Beyond the Cusp

February 14, 2015

Obama Promises Kept and Cashed by Iran

Filed under: Absolutism,Act of War,Administration,Alberto Nisman,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Argentina,Argentine-Israeli Mutual Association (AMIA),Bashir al-Assad,Benyamin Netanyahu,Binding Resolution,Blood Libel,Breakout Point,Buenos Aires,Calaphate,China,Civilization,Commander in Cheif,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Congress,Consequences,Coverup,Defend Israel,Ditherer in Chief,Egypt,Elections,EMP Device,Executive Order,Forced Solution,Foreign Aid,GCC,Government,Gulf Co-operation Council,Hate,History,House of Representatives,IAEA,Inspections,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Military,Iranian Pressure,IRGC,ISIS,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Israeli Interests,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jihad,John Boehner,John Kerry,Lebanon,Leftist Pressures,Middle East,Mohammad Javad Zarif,Muslim World,North Korea,Nuclear Option,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Scientist,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,P5+1,Plutonium Production,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,Prime Minister,Russia,Russian Pressure,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Secretary of State,Senate,Speaker of the House,Supreme Leader,Syria,The Twelfth Imam,Threat of War,Tri Border Region,Turkey,Twelvers,United Nations Presures,United States,Uranium Enrichment,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,World War III,World Without Zionism or America,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 3:23 AM
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“We will extend a hand if you are unwilling to unclench your fist” President Obama proclaimed in his inaugural address in January 2009. Iran heeded these words and now that President Obama had run the entire gamete and though he won the White House twice, he managed to lose the Congress entirely and the Republicans now hold both houses. That probably is the least of the tactical problems facing President Obama in completing his desired handshake with Iran forging a relationship he sees as lasting into eternity as the two powers divide the world between them. The problem is that Iran never has unclenched their fist. But even this is of no concern as Iran has done the next best thing. Iran has used that clenched fist and pummeled President Obama so severely that he now sees that clenched fist as a hand extended for a warm, friendly handshake as the two nations appear to have reached a surrender scheduled for announcement on or before March 24. This agreement will probably allow Iran to retain at least twelve-thousand operative centrifuges and retain the remaining seven-thousand as spares to replace any that fail. Further, Iran will be permitted to replace these centrifuges in use for newer and faster centrifuges as they develop them. All inspections will be placed in the hands of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) who will set an inspection schedule in cooperation with Iran. That should work out really well.

 

The big question for President Obama is will he be able to salvage even the slightest victory from this deal. The potential would be better if he had any cards to play and even knew how to play them. Still, he still had hope as the Iranians may very well see allowing the United States to return and reopen their embassy in Tehran to be to their advantage. Such a move would allow President Obama to at last claim his big legacy building event with his signing an agreement for the return of the United States embassy and opening relations with Iran and declaring the possibilities for how together the United States and Iran could work and stabilize the Middle East. Such an alliance would turn the entire current Middle East structure on its head. Such a move would place the United States in Iran’s corner against Israel and Saudi Arabia. Such an alliance would probably include Turkey as Erdogan will bend in whichever direction best serves him while still working behind everyone’s back to serve his own purposes, just as he has aided the American efforts against ISIS allowing their use of the airfield in Turkey while also allowing ISIS to run recruitment efforts and resupply efforts crossing into Syria from within Turkey. The real question is whether the rest of the Middle East and potentially beyond can stomach such a deal as President Obama is obviously ready and willing to grant the Iranians pertaining to their nuclear program. Facing what can only be described as President Obama rolling over for Iran, it is no wonder that Israeli Prime Minister has been willing to face the blitz of forces turning against him in blatant support of President Obama.

 

The real problem and the possible fate that all efforts are already too little, too late is what is facing Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu as he will be speaking to the combined houses of the United States Congress sometime early in March presenting any information which Israeli intelligence is willing to share and probably even more intelligence later in private meetings before committees and probably some individual meetings which might be requested. The strife and scorn being unloaded on the Prime Minister with the fraudulent claim that he blindsided the President by accepting the invitation by Speaker of the House Boehner before the White House had been notified must be unbearable and only made worse as the New York Times noted that both the Speaker of the House and Prime Minister Netanyahu had spoken with the White House before the invitation was offered and before the Prime Minister agreed to speak. President Obama has spared nothing to try and discredit everybody and anybody in an effort to make the speech of secondary importance to the insult thus voiding anything presented. That leaves the question of what can anybody do to blunt the overt display attempting to make the entire affair, the speech included, disregarded and relegated to the trash bin of irrelevancy, making it all about insulting the President and otherwise meaningless. Meanwhile in Israel, the leftist media and the ill named pairing of Hatnua with Labor as the ‘Zionist Camp,’ two far leftist, post-Zionist, post-modernist, anti-capitalist, redistributionist parties are only exceeded in their leaning by the communists and in a close tie to the far leftist Meretz.

 

I have rolled ideas around in my head and nothing, absolutely nothing came to mind, until I got a flash which has to be one of the most ridiculous lines the Prime Minister might use at the start of his speech and then hope he gets either a fair amount of laughter or at least some meager appreciation from what will potentially be a rough house; he might try saying, “I have not come here to bury President Obama but to praise him.” After that, should he not get a response, then the only thing left is the old Henny Youngman line which was later used to great fanfare by Rodney Dangerfield, “I don’t get no respect, I tell ya.” After that the Prime Minister will need to rely on the facts and a somber telling of the potentially dire results if Iran is permitted to reach breakout level as before they could be prevented from going fully nuclear they could easily make their breakout by building ten, twelve or even more devices, all of which would be deliverable on their ballistic missiles including their newest ICBM capable of striking anywhere on the globe. The numbers of weapons they might originally make is dependent only on the amount of LEU (lowly enriched uranium) at about 3% they had accumulated which they would be permitted to enrich under current agreements and would very likely continue with only the amount under debate, providing the monitoring could actually track the amount and none was stashed beyond inspection sites. It is believed that the latest centrifuges Iran is currently putting into service they can reach HEU (highly enriched uranium) of above 90%, which is easily made into weapons without further enrichment, in one cascade easily within their current capabilities. What the United States also needs to consider is that the Iranians have also launched suborbital devices which traversed an orbital vector from Iran which would place their satellite if placed on a more powerful launch system, such as the one recently pictured by Israeli surveillance satellites, would approach the United States mainland from the south and taking it on the perfect trajectory to avoid the United States antimissile systems and at a height perfect to deploy a nuclear EMP device, one similar to the device tested by the North Koreans and suspected of being a test carried out on an Iranian device to test its yield and potential as an EMP device. The device in question was detected and assessed to have reached a yield of approximately 16 kilotons, a higher range EMP capable measurement. This piece of information need not be interjected by the Prime Minister as these facts have been readily available and suspected though unprovable for quite some time.

 

The presentation and reception for Prime Minister Netanyahu will define the options and possibly the necessities of Israeli actions in the near future and beyond. It is probably already too late to prevent Iran from having the wherewithal and the technology mastered to produce nuclear weapons, the only debate left is how to minimize their abilities to actually produce such weapons. Everything being debated and covered is performed assuming that Iran did not manage to produce and stash any nuclear devices already and are also being pursued without any knowledge of how far and how deep the cooperation and collaboration between North Korea and Iran has developed not to mention potential assistance from China or Russia, all of which would not be beyond question. Perhaps the only thing that is in question is not whether or not Iran will break into the nuclear armed nations club uninvited or invited, depending on your assessment of President Obama and the P5+1 negotiations actual aim, but how soon and how they will be received. Much of that will depend on the Iranians themselves. If they continue their rhetoric calling for the annihilation of Israel and of every Jew on the planet and holding annual conventions titled, “A World Without Zionism and America” and continue to be the largest terror facilitating nation on Earth, then there will be great trepidation and uncertainty. Many nations will be looking for somebody else to take whatever intervention which will end the Iranian threat before Iran decides the time is right to force their hand and hegemony over the Middle East.

 

The question everybody will be asking themselves and discussing in hushed tones in back rooms and with quick furtive glances and knowing winks and nods, nervously pondering when will the first shoe drop knowing that after that the second shoe will fall right behind. The debates will be where the first Iranian move will be, Israel, Saudi Arabia, the United States? Who will they empower to possibly utilize nuclear terrorism and where would such terror strike? Will it be Hezballah, the Houthis tribal fighters, or providing some assignment in the Americas deployed out of the Tristate Area in South America where a terror city sits adjoining the borders of Paraguay, Brazil, and Argentina and none of the three security forces dare intervene? It was from here that the attacks in Buenos Aries in 1992 where the Israeli Embassy was struck by a pickup truck driven by a suicide bomber and loaded with explosives destroyed the Israeli Embassy, a Catholic church, and a nearby school building killing four Israelis and twenty-five Argentinian civilians making it the worst terror attack in Argentinian history until when a second terrorist attack was launched on the AMIA (Argentine Israelite Mutual Association) which murdered eighty-five people making it the worst terror attack in Argentina and over which the prosecutor Alberto Nisman was recently murdered (More can be read about his murder in the articles, The Death of Alberto Nisman, Prosecutor’s Fate Mirrors Western Culture and Hezballah Cross Border Attack Threatens to Elevate Conflict). There have been intelligence reports which claim that Hezballah from the Tristate Area have made agreements arranging for gaining access into the United States with the aid of the drug cartels. These reports also claim that this agreement has allowed terror cells to have already been implanted within the United States who would be ready to assist in any plans communicated to them and would even be capable of assisting any new force and weapons provided such as explosives or worse. Whatever the choice a nuclear armed Iran chooses, even should they decide to use conventional weapons likely in a terror bombing attack relying on their nuclear threat to prevent any retaliation against their terror interests such as Hezballah or other forces even including the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps), in what they decide to do once they have attained nuclear weapons capability and production they will have an entire new set of avenues, as other nations, if not nuclear armed, will have little recourse against Iranian hegemony.

 

This will very likely press the rest of the Middle East and other Muslim nations to research and produce their own nuclear weapons armaments in order to even the military leverage thus removing the Iranian advantage as soon as possible. Once the Iranians gain nuclear weapons production, the amount of time that Iran will be capable of forcing their will due to their nuclear threat will be short as Saudi Arabian wealth and agreement with Pakistan would result in their attaining nuclear capability within weeks, not years. Egypt and Turkey would also not take an extended amount of time to reach nuclear weapons capability and Jordan might do the unthinkable, reach an agreement with Israel in the form of a mutual defense pact, and if Israel was not willing, then Jordan would definitely seek admission to the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) seeking the protection of Saudi Arabia. A fully nuclear armed Middle East and North Africa would present a certainty of an eventual nuclear exchange, the sole question being between which two nations initiate the conflagration and what the further conflicts and spread of nuclear fallout would be spawned by such aggressions. Whatever the future holds, a nuclear armed extended Middle East would be the most dangerous situation ever seen in Earth’s history, a very dangerous situation which would be playing the most dangerous standoff of nuclear armed nations who have little knowledge or history of the destructive and horrifying nature of nuclear warfare and its aftermath. Some of the leaders of these newly nuclear capable nations have no concern of consequences and only their victory by any means necessary, the most dangerous kind of nation to have nuclear capability. The world will be looking at an unknown but dangerous future which all but guarantees a holocaust of unpredictable numbers and incalculable ramifications should oil fields be made unusable, maritime channels made unpassable or simply carnage and ramifications unthinkable and unknown in all of history until that fateful date. Perhaps the question which needs to be asked of us for consideration is what happens in the immediate aftermath and on into the future, if there is a future?

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

February 11, 2015

Israeli Electorate Versus the World

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,24/7 News Reporting,Absolutism,Act of War,Administration,Agency France Press,Al-Jazeera,Al-Quds Force,Amalekites,Ambassador,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Apocalypse,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Appointment,Arab Appeasement,Arab Authority,Arab Israeli Citizen,Arab League,Arab World,Arabist,Arabs,Assimilation,Associated Press,Ayatollah,Ayatollah Khamenei,BBC,Benyamin Netanyahu,Blood Libel,Breakout Point,British Mandate,Cabinet,Calaphate,Caliphate,Chemical Weapons,Civilization,CNN,Coalition,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Congress,Congress,Consequences,Corruption,Coverup,Democracy,Demolitions,Demonstrations,Direct Elections,Divided Jerusalem,Domestic NGOs,Early Elections,East Jerusalem,Economic Fascism,Economic Sanctions,Economy,Elections,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Media,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Extreme Leftist,Forced Solution,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Foreign Policy,Fox,France 24,France Channel 2,Galilee,Gaza,General Assembly,Genocide,Government,Government Control,Government Controlled Media,Green Line,Haaretz,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,Hatnua,Herzog,Hevron,History,Holocaust,Holy Sites,House of Representatives,Human Rights,Human Rights Activists,IAEA,Inspections,Internal Pressures,International Politics,International Socialism,Internationalist,Intifada,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps,Iraq,IRGC,Islam,Islam,Islamic Jihad,Islamic Pressure,Islamic State,Islamist,Islamists,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Israeli Media,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,Jordan River,Jordan Valley,Jordanian Pressure,Judea,Judean Hills,Kidnap Children,Kidnap Soldier,Kidnapped Israeli,Knesset,Kotel,Labor Party,Land for Peace,League of Nations,Leftist Pressures,Leftist Propaganda,Liberals,Likud,Mahmoud Abbas,Main Stream Media,Mainstream Media,Martin Indyk,Meaning of Peace,Media,Media Bias,Media Censorship,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Military Trade,Ministers,Misreporting,Mohammad Javad Zarif,Molotov Cocktail,Mortar Attacks,Multiculturalism,Murder Americans,Murder Israelis,Muslim Brotherhood,Muslim World,Muslims,Myth,Naftali Bennett,National Socialism,Nationalist,Netanyahu,Nuclear Disarmament,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Obama,Occupy Movement,Old City,Omission,Organization of the Islamic Conference,Oslo Accords,P5+1,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Liberation Organization,Palestinian Media,Palestinian Pressures,Parchin,Parliament,Peace Process,Persia,PLO,PLO Charter,Plutonium Production,Politically Correct,Politically Incorrect,Politicized Findings,Politics,Post Modernist,Post-Zionist,Pre-Conditions,President Obama,Prime Minister,Prime Minister,Progressives,Promised Land,Protect Citizenry,Protests,Quds Force,Record Vote,Response to Muslim Takeover,Response to Terrorism,Reuters,Right of Return,Rock Throwing,Rocket Attacks,Russian Pressure,Samaria,San Remo Conference,Sanctions,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Secular Humanist,Secular Interests,Secularist,Secularist Socialism,Security,Senate,Separation Barrier,Settlements,Sharia,Shechem,Shiite,Shoah,Six Day War,Speaker of the House,Statehood,Strong Sanctions,Submission,Sunni,Support Israel,Supreme Leader,Sweden,Taqiyya,Taqiyya,Tel Aviv,Television News,Temple Mount,Terror,Third Intifada,Trade,Twelvers,Two State Solution,Tzipi Livni,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Uranium Enrichment,Validate Elections,Versailles Treaty,Victims,Voting,War on Religion,Washington Post,Weapons of Mass Destruction,West Bank,Western Wall,WMD,World Media,World Opinion,World Pressures,World Without Zionism or America,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 4:42 AM
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Exactly who is supposed to choose the next Prime Minister and Knesset, the Israeli voting public or the antagonistic worldwide media and governments? We have an American President who has decided that it is worth lying to the world’s peoples and medias claiming falsely that the Prime Minister of Israel and the Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives conspired to covertly bring Prime Minister Netanyahu and secret him into a combined meeting of Congress to talk and answer questions concerning Israeli intelligence which he might be permitted to share about the actual state and threat potentials of the Iranian nuclear weapons program all behind the Administrations back and without the knowledge of the Democrats in Congress. Even forgetting the fact that an Administration official has stated that Speaker Boehner had filed a report informing the White House and that Prime Minister Netanyahu did not accept the invitation until well after the invitation had been shared with the White House, but why should facts get in the way of a good public lynching.

 

The extreme leftist assimilated Jewish lobby J-Street, a George Soros production and an NGO completely sold out for anything President Obama supports and extremely anti-Zionist and anti-Netanyahu has come out so very publically claiming that Netanyahu approached the Speaker of the House with the whole idea for his appearance as a ploy to garner votes in Israel. This has also been a plot being sold by some leftist extremist post-Zionists in Israel and, needless to point out, also has been a mainstay talking point for Yitzhak Hertzog and Tzipi Livni when attacking Prime Minister Netanyahu claiming he is using the speech before Congress in order to pretend to importance and boost his presumably sagging image which is fading before their shining the light of their honest campaign which the people are simply flocking to despite the fact that the polls have barely changed since the beginning of the campaigns with understandable slight fluctuations for such events such as primaries or the announcement of presenting the party official lists before the public. Despite this the liberal and leftist media have talked up the centrist and leftist candidates and attacked the Zionist, nationalist and rightist party leaders and their candidates. But such is expected and what is surprisingly refreshing is a majority of Israelis in a recent poll revealed that they view the media in Israel to be slanted to the left either somewhat or very noticeably with a lesser number believing they are neutral and almost none suspecting them of being slanted to the right. Perhaps not everybody is asleep in Israel and that might be sufficient to allow an informed and fair election.

 

That brings us to the silent threat which has enjoyed sufficient media coverage that the fact it is still being referred to as a silent threat which may be revealed immediately after the elections in Israel. This silent threat has been not-so-silently repeated by the European Union and numerous leaders of numerous European nations. Sweden has been so silent about the threats that the new government wasted absolutely no time whatsoever in recognizing a Palestinian Arab state with Mahmoud Abbas as its leader. This was followed up this past weekend with the insistence by the Swedish leadership that Israel must respond to pressures and renew the peace talks with the Palestinian Authority towards establishing the very nation they already recognized. Immediately the start of the week you would never guess who arrived in Sweden with an entire entourage of media in tow. You guessed Mahmoud Abbas? How did you know, yes, Mahmoud Abbas arrived completely unannounced and apparently unexpected and without any formal invitation simply arrived and apparently he will be meeting with government officials and possibly holding a press meeting with Swedish government officials. Such a coincidence is just simply astounding.

 

The biggest insanity is the threat, the unspoken threat by the European union that if there is not a change in the Israeli government’s attitude towards having honest negotiations towards establishing a Palestinian state and ending the occupation and removing the illegal settlements from the West Bank, from beyond the Green Line then the European Union and all the member nations will embargo any Israeli business which does business with the settlements beyond the Green Line. There may even be a necessity for a complete embargo of all Israeli businesses. Could the European Union make their choice of who they demand be elected to lead Israel any clearer or make such threats on the Israeli public before they choose their new government just a month from now? What would happen if Israel had threatened Sweden before their recent election to cut off trade if they elected the leftist party? We all know exactly what would happen, the world’s media and leadership would come completely unglued. There would be a race to appear before the media cameras to denounce such a vile threat. The media would not stop denouncing such an uncouth and overly pretentious demand aiming to interfere with another democracy’s internal elections which must not be permitted or ever allowed to pass as such a threat is unacceptable in a free world where the people are to be free to choose their own governance. But if the interference is in the Israeli elections it is simply expected as otherwise the Israeli public might make a horrendous choice as they have proven to be easily fooled since they elected a right leaning nationalist government when left to their own decisions last elections. The world cannot allow such to be repeated in this election and the Israeli people have to be warned of the dire consequences of choosing those unacceptable Zionist and nationalist people to form the next government. The European Union is holding a democracy to ransom that unless they vote the way the European Union desires and then enter negotiations and surrender as the European Union expects they do in order to establish a terror state on the Judean hills and the rest of Judea and Samaria and surrender half of the Jewish Capital City of Jerusalem along with all the historic holy sites thus once again losing access to these sites and an assurance that they will once again be desecrated, vandalized and destroyed just as the Jordanians had done after the end of the 1949 armistice was put in effect making the Green Line the divide between Jordan and Israel until a peace agreement could be signed and a final border determined.

 

My disbelief is that it is almost understandable that there are people and powers in the world who desire to influence the politics of other nations. There have been politicians and parties who have received or elicited funding from foreign nations even against their national election laws. Israel is a lightning rod for controversies and foreign governments and people from outside of Israel to try and influence politics inside Israel. But no matter how far things may have gone before, and they have gone beyond what would be acceptable in other nations and would be an international scandal had Israelis ever attempted such interference in elections beyond Israeli borders. The closest Israeli politicians have come to the best of our knowledge was Prime Minister Netanyahu being accused of supporting Mitt Romney despite his refusal to voice any preference and when asked who he preferred to win the 2012 United States Presidential election he stated definitively every single time that he did not have a preference and was prepared to work with whoever the next President would be. When accused of actually supporting Romney after stating his neutrality he would vehemently deny any preference repeating his statement again just in case the media personality attempting to force a preference from him had not heard him the initial time. But the extent which the Western democratic world has gone to attempt to influence the Israeli election and their complete contempt for the Israeli electorate is profoundly disgusting. When one adds that the reason they desire to affect the coming Israeli elections is so that the United States Administration and the European Union and all too many of its member states overriding desire to dictate the complete surrender of the Israeli government to the demands of the Palestinian Arab forces such that the continued existence of the state of Israel as a Jewish homeland will be destroyed and the Jews living in Israel will either flee for their lives or be murdered, all roughly six million of them. Does that number ring a bell? Is it the plan to have a second Holocaust because the first one has slipped from the collective conscience of the world? Whatever the reason, the entire affair with its threats, lies, and completely nefarious, uncouth and uncomely actions across much of the western governments, media, NGOs and people in high standings interfering in the internal affairs of an election in another democracy is beyond belief and unacceptable. What makes it even worse is nobody in the commission of these crimes believes they are doing anything unacceptable because it is Israel so therefore they have some right to interfere because the Israelis do not know what they are doing when electing their leadership and like immature children they must be guided by better and more prudent minds. The efforts have been the greatest display of anti-Semitism we have ever witnessed and it is beyond disgusting, beyond revolting and beyond description by mere mortals. The media, foreign leftists, Israeli leftists, international secular humanist and extreme leftists working together from the far corners of the globe to the power at any cost leftists like Tzipi Livni, who in a short time went from Likud Party Knesset Minister to running on joint ticket with Labor Party just because it allowed her a path to power and her self-proclaimed destiny to be Prime Minister so she could repair Israel, all working for the singular goal to destroy Likud, Jewish Home and the right wing nationalist Zionists sacrificing them on the altar of Political Correctness even if this would result in the destruction of Israel from a nuclear armed Iran.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

November 26, 2013

Iran Deal Additional Thoughts and Complete Text

You can almost always tell when something is truly a horrendous decision, deal, piece of legislation or virtually anything imaginable by the fact that those who openly oppose or denounce the item come from many and varied source and places. The deal made between the P5+1 and Iran largely at the insistence and through the efforts of United States President Obama and the Iranian leadership has been denounced or condemned by Saudi Arabia’s Royal Family and the Israeli Prime Minister and numerous others both from the Knesset and those holding Ministerial Positions including those in the Prime Minister’s Security Council which are two nations who previously have been at odds and there is no love lost between them; Republican House Majority Leader Eric Cantor of Virginia and Democrat Senator Bernie Sanders who are a pair who normally align at near opposite ends of the political spectrum in the United States; and there likely exist numerous other pairings that would further evidence the complete disaster this agreement is. What is even more damning is the manner by which President Obama reached this deal with the Iranians. President Obama assigned the responsibility for setting the agenda and reaching an agreement with the Iranians through secretive meetings which were conducted away from the vision and without the knowledge of the other members of the P5+1, or at least behind the backs of the French and British who were completely blindsided when the details of that agreement became known last week, to Valerie Jarrett. Ms. Jarrett was Iranian born and has suggested that the United States use the United States Military to force the Israeli government release all of the disputed lands for the formation of a Palestinian state and continue to occupy Israel to assure that they take no steps against the Palestinians and prevent the Israelis from actively fighting terrorism. Her record illuminates her preference for the Muslim side of most areas of contention especially against Jews. Of all the members of the Administration, Valerie Jarrett is probably the last person I can think of to give the responsibility for making an agreement with the Iranians considering her background. One can only guess how horrendous the agreement which initially resulted from her deliberations and was presented last week such that the British and the French considered it necessary to call the leaderships of Israel and Saudi Arabia and inform them of the betrayal which President Obama and Valerie Jarrett were attempting to commit on these former allies, or at least very strained and distressed allies and then to have the French take the unprecedented step of vetoing an agreement presented by the President of the United States, the leader of what is likely one of the most steadfast allies of the French through both the good and bad times.

 

Sanctions are to be relaxed or ended in exchange for Iranian promises, what many fear are really empty promises not offered with earnest intent or content, to allow IAEA monitoring of their nuclear program, a guarantee they have made and broken every single time they have made said assurance either by outright expulsion of the IAEA inspectors or simply causing delays preventing timely surprise inspections providing Iranian personnel to clean or otherwise make sites presentable and ready for such inspections thus denying effective over-watch ability. The sanctioning bodies and nations, which include the European Union, United Nations and numerous individual countries including but not limited to all of the P5+1 members and Canada, are to relax sanctions including pausing efforts to further reduce Iran’s crude oil sales, enabling Iran’s current customers to purchase their current average amounts of crude oil. Enable the repatriation of an agreed amount of revenue held abroad rumored to total at least four billion dollars. For such oil sales, suspend the European Union and United States sanctions on associated insurance and transportation services. The United States and European Union would further suspend sanctions on Iran’s petrochemical exports, as well as sanctions on associated services, gold and precious metals, as well as sanctions on associated services, United States sanctions on Iran’s auto industry, as well as sanctions on associated services. Furthermore, there will be provided services which were nonexistent before the sanctions were originally enacted thus now allowing for the license, supply and installation in Iran of spare parts for safety of flight for Iranian civil aviation and associated services and the license safety related inspections and repairs in Iran as well as associated services. This entire list of goodies provided because the Iranians elected a new hardline President named Rouhani who was formerly the Iranian nuclear lead negotiator who stalled and glad-handed the West proving to be a master of the smiling and jovial snake in the grass but is supposedly a newly transformed new man to be trusted. Why am I so reminded of an old phrase about tigers and something about their stripes being of a permanent nature? The Obama Administration’s argument is that this was the best deal possible and that there was no other route that might prevent Iran from nuclear weapons short of a war. This is exactly the same argument used by President Jimmy Carter when his only attempt to rescue the hostages failed and he was faced with a hostile and determined Iran. The falsehood of President Carter’s argument was exposed when Iran released the hostages merely at the proposition that newly elected President Ronald Reagan would raise the price the Iranians would have to pay for holding Americans hostage. The simple idea that a new, no-nonsense approach was in the offerings was sufficient to push the Iranians to capitulate and a similar approach and threat would have again forced the Iranians to change their behavior and likely ended their drive for nuclear weapons, period. That was the alternative not tried and denied of existing by the entirety of the Obama Administration and the big lie at the center of the entire demand that surrender is the only option.

 

Perhaps I have become suspicious and prone to taking a negative first look at almost anything done by governments the vast majority of the time. Perhaps I should take the time to report a positive step which I find in the news at least once in a while. The problem with such is that I will most likely find things as positive will anger many others but then I already appear to have such an effect with the things I dislike. The one piece of news which was at least intriguing and should prove quite interesting to watch the ramifications going forward was the African nation of Angola has reportedly become the first country to ban Islam. Not only have they banned Islam but the ban includes orders to demolish mosques in the country. The United States State Department lists Angola’s population as 16 million as being predominantly Christian, with only 80,000-90,000 Muslims, the majority of whom are migrants from West Africa and families of Lebanese origin. Angolan President Jose Eduardo dos Santos said Sunday “this is the final end of Islamic influence in our country.” Angolan Minister of Culture, Rosa Cruz e Silva said “the process of legalization of Islam has not been approved by the Ministry of Justice and Human rights, their mosques would be closed until further notice.” Silva further claimed the ban was necessary since Islam is “contradictory to the customs of Angola culture.” Silva also commented on other non-legalized religions on the list “published by the Ministry of Justice and Human Rights in the Angolan newspaper ‘Jornal de Angola’ are prohibited to conduct worship, so they should keep their doors closed.” On a more tolerant and open side, the Minister of Culture added that there is a legalization process through which over a thousand religious sects are currently applying. This should prove to be a turning point, just what will be turned up by this is left to the future to elucidate as I have no idea how this will play out in the near future or over the long term either. I guess we will have to watch and take note for future reference and see if others also follow Angola with this radical and unprecedented move, at least unprecedented in recent history outside of places like Saudi Arabia where Islam is the sole permitted religion and being Jewish or in possession of any holy book other than the Koran and the Hadiths can be punishable by death and where the ruling Royals actually requested that the United States at least not allow any Jewish soldiers to be included in the forces sent to combat against Saddam Hussein and both prevent him from moving on Saudi Arabia and evict his forces out of Kuwait in Gulf War I. Maybe Angola is not so unprecedented as I first thought, appears Saudi Arabia beat them at this ban religions practice and to a far greater extent.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Complete Text of the P5+1 Deal with Iran Concerning Their Nuclear Program

Geneva, 24 November 2013

Joint Plan of Action

Preamble:

The goal for these negotiations is to reach a mutually-agreed long-term comprehensive solution that would ensure Iran’s nuclear program will be exclusively peaceful. Iran reaffirms that under no circumstances will Iran ever seek or develop any nuclear weapons. This comprehensive solution would build on these initial measures and result in a final step for a period to be agreed upon and the resolution of concerns. This comprehensive solution would enable Iran to fully enjoy its right to nuclear energy for peaceful purposes under the relevant articles of the NPT in conformity with its obligations therein. This comprehensive solution would involve a mutually defined enrichment program with practical limits and transparency measures to ensure the peaceful nature of the program. This comprehensive solution would constitute an integrated whole where nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. This comprehensive solution would involve a reciprocal, step-by-step process, and would produce the comprehensive lifting of all UN Security Council sanctions, as well as multilateral and national sanctions related to Iran’s nuclear program.

There would be additional steps in between the initial measures and the final step, including, among other things, addressing the UN Security Council resolutions, with a view toward bringing to a satisfactory conclusion the UN Security Council’s consideration of this matter. The E3+3 and Iran will be responsible for conclusion and implementation of mutual near-term measures and the comprehensive solution in good faith. A Joint Commission of E3/EU+3 and Iran will be established to monitor the implementation of the near-term measures and address issues that may arise, with the IAEA responsible for verification of nuclear-related measures. The Joint Commission will work with the IAEA to facilitate resolution of past and present issues of concern.

 

Elements of a first step:

The first step would be time-bound, with a duration of 6 months, and renewable by mutual consent, during which all parties will work to maintain a constructive atmosphere for negotiations in good faith.

Iran would undertake the following voluntary measures:

From the existing uranium enriched to 20%, retain half as working stock of 20% oxide for fabrication of fuel for the TRR. Dilute the remaining 20% UF6 to no more than 5%. No reconversion line.

Iran announces that it will not enrich uranium over 5% for the duration of the 6 months.

Iran announces that it will not make any further advances of its activities at the Natanz Fuel Enrichment Plant1, Fordow2, or the Arak reactor3, designated by the IAEA as IR-40.

Beginning when the line for conversion of UF6 enriched up to 5% to UO2 is ready, Iran has decided to convert to oxide UF6 newly enriched up to 5% during the 6 month period, as provided in the operational schedule of the conversion plant declared to the IAEA.

No new locations for the enrichment.

Iran will continue its safeguarded R&D practices, including its current enrichment R&D practices, which are not designed for accumulation of the enriched uranium.

No reprocessing or construction of a facility capable of reprocessing.

 

Enhanced monitoring:

 

Provision of specified information to the IAEA, including information on Iran’s plans for nuclear facilities, a description of each building on each nuclear site, a description of the scale of operations for each location engaged in specified nuclear activities, information on uranium mines and mills, and information on source material. This information would be provided within three months of the adoption of these measures.

Submission of an updated DIQ for the reactor at Arak, designated by the IAEA as the IR-40, to the IAEA.

Steps to agree with the IAEA on conclusion of the Safeguards Approach for the reactor at Arak, designated by the IAEA as the IR-40.

Daily IAEA inspector access when inspectors are not present for the purpose of Design Information Verification, Interim Inventory Verification, Physical Inventory Verification, and unannounced inspections, for the purpose of access to offline surveillance records, at Fordow and Natanz.

 

IAEA inspector managed access to:

– centrifuge assembly workshops4;

– centrifuge rotor production workshops and storage facilities; and,

– Uranium mines and mills.

 

In return, the E3/EU+3 would undertake the following voluntary measures:

Pause efforts to further reduce Iran’s crude oil sales, enabling Iran’s current customers to purchase their current average amounts of crude oil. Enable the repatriation of an agreed amount of revenue held abroad. For such oil sales, suspend the EU and U.S. sanctions on associated insurance and transportation services.

 

Suspend U.S. and EU sanctions on:

Iran’s petrochemical exports, as well as sanctions on associated services.5

Gold and precious metals, as well as sanctions on associated services.

Suspend U.S. sanctions on Iran’s auto industry, as well as sanctions on associated services.

License the supply and installation in Iran of spare parts for safety of flight for Iranian civil aviation and associated services. License safety related inspections and repairs in Iran as well as associated services.6

No new nuclear-related UN Security Council sanctions.

No new EU nuclear-related sanctions.

The U.S. Administration, acting consistent with the respective roles of the President and the Congress, will refrain from imposing new nuclear-related sanctions.

Establish a financial channel to facilitate humanitarian trade for Iran’s domestic needs using Iranian oil revenues held abroad. Humanitarian trade would be defined as transactions involving food and agricultural products, medicine, medical devices, and medical expenses incurred abroad. This channel would involve specified foreign banks and non-designated Iranian banks to be defined when establishing the channel.

 

This channel could also enable:

transactions required to pay Iran’s UN obligations; and,

direct tuition payments to universities and colleges for Iranian students studying abroad, up to an agreed amount for the six month period.

Increase the EU authorization thresholds for transactions for non-sanctioned trade to an agreed amount.

 

Elements of the final step of a comprehensive solution*

 The final step of a comprehensive solution, which the parties aim to conclude negotiating and commence implementing no more than one year after the adoption of this document, would:

Have a specified long-term duration to be agreed upon.

Reflect the rights and obligations of parties to the NPT and IAEA Safeguards Agreements.

Comprehensively lift UN Security Council, multilateral and national nuclear-related sanctions, including steps on access in areas of trade, technology, finance, and energy, on a schedule to be agreed upon.

Involve a mutually defined enrichment program with mutually agreed parameters consistent with practical needs, with agreed limits on scope and level of enrichment activities, capacity, where it is carried out, and stocks of enriched uranium, for a period to be agreed upon.

Fully resolve concerns related to the reactor at Arak, designated by the IAEA as the IR-40. No reprocessing or construction of a facility capable of reprocessing.

Fully implement the agreed transparency measures and enhanced monitoring. Ratify and implement the Additional Protocol, consistent with the respective roles of the President and the Majlis (Iranian parliament).

Include international civil nuclear cooperation, including among others, on acquiring modern light water power and research reactors and associated equipment, and the supply of modern nuclear fuel as well as agreed R&D practices.

Following successful implementation of the final step of the comprehensive solution for its full duration, the Iranian nuclear program will be treated in the same manner as that of any non-nuclear weapon state party to the NPT.

* With respect to the final step and any steps in between, the standard principle that “nothing is agreed until everything is agreed” applies.

 

Footnotes:

Namely, during the 6 months, Iran will not feed UF6 into the centrifuges installed but not enriching uranium. Not install additional centrifuges. Iran announces that during the first 6 months, it will replace existing centrifuges with centrifuges of the same type.

At Fordow, no further enrichment over 5% at 4 cascades now enriching uranium, and not increase enrichment capacity. Not feed UF6 into the other 12 cascades, which would remain in a non-operative state. No interconnections between cascades. Iran announces that during the first 6 months, it will replace existing centrifuges with centrifuges of the same type.

Iran announces on concerns related to the construction of the reactor at Arak that for 6 months it will not commission the reactor or transfer fuel or heavy water to the reactor site and will not test additional fuel or produce more fuel for the reactor or install remaining components.

Consistent with its plans, Iran’s centrifuge production during the 6 months will be dedicated to replace damaged machines. “Sanctions on associated services” means any service, such as insurance, transportation, or financial, subject to the underlying U.S. or EU sanctions applicable, insofar as each service is related to the underlying sanction and required to facilitate the desired transactions. These services could involve any non-designated Iranian entities.

Sanctions relief could involve any non-designated Iranian airlines as well as Iran Air.

 

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