The recent past has been a fortunate period where there has been little news of great note. Sure, there have been the few stories which the reporters find, but it has generally been the kind of days when the evening news starts out with the Fire Department saving a nice little old lady’s cat from its perch high up in some tree. Yes, many towns had a robbery or, unfortunately, a murder, but the world has been generally quiet. Yes, half of the United States continues to circulate the latest reason why President Trump is the spawn of Satan and actually lost the election, if only Mueller and his team would release the juicy bits about the Russian collusion which has to be behind Hillary Clinton’s loss. But what we are referring to is a number of things far more serious and which have deadly consequences, all too often by design.
The war in Syria continues unabated with Bashir al-Assad and his Iranian and Hezballah accomplices continuing to murder Syrian civilians as they continue to see enemies behind every tree. Their current sweep is near Aleppo and has again murdered hundred upon hundreds of innocents. Since the Syrian downing of the Russian aircraft, Russia of course blamed Israel and provided the Syrians with more advanced anti-aircraft missile systems with the improved S-300 systems now deployed. The problem will continue in that the system cannot be any better than the people operating the radar and interpreting what they see. If the person using the system cannot tell a Russian reconnaissance aircraft from an Israeli F-16, then it matters very little what system they are provided with for their use. Meanwhile, Turkey’s forces continue to sweep across northern Syria slaughtering the Kurdish villagers just in case any of them happen to be members of what President Erdogan believes are potential forces which might try to liberate the Kurdish regions of Turkey. This is called making friends and winning over the Kurds in Turkey, many of which have had relatives arrested by the government of Turkey never to be seen again.
Saudi Arabia continues to be a rather barbaric place with a covering sheen of respectability. Yes, they also see themselves as the keepers of the faith when it comes to Sunni Islam and all of Islam, as they also are the protectors of the two holy cities, Mecca and Medina. They have permitted women to drive so as to enter a new and modern era. On the other side of the ledger, they still cut the hands off of thieves and hold public executions as a form of entertainment. This is what happens when you allow the Islamic fundamentalist Wahhabi Imams to enforce your laws in exchange of their giving the Royal Family religious cover. Some continue to believe that the Saudi Royal Family may play a crucial role in President Trump’s ‘Deal of the Century’ which is to bring an end to the Arab-Israeli Conflict.
Iran is very probably still making additional thermos-nuclear devices at the fastest pace they can accomplish this. As they have their own uranium mine within their borders, their only requirements are specific isotopes of hydrogen, deuterium and tritium (both of them rare forms of hydrogen). This is also dependent upon Iran having built and hidden a specially designed reactor, which isn’t easy to build and still only generates tiny amounts of tritium at a time. Still, it would be unwise to expect that Iran is not seeking if not already producing these extremely destructive weapons. There is a simple rule about underestimating an adversary, do not do so as such an action can only lead to you being surprised in some horrific fashion. It is always safer to assume the worst from your enemies, this way you can only be relieved when they turn out not to have actually done the worst case possible. Nobody has ever been horrified because of overestimating their enemies.
The first non-news is on the Gaza border. As it is Friday, as soon as mid-day services end there will be a swelling of the ranks of youths flying kites and launching balloons with their incendiary devices into Israel. There may be a few rockets launched tonight into Israel which will not hit the news here, thus most of the rest of the planet, until after Shabbat. There will be the continuing attempts to destroy areas of the border fence which separates the Hamas enclave from Israel. Too many news sources will claim that these protests are about the occupation or the blockade. Both of those excuses are lies which the media continues to peddle so as to make Israel the evil party and the main cause behind these continuing attacks. This is as far from the truth as any news report could be. First off, Israel pulled out of Gaza gifting it to the Palestinian Authority. They were miserable at developing any form of economy and thus lost Gaza to Hamas and Islamic Jihad, two terrorist groups which are currently backed by Iran. Hamas, and as a result, Islamic Jihad, have the backing of reportedly at least eighty-percent of the Gaza population. There is no Israeli occupation and the blockade has the blessings as legal by the United Nations, not exactly the strongest backer of Israel, who also list both Hamas and Islamic Jihad as terrorist groups. Anyone claiming that Hamas might be upset about the situation of the areas ruled by the Palestinian Authority, well, that it technically true. The problem Hamas has is that they have been unable to overthrow the Fatah governance in the region east of Jerusalem largely because of Israeli intelligence preventing their operating and thus overthrowing the Fatah run government of Mahmoud Abbas. Should the Palestinian Authority ever be gifted with their own regions and Israel thus being forced to cease operations in that region, it is more than likely that within a year that Hamas would overthrow Abbas and then rule that region as well. There is no love lost between Hamas and Fatah.
Back to Hamas and why they continue to attack Israel in any manner they are able. Hamas has as their aim the death of every Jew anywhere on planet Earth. Were Jews to be on a spaceship and colonize another planet, Hamas would claim that they were the proper and true people to whom that planet belonged and that the Jews had stolen it from them, and they would want them dead too. The Hamas leadership sells their people on some of the worst anti-Semitic tropes equal if not worse than that of the Nazis. Hamas does not want to just kill the Jews but would probably desire to do it in as painful and tortuous means as possible. Hamas and Islamic Jihad are similar to the Islamic State as they are also Islamist supremacists. They believe that anyone who is not a follower of their exact form of Islam are idolaters or apostates. As such, they are to be killed. Believe it or not, there is one group even lower than idolaters or apostates, these are the Jews, the most despised of all peoples. This they interpret as coming straight from the Quran and the wars Mohammad waged around Medina. They hope to do exactly as Muhammad had done to the Qurayza Jews where they enslaved the women as women and beheaded every male too old to be easily converted. This led to their beheading approximately eight-hundred males who were considered to be of adult age. They were not given a final choice to convert; they were simply murdered after surrendering. The women were turned into sex slaves intended to produce children to be raised as Muslim taken from them upon weaning and this was to be their fate until death.
Israel is facing a group of terrorists that despite desiring to use modern weaponry, their hatreds and desire to humiliate and make an example of the Jews of Israel is a deeply religious and historic reason. They would prefer to make the deaths of the Israeli Jews as humiliating and tortuous as humanly possible. They have also learned from observations that they can pretend to play the victim and blame Israel of any criminal intent or act and there will be leaders around the world who will grant their claims all the validity they are capable of granting. Such a leader many believe will soon be the Prime Minister of Britain, Jeremy Corbyn. They are also aware that even should they launch a thousand rockets a day into Israel, such actions if approached incrementally will be ignored as the media reported the first few a day for three, four days, maybe even a week but then it became old news. Even though the numbers continue to climb, this matters little as it is still old news and only when Israel responds and does so with more than a few targets being bombed, then it becomes news. From previous encounters, they know they can count on the coverage reporting how the Israelis used air power, armor and infantry and all the particulars of the Israeli actions will be covered for the first five, six, seven paragraphs before the fact that this was the Israeli response to days of a thousand rockets being fired into Israel by Hamas in Gaza. Then, during the ensuing operations, the media will use a strange yardstick to measure whether the war is being fair, the number of casualties on both sides. Hamas uses human shields and will actually place their civilians at risk with the intent of their becoming casualties while Israel does all they are able including investing millions to keep the Israeli population safe. This causes the disparity in deaths.
Of course, the media overlooks that Israel sends SMS telling Gazans where they will be operating next and drop leaflets also informing them of where the IDF will be operating. The Gazans can tune their radios to listen to IDF radio which will tell them where and when the IDF will be moving into an area. People ask does not Israel realize that Hamas will listen to these warnings and set up ambushes for the Israelis? Well, yes, the government and the top command of the IDF are aware of this, as they are not complete idiots. They could be questioned on the sanity of giving such warnings, but the IDF still manages to have very low casualties when one considers that their enemy is always lying in wait for them. Still, when the fact that a measurably larger number of Hamas and Islamic Jihad fighters are being killed than IDF and far more of them placed at risk Gazans are being killed compared to the protected Israeli population, the first question from reporters lips when talking to the Israeli officers is why are so many on the Gazan side of the fight being killed and there are so few Jews being killed? Well, they say Israelis but every so often one of them slips and before they correct themselves, it slips out, why aren’t more Jews dying. That slip-up is edited out of the final report, but still, even when they do not say so, you can almost hear that question. The thing is they know why. We actually had one reporter ask and then all but demand that Israel provide Hamas with Iron Dome systems to protect the forces in Gaza as well as the Israelis are protected. The Israeli being interviewed was left too stunned by the question to even spit out an answer. An NGO quickly picked up that concept and ran with it actually petitioning for Israel to provide Iron Dome to protect Gazans as Israel is responsible for protecting Gaza, aren’t they? Well, actually, no, Israel has only one responsibility to Gaza, that is to do everything in her power to end all attacks and atrocities from being perpetrated by the terrorist leadership which controls Gaza.
We usually do not give our advice on how the problem in Gaza can be addressed. This is because we are not exactly neutral in this contest. Still, after every military action to destroy the weapons of Hamas and Islamic Jihad and to destroy their rocket and mortar making facilities and their explosives production, by the next confrontation they have rockets and now missiles with greater range, warhead capacity and accuracy. The last war saw them capable of almost striking Jerusalem and Haifa and easily striking Tel Aviv with their largest rockets. At the rate their weaponry has been upgraded largely by Iran, it will not be long before they will be capable of striking everywhere in Israel even including the Golan Heights, the furthest point from Gaza. Already, on the northern front out of Syria and Lebanon, Hezballah terrorist and rulers of Lebanon can already strike anywhere within Israel and are receiving guidance packages to attach to their rockets transforming them into missiles accurate supposedly to within tens of meters. Both of these terrorist groups are getting very close to becoming existential threats to the continued existence of Israel. As both sets of terrorist groups on the northern and southern borders are under the command of Iran, and as Iran currently has IRGC forces, their elite military, in Syria, should all of these entities be released to attack Israel simultaneously they would be capable of launching attacks from almost every border. The one border which might prevent their use would be Jordan, which is assuming that Iran has not decided that Jordan requires a regime change. There have been intelligence reports which have implied that Bashir al-Assad has his plans to take Jordan before his own nation exploded and Iran has also threatened Jordan. There is little which could prevent Iran assisted by Hezballah from conquering Jordan and thus surrounding Israel. The remaining border for Israel is along the Sinai Peninsula, an area already barely controlled by Egypt and with numerous terrorist groups operating within the region. One could see Iran influencing some of these groups as well.
The above describes a threat so sever to Israel that it does not take a military genius to see that Israel has a dilemma. The General Staff claims that Hezballah is too big a threat in the north to permit sparing the required forces to address Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the south. The absolute lunacy of such a conclusion should be more than apparent even to the most casual observers. If what the General Staff claims are true, then how would they conduct under the scenario where both fronts became active and were coordinating with one another through Iran? We can only conclude that they would leave the country and leave the rest up to more junior officers, likely their best idea yet. If what they claim is true, then it is time to beef up the active duty sections of the IDF and have a rotation of reservists active year round. Of course, the politicians would claim that doing so would be too much of a drain on the economy with the reservists called up in such a manner and that it would also be far too costly. All of this leaves only one other alternative, take out Hamas and Islamic Jihad entirely or entice them to simply leave. How, you ask. Try a new tactic of instead of bombing empty guard shacks and training fields at 2:00 AM, give notice that for every day that the rioting continues on the border, at twelve noon, give or take fifteen minutes, one of the leadership of Hamas, Islamic Jihad or their accomplices will be destroyed and they should remove all family members if they do not desire risking their lives. Should this not dissuade them from continuing their rioting on the border, then after one month of this, inform them that at 2:00 AM the mall in downtown Gaza City will be destroyed, and then do so. Sooner or later, the people whose homes are threatened and are the wealthy of Gaza, many are millionaires, will demand that all attacks on Israel cease before their homes or other amenities which they enjoy are taken away. This is the means by which Hamas and Islamic Jihad would become unpopular with the people with the means of influencing who rules Gaza. Even if this did not end the rule of Hamas, it would make things problematic as if they began to execute the wealthy, then they would soon have their rule cut short. And if this failed, then it would be obvious that there is no redeeming value in permitting Gaza to continue on its current path and simply driving everything from before an advancing IDF which would sweep from the north to the Egyptian border with the eastern flank held by IDF forces. This is the final option but one which may require being considered despite what the rest of the world may scream. Hamas is a terrorist group and is supported by at least 80% of the Gaza population, that is an irreconcilable situation. No other nation would have tolerated this situation as long as Israel has permitted it to last and this has reached a critical point where the drastic approach may be necessary.
Beyond the Cusp