes for use in robotic systems. There are cad/cam software programs which enable the computer to design the systems to meet specifications using modular designs which are becoming as complex and intricate as anything produced previously by human beings. The truly frightening thing is that we may soon have robots designing and programming their own improved models and able to implement the manufacture and production of their improved design. This also implies that robotic systems in the not too distant future will also be capable of rewriting their own software and improving themselves for their own purposes. Once the machines begin producing more powerful and more capable machines and are capable of writing the programs allowing these improved robots the ability to supercede the level of competence of the initial robot we will have, as the human race, made ourselves superfluous placing us beyond the cusp and onto the endangered species list as we will have just as much relevance to robots speaking their own invented language and, who knows, inventing their own programming language which will completely shut human kind out of the formula. Let us hope the robots of the future find us to be cute little humans and get a good laugh at the humans posting their exploits on the internet. The robots are coming, the robots are coming and many of them are here already and they are assisting the government in watching you.


Beyond the Cusp


August 8, 2015

President Obama and John Kerry Blame Israel First

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This week we had some of the most anti-Israel and anti-Semitic Comments from the Administration. The statements from Secretary of State Kerry were given in an in-depth interview given to the Administration’s favorite and very supportive reporter, Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic newspaper. Secretary Kerry made claims that the nuclear deal with Iran is “as pro-Israel as it gets.” The Secretary of State further stated resolutely that he “doesn’t know” if the Iranian leadership is serious about destroying the State of Israel. One can only wonder what universe Secretary Kerry’s mind is wandering, lost and all alone, to make such ludicrous statement of this magnitude of self-deception. Kerry predicted that the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would never negotiate stating, “The ayatollah constantly believed that we are untrustworthy, that you can’t negotiate with us, that we will screw them. This will be the ultimate screwing. He will not come back to negotiate. Out of dignity, out of a suspicion that you can’t trust America. America is not going to negotiate in good faith. It didn’t negotiate in good faith now, would be his point.” From what we observed, the Iranians, especially there Quran memorized genius extraordinaire Ayatollah Khamenei, have yet to negotiate once they had read Secretary Kerry and his boss, President Obama, were neophytes splashing in the toddlers’ wading pool claiming they were fighting off the circling sharks and thus ended any hopes for negotiations and opened the doors for schooling. The Iranians realized that neither Secretary Kerry nor President Obama had a solid conviction, they could never compromise and as such would accept every rejection as final, never to be brought back and pushed again, and further were taking dictation from the Iranians for the wording of the agreement and thusly Iran dictated and the Americans simply wrote what they were instructed bobbing their heads in agreement like a bobble-head in the rear window of a car riding the cobblestone streets of Annapolis.


There is little doubt that what has been presented to Congress for their taking an up or down vote is at best a disastrous compendium of failed and spineless representation of the United States committed without even a modicum of American pride and care for the future of a once great nation or at worst it is simply a shameless, weak-willed, cowardly, bald-faced surrender of the United States, Europe, Israel, the Western World, and every former American ally the world over before the greatest state sponsor of terrorism responsible for uncounted deaths of American military men in Lebanon, Iraq and within the United States itself and that was merely their initial volleys. Just wait until they have their nuclear stockpile guaranteed by this deal to come as early as eight years and likely less. I apologize for that long-winded prose but as they might have said in any number of states within the United States, “They needed a sayin’!” The deal which has been made public and the admission that the public deal, as atrocious and dangerous it is to the United States and the world beyond that, is only the welcome mat placed at the door to nuclear weaponry with the blessings and assistance of the best the United States has to offer, there is a further secret deal so much worse for the free world and anyplace not currently ruled by Shiite believers in the Twelfth Imam, that it has not and never will be made public. This deal that is being offered which implies acceptance of the secretive deal forbidden for the lawmakers in Congress to even read while in a closed session of Congressional members holding Top Secret clearance from the Pentagon, State Department, the FBI, the CIA and the Department of Homeland Security, has the stench of making Obama Care smelling like a rose. Giving this deal the ratification which President Obama is demanding is even worse than Nancy Pelosi and her statement, “you have to pass the bill to know what’s in the bill,” as with this deal it is “you have to pass the deal and still you will never know what’s in the deal until it happens and thus too late.”


The secretive deal which was accomplished with the professional assistance of the IAEA has been produced using the IAEA as the middle men for the additional deal such that neither the United States nor the Iranians talked directly to the other side but instead were required for all communications go through the IAEA such that all negotiations and the final agreement will necessarily remain inaccessible to all but the persons directly involved in its crafting. By having the IAEA withhold any information until after the fact that the deal has been passed and approved by both sides. There is a remote possibility that the super-secret additional treaty will contain elements put into the final writing which the IAEA actually felt were necessary for them to complete their assigned duties which come from its charter and that of the United Nations as well as their enforcement of the NPT (Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons) which the IAEA felt were necessary to complete their requirements and duties independent of any agreement between the P5+1 and Iran. Any stir or complaining over the secretive deal would necessarily emanate from the Iranians as the United States appeared to be negotiating more like a gameshow host with the name of the show is ‘Giveaway’ which attempts to give people more prizes than they walk away with. As Carly Fiorina stated about the negotiations and the efforts directed by President Obama and carried out by John Kerry, “They broke every rule in the book.”


The rule they broke and broke constantly with Secretary of State Kerry starting his tirades with and ending his tirades with condemnation at Israel or at Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. President Obama declared that Prime Minister Netanyahu to be a warmonger. There were innuendos that somehow any Israeli condemning, or even dare commenting at all, about the Iran nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA), are traitors to their country and they are defaming the President. President Obama has made particular mention of Israeli, and Prime Minister Benyamin (Bibi) Netanyahu’s opposition to the deal and claiming ad-nauseum that all the Israeli leader, and the rest of the Israeli leadership, wanted was to drag American troops back to the Middle East to fight their fight for them. They also implied that the Israelis were the only nation who was objecting to the deal and this must be because they just want to stir up trouble. While President Obama claimed Israel was blowing smoke and trying to vilify those who worded with great dedication to get such a strongly negotiated deal and that the JCPA was the equivalent of John F. Kennedy’s stand-off with the Soviets and ranked right up there with Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s work in his terms in office; Secretary of State Kerry was denoting that if the deal was not approved by Congress that Israel would find herself alone in the world and more international isolation of Israel was to result from their rejection of the greatest deal since the Ten Commandments were “negotiated” on Mount Sinai. Actually the entire deal was very much like receiving the Ten Commandments as Moses must have trembled in awe as the stones were carved and taken right out of the bedrock by Hashem and it is fairly safe to claim that Moses simply agreed to the terminology and meanings behind the Ten Commandments while Secretary Kerry and team sat there while Iran dictated the terms it wanted and cleaned the slate of any other concerns or left them with an aside which simply watered down any inconvenience Iran might have faced.


Between Secretary Kerry and President Obama’s deriding Israel, castigating Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and their blame Israel first, last and foremost should the JCPA fail in the Congress that Israel is to blame despite the small but consequential fact, Israel had absolutely no input on the terms, the one way terms, in this deal which is what will destroy its enactment as Israel would have demanded significant changes and most definitely refuse to allow the Iranians to delay any snap inspection and place it on a series of hearings and other deliberations and further delays from an appeal system which if taken through every delaying tactic, by our calculations, Iran can delay a snap inspection for as long as anywhere from 45 to 52 days which really does not make them all that snappy, immediate, or a surprise at all; and this system is the one for their supposed known facilities used strictly for civilians purposes. The snap inspection of a military instillation, if permitted at all by Iran which means a strong suspicion will possibly be approved after almost six months and If Iran can prove that such would harm their standings in the world and that the inspection is solely for Western spying, then the approval may not come, ever. Meanwhile, the collection of soil samples from the Parchin facility, which somehow survived in some form, permitting the IAEA to investigate by the use of soil samples has been tainted by the collection method of those samples. The Iranians have been noted through satellite pictures and reported sightings to be replacing the soil and gravel roads and putting down new soil for at least the second time. The soil samples from the Parchin will be provided by the Iranians themselves and not by a neutral or outside of the sight and simply labelled that they were taken from Parchin. They could guarantee the soil was the same as was now used in Parchin even if they used the soil from there and did not take it from the quarry or from wherever the current new soil is being taken.


The constant drumbeat of accusations against Israel and Israeli leadership for their lack of cooperation in assisting the administration in attaining approval for the JCPA began to wear thin as I am sure was also the feelings in the White House towards Bibi’s speech to Congress and his continued refusal to cooperate and get behind what he feels is an inadequate agreement. The inevitable blaming the Jewish leadership and Jews generally as being unsupportive and displaying an unhealthy affinity towards Israel and were guilty of putting Israel before their home nation, the United States will be the first step to rising anti-Semitism. Where this accusation was probably more targeting the Jewish members of Congress and potentially a remote few in media who are opposing the deal, the reality is it was also a warning shot across the bow for all Jews in the United States that under the remainder of President Obama’s term in office that the Jews have been put on notice that their loyalties are in question and they will also be held accountable should the JCPA fail in the Congress. So, should the JCPA fail in Congress then the problem is disloyal Jews who put their Judaism before their loyalty to the motherland, fatherland, hinterlands, any accusation of disloyalty or misplaced emotions for their ancestral homeland. By making this accusation against the Jews and only the Jews we have finally hit the official Nazi style denunciations of Jews as traitors. Where I am concerned is whether this is being drummed up solely to place an albatross around Senator Schumer, the Senior Senator from New York, is Jewish and is voting against the JCPA as of the latest news on his position attempting to force him back in line knowing full well that a number of other democrats will also follow his lead should he vote for the JCPA or is this a lead-up to convicted spy for Israel, Jonathan Pollard, who has been granted his parole and will be released from an American jail on November 21, 2015 after being incarcerated for thirty plus years with a number of that time held in solitary confinement. Perhaps President Obama is considering nullifying Pollard’s parole should the JCPA fail in the Congress as punishment for what he perceives as further Jewish treason and the sole person that President Obama can actually affect is Jonathan Pollard. Such spite is not beyond President Obama and one hopes that he is not mulling such a hate filled move should his precious not be passed.


At the other end of the scale, there has been rumored that a Republican Senator is planning to propose legislation forbidding the signing of the JCPA instead of simply relying on the proposed JCPA to fail in either side of the Congress but wishes to go the extra step of emphasizing the opposition to the Iran deal. This would be the worst possible idea and would only serve to empower President Obama’s use of his veto. Any legislation calling for the Iran deal to be nullified, never ever signed, discarded and try again, or any other manner of describing the distaste for the deal that was negotiated is wrongheaded and a potential disaster. Any such legislation proposed in either side of the Congress should be quashed immediately as should any legislation of this sort actually be passed challenging the Administration’s desire would open the entire effort to a Presidential veto. A bill demanding there be no signature on the JCPA gives President Obama veto power which he does not have should the JCPA be voted down. Should the JCPA be voted down in the Congress, that is the end, fini, terminated, and dishonorably discharged thus nullifying the Iran Deal. Once the JCPA is voted down it goes nowhere, not to the White House and does not even need to reach the other side of the Capital Building. Further, Presidents do not get to veto legislation which has not passed both sides in the Congress. A Presidential Veto is used to prevent legislation from the Congress become the law of the land and cannot take anything which failed in the Congress, veto their voting the deal down, and by doing so reinvigorate the monster deal giving it life again. If either side of Congress says no to this deal it is all over, especially should the Senate turn it down. President Obama does not get to change the rules in the Congress and make their voting something down come back to life by his vetoing their defeat of any vote, and challenge them to override his veto, as his veto has no weight if the Congress turned the bill down even if by a single vote in both sides of Congress. That is how democracy in the United States functions. The fear I hold is what ramifications might the Congress turning the JCPA down produce, as they most definitely should. They should demand in its place a real treaty where both sides get some of what they demand, not just sit there like sheep when the Iranians reject a proposed clause, and hang their head and acquiesce when the Iranians make a demand and nod approvingly as it is incorporated into the eventual final JCPA and then made into international law. The Jews will be held to account and the anti-Semitism that is running rampant in Europe will then take its first real foothold in the United States.


It is well known that President Obama has transformed two things in the United States. The first item he transformed was the Democrat Party which he remodeled into the far leftist realm of the ultra-socialist labor parties found in most European nations or whatever their main leftist, socialist party might be named. Additionally, President Obama has changed the United States and made it a faded copy of any European nation one might care to choose, even poor Greece as the United States debt is even worse than that of Greece in total Dollars or Euros. The only missing element has been overt anti-Semitism. Has anti-Semitism in the United States increased? You better believe it has as the reading of headlines for the past weeks would show. Anti-Semitism in the United States is fortunately nowhere near as bad as it is in Europe, but the potential is there for it to explode. Just remember the vote taken at the Democrat convention where the effort to include support for Israel and recognizing their capital city as Jerusalem, even if it did say Western Jerusalem, and to place “In G0d We Trust” into the Democrat Party Platform where they had to take the vote three times and never got the required majority but called it passed despite the votes by the delegates refuting these inclusions.





If the Democrat Party had that much difficulty that they had to operate by ignoring the rank and file delegates whom voted evenly split on whether or not to recognize Jerusalem as the Capital City of Israel, and for placing devotion to G0d into their Party Platform, then it would not be much of a step into anti-Semitism and the first call for rejecting the Jews in the United States separating them from the body of the Republic is always the same throughout history, the Jews are accused of treason, unfaithfulness to the nation, too involved with their religion to be true citizens and all of those start with the claim that they are not normal citizens and have an unhealthy allegiance to Hashem, Israel, Torah, their brethren amongst the enemies of the state, refusal to fight like everyone else in the last great war despite their service percentage of their population being higher than the average of the rest of the nation. The reason always used was to ask a group, ‘Who served in the last conflict,’ then with almost half the hands raised they ask the clincher, ‘Who had any Jews serving with you?’ When the majority of the hands go down the point is made but only because the Jews in the nation are almost always below two and more often below one or even one-half of a percent and thus even if every Jewish man, woman, child and infant were to serve in the last conflict and make a point that they were Jews, something rarely done often out of uncertainty and fear, still the majority would not have had a Jew serving with them. But that makes no matter and even if a mere three percent of the nation supports these haters, that still means they outnumber the Jews often two to one so at any rally the anti-Semites almost always outnumber the Jews simply due to numbers.


People are often amazed to find out what the percentage of Jews in the world, including those who barely have any attachment to their religion except perhaps holding a shortened Seder dinner with family at Passover and possibly attending Synagogue for high holy days of Rosh HaShana and Yom Kippur, the total percentage of Jews in the world stands around zero-point-two percent, that is 0.2 percent. When one figures in the Jewish populations for the United States and Israel accounting for just over 80 percent of the Jews living in the world, that makes the percentage of Jews in the remainder of the world at 0.04 percent on average for the rest of the world. The total number of Jews in the world is approximately a whopping 14.25 million out of a world population of 7.25 billion and President Obama claims that the Jews in Israel and around the world are going to defeat his international diplomatic triumph simply to punish his Jewish perceived scorn for Israel and its Prime Minister and their reaction, if it were to exist, is based on how it will treat Israel and not out of concern for the potential of an Iranian attack on the United States. Really? Give me a break.

President Obama is attempting to tap in on the world’s longest hatred and make out that he is the victim and will point at Senator Schumer, the Senior Senator from New York, is Jewish and is voting against the JCPA and ignore the small fact that the journalist, actually White House go to man at the Atlantic, Jeffrey Goldberg, who also happens to be Jewish and is the man of the hour whenever the President or John Kerry or other Administration personnel need to get promising and glowing report into print, they just call Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic newspaper. and the deed is done.


A four picture montage of John Scary Kerry at his long-faced best. Hopefully once he is done failing and flailing at being Secretary of State we will be done with John Kerry. His ineptitude and at times traitorous actions have shamed the United States ever since his treacherous testimony before the Senate accusing his supposed, though never in Kerry’s mind or heart, fellow soldiers equating them with the ruthlessness of Genghis Khan and his opinions have little changed with the years.

A four picture montage of John Scary Kerry at his long-faced best. Hopefully once he is done failing and flailing at being Secretary of State we will be done with John Kerry. His ineptitude and at times traitorous actions have shamed the United States ever since his treacherous testimony before the Senate accusing his supposed, though never in Kerry’s mind or heart, fellow soldiers equating them with the ruthlessness of Genghis Khan and his opinions have little changed with the years.


So, President Obama, let me inquire as to whom it was the Secretary of State Kerry ran to with his tale of woe and despair that we mentioned at the top of our editorial. That’s right, Jeffery Goldberg and out came the long-faced tale of woe and how again John Kerry was forced to carry the weight of the world on his broad shoulders and that his long-face, a genetic thing we assume as he always appears to be deeply sorrowed and long-faced, that aside, Kerry spoke with Jeffrey Goldberg on the record explaining the wondrous Iran deal and then with his long-face he told of the woe as he was not being given the expressions of thanks and lauded for the great deal he snuck into the Iranian crafted deal in such a way as they would never notice, which is largely because he snuck absolutely nothing into the agreement nor overtly insisted on anything in the agreement and bent over backwards and with a long-face all seriously drawn even further he has slogged his way through these tough and harried negotiations without receiving any thanks. Well, I thank you Secretary Kerry as without your tales of woe what ever could I poke so much fun at and we all know that this train of long-faced tales of woe will continue into the future for at least fifteen more ever tedious months. Thank you Secretary John (long-faced) ‘sKerry.’


Beyond the Cusp


May 14, 2015

When Polls Lie and Deceive What to Believe


In the last three major elections in the democrat and republican electing world the polls were as misleading as one could imagine. Not only did they get it wrong, it appeared that their polling was just as corrupted as their reporting. In this last election in the United States the polls predicted minor gains for the Republicans in Congress but with the Democrats probably retaining a slight majority in the United States Senate. The Republicans gained sufficient seats to rise to a dominating position in the Senate and further improved their position in the House of Representatives and as if that was not sufficient, the Republican Party also swept a number of State and local elections placing the party in a position of dominance unseen in decades. The liberal states of Massachusetts and Maryland elected Republican Governors despite their being the bluest of blue states.


In Israeli elections the polling and every indicator predicted that the Zionist Union, the marriage of the Labor Party with Tzipi Livni’s Hatnua Party, was going to sweep Prime Minister Netanyahu out of office. Further, it was predicted that with the aid of election specialists who had assisted in charting the course of the reelection of President Obama running a political operation called V2015 run by Obama election strategist Jeremy Bird and using the cryptic slogan of “Anyone but Bibi” was going to put in place an undefeatable election day tsunami sweeping the Zionist Union into power. Somehow Bibi Netanyahu won taking a commanding thirty seats beating the odds where the polling predicted the Zionist Union beating Netanyahu and the Likud twenty-six seats to a mere twenty-three seats. How could it have been polled so wrong such that the real results were Likud with Thirty and Zionist Union garnering twenty-four coming in a weak second. Again the polling was so wrong one could have thought they were blindsided by the actual results.


Finally there were the recent British elections where Ed Miliband and his Labour Party were supposed to sweep the Tories and David Cameron from office was also dead wrong with the conservative Tories and Cameron embarrassing the Labour Party so completely that Miliband resigned without bothering to wait for the broom to sweep him aside and replace him atop the Labour Party. This was simply the cherry atop the three layer cake with each layer sweeter than the previous as election results made lies out of the predictions by the pollsters. That begs the question as to how could they have gotten all three so completely wrong and should we believe anything we read about in polling.


There could be any number of reasons for the inaccuracy of polling from improper reading of the results leading to massaging the results in order to match the pollsters political preferences or that the media intentionally went with slanted polling data knowingly but fully believing that they had sufficient sway to bring about the results they desired simply by reporting the results they desired and willing them into existence. It is entirely possible that the methods utilized by the polling companies favored the liberal leftists over the right wing conservatives. One method of polling which had found produces such results is to utilize polling conducted by using land-line phone numbers during mainly daytime hours when the majority of the people who have jobs are working at those jobs and therefore are not home to take any polling calls, which is also why they use land-lines and not mobile, though even mobile polling would likely produce similar results just less skewed to the left. Then again, if people are anything like the folks I know then they only use their cell phones and only have a land-line because it came with the package they get their internet access or television cable and never give out that number thus never answer the land-lined knowing that the call is either a poll or telemarketer and either way undesired. But maybe the polling methodology was not to blame but the people themselves are the problem.


What if the people have been so beaten down by the seemingly endless efforts to force political correctness along with leftist propaganda down our throats using news reporting which is more electioneering or campaigning or simply editorial opinions wrapped up to appear like news coverage that the people react repeating the touch-words or positions constantly pushed upon them by a media which has completely turned to the left beyond any reason. People may have reached the point that they find it easier and less complicating for their lives to simply regurgitate the leftist mantras to avoid offending the sensibilities of anyone leftward-leaning within earshot who would immediately slowly turn in their direction and then questions by question slowly turn further until they are glaring directly at the malcontent who spoke words which are taken as offense and must be challenged until all descending conservative expression has been wiped from the public sphere. Where this may have silenced those conservatives who simply take the path of least resistance which in public discourse means not upsetting the leftist sloganeering policer of their immediate space, they cannot yet accompany everyone into the voting booth where everyone is free at last to vote their true mind and not be made to suffer the umbrage and wrath of the leftists in our midst. Perhaps that has so swept and crept its way into our lives that anytime other than within the safe confines of the voting booth we will simply become leftists for the duration while secretly voting our inner Churchill, Thatcher, Reagan, Jefferson, John Adams or Menachem Begin when the chips are to be cast, gathered and counted in order that our captains for the ship of state are selected.


Think about debates at work with associates or discussions with fellow congregants at our places of worship or wherever we toil, gather or socialize and my bet is there is at least one person in each of those settings whose stand is for Big Brother and makes sure any wrong-think is made sufficiently uncomfortable that fairly soon all but the lost causes simply speak the words our monitors desire to hear and keep our real thoughts happily dancing within our minds unmolested by the minders. There are also those few outliers who are true believers and speak their minds no matter who may add their names to a list of those to be watched, as many have made so many of such lists that one more will make little difference. These are the ones who can often give as good as they get. Only the few ever make friendship bonds with these people and if we should we often request they not reveal our true political kinship as we are amongst the quiet quiescence slumbering through life passing by semiconscious of the views expressed around us as there is nothing worth our fighting for as we still have the blessing of honest representation of our votes. Should we lose such honest accounting of the ballots then will we allow ourselves to be availed of out of our quiet accommodations and comforting silence and then hear us roar for when it comes to our votes we will not sleepwalk through such offense. There is much we can allow to pass as fact when we know it to be different, but the honest representation of our vote we draw the line and demand honest representation.


It is little wonder that those in the media can walk around claiming in all honestly that every person with whom they speak of such things all supported President Obama and thus it was an absolute impossibility that the President was reelected by so close a margin. These people are not delusional because they mean it when they claim that election results were completely skewed, opposed to the polling, and they are truly flabbergasted and personally destroyed that the Congress or Knesset or Parliament which was elected could have gone so wrong, as in their worlds their viewpoints are correct, good and the only honest result possible and the other side can only possibly win by deceit or trickery. We are all living more and more in small echo chambers where we hear little from the other side of political and social issues. Our bubbles are carefully chosen and seldom do we hear a disparaging word and our skies are not cloudy all day. Often we even go so far as to carefully choose from whence we receive our news so as to hear only those reports which inform us of how impossible it was that we lost an election or that the results were so much closer than they should have been. The most often heard reason for any loss in an election was simply that our side did not get the vote out and turnout favored the other side. There was a perfect such comment made after the recent midterm elections in the United States when President Obama actually had the nerve to claim, “To everyone who voted, I want you to know that I hear you. To the two-thirds of voters who chose not to participate in the process yesterday, I hear you too.” I likely could spend the rest of my life and never find somebody in high office who is so out of touch with reality that they would make such a statement. For your amusement, here is the comment straight from Obama’s mouth.





Beyond the Cusp


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