Beyond the Cusp

September 20, 2018

Meanwhile on the Gaza Border

 

Yes, that’s right. The Holiest Day in the year for Jews while everyone including as many IDF soldiers as can possibly be spared, and we mean as many, are on leave to attend services with their families, Hamas had their youth warriors out on the border with firebombs which included one made of a gas petrol tank, grenades, some explosive devices and their favorite low budget weapon, rocks. Numerous Gazans breached the border and actually did something almost normal for teens, they spray-painted parts of an IDF position which we assume was not in use at the time. Most of the assaults were repulsed using crowd control such as teargas which will be reported by stringers within Gaza as the IDF using chemical weapons. There were a few reported uses of live fire to repel the most violent and sizable incursions over the border. Where one any day this would not even be a story, the fact it was timed with Yom Kippur makes it different.

 

Why would that be such a difference? Well, one has to understand the Middle East, something many in Western countries are going to soon be far more familiar with than they desire. During the month of Ramadan, the Muslims demand that people respect their daylight fast and try not to be out on the street eating where it might tempt a Muslim to break their daylight fast. When in a Muslim area, anyone caught eating in public could face being attacked and beaten. Well, rules are rules, right? This insistence is because religion is so important to Islam and if we desire our religion to be respected, then we must do so for theirs. Now we understand that there is a difference between the Muslims in Israel and the ones in Gaza. Imagine the screaming to the media and anyone of authority who would listen, such as the United Nations and agencies or the European Union and friends if Israel were to implement a raid against Gaza to remove a dangerous rocket position during Ramadan. It would be depicted as the most grievous display of discourtesy and insult imaginable. This ‘day of rage,’ which basically is what this was, which instituted attacks on the holiest day in the Jewish religion, Yom Kippur, would be recounted as common sense, you attack when your opponent is most vulnerable. It is simply another instance of the Muslims demanding ‘respect for me but not for thee.’

 

For those who might think this could be simply a one time event, allow us to remind them of the Yom Kippur War when Egypt and Syria attacked Israel on Yom Kippur and almost wiped Israel out. Fortunately, Israel still held the Golan Heights and Sinai Peninsula which provided the extra precious few hours for the IDF to recover her soldiers and mount a counter which resulted in no change to the borders. As this event was in October of 1973, a very primitive era as there were no cell phones or beepers, the IDF sent jeeps out through the streets going past every Synagogue with loud speakers announcing a complete call up of all reserves and off duty personnel giving them their rendezvous points. Units were patched together initially from combining units with similar duties. By the time this war was coming to an end, Israel was within sight of Damascus and closing on Cairo and Alexandria when the State Department in the form of Secretary of State Kissinger demanded Israel cease all attacks and return to the final lines from the Six Day War. This was also the conflict where Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, a nice Jewish boy, advised President Nixon to refuse to resupply the IDF as urgently requested by Israel until Israel agreed to a general peace settlement giving all lands back to Syria and Egypt and forming a Palestinian State along the pre-Six Day War 1949 Armistice Lines. Fortunately, President Nixon was a man who could think for himself, and he called the Secretary of Defense Melvin Laird and ordered him to get everything the IDF requested or might require and put it in the air immediately and get it to the Israelis as fast as possible.

 

Actually, this is where the story gets interesting and weird all at the same time. When the European world heard of the United States about to resupply the Israelis, they were quite put out, after all, this appeared to be that golden chance to have the Arabs erase Israel from the map. Every European country refused to grant any resupply aircraft flyover rights or refueling rights. They were even denying the United States the use of her own airfields within their borders and probably threatened to shoot them out of the sky, though that probably would have been one threat too many. Initially, President Nixon desired to avoid direct American involvement so El Al was used to try and resupply the IDF. El Al is a passenger airline making it kind of impossible for them to transport vehicles such as tanks and APC’s. Realizing that this was inadequate, on October 12, 1973, President Nixon decided that no more delays could be allowed, and ordered the United States Air Force to “send everything that can fly.” Within nine hours, C-141s and C-5s were en route to Israel. But how were any of these aircraft to make such a trip with no refueling point en route? Well, after some arm-twisting and the granting of some inducements, Portugal provided their Lajes Field in the Azores Islands as a refueling base and saved the day as well. This did provide evidence to the United States that they had a deficiency in their ability to provide necessary emergency aid even to their own forces across the globe which led to their vastly increasing their refueling capabilities, especially in the area of air-to-air refueling. President Nixon also took one additional step and placed an emergency resupply depot secured somewhere hidden under the barren Negev Dessert which would serve to resupply either Israel or United States troops in the region in case of emergency. This depot was quite a bit more important than many might think as the Iraq war progressed.

 

Henry Kissinger wished this map be forced upon Israel in exchange for resupply in the midst of the October 1973 Yom Kippur War

Henry Kissinger wished this map be forced upon Israel
in exchange for resupply in the midst of the
October 1973 Yom Kippur War

 

This was supposed to just show that attacking Israel on the Jewish religion’s holiest day is a recurring theme and has led to fewer soldiers from the IDF getting to services with their families and instead having to attend them in the field. This is not exactly an ideal way to observe Yom Kippur or Rosh Hashanah or any of the other Jewish holidays but has become a necessity as apparently Jewish holidays are not to be respected, only Islamic holidays are worthy of such. Oh, and if one were to be versed in the Quran, something we actually do not claim, we are only somewhat familiar with much of the Quran, they could quote you the verses which claim that only Islamic holy days are actual holy days and those of other religions matter not because no religion other than Islam is recognized as a religion. Yes, there are verses from the Meccan Quran which claim that Christians and Jews, as religions of the Book, receive special respect and their observant members will be treated as respected and kept people known as Dhimmis. Dhimmis can be taxed a special tax called the Jiyza and can be demanded to convert to Islam or die at any time, so special, don’t do me so many favors. The Jiyza is usually high enough to run the government and pauperize the Jews and Christians which makes them useless so when they run out of money and other means of paying the Jiyza, then comes the convert or die phase. Meanwhile, in the Medina Quran Christians get a promotion to idolaters which allows for them to be killed on sight. The Jews get a promotion too, we become the worst kind of scoundrel the world has ever laid eyes upon and must be eradicated so that the Islamic judgement day and completing their conquest of the world can become completed. Through abrogation, the replacing of the older verses of Mecca by their more violent and supercessional verses of Medina replace those from the earlier Meccan Quran as explained here. The end of this story is that under Islam, there is but one recognized religion, Islam. Thus, according to Islam, attacking Jews on Yom Kippur is simply good tactics as they do not have an actual religion, thus they have nothing which could be called a holy day.

 

That was then and this is now and apparently nothing has or ever will change until Islam is forced to take a hard look inwards. Currently, that does not appear to be on the horizon any time in the near future. We have often asked each other here at BTC is what it might take for a second reformation of Islam to take place. For those who missed the first reformation, that came back when abrogation was initiated ensuring that their only solution to any situation was to wage some form of war against their perceived adversaries while insisting that there was no state of belligerence and demanding that their perceived adversary’s military stand down. This reformation was one of many. There was the splintering of Islam into Sunni and Shiite branches and later the Wahhabi break in Saudi Arabia, the Ottoman Turks takeover of Islam and their fall and the latest has been a reaction to Islam’s apparent fall from being the preeminent force in the world as the Western World appears to be militarily superior. This latest reformation decided to adopt the concepts from the first great spread of Islam and have simply screamed ‘JIHAD’ and started to conquer Europe and the United States by means other than direct conflict but by conflicts within. Their hope is to infiltrate men of fighting age and become sufficient in numbers in pivotal cities such that they can paralyze the city with violence leading to their reaching an agreement where they rule a large section of the city completely. From that base, more Muslims will arrive and weapons will be stored and at some point, when sufficient numbers of these bases exist, then they will pour out armed and take control of the major cities of Europe. So you think that all of this is mere conjecture? Perhaps, or maybe this is simply another time that BTC is giving warning, a warning which has been sounded by Giulio Meotti. Is this really in the cards? That is for you and your leaders to decide. What can be done? Well, the first step is stop trying to eradicate Israel and take heed of how she approaches these problems. The Israeli approach will become even more efficient and laudable once the world finally decides that everything depends upon what Israelis had for breakfast and what their daily plans were, or more easily put, the world moves along and worries about their own problems and stops making Israel the cause of every ill.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

February 8, 2016

Israeli Possible Futures and American Elections

 

There have been many numbers of articles predicting the fate of Israel should one party or the other take the White House next January. Where this early on it is a bit futile to be second guessing the American people, there are some concrete facts we can observe more generally and some rather specific. The most obvious fact is that Israel will likely fair better with virtually any Republican in the White House than either of the Democrat frontrunners. This has been the trend which has steadily become absolute starting with President George H. W. Bush who was far less Israel friendly than President William Jefferson Clinton. The Republican side is the most undecided; so we will begin with them, though there are some tantalizing consequences for discussion on the Democrat side.

 

The knowledge that Israel would be better served by any Republican than with either Democrat frontrunner is a no-brainer; there are still sufficient untested Republicans which leave things unsettled there as well. The top three caucus winners in Iowa are a case in point. Ted Cruz is as pro-Israel as anyone could ask for and would likely increase whatever aid Israel claimed to have or needs identified by United States Military assessments. Mr. Cruz is also the one most likely to ignore the current State Department being fully aware that the United States Department of State is closer to being an enemy foreign agent than an American foreign policy agency. They are so far into the pocket of whatever Islamic forces appear dominant at any given time ignoring the small fact that the United States can alter that picture with the slightest influence added by clandestine units in their military. Truth be known, even with Russian influence, the United States can alter any reality on the ground should it so choose. The drawback would be risking a general confrontation with the Russians which would require active duty forces in numbers sufficient to require Congressional approval and thus general media coverage. Much of the American as well as European and the World media will bend left as the media is generally more an agent of leftist ideological proponents and similarly predisposed on reporting on the Middle East which had been made evident by their misreporting or bias and slanted reporting on the Arab Israeli conflict which is decidedly anti-Israel.

 

 

Ted Cruz for President

 

Donald Trump for President

 

Marco Rubio for President

 

Next down the caucus line is Donald Trump followed by Marco Rubio. Mr. Trump is completely untested in any and all policy positions and this is even more pronounced on foreign policy. Mr. Rubio is only slightly less of a mystery. The advantage Rubio has is he will likely follow the mainline Republican positions which had become more pro-Israel. Mr. Trump has talked a good game but his true heart is unknown and he is more likely to allow the State Department and the Pentagon along with whatever foreign advisors already exist within the government initially for his positions andthis would produce a period of time where he could damage Israeli relations even further. The question is how and if that would change when he received different and pressing information from the Israelis themselves and other contacts even to include business influence from people he has dealt with and gained a degree of trust. Rubio would also be somewhat untested and known to follow the advice he receives which then would rest heavily on his choice for Secretary of State and the weight he would put on Military and other foreign policy influences against the State Department. The one thing we know is Rubio is the candidate most likely to allow others from the Republican hierarchy to set his foreign policy. The decision, if one is honest, is still out on these two candidates who were definitive winners in Iowa.

 

Of the remaining herd of contenders who at this point are not even sufficient to be second tier and are closer to third tier with the one exception, the sole other Republican candidate to clear 2%, Ben Carson. Dr. Carson would necessarily need to rely heavily on experts and thus his positions would depend completely on who he appoints with the one obvious difference, the Pentagon and the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Our feelings are Dr. Carson would be very similar to President George W. Bush than any other predecessor. Hopefully Dr. Carson could look at a map of the areas surrounding Israel and the Middle East and realize that Egypt is currently stable, Jordan is stable with a few big ‘if’s’ sitting on her northern and eastern borders and might need to rely heavily on Israeli intelligence and potentially military support should the Islamic State turn their eyes westward seeking a border with Israel which Jordan would provide. We hear the people with their maps out pointing to the fact that such a move would still leave the West Bank and Jordan River as impasses to an Islamic State assault on Israel. We feel it would be a near certainty that not only Israel would aid Jordan but so would Saudi Arabia and the other member nations to the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council). Currently the three main challenges which would face anyone stepping into office would be, in descending order, from the greatest threat down three steps are, Iran, Islamic State and the Iranian controlled terror networks of Hezballah, Islamic Jihad, to a lesser extent Hamas, and soon to be acquired Palestinian Authority which is likely to see a leadership change within two to three years as Abbas and family will take off for safer climes, probably somewhere in the United States under the witness protection agency’s assistance.

 

Ben Carson for President

 

The remainders of the Republican herd who we can take the measure of are Jeb Bush and Chris Christie who both talk a good pro-Israel game but remain untested as being governors they had little to deal with outside their States and were able to leave the big foreign policy decisions to Washington D.C. Both would likely play Republican ballgame until they were able to put their own people in place. This would mean heavy reliance on the State Department and its Arabist and Islamist leaning viewpoint and having a disparaging and deleterious effect on Israeli ability to trust any recommendations initially from the White House. The long term relations would be heavily dependent on the people placed in positions such as Secretary of State, State Department Middle East experts and department leaders, Ambassador to Israel, Ambassador to the United Nations, Security Advisor and on.

 

The Democrat side of the equation has one twist and is otherwise underwhelming. Bernie ‘Feel the Bern’ Sanders has a voting record only the Muslim Brotherhood would applaud. He has proven to have adopted the erroneous leftist view that Israel is guilty of the two greatest sins, colonialization and capitalism. On the latter, Israel can only plead guilty and proud of it. On the foremost charge Israel is provably not guilty. First piece of evidence is the Holy Bible and in particular, Torah. The Torah other than the five books which chronical the early life from Abraham forward of the Jewish people but is the deed of ownership of all the lands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea and south of the Litany River, though the current border with Hezballah, oops, sorry, Lebanon will suffice. Don’t you just hate when that happens. Then there are the treaties, Mandates and conferences which resulted in the League of Nations declaration of intent and right of the Jews to their own state located where the Biblical accounts define their Holy Promised Lands. Bernie may have been born into a Jewish family but that little fact never softened his heart nor gave him an appreciation of the necessity for the Jewish People to have a place of refuge where they may defend themselves if again the world decides it is best to either actively slaughter the Jews or simply not lift a finger to save those few where offers are provided for their potential to save such as the SS St. Louis. We can place Senator Sanders on the State Department side and likely to continue the Obama aggressive policies concerning Israel and even supporting an Iranian centric Middle East and North Africa. Bernie Sanders has not proven to be a friend of Israel.

 

Hillary Clinton is an easier story. She really does not think all that highly of Jews. This was most evident when after Bill lost an election she angrily screamed at the campaign manager calling him some kind of derogatory form of Jew with questionable parenting engaged in a lewd act and the campaign manager was not even a Jew so the word Jew in this racy and lewd epithet could only have been included as a further form of insult. This episode has been known in political circles and in Israel for quite some time, since early in Bill Clinton’s Presidency and is chronicled here. Additionally there is e-mailgate, really, e-mailgate? Haven’t we beat the gate means scandal after Watergate back during President Nixon’s administration where Hillary Clinton did a part of the research on this case which might mitigate this and no that did not mean miti-gate conspiracy though somebody from some conspiracy website will see gate and jump ugly to conclusions. Hillary has to win the Democrat nomination and the election or she is toast and the FBI is the toaster. Any normal individual, we know that normal can never be used when the Clintons are involved, would have been detained, tried, convicted, appealed, lost and be serving time in a Federal Penitentiary. Should she lose anything leading to the White House she will be indicted immediately. As far as Hillary and Israel, could we simply state oil and water for the comparison. No, need more? Sure, Hillary is the water and Israel is the highly flammable oil floating above and Hillary lights a match above the liquid line causing all the oil to disappear in a burst of flames and smoke and the water barely gets any warmer. Hillary fully supported every Obama policy regarding Israel and with gusto. Yes, she pandered to the Jews in New York when she ran for the Senate from New York. She wanted to get elected and also have additional campaign funds. Any pro-Israel comments can be placed as purely political and playing a particular audience though probably not that necessary as most of the Jews supporting Hillary do not support Israel either. Having met too many such leftist Jews, by birth only, who line up lockstep in the parade of the Democrat mainstream which has been as hijacked. This claim can be validated by inspecting after terrorists strike and they attempt to mitigate any terror act claiming the person was hijacked and does not represent the Islam they are familiar with. Hillary will only be less of a detriment to Israel because she will pay little if any attention to foreign policy decisions leaving the majority to aids and reliance on the State Department, need more be said. The big question is rapidly becoming who will be placed replacing Hillary should she become toxic either by actual arraignment or simply too much stacked against her and her base, as fickle as it may be, simply melts away and she becomes an unviable candidate. Joe Biden has ruled out a run and in keeping with the first woman President motif, we would suggest they would have Hillary give her delegates to Elizabeth Warren who would sweep Bernie Sanders aside in a tidal change potentially notifiable from the ISS, from the International Space Station. The tide would sweep across the Democrat primary voters and her coronation would take place at the Democrat National Convention. Her likelihood of taking the Presidency would be a complete lock should she decide to choose Bernie Sanders as her running-mate as that addition to her ticket would cement the youth vote, a vote which proved so vital to President Obama. Lastly, Elizabeth warren polls excellently with Democrats and the population as a whole. We expect this last scenario to play out as it appears that the FBI has built their case and are waiting for her to falter to pull the pin on the indictment grenade which would finish her candidacy, something the Democrat main controlling interests just might prefer as they watch her national polling numbers tank.

 

Hillary Clinton for President

 

 

Bernie Sanders for President

 

There remains one critical position which almost nobody from either side is likely willing to take except one. The position is that there is not and never has been an honest partner for peace from the Palestinian Authority and most definitely not from Islamic Jihad, Hamas, Fatah, the PLO or any other Arab influence with the possible exception of Egyptian President Sisi whose efforts to force a reformation for Islam with the transformative impact greater than that of the Protestant Reformation in Europe and definitely more dangerous and threatening to President Sisi’s continued health. One can only hope for his success and pray for his continued health. As far as Israeli policy, any administrations pushing any deal other than the full annexation of the territory of Judea and Samaria with a weeding out of the most dangerous of the terror operatives and their leadership. Additionally, Israel could offer any Arab desiring to leave and never return, meaning never ever return, in exchange for a generous dispensation including purchase of their properties and holdings and a generous award of separation which would likely to exceed their expected lifetime earnings with the understanding that should they or any member of their family return they would be executed on sight. Any pushing of the deader than a doornail policy of two states living side by side in peace, security and prosperity is not realistic especially looking around the Middle East and North Africa and one sees a sea of turmoil and conflict with little comfort in sight for most of these conflicts and with all eyeing attacking Israel as a potentially solid option. How erroneous and self-destructive such a policy decision would prove, the fact it bears mention is a testament to the insanity which has soaked the region.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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