President Trump Mishandles Turkey and Iran

 

Turkish President Erdoğan demanded that the United States move out of his forces way, enabling attacks upon the Kurdish regions in Syria and potentially beyond into Iraq. These were the Kurdish allies in the war against the Islamic State working with American advisors and air support. One would pray that President Trump would stand his ground and deny President Erdoğan’s demands and protect the Kurds who were there against Islamic State with the United States. Instead, President Trump once more showed his excessive reluctance to use any form of force if he can avoid any fighting. President Trump assured Erdoğan that the American forces would be removed enabling his assault on the apparently former American ally Kurds in northern Syria. It was back in last January that President Trump threatened to “devastate Turkey economically” should Turkey attacked the Kurdish forces. At that time, Erdoğan agreed to set up a safe zone where Kurdish forces and civilians would be safe from any Turkish attacks. Instead, Erdoğan plans to use the idea of a safe zone to eradicate the Kurds along the entirety of the southern Turkish border into Syria. We believe that Turkey will be absorbing these lands into Turkey to make good on former Erdoğan promises. Apparently, that agreement is no longer accepted by President Erdoğan as he now desires to attack the Kurds in Syria probably taking over Aleppo if possible and not stopped. The actual reason for these attacks is simply the Turkish leadership regard the Kurds as an enmity and scourge which Turkey insist must be eradicated.

 

President Erdoğan and President Trump

 

This is simply another all too obvious example that President Trump apparently lacks the intestinal fortitude to take on a fight which can be easily avoided with minimal blowback. Within the United States the bringing of military forces home is often met with great support. This time will be little different simply because the average American, J.Q. Public has little if any knowledge about who the Kurds are, where they reside and probably have forgotten the assistance by the Kurds in the fight with the Islamic State. Most are also unaware that much of the Turkish claims to be fighting the Islamic State (or ISIS) were more often than not fighting Kurdish regions where they killed fighters and civilians alike. One reason which may be forcing this decision by President Trump is since Turkey is a NATO ally, they may have used this alliance when insisting the United States desert the region under Kurdish rule and allow Turkey to do as they please. We predicted just such scenario where allowing Turkey to remain in NATO would force the United States to take on or desert a fight so their NATO ally Turkey could operate as they pleased. Still, President Trump has sent the message that he desires avoiding conflict and depending upon economic and social pressures to influence friend and foe alike.

 

Previous stories made President Trump’s avoidance of taking military action evident and in one case to an adversary in the Middle East. These have not been major stories as there have yet to be any direct repercussions from any of these actions. There was the rumored heated argument between the two men over use of force against Iran. When President Trump and John Bolton parted ways, the Iranian reaction was it simply proved that President Trump was too reluctant to defend anything if it required the use of military force. The Iranians had this idea reinforced when President Trump launched attack air craft after Iran had shot down an expensive United States drone presumably in international airspace and then cancelled the attack calling the aircraft back. This simply further emboldened the Iranians as they believe that Trump will always run and hide rather than actually use force and hold the line. We believe that with President Trump having a strong economic background has assumed a false concept, that everyone is concerned with finances and that this makes them vulnerable to economic pressures. Iran has proven repeatedly over time when sanctions have been placed upon them, they actually do not react as if it really matters until the situation shows signs of becoming volatile within Iran.

 

Because of this reliance on economic pressure to alter Iranian actions, President Trump has relied on ratcheting up sanctions despite their showing absolutely very little effect beyond Iran making false moves in attempts to hide their nuclear activities. But after realizing that President Trump would only use economic pressure and avoid any military actions, they have begun flaunting their breaking of the limits of the JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) testing the European signatories who also refused to take any actions beyond threatening to act. President Trump has all but ignored the Iranian actions as if after placing more severe sanctions would eventually show progress in persuading Iran to forgo their nuclear weapons research. Meanwhile, as the Mullahs and other Islamist elites are eating well and living large, the Iranian unemployment is spiking, the economy is hurting from the sanctions and the Iranian Rial has crashed forcing prices higher as inflation sets in. The rulers in Iran have shown little concern for the problems their people are suffering because under their Islamic rule, only the desired end result matters and that is the total destruction of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Israel and eventually world conquest spreading Shia Islam to the entire world while maximizing violence and destruction in order to force the return of their messiah. Economic concerns are secondary to their religious commitment to spreading Shia Islam making it the only religion on Earth.

 

The possibility that President Trump will rely solely on economic pressures and avoid any military confrontation even with Iran will leave Iran free to spread their terror and control even further. Iran is already active in Yemen, Syria and Iraq and intending to continue these efforts against Saudi Arabia from within Yemen while threatening Israel using their proxy forces of the IRGC and Hezballah. Iran is also spreading their influence using terrorist forces largely in the Middle East but the real question is where does Iran plan on stopping their warfare. The truth is there is no conquest which would satisfy the Mullahs who honestly believe that Shia Islam will become the only true and allowed religion if they simply continue to follow their interpretation of the Quran. Their religious philosophy is based on the spread of Islam, for them Shia Islam as they consider Sunni Islam as a heretical cult despite ninety-percent of Muslims being Sunni and merely ten-percent being Shia. Their intent is to convert all Sunni Muslims to the real form of Islam, Shiite Islam. After this has been accomplished and they have also conquered all the oil assets in the Middle East, the Iranian leadership is convinced that with time their efforts will succeed in conquering the rest of the world replacing all other religions. Such beliefs allow for the true believers to suffer any hardships as all is reasonable in the pursuit of the promised end results if they simply continue on through all challenges. The leadership in Iran believe that they were chosen by Allah to spread his religion to the whole world. Their belief goes far beyond the world known by Muhammad as it includes the Americas and other lands unknown in his times. Western powers and governments need to address the Islamic threats which have been pressing to establish beachheads within Europe and the Americas. This is currently being pressed by two competing factions, the Iranians and Shia Islam versus the Muslim Brotherhood and Sunni Islam. Some of these efforts have been financed by Qatar backing the Muslim Brotherhood. Such efforts have to be either opposed even if force is required or surrendered to surrendering all free will, specifically religious freedom as under such a world all will be expected to live under totalitarian rule which demands complete compliance under pain of torture or death. That is the reality even if much of the Western world refuses to believe such thinking still exists today.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

The World Proves Futile

 

Israeli Prime Minister along with IDF spokespeople released a summation of IDF activities working within Lebanon, Syria and Iraq in order to destroy the upgrading of Hezballah rockets into guided missiles. Included in the release was information tracing the history from 2016 to the present. The reason for the release of this information again after it had been discussed is the steps had progressed requiring different and more difficult operations to continually destroy these elements. It is frightening enough knowing that Hezballah has within their one-hundred-fifty-thousand plus missile arsenal numerous rockets which can strike anywhere in Israel, even including Eilat at the southern tip of Israel. All too often, these targets have to be struck precisely and using the most appropriate warhead in order to minimize risks of collateral damage. The Israeli attempts to control this threat have sufficed up to now but as the Iranians have ramped up their efforts to provide targeting modules for the Hezballah rockets installing the systems over an area which includes Iraq, Syria and Lebanon making Israeli air strikes ever more dangerous, Israel has turned to the international community. What could possibly go wrong?

 

 

Well, let us discuss the ugly realities Israel is about to experience yet again. The one which stands out more than all the others is the complete dead silence this report and its media presentation will cause. Most Western media outlets might mention the Israeli event placing those comments buried in Section A or really bury it in Section F while giving the single mention a mere paragraph taking up perhaps three or four lines filling in between the advertisements. I believe we are all pretty certain that the reaction from President Trump will be abrupt and a repeat of the message he has sent all along implying that Israel must step up to the plate and knock one out of the park. Thus far, Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, who is also the Defense Minister, has pretty much whiffed at the previous hints. Perhaps Bibi was not even giving the task at hand the correct attentions it deserves. These hints have begun to take center stage as the next elections get ever closer, just a little more than a month away, which is as it should be occurring. The hints also have been anything but subtle often shaking windows and rattling doors.

 

The hints have included moving the American Embassy to Jerusalem while recognizing Jerusalem to start the string of hints. Also, President Trump rushed the delivery of F-35 JSF stealth aircraft. Then, President Trump pulled the American financing of UNRWA as he stated that UNRWA was hindering peace and furthering the unrest while educating the children for war. Embracing Israel solving her own problems and doing so quickly as their cover is still in the White House, would be the logical way to go. There have been rumors about a terse phone conversation where President Trump told Prime Minister Netanyahu that Israel had received three-billion-dollars in military aid and with that assistance, Netanyahu should look to himself and the IDF to put in place and enforce a grand measure of peace and stability ending the corrupt nepotism thus freeing the people and their economy who are currently suffering from the oppressions of the Palestinian Authority and its graft machine. But Bibi never took these hints, or that is what one would assume as there has been no action to show for these hints. But President Trump went further by closing the PLO offices in Washington D.C. and most recently President Trump ordered Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to strike all references on maps, records, articles, the Web etc. to the Palestinian Authority as well as Palestine references. This has all but muted Mahmoud Abbas but he remains boisterous as he has ever been. We honestly believe that President Trump would be glad should Israel simply decapitate the Palestinian Authority and provide the remaining Arabs the choice of relocating after receiving a buyout of their home and business plus a relocation fund usable at their new destination where they will call it home and start over. Those who choose to remain to live in Israel will be watched carefully. Further, those who remain will be instructed that they will be expected to live up to the Noahic Code, the Seven Laws of Noah. Lastly, those remaining will be held accountable for the actions of family members and should any member of a family engage in acts of terrorism, the entire family will be exiled and forbidden from ever returning to Israel.

 

President Trump is fully aware that Israel has the unarguable right to all the lands west of the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea. He knows all of the promises made, including the Americans after their signing the Anglo-American Treaty of 1924, binding the United States as another enforcement for the Mandates. This binds the United States to enforcing the original Mandates as agreed upon by the Allies after World War I and still enforceable by the United Nations under Article 80 of the Charter. But, in reality, Israel will end up enforcing her rights to these lands and not give them up to any other entity. Israel does not need to cater to a people invented in Moscow in order to rid the world of the Jew, in this case an entire Jewish nation. Many around the world are aware that should Israel fall as a failed state, be it destroyed in a grand explosion from terrorism, financially failing due to effective BDS support around the world, or Israel could fall victim to natural disasters as we sit atop the place where three fault lines converge, then the Jews will almost disappear as their numbers in mass assimilate. Sure there will be small enclaves of religious Jews, but the Jews will resemble the Mennonites, small groups centered around a Rabbi teaching them or a family business providing for their secular needs while strength with prayers hoping for the Messiach to come and actually bring the final Redemption; we hope this will happen while Jews continue to exist in worthwhile numbers and even better, while we are alive and cognizant of those around us.

 

There is no doubt that anti-Semitism is becoming mainstream and accepted in certain circles within Europe. There are claims that anti-Semitism has always been at these levels in the hearts and minds of the people. We cannot verify or argue that point, we just know that anti-Semitic acts have become regular events in too many places around the world. We discussed some about this and had two very revealing videos included in our article Palestinian-EU War on Israel which spells out the truth and reality which is at the heart of the Arab World. Israel has had strong support from the United States and the fact that President Obama could not do the level of harm he intended to inflict upon Israel is because the American people would not stand for such acts. That appears to be changing, more so in the cities and metropolitan regions than in the rural climates. The colleges and Universities are another problematic area when it comes to Israel with numerous Islamic tied groups working in concert to persuade entire student bodies that Israel is evil. They tell how according to the laws of Allah; the Jews are the worst kind of people as they act and perform in a foreign way which is fully contested and defeated by Islam. I am a proud Jew who takes the condemnation by Arab leadership calling for my death and the death of my country, Israel as proof that we Jews have our act together and are doing what Hashem desires, or at the very least, we are far from Allah and closer to Hashem.

 

The difficulty is we and many around us can see the day approaching when the United States simply cuts all ties with Israel. The Democrat Party leading politicians running to become the Democrat candidate for President in 2020 all with the possible exception of Joseph Biden are pro BDS and anti-Israel through and through. Should any Democrat become President it will place the number of days Israel can expect a friend in America, and that day will depict a very small number. We just wish that Israel would be more obvious that they have prepared to become self-sufficient in all things, specifically aircraft to replace the fighters now in service when the United States has decided that Israel is a liability and there are more Muslims than Jews in the world. Well, there actually are just a few more followers of Islam as there are approximately two-billion Muslims while Jews only count for eighteen-million, the Jews number less than one-percent compared with Islam. It is the facts of the small number of Jews which makes having a homeland with highly defensible borders a necessity. That is why the Arab forces are driving at denying Israel having her promised border along the Jordan River and the valley it has cut. We have listed the reasons legally why the Jordan River is our eastern border, but in this new age world, rules do not seem to matter unless you like them, and as Jews we seldom get to define the playing field as even the rules of warfare are altered when one side is the Jewish State.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

Inside the Head of Mahmoud Abbas, His Mind and His Concept of Peace

 

Mahmoud Abbas has two items in his mind, his definition of a just peace and keeping the cash flowing into his and his family’s pockets. He has a great gig going as he simply refuses to accept any peace which permits the Jewish State to continue while knowing that as long as he holds out, there will be an enormous cash flow from which he diverts his unfair share. Israel has nobody to blame but their own errors in expecting that the PLO could be reformed and reach a lasting peace with Israel. These conclusions were in straight defiance of the things claimed by Mahmoud Abbas and Yasser Arafat before him. They spoke of conquering all of Palestine in stages making a peace and then breaking it demanding more land after each time. But peace is the last thing on Mahmoud Abbas’s mind as he is making off great raking in the slimmed funds right off the top of the monies from the EU, the UN and until recently, the United States and numerous other nations in Europe and the Middle East. Abbas can travel anywhere in the world freely and be received as an honored guest often shown far more respect that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu would receive visiting the same places and people. Mahmoud Abbas sits in the catbird seat almost invulnerable to any accusation for he has been crowned by the EU, UN, numerous NGO’s, several UN Agencies, politicians near and far as the peacemaker and the sole promise for the Middle East. No title has ever been less appropriate.

 

There has been one central pillar to Mahmoud Abbas and his vision of peace, namely that President Trump and his Deal of the Century and anything else President Trump cares to present will be dead on arrival. Abbas has sworn to refuse any and everything proposed by President Trump. After all, is not refusing to consider any peace proposal how one becomes the peacemaker? But still Mahmoud Abbas has declared that he is open to any just peace which he defines as receiving his 22% of the British Mandate lands. Check the map below which depicts the British Mandate and the intended division as per treaties and conventions including being enforceable by the UN according to Article 80 of their Charter. This division gave 78% of the British Mandate lands to the Arabs as the country of Transjordan, subsequently changed to simply Jordan, and 22% for the Jewish State of Israel with the Jordan River as their border. This is the 22% Abbas is referencing when he claims he is ready for a just peace where he receives his rightful 22% of the British Mandate lands. He is referencing all of Israel as denoted in the 1964 original PLO Charter where they laid no claims to the West Bank under Jordanian rule or Gaza under Egyptian occupation but their claim was the rest of Palestine, simply all of Israel. Their claim has not changed, they just increased the size of what they demand to include what is today all of Israel. This is the demand of the man they title peacemaker and laud him wherever he goes in Europe, the United Nations and much of the developing world where he is viewed as some form of hero.

 

British Mandate as prescribed division between Arab State of Jordan and Jewish State of Israel

 

As recently noted, but worth another stating, the PLO has decided that no Arab has the right to leave their region seeking to make a new start anywhere else. They are holding their population as hostages just as they did to the Arabs who obeyed the Mufti’s order for them to come behind the Arab lines such that the soon to be conquering Arab armies could simply shoot everyone they found. When the conquering Arab armies failed to conquer quite as well as planned, they took the occupied regions of Gaza and the Shomron (West Bank) and locked the Arabs who trusted them to win annihilating the Jews into camps to be used as bartering chips claiming all of the land of Israel. This is the true origins of the vast majority of the Arab refugees who they claim were cleansed when they were called out by the Mufti of Jerusalem and they obeyed and such is their reward. Theirs is to await the final redemption of the lands from the Jewish usurpers. When the Arab world delivers on the promise of the Mufti, the total destruction of the Jewish State and the cleansing the region of everything Jewish, then these refugees in the camps are presumed to be permitted to return and enjoy the spoils, that was the original promise. As far as the world is concerned, these Arabs are the sole refugees from this conflict completely ignoring the over 800,000 Jews forced to flee the Middle East and North Africa who largely made Aliyah and came home to Israel. These Jews as well as those from Ethiopia and India amongst other remote locations, put to a lie the claim that all of Israel is made up of European Jews. Granted, European and North American Jews make up almost 18%, while Russian Jews make up another 16%, plus African and Asian Jews are just over 25%, while lastly the native-born Jews in Israel make up 39% of the Jewish population (see table below). With the rising anti-Semitism seemingly being world-wide, one can expect even more Jews making Aliyah and coming home if for no other reason, Israel will take them while the rest of the world would rather not touch them.

 

Table Depicting Countries of Origin of Israeli Jews

 

But as far as Mahmoud Abbas is concerned, there was no Jewish history anywhere in the Middle East, all Jews come from New York, Los Angeles, London and the other major cities in Europe and North America. Judaism, to Abbas, is a religion and not a people or any group with a rightful claim to have lands anywhere like Islam which is the only form of rule suitable for planet Earth. You see, Mahmoud Abbas is a Muslim and thus believes that the world is broken into two regions, Dar al-Islam, the world under Sharia and thus peaceful and good, and Dar al-Harb, the world to be conquered by Islam and thus the world of war where evils are to be conquered and purified by Islam. This is behind his inability to allow or accept to grasp the idea of the Jews having their own state. Jews are to be hounded and chased from place to place never feeling safe or secure and without normative rights and definitely no privileges. The Medina Quranic verses are not very favorable towards Jews. The Medina Quran was written after the Meccan Quran and thus its verses overrule the earlier ones under the concept of Abrogation. A brief description of the two Quranic writings can be viewed here. There is no concept of any Jewish state despite all of the evidence, something the PLO and the Waqf have both attempted to destroy by digging presumably new water pipes on the Temple Mount leaving tons of dumped and broken pieces of Jewish history which is sifted through by a team of dedicated workers. They deny any and everything found linking the Jews to the land such as this recent find in Shiloh. And as far as the Jews returning to the lands from whence, they came, does this include the return of the properties of the Jews exiled from the Islamic world?

 

If anyone is ever planning on reaching some form of peace, currently the best method would be to grant every Arab the choice to emigrate to another country after receiving a generous payment for all properties and a relocation bonus which could be quite a handsome amount. This was the plan presented numerous times throughout the history of Israel and somehow it always gets ignored. It would be ideal if somebody were to overrule Hamas and the PLO and provide protection for those who desired to take the offer for relocation such that they could leave in safety and in an orderly manner. Such an offer cannot be enforced by Israel simply because the world would rise up with great indignation claiming this was just another form of ethnic cleansing when it is actually the second half of relocating those on the wrong side of the agreed upon borders. There were over 800,000 Jews exiled from the Arab and Islamic world and this would be the second half where the Arab refugees are accepted into the Arab world just as Israel took in the exiled and instant refugee Jews. But then we run into the same problem, Israel is not treated like any other nation. For Israel, her decisions must be approved by the rest of the world simply because the world has claimed the right to instruct Israel in what she may and may not perform. This is simply refusing to solve a problem which will only end in one means, a war where the casualties are unimaginable as should the PLO, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Hezballah and Iran continue on their present course, they will educate their populations steeped in hatred of Jews and Israel specifically and then have a general attack by the populations rising up. This would consist of the Arab population of the PLO area, Gaza and southern Lebanon aided by IRGC and Iranian units in Syria all attacking Israel with rockets and literal waves of civilians surging across the borders in an effort to displace the Jews. When these waves are intercepted, then the EU, UN and the rest of the chorus will raise their voices decrying the offense to humanity. But they are the ones forcing this inevitability upon Israel, and just as bad, upon the Arab population and largely its youth as this human wave attack will be populated. Allow the Arabs to freely decide whether they wish to live under Israeli rule west of the Jordan River or wish to be bought out and given a substantial investment in their relocation aiding them and making them desirable to other nations. This or the final fight will one day come and the world will wonder how such a thing could happen, and they will be shocked and feign innocence. And that claim of innocence is the last straw which will forever break their credibility, as if they have all that much now.

 

Beyond the Cusp