There are ways to pursue peace which are well understood and there are ways to completely ruin any hope for peace which are equally well understood. From the recent series of events, one can only assume that Hamas and friends are about as interested in making peace, even with using Egyptian go-betweens, as they are in living peacefully with Israel and developing their economy and assist the Gazan population lead normative lives. There are reasons why Hamas and friends divert, plunder, misappropriate, loot and steal over three-fourths of all aid, monies, building materials and almost everything else using total disregard for the betterment of their society or the comfort of its people to have decent, if any, housing using these ill-gotten-gains to supply their terror and war production, build infiltration tunnels, construct military infrastructure and to advance their own financial gain. The friends of Hamas include Islamic Jihad, Islamic State and numerous other terrorist or criminal groups. They share two main commonalities, hatred of Israel and the Jews and a disregard for the well-being of the residents of Gaza. This was made excessively evident within the past week. The events unfolded around Hamas and their scheduled meeting with an Egyptian mediating team working to find some middle-ground within which Hamas and friends could live for a hoped extended time with Israel in peace and quiet, especially the quiet as the weekly rioting along the border has continued into just short of one year. We will use the words of an Egyptian mediator as reported to us here.
“At the beginning of the meeting, the atmosphere was very relaxed,” the Egyptian official told Israel Hayom’s Daniel Sirioti. “We had just returned from Israel with answers, we estimated that Hamas would accept them and allow us to begin a stable, long-term peace. A few minutes later, one of the Egyptian delegation’s aides entered the room looking worried, and gave the delegation leaders his cellular phone.”
“The smiles immediately turned into frowns, and senior delegates turned to Hamas leader Yahyah Sinwar and yelled at him: ‘Where do you think you’ll end up with your double play? We’re sitting here to finalize a peace agreement with Israel, and behind our backs you allow your people to fire missiles at Tel Aviv??’
“‘If Israel decides to start a wide-scale operation in Gaza, this time we’re not going to do anything to stop the Israeli attacks. Even if Israel decides to bring down your rule in Gaza by assassinating every single one of you, while they reconquer Gaza. Egypt and its regional allies will not lift a finger to stop the Israeli response.’”
You definitely read that correctly, somewhere within the military command of the terror forces in Gaza from Hamas and friends decided that perhaps it would assist with the peace efforts if they fired a couple of rockets in the direction of Tel Aviv. The only controls over where these projectiles might strike are the functionality of each rocket as quality control has been an issue at times, the range of the rocket itself, and whether or not the Iron Dome intercepts them, at which point they fall relatively harmlessly to the ground. The IDF reported that one rocket was intercepted by the Iron Dome system with the remains falling in northern Tel Aviv and that there was an explosion reported in the city of Or Yehudah near Tel Aviv. Fortunately, no injuries or damage were reported. Islamic Jihad terrorist organization claimed responsibility for the rocket launches which bares full acknowledgement. Islamic Jihad is allied with Hamas and the two terror groups often work together and just as often work independently. Islamic Jihad is also tightly aligned with Iran, while Hamas is more loosely aligned with Iran. Hamas is more independent of Iran than Islamic Jihad and Islamic Jihad takes orders directly from Tehran as well as any IRGC command officer. Whether this launching on Tel Aviv was ordered by Iran or was a means used by Hamas to sabotage the peace negotiations while retaining sufficient deniability blaming Islamic Jihad as acting independently without coordinating with Hamas. This could also be the leading edge of Hamas and friends testing the waters to see how far they can go attacking Israel with everything from rockets to incendiary balloons, from explosive kites to rolling burning tires at the border fence or from sniper fire to even infiltration with the intent to kidnap and murder Israeli civilians. This has been a standard means of getting away with murder used by the Palestinian Authority as well; it is called attacking during peace talks and claiming that the attacks were rogue elements and not ordered by their leadership who claim complete ignorance as to the attack. This ploy is so overused that it should not surprise the Egyptians and definitely not surprise the Israelis.
Attacking while pretending to negotiate in hopes of reaching an agreement which would permit a period of peace, this has proven in the past to work in the favor of the Palestinian Arabs. They attack during peace talks and the world warns Israel not to retaliate or take any punitive measures because it may upset the chances for peace to be negotiated. The Arab Palestinian terror leaders know they are not really interested in peace. The Europeans, United Nations and United States State Department are all aware that the Arab Palestinian terror leaders are not interested in peace. There is another item that all these parties are aware of, that the one common denominator is the destruction of Israel and an end to the remaining Jews left on the planet. Of course, such talk is never stated loudly, it is more of a shared secret which is not all that secret. It became known after the Second Intifada that the explosion of suicide bombers and other terror attacks had nothing to do with the stated excuse that Ariel Sharon had dared to walk upon the Temple Mount. When the IDF was required to enter the Palestinian Arab areas and bring the violence to an end, they also took control of the Palestinian Authority’s main offices in Eastern Jerusalem. There was a treasure trove of papers detailing the planned attacks which were already ready to go while Yasser Arafat was playing President Clinton and Ehud Barak at Camp David and then Paris and beyond all the while knowing that the terror war was planned with bomb-belts readied and the suicide bombers all lined up and ready to go the limit. The Second Intifada cost over a thousand Israelis their lives and thousands more with horrible and often debilitating injuries as in these attacks they had impregnated the belts with nuts, screws, nails, shards of glass and soaked these materials in rat poison to make for more horrendous injuries.
So, this may have been a ploy by Hamas to throw a wrench into the peace talks being carried out through Egyptian mediators, or it could be Islamic Jihad attempting to blow up the peace talks, or it could be Islamic Jihad ordered by Iran to toss rockets on Tel Aviv into the mix to harm the peace talks, the one item which is consistent is that such actions, as noted by the Egyptian mediator, is not helpful and only makes reaching a settlement that much more difficult. We see this also as a test of where exactly the Israeli resolve to respond to such attacks three weeks ahead of the elections. Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu has an unenviable task choosing precisely the right response which inoculates him from being called too soft from political groups to his right, actually more Zionist or nationalist would be more accurate as there is no definitive right and left in Israeli politics. There is a left, a far left, actual communists, the Arab list, Zionists, Religious, Haredi (an entire host of groups included within), Religious Zionist and Secular Nationalist. The media are the ones along with some of the political class attempting to dumb down the many parties, as it is simpler to use generic terms such as left and right than to actually define terms and explain the subtle differences. Still, Prime Minister Netanyahu also has to avoid too harsh a response which might cause world condemnation which could cloud the election picture as well. Finally, the one thing Bibi can be assured of having happen is that Gantz and Lapid will insist that he was far too soft and they would have been more assertive and would have gone in and cleaned out Gaza.
The Blue-White Party of Gantz, his fellow generals, and Lapid main aim in the lead-up to election day is they want to draw as many voters as they can from the nationalist camps, both secular (Likud, New Right, Yisrael Beiteinu) and religious (Jewish Home, National Union, Zehut, Tkuma, Otzma Yehudit) by making all the sounds and noise one would expect the farthest nationalistic party might utilize. What gives them away is their wording is often somewhat clumsy as often occurs when somebody is pretending to be something they are not. But attacks such as the one on Tel Aviv provide these charlatans with the perfect soapbox to stand upon and crow about how they will be tougher on terrorists than Bibi. What is a real shame is that General Gantz when approved to be Chief of Staff by, of all people, Bibi Netanyahu, he proved to be an embarrassment often appearing to be asleep at the switch or ill prepared at best. The IDF also suffered under his tutelage which took nearly five years of intensive training and cleaning out the mess Gantz left behind with Headquarters Company in complete disarray and no operational plans ready for contingencies, something the Chief of Staff is wholly responsible for overseeing and monitoring as those are the plans which one pulls out when faced with a situation requiring a military response. Time and again, these were lacking while Gantz served as Chief of Staff. This should not be the person we want in the catbird seat should a war come to our doorstep, at least one other than Syria and more targeted at Israel.
Beyond the Cusp