Beyond the Cusp

May 22, 2016

General Election General Feelings Deadly Deal

 

If one goes by the normal general election numbers and stick to what the election gurus and political pundits all know is the gospel truth, then Donald Trump and any Republican Presidential candidate is a lost cause. This is because if one takes the “known” and steady trended Democrat and Republican states electoral vote Hillary has a definitive advantage which would be near impossible to topple. Here are a few examples you can check for yourselves:
This excerpt was taken and quoted from In A Clinton-Trump Race, Just How Much Could The Map Change?, which contains numerous other statistics and suggestions of alternate paths other than ours which follows.

 

It’s the number of electoral votes of 18 states (plus the ever-blue District of Columbia) that have voted Democratic in each of the last six presidential elections. And it leaves a Democratic nominee just a Florida-shy (29 electoral votes) of winning the presidency.
Those 18 states (worth a collective 242 electoral votes): California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington and Wisconsin.
Meanwhile, only 13 states (worth a collective 103 electoral votes) have voted Republican each of the last six times: Alabama, Alaska, Idaho, Kansas, Mississippi, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah and Wyoming.

 

Additional information, numbers and stock predictions and analysis can be read in Trump seemed impervious during the primaries, but forecasts for electoral votes paint a bleak picture.

 

Presidential Electoral Map 2016

Presidential Electoral Map 2016

 

Now, let us return back to the more unseen elsewhere BTC analysis and path forward. We do not doubt any of these dire predictions and numbers analyzed from trends and other variables, and that is the main word, variables, as they vary. Change is the one guarantee in politics. President Reagan changed the trending tides in the 1980 elections. William Jefferson Clinton took on an impossible to win challenge and changed the tide back followed by George W. Bush and then President Obama who has placed us at this election, one with no actual candidate running for their reelection to the Presidency, with President Obama being prevented running by the Constitution as Amended in Amendment XXII. Finally, a Constitutional limit President Obama appears to be stuck fulfilling. So there is Queen Hillary the Prevaricator and Clown Trump the Irreverent as the two main party candidates essentially from which to choose. Conventional wisdom predicts that Hillary has the election in the bag with her automatic Democratic Party states all but guaranteed while Trump is seen as vulnerable in even the most conservative and natural strongholds of Republican power such as Oklahoma and Wyoming. Our suggestion is adapt a campaign for Trump to win while those coaching Hillary will send her mostly to four or maybe five states with the top three being Ohio, Pennsylvania and the most crucial, Florida. It is said that no candidate can win without Florida. But is all this as sewn up as the mainstream pundits and analyzers and even campaign chiefs claim. If that is their thinking then the United States had best become very comfortable with the sound of President Hillary Clinton for eight years and Democrats into the future as far as anybody can predict. We all know that politics are a whole lot more volatile than that prediction or the Whig Party would still be in the White House and almost all the Presidents would be from Virginia as that was the trend early on.

 

Donald Trump, who is the candidate we will mostly address as his is the more difficult Presidency to wring out electorally, will need to challenge the punditry and experts from the start. Sure the first state he could talk from might be Florida following the wisdom that no candidate wins without Florida. If he does his next two stops should be touted as his message to America on how to unite everybody around a true moderate who will choose solid middle of the road people for his advisors from New York and California. He could list people such as Ben Carson for Surgeon General and other such calm, intelligent and well established and accepted experts in a number of second tier Cabinet Posts. Trump should easily know of people who would accept an appointment to Secretary of Labor, Commerce and Health and Human Services and even Secretary of Defense, a top tier position where he would have any number of retired military people from which to choose. The rationale behind naming these people and appointments with them present would calm the populace and defuse the claims that he is impossible and would be wild and out of control where these appointments would show reason and solid advice. That along with a more restrained and intelligently packaged Trump, with the same bravado, but this time turning top these appointees as his Brain Trust would settle his picture for those watching, and would be gobbled up by an ever hungry media, as this would be against all past trends for a campaign to name appointees early in the campaign. Such names would also point out the due diligence Trump had to have used in making these choices and planning ahead. Something he is claimed to not possess is such planning which is how he built skyscrapers across his properties. He plans, that should have been obvious, but apparently voters are a suspicious lot or totally clueless and need to be spoon fed, neither is a positive assessment.

 

Clinton vs Trump

Clinton vs Trump

 

Actually it would be these challenges in New York and California that once either of these states races tighten in polling, and trust us, they would, then Hillary would have to run there and campaign in frantic and shrillary tones for which she is famous. Watching her changing to adapt to match the location and often slipping into the wrong ones, would be great entertainment. The thinking is that with his business connections and dealings he could challenge Hillary in New York as the northern three-quarters of the state is fairly conservative and it is just New York City that tilts the state Democrat and he could crack that open as there must be a large number of middle of the road normally Democrat voters who could be swayed from Hillary with a decent effort. Even New Jersey might be playable though that is highly doubtful but a few trips into the northern end of the State might bleed support across in The City.

 

California, on the other hand, has a sizeable conservative area of voters who are likely sick of the water wars played by President Obama on the state when they were in a dire need and he all but cut off water to the state. Add in the numbers of Hollywood actors, directors, producers and the like who Trump could get to campaign for him and this along with Trump’s affability on the stump would put California in play. Face facts, no Democrat wins the Presidency without both New York and California in this modern era and both have more than enough electoral delegates to sink Florida off the map and put Trump into the White House. People can point to all the negatives they want, Trump in the White House would send a message which would terrorize the enemies of America and freedom. Our friends would be able to sleep at night knowing that the United States had their backs and was under sane foreign policy again and this message would be carried by the people who decide for Trump which way is up and which way is forward and allow him to choose a mix of the two. If we have Trump pegged, he would challenge these advisors to go out and make it ‘YUGE” and fulfill every last one of the up and forward policy proposals.

 

Trump could have Senator Cruz lock down Texas and possibly Oklahoma as well, and he could play off of Rubio or Jeb Bush if they refused to back and assist in his campaign and add them to the campaign to augment any plans already in the works as neither one has proven to be as effective as they viewed themselves. They would still be a plus as they are original combatants who had said less than flattering charges against The Donald. Perhaps we should reiterate our lack of a dog in this race. Should any of our dual citizen people even cast votes in the election, for whom and why has not reached the floor for debate as of yet except for a Congressman who is facing a challenge from the Republican elites, imagine we would like such a down to earth, home grown, religious, and independent conservative who votes almost identically as we would on every major and minor issues. Individual bills, we trust his sense and judgement, but he was no on amnesty, close the border, support traditional friends and generally right down the line. Our votes for President would likely prefer a ‘none of the above’ choice, as we stated here in We Need a None of the Above Election Ballot and originally around four years earlier, there is something about that four year thing that we cannot quite put our finger on…something about a White House?, anyways, back then we wrote Can I Vote “None of the Above”? Seems we will be revisiting that idea in 2020 or there about. I have a feeling this year ‘None of the Above’ could easily defeat either candidate and might even clear fifty percent which would have been a fabulous message to send about the choices we have been given in these farcical elections.

 

Unfortunately, the choices are what they are and we honestly believe that Donald Trump could tear away either or both New York and California and should try for a few other considered true blue Democrat states and at the least turn them purple. His efforts in such states could, and likely would, bring benefits in downstream elections and potentially swing a few elections to the Republicans where voter turnout has been lackadaisical in the recent past. Let’s face it, true conservatives have not had all that to vote for but voting against this year had a definite appeal beyond past years. Even some on the left feel they must oppose the Shrillary. Imagine four State of the Union addresses as well as numerous, ‘We can feel your pain, Bill and I,’ and ‘Our fellow Americans, in this time of upheaval, Bill and I…’ or, ‘It is my duty as your President to ignore Congress and the Supreme Court and continue to…’ What the ending commentary will be to those phrases, and these phrases are coming and they might very well be those exact phrases, is more Pablum which the media and masses sup upon. Which can do the least damage to an already all but terminally injured America limping forward in need of a transfusion of popularism and we have the Screech and the Jolly Joker as our candidates. This trend has been a set of elections for leader of the Free World which has devolved sinking ever lower with every election and the winning choice turning into ever greater disasters. Where it will end is obvious even to the most casual of observer. Continuing this downward spiral will become the death spiral leading to the next great upheaval which will blast the memory of any previous conflict from our collective memories.

 

There are one of two directions which the world might take in continuing to hurl itself at an ever faster pace towards that aforementioned conflagration where the United States, to quote a famous movie quote, may “Turn to the Dark Side Luke,” thus it becomes a force for evil. Another direction is where the United States and advanced Western World collapses and in the Far East begins the next Great War. This conflict between them and the remaining forces in the remains of Europe and across North America and most of Africa turns its forces to its east and rides into battle for Allah as the accursed Buddhists remain to be conquered now that Christianity has been subjected and surrendered to the Prophet and his deity, Allah. Neither future is attractive which is why we pray for the souls of America to activize and save their great nations and return the world to sanity. The only other choice after Europe succumbs, which she may not suffer herself to actually allow, and the United States is set upon next and also succumbs, leaves only Israel. Tiny little one or two Iranian super weapon strikes away from oblivion and being wiped from the map, Israel and her superior anti-missile technology and the faith in Hashem, will that once again be sufficient to save all? Where it ends is unknown to all but Hashem and all we can do is to carry out that we were meant to perform, not one step less. Oh, and if you can carry more, do so. Simple enough, but seemingly forgotten in this age of connectivity replacing activity, and concentration on the little screen replacing execution of the essentials around us in our lives, leads us into the darkness while we refuse to look up and notice. Perhaps this might be a rant for another article.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

October 26, 2015

The Carefully Laid Plot Unfolds Slowly

 

The Third Intifada, what our Arab peace partners call the Stabbing Intifada, has been planned as the introduction to what they are plotting will be so much more. Their allies will gather over the coming months from places expected and some unforeseen. One of the first gatherings came this past week and instigated the abrogation of one of the few peace accords Israel has with her neighbors. Numbering over fifty, Bedouin leaders published a joint statement calling on Jordanian King Abdullah II to take on the task of building an army readying them to stand as the vanguard to take back Jerusalem. Arabi 21 news site quoted the statement accordingly, “Arab regimes in general, and the Jordanian regime in particular, have shirked their religious, national, and ethical responsibility towards the most important Arab and Muslim problem, the Palestinian problem. The events in the occupied land and at the al-Aqsa Mosque would not have happened if it wasn’t for the incompetence of governments and their actions in the service of the Zionists, Americans, and national enemies.”

 

 

Third Temple on Temple Mount Sharing with Dome of the Rock as equals

 

The statement proposed the Jordanian King assemble the “Return Brigade” from within the Arab refugee camps and displaced persons, a combination of the refugees grandchildren from the First Failed War to Annihilate Israelis both Jewish and Arab of 1948-9 with further candidates drafted from the camps of Syrian refugees augmented with new supporting brigades of Jordanian nationals and fully supported by the Jordanian military. Together the force should be applied to attack and conquer Jerusalem and the holy sites in the city, especially the al-Aqsa Mosque, Dome of the Rock and the remainder of the holy places on al-Haram al-Sharif (Temple Mount). The reason for building these brigades was to assure Israeli understanding that the campaign against them, the “Zionist enemy”, is truly ongoing and rather than a conflict over borders, it is a religious struggle for the restoration of Islamic Arab hegemony over all the lands and the complete defeat of the Zionist impostors who infect these Arab lands. The entirety of the struggle which has been continuous since before the turn of the last century and now covered over a century without end and will continue, according to many an Imam, Arab leaders and amongst many Muslims throughout the Middle East and beyond into Africa, until the Zionist Entity has been eradicated. One wonders how many of the over fifty Bedouin leaders will be sacrificing their tribespeople to this cause or are they demanding this task to be imposed only upon others. It would be nice to have a full understanding of exactly who and how many and from where the adversaries will be drafted and gathered once more on Israeli borders with the promise of extinction for the Jewish People even if only in Eretz Yisroel.

 

Many will see this story and pass it off as another stand alone and singular item not part of a greater whole, but in the end there are no stand-alone incidents in the end, just a series of chains of events that all too often become interwoven into a massive chain driving events which make for pivotal moments in history. Some of these events are unalterable and others are where mankind makes their own path. In the end we can only strive and pray that our efforts are towards that which we can change and often it is best to pretend that all is within our power to effect, after all, everything else will be as will be and all we could have done was our best. There will need to be far more events, some which will make the news but most will be hidden from view until, as it is always stated in Hollywood movies, too late.

 

 

Left side map depicts the division of the Promised Land amongst the tribes and right side map compares the modern promised land from the Jordan west to the Mediterranean Sea compared to the maximum of area during King David’s and King Solomon’s reigns.

 

 

Today was a blue ribbon day as another little piece of the puzzle came from Mahmoud Abbas as he and Jordanian King Abdullah II met with John Kerry to attempt to find ways of diffusing the ongoing violence on the Temple Mount, Jerusalem and throughout Israeli territory, within and outside the Green Line. Channel 10 in Israel reported Saturday night that the Arab Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Mahmoud Abbas is demanding Israel provide him significant political concessions in exchange for any efforts to stem the ongoing wave of Arab Palestinian terror. This all came about as a result of a series of meetings between Mahmoud Abbas with both United States Secretary of State John Kerry and Jordan’s King Abdullah Saturday on calming the tensions in the region. His first demand is the low hanging fruit and most obvious demand as Abbas has made this demand almost incessantly since the last set of steps of negotiating fell apart once the news that Abbas and the PA delegation were planning on terminating all contact with Israel immediately after the fourth and last set of prisoner releases which is now his opening demand even before discussing the rest of the list of coming demands. Abbas made a secondary demand that he absolutely must receive an official statement from Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu admitting to and willing to meet the reopening of talks, of mediations, under agreed upon conditions. Exactly what the remainder of the agreed upon conditions is not entirely defined at this point in time.

 

This all assumes that Abbas can even defuse the current situation, something many believe, yours truly included, sincerely doubt Abbas actually has such influences. Making such an assignment even more dubious is the threat by Hamas to torpedo any chance of talks in the region. Arab Palestinian sources have revealed that Hamas plans to increase levels of the incitement as well as perpetrating their own attacks in Jerusalem and throughout other areas within Israel wherever possible. Additionally, there have been reports of new insertions of new IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) trainers and supplemental forces to augment Hezballah frontline units, train new Hezballah units for the fight in Syria as well as potentially opening a new front against Israel from within Syria and potentially from within Lebanon as well. Some believe that the stationing and equipping new Hezballah units is being made possible by the recent or coming infusions of funds as well as the riches to be gained through the dropping of all sanctions. There is such a high probability, such as to be next to certainty, that Iran will use funds they receive in the coming year as the recently reached nuclear agreement is implemented, will be restocking Hamas supplies elevating the probability of yet another offensive out of Gaza launching hundreds or thousands of rockets with ever increased range and lethality. Fortunately Israeli-Egyptian relations, where frosty, are peaceful and actually have some beneath the board agreements and security coordination concerning the Sinai Peninsula and even Gaza. Egypt has also spent the time, treasure, manpower, planning and execution of steps to all but obliterate the network of smuggling tunnels under the border between Gaza and the Sinai Peninsula. As long as Egyptian President Sisi remains in power, then tranquility bordering on coordination and joint actions will largely continue in place.

 

There are other situations which hold threats for Israel going forward. There is always the danger of a large scale attack with well beyond acceptable losses, not that any loss should be viewed as a mere statistic, as should that day befall us, and let us all pray such never becomes valid, then the entire idea of status-quo will be blown apart possibly never to return as it is claimed currently. There will be the ever growing threat of rockets or missiles from Iran, an all on invasion by Islamic State launched across Jordan and on to the Arab Palestinian lands giving the Islamic State a beachhead against Israel. Then there is the constant verbal bludgeoning Israel receives from Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. There is little doubt that given half a chance to defeat the Jews, Erdogan would dedicate whatever troops he felt would be required. The real problem is that there are Arabs and a few others around this globe who see nothing wrong regarding their defeating of the Jews, all of the varieties from the least religious, universalistic Jews or the uber religious Jews. To reach this end the Arabs may never be required to accept the Jews, Christians, Buddhist, and many others who have already been swallowed partially by Islam and know that it is about the particular uniqueness of Islam which demands as a holy act that it erase all which preceded them and conquer and convert those who claim to have come after them as they claim to be the sole repository of truth and the final word on all faith and thus all must either be preceded by Islam and thus an offshoot who has lost their way or beseeching forgiveness if they hold to religious beliefs which preceded Islam. Theirs is the ultimate and final end of self-aggrandizement claiming to be the final rendition of replacement theology thus they believe there can be none other.

 

 

The Isamic Creed

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

 

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