Iran Will Become Hopes Gained to Hopes Shattered

 

The protest started in Mashhad, the second or third largest city in Iran, on December 28, 2017, over prices and the poor economy. The demonstrators were largely the poor and some students but rapidly spread both along economic grounds to store owners and their employees and to every city. We are now into the second week of the protests and thus far, the leadership of Iran has shown little concern for the problems in their society. That includes both the supposed elected officials and the self-appointed leadership, which includes the Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah Sayyid Ruhollah Mūsavi Khomeini and the Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution who choose the Supreme Leader as well as vetting all candidates running for elected office, eliminating all candidates who show even the slightest glimmer of new ideas which might run contrary to their ninth century thinking. That has been both a good thing and a bad thing. It is kind of a blessing in disguise as the government not reacting means that they have been allowed to protest without overt actions such as loosing the Basij Militias upon the demonstrators as in 2009, but the government has also ignored their plight simply brushing away their complaints as unsubstantiated. Despite not forcefully opposing the demonstrations in their streets, the Iranian protesters have seen more than two-dozen of its members murdered. There have been reports of protesters after-dark firing shots at police armed with rifles and handguns. This is before the totalitarian government has moved to restrict or destroy the protests as they had in the Green Revolution bringing those protests to an end in 2009. The main question we have received is exactly what one would suspect, “What will happen with the demonstrations in Iran and what will President Trump do to support them?” Well, perhaps it is time to answer that composite and comprehensive question.

 

Iranian Protests December 30, 2017

 

Allow us to answer the easier question first, what will President Trump do? Well, he will Tweet about the horrors and how the violence, once it comes, has to end and how he has the ability to strike Iranian leadership with a ‘yuuge’ can of whoopash. Truthfully, he will go to the United Nations Security Council demanding that Chapter Seven mandatory worldwide economic sanctions be imposed on Iran. This will probably result in a complete rejection of the Trump request with a vote where maybe two or three others on the Security Council with Poland and Côte d’Ivoire the only votes we might think to promise supporting such sanctions and with at least three; China, France and Russia, opposing such a resolution resulting in nobody even having to think of pulling out their veto power as the United States was forced to do over the Jerusalem resolution. The next obvious step, which if wise he will not even bother, would be to bring the same resolution under Chapter Six, a nonenforceable motion, form of the resolution which would meet with similar if not identical rejection. Taking any such resolution to the General Assembly would be useful only in displaying to the world how upside down the United Nations has become supporting dictators over people and condemning the free nations for any independent moves they might execute on the international stage. The combination of condemning the United States over recognizing Jerusalem, condemning Israel for existing, and protecting Iran and seldom condemning the slaughters in Syria; and while condemning Israel for Palestinian Arabs in Gaza and Palestinian Authority semi-autonomous regions for beating wives and at the same time saying nothing for the shelling, barrel bombing and use of chemical agents on the largest Syrian Palestinian Arab refugee camp destroying the camp and murdering hundreds if not thousands in the process, have already shown anyone paying even the slightest attention the duplicity of the United Nations at all levels and throughout every last one of its agencies with the United Nations Human Rights Council (HRC) and UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization) leading the way. President Trump does not need to feed the media beast out to consume and destroy him, but he does need to go to the Security Council for whichever version of obvious defeat, Chapter Six or Seven, just to place on the international stage the complete rejection of willing principled action even for protecting citizens protesting the corruption in their government. The reason is obvious, why should the citizens have any right to protest their government because in socialist governance and dictatorial governance, the government knows best and the people should be thankful for whatever dregs are permitted them.

 

Now for the less obvious part of the question, what will happen as a result of these protests. That will come down to what happens after the initial crackdown. What will happen initially is obvious, sooner or later, more likely sooner; the Iranian government will make a pushback over the protesters. How, you wish to know. The initial anti-protest move will be a violent encounter between the civilian protesters and the ‘civilian’ pro-government protesters where the pro-government protesters will be made up of IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps) and Basij Militia members in civilian attire. These are military and paramilitary groups trained in hand-to-hand combat likely armed with batons and other handheld weaponry to wield against protesters largely armed with nothing or sticks from their protest signs. The civilian protesters will be unprepared for this pushback, as up to that point they will have faced uniformed police who were only in place to steer and limit their protests from spreading beyond certain limitations. This would be little different than how protests are handled in most nations with soft power but these protests have a different element, they are not going to end by themselves and that is where the problem arises. The Iranian government will not tolerate the bad media they are receiving from having the limitations and internal problems transmitted to the entire world. The Iranian government will need to end the protests so they can return the transmissions from Iran, especially through western media, of a nation where the people are satisfied and all is well.

 

Iranian Protests January 2018

 

Once this initial pushback had played-out and the Iranian leadership has weighed the reactions of the world and the nations within and as long as there is no overt outspoken a direct protest, then they will proceed to the next level of opposition. This will bring on a number of such pushbacks spreading to other cities with the Iranian government continuing to measure international responses. Once they have received some number of international reactions that such violence must end, then the Iranian government will have received the permission they require to put an end to the demonstrations, both sides. The first and initial confrontation between uniformed security police and the protesters will show them engaging with both sides. While the protesters who were taking the government side against the initial civilian protesters will appear to be being imposed upon just as harshly as the anti-government protesters but the reality is the pro-government protesters will shrink back quickly disappearing from the scene while the anti-government protesters have not been let in on the show and will receive the blunt end of government suppression. This low-level police action will last only a few days if that long. As long as their actions do not meet with actual threats of actions taken against Iran, direct actions as they could care less about sanctions, then the protests are doomed. The final stage will be mass arrests, shootings and heavy methods of disruption breaking the will and the spirit of the protesters. Such a put-down of the protests will require a number of days, probably less than a week to a week and a half, will continue with no remorse or limitation growing more violent with each passing day.

 

This will be the sorry state unless there is some direct intervention by the world or some nation capable of intervening and siding with the protesters and bringing down the government and remaining for probably a year or two and assisting keeping the peace until a new government has taken root, a democratically elected government in which everybody is permitted to run for office. There should be elected temporary governance which will draft a Constitution and establish the new governance and its structure then holding another election for a permanent government after the Constitution has been accepted by the people. Within the initial period will be necessitated that the Basij Militia members be sought out and prevented from being a subversive element intending to return the governance to being a religious theocracy. The problem is what nation would be willing and able to intervene and back the protesters demand for a greater voice in their government? The immediate answer is always the same, the United States. Many will claim that President Donald Trump would be ready, willing and able to jump in and take the fight to the Mullahs and bring Iran back within the family of nations. Those would be the words of those believing such is even a possibility. We are really sorry, but it is necessary that we pop your bubble if you are part of the interventionist political group. There is almost no possibility of the United States intervening in Iran short of Iran attacking another nation such as Saudi Arabia or Israel directly. Even with Iran using the Houthis in Yemen to attack Saudi Arabia including firing missiles at Riyadh which is the Saudi Arabian capital city and nothing from President Trump or the United States. Even if Hamas in Gaza and Hezballah in Lebanon and Syria were to attack Israel with hundreds or thousands of rockets and missiles there would be no reaction beyond speeches, Tweets and hopefully rearming of Iron Dome intercepting missiles as quickly as possible.

 

President Trump was elected to repair the damages of the last couple of decades since the Gingrich revolution and the Contract with America. His primary objective was the economy which included mostly tax reform and regulation reform. President Trump passed an initial tax reform and reduction legislation and invoked an Executive Order that every cabinet position, with very few exceptions, had to revoke two resolutions for every new resolution they invoke. This would, at the very least, be an incentive to reduce the number of new resolutions any agency would invoke because they would be want to revoke two existing resolutions. Reality be stated, each agency probably has so many redundant resolutions that revoking one of the many would make little if any difference. President Trump also promised to make trading with the rest of the world more equal while assuring the American voters he was not in favor of using the United States military in nation building or interventions in any actions which were not a direct threat to the nation itself. Where the Iran governance could potentially become a large threat to the United States and the world once they become an announced and obvious nuclear-armed nation with thermonuclear weapons, super EMP weapons and the ICBMs with which to launch them to any part of the globe, they are not currently so armed to the best intelligence currently available. Yes, we know we have made exception with the current intelligence and fully believe that Iran is and have been building a nuclear weapons arsenal for the past two decades and now have the missiles required for launching them anywhere on the globe and in numbers sufficient to overcome any current non-space-based interception systems. That possibility is probably included in the President’s Daily Brief (PDB) and would be further reason not to intervene with anything in Iran unless it was a full-scale intervention using virtually all weaponry at the military’s disposal. Such an intervention is not likely in the near future unless Iran does an overt act against another nation and not for acts internally. The Iranians will eventually take down the protesters with more than required violence against the protesters using extreme prejudice arresting thousands with many of the leadership taken to Evin Prison where they will face torture and most will never be seen again. It will be another sorry week/month in human history which future generations will be clueless on why no actions were taken, should humanity have that long a future.

 

Frightening Nuclear Proliferation Map

 

Between the Iranian Mullah’s religious belief that they are determined by Allah to rule the world and spread Shia Islam to every person on the globe and North Korea eventually overplaying their hand and following through on one of their threats triggering a horrific war or China, Russia, United States or somewhere electing or choosing a ruler who is more mentally unbalanced than any in history starting a conflagration as the extent of nuclear proliferation is about to explode and soon most nations will posses a full range of nuclear weapons and the missiles to launch them virtually anywhere, certainly at their neighbors. Life on planet earth is approaching a vital choice where either a new age of cooperation brought on by the acknowledgment that the major powers have developed a space fleet in cooperation with their uniting the world eliminating differences and the imposition of world governance or flying uncontrolled beyond the cusp defined by a nuclear Armageddon and the destruction of all civilization as we know it and pockets of survivors left who after a few generations will have lost the knowledge with which we build the modern world and humanity returns to the stone age. The near future hold unlimited promise and a singular threat of total destruction and the choice will be made by the most powerful nations who at some point may have to choose between total and complete destruction of an area of the planet turning it into a wasteland for thousand years or more in order to save the remainder of the world for the future. Will the leaders who eventually face this choice have the nerve to make that choice or will they leave humanity’s future up to a far more perilous set of events. May we live to see the resultant earth from such decision or better yet, may that choice never be required.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

The Endless Arab Offensive Continues

 

Yes, there were more attacks today. One would be hard pressed to know this even following Israeli news but watching social media provides the insight and particulars for those few who may catch the story from a witness or the victim providing they were fortunate enough to be capable of telling their friends, family and those close to them. This might be the start of an ever growing news web as one shares the information with another and the web slowly expands until it hits the breakout point which sends things into the strange world of going viral. The sad thing about the news has been the phrasing used by all too many news services which have used terminology to turn everything on its head. The BBC reported on an attack where two Israelis were murdered and one assailant who committed the stabbing was killed by police as he charged them with the knife in hand but the BBC found a more interestingly slanted way to title their article which read, “Palestinian Shot Dead After Jerusalem Attack Kills Two.” The BBC is unfortunately far from alone and anybody relying on the BBC, CNN, the New York Times, CNBC, AFP or much of the mainstream media will receive slanted news but they are not totally to blame; it is their choice of reporters and front line photographers. Often those first with the “news” are straight from the Arab media making propaganda arm replete with photos which appear to make their stories all the more plausible. These are the stringers hired by the actual reporters who have an advantage over actual real news reporters; they work for the Islamists who are the originators of every Islamist groups which followed. These stringers work for what has been described best as Pallywood and are invited or even assisted in the planning of the attacks and instigations most often against IDF troops or even staging a battle against no enemy (see video below).

 

 

 

 

Instigations against the IDF, Border Police or other rock throwing, firebombing, stabbing or simple spitting and striking IDF troops coordinated too often with professional instigators trained in the finest techniques in the most progressive universities in Europe and financed by the European Union or other European governments who often work with one of their preferred filming specialists, the Bilal Tamini family who specialize in such coordinated instigations and assaults on vehicles with Israeli license plates, though their true specialty is edited conflict videos of violence by the IDF though the initial violence by the European instigating pros or the Arabs assisting being edited out. It was just one such video which ended an honored and well-decorated officer’s career when after having his fingers broken and further insults and assaults finally returned violence which became the video of the week and sufficed for the commanders who rarely get out in the field to see and drum him from his command (see pictures and video below),

 

 

Bilal Tamini credit person behind many similar such videos exalting Palestinians at the expense of Jew, especially IDF soldiers

 

 

Leftist infiltrator with large backpack on back enters picture at top before coming down to attempt to prolong confrontation by forcing IDF soldier back to the ground but was prevented by second soldier in video

 

 

Instigator Clipping Off a Few Camera Shots
for Media Use Depicting Horrific IDF Attempt
to Arrest Poor Arab Boy Who Was Throwing
Rocks at Passing Vehicles on Road Below
Earlier at the Behest of the Instigator Circled

 

 

Instigator about to Join Tamini Family and ‘Friends’
now attacking the Neutered IDF Soldier Who
Attempted to Arrest Rock Thrower but Has
Lost Control of Leftist Instigated Clash

 

 

Instigator entering scene wearing backpack ready to interfere with soldier to prolong confrontation

 

 

 

 

These have been a few of the sets of videos from which certain pictures of vital snapshots or piecemealed and edited videos have been manufactured to be used either to provide the media the news of the evil Israelis using excessive force as well as video shots for propaganda within their own ranks to depict the brave Arab soldiers to show and inspire their youths rousing within them the desire to give their all by attacking Israeli civilians or enforcement forces or best a combination of civilians and when the end their assault rushing the enforcement personnel upon being prevented more civilian targets thus going out in a blaze of glory. Should the Islamist terrorist not be fatally injured they will receive the same quality care from medical personnel as does their victims, something we have vacillated between being disgusted and being proud that our people have not sunk to the same barbarous level as our adversaries. That brings us to the head Islamic terrorist, Mahmoud Abbas who claimed and was echoed throughout the world media that the Israelis had murdered in cold blood a thirteen year old Arab child. The world media picked up this story and ran with it without checking if Abbas was telling anything even resembling the truth. Had any of these eager beavers (our apology to beavers who are hard-working and would probably have checked the claim for validity) checked their story factual reference and actually called anybody in the Israeli government or the Magen David Adom personnel and followed up with the hospital they would have found this very same thirteen year old boy resting in his hospital bed recovering from his extensive and free surgery and all other necessary healthcare, while cursing the hospital personnel and the surgeons who had just saved his life claiming that their efforts destroyed his experiencing the greatest moment of his life of becoming a martyr. There’s a thanks but no thanks for you. That’s also gratitude as well.

 

There should be no surprise in any of this as the leadership of the Islamists which are the forebearers of the Islamic State, were formed by the Muslim Brotherhood in conjunction with the Soviet Union KGB back in 1964 with a charter which called for the elimination of the entirety of the State of Yisroel a full three years before the 1967 Six Day War, a war declared was being fought to drive the Jews and other Zionist supporters into the (Mediterranean) Sea. The PLO (Palestinian Liberation Organization) was founded and invented the hijacking of planes, murdering of civilians, taking hostages, vehicular bombing, assassination, (Robert Kennedy was assassinated by Sirhan Sirhan who admitted in his confessions that as a Palestinian he was forced to assassinate Robert Kennedy before he could be elected because he was too favorable of Israel), murderous rage which could go so far as to tear two soldiers apart limb by limb and through disembowelment and then lean out the window and proudly display your blood soaked hands watching, nay, enjoying and soaking in every cheer from the crowd gathered outside (see picture below).

 

 

Teenaged Terrorists Displays Bloodied Hands Sending Crowd
Gathered to Witness or Take Part in Sacrificing IDF Reservists
Tearing Them Apart with Their Bare Hands

 

 

When one traces the paths of the many Islamist entities back from their present state of affairs, one will eventually reach an interesting truth, they are all derived from the same Islamic awakening which began with Hassan al-Banna who founded the Muslim Brotherhood ((Arabic: جماعة الإخوان المسلمين) in March 1928, in the city of Ismailia, Egypt. All modern Islamic supremacist movements, whether nationalist or pan-Arab universalist, whether secular socialist or fanatically religious, they all began back there when the initial spark of an awakened Islamist movement began which strove to shake to awaken the Islamist spirit to take back the initiative which had lied dormant as the Ottoman Caliphate slowly rotted from the inside until finally falling in World War I. The Muslim Brotherhood came into existence partially as a reaction to the fact that the Islamic States had lost their independence and were currently under European colonization. This is what the Muslim Brotherhood found intolerable, the fact that Islam had lost its supremacy and was instead subjected to the insult of foreign rule.

 

From the Muslim Brotherhood the path takes a few faltering steps and the first group to come from the inspirations of the Muslim Brotherhood was largely secular but was supportive of Islam as its core belief alongside socialist nationalist but not only survived but thrived as it tapped into something which the rest of the world had no problem identifying with, hatred of the Jews. This was, of course, the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO). Before the founding of the PLO the Muslim Brotherhood had been at the forefront committing acts of sabotage and threatening governments it found which opposed them which was largely done because governments have always feared and suppressed movements which attempt to establish organizations beyond their control. This has always been the problem facing the Muslim Brotherhood so it began to form groups through which it could manipulate things and ideas to install friendly governments which it could control. This was the initial spawning of that ideal of making the world ready and content with the rule as deigned sufficiently Islamic and accepting of steerage by the radical Muslim Brotherhood. Since much of their initial pressures were against the British in Egypt and then in attempts to take control of the Egyptian government, the Muslim Brotherhood has always faced stiff and determined resistance in Egypt though it has since moved well beyond that but is still running into problems on many fronts. After the PLO began to show promise the Muslim Brotherhood began trying to form other groups to tap into the seeming power motivating the PLO but the Muslim Brotherhood ran into barriers and settings where a socialist group was not all that necessary as such already existed and was governing as a nationalist state which did not leave room for a second such movement so the Muslim Brotherhood sought a different path.

 

The Muslim Brotherhood decided that it should strengthen its Islamic core and found religious revolutionary groups which would spread the Islamic message of supremacy, Jihad and Caliphate. And where else to set up shop than against Israel, the sole place that they had seen success. Welcome to Hamas, the next great step in the spread of Islam and the Muslim Brotherhood together. This struck upon a familiar theme from the original teachings of Israel to conquer from within and without and Hamas fulfilled this perfectly and thus the new Muslim Brotherhood had its model for success so it took off. From the success of Hamas came numerous other offshoots used to spread the Islamist ideal from its root in the secondary Muslim Brotherhood offspring against the Jews, Hamas which was really PLO 2.0 which took the largely secular PLO and transformed this principle from Socialist to a religious based Hamas which more exemplified the universalist conquest of the world far more clearly than had the PLO. So now there were competing Muslim Brotherhood entities, Hamas and the PLO, one run along with the KGB and one purely Jihadist and purely Muslim Brotherhood. From these two came the latest mutations from the Muslim Brotherhood spawned children which had produced or supported in concept such groups as Black September, al-Qaeda, Boko Haram, and the latest being the Islamic State. Each version was a step farther in the evolution of the first two projects which had their roots in the Muslim Brotherhood, the PLO and Hamas, both continue today with the PLO being closest to the Justice and Development Party, or A.K.P. in Turkey which has slowly moved across from somewhat secular to being more religious changing as did the Muslim Brotherhood with time. The other side has culminated in the establishment of groups which were spawned from al-Qaeda and thus a follower of the Muslim Brotherhood, thus Hamas terrorist group in Gaza becomes the Islamic State. The Islamic State is the last in a progression and refinement of the initial outcroppings formed by the Muslim Brotherhood and has a strong path back to Hamas and has also incorporated the governing structure of the PLO making the Islamic State the long sought after balance of running the state functioning with inspiration from the secular PLO merged with the purely religious form of Hamas.

 

What Israel must do to find their way forward is to address these roots and trace the path from the PLO and Hamas beginnings through the branches of al-Qaeda and the Taliban and other offshoots spawned largely due to the work performed by the Muslim Brotherhood to establish their bases. Further, by establishing both models in the furtive grounds of the war against Israel and the Jews, the original institutions which were approved and given much of their initial success due to their founding principles and outside influence and supplier of concepts and basic structures the Muslim Brotherhood and its two perfect constructs of PLO and Hamas which have defined every successful group since. So when leaders and politicians attempt to claim that their fight is totally separate from the struggles Israel is facing, they are simply misinformed for none of the Sunni and many of the copies in the Shia world are directly modeled on Israel which they claim will eventually cause the formation of an entity which will owe its existence which al-Qaeda and Hamas and in turn the PLO who wrote the book on terrorism and has been producing newer copies of what can be achieved ever since. This brings us to our starting point that the Muslim Brotherhood has served as the initial model from which all later Islamist actors were formed using the model of Hamas as their role model and inspiration and this admiration and debt has been passed down the line and may be that these subsequent groups will forever owe their origins and inspiration to the PLO and Hamas for being the pioneers setting the path upon which these other stand. Israel is indeed fighting a separate foe but they are not removed from these other groups but instead are the basis upon which these others stand and once Israel is permitted by a foolish world to utterly destroy these twin ideas and personnel into the future while also reaching far back to the initial founding of Islam and the expansion seeking a way back to go forward. One need look no further than the Hamas Charter which demands that once Hamas has destroyed the Zionist entity as they refer to Israel, they are then tasked to eradicating all Jews across all worlds, an endeavor which would also require the conquest of much if not all of the known world, a reoccurring theme one finds steeped entirely through all of Islamic groups, especially those founded on the PLO/Hamas model and whose actions are nearly identical. This is what Israel has been fighting, Muslim Brotherhood 1.0 through Muslim Brotherhood 4.0 still have at their hearts the beating of a man who had an idea back in Egypt 1928 and may have drawn strength from those who eventually would take his dream to the world along with the chant of, “Khaybar Khaybar ya-Yahud, jaysh il-Mohammed saufa yaud!” which translated as “Remember (the battle of) Khaybar, oh Jews, the army of Mohammed is coming!” Thus those fighting the Islamic State are simply fighting Hamas and the PLO and those fighting the PLO and Hamas are fighting Islamic State. These two fights are actually inseparable and this is a truth the world needs to learn, Israeli victories are their victories and vice-versa. That is the basic truth as even the Shiite groups are modeled on the PLO which means Iran is also an offshoot of the PLO which is pointed out in the pictures of Yasser Arafat and the Ayatollah Khomeini.

 

 

Yasser Arafat and the Ayatollah Khomeini
meeting in support of one another as kindred
spirits as Arafat assisted having the Ayatollah
returned to power using President Carter

 

 

This is the reality of the past right up to this very day with the main threats to the stability of the world are Iran under the Ayatollahs and the Islamic State as the latest rendition of Hamas and the PLO, a blend the Muslim Brotherhood has had a hand in forming from the outset in 1928 Europe with a membership initially of under a dozen workers on the Suez Canal workforce. From such humble beginnings we now face the dawn to World War III which each day appears less likely avoidable especially with the downing of a Russian civilian airliner and Russia under Putin, Vlad the Invader, bringing his nuclear missiles into the ready to respond to this attack on Mother Russia which will receive complete and total backing of the Russian people if it is presented that Russia can target those responsible and end this threat they face. The question may end up what will the rest of the world do? This is what the world on the brink looks like, nothing more and nothing less, nukes at the ready is always a tense situation no matter whose nukes are being prepared.

 

Beyond the Cusp