Beyond the Cusp

April 8, 2017

Will President Trump Really Demand Same Old Concessions of Israel?

 

President Trump is definitely not Barack Hussein Obama as he does not even set any red lines to turn pink as he backs away digging a ditch deeper and deeper and never figuring out he should stop digging. President Trump does not believe in red lines, he just acts. He has proven it time after time. The first sign that things were going to be drastically different came early on at the United Nations. Nikki Haley was President Trump’s voice of change at the United Nations presumably laying down the law that the United States is done with Israel bashing in the General Assembly and elsewhere at the United Nations and will no longer allow the world to continue ignoring the war crimes committed throughout the rest of the world. Syria just found this out in probably the only language Bashir al-Assad and his ilk understand. The destruction of the airfield used to launch the planes used in the chemical attack with fifty Tomahawk missiles was overkill and that was the point. This was more than a message to Syria; this was a message to North Korea, to Iran, to Libya, to Venezuela, to the terror organizations throughout the world and to any dictator who was thinking of popping his head up and murdering, even potentially Putin. Unfortunately this was also a wake-up call taken by Hamas, Hezballah, Fatah, PLO, Islamic Jihad and all the smaller groups often overlooked but no less violent.

 

It is that those last groups and the message they received which will be the real problem. They realize that the way to persuade Trump is to show him dead babies and children, lots of dead babies and children. We can expect that there will be another round of violence with Hamas and Islamic Jihad or Hezballah or both as well as trouble with Fatah, PLO and the Palestinian Authority Security Forces, actually the PA’s armed forces, and the one thing we are guaranteed to see will be dead babies and children, lots of dead babies and children. The pictures will be plastered across the media, the newspapers, television, everywhere. There will be these images even if they need to stage them or, if necessary, murder them themselves. The blame will be aimed at Israel and many in the media will reinforce the story line even to the point of editorializing and expanding on the story line with great flourishes and emphasis on the horrors of these dead children. All the children shown on the media will be from the side of the Palestinians with none being shown from Israel. Many will be asking why this has come to be. The answer is simple; Israel spends millions upon millions of shekels on shelters for the people, armoring schools, kindergartens, children’s centers and required that all new residences have a bombproof room built into every apartment or home. The first concern in Israel is the safety of the people while the military remains out in the open for as long as there is any threat to the people. On the Arab side they have tunnels and command centers dug in well under ground where the terrorists hide coming out inside people’s homes firing rockets into Israel and then disappearing back underground hoping to get there before the Israelis can fire on the launch point of the attack. When the Arab terror forces do attack, they will do so from behind civilian cover using children as their bullet proof vests knowing that the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) will not engage them if doing so endangers civilians, especially children.

 

Those who have witnessed previous wars between Israel and the terrorist forces surrounding her know the story and understand what happens. Unfortunately, the majority of people watching the news broadcasts will jump to the exact conclusion the terrorists desire, that the Israelis are slaughtering children needlessly. Hamas, Fatah, PLO, Islamic Jihad and Hezballah have all been known to shoot from atop apartment buildings using the balconies as their launching pads while ringing the roof with women and children in the hopes that Israel will return fire without checking to see who might get harmed. Where this can occur as not every target which is launching rockets into Israel can be checked out before returning fire, but Israel does so whenever possible and even at times when doing so means they will miss the opportunity to return fire on that target. Israeli pilots when engaging a target must check with an information officer who also checks with an IDF Human Rights Officer who is a lawyer specialized in human rights and these officers will have either a drone or spotter aircraft checking the target and only if it appears that there will be no civilian casualties is the go ahead given. Israel drops leaflets and sends radio broadcasts and SMS messages as well as cell phone calls to all the civilians in a region where they are going to be operating telling them where they can go to be safe. The IDF does this knowing that the terrorists will also either leave the area or set up ambushes for the IDF soldiers sent to clear the area. As insane as this appears, the IDF still manages to operate with a high degree of proficiency despite such warnings telegraphing exactly where they will be about to operate. They often do such warnings simply to get into an area where surveillance has indicated there exist entrances into the tunnel entrances knowing that it is worth giving away where they are coming if it will allow them to gain entrance to the tunnel systems where the command and control operations are hiding and where the stores of rockets and often launch positions are also concealed.

 

This is not the only problem the IDF soldiers face. Hamas places their top commanders, leaders and central command and control operations center in the basement of Gaza’s largest hospital. This is known to the world but the media will never utter a word about this because doing so would mean that their reporters would be thrown from Gaza if they were lucky and worse if not. The other dirty little secret never discussed is that all reports, pictures and media the networks and news services send from Gaza is first approved by Hamas officials and any failure in following these prescribed procedures results in reporters being expelled from Gaza and no more coverage from the scene. The media outlets do not want to have such occur as the best pictures are made available by the Arab stringers who provide the media with the pictures they use in their reports. They also receive most of their stories from other stringers all of whom are actually Hamas or Islamic Jihad information and propaganda officers. This is how stories such as the shooting death of Mohammed al-Dura, the twelve year old boy who French television news showed huddled behind cement barrels (video below revealing hoax as presented by DePaul University) with his father and presumably shot be IDF troops during a shootout with PLO terrorists. The story proved to be Pallywood and not reality and the entire story unraveled over the following months which included a high profile slander trial against the reporter who revealed the hoax by the French Television 2. There is an entire system producing such events to try and make the IDF appear as child killers, indiscriminant murderers, and simply horrific criminals and the system is referred to using an innocuous term of Pallywood. One of the major contributors to this is the Tamimi family where the father uses his children as props often sending his young daughter to curse, spit, kick and generally abuse IDF soldiers in the hopes to find that one soldier who loses his cool and even just push the girl as she is well versed in taking the fall making it look like she was struck viciously. The Timimi father was invited to talk to a third grade class in the Ithaca, New York Beverly J. Martin Elementary School on human rights and Israeli crimes in particular against Palestinians. As if the job of the average IDF soldier was not difficult enough and besmirched in the media sufficiently without any real objectivity.

 

 

With their new understanding of President Trump’s sensitivity towards any horrors involving children, we can expect this information to be utilized and stories of Israeli brutality and their general disregard for Arab children to increase exponentially. But even this aside, there is another hint of coming events which we find to be an even bigger threat. This was something we feared and warned that the Prime Minister must do everything in his power to inform President Trump of the futility of following down the “Two State Solution” road in our article Advice for Netanyahu When Visiting Trump before the two men first met and then how the refusal by Prime Minister Netanyahu to even speak about the “Two State Solution” being a dead end with President Trump and instead boring in laser-like on Iran, a problem President Trump was already on the Israeli side to begin with, instead would lead to another trip down that road in Israel and the Netanyahu-Trump Effect. Rumor now has it that President Trump is about to impose a requirement that Israel once again make concession to the Palestinian Authority and Mahmoud Abbas in particular in order to reengage and get the peace process moving ahead after being moribund for the past decade and a half. The reason is easy to understand. No matter what Israel gives to Mahmoud Abbas, he cannot accept the deal and remain alive. Without the IDF along with the Shin Bet and other Israeli intelligence networks protecting Abbas from Hamas, ISIS, Islamic Jihad and even others in Fatah and the PLO, the other two groups which he presumably rules. One need understand that Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is also the Chairman of the political party Fatah, the terrorist organization PLO as well but still needs an entire company of soldiers surrounding him in order to survive the day and they require the IDF and Israeli intelligence to prevent any serious threats from reaching those soldiers. Further, Mahmoud Abbas has made a simple promise, that he will never accept any deal less than the complete eradication of the Jewish State, the Zionist Entity as the Arab World calls Israel. Abbas is just one person in the entire Arab opposition to Israel and his assignment is to carry on the Yasser Arafat role of pure opposition to everything Israel. The only real difference between Arafat and Abbas is Arafat sported a two day beard growth and often wore a revolver strapped to his side (even when addressing the United Nations, the only person to manage to do so), Abbas wears a suit and tie and is clean shaven.

 

Yasser Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas

Yasser Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas

 

The entire Arab World and their relations with Israel can be traced to Khartoum, Sudan and the Khartoum Resolution and its “Three No’s” agreed upon and sworn to by the Arab League and all the Arab leadership. These “Three No’s” were “No peace with Israel, no recognition of Israel, and no negotiations with Israel.” When Egypt made peace with Israel the Arab League was troubled as what could they do as Egypt is the most populous Arab state. Well, the Arab League temporarily voted and Egypt was suspended from the Arab League in 1979 after signing a peace treaty with Israel and then Egypt was readmitted in 1989. There was an even more violent reaction to the Camp David Accords where Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin and Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat signed a peace treaty in 1979. United States President Carter was present at the signing and given large amounts of credit despite his insistence that the peace be negotiated into a grand peace including the establishing of a Palestinian State which Egypt not only could not force to happen and was not even interested in trying and President Carter’s constant insisting almost crashed the treaty. Fortunately Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat was not to be deterred as he realized that his country would only gain from peace and would not be denied and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin was equally driven to make the peace work. Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat paid the ultimate price as a Muslim Brotherhood member and soldier in the Egyptian military broke from formation during a pass in review and rushed the Presidential stands shooting Sadat assassinating him. Fortunately the peace survived beyond him and despite being a cold peace, that peace continues to exist and under President Sisi there has even been increasing coordination concerning the terrorists and criminal enterprises present in the Sinai Peninsula. Jordanian King Hussein followed Egypt’s lead and made peace with Israel in 1994 and surrendered their claims and previous illegal annexation of Judea and Samaria which they had renamed West Bank to remove the links to Jewish and Israeli history.

 

It took another two years for the concept to arise that the lands Jordan had occupied illegally and Israel liberated in the 1967 Six Day War should be stolen from Israel again and made into an Arab State for some invented group of Arabs named the Palestinians. This was brought about coinciding with the first Intifada and was fully accepted by the world which has been anxiously attempting to take as much of the lands left for Israel, the mere 22% of the original lands of the British Mandate, and turn them into another failed Arab State. The entire world is aware that the sole purpose of such a state would be identical to that of the Hamastan State in Gaza, and that is to launch rockets into Israel murdering as many Jews as possible until the State of Israel has been erased from the world and the Jews no longer allowed to determine their own futures being returned to living at the permission of some foreign state being chased from here to there around the world stateless. This will once again enter the world stage as President Trump attempts to buy a peace which can only be purchased with the Jewish blood of the entirety of Israel in sacrifice after sacrifice. After Israel regained the lands illegally occupied by Jordan in the Six Day War, they should have been incorporated into Israel and the Jordanian citizens residing in these lands sent back to Jordan. If Israel cared to be benevolent, then they might be given the value of any property they had occupied and that should have been that. Israel absorbed almost nine-hundred-thousand Jews alienated from their homelands in the Arab world and the Arab world should have been made to accept the less than eight-hundred-thousand Arabs who had fled Israel in 1948 fully expecting the Mufti’s promise to have been realized and return in a few weeks after the Jewish infestation (we believe that is how he referred to the Jews in Israel) had been eradicated. The Jews managed, with the grace of Hashem, to survive that war despite losing some lands to Egypt (Gaza) and Jordan (Judea and Samaria and half of Jerusalem). Once these lands had been reunited with Israel in 1967 the Arabs residing there in these areas should have been returned to their countries of origin from before the 1967 war (Gazans to Egypt and Judea, Samaria and East Jerusalem to Jordan plus Golan Heights to Syria). As far as Israel surrendering lands for another Arab state, such a concept should be pronounced dead on arrival as every time Israel has retreated from lands they have sooner or later become a haven for terrorists and criminal activities. This is what occurred in southern Lebanon (Hezballah), in Gaza (Hamas and Islamic Jihad) and after some time now in the Sinai Peninsula (ISIS, al-Qaeda and criminal gangs). Should Israel ever be forced to surrender Judea and Samaria (East Jerusalem has been annexed and reunited with the remainder of Jerusalem and the Arabs residing there have been granted a limited form of citizenship lacking only the right to vote in national elections for the time being), then at best the PA will be replaced by the PLO or worse by Hamas, ISIS, Hezballah or even Iran. This inevitability must never be permitted to happen and any demand for Israel to make further concessions, even if it is giving Abbas one shekel, should be rejected and fought with every ounce of energy available as the entire concept of a “Two State Solution” must be put to rest permanently.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 31, 2017

ISIS is Not the Progenitor of Vehicle Terrorism

 

Going back we have seen attacks where vehicles were driven through crowds of pedestrians or people at festivals in London, Brussels, Paris, Munich and Nice. In each of these attacks ISIS took credit hours later or even a full day or two as if they heard the news reports and decided that they could use claiming these attacks to sell their relevance. What was disgusting was the way the media played up their claims and stated that this was a new form of terror assault which was being used against the West. The media knows what they are selling is a completely false face for reality. They are fully aware because they have previously mentioned, we cannot quite claim they actually reported as they would give it play for a few hours before the story would quickly fade from the front end loaded news. These attacks where a terrorist uses a truck or car to run into people waiting at an inner-city light rail station or at bus stops or tourist attractions and when the vehicle finally was prevented from further rammings, they would then proceed to stabbing or shooting until finally and permanently prevented from attacking more innocent victims which have been occurring for over a decade. What, you do not remember these attacks? Well, do not worry, that has been the entire desired effect of the media reporting and why they reported these attacks for a couple of hours before retreating them to the running news stories at the bottom of the scene and then soon thereafter only mentioning it deep inside section B of the newspapers reporting them because these attacks have taken place in Israel. But why would the news do all they could to hide the news of these attacks in Israel?

 

There is a reason which actually only minimally has to do with Israel. What it has to do with is the fact that these vehicular, shooting and stabbing attacks are incited by and committed by the Palestinian Authority and the Arab Palestinians. These are the same Palestinian Authority and the Arab Palestinians which the European Union, United Nations, European nations, United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand and many of the NGO’s from the free and developed world finance with ever increasing amounts of funding. Sure all the funding comes with the caveat that the funds must not be used for terrorism but for humanitarian uses. What is the dirty little secret is that the Palestinian Authority, Fatah and the PLO all give large sums of cash to the families of terrorists who either are imprisoned or have died committing terrorist actions commensurate with the numbers of Israelis they murdered and injured and list these dispensations as being humanitarian funding. This means simply that they are using the funds from the West to pay the families of terrorists because of the terrorism committed by their relatives. These funds are also used for their advertising which incited for terrorist acts to be committed in addition to their schools teaching their children to be future terrorists over their other lessons. They name schools, parks, streets, soccer tournaments, children’s camps and virtually anything possible after terrorist martyrs, another term used to glorify terror, martyr. Below are some of the advertisements from the Palestinian Authority, Fatah and the PLO inciting the use of vehicles in terror attacks from the past decade. The ones towards the bottom are the most recent and most violent in its intent.

 

Incitement for Vehicle Terror Attacks by PLO, Fatah and Palestinian Authority

Incitement for Vehicle Terror Attacks
by PLO, Fatah and Palestinian Authority

 

As is evidenced above these advertisements for terrorist acts using vehicles have gotten more polished and professional with time. There is also the incitement in children’s television shows and also on radio programs. The news reports on the terror attacks play up each attack as being committed by a proud and valued citizen of the Palestinian Authority and a role model for children and their funerals are turned into parades and great celebrations given to a lost hero of their revolution against the Zionist occupiers. And one more truth, the Zionist occupiers are every Israeli. Let us clarify, not every “settler” but every Israeli. When Mahmoud Abbas speaks of the occupation he claims that Haifa, Tel Aviv, Ashkelon, Ashdod, Eilat, Beersheva and all the rest of Israel as being occupied by the Zionists and as Palestine. He often states, even reported in Western media, that they consider all of the British Mandate as Palestine and the commentators in the media restate this as Abbas only meaning the West Bank, only Judea and Samaria, when they know just as we do that he means all of Israel. This is why he has stated that even when the two state solution is settled and the “peace” treaty signed; it will not bring an end to the popular protests against the rest of the occupation. It should be noted that popular protests actually means terror warfare and intifadas and other acts against Israel just as they use currently and they will continue to claim that they be funded by the world because there is still the remainder of the occupation. Trust us when we tell you the world will rush to write him more checks despite their own financial destitution because he is fighting the good fight, he is killing the Jews. Please prove us wrong but as he has received ever increasing amounts of funding as the Palestinian Arabs have murdered more Jews, is that simply coincidence or should more be read into this seeming correlation.

 

 

 

 

We have talked previously and given evidence of the morality of the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) with testimony from outside observers such as Colonel Richard Kemp. But there is always the academic who finds the evil lurking behind the IDF soldiers and their actions. Such was doctoral candidate Tal Nitzan from Hebrew University. Her research paper won a Hebrew University teachers’ committee prize for excellence. Her subject was to show that in the IDF that “the lack of organized military rape is an alternate way of realizing political goals.” Her paper explains, “In the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, it can be seen that the lack of military rape merely strengthens the ethnic boundaries and clarifies the inter-ethnic differences – just as organized military rape would have done.” Furthermore, she claims that because the Israeli IDF soldier sees the Palestinian women as less than human, they find them unsuitable as an object for rape. At no point does this excuse for academic research even briefly entertain the idea that the average IDF soldier might come from a community where rape is considered an unacceptable act. Nowhere is the recognized high moral conscience displayed throughout the IDF ever enter the mind of this researcher. One can only ask what kind of interaction she has had with the average Israeli and if she has had contact with Israelis, what could they have been and what might have led her to reach this completely insubstantially supportable conclusion.

 

There is a reason, a theory which might explain her reactions. Much of the IDF combat personnel are religious soldiers. Further, the Israeli public has been coming steadily more religious. The fastest growing sectors of the public are the Chassidim, the Traditional and the Religious Zionist. The Secular community still holds the majority of the highest positions in the IDF as well as in academia, judicial positions and many other power positions. They are feeling the pressure of the increasing numbers of religious soldiers who are taking the leadership and officers training courses and doing very well. The Military highest levels are attempting to protect the secular nature of the highest positions against what they see as an onslaught by religious hordes. The animosity between the secular with the religious can only be unhealthy and the religious are feeling unwanted and also are resentful of some of the conditions being foisted upon them in efforts to push them to choose their religion or the service by having mixed company functions, mixing women soldiers in combat companies formerly containing religious soldiers and the push-back in other fields is just as hard. The resistance is futile as within a decade, two at the most, the secular majority in the upper ranks will fold and the IDF will become a far more comfortable place for religious soldiers and this will make the IDF all the better for it.

 

But the anger between the secular against the religious community is often palpable. This is mostly in the singular direction as for the most part the religious are unable to understand why their needs are so difficult for their superiors to be accustom with and to accommodate. There is no religious disdain for the secular sector and most of the religious simply wish their secular brothers and sisters could understand and feel the joy they receive from their religious life. They see many of the problems and troubles apparent in the secular lifestyle and believe that a more religious life would benefit many secular Jews, but they largely keep such thoughts to themselves and not pressure the secular Jews to become religious. It is also their religious life which forbids their taking any immoral actions which obviously includes not raping the Palestinian women, nothing else. This was simply inconceivable for doctoral student Tal Nitzan which was made more than evident in her paper. From the reviews we can remember, Tal Nitzan was excessively dismissive of IDF and its increasingly religious flavor. This was a sad but definitive case of predetermination clouding reason forcing a slanting of a research paper. What is the saddest part is that Hebrew University faculty thought such a work was noteworthy and gave it a teachers’ committee prize for excellence.

 

And now let’s see something remarkable from an Arab woman’s own testimony which will allow us to conclude and make sense.

 

 

We can now tie everything together and have these disparate stories make sense. The slanted view of the IDF as evil and thus visualizing the lack of rapes by IDF soldiers as damning evidence of their dehumanizing their enemy and their women and not the exact opposite, the respect by IDF soldiers of all human beings as precious and worthy of respect, is simply an application of every suspicious belief by secularists that the religious are just as driven and consumed by sexual desires as are they. This was evidenced by the witness testimony of what initially appears to be a hysterical Arab woman but who is simply expressing something she witnessed which altered her life’s view of the world and the Jewish IDF soldiers. She probably had believed the stories and anti-Semitic incitement coming at her twenty-four hours a day seven days a week and when that IDF soldier entered their house, she probably expected him to start shooting everybody starting with the baby. When instead he shared food and water and then took the woman and baby along with the others to a safer location, this was a life altering event which she could not tell calmly as it was beyond believable; yet she witnessed it as it happened. The average Arab never has such a moment and continues with their belief that the Jews stole their homes and that there is no attachment of the Jews to the land of Israel. There is little hope that the incitement can be overcome as it would require each and every Arab to witness the kindness from a Jew and realize that what they were seeing was normative for the Jews and not a trick, which is what they would be told. Any kindness from the Jews is explained as a trick in an attempt to steal or gain undue advantage and Jewish kindness is to be suspect, not believed no matter how many examples one might witness. The Arabs are told that the Jews, the Israelis, are shooting their youth in the street for no reason and not because they are defending their own lives against attacks. They believe the Pallywood scenes which show the Jews murdering an innocent girl who was out picking flowers and then planting a knife and that this is the way of every case where a stabbing was the reason. Never is an Arab shot in the process of a terror attack; yet the same Arab will also be lauded as a martyr who died in an attack on Jewish Infidels. That is correct, he died attacking Jews but was murdered as an innocent and the knife placed beside him and both stories are celebrated equally and as valid. There are those Arabs who have learned the truth and now witness for Israel such as Walid Shoebat. Eventually the truth will out and the faster Israel becomes a nation of religious Jews, the sooner the truth will come through if for no other reason than that will end the tension and struggle pitting Jew against Jew, at least in Israel. As for the leftist Jews in the United States, well, they will not be Jews in another generation because already their children are mostly not considering themselves Jewish, or they are becoming religious and with a better than average chance of Zionist and will be in Israel and not the United States in the next quarter century. Things are soon to improve; and if the Western and developed world would cut off the flow of money to the Palestinian Authority, things would improve almost immediately. Once Abbas cannot pay off those protecting him, his days are over and then things will either improve or deteriorate catastrophically. Either way, the problem would then be solved definitively. Maybe then ISIS might be the next progenitor, though with the Palestinian Authority gone, ISIS too might very well evaporate into nothing more than the mist of horrific memory.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 21, 2017

Syria Attempting to Broaden War Threatening Israel

 

Israel sent her warplanes into Syria this past weekend in order to intercept yet another attempted shipment of weapons potentially including advanced anti-aircraft missiles into Lebanon arming further the Hezballah terrorists who rule the Bekaa Valley and most of Lebanon south of the Litani River. Hezballah has already taken control of most of Lebanon and has indirect, more like reviewing rights of any actions or laws, of the Lebanese government, an improvement of sorts over the direct rule they held a few years back. Apparently trying to rule and fight wars with Israel was taking too great a threat of Israel holding Lebanon responsible. Now Lebanon has been afforded plausible deniable for Hezballah military actions which has not helped much with the events across the border and within their borders with Syria. The length of the reach by Hezballah included their required approval of choice for the new Prime Minister when the new government was formed. Full display of both Lebanon’s difficulty and the threat to Israel are obvious in the map below. Syria will try to drag Israel into the war once again so they can claim to be fighting a holy war against the Zionist entity and will use all of Hezballah’s abilities if need be to accomplish this. That makes the weapons Hezballah already possess and any they are able to smuggle all the more important and why Israel must prevent certain weapons systems of ever being smuggled into Lebanon and to Hezballah forces there. That was the reason for the raid and why there may be more in the future with each one presenting the same difficulties.

 

Map Depicting Hezballah Control in Lebanon Thanks to Syrian and Iranian Assistance

Map Depicting Hezballah Control in Lebanon
Thanks to Syrian and Iranian Assistance

 

Israeli sources including Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman reported the raid was a success and that all planes returned and were undamaged. The Syrians reported things differently claiming to have shot down one Israel aircraft and damaging another. No pictures of the destroyed Israeli plane were provided to back the Syrian claims and they have made similar claims on previous occasions including once against American aircraft under President Obama’s brief attempt at a Syrian campaign against Islamic State. The Syrians also fired four missiles into Israel with one being intercepted by the Arrow III system which was the first real world use of the system which operated well in all aspects. The remaining three landed in open areas, two in the Israel area of the Jordan Valley and the final one landed in Jordan reportedly causing no damage or loss of life. The attempt by Syria to provide their Hezballah ally with rockets is far from new and Israel has taken to only intercepting weapon systems which would provide Hezballah with additional capabilities with the most serious being anti-aircraft missiles and anti-ship missiles. The Iranians have been attempting to provide the Hezballah terrorists with the Chinese C803 anti-ship missiles as well as SAM missile batteries of a more advanced series than those in the Bekaa Valley already. This probably requires an update on the extent to which Hezballah has been rearmed since the United Nations, United States and European Union guaranteed after the Second Lebanon War as part of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 and the doubling the size of the UNIFIL forces who were assigned to prevent Hezballah from rebuilding their tunnel and bunker systems and rearming with rockets, let alone missiles.

 

The UNIFIL forces have been photographed allowing and even assisting in loading their trucks to move Hezballah munitions, armaments, rockets and personnel around in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, the area where they are presumably tasked to prevent Hezballah from accomplishing such minor details. Hezballah had completely restructured their tunnel systems, underground bunkers, and massively extended these systems and improved their command and control as well as their communications systems and networks. This will have massive positive effect on their abilities and lethality should there ever be a need for Israel to attempt to blunt their threat to Israeli existence. Before the Second Lebanon War Hezballah was suspected of having stocks reaching as high as thirty-five-thousand rockets of which a very small percentage were of the larger varieties able of reaching beyond Haifa and even fewer which had any guidance whatsoever. This had vastly changed. Their current armaments include tens of thousands of missiles with ranges reaching the entire length of Israel carrying as high as five-hundred kilo warheads which also makes the nuclear arms capable. The various names are easy to remember and they are with their range, diameter and payloads as follows:

Katyusha approx. 132mm diameter range 10 kilometer with a 5 kg payloads
FAJR-3 approx. 240mm diameter range of 43 kilometer with a 45 kg payload
FAJR-5 approx. 233mm diameter range of 75 kilometer with a 175 kg payload
Fateh-110/M-600 approx. 0.61 m diameter range of 300 kilometer with a 500-650 kg payload
Zelzal-2 approx. 610 mm diameter range of 210 kilometer with a 600 kg payload
SKUD-D approx. 0.88 m diameter range of 700 kilometer with a 1000 kg payload

The map below indicates the ranges as they pertain to Israel and the danger becomes evident, very evident. This is one of many reasons that Israel has developed the world’s most advanced layered missile defense systems and is working on secondary and triple level means of intercepting all varieties of indirect weaponry including missiles, rockets, artillery and mortars. Israelis are thankful as many lives have been saved and apparently more will need these systems in the future, which is unfortunate.

 

Hezballah Rocket & Missile Threat

Hezballah Rocket & Missile Threat

 

Hezballah has not just tens of thousands of rockets and missiles but somewhere approaching two-hundred-thousand of varying sizes and capabilities. Additionally, there have been reports that through captured weaponry from various Syrian rebel groups that Hezballah has come into possession of a limited number of American MANPAD anti-aircraft weapons as well as similar systems designed from Russian and Chinese types of anti-aircraft weapons of a similar nature. These anti-aircraft and any anti-ship missiles which the Iranians have managed to provide to Hezballah are amongst the most dangerous should another war break out. The last war already provided ample indications that Hezballah has received numerous effective anti-tank rockets and have developed very effective tactics for their deployment. This was one area which the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) needed to develop some form of countermeasures. The greatest threat is to the Israeli public as Hezballah’s numbers of missiles are sufficient to use for swarm attacks as they can lose large numbers to interception providing they are able to get some percentage through the Israeli defenses. The numbers of missiles makes air superiority a necessity which is why Israel cannot allow large numbers or advanced air defenses to be provided to Hezballah as only through air superiority can Israel successfully destroy the stores of missiles and their launchers before they are sent in numbers over Israeli cities such as Haifa, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, Ashdod, Ashkelon, Beersheba and numerous others.

 

The difference between Hezballah and Israel is a familiar one but still important to mention while we are on the subject. First, Hezballah uses identical tactics as does Hamas and will the PLO, which is to say the Palestinian Authority when they decide they have gained all they can through blackmail and using the world to demand Israel kowtow to demands for their surrender and return to their terrorist ways, which means firing from behind the people they claim to protect while Israel does everything possible to protect civilians, both Israeli and Palestinians. Hezballah has placed their rocket launchers inside civilian homes and place their command bunkers under hospitals, schools and even Mosques. They defend their positions using civilians and store their weapons and rockets in civilian’s homes, Mosques and schools. Hezballah builds tunnels and bunkers in which they secure their fighters and civilians are forced to remain on the surface usually near Hezballah fighter locations. Further, Hezballah uses villages and towns as their operations centers and builds fighting positions within these locations often people’s homes, schools and other public locations. The Hezballah tactic is to maximize civilian deaths, hardships and destruction of civilian structures all such that at the end of the conflict they can show this destruction to the media as proof of Israel offenses claiming the Israelis simply attacked civilian homes and structures out of spite and not because of their being used as military enforcements. Often the media can tell the claims are bogus as they can see the fortifications and still take their photographs using such angles so as to avoid displaying the fortifications while maximizing the obvious damage. Often the media has their photos and stories edited by Hezballah and in order to be permitted to return and cover future events each media outlet is required to follow the Hezballah story otherwise their entire news service will be barred from covering anything in Lebanon. Meanwhile, in Israel the media is permitted complete freedom and is free from any forms of censorship whatsoever which is why often the bad stories come out about Israel while Israeli enemies always get star treatment by the media. Israel suffers from the identical media difficulty that the United States also faces with total freedom of the media. When you have no operational control over the media and their stories and your enemy exercises total media control and is willing to lie and the media willingly follows along with their messages, it should be no surprise that Israel has the media difficulty.

 

The final warping of the media coverage is the often result in civilian casualties between Israel and her enemies. The extensive efforts that Israel goes to in order to keep its civilians protected, its enemies all spend seemingly an equal amount of effort to maximize the destruction of civilian structures and the numbers of dead and injured civilians they are able to produce. This leads to a high civilian casualty count while Israel often suffers minimal civilian deaths and casualties. Israelis are well trained and are conscious of the closest shelter when there is a war and are willing to drop anything including prayers to head to their closest shelter. Israel’s enemy governments and terror forces consider shelters as a waste of resources which could be better used to purchase weapons. This leads to a civilian casualty count in Israel often approaching zero while her enemies who place their fighting forces and weapons stores and rocket tubes within civilian homes and use civilians as human shields suffer civilian casualties in the tens, hundreds or unfortunately thousands. Still, it has been shown and witnessed that Israel does far more than any other military to protect and avoid civilian casualties on either side even to the point of calling off strikes to avoid civilian casualties even when the civilians have voluntarily gathered to protect terrorists. The IDF is amongst, if not the, most moral military in all history. Don’t take our word for it; listen to Colonel Richard Kemp in the video below giving evidence to the United Nations.

 

 

An example came when the IDF had three terrorist leaders holed up in a Mosque in Gaza. The IDF troops refused to enter the Mosque as this is something they avoid out of respect for a house of worship (you never want to see what Israel’s enemies do to captured Synagogues). Hamas radio called for women to rush to the Mosque with some extra burkas and within minute’s two dozen women in burkas and some carrying burkas entered the Mosque. Soon afterwards, the women left the Mosque as a mob hiding the three terrorists wearing burkas somewhere in the group. The IDF officer ordered his men to simply leave as the alternative would have been unthinkable for IDF soldiers to potentially appear to accost Muslim women.

 

In conclusion, the problem facing Israel also involves Russia as the ally and enforcement arm of Syria. Israel coordinates with the Russian commanders before sending any aircraft into Syrian airspace such that Russian and Israeli aircraft are not in conflict. Thus far, by all information, the Russians have not been sharing such information with the Syrians intentionally but there is obviously some leakage. When Bashir al-Assad’s military commanders receive hints or information of an imminent Israeli strike they inform their militias and other unattached forces who have been armed and often actually are Hezballah and receiving support directly from Iran. Syria would love to open a front against Israel in the hopes of internationalizing the war and bringing it before the United Nations General Assembly where Israel will be once again denounced. The end result will be a front opened across the Golan Heights with Hezballah attacking from the Israeli northern border backed by the Lebanese Army which is American armed including tanks and aircraft. As they have already been given these arms, the merging of the Lebanese Army with Hezballah being placed under their control, Israel may be facing the combined forces of Hezballah, Lebanon, Syrians and presumably independent militias all of which are backed by Russia. Russia is not in any means taking action against Israel and with Iran gathering forces and aligning forces under a unified command group independent of the Russians, is going to put Putin into a delicate position. When these forces finally open a full force assault upon Israel in an attempt to bring things before the United Nations where Israel will be blamed for initiating the violence and this will place Russia in the position of deciding whether to pull out of Syria demanding that their port facilities in Latakia as Russian protected territory and otherwise Russian forces will stand down and release Syria to its fate or Russia continuing to back Syria and very possibly be drawn into a war with Israel. Should Russia engage Israeli forces, be it on the Golan Heights or against aircraft in Syrian or Lebanese territories, then what does the United States do and NATO and the United Nations. There is a distinct possibility that the United States will use these events to press Israel into making a crippling series of concessions to Abbas giving him his state with the Green Line as a border as a prerequisite for continued aid while facing the war on the Israeli north against Syria, Lebanon, Hezballah, and full Russian assistance and Iran who will also add another front at some point using Hamas on the Israeli southern border along Gaza and with aid of militias along the Sinai-Negev front. This would soon include the Palestinian Authority as Abbas would be overthrown immediately after the forced peace and the withdrawal of the IDF either by ISIS or Hamas bringing this as well as the final front. This could lead to Israel fighting a war with fronts on all borders even to include the Mediterranean Sea leaving Israel in a desperate war for her existence and Israel would at best finally establish her borders as the Jordan River and hold the southern borders while establishing the Litani River and Golan Heights as their northern border and end these wars by establishing defendable borders with the downside of the entire nations requiring the rebuilding of her entire infrastructure. It would take Israel over a decade to rebuild but once the restructure has been completed, Israel would be the envy of the world when it comes to infrastructure and the Third Temple would be constructed and the Arabs who are unwilling to live supporting the Jewish State deported and finally a bright future before her.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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