Beyond the Cusp

March 25, 2016

The American Election Problem

 

The election is going to come down to a choice, if it can be called that, between the one least hated. The reason that has become the race is due to the fact that far too many voters will be voting to make sure the other candidate does not ruin the nation and potentially the world. That still allows for primary election coverage as that is where the only real choices are. Any normal election year none of the front-runners would be leading to receive their party’s nomination. Hillary is simply the less damaged goods still vying for the Democrat nomination while Trump is the more mainstream candidate on the Republican side of the ledger. The problem is neither one of them is a preferred choice; they are simply the masters of their neighborhood. Hillary has been running on the “It’s my turn and you had best let me run or I will scorch the earth beneath your feet,” candidate. She has become a fire-breathing dragon and the Democrats have wisely decided to turn her loose on the Republicans. Trump has become the product of the year of the ‘anybody but Hillary’ candidate and he wisely took up that mantra before any of the others realized what it was they were running for. Ted Cruz managed his second place finish because he actually has a following which survived having all the oxygen sucked out of the room. And that is why this will be the year the Presidency was lost more than it was won.

 

What has the public upset is that there are no good choices left as all the adults were kicked out of the sandbox before anyone realized what was actually happening. The only real candidates still in the running who actually have a platform are Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders. The two who are not getting the chance to run for President in November are the socialist, a real redistributionist socialist, and a man who would seem more at home on the pulpit than on the stump running for President of the United States. Instead the choices will be the man-child and the anti-man, and as for which is which, does it really matter? When other than the true believers are going to the polls in order to salvage what they can of America from ruination knowing that the person they are voting against has them more annotated to vote than does the person for whom they are voting, should tell the world that sanity has left the building. Those voting for Hillary are likely more scared of what a Trump Presidency would bring than they really believe Hillary is the best person for the White House with the exceptions being those who were with her in 2008, and even some of those have likely awakened to the horrifying allure. And for those who Hillary in the White House is more horrifying than Godzilla loose in Tokyo will not be voting for Trump as much as defending the realm from a fate worse than death. Yes, each has their core who believes they will make for a great President but neither has sufficient support to win an election except against the other. This will be the election where the majority leaving the voting booth when asked who they voted for would be more honest saying who they voted against. What was mystifying this past week was a seminal series of events at AIPAC where the candidates who felt a need to gain a stage appeared and revealed who may actually prove to earn their trip to the White House and the Presidency. Hillary gave her address and received exactly what everyone expected. Cruz gave his speech and was also well received. Kasich was Kasich. Bernie wisely skipped AIPAC knowing full well that he had few friends who honestly know his views on the Middle East.

 

Hillary Clinton for President

Donald Trump for President

Bernie Sanders for President

Ted Cruz for President

 

That leaves us with Donald Trump. He gave what was honestly a solid performance starting out slightly hesitantly. This was to be expected as he was not exactly in friendly climes. If anything he was in enemy waters as was noted by the number of those who walked out as he entered. Trump was not expected to impress and many probably stayed initially to watch him crash and burn. He did nothing of the sort. Donald Trump actually won some respect and may have made some friends. Trump started to give what was expected but at some point appeared to change gears and actually win over many listening and probably by the end were trying to figure out exactly what had happened. Donald Trump came to survive and thrived; he actually thrived and hopefully realized that he can win being himself in any room against any challenge. This appearance at AIPAC may have produced an actual honest contender if only he grows from this and not revert to his clownish easy road. Winning is a lot harder to do than simply not losing, and the difference is what makes a leader.

 

Beyond the Cusp

March 3, 2015

Trust Betrayed but By Who?

Filed under: Absolutism,Administration,AIPAC,Amalekites,American Israel Public Affairs Committ,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Appointment,Benyamin Netanyahu,Binding Resolution,Blood Libel,Blue Water Navy,Breakout Point,Britain,Cabinet,Canada,Catherine Ashton,China,Civilization,Conflict Avoidnce,Congress,Coverup,Crusades,Ditherer in Chief,Domestic NGOs,Elections,EMP Device,Europe,European Council,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Federica Mogherini,Fordo,Foreign Funding,Foreign Minister Baird,Foreign NGOs,France,Germany,Government,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,History,House of Representatives,IAEA,Internal Pressures,International Atomic Energy Agency,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps,Iraq,IRGC,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Interests,Jihad,John Kerry,Koran,Leftist Pressures,Mainland China,Military,Mohammad Javad Zarif,Muslim World,Muslims,Netanyahu,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Scientist,Nuclear Sites,Nuclear Weapons,Nuclear Weapons,Obama,Osirak Reactor,Parchin,Plutonium Production,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,Saddam Hussein,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Secretary of State,Secular Interests,Senate,Terror,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Upgraded Military Capabilities,Uranium Enrichment,Weapons of Mass Destruction,WMD,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 3:23 AM
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In the midst of what is being called a betrayal of trust, hurtful acts to friendship and making United States Israeli relations into a partisan issue; there has been a few items likely to have been overlooked. Nobody is paying much attention to one side’s actions to put this whole vitriolic sniping into perspective. The news is full of the accusations of betrayal by Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu claiming that his speech to Congress will be hurtful to American/Israeli relations. He has been warned not to state any of the terms in the framework of the agreement which President Obama is intending to sign in the near future as that might hurt the chances for the framework to be ratified. Meanwhile, another White House unnamed source gave comment which appears to counter the entire flow of aspersions when they stated that the speech was not going to have any effect nor would it in any way harm the talks the administration was holding as part of the P5+1 negotiations with Iran. If the negotiations will be unaffected then what is the entire brouhaha all about? When you add the statements at AIPAC by Netanyahu where he praised President Obama and stated that this is a disagreement about policy, not about anything personal and that such disagreements have existed before and the relations and personal interactions survived them all and some even became actions which were later appreciated though not at the time of the disagreement. Probably the best example of this was when Israeli Prime Minister Begin ignored President Ronald Regan’s insistence that Israel stand down and not potentially set off explosions across the Middle East which bombing the Osirak nuclear plant in Iraq presumably would cause. Israel still dispatched six fighter-bombers and escorts and destroyed the reactor and somehow there were no actual fireworks and President Bush later thanked the Israelis for not listening as if they had not struck the reactor it was very possible that Iraq would have had nuclear weapons making any actions against Saddam Hussein next to impossible. Even President Obama appeared to be talking back the acrimony stating that where there may be “substantial disagreement” over how to achieve the shared goal of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, such disagreement would not be “permanently destructive” to American/Israeli relations. The difficulty is the mixed message as the President and Secretary of State Kerry also have sharply pointed to previous warnings from Prime Minister Netanyahu such as the claims that the interim agreement gave Iran too much leeway and was not providing sufficient enforcement while sanctions were being relaxed and this has not led to any disasters.

 

All of these accusations will only be validated or invalidated by the results down the road. There has been one point of contention which is undisputable, Prime Minister Netanyahu has pointedly made the case that Iran must never be permitted to have nuclear weapons capabilities while President Obama’s entire case is that by postponing the attaining of nuclear weapons by Iran, they will be put off by a decade or possibly even fifteen years and that the entire attitude of the Iranian government will likely change rather noticeable and for the better in the ensuing years and especially if the United States is able to put the past behind and initiate relations with Iran which can only help to alleviate any difficulties the West has with Iran. This is very likely minimizing the differences as Prime Minister Netanyahu and other Israelis have noted that the terms of the framework will allow Iran to reach almost breakout conditions though not verifiably have the capability to actually produce nuclear weapons and by allowing such is tantamount to risking Iran clandestinely producing nuclear weapons in the dark and outside of the ability of the IAEA inspectors to monitor. This was made all the more obvious recently with two reports. The first report came from the lead inspector of the IAEA who pointed out that Iran was not forthcoming with satisfactory answers to concerns placed before them for explanations which might allay fears that Iran was well on their way to militarizing their nuclear program. The second came from the same dissident group which had initially made the extent and scope of the Iranian nuclear activities known to the Western nations who have come forth stating that an additional nuclear plant for the processing of uranium had been established and was ready to be activated. The processing plant was presumably close to Tehran sitting underneath existing structures which had also served to shelter their activities from satellites and other detection abilities including especially drones. The news of such a facility makes fears that Iran intends to produce nuclear weapons despite any agreement far more probable should this reported plant be actualized and hopefully be placed under IAEA inspections, something unlikely when one also finds that the IAEA requests to inspect the Parchin Military Base where suspected weaponizing tests and manufacture of the detonators for a nuclear weapons were carried out. Recent reports also inform that not only had the buildings reputedly used for such experimentation and perfection of their triggering detonators been razed and the ground turned up and replaced with earth from another location, but now new buildings are being constructed over the site making inspections next to impossible. Such obstructionism does not bode well for Iranian compliance with the terms of any agreement.

 

Additional threats and demands have been levied and amongst them the demand that the Israelis not state any of the terms they suspect are a part of the framework largely because the administration has gone to such extremes to avoid allowing the Congress to vote on any agreement as such would require allowing the terms to be known. This request was made even before the elections which placed the Senate under a Republican majority. It has been the secrecy under which the administration has operated these negotiations which has initiated the suspicions which were apparently substantiated by the information received by the Israelis before they were locked out of the loop on any further updates by the United States. This will likely mean that Israel will now be just as ill-informed as the other Western members of the negotiations team as much of the framework has appeared to have been crafted in one-on-one meetings between Secretary Kerry and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif. We will see today what effects the admonishments from the administration will have had on the address before Congress by Prime Minister Netanyahu as he gave little indications at his AIPAC speech as to what today’s speech will contain. Largely the Prime Minister’s speech was to show the appreciation that his administration and all Israelis have with their brothers and sisters living in the United States, the second most Jewish population state. Initiating his speech the Prime Minister gave thanks to Milos Zeman, president of the Czech Republic, for his support of Israel and his nation’s historical support of the Jewish state. Likewise he thanked Canadian officials, including outgoing Foreign Minister John Baird, for being “champions of Israel.” He gave a warm greeting to the packed audience greeting them with, “My friends I bring greetings to you from Jerusalem, our eternal undivided capital!” He also quipped receiving thunderous applause with, “I also bring to you news that you may not have heard. You see I’ll be speaking in Congress tomorrow.” Beyond the personal thank you statements and introductory ice breakers to put everyone at ease, Prime Minister Netanyahu spoke of the ties between the United States and Israel like that of a family that despite any disagreements remain closely related and such disputes do not make the family dysfunctional. Netanyahu stated, “You’re here to tell the world that reports of the demise of the Israeli and American ties are not only premature, they’re just wrong. You’re here to tell the world that our alliance is stronger than ever. And because of you… it’s going to get even stronger in the coming years.” He also stressed, “My speech is not meant to show any disrespect for President Obama or for the office that he holds, I have great respect for both.” Prime Minister spoke of the long period where Jews were as in the wilderness with no real home and subjected to the whims and provocations of those under whom they lived often facing terrible degradations and compared that suffering with the reality that now we once again have our homelands where we can finally fight for our rights and respect and rule ourselves. The Prime Minister initiated this telling that, “For 2,000 years my people, the Jewish people, were stateless, voiceless… we suffered relentless persecution and horrific attacks.” And then concluded stating, “Well, no more! The days when the Jewish people are passive in the face of threats to annihilate us, those days are over!” He also pointed out that the current disagreement with the United States is not over the goal we both desire but over the best method for achieving said goal. He pointed to our shared values of “liberty, equality, justice, tolerance, compassion.” You can hear the speech and judge his language and emotions yourself as his speech is embedded below.

 

 

 

We covered the framework’s rough draft a few days ago in the article “P5+1 and Iran Six Month Working Nuclear Agreement” which included the CNN released draft. We will not bore everyone repeating that article which had a few of our observations and cautionary quote made us the most ill at ease as we thought it was for too restrictive and presumptuous to assume to speak for the Congress while refusing to allow their input and advice. Today’s speech by the Israeli Prime Minister will be reviewed by many journalists and editorialists many of whom will have their best, sharpest and longest knives bared to stab and cut off the juiciest morsels they believe they can use to smear and defame the Prime Minister while others will have their most favorable glasses on and perfumed stationary on which to reveal their admirations and near love affair with Netanyahu, and any truth likely lies in the middle. Well, we will see what we will see and perhaps hear something unexpected but whatever is to come, by tomorrow all will be done except the media shouting, and who knows how long that may last and who from the political side will jump in and mix things up further. No matter what is said to Congress, the rest of the world continues to spiral out of control with the Libya ISIS terrorists still threatening to attack Italy and sac Rome, ISIS taking hostages with which to incite more hatred with their horrific offerings, Iran now being given the lead in the bombing war against ISIS in Iraq and Syria, Russia still eyeing the entirety of the coast of the Ukraine and drooling over the other former Soviet bloc nations and finally there is China manufacturing a blue water navy complete with continental missile carrying boomer submarines and aircraft carriers in their attempt to supplant the United States as the hegemonic power in the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait or Formosa Strait, the Tsu Shima Strait, the Korea Strait and lastly adding the Pacific Ocean to their ownership of both ends of the Panama Canal. The world just keeps on getting more interesting and the nations within better and more dangerously armed and the little people, you know, you and us are simply not any part of the equations beyond statistical estimations on how many of us and in which regions we will be sacrificed in the next attempt to do what has been attempted throughout history, conquer the known world which finally actually means the whole world. Isn’t that just wonderful?

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

April 25, 2014

U.S. State Department Allies with Israel Over Hamas

Many the Israel supporter has likely spent a fair amount of their lives mentally yelling at, actually cursing over or otherwise protesting in the extreme positions and actions originating from the United States State Department towards Israel; particularly over making unilateral concessions to the Palestinians for the displeasure of having their temporary company in what everybody, even the State Department, know will be futile negotiations. Imagine the surprise followed almost immediately with glee, providing one did not simply pass out upon hearing the news, when State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki issued an Israeli supporting statement to the press. Ms. Psaki statement stated, “It’s hard to see how Israel can be expected to negotiate with a government that does not believe in its right to exist.” All of this fuss and apparent change of position by the State Department is all over Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority having agreed and signed a unifying agreement with Hamas with all the particulars to be worked out and elections held within the coming weeks and months. Other than the, what some people might claim, earthshaking turnaround by the United States State Department in support of Israel, what were some of the other reactions to the prospective merger of Hamas and Fatah. Israel, predictably, cancelled any future meetings with the Palestinian Authority and made announcements to the press that should the merging of Hamas in Gaza with the Palestinian Authority and Fatah in Judea and Samaria prove out, then there would be no further negotiations or relations between Israel and the new entity. Somewhat more interesting was the reaction from Islamic Jihad, who pessimistically, though probably realistically if past history provides any valid insights, predicted that the attempt to merge Fatah and Hamas would end in failure. Islamic Jihad reasoned that because Fatah and Hamas made the agreement contingent on accomplishing numerous technical details and gave themselves initially a five week window in which to accomplish these actions, this would provide the two groups sufficient time for one or both to have second thoughts or decide they might stand to lose more powers and position making the deal less appealing and leading to tensions which would result in the deal fracturing and falling through. And lastly, J-Street, the self-professed pro-Israel lobbying group which has been denounced by AIPAC, ZOA, and numerous Ministers from within the Israeli Knesset, came out demanding that the United States government redouble their efforts and force Israel to negotiate with the new entity claiming that since Hamas had support from a sizeable sector of the Palestinian public, then Israel would necessarily need to negotiate with Hamas as there is no other alternative than to engage in more negotiations.

 

I would suspect that before long we will hear J-Street demand that Israel make concessions in order to pacify any rejections Hamas might voice against Israel and continue to make concession after concession, including releasing every Hamas aligned terrorist prisoner, until Hamas agreed to negotiations. Never mind that Hamas has sworn to never negotiate with Israel and sworn to continue with violent Jihad and terrorism until they have completely destroyed Israel and murdered every Jew on planet Earth. Really have my doubts that there are sufficient concessions in the universe to pacify Hamas’s hatreds. This is right in line with other demands made in the Past by J-Street. They have demanded that Israel return the Golan Heights to Syria as a sign of goodwill claiming that if only Israel would show their flexibility and return the occupied Syrian territory, then Syria would make peace and end all hostilities between the two nations. Syria has never made any offer to end their state of war with Israel and have been quite content to live with a semi-official ceasefire. J-Street has apparently missed the small fact that Israel annexed the Golan Heights as there was no possibility of returning them to Syria remembering that life in northern Israel’s Galilee Valley was next to impossible as Syrian snipers would regularly shoot at the farmers and other civilians from their position atop the overlooking Golan Heights positions. The Syrians would also fire an occasional artillery barrage destroying property and endangering lives. Actually, J-Street could not be any more anti-Israel in their positions if they were to be the ones seeking to merge with Hamas instead of Fatah, and they might even have more in common with Hamas ideologically than does Fatah, though that would be an even contest between the two.

 

In many ways a merger reincorporating Hamas into the Palestinian Authority and thereby tinting Fatah and Mahmoud Abbas with the terrorist label through guilt by association actually come to pass, it would have the advantage of labelling Fatah and the Palestinian Authority more honestly recognizing the terrorist heart that existed even without Hamas’s presence. The frightening possibility is that the position being proposed by J-Street could very well come to fruition in the not too distant future after time has weakened the will to call a Palestinian terror organization what it is, a terror organization, will dissipate leading to the State Department to recant and demand Israel begin to make concessions once again in order to convince, read bribe, whomever the Palestinian Authority elects as their new leadership to come to the negotiating table and reinvigorate the otherwise dead peace process farce. We can fully expect that over time there will begin to be calls, and later demands, that Israel reinstate the intentions and processes that were at the heart of the Oslo Accords reestablishing their recognition of the Palestinian Authority as the rightful representation of the Palestinians and as such the government in waiting of the Arab state which should be formed to live next to Israel in “peace and security”.

 

Remember that this will be the new Palestinian Authority which will include Hamas and probably eventually, should the agreement come to fruition, Islamic Jihad and any other terror entity that exists within Gaza, Judea and Samaria. The first sources of this destructive and dangerous idea will probably come from the Arab League followed soon by the United Nations Human Rights Council which will be buttressed by Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon almost immediately. Soon thereafter the European Union will jump on board and there will be the litany of complaints and the parade of endless Palestinian hardships and other miseries all given sympathetic coverage by much of the mainstream world media. Much of this will be timed to reach its zenith soon after a new President of the United States has been inaugurated. Then will come the State Department lobbying and advising the new President of how the time is right and how the President can be the one who can win the trust of the Israelis and bring the two sides together and forge a peace thus winning a place in history as well as securing a Nobel Peace Prize. Heck, they might even try to convince the President that by accomplishing this grand achievement that it will bring an end to all conflicts throughout the entire globe and actually accomplish an unprecedented reality of “peace in our time.” Let us hope that whoever the President is being sold this fetid bag of goods has sufficient grasp of recent history and what the last achievement that was touted as bringing “peace in our time” resulted in producing. Another result like that is the last thing this world needs, especially if we also remember the admonition given by Albert Einstein when queried about the weapons with which World War III would be fought using, where he replied, “I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”

 

Developing story, more to come tomorrow.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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