Beyond the Cusp

August 7, 2018

Peace Deal Dies in the Sands of Saudi Arabia

 

President Trump spoke with a triumphant flare when announcing how his experiences in making deals and his acumen for reading people was going to allow him to be the perfect person to finally make peace between the Arabs and the Jews, between the Muslim world and Israel. Many people scoffed at Trump’s bravado, or should we say bragging, and simply stated that Trump was delusional if he thought he could make the peace which has always remained one-step beyond. Our hopes were with President Trump and anybody else who might actually be capable of bringing peace to our lands. As Israelis, we hold peace in high regard as if it were a premium gem stone cut to its ultimate brilliance. In the past, we have given away land and made promises and just about everything short of surrendering Israel to reach peace, and through these negotiations have actually reached peace treaties with Egypt and later on Jordan. When these treaties were reached, both Egypt and Jordan relinquished the areas they had illegally held since 1948 when they were part of a six-nation assault on the nascent Israeli state with intent to commit a genocidal massacre, or as the Secretary-General of the Arab League Azzam Pasha in an October 11, 1947, article in the Egyptian newspaper Akhbar al-Yom, titled “A War of Extermination,” he was quoted stating, “This war will be a war of extermination and a momentous massacre which will be spoken of like the Mongol massacres and the Crusades.” That was the only solution acceptable to the Arab League then and is still the only result acceptable from any peace today. This is something which President Trump is beginning to learn and it will indeed be interesting how he reacts when every ally he is currently betting will assist his efforts for peace betrays him. What will President Trump do when they leave him standing ready with papers drawn up and in hand and all the Arab parties who just the evening before were glad handing him slapping him on the back congratulating him on his grand efforts to force Israel into a peace and getting the Israeli concessions now, when the signing is to occur, all leaving by every exit and speeding to the airport laughing all the way. That will be the pivotal point on his learning curve.

 

We in Israel and those who are our friends and have been paying attention traveling down the road presumably to peace with hope in our hearts only to have them broken time after time and even when peace was attained, at what price with the explosive time bomb of the Palestinian lies and thefts of our lands and history claiming they were the ones who came with Moses or that they are the actual Canaanites or a few other claims which we will include for their amusement factor. These include their having lived in these lands for nine thousand years, were the people who invented speech, invented written language with Canaanite-Palestinian Cuneiform and other claims too ridiculous to even include. Despite the fact that the first mention of such a people as the Palestinians was first invented by Yasser Arafat in conjunction with the Arab League under the guidance and with the resources of the KGB in 1964 gaining observer status at the United Nations General Assembly in May, all but immediately as they promised to destroy Israel and kill the Jews, welcome aboard. Ever since, and with much aid from an unquestioning media, the story of the Palestinians morphed Israelite and Jewish history replacing the people who lived these times as written in the Bible with the Palestinian Arabs. Never mind that many of the Arabs back when Israel was one of the leading world powers under Kings David and Solomon were worshiping idols and venerating a rock which fell from the heavens, that same rock is in Mecca inside the eastern corner of the Kaaba and pictured below and is known as Black Stone. Still, they rewrite history to match their claims, rewrite current events to match their claims and use taqiyya to forward their desired ends through lies all of which can be read about here.

 

Meteoric Black Stone in the Kaaba in Mecca

Meteoric Black Stone in the Kaaba in Mecca

 

This brings us to President Trump and his team working to forge a peace treaty acceptable to the Israelis and the Arab world. President Donald Trump’s Mideast peace point-men of Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, and Jason Greenblatt, special council for Middle East affairs, have been working together along with some assistance from United States Ambassador to Israel, David Friedman. The State Department, Pentagon, Intelligence Agencies and selected Congressional Representatives have been asked to detail personnel to the team for six months to a year in order to facilitate a broader approach and to iron out any difficulties. Unspoken in this request was that these individuals be capable of working quietly, some if not all unnamed and unidentified, and lastly that they have intimate knowledge of persuasion tactics including arm twisting, mild to strident threat processes, cajoling and even outright force as part of their repertoire of problem solving techniques and skill sets. The above is our assessment of the necessary qualities that very well will be required if the “Deal of the Century” is going to have any possibility of getting off the ground. We assess that the request for additional people to join the initial team is due to some wrinkles popping up rather recently which were, for some unfathomable reason, unforeseen by President Trump. In all honesty, we must say that President Trump has surprised us in this area with his lack of serious knowledge of the difficulties which would be encountered and his coming into this thinking that it was going to be an easy fix that simply required to be managed and a deal could be finalized without too many complications. President Trump is rapidly realizing why no deal has been reached over the past twenty-five years plus and that the problems in this arena extend far beyond just the Palestinian Arabs and their leadership. President Trump appears to have believed that if he could simply go around and over the heads of the Palestinian Authority and sideline Mahmoud Abbas and company and instead deal with Jordan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, then he could reach a deal with little trouble and then everything would be finished. He has now realized that such will not be the case.

 

Here are the problems in the order that the President ran up against them. President Trump’s first foray was to circumvent Mahmoud Abbas and deal with the former occupying power of what they called the West Bank and a nation with a peace treaty with Israel in place. Despite the fact that King Abdullah of Jordan is facing some unrest and could use a little financial and other assistance currently, he still appeared to be less than enthusiastic about dealing with his formerly occupied territory. We believe his answer went something like this, but not necessarily in these words: ‘We mean no disrespect to you President Trump but get lost; we want no part of your peace scheme. You want to reach peace, then deal with Mahmoud Abbas and tell the Jews that they must submit to Islamic rule. But please just leave me out of this and scratch Jordan off your list of potential assistance in these ventures.’ This was the initial foray, which was logical, and Jordan simply told President Trump to talk to the hand.

 

This then brought in the other two remaining countries which might be able to assist President Trump with this now realized problem. So he approached President Sisi in Egypt and Prince Mohammad bin Salman as the current and deemed new leader in Saudi Arabia, though King Salman bin Abdul-Aziz Al Saud technically rules Saudi Arabia. Both nations made very similar statements of support for any plan that President Trump was willing to press forward with providing it met the basic needs of the Palestinian people. This sounded all warm and fuzzy and wonderful except the real fuzzy part was the end of their statement about meeting the basic needs of the Palestinian people. Both leaders, through channels, assured Mahmoud Abbas that the basic needs of the Palestinian people were exactly the same as the demands he has been pressing of the pre-Six Day War borders for his state of Palestine with east Jerusalem as its capital and the entirety of the Temple Mount within his borders and thus soon to be beyond the reach of all Jews including the Western Wall and all other holy sites such as Joseph’s tomb, Rachel’s tomb and the Machpelah (Cave of the Patriarchs). They assured him it also meant that the “Palestinian refugees would need to be addressed and their relocation to their appropriate place within Israel with full citizenship would also need to be part of any deal thus making Israel an Arab Palestinian majority nation and no longer the home of the Jewish people.

 

These assurances were given behind the scenes and out of sight of President Trump and his team. So, Jared Kushner and Jason Greenblatt set to ironing out a deal with Egypt and Saudi Arabia. The first roadblock they struck was that President Sisi had pressing matters and was far too busy to deal with such matters as he had to find some means of working out an agreement between Israel and Hamas which would make Hamas satisfied enough to end the incendiary attacks on southern Israel. News on that front is it has been rumored that a Hudna has been arranged to end the hostilities for now between Hamas and Israel. Now a quick aside, a Hudna is often allowed to be translated as a peace treaty which even should that be the reality, it still only can last ten years and then the war is back on like it or not. What Hudna really means is the enemies of Islam are told, through taqiyya, as it ensures ten years of peace, but in Islam it means that the Muslims rearm and when they believe they have the upper hand or wish to be troublesome, they can declare the Hudna over and restart their aggressions. The frightening part of these rumored dealings is that it includes giving Hamas an airport in Sinai from which they can import and export anything they desire and bring it into Gaza across its border with Egypt without Israeli inspections. Even if the agreement allows for Israeli inspections, that does not mean that Israel will be shown everything, that we can guarantee. We pray these rumors are completely unfounded or Israel is in for some serious trouble in about a year or two.

 

So, Egypt was too busy and they too have stated, talk to the hand. So our two wonder boys went off to Saudi Arabia. Here they believed they had finally hit pay-dirt. Prince Mohammad bin Salman appeared reasonable and willing to assist with the problem. They got down to the brass tacks and things appeared to be going well. The two sides had appeared to have reached a point where they could both agree when Prince Salman brought up the magic words which were that he could not do anything which did not satisfy and provide for everything which Mahmoud Abbas requires for a fair and decent peace. He even publically assured Mahmoud Abbas that he would not sell him short and that the two were on the same page. This was the point when the President started seeking more muscle to employ in the field as President Trump has realized that there is no peace or honor outside of Israel in the Middle East. He has seen that the sands shift with the wind and a leader’s words are only worth what he was thinking and not necessarily what he was stating. President Trump has reached the final wall, the insurmountable wall for President Trump because he is not willing to sacrifice Israel as the Arabs are demanding. We must sadly and solemnly inform President Trump that this wall is the same wall which ended the Camp David summit when Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak agreed to every demand that Yasser Arafat had told President Clinton were his terms for peace thinking that Barak would refuse those demands, but he accepted and Yassir Arafat the next morning walked right past the signing tables on out to his car and flew home as fast as he could and then refused to even talk to President Clinton. Arafat refused to state why he refused the terms he had demanded the night before or to even consider even more generous terms. President Trump should meet with President Clinton, if possible, and ask him about these events and then he will understand that the Arabs will only accept a deal where the Jews are subjected to their rule, because for the Arabs that is the natural order of the universe. The true reality is the Arabs honestly believe that the entire planet and everybody upon her should be ruled over by Arabs, or at least Muslims though preferably Arabs.

 

So, if President Trump is doomed to fail, how will this overblown problem be solved? Well, the first step is for the world to step back and reassess the importance of peace between Israel and her neighbors and the Palestinian against North Korea, Venezuela, Syria, Greece, the disintegrating European Union, the starving thousands around the globe, the need for more clean water and everything else and realize that if Israel were placed all the way down the list where it belongs, then the world would set about fixing those problems that are repairable and ignore Israel and the screaming Palestinians and it will take care of itself. Israel is small, very small, as one can see in the map below. Yes, we know that will never happen because Israel has to be the greatest problem in the world as it is the only one where there is consensus that the Jews and their state are the main source of all the ills of the world and thus must be destroyed, we get that. The end will come and in the not too distant future. There will be a Congress elected with a President from the same party and the President will have a very comfortable majority in the House of Representatives of over two-hundred-twenty-five Representatives and sixty-eight supermajority in the Senate and thus will be free to do anything he desires. This will likely be a Democrat Party perfect storm and they will turn against Israel. Picture President Keith Ellison with Speaker of the House Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez with President pro tempore of the Senate and Majority Leader Elizabeth Warren and how passing any legislation which would deny Israel aid would be automatically passed just as such items pass in the United Nations. This would be a United States government which would turn against Israel and all aid including necessary military aid such as parts for aircraft and ammunition and anything else would come to a screeching halt. What would happen next?

 

Display of the Muslim Nations of the World in the Middle East, Asia and Northern Africa in Green with Israel depicted in Red making the relative size of Israel evident and consisting of under one percent of the land mass

Display of the Muslim Nations of the World in the Middle East, Asia and Northern Africa in Green with Israel depicted in Red

 

Seeing Israel completely friendless and vulnerable, the first step is the Arab states would send resolutions to the Security Council condemning Israel for every sin imaginable and they would all pass. Then they would have the Security Council cancel the Israeli membership to the United Nations and declare Israel to be an illegal entity. They might even get such a resolution under Chapter Seven, which makes it militarily enforceable. Should that be accomplished, the Arab world would marshal their combined armies to legally wage a war on Israel and be within their rights to demand the rest of the world join in working to destroy Israel. What follows is something we would not even wish to contemplate. The one warning is there will come a day, and it may be sooner rather than later, that aid from the United States is going to end and on that day Israel should already be manufacturing their own aircraft, naval vessels, ammunition, and all military requirements within Israel being dependent upon no other nation. She will have to be as that will be the day that there is no veto in the Security Council and that means Israel will be facing a hostile world body which might decide to try and eliminate what they will see as the biggest problem in the world, tiny little Israel.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

July 1, 2018

President Trump Requires a New “Deal of the Century”

 

Now that we have slowly but surely, and we hope fairly correctly, perused over the situation facing President Trump and his presented intuitions and leaks fed the media in our articles, “President Trump Needs to Face Reality,” “Why Not Simply Face Facts,” and “Middle East Reality Strikes President Trump,” perhaps it is time to present a viable, even if untested and unconventional, path which provides the President a way forward. What we are going to present is something rarely attempted or even found useful in politics and international relations, the truth. One thing for sure, the truth has seldom even been presented in Middle East relations since Moses presented Hashem’s words and warnings to Pharos. As we recall, that turned out rather poorly for Pharos, so even then the truth did not provide a conflict free resolution, though in the end the two sides were nowhere near evenly matched. The first thing is the reality of what President Trump is facing and what the replies he has received actually mean need be explained.

 

First, Jordan gave President Trump a simple and straight-forward reply, in a word, “No.” King Abdullah simply refused to be a party to replacing the Palestinian Authority or Mahmoud Abbas, Saeb Erekat or anybody even to include Hamas and Islamic Jihad. As far as King Abdullah is concerned, he does not want anything to do with the entire situation and his adamancy was absolute. President Trump has to face the fact that King Abdullah has removed Jordan from the equation completely, and after the coup by Yasser Arafat attempted against his father in September of 1970, still remembered as “Black September,” the idea of allowing the Palestinian Authority, the successor to the PLO, into Jordan was probably perceived as suicidal. So that puts Jordan out of the picture which makes a solution all the more difficult.

 

The other two major players on the Arab side were Saudi Arabia and Egypt, neither of which borders any of the Palestinian Authority regions and only Egypt borders Gaza which has presented them little else but turmoil and difficulties. Their response was spun as sounding promising, but like everything in the Middle East, the true meaning was far more cryptic and hidden. Their basic response was that they would both be glad to assist President Trump in any plans he presents as long as certain conditions are met by his solutions. As always is, the devil is in the details, and in this instance the details which they presented were the terms within the Saudi Plan. That presents a problem as the Saudi Plan includes, and these are simply the main points, that there be a “Two State Solution” with the borders along the June 4, 1967 borders, the Green Line, the pre-Six Day War lines which were set in 1949 under the armistice between Israel and Jordan, that is Jordan and not to ever be confused with the never existing Palestine, with East Jerusalem as its capital city, which would place the entirety of the Old City and Temple Mount in the hands of the Palestinians once again dividing Jerusalem and making the Old City outside the area where Jews could safely tread, and the situation of the “refugees” being resolved satisfactorily. If you think that sounds familiar, you are probably getting the point. Saudi Arabia and Egypt are willing to assist President Trump provided he force the maximalist position, the very same positions taken by Mahmoud Abbas and the rest of the Palestinian Authority, PLO and Fatah. In exchange for this total surrender by Israel, the other Arab nations will consider formalizing relations with Israel. This is actually true, if Israel were to meet these demands, after the next election when the five to eight million Arab refugees have the vote as citizens of Israel elect probably Marwan Barghouti as the new Prime Minister, then as Israel would now be a good Arab Muslim nation, they would formalize relations with their new cousins. So, there we have the plan that Egypt and Saudi Arabia will support for President Trump, and we can bet he realizes what a non-starter that idea would be.

 

So, it is obvious that the only plan the Arabs will accept is the same plan they attempted to enact by force in 1948 and again in 1969 and once more in 1973 and has been the sole aim of the PLO, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, the Arab League, Fatah, Yasser Arafat, Mahmoud Abbas, Saeb Erekat and Marwan Barghouti ever since. If President Trump desires any help from the Arabs or, more generally, the Muslims, then he is going to have to impose on Israel a plan which will be guaranteed to end in another war which will start with a rocket attack on Tel Aviv which will leave the central towers leveled and tens of thousands of Israelis dead (see images below). Even President Barack Obama knew enough to avoid any attempts to force this solution upon Israel, though some claim he would have loved to see this to its fruition. This solution was offered once to Jordan when Israel and Jordan made peace in October of 1994 which Jordan immediately rejected knowing that the Oslo Accords were going to do far more damage to Israel at no cost to Jordan thus granting Israel an escape from the Accords would have been counter-productive as far as Jordan was concerned. Had Jordan accepted such a peace treaty, then any attacks across the Green Line would have meant war while leaving these regions even partially in the possession of Yasser Arafat and the PLO, renamed for appearances the Palestinian Authority, then attacks upon Israel would merely be random terrorism, which was beyond their control despite over the top incitement to murder Israelis (Jews), and thus not starting a war meaning they could attack Israel freely and the world would protect the aggressors and blame Israel for refusing to surrender completely enough. So, President Trump can expect absolutely no assistance of any relevance from the Arab world.

 

Tel Aviv Now Before Green Line Peace and Tel Aviv the Day After Green Line Peace

Tel Aviv Now Before Green Line Peace
and
Tel Aviv the Day After Green Line Peace

 

Now, for what to do. President Trump is facing the same conundrum which has befuddled all of his predecessors who have even approached the sixty-thousand-volt live wire that is the Middle East ultimate peace. There is the most obvious and safest route, walk away calmly and never return to this subject again. We know, this is not exactly Trump’s style, he lives to accomplish that which none have accomplished before him. We are not saying he has succeeded in these areas, but he does love the challenge more than even the success, and he craves the laudatory success. President Trump also has probably envisioned his Nobel Peace Prize for reaching an intermediary end to the Arab-Israeli Conflict. We say intermediary as we are realists and fully believe Yasser Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas amongst others when they claim that any peace is simply the first step to the destruction of Israel in stages. The first thing President Trump must do is to have a reality check. He must ask of himself the big question, is he willing to potentially lead to the destruction of Israel just to reach an agreement? We would like to believe he would respond in the negative. Once this has sunk in and become fully understood, the next step is to realize the Arabs, even those saying they will assist his efforts, are only going to accept the eventual destruction of Israel and anything they accept is the first step in that direction. President Trump will have to realize that once there is a nation of Palestine, they will be permitted by the United Nations, European Union and over one hundred of the member nations of the General Assembly, with another approaching fifty not caring either way (that makes a three-fourths majority of the world), to launch attack after attack upon Israel with impunity while Israel will be excoriated if she even launches a lawn dart in response. The agreement the Arabs demand would leave Tel Aviv exactly in the position pictured above. Thus, President Trump need find a way out of his promised “Deal of the Century” which allows him to save face and come out of the ordeal with a minimum of egg on his face. The media will have a field day critiquing where he failed and the scale of his failure. It will be like he dropped the ball on the easiest play in the world and not like he came slightly closer than most by actually testing every angle and not destroying anything in the process. The last President who attempted something new was President George W. Bush, and we all know how that turned out, Hamas and Islamic Jihad and the mess in Gaza currently.

 

How does one extricate themselves from a lidless box within which they have sealed themselves? This is the challenge and there is only one path to redemption, absolute truth, and telling it to the only people that matter for President Trump, the American people. He need make a primetime speech to the American people and explain what he now knows he is facing, an obstructionist group which reject any and all compromise demanding Israel be sacrificed. President Trump will need to tell it as it is explaining what the Palestinian Authority has demanded, the rejection of having any part by Jordan and the demand that the very same deal demanded by Mahmoud Abbas is what both Saudi Arabia and Egypt demand for their assistance. He can lay out what they demand and exactly what that would mean for Israel, Jerusalem, Tel Aviv and the world. He can explain how little help has been forthcoming from the European and the United Nations and how in many instances these areas have been anywhere from counter-productive to part of the problem. He must also explain the history going into the Balfour Declaration, its being codified by the San Remo Conference which was restated in the Treaty of Serves. Then talk about the Mandate System which was put in place by the League of Nations and adopted in Article 80 of the United Nations Charter and included in the Anglo-American Convention of 1925 where the United States agreed to assist in implementing the British Mandate, though little support ever was provided. President Trump can explain that the Zionist Congress accepted the taking of 78% of the Mandate away from being for the Jews and giving it to the Arabs in the form of Jordan and how the British promised to protect the remaining 22% and the border of the Jordan River as the eastern border for the Jewish State and how the British reneged on their word. But after this has almost put the people watching to sleep, he will need to say the magic words to wake them, “In conclusion.”

 

This will be the tough part, as President Trump will be required to come up with a killer exit. Everyone will be expecting to hear what his “Deal of the Century” contains, and he will need to build this up while tearing expectation down. That will be difficult, but he does claim he could sell brimstone to the devil. President Trump will need present that there is no path to peace which would permit Israel to have what they were promised, safe, secure and defendable borders. He could use the graphic we used above to depict the problem but a simple series of pictures of how the region the Arabs are demanding overlooks Tel Aviv would serve the purpose. Then there are a few other pictures which show the problem in detail which we have included below. This could be topped by reminding his audience about the future threat which Iran poses and his efforts to thwart their becoming a nuclear threat to the world. This should be done with short, staccato-like phrases intended to strike hard and make an impression. This is the final crescendo to his finale.

 

Ben Gurion Airport Plane Vulnerability from Palestine (c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

Ben Gurion Airport Plane Vulnerability from Palestine
(c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

 

Trans-Israel Highway Route 6 (c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

Trans-Israel Highway Route 6
(c/o Dr. Martin Sherman and Arutz Sheva)

 

Final Conflict for potential nuclear standoff after Iran starts producing its missiles and warheads which is likely already going on in secret enrichment warhead factories berried under Tehran hospital

Final Conflict for potential nuclear standoff after Iran starts producing its missiles and warheads which is likely already going on in secret enrichment warhead factories berried under Tehran hospital

 

President Trump will need to end the speech on an upward inflection instilling hope where little can be found. This is where his “Deal of the Century” quote can be used, though that would be risky. What he should then propose is that he is willing to engage with any and every Middle Eastern and North African country willing to accept Israeli existence as the state for the Jewish People and work towards a serious solution which does not leave Israel vulnerable and also addresses the plight of the Arabs. He should at this point avoid using the world Palestine Palestinian as that would be referencing the trap Israel fell into in September of 1993 with Oslo. He should emphasize that the Jews have as much a right to a country as the Arabs do to have their twenty–plus countries across the MENA region. He might even suggest that the Arabs residing within the promised borders of Israel by international treaties could be granted resident alien status were any Arab nation willing to accept granting them citizenship and how the Arabs nations should work to assist their brothers who have been refugees far too long. He can point to the way Israel accepted almost one million refugee Jews from across the MENA region who were driven from their homes in the decade after the founding of Israel while also settling over a million European Jews who were left with nothing after World War II. In this reference President Trump should avoid referencing the Holocaust as such would reinforce the mistaken identity of Israel being a present to the Jews as an apology for the six million killed by the Nazis. The final phrase which is almost an imperative is that the promises which were given the Jewish people in 1917, in April of 1920 and restated again in August of 1920 and finally formalized by the League of Nations in the Mandate System in 1923 must finally be recognized and fulfilled. The failures of the world to the Jewish People demand that this promise, at the very least, must be honored. That should give the world some words to ponder and once and for all set the record straight that the nation of Israel as the Jewish State is much older than all too many have the misconception that it was due to World War II and a supposed debt. Israel was not a debt but the fulfillment of the restoration of a people with their ancestral lands which was made almost a century past.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 25, 2018

Middle East Reality Strikes President Trump

 

President Trump has yet to figure out the single most important truth about the Middle East. If you are unsure what this truth is, do not feel bad as none of the Presidents since President Truman have figured it out either and even President Truman and those before him back to President Jefferson did not figure it out either. Truth be told, President Jefferson was the sole President to figure out the Middle East equation, an equation which has not altered a single iota since then. The other problem is most people in this era have little memory or ever had knowledge of history, even the history of their own nation. This is true of Americans and apparently all too true of far too many modern Jews despite the center of our faith being remembering our past and celebrating that past where such is called for and mourn those happenings which can only be commemorated while not appropriate for celebration. The claim that Jews spend an inordinate amount of time and energy commemorating the past is true and will continue to be true as it is our past, which sets us apart and our very beginnings, which define our faith and our existence today. That is a truth about Judaism and why Israel, this little slice of land which is less than one-fourth of one percent of the lands in the Muslim world usually defined as the MENA region (Middle East and North Africa), is of such paramount importance to the Jewish People even in this modern era. But this is about President Trump and the problem his “Deal of the Century” faces as it has just run headfirst into the difficulty of the Middle East.

 

Presidents Jefferson, Truman and Trump

Presidents Jefferson, Truman and Trump

 

President Trump has based his “Deal of the Century” on replacing the implacable PLO or Palestinian Authority with Jordan, Egypt or possibly even Saudi Arabia. The easiest one of these nations to rule out is Saudi Arabia. President Bush who was a great friend of the Saudi Royal Family approached them for assistance in finding a solution during his administration. Instead of coming rushing to his aid, they simply took some time and met with other leaders of the Arab League and other Arab nations and eventually produced the Saudi Plan. The plan is also called the Arab Plan and is not very much different from the previous demands. Like every other proposed plan, this one also demands the pre-June 1967 lines, also known as the Green Line, completely erasing the losses from the Six Day War and resetting the area back to the borders which the Arab world found so inviting for destroying Israel that they simply had to attack. This is the initial demand, basically demanding a do-over for the Six Day War. Then it demands that there be a satisfactory solution be found for the Palestinian refugee problem. This is another standard where it is demanded that Israel accept anywhere from five to eight million Arab refugees and grant them their rightful citizenship in Israel transforming Israel into another Muslim majority nation which after the next election will soon star to destroy the Jewish population if any Jews wait that long before fleeing for their lives. Their claim is that since Israel is a democratic nation which provides for religious freedom, what complaint can the Israelis have in accepting these refugees? The problem is we have seen what happens to a nation once the Muslims become the majority by looking north to what had been predominantly Christian Lebanon which is now ruled by Hezballah which is armed and threatening to destroy Israel. The promise to Israel was should they accept this deal the Muslim Arab nations would consider recognizing and normalizing relations with Israel. Many people love to claim they promised to accept and have normal relations with Israel which is untrue, they only promised to think about doing such. Our bet is they would wait until Israel became yet another Arab Muslim nation before changing anything. The entirety of the Saudi Plan would be unacceptable but oddly enough, it was rejected by Yasser Arafat before it was presented as a plan to Israel.

 

That was the grand deal from Saudi Arabia and we are willing to bet that even the new leader, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, would not bring that big of a change, especially this early in his rule. His immediate plans are apparently domestic though he is not about to completely ignore the outside world. Prince Mohammed bin Salman will definitely watch the Saudi Arabian nemesis, Iran, and watch them closely. Israel is a problem which he does not require and as much as he probably would love to befriend President Trump, there are some requests which would be one too far. Prince Mohammed bin Salman might be willing to place the agreement of Saudi Arabia to any plan which proves acceptable to the Arab League and the rest of the Arab World as well as the Palestinian Arab leadership. That is where the knot of the problem sits.

 

Looking to Egypt and a year ago, that might have been a possibility but President Sisi is not sitting in as strong a position and much of his efforts will be to assure that he remains President of Egypt even if elections have to be massaged. His is an easy problem to define, and it is defined Muslim Brotherhood. Yes, he outlawed the Muslim Brotherhood, but being outlawed and being expunged from the Egyptian population are two very different things. Much of the rural and poor population in Egypt receives assistance from Muslim Brotherhood Imams and officials and with the food, you win their support. It is a political equation as old as politics and probably older. President Sisi has also been in a running struggle with the Imams at Al-Azhar University in his effort to modernize Islam and turn them from their absolutist beliefs and bring Islam back from the precipice which abrogation placed them. President Sisi is attempting to end the insistence of domination over all other religions and the inevitability for conquest of the world bringing all to worship only Allah and allow for Islam to become a modernist religion where it will find a path for accommodating a plurality of religion and for the existence of lands which are not ruled by Muslims. Sisi is fighting fourteen-hundred years of history coming from the initial Caliphate and continuing through the Ottoman Empire. Should he fail, then Islam will continue on its path of confrontation and attempts at conquest continuing from time to time until they finally either conquer the world and bring all to Islam or are eradicated by a world no longer willing to accept their consistent resorting to confrontations. So, Egypt is out.

 

This leaves Jordan. President Trump has first placed his hopes with Jordan. Just this past week Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu visited King Abdullah in Amman, Jordan. Probably the easiest and most informative means of taking measure of their meeting would be to quote their statements which they released after their talks. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s response was given in an official Press Release stating, “Prime Minister Netanyahu and King Abdullah of Jordan met today in Amman. The King and the Prime Minister discussed regional developments, advancing the peace process and bilateral relations. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated Israel’s commitment to maintaining the status quo at the holy sites in Jerusalem.” You have to love the conciseness of his emotionless, flat statement completely devoid of emotion.

 

King Abdullah was far more expressive in his communique. His statement came as follows (We initially tried to go to the link but found it nonfunctional. The article we relied upon for the King’s response can be read here),

 

“His Majesty King Abdullah, at a meeting on Monday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who departed Jordan after a short visit, stressed the need to make progress in efforts to resolve the Palestinian-Israeli conflict on the basis of the two-state solution and in accordance with international law, relevant UN resolutions, and the Arab Peace Initiative.
“King Abdullah reaffirmed that the only way to achieve peace and stability in the region is by reaching a two-state solution and the establishment of a Palestinian state on the 4 June 1967 lines with East Jerusalem as its capital, living side by side with Israel in peace and security.”
“The King affirmed that Jordan will continue upholding its historical role in safeguarding Islamic and Christian holy sites in Jerusalem, in accordance with the Hashemite Custodianship.”

 

There are two items worth note, the first being the inclusion of safeguarding Christian holy sites with no reference to Jewish sites. The inclusion of Christian is taking additional right to having the right for control beyond the original agreed upon Islamic sites thus insisting on Jordan now having responsibility for all of the Temple Mount according to the King and further claiming that there is no holiness to Jews of the Temple Mount. This is a step towards preventing Jews from having access to the Temple Mount and a step backwards from recent events. The problem of the Temple Mount will likely now only start to escalate if Jordan decides to press the exclusion of Jews from the Temple Mount and, if the King follows the extremist views of the Palestinian Authority, denial of use of the plaza before the Western Wall, which Abbas has claimed is holy only to Islam. This path would lead to a direct confrontation testing relations between Israel and Jordan, a relationship which has grown colder on recent times.

 

The second issue is King Abdullah was simply restating the unresponsive position which Mahmoud Abbas and also Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the Arab position since 1917 when the British declared their intent for a Jewish State with the Balfour Declaration and again throughout the following San Remo Conference, Treaty of Serves, the Mandate System, United Nations General Assembly Resolution 181 and finally the Declaration of the independence of the State of Israel in May of 1948. What he stated was that Jordan would demand that there be a Palestinian Arab state formed along the pre-Six Day War Green Line including eastern Jerusalem and the provisions of the Arab Initiative as described above includes the imposing of five to eight million Arab refugees into Israel making it another Arab Muslim nation as soon as elections would be held.

 

So, what is it that President Trump has run into? He has struck what we would refer to as the Islamic Brick Wall. President Jefferson figured it out as the Barbary Pirates demanded more and more protection payments and whenever the United States resisted returned to taking sailors from American ships until the payments were made. He also had heard it from the Ambassador Sidi Haji Abdul Rahman in London representing the Dey of Algiers who controlled the Barbary Pirates. Ambassador Sidi Haji Abdul Rahman Adja had answered that Islam, “It was founded on the Laws of their Prophet, that it was written in their Quran, that all nations who should not have acknowledged their authority were sinners, that it was their right and duty to make war upon them wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as Prisoners, and that every Musselman (Muslim) who should be slain in Battle was sure to go to Paradise.”

 

Islam is a religion of conquest founded on beliefs which coalesced in the first hundred and fifty to two hundred years where abrogation placed the parts of the Quran written in Medina which contradicted the Mecca verses as abrogating the earlier verses. Egypt President Sisi is one of the most public persons who have called for abrogation to be reversed and the Mecca Quran, the original writings of Muhammad, as having primacy. Until Islam, if ever they should, follows the desires of President Sisi and his fellow patrons for amending the precedence of the later verses allowing the multicultural and more open Mecca verses guide modern Islam, there cannot be surrender of any lands by Islamic nations. This means that Israel, as well as Spain (Andalusia), must be erased and the lands returned to Islamic rule. Further, Muslims are to be pledged to forging a world where only Allah is worshiped and Islam is the sole religion. This is why Islamic nations strive to eradicate all other religions within their borders. This is also why Israel is the only nation in the Middle East where the Christian population is increasing. Saudi Arabia has places where no non-Muslim is permitted to tread, and by places, we mean entire cities such as both Mecca and Medina. Further, it is illegal and punishable by death to be a follower of Judaism, Christianity or religion other than Islam in Saudi Arabia. The supremacy of Islam is so defined that it even reaches to the point that one must practice the correct form of Islam thus the enmity between the Sunni and Shiite Muslims and Saudi Arabia and Iran, each the preeminent nation of each form of Islam. Iran has already made it clear that their intent is world conquest starting with Saudi Arabia and then on to Israel and the United States. The Saudi Arabians are more passive as Sunni Islam includes at least 85% of all Muslims with almost the entirety of the rest being Shiites. Either way, Islam, both Sunni and Shiite with Shiite being the more active currently, live by the concept of the sword, thus it matters little to the world which one is dominant, they will both eventually attempt to dominate. What is possibly a saving grace is that many in Islam pledge to make their founding school of Islam the dominant form which is part of why there are as many Islam-Islam wars. Below is a map of the numerous separate founders of the various forms of Islam. One can notice that Iran, Iraq, Qatar and Bahrain are the most populated Shiite Islamic centers while most of the rest of Islam belongs to some form of Sunni Islam.

 

The main Islamic madh'habs (schools of law) of Muslim countries or distributions

The main Islamic madh’habs (schools of law) of Muslim countries or distributions

 

Both forms of Islam hold Mecca and Medina as their most holy cities and none outside those speaking about Israel believe, and not even those speaking of Israel, that Jerusalem is the third most holy city in Islam. In Shiite Islam after Mecca and Medina they are Najaf, Karbala, Kathemiya, Samara, Mash’had and Qom are the next most holy cities. In Sunni Islam Mecca and Medina, they are Istanbul, Cairo, Kufa and Karbala. Oddly enough, Jerusalem is not mentioned in the Quran as Muhammad removed any reference to Jerusalem after the Jews refused him as their prophet. This happened even before he presented the Quran to be written down by a scribe, as Muhammad did not read or write. The reason that Jerusalem is noted today as the third most holy city is because it is the city which Islam desires to conquer, or reconqer, next. The honor of being the third most holy city has also been shared by Damascus, Constantinople, Rome, Paris, London and New York amongst others. It is all part of the promise from Allah that in the Quran states that Islam will rule the world and all will bend to Allah and his people.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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