Beyond the Cusp

January 31, 2018

Who’s Really to Blame for Government Shutdown?

 

Next time the government, meaning Congress, cannot find some compromise on Immigration and the Budget and the government is shuttered again, who will be to blame? That appears to be one of the big questions in the minds of the media. They have an obvious answer, an objective for making this the pinnacle of political prognostication. They know they have three paltry weeks to turn this entire mess around in the minds of the people. They will have plenty of assistants on social media and across the Internet to repeat the mantra that all government shutdowns throughout history have been the fault of the Republicans. Back in the 1980’s the government shutdowns, and there were more than one, were all the result of Ronald Reagan refusing to sign a very proper and reasonable budget bill. Reagan received so much bad media that he finally caved and it was over budget and immigration where he gave in on amnesty in exchange for border enforcement to be discussed in the new Congress. Somewhere on the way to the next Congress that promise fell through the cracks and enforcement never happened. Then in the 1990’s it was about the budget and Newt Gingrich battled with President Clinton and in the end it was Gingrich, the Republican Speaker of the House who refused to play ball and shut down the government. So this last shutdown was placed on Chuckie Schumer so we have circled from the President to the House and the Senate so reason would say the next shutdown should start the cycle over and be the President, it is only fair, right? Well, that will be the story, it is the Republican refusal to be reasonable and accept that we cannot afford to build Trump’s wall. These shutdowns should be called the Great Wall of Trump shutdowns. That should sell, the Great Wall of Trump shutdowns.

 

The facts do not matter and the reasonable offer by the Republicans to grant the DACA young adults et al a reprieve as has been offered as a way of addressing their individual cases and allowing those who meet certain expectations to stay and those who have criminal records and other problems and do not speak English being deported was not sufficient. The fact that President Trump insists that his wall be at the very least initiated as the prototypes were impenetrable by special forces who were used to test their effectiveness. We know, totally unreasonable as obviously they could always just blow the wall up or tunnel deep and go under them as they are only going down six feet or thereabouts under the ground. Anyway, walls do not work, history has proven that. Just let us go through some of the great walls built from past to a few present day walls and we will see they failed, and more importantly, how they failed. The most famous of all walls, the Great Wall of China, was build to keep the Mongol tribes from invading from the north. The Great Wall kept the border so peaceful that the Chinese society grew exceedingly wealthy from a century plus of no wars. The Chinese people became soft and refused to have their children taken to guard the wall so the Chinese hired Mongols to guard the gates and that also worked for a few more decades until finally one Mongol warlord forced his tribe’s guards to open one of the gates and raiding parties poured in. Other Mongols saw this and the wall failed. The Roman Empire built walls to keep the Germanic tribes from raiding the norther edge of their empire. Eventually, they ran out of slaves and hired Germanic tribesmen to guard their wall and repair the wall. For some reason this led to the wall failing. Romans also built Hadrian’s Wall to keep the Celts out and it remained a working barrier even after they put British tribal members from the south guarding the wall. Rome stopped paying these guards as they retreated from the British Isles finding them too expensive and not worth retaining and the wall failed.

 

Border Wall Prototypes

Border Wall Prototypes

 

But what about more modern walls? More modern was the Berlin Wall which was torn down after twenty-eight quite effective years being built overnight on August 12, 1961 and fell on November 9, 1989 and thus the wall failed. Even the Israel Terror Wall, sometimes misrepresented as an Apartheid Wall, has made suicide bombing a rarity but it is still extremely porous as walls go. Hundreds upon hundreds, possibly over one thousand, of Palestinians with proper identification each day pass through to go to work and the occasional terrorist does make it past the border wall officers who check identity cards so it has not been perfect. Should Hamas ever take over the Palestinian authority areas the wall will become relatively worthless, as Hamas prefers rockets to having people carry the explosives. Hamas has made the real wall, the Gaza Wall compromised with who knows how many tunnels and they regularly cross the wall simply by firing rockets over it. India and China have a wall on their border as well as India and Pakistan; and in these cases it is the fact that both nations have military guarding these walls that makes them work. The same goes for the DMZ Wall between North and South Korea where workers are permitted to cross and should North Korea ever fire the artillery and rockets they have poised just on their side of the wall, that wall too would prove worthless. So, we have seen that walls work great until they don’t work and then they fail catastrophically often just being torn down, breached or the gateways left open. What a surprise, walls need to be guarded by the people who built them or those with common fears; and if you allow your potential enemies to guard your wall, no matter how much you pay them, they will betray you and your wall will fail, we are simply stunned.

 

There are less than twenty days before the continuing resolution runs out and the government faces another shutdown. It is time to assess who is really to blame? On one side, we have President Trump who is insistent that his wall begin to be financed and built, period. The President is refusing to budge. The Democrats in the Senate are demanding that the DACA illegal immigrants be granted total amnesty, all of them with one blanket amnesty with no restrictions. The Republicans want a system by which these illegal immigrants must meet some minimal qualification which includes speaking English and a clean record of no criminal activity since breaking the law being smuggled into the United States. This would include drug possession and any felonies being disqualifying them from receiving amnesty and each case be reviewed independently. The Democrats also want extended amnesty for all illegals in the country now for a decade until they can be fairly assessed for citizenship. They do not want even those with criminal records or multiple deportations already to be excluded, blanket that all illegals remain in the country completely free from government harassment in any way. The President insists that any illegal found guilty of a felony being deported permanently, no exceptions.

 

And the final sticking point is the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 (H.R. 2580), also known as the Hart–Celler Act. This law completely revamped the National Origins Formula for having quotas based on needs and compatibility with American culture which had been in place since the Emergency Quota Act of 1921. Representative Emanuel Celler of New York proposed the bill, Senator Philip Hart of Michigan co-sponsored it, and Senator Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts helped to promote it and thus the quota system was abolished and replaced with a lottery system where people from nations less represented were granted entry. This law has some of what you might call unintended consequences though many believe these were more accurately to be called intended consequences. This might have also been called the future will belong to the Democrat Party as these unassimilated people living off the government will be loyal Democrat voters. This was the program which gave start to the lottery visa program which would bring in immigrants by lottery from largely third world countries and this was how Sayfullo Saipov, a 29-year-old Uzbeki national entered the United States. ‘The Diversity Visa Lottery Program is a Chuck Schumer program resulting from The Immigration Act of 1990. This modified the Hart–Celler Act so as to make the system even more fair balancing the entry into the United States from its former unfair Eurocentric systems. Sayfullo Saipov, a 29-year-old Uzbeki national who entered under these programs would become the Bicycle Terrorist who plowed a rented pickup truck into a crowd of pedestrians and cyclists in lower Manhattan on Oct. 31, 2017. President Trump wants this program killed until it can include a more strict vetting of the applicants as currently vetting is minimal. Chuckie Schumer is fighting for this wonderful idea he promoted and refuses to have someone as ignorant as Donald Trump to alter his hard work.

 

Those are the sticking points over which the war of words is over though the media will spend all their time covering the personal attacks and ignore the actual reasons that the government may again face a shutdown. But is a shutdown really all that horrible? It is if you reside in Washington D.C. area as that is the economy as the government and servicing the government is almost all that area does. That even includes the stores, restaurants and everything else you might imagine even to bowling alleys. The Federal Government employees will collect unemployment while they are otherwise on vacation and when they come back, they will be given a nice large payment to cover the time they were “out of work.” They are not required to return the unemployment so they make out fairly well, all things included. Some miss the overtime they used to get but the unemployment should cover that nicely. The Democrats always threaten to shut down the payment of welfare, food stamps, Social Security and other such but President Trump can order these be paid as they are a function of the Administration and he can claim them as vital interests. Many such payments are actually done by State government employees such as unemployment. Most of our readers are probably too young to remember the heady days when President Willian Jefferson Clinton and Speaker of the House of Representatives Newt Gingrich were at war over the budget and from December 16, 1995, to January 6, 1996, they shut down the government completely for a total of 27 days. The world actually managed to continue to spin, the United States was not invaded as the military were considered essential personnel, crime waves did not develop as the Federal Agents were also considered essential and the Post Office is a supposedly independent agency and not directly run by government so the mail continued, and the nations did not grind to a halt. Other than the hyperventilating media, the entire three weeks and six days passed and nobody died as a result, not even a single hyperventilating media type, as they are practiced at that art. President Trump should challenge Chuckie Schumer and allow the government to be shuttered for as long as Senator Schumer can take the heat. We would bet that providing President Trump can still Tweet to his little heart’s content (not to imply he had a little heart as he is rumored to be a generous individual) then he will be able to continue and hopefully be persuaded to watch the goings on with an unattached glee and amused viewing port. The media will of course cast such blame predicting the end of the world, as we know it. If he can manage to allow the government to remain shut down with just the essential personnel and all government checks to the citizens continuing on schedule but with over three-quarters of the government on extended vacation, as that will be what it will be in the end, then he can easily make a speech during ‘prime time’ to the American people to apologize for the extended government shutdown and then propose that each department of the government be required to freeze hiring until further notice with the administration setting up a panel which will mediate any hiring needs during the period in order to make limited exceptions if a position is truly essential, which they will advise that the agency usually fill it from within. If President Trump can keep such a freeze in place his entire presidency and be reelected, perhaps government might finally be parsed to a more manageable size. Just a closing crazy idea.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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January 19, 2018

Democrats and Palestinians Have a Common Bond

 

The Democrats and the Palestinians share a common thread in that neither one appears to understand President Trump or anything to do with him. Let us start with the Democrats as apparently their phobic reactions are more easily explained. Their problem is that they simply reject the result of the election. And why should they believe the results when everything which media prognosticators and reporters alike foretold was the inevitable and guaranteed result, President Hillary Clinton. The media was selling its false picture despite what their actual figures depicted. They had two varieties of polling; those weighted truthfully which told them there was a problem in Liberal Utopia and the ones weighted by calling landlines on weekdays in the later morning and early afternoon which always resulted with Hillary Clinton winning by a wide margin. In the final days of the campaign the media began modifying their tune hinting that perchance something was amiss. The last two or three days there were even a few articles which just came out and told what the media knew, Donald Trump was going to win the election and become President, and that the outcome would not even be close. They knew that Donald Trump had a lead in sufficient states throughout the central lands between the coasts and a select number of battleground states such that the election was unavoidably to be a Trump victory. They also knew that the only reason the actual vote totals might be close or even favor Hillary Clinton as she was going to win some states by all but unprecedented totals such as her finish in California and New York, states which would provide her with perhaps a popular vote win. This proved to be true, leading to the usual calls for the elimination of the Electoral College and allow the popular vote to choose Presidents. Fortunately, the Constitution is not easily changed and it precludes turning the election of a President over to the large cities and a few well populated states while turning the majority of states, the less populated states, into forgotten backwaters come election time making as few as ten to twelve states into the makers of Presidents.

 

 

Those who were taken in by the media and their pretense waited for the revelation, many at the various Hillary campaign sites including her headquarters, when the horrific news that Donald Trump had won. This placed some into a state of shock, others into denial and still others went into a blinded rage which apparently has yet to be consoled and for some will never be consoled. Many of those who are frozen in the night of the forlorn result where their princess was to be coronated queen only to have a rogue steal her crown, a pompous and irreverent rogue by the name of Donald Trump. These people who were affected in such various ways chose numerous paths in dealing with their disappointment. Many decided that they would work harder the next elections and returned to their lives much like the conservatives did in the last two Presidential elections. Others took to social media and have been waging the better fight ever since because they just know that if they can make Donald Trump quit or be removed from office, then, by default, Hillary Clinton will be the one to replace them. Whatever you do, do not try to explain to them that there is a presidential line of succession, as they just know that Hillary will be called to take over and fix everything that President Trump has destroyed. They work at this day and night circulating the same mems and alerts over and over and over ad nauseum. But they are carrying on the fight and they are fighting the good fight and will continue to fight until their candidate is given what was rightfully hers and was stolen. They will not defect from the fight and are determined to get Hillary her rightful rewards and everything she deserves. More on this as it develops, or maybe not.

 

 

 

 

Now let us address the Palestinian Arabs and their never-ending case of denial. They also have been peddling a sob story about their being forced off their lands by the <a href=https://www.timesofisrael.com/rewriting-history-abbas-calls-israel-a-colonial-project-unrelated-to-judaism/?utm_source=The+Times+of+Israel+Daily+Edition&utm_campaign=81c0fc51ec-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_01_15&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_adb46cec92-81c0fc51ec-54503913 target=blank>Europeans who used the Jews in order to steal the lands</a>. The land has nothing to do with the Jews according to the Arab Palestinians who have claimed they have resided in as the original Canaanites. They like to ignore the small fact that the Arabs did not leave their Arabian Peninsula until after year 600 and the Jews resided in the area back to well before 1000B.C.E. when the First and Second Temples stood upon the Temple Mount. Of course the Palestinian Arabs refuse to accept the existence of either Temple despite records from the Roman Empire and other ancient civilizations all of which predate the Arabs leaving their peninsula, imagine that. According to Abbas, “The Bible says the Palestinian existed before Abraham…” Abbas added even more and better, “We have been planted in (this land since)… the invention of the Canaanite-Palestinian alphabet… more than 6,000 years ago,” (see video below). Further proof of the insanity prevalent in almost everything coming out of Abbas and compatriots’ mouths is that <a href=https://www.ancient.eu/cuneiform/ target=blank>Cuneiform</a> was first developed by the ancient Sumerians of Mesopotamia around 3,500 B.C., a mere 5518 years ago which means that written language did not exist in that mythical era Abbas claims existed. But his recent actions are beyond what even we have come to expect from Mahmoud Abbas. He has lashed out at the world and especially the United States, burned not only his bridges behind him but also the fields around them and even the walls to the castle. He is on a tear as if to destroy everything before others can get to them. He appears to have a particular and extreme hate for President Trump.

 

 

 

 

Guess what? Abbas and his cohorts have very good reason for their feeling for President Trump, more-so than the fanatics talked about earlier who also have a seeming white-hot-hate for President Trump. The reasons for the Arab Palestinian leadership’s deep feelings against President Trump is because he has decided that he will be the decider who ends the Palestinian-Israeli conflict by making a peace. He has already made the initial moves and by the reaction from Abbas, he must be on the right track. President Trump has only made two moves and they have made all the difference. First President Trump recognized Jerusalem as the Capital of Israel. This removed Jerusalem from the equation and offered the Jerusalem suburb of Abu Dis as the capital of a future Palestinian state. Next, President Trump has ended payments to UNWRA. While this will not bring the immediate death of UNWRA, the others who initially cover the shortfall will not do so for very long and only as a test to see if President Trump wavers. He will not waver. As UNWRA becomes financially starved and the remaining donors start to realize the folly in continuing to pour more funding after bad, they will all stop and UNWRA will die a final and natural death it should have suffered decades ago. Then the millions of refugees will start to melt away finding new places to call home and finally being absorbed into the other Arab nations, Europe or wherever they will be accepted. That will bring the end of the other major obstacle, the refugees which will erode to a manageable number of a few hundreds. With the two main bludgeons removed from the arsenal, the Palestinian Arab cause will no longer have its main weapons with which to destroy Israel, their true goal. They know the importance of Jerusalem, as does President Trump which is why that had to be resolved and taken from the Arab Palestinians as it only meant the destruction of Israel to them and it meant survival to Israel. The refugees have been a weapon to attempt to infiltrate them through force into Israel thus outnumbering the Jews and turning Israel into just another Arab colony, part of the largest remaining colonial empire on the planet. With UNWRA on the endangered agency list, the refugees will soon be gone from the equation and then the destruction of Israel will no longer be possible for Abbas and his cohorts and they will have failed. Abbas realizes the writing is on the wall. He can make a deal now which permits Israel to continue and keep whatever they want as Israel will soon know they have won completely. The next step will be to permit the Palestinian Arabs to leave and return to their original lands or move to another place to start in a new land. Abbas has decided that only hos threats might be capable of scaring President Trump from continuing with this plan making any other choice look as if it will spark a great upheaval resulting in untold violence. We have some bad news for Abbas, President Trump will not back down, that is not his style and as proof we simply present the littered remains of some of the best and brightest politicians from the Republican Party and Hillary Clinton all lying in his wake as he sailed to the Presidency. That is where things now stand and we will now watch as President Trump stands firm while Abbas will slowly grow more and more unbalanced until either he explodes or his own remove him by one means or another. In Abbas against Trump it will be no contest, and Abbas can join those littering Trump’s wake where he will be the poorest of company for the rest.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

December 5, 2017

Partisanship and North Korean Threat

 

The November 28, 2017, ICBM missile test by North Korea of a Hwasong-15 missile, the first test of this missile, was a development which forced the world, the United States particularly, to be placed on notice that Kim Jong-un just entered near parity with all other nations in launch capabilities. The missile reached an altitude of around 4475 km (2780 miles) and traveled some 950 km downrange with a flight time of almost one hour. If fired on a more traditional attack trajectory, then the Hwasong-15 would easily be able to reach anywhere in the United States and the world (see map below for ranges of previous tests including the Hwasong-14 ICBM). This latest missile is considered to be capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. Whether North Korea has the technology to produce a tactically usable warhead has been debated by Pentagon and CIA personnel. The two questions which would require North Korea to be capable of making a tactically usable weapon come down to miniaturization of an actual weapon to sufficiently small size and weight, and survivability of reentry while retaining all capabilities. Most estimates grant the miniaturization part of the process, though some still have their doubts, but the jury is still out over the survivability part of the equation. We believe that North Korea has likely solved all of these problems and had done so even before Kim Jong-un came to power and he simply lacked the missile for delivery of the package. Now he has all the elements necessary making production and distribution of the missiles and warheads is all Kim Jong-un requires to have the ability to threaten the world whenever he chooses.

 

Hwasong-14 ICBM Estimated Range

Hwasong-14 ICBM Estimated Range

 

President Trump made a statement on the economy and tax cuts but began the media meeting with a short mention of the North Korean missile test in the video below. The remainder of his talk he stressed that the Democrat leaders of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, and the Senate, Chuck Schumer, were absent from the meeting to which they were invited for a discussion with the President and their Republican counterparts. The President noted that the Democrats and Republicans are far apart in their ideas for the country and the direction it should be required to move. The main differences were defined as crime, immigration and national defense and how these issues should affect the budget and the issue of tax cuts and simplification. It was obvious that this meeting with the media had been planned for addressing economic priorities and that the President knew and was well prepared to make hay out of the Democrat leadership refusal to join him just to be harangued over their positions. Sometimes a small shame is preferable to a drawn out spectacle, and the President is long on spectacle and thus far short on production. This has mostly to do with two simple facts, one blaming the Democrat Party and the other the Republican Party.

 

 

We will return to the budget, taxes and the divided Congress and nation, but first a short trip to the United Nations where the Security Council held an emergency meeting on North Korea and their Ballistic Missile Launch. Below is a video about said meeting with commentary from United States Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley as well as the Ambassadors from Japan, Great Britain, China, Russia and South Korea. The approximately one hour meeting spent much time on the seriousness of the breaking of the United Nations placed limitations on North Korea. The Breaking of this treaty is a serious and threatening action which requires the United Nations to take steps. The estimate was given that if flown on a standard trajectory it would have a range in excess of 13000 kilometers. The polar circumference of the globe is 39,931 kilometers which means that this North Korean ICBM could readily strike anywhere over around two-thirds of the planet with Africa and South America being the only continents not mostly within range and leaving the southern most parts of Australia beyond the missile range. This missile is the game changer which President Trump had set as one of the parameters of the North Korean capabilities which would force the United States to act. The other items included miniaturized warhead capability and reentry-hardened capability, both of which may already have been realized. The problem is without an actual successful deployment of a nuclear weapon on an ICBM, hopefully into an empty part of the oceans and after warnings with adequate time for ships exiting the effected area, there is no means of actually verifying these last two items.

 

 

The meeting was as much of a punch-down on the Democrats and list of their opposing attitudes for the future of the United States. The fact is that the Democrat Party members in Congress, both the House and Senate, will vote almost exclusively as a single entity opposing everything and anything which President Trump or the Republicans attempt to pass as legislation. The President also took a jab at the media for their misreporting on his words parsing his words looking for any single misstep to flaunt before the people. The recent Senate passage of tax reform legislation was a perfect display of both problems faced by President Trump and the shortfall of the Republican leadership in and outside of Congress. The tax cuts were passed without a single Democrat voting in favor, not a single Democrat Senator voting favorably. This has become the expected voting by the Democrats where their leadership has taken an extreme position of complete and total opposition. The sole example of the Republican opposition of President Obama and his legislation was against Obamacare, otherwise the Republicans were permitted to vote their conscience and representing the desires and needs of their constituents. Not so from the Democrat Party which has decided that everything passed which was not of their drafting will be opposed totally and completely until the Republicans realize the error of their ways as the majority party and allow the Democrats, who are in the minority and do not hold the White House, to write and pass into law everything according to their demands and ideas. Very simply stated, the Democrats have decided that only their party may lead the country and they will oppose everything not of their authorship. That is more dysfunction than principled stance. A principled stance would permit those in the party who felt that something written by the other party was worthy, could support that legislation. That is no longer permitted by the Democrat Party and any Democrat voting for any legislation will not be permitted funds from the central party and may face party sponsored opposition in the primaries. That is not the actions of a functional party, that is the attempt of the few to assume all-powerful positions given even the slightest opportunity.

 

The other side of the coin has exactly the opposite problem, as there are a group of Republicans, specifically in the Senate, who willingly oppose the Party leadership and especially the President and his proposals by refusing to pass necessary legislation. Even this tax legislation was held up by the ‘Never Trumpsters’ until they were permitted to weaken some parts and add their own pet propositions which were not desired by the President as his aim was to simplify the tax code and this small set of demands accomplished the opposite. These are the same Republicans who while guaranteed their legislation to repeal Obamacare was guaranteed under President Obama passed legislation calling for exactly that over one hundred times yet now that such legislation would be received with great enthusiasm by President Trump, this small group of anti-Trump Republicans who believe that only political functionaries such as themselves should be permitted to seek the White House, have refused to try and repeal Obamacare now. These few recalcitrant Republican Senators, which include a former losing Presidential candidate, believe their positions are more popular than those upon which the President of the United States campaigned. These problematic Republicans could guarantee that President Trump would be reelected simply passing two or three of the Presidential programs, tax reform, border wall and stronger immigration vetting, to make the Presidential 2020 campaign one based on accomplishments. They appear to prefer he fail and the Democrats gain control. This may be because they find it easier to oppose from the minority than act as a majority and take responsibility for the country and the needs of the people. So the two problems the nation is facing are the complete opposition by the Democrats and the lack of unity in the Republicans. There will always be those who side with the other side and others who insist on the limelight not capable of sharing center stage. If they only would realize that they are but the clown left to entertain before the adults take the stage, perhaps they would act responsibly for a change.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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