According to the Head of the Shin Bet Security Service Nadav Argaman, the Gaza based terrorist group Hamas has been deepening its ties with Hezballah in Lebanon and thus becoming closer to Iran and the Shiite efforts to destroy Israel, the United States and the Western World. This is in line with recent developments in Iraq where Iran has been taking the officers and ranking core Islamic State fighters and converting most into Shia Islam while also building Sunni units to use as enforcers against what they view as renegade Shiite groups such as those who follow Muqtada al-Sadr as we reported in our recent post, “Sacrificing Kurds Along with Iraq to Iran.” We will ignore any possibility that Iran might use Hamas to free up more Hezballah forces to be used in Syria, as Syria will be placed once again under the oppressive fist of Bashir al-Assad no matter how long that takes. This is another reason to permit the Kurds to establish their own homelands of Kurdistan across both Iraq and formerly Syria lands in the northern regions. This would provide the world with a place more dependable than Turkey from which to slow the Iranian dreams of spreading into Turkey and on to Greece as the Persians had done over two thousand years ago. The Iranian Ayatollahs have repeatedly spoken of their destiny of reestablishing the Persian Empire and how, as their descendants, their destiny is world conquest. There is that pesky little concept that the Western World gave up on when they renounced colonialism and that will continue to come back to bite them.
Whatever the reason for Hamas spreading into Lebanon, it will also not prove favorable for Israel. Iran took a large percentage of the monies, the over one billion dollars and almost immediately resumed their support of Hamas while increasing their aid and support for Hezballah, Bashir al-Assad, the Houthis and started rebuilding their military including the IRGC. Iran has also began consolidating their position in Iraq and with support from the United States and the Kurdish Peshmerga Militias, the Iraqi military has defeated the Islamic State in Mosul and are now using IRGC along with the Iraqi forces to clear the remaining Islamic State holdouts. In less than two weeks, the Kurds will be taking a vote on whether or not to declare their independence from Iraq. Their vote intends to include the Kurdish population in Mosul and to include Mosul within their establishing of Kurdistan. The Iranians are claiming Mosul for Iraq, or at least Iraq is claiming all of what would become Kurdistan as Iraq and will, of course, be under the direct management by the Iranian Ayatollahs. The Kurdish hopes for their homeland, which was promised by the British during World War I, only to have the rug pulled out from under them when oil was discovered in the Mosul area. Now the Kurdish dream may depend on the United Nations and the world giving them the recognition they deserve. The United States State Department official position opposes the Kurdish liberation policy and have called on President Trump to refuse to back their vote should they, as expected, vote for independence. It may end up that the Kurds will need to fight to gain their independence, which will pit them against Iraq, Iran, the IRGC as well as Turkey. Their only hope will be the active support of the United States, something unfortunately unlikely as things now appear.
Meanwhile, the future for Lebanon as an actual nation is all but finished as with Hamas now being trained and stationed within their country and already being all but governed by Hezballah, their next elections, if they even have any, will almost certainly remove any semblance of Christian influence and the terrorists will have gained complete control. It would not be out of the question to see the Constitution of Lebanon rewritten so as to remove any requirement that Christians be represented, protected or anything other than Dhimmi as Lebanon will have been completely Islmisized. Additionally, Iran placing Hamas into Lebanon bodes poorly for the future wars against Israel being single front wars. Israel had been fortunate that they have never been forced to face Hezballah in Lebanon and Hamas from Gaza simultaneously. Iran moving some Hamas forces into Lebanon implies that Iran plans on forcing Israel to face a two front war when they next are attacked by terrorist forces with Hamas attacking from Lebanon as well as Gaza plus Hezballah attacking alongside Hamas in Lebanon and from the Golan Heights plus a potential of IRGC forces assisting the terror armies. There is little need to make this a long article but suffer us one last paragraph speculating on possible futures and one hope.
The hope is that President Trump will respond to the pressures from the State Department with stiff waving off of their advice and recognizes the independence of Kurdistan should that be the result of the vote, and all indications are that independence will win by close to three to one in favor. Should President Trump go one further and invoke the support of NATO, even or especially if that requires pressing President Erdoğan to support a Kurdish State or resign Turkey from NATO, something that would actually be good for NATO. Finally, Israel should be particularly watchful for Iranian efforts to take over the Palestinian Authority (PA) or for Hamas to force elections thereby taking over the PA democratically giving Iran three fronts against Israel. Currently, the only thing keeping Fatah in charge of Judea and Samaria is the IDF and Israeli intelligence thwarting the consistent attempts by Hamas to subvert Fatah rule and take over the area themselves. Now with Hamas flush with Iranian aid of weapons and money, their efforts will no doubt be redoubled for taking over the PA. Iran may even have plans to cause an uprising in Jordan and during such conflict, come in and take over Jordan making Israel truly surrounded. This would be the death knell for peace in the remainder of the Middle East. One can expect that Iran will also do all they can to complete their conquest of Yemen and thus complete their encirclement of Saudi Arabia and potentially have the ability to cut off oil and trade between Asia and Europe at the times of their choosing. Once they have Yemen, the world can expect increased piracy in the seas near the mouth of the Red Sea and into the Indian Ocean. Iran is about to surpass North Korea as the world’s primary problem with much of their actions performed by terror entities and through proxies. The end of the Syrian debacle will signal the beginning of the next stage for the Iranian attempts for hegemony of the entire Middle East and their reestablishment of the Persian Empire.
Beyond the Cusp