Beyond the Cusp

August 26, 2016

The Potentially Unavoidable Apocalypse

 

There is a coming apocalyptic war which will spill throughout Europe into the Middle East and may result at some point to one side using nuclear weapons should that option become available and there is no reason to believe it would not as making a nuclear weapon in modern times is just a few steps higher than making a weapon with normal high explosives. Thermonuclear weapons might require a small cadre of dedicated physicists but a nuclear device such as the ones used against Japan are within the ability of many intelligent high school graduates as their construction is available on the internet for any enterprising individual to research. The difficulty, if there is one, is gathering the fissile materials; from there it is a simple matter of machining and choosing your designs. This is a horrible truth to place over the heads of millions of innocents who will pay dearly when the coming war enters its main and determinative battle phase. Imagine the war in Syria and spread it over the better part of three continents and potentially throughout the entirety of the globe with few exceptions. Add in a final set of battles using nuclear weapons, initially the fifteen to twenty-five kilotons and soon after breaking into megatons and thermonuclear weapons such as the type held by major nuclear powers and available to any nations willing to put the necessary effort into their production and there easily could be some non-State factions such as the Muslim Brotherhood or neo-Nazi supremacists who have sufficient resources, talent and safe areas of operations that they also could produce such weapons once they gain access to the necessary materials. Before such a calamity reaches the doorsteps of our lives we need to ask where this war could begin.

 

The sparking point could be simply anywhere in Europe and it will not begin with any nation as much as a civil war started by the populations themselves. The triggering point would be a massive multi-city coordinated terrorist event where the people in the stricken localities start a war with the claimed intent of vindicating those murdered in the terror attack. Such an event could start the spiral into a more general war with many people caught in the crossfire similarly to what happened in Syria except this would have spread across Europe city by city until it involved national armies breaking from their officers and stepping in to assist the people, or at least that was their intention. Once tanks start to roll on the streets the civil unrest would enter a completely different phase which would snowball until it became another war starting in Europe but this will range far outside of Europe. Many of the terror enterprises are loosely interwoven and could respond to the escalation taking over the military hardware and troops of sympathetic or easily toppled rulers in order to gain the use of military weapons. This could soon spread in such a manner as to include many European state actors pulled into a conflict which would be quickly getting completely beyond the control of normal safeguards as both societies begin to call for the saving of their way of life, their freedoms and the customs and other particulars they hold dear and are comfortably familiar with. Once it becomes nation against nation it will then call upon like-minded or treaty bound allies into the fray and from there it does not stop easily. People discount such events leading to such a conflagration but as they have not studied history they are not aware on what simple actions have dragged humanity into costly and often destabilizing conflicts. Take the second most costly war in history, World War I. This war began with the assassination of a royal family head, the assassination of Archduke Francis Ferdinand of Austria in Sarajevo by Achille Beltrame as the Archduke and his wife were shot while riding in their car after taking a wrong turn. The real attempt to assassinate Archduke Francis Ferdinand had been set along his scheduled route but a sympathizer saw him passing his location and took advantage of the opportunity believing he was serving his oppressed people and never expecting the horrors of World War I to come as a result of a few bullets into one world leader and his wife. The people called for revenge and soon thereafter it got beyond any local conflict and the entire globe even to include Japan were honoring treaties or simply choosing one side or the other. World War I was more about honoring treaties than revenge for an assassination and that is what is frightening about the world today.

 

Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria and Sophie, Duchess of Hohenberg top left: in Car Immediately Before Assassination, Top Right Lying in State bottom picture Pictured with their Children Official Portrait

Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria and Sophie, Duchess of Hohenberg
top left: in Car Immediately Before Assassination, Top Right Lying in State
bottom picture Pictured with their Children Official Portrait

 

Mutual defense treaties which require entire groups of nations to jump into a conflict once a member demands assistance exist and NATO is simply one such treaty. NATO, as an example, could be called to assist any member state who has become embroiled in a conflict which they feel they might require greater assistance. NATO had an interesting set of members of which Turkey is one of the longstanding members due to their strategic control of the Bosphorus Straights which control access from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea and from there the Atlantic Ocean and the world. These narrow waterways were essential for Russia to deploy her ships and thus the NATO powers bribed and forced Turkey into NATO in case there became a time when the West would desire to blockade the Russian Black Sea fleet from gaining access to the Mediterranean Sea. It really is that simple and Turkey just sent tanks into Syria. The picture of how an intervention can be conducted under the idea, which is obvious when one looks at the bombings in Turkey, which violent attacks originate from the terror groups within Syria who are adversarial to Turkey and their government and President Erdogan in particular. What would be the ramifications should Turkey’s President Erdogan be assassinated or an attempt was made on his life but failed only grievously wounding him but leaving him to survive. By the time he came out of surgery which saved his life the war could have already been started and Turkish jets bombing targets in Syria, specifically the western holdout areas of the Alawites and Syrian dictator Bashir al-Assad. It is also the base for the Russian fleet in Latakia, Syria. We may remember the near tipping point reached when a single Russian fighter jet was shot from the skies over Turkey, or at least seemingly over Turkey as it was attacking within Syria and these fast aircraft have large turning radii. Now imagine an airstrike which missed the Syria barracks in Latakia and instead struck the Russian docs sinking two Russian warships and killing fifty or a hundred Russian sailors. How long before Putin declares war on Turkey who then calls in their NATO marker and instant World War as Russia too has such agreements with the likes of China, Iran, some Arab League nations and other eastern Asian nations. The Arab League would necessarily side with Russia believing that Turkey would be incapable of standing against such forces and not figuring on Europe and the United States and Anglosphere nations backing Turkey. Doubtful such will happen, but there was a presumed coup in Turkey recently and that could have turned out much different if it had been a serious coup threatening the governance.

 

One item that bears keeping in mind, wars seldom start where or how we expect them to. They start with a relatively insignificant shot from one rifle or crossbow or a sword placed within some leader of a following religiously, politically, or even a cause. The Arab Spring, or Arab Winter as we had predicted, began with one vegetable hawker committing suicide in protest of unfair taxes and laws and self-immolating and Tunisia exploded followed by Egypt and down the row of dominoes giving us Syria and also Libya thanks to some overactive interventions from far away in Washington D.C. and someone leading from behind and an overanxious Secretary of State seeking another feather for a Presidential run seeing and grasping what appeared to be a golden opportunity for nation building. Somewhere in these plans things unraveled and we have a dysfunctional Libya with warring tribes and terrorist entities. It, like Syria, is an open hotbed and perfect location for a terrorist group such as the Islamic State to manufacture the bombs of their choosing. One has to figure that at some point the Islamic State has come into weapons such as nerve gas or even radiological materials of weapons grade uranium. One can only guess what their true capabilities might include. Once a nuclear device has been manufactured, it would easily be deliverable to anywhere in Europe including Great Britain. It could be built and concealed inside a cement truck and hidden under a load of dried cement resulting from a traffic holdup which allowed the load to set in the truck. Who would chip away at half a ton or more of cement to inspect the vehicle and once inside Turkey it could easily transverse the entirety of Europe taking it to any European capital city or large metropolitan area for a nuclear terror attack. What comes after such an attack? Yep, there is no telling but it would not be good, that much we can count upon.

 

Riots can spread and become to have a life of their own and who knows where such could lead. Terrorism can spark unrest which could easily get out of hand. Ultra-nationalist right wing parties are gaining strength throughout Europe and these parties preach an active approach to what they term is an invasion, and who knows for sure, they could be right. Can anyone tell me the results of passing a law to expunge a nation of all non-citizens referring to them as a risk and a threat which the country no longer believes they can allow? Should one incident get out of control with some troops opening fire on unarmed civilians which they are gathering for deportation under the auspices of the new citizens’ only laws, what would come next? Once one nation cleans their population of all foreign noncitizens and shipped them over the border to the next location? Where would this lead once the majority of a continent has cleansed themselves of everyone who is not just like their pure racial idea of their country and there are a few million dispossessed people, what happens to what is now an enraged army of people? Currently the Middle East and Northern Africa are roiling points and Europe is not that far from exploding into riots and other uncontrolled violence any one of which could result in some very undesirable turns of events leading to greater areas of violence stopping who knows where assuming they stop at all. The world at present is a powder keg and it would not take much to light the fuse, assuming it has not already been lit.

 

Beyond the Cusp 

 

February 23, 2016

Two State Solution Already Exists and it Failed

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When somebody mentions the Arab-Israeli peace process the first concept out of almost everybody’s mouth is “Two State Solution” and when asked for clarification they claim “You know, the Oslo Accord thingie with there being two states living side by side with the Arabs and Jews in peace and security.” That is when I like to claim that that already has been accomplished, so why are we still talking about it? That is when I usually get the deer in the headlights stare and weird sounds as they try to wrap their brains around why I am so completely out of my mind, and then I give them the magic formula, “There are two states right now, Hamastan in Gaza and the rest is Israel.” Where I may not have had this identical word for word exchange, I have had this exchange as the basic gist of a discussion and then it devolves quickly just as any honest discussion will with anybody taking the most popular reasoning for why the negotiations keep failing, Prime Minister Netanyahu or the Jews refuse to make peace because of the settlers. I go quietly and calmly ballistic and explain the reality and they inform me that until I take a reality check they are not going to waste their time trying to teach me what really is happening but assure me right before they walk away mumbling about my sanity and shaking their heads that Jews like me are the reason there can be no peace. That is one of the blessings of having made Aliyah; that discussion has not and probably never will occur furrowing my brow unless I make the mistake for going down to Tel Aviv and entering one of the exclusive and needlessly expensive coffee shops seeking to distress myself with two state give up the old city and West Bank Zombies still living in pre Arab Spring turned Winter mindsets. The one point they make which is valid is if there is to be a two state solution then Gaza and the parts of Judea and Samaria which has erroneously become the West Bank, a name invented by Jordan during their nineteen year occupation of lands west of the Jordan River; anyway, the two Arab areas must be unified under one entity. That leads to the other problem, no peace as such can be reached until the Arab civil war between the Palestinian Authority (PA) and the rulers in Gaza of Hamas and Islamic Jihad reach some agreement on common governance over their respective enclaves. That is another thing that will not be happening too soon either as the only solution which would have any hope of approval by the Arabs themselves would likely be Hamas if they held an actual election. Without any election the only other possibility would be for the Islamic State to come and replace Hamas and scare the life out of Mahmoud Abbas who would be screaming for the IDF to come protect him from the truly scary Arabs. So, you think that Islamic State would not replace Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza? Let’s see.

 

There has already been a Gazan who died fighting with Islamic State as we mentioned yesterday reporting that Mufleh As’ad Abd al-Wahed Abu Aadra, aka Abu Abdullah, who was killed in or near Tripoli, Libya. This was reported as his wife received notice of his death on February 15, 2016 from Islamic State and she reported this and it was then reported by the Ma’an News Agency on February 16, 2016. People following the Islamic State or knew about Israel and the Arab-Israeli dispute would know that there have been Islamic State cells destroyed by the IDF before they caused any loss of life other than those who resisted arrest. A select few of the Islamic State cells were taken by the IDF within Section A which requires PA permission and thus makes it likely, or at least possible, that the PA could have detected the presence of Islamic State and requested Israeli assistance. In Gaza there are known to be Islamic State personnel who work with Hamas and Islamic Jihad arranging coordination with Islamic State forces in the Sinai Peninsula. This cooperation is partly why Egyptian President Sisi has ordered the smuggling tunnels flooded or otherwise destroyed. This has led to Hamas leadership accusing Egyptian President Sisi of being a stooge working for the Zionist Entity. Egypt has had their own difficulties with Islamic State, al-Qaeda and criminal enterprises all causing dire problems and great distress throughout the Sinai Peninsula. The real problems between the PA and Israel has nothing to do with the settlers, never did and never will because history has shown that for a real peace Israel will and has destroyed complete communities. When Egypt and Israel made their 1979 peace treaty Israel disbanded ten communities: Avshalom, Atzmona, Dikla, Holit, Netiv, HaAsara-Sinai, Nitzanei-Sinai, Ofira, Sufa, Talmei-Yosef, and Yamit. Then again in the August 2005 disengagement and unilateral effort Israel pulled out and destroyed twenty-six communities including one Bedouin village to the PA in the name of peace. The twenty-two including the Bedouin village in Gaza were: Bedolah, Bnei Atzmon (Atzmona), Dahaniyya (Bedouin), Dugit, Elei-Sinai, Gadid, Gan-Or, Ganei-Tal, Katif, Kfar-Darom, Kfar-Yam, Kerem-Atzmona, Morag, Neveh-Dekalim, Netzarim, Netzer-Hazani, Nisanit, Pe’at-Sade, Rafiah-Yam, Slav, Shirat-Hayam, and Tel-Katifa. Additionally, there were another four communities which were in areas being turned over to the PA in Judea and Samaria named Kadim, Ganim, Homesh, and Sa-Nur.

 

All too soon the PA and Hamas began skirmishing and an ever growing conflict which finally exploded through December 2006 and January 2007 culminating in February on 2007 with the two powers, the PA and Hamas splitting in June of 2007 with Hamas retaining military and civilian control in Gaza from which they have forced an average of a war every two years with Israel starting with escalating rocket attacks over ever greater areas beyond the will of any nation to have restraint before Israel even considers striking back in any forceful manner. Still, when Israel finally strikes back in force the world media responds with accusations of Israeli provocations and use of disproportionate force when Israeli defensive weapons such as the Iron Dome anti-missile systems and well-ordered society which use the nearly excessive numbers of shelters thus keeping the majority of the Israeli population safe while Hamas allows only their fighters to use sheltered areas and force their civilians into harm’s way with intent of causing maximum fatalities and injuries. Should Israel ever vacate any areas of Judea and Samaria allowing the PA to govern them without the presence of the IDF in areas very close to any point and sharing of intelligence then what would stop Hamas from gaining control and defeating the PA forces just as they had in Gaza? The answer is a simply nothing, absolutely nothing. But there is a problem for which we need to thank Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel, for initiating the program which went so completely wrong and was finally, eventually documented by a media which has a history of ignoring similar social challenges faced by Israel in dealing with a resolute and fated socio-religious system which structures Arab Palestinian society and governance and their different human right’s values or lack thereof and terribly underdeveloped social constructs with vaguely defined restrictions of interactions as compared with Western society. The New Year’s Eve base social aggressions by “refugee” males to German women across the country’s major cities that anywhere where people were found in close proximity groping and other unacceptable behavior reached levels so beyond acceptable levels that women were advised not to utilize certain central train stations.

 

Perhaps an example we recently found and can be viewed below, if we can summarize and still get the ideas across. One of the more revered Islamic clerics, Imam (Mufti) Hassan al-Laham was broadcasted giving a sermon from Gaza on Palestinian Authority TV on February 8, 2016. He gave marital advice on how to handle a difficult wife. He advised that initially the husband is to warn the wife “politely” in the hope that she will see and adjust to ease the difficulty, the troublesome actions. But what if she is also a stubborn wife who heeds not her husband? “Allah created a solution for this.” The Imam continues telling the husband that if his wife is one who requires additional management that, “Allah created a solution for this” and the husband should try “hitting that does not make her ugly.” We are advised that the Prophet Muhammad advised, “Do not hit the face and do not make her ugly. In other words, not hitting that will bring the police and break her hand and cause bleeding, or hitting that makes the face ugly.” This is not going to a good place according to Western culture and Western Law but the adviser continues advising, “The hitting is not meant to disfigure, harm, or degrade. The hitting will be like a joke. He will hit her jokingly.”

 

 

The above broadcast along with the examples of the inability of merging raw Islamic “refugees” without providing some period of adjustment coupled with education in what is acceptable behavior in Europe and what behaviors will result in their arrest and potential deportation. Such offenses are serious breaches not only etiquette but highly illegal and while molesting unaccompanied women or assaulting and striking anybody are against the laws, numerous laws which when prosecuted would necessarily result in a prolonged prison time and repeated offences would result in deportation, such behavior was acceptable in war torn Syria. One could hope that the recent offenses and other behaviors by the “refugees” would have educated Europeans to the fact that there is no compromise with the behaviors results in simply more egregious behavior and has been the fueling and driving force behind Israeli dealings with the PA as well as Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the other “Islamic entities Europeans demand Israel deal with in good faith.” Unfortunately such has proven not to be the case. If anything it has caused the Europeans to drive their demands for Israeli concessions or even leveling accusations that Israel has not sacrificed sufficiently to the PA and if Israel would take the necessary, though self-defeating, steps required to make peace with its Muslim entities to the point of sacrificing all of Israel then the behavior of their “refugees” would no longer be so difficult. How the European Union can see doubling down on pressuring Israel will help to relieve their suffering before equivalent difficulties with their Islamic forces is purely baffling, yet that is exactly what has become the case along with a number of additional calls by European entities for further sacrificing. There can be no further compromises as every compromise up until now has only set to harden the PA hearts, as if they were Pharaoh from Israeli history; while the PA, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Islamic State and the rest of the Arab and Muslim world gaze at Israel as the weaker nation with no confidence in their claims begging for peace purely out of fear.

 

This has been echoed across the United States and Europe with pro-Palestinian rallies where often the chanted slogan is, “Khybar, Khybar, oh Yahud (Jews), the armies of Muhammad Come for You!” Add to that the other almost War Cry of, “From the River to the Sea-Palestine Must be Free.” This idea of Palestine existing freed from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea would have it replacing Israel, not existing side by side. Put together at rallies organized by PA agitators and other supporters of Hamas, the PA’s al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigades and by the liberation meaning replacing, not cooperating in any manner. This extremist view explains repeated refusal to make any compromise, and instead of making counter offers, the PA, ever since Camp David and Taba, has met offers, which they agreed to review only after requiring Israel make unprecedented and unwise sacrifices for peace, from Israel as pleas for being granted any agreement as long as they retained something far less than reasonable compromise would grant. The reason behind this absolute rejectionism resulted from the time the Israelis met the exact offer demanded by Arafat one day earlier stating his terms to President Clinton which surprisingly to all involved Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak who agreed to meet all demands which was then followed by rejection by walking out of the conference in Paris furious that Israel met the demands and Arafat returned to the Palestinian areas and initiated the Second Intifada and an end to peace talks. Ever since the demand made in Arabic to their own people has been clear, they will accept nothing less than all the lands and the death of Israel. That is the reality European demands for an Israeli surrender have produced; an irrational belief that the world led by Europe will vanquish Israel and then gift the land to the PA. I wish that were obvious delusional thinking but can one not claim that is not the result the Europeans also champion in secret in their private affairs. The PA leadership is convinced that all they will need do is wait and allow the United Nations, European Union, European sympathizing governments, and the United States will fight against Israel and bring their desired and inevitable surrender of Israel and the entirety of the Jews worldwide laid before them at their feet prostrated in submission. What makes this all the sadder is the rising numbers in Europe, the United States, World Wide and in the United Nations which has led the PA leadership to assume there is absolutely no need for them to condescend to talking with the Israelis as Israel will disappear once Europe organizes a great army to fight for Muhammad and destroy the Jewish State gifting them what once was Israel, the enemy they could never humble, let alone defeat, and then the entirety of the world coming under the rule of Islam. This is the endgame in the PA’s leadership’s minds and this is their new minimal goal which has come one step closer to fruition under President Obama who has issued many supportive claims and demanded Israel cede more lands than ever before. Between the invasion of Europe and their inroads gained in the United States and United Nations, the Arab and Muslim world believe that the entirety of the Western World will be gifted to and all they will need to do is decide on who will lead this great and wondrously new world, but that is the problems, is it not?

 

 

President Obama stating that the future must not belong to those who slander the Prophet of Islam

 

 

Currently the United States is under mismanagement and is not likely to change any time soon if the polling in the United States proves to be correct. We just cannot help thinking that the American people have lost their way and once again need someone to show them the path back to sanity. The unfortunate thing is that these polls show either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders defeating Donald Trump. Donald Trump? Are the Republicans truly serious about choosing Donald Trump, aka The Donald, as their Presidential candidate? Such a choice would guarantee the United States taking what may prove to be a terminal nap as the time is once again upon the world when they desperately require the leadership of the United States. With the leftist now ruling across the continent and Angela Merkel single-handedly may have all but destroyed much of Europe, the influx of Muslim Islamists will make things all the more unstable. Apparently Europeans forgot the cartoon draw Mohammad disaster from a few years ago when scenes as the one pictured below were anything but rare and an angry and bitter Muslims threatened every corner of Europe and their reaction was pitiful. They acquiesced and promised to make it illegal to insult Islam, the Islamic Prophet Mohammad or take any actions which the Muslims might take offense from. This produced a grievance committee which then proceeded to take offense from almost everything without exception. Europe and many in the United States, especially on the college and university campuses, are where the leaders of the world for the next fifty years are being educated that Islam is sacred while Judeo-Christian ethics and morality are depraved and rejectionable. These will be the generation who potentially will sell the world to Islam for a promise of no more prayers at which point they will need prayer more than ever before. Will the future surrender to Islam? That remains to be seen but they are not being prepared to face what will be wrought, not preparing them in the slightest. If they follow the teachings and actions of their professors and university administrators then all they will know to do is roll over and play dead hoping that their new masters do not inflict too much pain and suffering. They will have held to also hope as the only real hope is to stand for your principles. Of course that requires having principles to begin with. Below is a reminder of what was, what actually is, and what will be the result if the path is not corrected and corrected soon. Winston Churchill once stated something so applicable to the world situation of today which we will post after the images of the past, present and possibly long into the future. The choice is to be made in the next decade or two and made by the youth who have been cheated of having any knowledge of history to guide them going further. If we could advise the youth of the world to study one subject and do so on their own without any bias other than the obvious biases they know each book to hold and not a bias which must be ingrained to pass some far left or far right professor’s class, we would advise histories of the Middle East and North Africa, Europe from Alexander the Greek to modern day, the Mongols, and the years and wars of the first fifty years in United States history, a subject even our education did not teach in any real depth and that, we fear, was due to their teachers’ lack of knowledge or in depth reasons which is what is so vital today.

 

 

Draw the Prophet Mohammad Cartoon Demonstrations and Rioting Across Europe, the World of Islam and Beyond and the World Appears to Have Forgotten the Lessons Gained I Then Draw the Prophet Mohammad Cartoon Demonstrations and Rioting Across Europe, the World of Islam and Beyond and the World Appears to Have Forgotten the Lessons Gained II Now Draw the Prophet Mohammad Cartoon Demonstrations and Rioting Across Europe, the World of Islam and Beyond and the World Appears to Have Forgotten the Lessons Gained III Future

 

Winston Churchill said, as promised:

“If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves.”

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

December 12, 2015

As the World Burns

 

The Arab Spring started with the self-immolation of a vegetable barker over his frustrations with the insurmountable legal requirements and licensing which made making a profit impossible and expressed his feeling of utter hopelessness of his life in one blazing protest sparking a wave of protests which were to spread. The government of Tunisia fell within days followed by Egypt with an assisting push and a shove by United States President Obama pushing Egyptian President Mubarak out the door and all but guaranteed the Muslim Brotherhood would take control of Egypt. Little was known at the time that this had been the design by President Obama. The so-called Arab Spring rolled into Libya next and with a great amount of assistance from NATO powers Muammar Gaddafi was knocked from power almost solely due to the air strikes and other NATO assistance but the plan for any reconstruction failed leaving Libya broken into its tribal elements and some areas under the control of the influence of al-Qaeda and other areas under Islamic State with the rest under tribal control which may prove more stable a practice than the imposed state system from Sykes Picot, the one complaint made by ISIS before they decided to go on Jihad as the New Caliphate which had some degree of merit, but lust for power always overrules sensibility. The next stops were Yemen and Syria. These appear to be currently the play of power of Iran using Yemen to gain control of vital waterways off of southwestern end where the Red Sea exits into the Gulf of Aden and on into the Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean all through the choke point known as Bab-el-Mandeb which is the name of the straights with which Iran wrests control for all shipping traffic through the red Sea including Suez Canal traffic and sea traffic from Israel and Jordan coming south through the Gulf of Aqaba and the Red Sea on to Africa or Asia. Closure of this vital waterway would provide a causes belli of war should Iran block this waterway bringing Iran in direct contention of Europe, the far east and much of commercial shipping which would normally use the Suez Canal. Such a blockage could rapidly escalate out of control with nation after nation declaring their rights being challenged and commerce being directly affected adversely.

 

But the Arab Spring quickly became the Arab Winter as Egypt had a second set of massive demonstrations even larger than before which were more widely attended including students and businesspeople and others from nearly every walk of life which eventually led to the Egyptian military replacing the sitting government which had been on a fast track to implement Sharia, at least the interpretation of Sharia by the Muslim Brotherhood which they would have inevitably used to place themselves in the sole position of appointing the future Presidents and members of parliament thus giving themselves dictatorial powers. These new moves came to attempt to change the military hierarchy which was one step too far and the military balked and took down President Morsi and his government claiming to be doing so in the name of the people. Meanwhile there was a reshuffling of the Tunisian government to make it more representative of the people and guarding against trading the old dictatorial governance for religious dictatorial governance, a similar but less drastic measure than the one necessitated in Egypt. And the demonstrations began in Syria but unlike the previous demonstrations the one in Syria did not receive the full and hardy backing of the Western nations thus the peoples demonstrations slowly morphed into a disastrous civil conflict which itself morphed into a large Sunni against Shiite war front which spawned the Islamic State which took control over a sizeable area of Syria and Iraq. The latest development has been the introduction of serious air power and missile assaults by the Russians in defense of their naval base at Latakia, Syria and in support of their chosen ally, Bashir al-Assad and the introduction of IRGC troops, the special forces of the Iranian military.

 

Eventually the Egyptian governance worked its way to what all hope will be regular, open, free and fair elections on schedule with the results truly representative of the Egyptian electorate. Hopefully the same can be said for Tunisia which also appears to have settled from its early days as the lead of the changes which swept much of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). There were also the unsuccessful or muted. The first were any demonstrations in Saudi Arabia or any of the nearby GCC countries such as Bahrain, Oman, United Arab Emirates, and Kuwait. There potentials for demonstrations in Saudi Arabia, where a number of Shiite Imams had given sermons to emotionally prepare their adherents to challenge the authorities, many ran out into the streets that fateful afternoon and looked up and down the street and realizing that they were cut off at the end of the block at both ends by security forces, armed so as not to need to discuss principles; so the Shiites calmed themselves and went home without incident in virtually every case and any case where the reaction was different was squelched so fast that it made no news. There was one exception which was Bahrain. Bahrain is ruled by a Sunni Monarch but is predominately Shiite and this led to street demonstrations of a severity which the Monarch was not willing to use the force which would have been required to put down the rioting demonstrators but also could not allow the lawlessness to continue. This required the King Hamad Ibn Isa Al Khalifa to make a call to his friends over the causeway in Saudi Arabia for assistance. The one thing known to the people of Bahrain that should the Saudis come to the rescue of their King, then they may have gone a bit too far and their time left to continue their actions is limited to as long as it takes the Saudi Arabian military to arrive to restore order. This was a particularly large demonstration which almost lasted four hours until they saw a disturbance heading towards the Island of Bahrain along all six lanes of the causeway between the Saudi Arabian mainland and their Island, three lanes in each direction, except this was all six lanes heading for the Island. As the vehicles came closer it became obvious these were Abrams tanks and Armored Personnel Carriers which meant that unremitting and lethal force was coming to their demonstration. This took the wind out of their sails and quickly the demonstrators dispersed rather quickly and peaceably with a small number of fools not heeding the obvious. They were quickly subdued and turned over to the Bahraini officials and the Saudis returned home a week or two later with a small rotation of forces remaining for a month or two as a reminder.

 

There were some rather sizeable demonstrations in Iran where pleadings were chanting for President Obama to assist their cries for freedom and representative governance. There was no reply from President Obama as he had this plan where he would be the one to bring Iran in from out in the cold through negotiations with the Supreme Leader. This plan had no room for new representative governance or for the people’s revolution. President Obama’s plan called for him bringing the previously unapproachable and immovable when it comes to that which he believes and the way he rules and the desires and directions he wishes to take the nation are completely unchallenged as his word is treated as if it were the words from Allah himself. This would eventually play out well after the demonstrators were routed by the Basenji Militias and other extreme police and security forces. The universities were put under a lockdown with security and Islamic observance groups patrolling the dorms and grounds. The end result was an additional term listening to the rantings of President Ahmadinejad, violently put down democracy demonstrations, and after a painfully extracted and pathetic set of surrenders which may or may not be finished and a nuclear treaty with a ruling elite who are not exactly known for keeping promises, meaning what they say or doing what they say or in the end having said what they said as everything is negotiable and even the meaning is open for an ever changing series of interpretations even to the point that what they say means exactly what they mean it to mean at the moment they say it. Deals with the mad hatter or Cheshire cat would be more trustworthy, and didn’t we decide that the President was a lookalike for the Cheshire Cat such that we labeled him Cheshire man as in the picture below. Perhaps that picture may be the closest thing to an accurate depiction of the reality dealt with in making the Iran Nuclear Deal.

 

 

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani smiling for report on how he and Iran charmed the world reminding all of the evil laugh as the Cheshire Cat faded away leaving only his wicked smile and it just fit calling him the ‘Smiling Cheshire Man’

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani smiling for report on how he and Iran charmed the world reminding all of the evil laugh as the Cheshire Cat faded away leaving only his wicked smile and it just fit calling him the ‘Smiling Cheshire Man’

 

 

The problems from the Arab Winter have just begun. The real problem is still a full generation away, a good fifteen years before everything begins to blossom and explode upon the Western world. Presumably, Iran will legally be capable of perfecting and testing ballistic missiles which will give them all the time they could possibly need as they will be completely free to produce, or should we say finally assemble the necessary parts to make their nuclear warheads using the technology perfected by their scientists or by following the methods used by either North Korea and thus be completely ready to produce deliverable warheads using such designs or be using their own designs, whichever way they decide to branch into nuclear warhead designs. Iran can take their time and while working on their nuclear warhead designs and production they can begin the hardest part of the challenge facing them, the proselytizing within and outside of the Islamic communities in Europe and the United States and other Western World Nations to drastically increase the numbers of Shiite Muslims more so amongst those living outside MENA though there will be some moves outside of the ardently Sunni states such as the GCC, Egypt, Jordan, and Turkey (though Turkey might be a more ripe for change than many believe). This will be accomplished with the monies freed up by the Iran nuclear deal and target the young who may find Shiite Islam’s dynamic Jihadi strengths more attractive than the more sedate Sunni Islam which is a more conservative approach.

 

The next three years will see between thirty-five-thousand and fifty-thousand “refugees” from MENA invading Europe and sending a fair number to the United States and Canada, especially if these nations remain under leftist control, especially the immigrations offices. Do not get me wrong, the majority, even the vast majority of these will be actual refugees as almost any family which can manage to get to Europe or the United States, the Western world, the first world, such a transit would be a welcome improvement in their lives as even the poorest family in the Western World live in a level almost unimagined other than for the wealthiest in their nations in much of the MENA world. Over the rest of the decade these refugees will likely repatriate with another ten to fifteen people per family. Eventually there will literally be an army ready to impose Sharia across all of Europe and there will be swaths of land in the United States which will be “no-go zones” just as they have in areas around many British, French, Swedish and other European countries where police and even fire and rescue personnel refuse to enter except in force, will populate many areas around numerous cities and training areas may be found in the countryside acreages around Europe and the United States. What many are unaware of is that there exist such training ‘cities’ outside numerous cities in the United States already and these ‘cities’ are well guarded and only allow Islamists known to their group and they hold firearms training and some even hold tactical training and live-fire exercises.

 

 

Terrorist Training Centers in the United States as of 2002. Just Imagine How Many and Where They Are Now and How Many We Do Not Even Know of That Exist in the Middle of Nowhere?

Terrorist Training Centers in the United States
as of 2002. Just Imagine How Many and Where
They Are Now and How Many We Do Not Even
Know of That Exist in the Middle of Nowhere?

 

 

These are the stark realities facing Western Society which the governments are ignoring at their people’s own peril. Why these known camps are being left to their own devices while the FBI infiltrates neighborhood militias and paramilitary militias which often consist of some friends who are ex-military and enjoy target shooting and having paintball outings or even some which simply are reenacting Civil War or Revolutionary War battles. The future is not yet written in stone but it had been stenciled into wet cement and it is starting to dry and will take a while to cure thereafter but the stencils are still malleable, their final story will be up to the people if they decide to take government into their own direction and this may mean many people making whatever sacrifices are necessary and perhaps work for or make a needed new political party or influential branch of a party like the Tea Party had started to make inroads but it will take a long term commitment and it will take families deciding the time has come for regular families to take charge of the governments such that the governments will serve the future of the Western World and the family unit with an emphasis on control of the education of the children as they will be the future and if they are not better prepared than we were, then there will be even less hope, and hope is all there is right now and we cannot lose hope or our future.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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