Beyond the Cusp

December 10, 2011

How Israel Should Answer Panetta Demand

Twice this past week Secretary of Defense Panetta demanded that Israel needed to take risks in order to get the Palestinians join them at the negotiating table. Since Israel has granted concession after concession over the past forty years in order to continue to be rebuffed by the Palestinians then met by even steeper demands in order to fail to reach solutions, perhaps Israel should try a different set of risk. Israel has granted so much that the Palestinian demands for resumed negotiations have gotten to the point that meeting them would remove any need for negotiations. What is left to negotiate should Israel grant that borders be defined as the 1949 Armistice Lines that existed until the 1967 Six Day War, the “Right of Return” for all Palestinian refugees, stopping all construction beyond the Green Line, and removal of all Jews in order to allow the Palestinian state be Jew free? Should anything else need to be addressed at negotiations, I feel sure that it would be added onto the list of preconditions before negotiations would be resumed. So, why not take a new tack.

Israel gave the Palestinians full autonomy over their core areas and shared authority in areas where both Jews and Palestinians resided with Israel retaining full control over a remaining section of the West Bank. In return for this the Palestinian leadership showed their appreciation by launching the intifada in 2000 that murdered over one thousand Israelis in the resultant terror violence. Israel removed their troops from southern Lebanon which resulted in the Second Lebanon War. Israel destroyed all the Jewish neighborhoods in Gaza and gave the Palestinians full autonomy in an experiment with the intent and hopes that the Palestinian leadership could rule themselves and prove their ability to live side by side with Israel in peace. In return they got Hamas whose desired aim is to murder every Jew on planet Earth launching thousands upon thousands of rockets into civilian areas, attempted kidnapping of citizens and soldiers with one successful abduction who was held in unknown conditions for over five years. And there were also Palestinian claims that the return of Gaza was insufficient and that many of the neighborhoods and kibbutzim closest to Gaza were built over destroyed Arab villages and rightfully belonged to the Palestinians and that Gaza should be enlarged to include these areas. In all too many cases, history has shown that every time the Israelis gave in on concessions the Palestinians responded with violence, death and destruction. By now, it should be obvious to many observers that giving concessions not only does not work, it is a very bad idea.

So, what should Israel try that would take the situation between them and the Palestinians in a different direction. There is one poll question which produces a result which many find surprising, that when asked whether they would rather live under Palestinian rule or Israeli rule, the majority of the Arab population of East Jerusalem chooses to remain under Israeli jurisdiction and reject Palestinian rule as shown and discussed here, and target=blank>here and even here.. This gives Israel an opportunity to grant the residents of East Jerusalem their desires and stated preference with annexation of East Jerusalem and attached close-in suburbs and neighborhoods placing them permanently under Israeli rule. Leave the possibility that the intent is to follow this annexation with others where and when similar polls call for similar actions. Place the option before the residents of the West Bank that they have the opportunity to choose Israel and are not trapped with the inevitability of being forced under Palestinian rule. And for those who are yelling red faced in rage at their computer screen about such a move being against international laws and the Geneva Convention, think again. Israel gained the West Bank directly from a defensive conflict. Even if you believe that Israel initiated the 1967 War when they preempted the Egyptian and Syrian attack which was imminent and obvious with the massing of troops on both borders with Israel, Jordan was pleaded with by the Israeli leadership not to join the war and ignored such pleas and attacked Israel who then diverted troops heading south through the Negev to head east and northeast in order to intercept the Jordanian assault. As far as the war with Egypt and Syria, once Egypt had blocked Israeli shipping from passing through the Red Sea, they had committed a casus belli for war. By any and all international law and Geneva Convention, Israel is within her rights to retain all the lands they had gained in 1967 and defended against a second attack in 1973.

It is time to try a completely different track and instead of taking a timid and apologetic approach, try a new and bolder approach and take the initiative. The time has definitely arrived for Israel to implement an option that has been available to them but ignored since the end of the six Day War, simply annex the areas which the Israeli leadership believes is necessary to assure defensible borders, exactly what is called for in United Nations Security Council Resolution 242. Just because Israel has attempted to work with the adversarial nations and forces against her does not mean that Israel is obliged to continue down this track as it has become detrimental to Israeli existence. By taking a more assertive stance and no longer attempting to mollify the un-mollifiable, Israel might discover by being assertive and showing the ability to be self-serving and departing from the subservient position that the Palestinian leadership might also change their demanding and immutable attitudes and honestly attempt to reach an accord leading to a permanent peace agreement. Even if the Palestinians continue in their deceitful wagering of a war of attrition and refusal while playing the world’s propensity to take the side opposing everything Jewish which is borne out by the historic record, Israel could simply continue to annex land until she reaches a point where desirable and defensible borders have been established and then simply ignore any and all demands for further communications. That may leave some land mostly around Nablus for the Palestinians to have their own state and continue to demand to their heart’s desire and who knows, somebody might actually bother to continue to listen to them, probably in the western parts of Europe or parts of the Middle East. Eventually their cries will fall on deaf ears as eventually everybody will tire of their lamentable pleadings. What is it that some would claim, that the entire world would turn against Israel? Please explain how that would differ wildly from the current situation. Popularity and Israel will never be long-term companions just as Jews and acceptance in the lands of others has always worked so well over time. Perhaps time has come to give Israel one last request and then simply leave her alone and reap the rewards of her discoveries which Israel has always shared generously and expecting so little in return. To expect more would have been sheer lunacy and it is always better to expect that which is likely and perhaps be surprised rather than to expect much and be discontent when receiving so much less. So, surprise Israel and give her a real chance at survival, after all, that is what is being negotiated, not borders, but simply Israel’s survival.

Beyond the Cusp


March 31, 2011

Why Israel won’t Attack Gaza

Many people who love Israel, and a few who don’t, have been asking if and when Israel will respond to the increased bombardments and terror of the last few weeks. There have been claims that such an operation is imminent while others predict action by this fall, but the current political situation prohibits an immediate response. My best bet is that Israel will not move in a major operation on either the West Bank or the Gaza Strip until after January 21, 2013. It makes no difference if President Obama is reelected or if he is replaced by the Republican or Democrat of your choice. The reason for waiting is the hope of a friendlier President towards Israel in the White House. The reason for not waiting much beyond that date comes down to Israel can only absorb so much punishment before being forced to act. The third possibility is that Hamas, Fatah, and their fellow travelers can make the situation for Israel so dire that the Israelis will demand action from their leaders who will have no real option than to take action or face an election.

Currently, the opposition parties in the Knesset all know that Prime Minister Netanyahu is between a rock and the deep bluish Mediterranean, to mix my metaphors. The catch is, forcing election only promises to place the next government in the exact same unenviable position, and no one is in any hurry to take this bull by the horns. A good amount of this is directly tied to President Obama placing the United States military at the pleasure of the United Nations to call upon for any mission deemed necessary. The further problem has been the ratification of Right to Protect (R2P) making any defense of a civilian population from the affects of any military action being found to be unacceptable to any major world organization and actions sanctioned by the UN. With the current “No Fly Zone” in Libya as the precedent and noting that this “No Fly Zone” also allows for the firing on tanks, tents, military vehicles, military buildings, troops, and anything else considered usable against the “rebels” whether it can fly or not or even if it is below ground, all force thus far has been given the UN’s blessings. An Israeli offensive into either Gaza or the West Bank would immediately be condemned and a similar if not harsher No Fly Zone would be immediately demanded by the Arab League, the Organization of Islamic States, virtually every NGO, numerous countries including most of Europe and much of South America, and all of the Middle East (yes, Saudi Arabia and Iran would become hard and fast friends for the time being) forcing the UN to act in an even harsher way than against Kaddafi and Libya. This is seen properly by the Israeli leaders and people as a definite problem while not having any guaranteed friend to veto such a resolution in the Security Council.

For those people always seeking signs of the end times, such an action from the United Nations would definitely create a situation where the whole world would be aligned against Israel. I, for one, hope such events never come to pass. The next question would be, “What would the reaction of the American people be to such a situation?” I would like to believe that there would be an outcry from coast to coast and beyond. I fear the reaction might not be that noble. Once Israeli troops were forced to fire upon American troops and engage and try to shoot down American pilots, I truly fear the reaction to such a reality. Once upon a time, around 1925 or there about, the German Jews believed that they had finally found acceptance and a place where they could live in peace. They thought, or even stated, “We live in the most progressive, liberal, cultured country in the world that is full of many of the leading minds of the day. We have been accepted as equals in the society and hold positions in all areas of society. We are judges, in politics, teachers, doctors, lawyers, scientists and just about every other occupation. We own land, houses, run stores and enjoy all the freedoms the same as every other German citizen. We have finally found a place where Jews will be safe and seen the same as everybody else. Finally, we can stop running.” As history teaches us, maybe those Jews would have been better served to have, like their grandparents for generation past, kept a packed suitcase to be grabbed at a moment’s notice while getting out of town while leaving was permitted. Today, too many American Jews are saying those exact same words, and a majority of American agrees with them. Their dream in Germany died when the economy turned sour and the Government was printing more money like there was no tomorrow to bail out their failing banks and businesses. All of a sudden the blame was put on the Jew Bankers, the Jew Stock Brokers, the Jew Merchants, and the rest is history.

I am not saying that such will happen in the United States, the most advanced. liberated society in history; but can you guarantee that it will not happen? The Nazis initially were a small minority that leveraged and bullied their way into power. It does not take a majority, or even a plurality, to take things over the edge into madness. This is something all people need to remember to prevent a repeat. Germany was not the first time this had occurred in history. Before Germany the same was felt about Mother Russia, we know how that went, from pogroms to communism. Before that in history the Jews found what they thought was a safe home in Spain, until the Inquisition. Jews were thrown out of England, twice. I think the idea has been conveyed, history has proven that when things get turned upside down or go sideways, time for the Jews to pack an emergency suitcase. I know many will call me nuts, an alarmist, or simply insane. A few will point out that G-d said he would gather in the Jews from the far corners of the Earth into their land, Israel. They will point to the Russian Jews exodus, the taking in of Ethiopia’s Jews, the current bringing home of the Jews in India, and ask why would America’s Jews be left out. To them I say, they will not be left out, but I wish they would realize the inevitability without having to suffer first. For now, I will simply pray for answers and for the sight of the prophets or at least a few answers.

Beyond the Cusp

March 30, 2011

Plea to the World, Slow Down and Remember

The world as a whole seems to be fixated and rushing forth to formalize a Palestinian State with little regard to any consequences. All that matters is the appeasement of the “Palestinian Right to a Homeland” just as in history the powers rushed to present to Hitler the north of Czechoslovakia to complete his vision of his new expanded homeland. Once again, this rush to appeasement will place the Jews, though this time the six million are in Israel, the new world pariah, in a position that may turn very ugly very fast. I am not referring to the “settlements” as Israeli leadership has made clear they would be willing to dismantle what is necessary when a final peace is negotiated with the Palestinian leadership. I refer to all of Israel which the Palestinians have made no mystery of their desire to erase it from the map to form their idea of a complete and Jew free Palestine from the River to the Sea. Yet the world rushes head on at full steam to form that first step to the formation of the complete Palestine. This initial Palestine will be recognized this September by a minimum of the General Assembly of the United Nations if not also by the Security Council. Thus far I have not heard of a single limitation being made as a condition for the forming of this state. There lies the foreboding.

Should the world establish this Palestinian State using the 1949 Armistice Line, aka Green Line, as its border, it does so against the explicit agreement of the United Nations that the 1949 Armistice Line would never be conveyed or implemented as an actual border. The Green Line was limited as a demarcation of the lines of battle making for the front lines of each side at the hour of the implementation of the cease fire. For the world to now negate that promise and use this mere armistice line as a national border is itself an act of war and a breach of promises that consist of a resumption of military confrontation and war. The 1949 Armistice Line was implemented as a demarcation between the forces of the nascent state of Israel and Transjordan, today known as Jordan. If the United Nations guarantees were to be implemented honestly, then the peace agreement between Jordan and Israel should be viewed as the arbitration of the new border between Jordan and Israel, but the world seems unable to allow the Jewish State of Israel to regain their ancestral lands of Judea and Samaria. (A side note, it has always bothered me that an area known throughout history as Judea can be seen as not Jewish lands.) Even when Jordan held power over the areas west of the Jordan River, deemed to be West Bank, the United Nations held Jordan had no legitimate claim to the land. Also ignored was that while holding this contested land, Jordan practices a crime against humanity by all the rules of the United Nations and the Geneva Convention by removing the entirety of the Jewish population residing on these same lands. The world seems not to note that pluralities of the “Settlements” by Israelis are simply their returning to lands they or their family had owned before the 1948-9 War.

Whenever I mention the previous ownership by Jews of lands in Samaria and Judea, there are those who immediately demand the right of Palestinians to the lands they owned before the 1948-9 War. Once again, the difference is this, the vast majority of the Palestinians deserted their lands willingly at the behest of the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem and Arab leaders who guaranteed them a quick defeat and annihilation of the Jews afterwards they would be gifted the Jews lands and wealth. Furthermore, Israel offered to take in the Arabs who had fled before or during the war provided peace was established with full recognition. The Arab leaders refused the offer and swore in Khartoum Conference to the Three No’s no peace, no recognition, and no negotiations with Israel. Israel could not accept over a half a million people inside their borders coming from nations with whom a state of war still existed. To allow such an influx would be to invite a fifth column among the returning refugees as enemy forces could be inserted into the refugee population before their return. Alternately, the Jews were removed from their lands by force under threat of death by Jordanian troops after the war. Unfortunately, these two completely opposite events have since been convoluted and rewritten such that today the exact opposite is the accepted history, despite historical accounts by the British, the United Nations and numerous other accounts made by witnesses present at that time that still hold forth to the truth.

What will be the results of this international rush to establish a Palestinian State on all the land they dare to claim at this time? No sooner will they get their desires met than they will move to their next desire, the eradication of every Jew within their new State. Whether this will be by blood or by eviction will depend on what they see as being accepted by the rest of the world. I expect it will be by a combination of Jews leaving on their own volition and some resisting. It will then depend on if the Palestinians allow the IDF to address the holdouts or if they decide to attack both the remaining settlers and the IDF forces removing them. In the long run, this will seem inconsequential though there will be an explosion of complaints at the time. With having their new State established with the United Nations’ blessings, and free from any restrictions, the first order of business will be a quick election followed by establishing their military and demanding arms to equip these forces with the claim of imminent attack from Israel as the justification. This will be followed by allowing the stationing of troops from supporting nations such as Iran and supporting groups to mass before the final eradication of Israel. Whatever the world thinks it is accomplishing, no matter what wrongs they feel they are righting, no matter what inequities they are making amends for, the end of establishing a State of Palestine will be an all-out Middle East war unlike anything we have witnessed before. This is what the world is rushing to accomplish, potentially another Shoah, but definitely a bloodbath with incalculable loss of life from a vengeance beyond description. Please, slow down, weigh your actions, and above all, think.

Beyond the Cusp

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