Beyond the Cusp

February 17, 2017

Let’s Talk Middle East Conflict, Minus One Overly Blamed Nation

 

We are going to do something which the average person would believe impossible, discuss conflicts in the Middle East, which includes North Africa and the entirety that goes by the initials MENA, without mentioning Israel other than this once. Yes, that is not only possible but necessary such that people can learn how solving the Palestinian issue would not bring peace to one of the most troubled areas on the planet. There are a number of separate wars going on in Libya alone. In the capital city of Tripoli the government’s forces hold a little more than the offices of the Parliament, the President and the other government buildings and their residences, and only because they reside very close to this central area in Tripoli. There are usually a minimum of two rebel groups at any time fighting the government as well as one another. Often there are more than two as these clans believe that they should be the ones running the country and that Libya is their personal playground. These clans also fight against any terrorists who they believe are trying to take over their areas which they actually do control. The terrorists fight to retain their training grounds. Benghazi is also an open warfare zone with no real governance which controls the entire city but it is the second largest concentration of government military forces. As the government forces do control the port of Tripoli there does exist some trade which is mostly necessities as well as arms and ammunition to keep the government in control. Further, Benghazi, Tobruk, Surt and the other major ports are often changing hands as different groups will exert the necessary force to take the ports when they are expecting shipments from their arms merchants. As some European and many Middle East and Asian arms dealers are making a fair profit, the risks of doing business with the different clans and terror groups operating in Libya is worth the risks involved. Needless to say, the violence in Libya does not always stay in Libya; it often crosses borders into Egypt, Algeria, Chad, Niger and even the Sudan. One of the main arms providers is the Sudanese government and arms dealers taking side action arming the Sudanese neighboring nations including Libya but excluding South Sudan as this is not permitted by the Sudanese government.

 

There is a very good reason that the Sudanese government has made the providing of arms to South Sudan a capital offence, they are still fighting a war and committing a slow genocide against the Christians and Animists and act as if nobody in the world has recognized South Sudan as a separate nation. As long as the world, including those who have recognized South Sudan as a separate nation, do nothing of consequence to protest the nascent country from its far stronger and well-armed former rulers, the killing will continue. There have been some troops provided by the African Union. The United Nations also has sent troops to South Sudan. The problem is what is really necessary would be an entire army, which is not what has been sent. Back in 2013 the United States took what it claimed was measures to assure the genocide in South Sudan would be relieved by allocating one-hundred-fifty Marines and a few aircraft to the Horn of Africa from where they were to be capable of evacuating people under threat in South Sudan. As is said repeatedly in Bill Cosby’s routine on Noah, “Right!” Our new United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres stated this week that refugees were fleeing cities and towns and that “The security situation continues to deteriorate in parts of the country and the consequent impact of this ongoing conflict and violence, has reached catastrophic proportions for civilians,” A United Nations report stated, “The rise of militias under the loose command of the SPLA or rebel commanders is spreading the fragmentation and dislocation of its territories, which risk, if this trend continues, remaining out of any government control for years to come.” The United Nations further reports that the numbers of refugees currently seeking relief is beyond one and a half million.

 

Now we can slide over to Somalia which is only a real country on maps for lack of a better means of describing the area. Like Libya there is no actual ruling government but instead a series of gangs ruling their territories with iron fists and warring with each other trying to increase their domain. The people have to make sure they are aware of which gang is currently ruling their block of homes as that will also define where they are allowed to shop and who they may visit. Crossing from one region to the next carries varying degrees of danger. Some of the gangs along the shoreline engage in pirating for a living seeking pleasure yachts, merchant ships and even passing warships which are traveling without escort. These pirates have varying levels of gall living by the code “no guts, no glory.” They have attacked European, Asian, Australian, Canadian and American shipping and anybody else who comes within their range. Their method is to use a larger ship which remains out of sight but relatively close and smaller craft attack the target vessels and attempt to board and commandeer the ship then demanding ransom for the ship, crew and cargo. They check the cargo for anything they might desire or need to keep for themselves and will take any weapons they find an board the ships they take. There has been some degree of international efforts to bring this to an end but for the most part ships take their own risks coming out of the Red Sea after passing through the Suez Canal.

 

Of course that means they need to make their way through the Bab el-Mandeb Straights without being struck by Houthis shelling out of Yemen. The Houthi rebels in Yemen are Iranian backed and attempting to conquer all of Yemen to give Iran a base from which to attack Saudi Arabia from the south. This will come in very handy should Iran decide to attack Saudi Arabia from Iraq and the north mainly the northeast of Saudi Arabia which has the majority of Shiite Muslims as well as most of the oil fields. Additionally, Iran has made friends with Qatar and has made overtures claiming than Oman and Bahrain are actually breakaway Iranian provinces. Much like China keeps threatening that they will one day rejoin Taiwan to the mainland as it is simply a breakaway province, Iran makes the same claims on Oman and Bahrain. Bahrain has a Sunni monarch and a predominantly Shiite population. During the Arab Spring (boy was that a joke and a complete disaster from the word go thanks in part to President Obama who had a hand in these failed revolts with great assistance from Hillary Clinton and the European Union) the Shiites in Bahrain revolted and things appeared to be heading for real troubles, that was until Saudi Arabia used the multi-lane causeway highway to send troops to quell the revolt. The Shiites left their Mosques on Friday all revved up to overthrow the monarch when they found tanks, armored personnel carriers and heavily armed Saudi Arabian troops at both ends of the block so everybody calmed down and went home. Sure there were a few short outbursts of violence which were immediately quelled. The entire Arab Spring in Bahrain ended that Friday with barely a whimper. Similarly, the Shiites in the northeast of Saudi Arabia thought about staging an uprising but were quickly persuaded to remain calm. That thought of rising up was so short it did not even make a single news cycle.

 

Egypt is next on out little tour and is currently largely complacent. They had their Arab Spring and threw out military rule and President Mubarak and replaced him with the predicted Muslim Brotherhood candidate, President Morsi. President Morsi was advised by Turkish President Erdogan to take a slow and steady approach to Islamizing Egypt but paid that no heed. He took off on a radical program of change trying almost overnight to make Egypt a Muslim Brotherhood run totalitarian hellhole. This was met with a public already in revolt mode and they rose up again and demanded Morsi’s head. General of the Army Sisi took the hint and removed the Muslim Brotherhood from power and held new elections. Having the most recognized name in Egypt and having just saved the day, surprisingly Sisi who had stepped down from General of the Army ran and won the Presidency of Egypt. So Egypt is now safely back under military rule for intents and purposes and appears happy to be so. The one problem is the Sinai Peninsula. The Sinai Peninsula is filled with terrorists from al-Qaeda and Islamic State to Hamas and even Iranian backed groups. They attack Egyptian military outposts with varying degrees of success. They often attack the border outposts between Egypt and Gaza in order to allow the flow of terrorists, arms, and contraband into and out of Gaza where Hamas and Islamic Jihad share control. What is interesting about Gaza is that Islamic Jihad is supplied by Iran amongst others and Hamas is Muslim Brotherhood thus provisioned by them and also on occasion they are given rocket engine technologies and even rudimentary guidance systems from Iran as Iran will even arm Sunnis if they are attacking Iran’s favorite target. Egypt has yet to put down the menaces in the Sinai Peninsula and they have even been cleared to use whatever troops and equipment they need and they are apparently fighting a losing battle, or at least not completely reaching a totally peaceful situation. Perhaps they never should have accepted the Sinai Peninsula back when they made peace between President Sadat and Prime Minister Begin.

 

Turkey is also involved in a war which few appear to care to mention. They are claiming to fight against Bashir al-Assad in Syria as well as against Islamic State but somehow the majority of their efforts appear to be barely across the border. They seem preoccupied, or at least President Erdogan is preoccupied, with the Kurds. Turkey could actually make a great agreement and win an ally for life if they would simply allow the Kurds to form their own nation out of northeastern Syria, northern Iraq and at the worst a few tens or hundreds of square miles of southeastern Turkey where the population is majority Kurdish. The United States or other groups would probably handsomely reward Turkey for the lost lands, give a relocation allowance to any Turkish non-Kurdish citizens desiring to leave the Kurdish nation and return to Turkey and all could be settled. Even if Turkey refused to sacrifice a small portion of land, the Kurds in Turkey would likely relocate if they were granted recognition as a nation as was promised them by the British (we all know how good the British are on their promises when oil is involved). Turkey has been bombing and using ground assaults backed by heavy armor against the Kurds who have largely been fighting the Islamic State. Apparently Turkey would prefer the Islamic State on their border than the Kurds, there is no accounting for taste.

 

Middle East & North Africa (MENA)

Middle East & North Africa (MENA)

 

Then there are the wars outside of Yemen and Gaza where Iran is a major player. We are referring to Iraq and Syria where Iran is attempting to rule Iraq through proxy and reestablish Bashir al-Assad as the ruler of Syria. Bashir al-Assad has lost almost the entirety of his nation to the Islamic State, a number of other rebels, a Kurdish section which is simply attempting to protect their own people as well as the Yazidi refugees they took in after rescuing them when the rest of the world twiddled their thumbs, President Obama leading the thumb twiddlers. Iran has a friend in Russia who are actually fighting simply to retain their Mediterranean Sea port privileges such that they retain a warm water port capable of allowing ships to enter the Atlantic Ocean year round without having to pass through the Dardanelles in Turkey, an iffy situation at times. That is why the majority of the Russian operations center around Latakia and the port facilities located in that Mediterranean coastal city. Latakia is also in the central region where the Alawite Tribe resides which also happens to be Bashir al-Assad’s allies and tribal alliance and they along with some of the Druze except they have largely withdrawn and are simply, as are the Kurds, defending their own people and lands from the Islamic State and any other threats. They are safe from the Russians, Iranians and Syrian Army and even most likely the Hezballah forces from Lebanon who are supporting Bashir al-Assad as if Syria was their own country and not Lebanon. Hezballah is there because Iran insisted they fight or else Iran would have cut them off and they would then be facing the rest of Lebanon ready to dispose of the Hezballah terrorists who have been ruling Lebanon through their military threat. The one benefit of Hezballah fighting in Syria and taking the casualties in numbers far higher than are admitted is they are unable to attack any others including but not limited to the Christians and other minorities in Lebanon.

 

Our final stop is at the Afghanistan and Pakistan end of MENA. We left out some of the nations at the far end of northern Africa where one of the major problems is Boko Haram who are bloodthirsty Islamist terrorists who often kidnap Christians and even other Muslims and sell them into slavery. They specialize in selling to the sex slave industry and thus most often target young women and boys. Their other main effort is to murder Christians and Animists, something which sounds familiar from the South Sudan. Boko Haram operated largely centered on northern and central Nigeria and the neighboring areas even south to Mali. Meanwhile, Afghanistan and Pakistan consist of large areas which are considered tribal and the government rarely enters these zones as the tribes are well armed and do not recognize the governmental right to their areas. Too often these tribal areas will war with one another and then they make their money off of allowing terrorists to train and make a lucrative business from poppies. The heroin trade is something the government does not fight as they too benefit from the trafficking in illicit drugs. Until there is introduced another cash crop the farmers will grow and sell the easiest and most profitable crop they can raise, poppies. The flowers are almost as pretty as the profits. Needless to point out but where you have such profits there will always be violence as the tribes desire to expand their fields and taking the tribe next door’s fields is the quickest way to making more profit. Additionally, there is the constant state of conflict between Pakistan and India over Kashmir, a nation which appears on older maps and had the distinction of having to be colored white because it had so many neighboring nations on its border that it needed it own color and white was the best one not in use anywhere else. That concludes our Middle East conflict roundup leaving one nation obviously ignored, imagine all this without mentioning the nation always considered the source of the Middle East conflict chart. Perhaps the rest of it is not so peaceful after all.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

August 26, 2016

The Potentially Unavoidable Apocalypse

 

There is a coming apocalyptic war which will spill throughout Europe into the Middle East and may result at some point to one side using nuclear weapons should that option become available and there is no reason to believe it would not as making a nuclear weapon in modern times is just a few steps higher than making a weapon with normal high explosives. Thermonuclear weapons might require a small cadre of dedicated physicists but a nuclear device such as the ones used against Japan are within the ability of many intelligent high school graduates as their construction is available on the internet for any enterprising individual to research. The difficulty, if there is one, is gathering the fissile materials; from there it is a simple matter of machining and choosing your designs. This is a horrible truth to place over the heads of millions of innocents who will pay dearly when the coming war enters its main and determinative battle phase. Imagine the war in Syria and spread it over the better part of three continents and potentially throughout the entirety of the globe with few exceptions. Add in a final set of battles using nuclear weapons, initially the fifteen to twenty-five kilotons and soon after breaking into megatons and thermonuclear weapons such as the type held by major nuclear powers and available to any nations willing to put the necessary effort into their production and there easily could be some non-State factions such as the Muslim Brotherhood or neo-Nazi supremacists who have sufficient resources, talent and safe areas of operations that they also could produce such weapons once they gain access to the necessary materials. Before such a calamity reaches the doorsteps of our lives we need to ask where this war could begin.

 

The sparking point could be simply anywhere in Europe and it will not begin with any nation as much as a civil war started by the populations themselves. The triggering point would be a massive multi-city coordinated terrorist event where the people in the stricken localities start a war with the claimed intent of vindicating those murdered in the terror attack. Such an event could start the spiral into a more general war with many people caught in the crossfire similarly to what happened in Syria except this would have spread across Europe city by city until it involved national armies breaking from their officers and stepping in to assist the people, or at least that was their intention. Once tanks start to roll on the streets the civil unrest would enter a completely different phase which would snowball until it became another war starting in Europe but this will range far outside of Europe. Many of the terror enterprises are loosely interwoven and could respond to the escalation taking over the military hardware and troops of sympathetic or easily toppled rulers in order to gain the use of military weapons. This could soon spread in such a manner as to include many European state actors pulled into a conflict which would be quickly getting completely beyond the control of normal safeguards as both societies begin to call for the saving of their way of life, their freedoms and the customs and other particulars they hold dear and are comfortably familiar with. Once it becomes nation against nation it will then call upon like-minded or treaty bound allies into the fray and from there it does not stop easily. People discount such events leading to such a conflagration but as they have not studied history they are not aware on what simple actions have dragged humanity into costly and often destabilizing conflicts. Take the second most costly war in history, World War I. This war began with the assassination of a royal family head, the assassination of Archduke Francis Ferdinand of Austria in Sarajevo by Achille Beltrame as the Archduke and his wife were shot while riding in their car after taking a wrong turn. The real attempt to assassinate Archduke Francis Ferdinand had been set along his scheduled route but a sympathizer saw him passing his location and took advantage of the opportunity believing he was serving his oppressed people and never expecting the horrors of World War I to come as a result of a few bullets into one world leader and his wife. The people called for revenge and soon thereafter it got beyond any local conflict and the entire globe even to include Japan were honoring treaties or simply choosing one side or the other. World War I was more about honoring treaties than revenge for an assassination and that is what is frightening about the world today.

 

Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria and Sophie, Duchess of Hohenberg top left: in Car Immediately Before Assassination, Top Right Lying in State bottom picture Pictured with their Children Official Portrait

Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria and Sophie, Duchess of Hohenberg
top left: in Car Immediately Before Assassination, Top Right Lying in State
bottom picture Pictured with their Children Official Portrait

 

Mutual defense treaties which require entire groups of nations to jump into a conflict once a member demands assistance exist and NATO is simply one such treaty. NATO, as an example, could be called to assist any member state who has become embroiled in a conflict which they feel they might require greater assistance. NATO had an interesting set of members of which Turkey is one of the longstanding members due to their strategic control of the Bosphorus Straights which control access from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea and from there the Atlantic Ocean and the world. These narrow waterways were essential for Russia to deploy her ships and thus the NATO powers bribed and forced Turkey into NATO in case there became a time when the West would desire to blockade the Russian Black Sea fleet from gaining access to the Mediterranean Sea. It really is that simple and Turkey just sent tanks into Syria. The picture of how an intervention can be conducted under the idea, which is obvious when one looks at the bombings in Turkey, which violent attacks originate from the terror groups within Syria who are adversarial to Turkey and their government and President Erdogan in particular. What would be the ramifications should Turkey’s President Erdogan be assassinated or an attempt was made on his life but failed only grievously wounding him but leaving him to survive. By the time he came out of surgery which saved his life the war could have already been started and Turkish jets bombing targets in Syria, specifically the western holdout areas of the Alawites and Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad. It is also the base for the Russian fleet in Latakia, Syria. We may remember the near tipping point reached when a single Russian fighter jet was shot from the skies over Turkey, or at least seemingly over Turkey as it was attacking within Syria and these fast aircraft have large turning radii. Now imagine an airstrike which missed the Syria barracks in Latakia and instead struck the Russian docs sinking two Russian warships and killing fifty or a hundred Russian sailors. How long before Putin declares war on Turkey who then calls in their NATO marker and instant World War as Russia too has such agreements with the likes of China, Iran, some Arab League nations and other eastern Asian nations. The Arab League would necessarily side with Russia believing that Turkey would be incapable of standing against such forces and not figuring on Europe and the United States and Anglosphere nations backing Turkey. Doubtful such will happen, but there was a presumed coup in Turkey recently and that could have turned out much different if it had been a serious coup threatening the governance.

 

One item that bears keeping in mind, wars seldom start where or how we expect them to. They start with a relatively insignificant shot from one rifle or crossbow or a sword placed within some leader of a following religiously, politically, or even a cause. The Arab Spring, or Arab Winter as we had predicted, began with one vegetable hawker committing suicide in protest of unfair taxes and laws and self-immolating and Tunisia exploded followed by Egypt and down the row of dominoes giving us Syria and also Libya thanks to some overactive interventions from far away in Washington D.C. and someone leading from behind and an overanxious Secretary of State seeking another feather for a Presidential run seeing and grasping what appeared to be a golden opportunity for nation building. Somewhere in these plans things unraveled and we have a dysfunctional Libya with warring tribes and terrorist entities. It, like Syria, is an open hotbed and perfect location for a terrorist group such as the Islamic State to manufacture the bombs of their choosing. One has to figure that at some point the Islamic State has come into weapons such as nerve gas or even radiological materials of weapons grade uranium. One can only guess what their true capabilities might include. Once a nuclear device has been manufactured, it would easily be deliverable to anywhere in Europe including Great Britain. It could be built and concealed inside a cement truck and hidden under a load of dried cement resulting from a traffic holdup which allowed the load to set in the truck. Who would chip away at half a ton or more of cement to inspect the vehicle and once inside Turkey it could easily transverse the entirety of Europe taking it to any European capital city or large metropolitan area for a nuclear terror attack. What comes after such an attack? Yep, there is no telling but it would not be good, that much we can count upon.

 

Riots can spread and become to have a life of their own and who knows where such could lead. Terrorism can spark unrest which could easily get out of hand. Ultra-nationalist right wing parties are gaining strength throughout Europe and these parties preach an active approach to what they term is an invasion, and who knows for sure, they could be right. Can anyone tell me the results of passing a law to expunge a nation of all non-citizens referring to them as a risk and a threat which the country no longer believes they can allow? Should one incident get out of control with some troops opening fire on unarmed civilians which they are gathering for deportation under the auspices of the new citizens’ only laws, what would come next? Once one nation cleans their population of all foreign noncitizens and shipped them over the border to the next location? Where would this lead once the majority of a continent has cleansed themselves of everyone who is not just like their pure racial idea of their country and there are a few million dispossessed people, what happens to what is now an enraged army of people? Currently the Middle East and Northern Africa are roiling points and Europe is not that far from exploding into riots and other uncontrolled violence any one of which could result in some very undesirable turns of events leading to greater areas of violence stopping who knows where assuming they stop at all. The world at present is a powder keg and it would not take much to light the fuse, assuming it has not already been lit.

 

Beyond the Cusp 

 

August 1, 2016

Middle East Wrap Up for Entering August

 

Turkey is as good a place to start as any. Turkey is in the midst of a purge which would make Stalin proud. Over six thousand judges and lawyers as well as military ranking officers and others whom Recep Tayyip Erdoğan decided might not be with his Islamization of Turkey. Turkey is now a lost cause and will now, unless something completely unforeseen should disrupt Erdoğan and his plans, slowly sink under the yoke of Islamism. The military, which Mustafa Kemal Atatürk originally tasked with protecting the realm and preserving the secular rule in Turkey has been completely cleansed of its officers dedicated to their Constitutional tasks and Turkey no longer has a savior. When the military could have easily replaced Erdoğan and his Justice and Development Party early in his rule and were prevented by the European Union (EU) and President George W. Bush and were continually prevented by President Obama and the EU, it led to this purge which was required before President Obama left office. It was recognized that should Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton, the upper hand held by Erdoğan may pass from the possible. That is why Erdoğan knew his time was limited and the recent coup gave him the cover to execute his planned purge. Whether the coup was a false flag executed by Erdoğan or Fethullah Gulen and his loyal followers saw the purge coming and acted hastily, which the numerous failures to control critical infrastructure intimated, brought forth a perfect storm allowing for the witch hunt. Turkey has fallen to the Islamist side and into darkness from which it may never return. The sooner NATO and EU member states realize such and divorce themselves from Turkey, the better.

 

GW Bush plus BH Obama equals RT Erdoğan

 

Moving on to Syria and we are facing the cauldron of discontent. The forces are almost as diverse as could be imagined. There is the swath controlled by the Islamic State with al-Nusra and other al-Qaeda associated forces, Bashir al-Assad representing the Alawite who are Shia and backed by Iranian forces including IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) as well as Hezballah terror elite from Lebanon and having Russian support in defense of their Mediterranean fleet bases being far forward and independent of the Black Sea fleet bases in the Crimea which could have been choked by Turkey and their control of the Bosporus. Syria, as the refugee situation has proven, is no longer a state in control of its territory and unable to enforce any form of legal control or sense of order. Continuing to Iraq and the situation also includes Islamic State and both Sunni and Shia forces in dispute over territory. The one constant in both north-eastern Syria and Northern Iraq has been the Kurdish Militias, Peshmerga, who have proven to be some of the best equipped and motivated against the Islamic State defeating them regularly and even regaining land and cities previously overrun. These forces would be best used to fight the Islamic State except that the Turkish Air Force has claimed to be bombing the Islamic state front lines when in reality they have bombed the Kurds more regularly than any other targets. Assisting the Kurds and even granting them a homeland as was promised them at the end of World War I before oil was struck around Mosul caused the British to renege and give the promised Kurdish lands to their chosen ruler of Iraq in exchange for the oil rights. The British were not exactly the most dependable when it came to promises made during World War I, just as the Jewish State of Israel which was delayed and directly prevented from establishing a homeland for the Jews at the start of World War II when the Jews desperately could have used a safe home to which to flee Germany and the advance of the Reich and the gas chambers. During these years the British limited Jewish emigration to seventy-five-thousand a year allowing less than thirty-thousand at best under the pretense that they required time to process applicants.

 

Jordan is one of the few breaths of fresh air. The Monarchy has permitted further democrazation and is granting more power to the Parliament over time and had the support of most of the populace. The horrific and public execution of the captured Jordanian pilot and the bold reaction of their monarch to the provocation won the King great favor and admiration from the Jordanian public. Jordan is one of the few stable republics in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the Gulf States are relatively stable even if much of the stability is due to the Saudi Military which was utilized to quickly put down the Arab Spring revolt in Bahrain. The sole problem in the Arabian Peninsula is with Yemen which again relies on arms and IRGC support. The war became sufficient of a threat that Saudi Troops soon backed by Egyptian air support were required to prevent a total collapse of the government from Iranian insurrection. This had prevented Iranian control of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait which controls the southern passage of the Red Sea into the trade routes to Africa and Asia.

 

This brings us to Northern Africa where we can begin with Tunisia. There has been some discontent with the government and the lack of positive economic improvement. This was partially defused with new elections and things appear to be moving ever so slowly in a positive direction. The nation is still in the grasp of what might be called a malaise similar to the Carter years in the United States but hope exists and the elections have been judged to be open and fair. Tunisia is one country where there exists a degree of hope going forward. This is especially true considering their neighbor, Libya. Libya is a nation in ruins with several disparate warlords controlling separate areas and the supposed central government ruling a central area of the capital city and little else. Libya will be a ruin for the next several decades and might never again operate as a single nation and instead operate as several fiefdoms with constant clashes and wars over territories never again forming any singular rule.

 

Algeria has yet to collapse but is also teetering on financial implosion and has several challenges which could at any time explode causing universal unrest resulting in another failed state similar to Libya next door. Algeria is one to watch as to the direction they may end up heading as things are uncertain at best. The rest of the nations bordering northern Africa have a completely different problem as many are divided north from south. In nations such as Nigeria, Cameroon and their neighbors the Islamic forces control much of the northern areas with Boko Haram operating against the Christian and Animist southern regions. These nations are all on the verge of full blown civil wars. Unrest between Islamic force and Christian and Animist populations exist all the way eastward to the division between Sudan and Southern Sudan. These clashes also reach to Kenya which borders Eretria and Somalia where Islamic warlords control separate areas and also are waging a war with Kenya and other neighboring nations in an attempt to spread Islam into Central Africa. The Kenyan Army thus far has held their own but without outside aid they will eventually lose ground as they get worn down. This is an area where the Western Powers could do some good along with Nigeria, Cameroon, South Sudan and the other nations thus threatened.

 

The next stop is Egypt which is a crucial and unusual place. The most prestigious Islamic Studies Institution, al-Azhar University is located in Egypt’s Capital City of Cairo and thus shares the seat of power in Egypt. Egyptian President Sisi has twice addressed the faculty and ruling Imams of al-Azhar University expressing the crucial need for an Islamic reformation allowing for Islam to coexist with other religions and not be based on world conquest and the destruction of all which is not Islamic. Though he has not mentioned some of the cultural crimes such as the destruction of the Buddhas of Bamiyan which were exploded by Taliban forces as they were judged an offense to Islam and idolatrous, President Sisi has challenged the Imams of al-Azhar University to spend effort in retrospective evaluation of Islam and to seek a less violent and strident path (see below). President Sisi of Egypt is true and honest in his hopes to lead a reformation of Islam but is facing an uphill battle which may at some point cost him his life. His position is every bit as treacherous as was that of Anwar Sadat for making a peace with Israel. He too saw the need for change and President Sisi has taken up the challenge which will be required if Islam is to survive as eventually the world will rise up and that would result in the termination of Islam as a world religion possibly leaving small bands scattered about the Middle East.

 

Buddhas of Bamiyan before pictured on the left and being destroyed with explosives by Taliban forces on the right

Buddhas of Bamiyan before pictured on the left and
being destroyed with explosives by Taliban forces on the right

 

Moving to Iran, as far eastward as our travels will take us, and here we find the appearance of a representative democracy which appears to be functioning with only minimal upheaval as is witnessed elsewhere including right next door in Iraq. On closer inspection, a different reality becomes evident. The elections for the Parliament are a complete and total sham where the candidates must find approval before they, or even their party, are permitted to field candidates. Even then the candidates are vetted by a higher level of government. The reality is the government is a dictatorship and the office of President provides Iran with the appearance of normalcy. The truth be told, the Supreme Leader is the nation and the sole limitation on his power is the Council of Elders, the same body which selected Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to replace Supreme leaders Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini after his death. Since the 1979 revolution aided by United States President Jimmy Carter under the premise that Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini was necessarily a desirable and principled leader being an Islamic Holy Man, such misplaced logic has been indicative of American Middle East policy proving their presumed knowledge of Islamic culture and designs are woefully inadequate to even begin to formulate a cohesive and supportive strategy which would bring some semblance of peace to the region. The Supreme Leader is accountable to the Council of Elders which is constituted by elderly and respected Shiite clerics, Imams, who assure that the Quran is followed and that all the Islamic codes and other orders derived from the Quran are in fact obeyed and do indeed limit even the Supreme Leader. The reality is Iran is an oligarchy based on a religious hierarchy. Like other Islamic sects, the Shiites too seek to lead the final Caliphate which will unite the world under the banner of Islam and all will bear witness and surrender to Allah and his true heir in a lineage derived directly from Mohammad. Many Iranians believe in the Twelfth Imam who will rise from his solitude and hiding place from a well in Qom. Once the Twelfth Imam has risen, all Islam will unite behind Shia Islam and complete the struggle in a world war of unimaginable death, destruction and pure horrors. In the end there will stand the Twelfth Imam, the Mahdi, victorious and ruling over a unified world under Islam.

 

One of the serious problems with this interpretation is that the Twelfth Imam cannot appear until the world is already soaked in blood and a great conflagration engulfs the globe. The Shiite End-Times depiction is one of horrific terror and warfare engulfing the entirety of the planet. Some descriptions are so over-the-top that they appear to describe an all out nuclear exchange by every nuclear armed nation either against their main adversary or a broader attack on as many nations as possible. Some experts have claimed that just such a conflagration, with EMP pulse weapons destroying entire electrical grids and all the systems which rely upon them, would set civilization back centuries and cause the death of over three-fourths of the population in affected areas. It is also known that both Iran and North Korea have jointly worked on just such a weapon, a super EMP weapon using a heretofore unknown use for a hydrogen bomb as the driver of their EMP device. The power of such a device exploded four to five hundred miles above the center of any continent would disrupt and destroy virtually ever electronic device including those not even powered at the time of the strike. Virtually, if not actually all, any large generator with their massive windings would melt down into a shorted blob of copper and become useless. The United States and Europe are woefully unprepared neither to prevent such an attack nor to have hardened their electrical grids and specifically their largest transformers. Such a strike was exactly what makes Iran such a threat to the world and their sharing test results on nuclear weapons, especially EMP weapons, and rocket and missile specs and dimensional schematics showing exactly how to construct these weapons of war. Iran and North Korea are not working with such dedication to develop a true ICBM (Intercontinental Ballistic Weapon) just to be capable of striking Israel as that ability is and has been a part of their inventory for at least the past decade. Their desired targets are London and the British Isles and North America, more precisely, the United States.

 

The people running the military from deep within the Pentagon substructures which are capable of taking a direct strike partnering with NORAD Command (North American Aerospace Defense Command) which has recently been reconstructed flushing out full personnel and returning to their Cheyenne Mountain facility beneath an entire granite mountain suspended on necessarily huge shock absorbers and blast doors which once closed can withstand virtually anything coming through the mountain in its arching tunnel and the initial blast door is backed by a second blast door just as thick, capable and closed along with the primary to protect those inside. The return of NORAD to their Cheyenne Mountain facility from the Colorado Springs facility attached to the Air Force Academy was deemed a necessary and prudent reassignment. This was an expensive move as all the systems throughout the complex required rewiring to accept and facilitate the newer and more powerful computing capabilities. This was the stimulus to compel the Air Force and NORAD Command to reestablish the Cheyenne Mountain facility which was left due to its inability to power and transfer technical data and other necessities with any accuracy or alacrity. Cheyenne Mountain had reached the end of its road offering but one saving grace; it can withstand as many as a dozen direct strikes on the mountain and continue to function. No other Military facility can boast of such protection. Something in the intelligence community impelled NORAD to seek shelter in her nest egg in the Rocky Mountains and despite the fact that anybody can order a map of the area and find the Cheyenne Mountain facility, it will remain as close to indestructible as anyone can boast. To give one the real scope and size of the Cheyenne Mountain Complex, one need start with the entire mountain and move inward to grant the place its full, impregnable glory (see series of images below).

 

Cheyenne Mountain Complex Mountain & Main Entrance

Cheyenne Mountain Complex
Mountain & Main Entrance

 

Cheyenne Mountain Complex Main Entrance

Cheyenne Mountain Complex Main Entrance

 

Cheyenne Mountain Construction

Cheyenne Mountain Construction

 

Cheyenne Mountain Power Generators

Cheyenne Mountain
Power Generators

 

Cheyenne Mountain Complex Main Entry Corridor & Blast Door

Cheyenne Mountain Complex
Main Entry Corridor & Blast Door

 

Cheyenne Mountain Complex Main Command Center Representation

Cheyenne Mountain Complex
Main Command Center Representation

 

After the fall of the Soviet Union, the Air Force and NORAD believed, as did many all too optimistic futurists, that the years of war and unrest had finally arrived and democracy and human rights would spread throughout the world and all the nations of the world would slowly but inexorably reach advanced cultures and finally an age of peace would rule. This might have actually been possible except for another warrior class culture stepped onto the world stage where all were forced to take notice. As long as Islam was solely an Israeli problem with minor flare-ups which were thought to be unrelated and easily put down and managed, then all was well and the world would allow unrest against Israel knowing that the Islamic thrusts were limited to Israel. September 11, 2001 ended that sleepy little mirage where all was well with the world and the only rough spot was against the Jewish State. The burning collapse of the Twin Towers in New York bringing down three of the main buildings from the World Trade Center also destroying one of the main subway stations in New York, the ramming of another passenger liner into the Pentagon and a final passenger plane whose target remains unknown was brought down by the passengers in a desperate assault on the cockpit leading to the craft crashing in a field outside Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, signaled the onset of World War III upon the western and developed world with the Islamists ready to wage a war of attrition, infiltration and subsuming the governments of the non-Islamic world. The other half of this offensive thrust would be the purification of the Islamic world forcing all to obey strident and violent forms of Islam. The leading nation initially appeared to be Afghanistan and possibly Iraq. The truth was that another source was moneyed individuals and organizations from Wahhabist interests and financiers from Saudi Arabia, Muslim Brotherhood associated groups including Hamas, al-Qaeda and other Muslim Brotherhood entities, the PLO (Palestinian Liberation Organization) who were initially a pan-Arabist nationalist group but have slowly been taken over by Islamists which has left Mahmoud Abbas in a delicate and threatened position. These all have a single common denominator in that they were all Sunni groups. Standing against these Sunnis was a highly organized and capable Shiite Arab fundamentalist force led by Iran. There was Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad, as well as Hezballah led by a figurehead Hassan Nasrallah whose wars against Israel and the Lebanese Christians would have left Hezballah all but utterly destroyed if not for the resupply of missiles and associated weaponry including scud missiles and even larger missiles as well as rifles, explosives, mortars and other weaponry whenever they could successfully pass them past Israeli intelligence and interception, sometimes even intercepted while transiting the Sudan. Further assistance was provided for both Narallah’s Hezballah and the Syrian forces supporting al-Assad with Special Forces from the IRGC. These forces trained and were deployed from Iran and would have stood against Israel until the Arab Spring turned Arab Winter destroyed Syria causing a struggle for supremacy between Sunni and Shiite forces in largely Syria and spreading into Iraq as the Islamic State, another Sunni terror groups whose barbarity is almost beyond measure. The Islamic State made great advances initially but they were eventually slowed and have since held their grounds with losses and gains equaling out in the current stalemate.

 

Currently Israel is facing potential attacks from Hamas in the south out of Gaza where Hamas is the government and Israel has completely removed all their forces and citizens from the area. They face terror attacks coming from Fatah and other Palestinian Arab forces as ordered by Mahmoud Abbas associated terror squads. There are also lone wolf attacks from these Arab forces and even Israeli Arabs who have complete rights in Israel have attacked Israelis with knives, hatchets and other implements and also ramming with vehicles into crowds similar as what occurred in Nice, France recently. The same style attacks which have plagued Israel for the past century even before the state was formed, often at the behest of the Mufti of Jerusalem, are now striking innocents beyond Israel and across Europe and North America. What Hamas and Fatah bring upon Israel, the Islamic State and al-Qaeda take unto the rest of the world. Much of this build-up of Islamic fighters is directly due to the surrender of the easy grounds by President Obama in his belief that the United States was the problem and native forces such as the Islamists were the cure. President Obama went so far in his trusting of Islamists that he prepared the ground for Iran to become a major nuclear power within five years of his leaving office. The question that need be asked in every election in the free world going forward is which candidate is best prepared to face a nuclear Iran led by a religious fanatic who regards the destruction of his nation as a simple price to pay to destroy Israel, the United States, Europe and the rest of the free world allied with the man-boy ruling North Korea with an equally sufficient nuclear weapons stockpile and both sharing ICBM technology aiming at a new world with vast tracks turned into nuclear wastelands with no electrical production after massive EMP pulse weapons are deployed followed by city buster hydrogen thermonuclear bombs reducing their centers to rubble and the external areas into radioactive piles of rocks and bricks. This is the near future within a decade if actions are not initiated to end the madness allowing for religious fanatics who believe that dying for Allah guarantees them a place in heaven with seventy-two perpetual virgins allied with an irresponsible child who murdered his uncle simply for his disagreeing with the man-boy ruler and had him hung immediately without a moment of consideration. How could anybody believe this lunatic would not join the Iranian fanatics in the destruction of the world in the hopes of ruling the ruins. This is the world that faces the voters in elections going forward, so think hard and long for it may end up as your last vote ever taken.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

 

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