Beyond the Cusp

May 28, 2016

Brexit, Obama, Cameron and the EU Elites

 

What do Brexit’s opposition, President Obama, Prime Minister Cameron and the European Union Elite have in common along with the British Treasury, the International Monetary Fund, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development? They all are using hyperbolic, exaggerated paranoid economic forecasts of doom and gloom pitched with great arm waving and volume. Those supporting the British Isles leaving the European Union are equally voluminous and strident. There are entire lists of arguments favoring each side as well as dire predictions of horrific disasters with which to attack each side. So, where is the reality which a sane and measured approach of scientific study would support? The sad truth is that no such rational and unemotional report has actually been released and for good reason, leaving the European Union is a completely unprecedented occurrence. The best thing we can do in approaching Brexit is to simply add another opinion which in reality is not that different from every other opinion out there, the best we can reason out and then we will wait and see what happens should the vote go the way we would advise, but we so not expect to influence too many Brits as the other thing that has been polled is that the populace is divided mostly by age and everybody has chosen and are unlikely to compromise on their assumptions. The older generations, possibly because they remember the pre-European Union Britain, favor Brexit while those who have lived entirely as members of the European Union do not support rocking the boat. Perhaps it does break down to whether you lived in a period when Britain was not just another national entity lost within the folds and bureaucracy known as the European Union.

 

The one thing which the British have done which would facilitate their leaving the European Union much more easily than most other European Union nations is the British kept the Pound Sterling as well as accepted the Euro. This may prove to be one of the smartest decisions the British have ever made as eventually, whether it is next month or not all that far into the future of humankind when the European Union finally tears itself apart as the economic strains of retaining Greece, Italy, Spain, France, Poland and Germany as a single economic union while continuing to allow each of the aforementioned nations to rule themselves and make their own economic decisions within some unenforced presumed limitations which would have made minimal difference anyway. So, there will come a time when Britain will be leaving the European Union or the European Union will be leaving Britain along with every other member nation as it melts down from economic hemorrhage. The one thing which is easy to predict is what will happen if Brexit is voted down next month, nothing, absolutely nothing as the entire world will continue with possibly a slight amount of sighs in Brussels and a few perplexed looks from some of the financial wizards across Europe and in the United States as all their studies and predictions of the perils that Brexit will entail.

 

Pound Sterling

Pound Sterling

 

The question which needs examination is what will happen should Brexit pass. The only honest answer is that we have no idea, none at all. President Obama has predicted that should Brexit pass that Britain will lose out in every manner especially in trade with other nations. President Obama threatened that Brexit passing will necessarily place the British at the back of the line in trade with the United States. The President did not explain why this condition would come to pass; he just claimed that would be the result. Perhaps somebody should inform President Obama that first he cannot place anybody at the back of a line which does not exist and unless he was going to place trade sanctions on the British, there was nothing preventing their trade continuing with the United States without suffering any change as membership with the European Union has little effect on United States trade with Britain. The trade between the two nations would simply revert to the same manner as before Britain joined the European Union. Sure there would likely be some legislation passing through the Congress and being sent to the President reverting some of the trade regulations clarifying trade relations but even that would likely be more a reassurance than any drastic alteration such as what President Obama threatened. Even should President Obama veto such legislation, it could be readdressed come January 21 immediately after the new President is sworn in and it is doubtful that whomever should be in the White House would make any difference as such legislation is fairly innocuous and there would be little reason outside obstinacy for a veto.

 

That will not prevent us from offering our point of view. The immediate advantage the British would gain is they would no longer be constrained by the monetary policies of the European Union and the Euro. The British have had the advantage in setting some form of monetary policy free of European Union regulations as they did maintain their old currency, the Pound (we love the old term of Pound Sterling as it sounds so provincial and proud). The British also have their natural relations with the Anglosphere nations of New Zealand, Australia, Canada, United States and a few other more minor English speaking nations. Such a natural set of trading partners being made simpler by a common language grants Britain an easier transition should Brexit pass and they be free to trade under their own desires free of European Union constraints. Further, the British economy would no longer be having some of their resources diverted to support those nations which are in financial meltdown which is causing an ever more serious crisis one after another. Despite the economic restructuring and presumed limitations placed on spending pressed upon those nations suffering economic difficulties ranging from slow economic growth after the 2008 worldwide financial meltdown which began with market collapse in real estate and mortgage collapse due to lax lending standards which were dependent upon rising real estate prices to complete financial freefall such as the collapse in Greece, these nations often ignored these limitations regarding them as impinging on their national pride and being so draconian that they prevent their addressing the economic needs to climb out of their difficulties. Whatever the reasoning, the strain these failing economies place on the productive nations is slowly strangling their monetary gains, threatening to drag them down the same drain with the financially crippled nations. This could be the main reason for the appeal to many British and the reason that establishment supporters of the European Union desire to persuade the defeat of Brexit as they fear an even faster decline of the European Union should the British economy be removed from the sum total of the European Union economy.

 

What those who have as their desire the continued existence of the European Union fear most is Brexit passing as they are completely aware that Brexit would be the first and far from the last nation to exit the European Union. The reality is well known, once Britain leaves the European Union the writing is on the walls in Brussels, the end is nigh. How much longer would France or Germany remain should the British economy become positive and surging forward with a bright future becoming apparent? The answer is not long, weeks, months, but definitely not years. As the European Union is seen as the best stalwart against another ruinous European war and the only manner where the continent of Europe can fairly compete with the United States, China, Brazil, India and any other up and coming economic powers; the European Union core believers are of the mind that only as a unit does the European nations have any hope of competing with any form of equality with the far larger economies and simply larger nations which have the advantage that size brings. The European Union members see their union as the enabler of trade advantages and refuse to see that they are simply another layer of regulatory strangulation and further taxation depriving the nations and some companies from greater profits. They claim that without the European Union such companies as Airbus could never have been created and survived as it was the European Union which allowed the separate nations to work as if a single unit. The reality is that the nations would cooperate as doing so increases their financial strength and in this world of information technology the old differences and impediments which often strangled trade with tariffs and protectionism would not return as the new reality so obviously rewards cooperation between nations and so many of the corporations are now international in nature that nations no longer benefit from such measures. That is the reality and the British remember the freedom of pre-European Union Britain and with any luck, they will be able to reason and influence those without such experience and Brexit will pass and strike a mortal blow to the European Union.

 

Counter to what numerous economists claim, and luckily this is not a universal opinion, the European Union is not the answer to the problems faced by the troubled economies such as Greece, Italy and Spain but rather the result of the Economic Union and its common currency, the Euro. Whether Brexit passes inflicting a mortal wound to the European Union or if we need wait for the European Union to reach its inevitable implosion, the individual nations reverting to their natural independent currencies will initially cause some difficulties but will soon be able to alter their currencies in relation to one another and thus permit the struggling nations to have a devalued currency permitting them to have economic advantages of lower manufacturing costs and thus an economic advantage that accompanies such. That will bring a new vitality which is impossible when they must share an equal cost rate against Germany as the two nations are as different as night and day. Greece and the other struggling nations are closer to an agrarian or light industrial base while Germany is a heavily industrialized and entered the information age and has robotic manufacturing in many industries making a similar currency preposterous in the max. Brexit may just be the key to freeing Europe from Brussels and the self-appointed crowned aristocracy which has placed themselves over a continent for far too long and have reached well past the point where they have gone from a unifying and strengthening of the continent to a detractor which now regulates Europe slowly into a stagnation which was unavoidable as the simple fact that the European Union was an unelected oligarchy which thought itself above the people and not for or of the people and saw the people and individual governments and the nations as merely pawns in their social and economic games and misadventures. There may never be a study done which will find exactly when the European Union went from a path for greater economic growth and strength to a drag upon the continent and a guarantee of a slow but inevitable decline as the bureaucracy grew to the point that it became a ponderous beached whale no longer capable of reacting to financial needs and instead squelching any vibrancy making responding to changing economic forecasts next to impossible. The European Union has gone from a force for European economic cooperation to a farce siphoning off an ever increasing price dampening economic activity.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

December 30, 2015

America Election 2016 and Beyond

 

The question for the United States is not whether who they elect President in the November elections will be capable of making the United States strong and a force in the world again but whether or not what remains of the country will permit such a turn-around or will it take far longer or possibly never. Part of the answer will be staged around President Reagan after President Carter but that is a false narrative. First thing is that things happen at a much faster pace, almost light speed, compared to the late 1970s and early 1980s. We are talking modern dual and quad Pentium complete processing boards in a single chip all compared to a few years away from the 8080A processor and looking forward to clock speeds 100K system clock speeds. Today almost nothing outside a museum or high school science project runs so slowly and even the average calculator has greater computing power than the processor boards used on the Space Shuttle. The first thing one needs to remember is that President Jimmy Carter had under three months from when he knew with undeniable certainty he was leaving office while President Barack Obama has had four years more than that since he knew with certainty that he would be expected to leave office and two years more than that when he knew that he would have no effect on deferral elections and a full year since he could no longer effect any state elections. The big question is with little possibility of ever facing impeachment no matter what he does over the next year and nothing to prevent his going against Congress and ignoring the Supreme Court if necessary, what will he manage to accomplish and what has he already accomplished beyond things that President Carter would have died before serving such dishonors. So, exactly what will the next President of the United States be facing and other effects this could impose on the world.

 

 

Physician Obama Will Cure All Your Ills at a Price of Your Freedom, Choice and of Course you Cannot Keep Your Doctor, Insurance Plan or Insurer and any Change Even if it is Forced by Law Places You in a Government Plan and Government Doctors and Government Approved Coverage as Dictated by the Surgeon Pictured Above

Physician Obama Will Cure All Your Ills
at a Price of Your Freedom, Choice and
of Course you Cannot Keep Your Doctor,
Insurance Plan or Insurer and any Change
Even if it is Forced by Law Places You in a
Government Plan and Government Doctors
and Government Approved Coverage as
Dictated by the Surgeon Pictured Above

 

 

The biggest vacuum had been the complete evacuation of the United States military from the world’s stage. The wholesale retreat with little planning and no coordination or considerations of what the effects would be of leaving Iraq basically high and dry along with the planned retreat from Afghanistan given an out-by date will only have the enemies of a democratic and modern Afghanistan just lining the borders waiting for the last plane of American troops wheels to leave the runway before tearing that country apart and the countryside a week earlier when the American troops are too busy bugging out to be able to turn aside and prevent the complete dismantling of all their hard won gains. The complete disregard for the hard fighting and American and allied losses and the scores more injured, many with permanent disabilities and scars which will haunt them for a lifetime and to have their and their friends sacrifices simply tossed into the White House trash basket making many furious is completely understandable. The dishonors of the total disregard for their efforts and sacrifices in Iraq and Afghanistan, the breaking of the promises made by those same servicemen and women and of the American people added to the approval for women to be placed in combat units even if altering the requirements to be in such units and the repeal of don’t ask don’t tell replacing it with open enrollment for all forms and varieties of sexual orientations and proclivities; is it any surprise that when the service men and women also saw ranking officers being forced from service for putting the military ahead of political correctness and is it any surprise with many of the officers and higher enlisted men they served with and respected seen being forced or voluntarily leaving the service that many promising young officers and enlisted men and women leaving the service right behind them. This did not bother the people in the White House and the Pentagon went along as they are required to obey their civilian commanders and if these civilian commanders are demanding they make decisions they are unable to meet, then their only recourse is to leave the military altogether. As the number decreased the military was instructed to allow certain types who were underrepresented in the service to be given preferential treatment over traditional inductees. This only served to chase even more traditional service personnel to get out instead of reenlisting and making the service their life’s work and their goal in life.

 

 

The United States Under Direction from President Obama in the White House to End Production of the F-22 Raptor at the Completion of the Run Then in Progress and After that the United States Air Force to be Relying Predominantly on the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter as What is Good for the Rest of the World Should be Just Fine for the United States

The United States Under Direction from President Obama
in the White House to End Production of the F-22 Raptor
at the Completion of the Run Then in Progress and After that
the United States Air Force to be Relying Predominantly on the
F-35 Joint Strike Fighter as What is Good for the Rest of the
World Should be Just Fine for the United States

 

 

The reduced numbers fit with the plans in Washington as the funds saved by allowing for a smaller and less capable military with less equipment and the saved funds for all the cancelled weapons systems such as the F-22 Raptor as why should the United States have a fifth generation fighter vastly superior to that of other nations as shouldn’t the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter suffice, the exact same aircraft the United States is promising to any number of other nations such as Israel, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Norway, Britain, Turkey, South Korea, Canada, Australia, Netherlands, Italy, Denmark, Japan and Singapore possibly or already having made orders for delivery of this advanced fighter giving them the same aircraft as the United States, so what could possibly go wrong here as none of these nations would ever become an adversary, could they? But then again, the current White House has a model for the United States which is based on the European national body but this misses a crucial reason that the Europeans could safely function in this still dangerous world because after World War II the United States gave them all assurances that they could rely on the United States to have the great military upon which the rest of the free and Western World could depend. Well, that does create a problem because as the United States moves at an ever increasing speed to become just another European nation with a similarly weak border and shore control only military then who will protect the Western World and the free nations from the threats which are still legion in the world? Why worry about that, there are people we need to have become dependent upon government for their health care and we need those funds for supporting Social Security payments and Medicare. There are no longer the threats such as the Soviet Union and we are allied with China and so what if they are slowly building islands to claim the entirety of the South China Sea, they’ll allow trade ships to pass and Russia is our new friend as well as Turkish President Erdogan and the Iranian Ayatollah and Supreme Leader but not Egyptian President Sisi, he desires causing a reformation of Islam to purge it of the violent passages and instead form a religion which is not bent on world conquest and can coexist with all other religions and is against President Obama’s friends in the Muslim Brotherhood. Sounds like such a great plan whose ramifications are going to be so great.

 

Then there is the, as we have heard and been assured about repeatedly, wonderful healthcare offered by Obamacare. There has been uncountable people purchasing new health insurance coverage beyond even the most optimistic predictions. Never mind that there have been untold numbers of people who had their coverage cancelled for not meeting the extremely specific demands of the Affordable Care and Patient Protection Act which appears to explain a sizeable percentage of the purchases. The healthcare system enacted with a straight party line votes without a single Republican vote in either the House or the Senate and only making it to the President’s desk was the fact that there was a solid majority if Democrats in both houses to usher the legislation through Congress. There is an underreported side effect of Obamacare has been the ever-growing number of health insurance companies including one of the largest which have reported they are losing their shirts and the biggest losses come from the Obamacare government Exchanges themselves and their losses are significant enough that first off the rate of government reimbursement is insignificant as the amounts of their losses are too great and the 80% reimbursement still leaves them losing tens and even hundreds of millions of dollars and secondly the government payment schedules are shoddy and slow making their losses even more painful and damaging. Talking about losses, the economy which we are told has been recovering since early in 2009 but has apparently not reached the job market as corporate profits steadily climb. Isn’t corporate profits soaring while jobs are stagnant supposed to be a republican thing and the media goes completely bonkers, oh, wait, that’s it, the media thing would never point this out with a Democrat in the White House and if challenged it will become the do nothing Congress because the republicans are preventing the President from accomplishing the necessary changes necessary.

 

About a do nothing congress, let’s discuss this for a moment or so. There are a number of good things which can be the result of a truly do nothing Congress. Unfortunately a do nothing Congress usually means that the Congress is not passing leftist, socialist, communist and burdensome legislation which strangles companies in business, prevents new start-up companies from forming and make coordinating your company into subservience to the government and collecting corporate welfare payments. General Electric has realized mind-blowing profits by simply playing the government game of green energy projects backed by government funding for the past decades, very impressive and unlike the following list of green energy companies which went belly-up and the funding they received from the government: Evergreen Solar ($25 million)*, SpectraWatt ($500,000)*, Solyndra ($535 million)*, Beacon Power ($43 million)*, Nevada Geothermal ($98.5 million), SunPower ($1.2 billion), First Solar ($1.46 billion), Babcock and Brown ($178 million), EnerDel’s subsidiary Ener1 ($118.5 million)*, Amonix ($5.9 million), Fisker Automotive ($529 million), Abound Solar ($400 million)*, A123 Systems ($279 million)*, Willard and Kelsey Solar Group ($700,981)*, Johnson Controls ($299 million), Brightsource ($1.6 billion), ECOtality ($126.2 million), Raser Technologies ($33 million)*, Energy Conversion Devices ($13.3 million)*, Mountain Plaza, Inc. ($2 million)*, Olsen’s Crop Service and Olsen’s Mills Acquisition Company ($10 million)*, Range Fuels ($80 million)*, Thompson River Power ($6.5 million)*, Stirling Energy Systems ($7 million)*, Azure Dynamics ($5.4 million)*, GreenVolts ($500,000), Vestas ($50 million), LG Chem’s subsidiary Compact Power ($151 million), Nordic Windpower ($16 million)*, Navistar ($39 million), Satcon ($3 million)*, Konarka Technologies Inc. ($20 million)*, and Mascoma Corp. ($100million) (*Denotes companies that have filed for bankruptcy). There’s some big bucks to be stolen, we mean made in green business. These government “investments” cost the American taxpayers almost seven and a half billion dollars, sounds like a smart investment of their money, better bet it has been because there are trillions more to be thrown into the environmental vortex in the years to come. Isn’t government wonderful? Trust that the environmental area is just an easy target as there are even greater boondoggles out there just waiting for your tax monies now and in the future. Still, the scariest of all items would be if the race in the November 2016 elections are between Hilary Clinton and Donald Trump (or worse, Hilary Clinton against Jeb Bush) as the choices for President which makes any third party with a sane candidate and some cash could become viable except the media will only play up a third party candidate they can bring down somewhere near the date of the elections a la Ross Perot.

 

 

Pick Your Presidential Poison Pill Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton or Hillary Clinton or Jeb Bush

Pick Your Presidential Poison Pill
Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton
or Hillary Clinton or Jeb Bush

 

 

The great achievements, negative as they may be, of President Barack Obama will turn out to be the pull out of troops from Iraq and Afghanistan and the arming of Iran with potentially nuclear weapons, the disruption of Syria and Libya, the almost turning of Egypt over to the root of all Sunni terrorist organizations, the doting support of Putin, the Ayatollahs, China, and all things collective at home. Only the final one might be reversible while the gains of Russia, China and Iran will be far more difficult to push back, especially Iran as that became a mandatory agreement when it was pushed through the United Nations Security Council and as such the law of the land as dictated by the Constitution. His health care system could be completely erased, redacted, eviscerated, declawed but not modified into Republican Obamacare Lite as that would only lead to a manufactured, or would that be manufractured, set of additional rules dictated by bureaucrats which would only produce a more massive boondoggle than we already have. The solitary cure would be the complete redaction of the entire healthcare act and the weeding out of the additional protocols which were hidden deep inside defense spending bills, omnibus spending bills, and virtually every other needed legislation such that it would be like weeding a football field (pitch) which had been allowed to go to seed for a couple of decades manually. The weeds are everywhere and easy to find but with time they pop up every so often anywhere demanding constant dedications and diligence. Thus it would be gutting all the hidden agendas. Another item which needs to be addressed but will never see the light of day is an amendment to the Constitution which forbids anybody other than a vote of Congress to manufacture or initiate any rule, law, regulation or other enforceable item, idea, report, licensing, administrative move of any applicable implication or consideration no matter how much easier it would make the government’s job especially if it lays the onus on private enterprise or private citizens and only the enforcements writ into the legislation by Congress shall be permitted with every Federal court responsible for eradicating all such items found resulting from present legislation and only applying the exact dictates of the legislation and regarding bureaucratic additions and stipulated legalese as voided from the record and Congress charged to define those items they thought they had allocated to the agencies as that is unconstitutional in the strictest and most liberal interpretations of the constitution which relegates the making of laws to the Congress and not to any Administrative agency which is a part of the Presidency and not an arm of Congress. That would remove probably two thirds of all regulations and required bookkeeping for small businesses and large and especially the small business who can ill-afford a lawyer, accountant and expert in governmental forms just to run his arcade or soda bar.

 

In the end, President Obama was not any worse than many former Presidents when it comes to increasing the size and scope of government domestically as President Lyndon Baines Johnson very likely holds the record until President Barack Obama with President Johnson’s War on Poverty, Welfare, Medicare, Medicaid, Food Stamps, and a whole host of other giveaways at taxpayer expense which easily contested him for the top spot depending on the end results of Obamacare which looks very much like, once three quarters of health insurers go under two years after Obama leaves Washington and the Federal Government is called upon to straighten out the mess which means takes total control over health coverage negating all need for health insurance and instead opening a market for above the Federal Medical coverage health providers which will be largely like HMOs or other type of system except they along with one or two others will own a medium sized hospital with every diagnostic and surgical tools and systems with some of the finest physicians in the United States working with them where your basic healthcare would be provided at the costs dictated by the government and all other care would either be included in your subsequent membership level or at a pay as you go level which people would need to pay should they require such procedures. This would be the platinum standard of health club care where members of this club have purchased in their level of membership. There is always a way around any requirement if your pocketbook is deep enough.

 

The real harm done by President Obama is that he has set by his foreign fecklessness which has destroyed the entirety of the Middle East and North Africa and allowed terrorism to spread into Central Africa and complete its hold on the horn of Africa. It has provided Iran with control over the southern exit of the Red Sea by basically occupying Yemen through arming, training and supplementing a nativist clan’s Civil War against the rest of their nation of Yemen thus holding sway over two vital chokepoint waterways, Straits Of Hormuz which controls the flow of oil from the Middle East including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the Emirates along the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea and Suez Canal with the Bal el-Mandeb at the extreme southern end of the Red Sea which also closes access to Asia for the Israeli port of Eilat which is considered an act of war as a casus belli under international treaties and law. President Obama has also empowered a reinvigorated Russia, at least militarily invigorated, and furthered China’s growing claims to the western Pacific Ocean and South China Sea and all the trade routes therein. On the nuclear front he has modeled his treaty with Iran basically around the treaty made by President Clinton with North Korea even going so far as to establish the leaders of the negotiating team including the same members as the former disaster which led to a nuclear powered North Korea. This treaty has yet to be signed by either side and the Iranians have already declared the treaty a dead deal as they claim the United States negotiated in bad faith as proven by suspected actions and basically so that Iran can proceed with their nuclear weapons program ignoring all the obligations presumably in place as an unsigned treaty has been expounded with great fanfare by the Administration as their signature accomplishment as the world disintegrates and burns all around them. All in all, President Obama had done more to destabilize the entire globe than done by any single leader or groups of leaders including Peace in Our Time famed Neville Chamberlin and his faithful if less than enamored Édouard Daladier did when they ushered in World War II because as every war up until World War II from out of antiquity when the first clan took heavy branches as clubs and rocks as projectiles and set upon the neighboring clan killing the adult men and older people of both genders and taking the young children and women as their newest members of the clan, the casualties have steadily risen in almost every war and then dropped after world War II until now. The current war, the War to conquer the world should Islam prove victorious with a great deal of thanks to President Obama who made it possible or the War to Defend the Free World from the Onslaught of Islam and the Forcing of the Reformation of Islam where the Mecca Quran is Declared to Supercede all of the Medina Quran inverting the current later verse superseding the earlier verses from Mecca. (For a quick synopsis and a number of useful links in the comments visit our article Which Quran, Mecca or Medina? for a quick summary and reasons for the differences between the two writings of the Quran and why it is being interpreted as it is today across both Sunni and Shia Islam. Thank you.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

September 26, 2015

Islamic State, the Balance of Power, and the Imbalance of Refugees

 

Journalist, Jurgen Todenhofer, age 75, claims to have managed to be embedded within Islamic State in his newly released book “Inside IS – Ten Days in the Islamic State” and warns that the terror group, self-proclaimed as the new Caliphate and ruler of lands larger than the United Kingdom with borders across central Iraq and southern Syria is planning the most horrific religious cleansing in world history. The one thing which must be made clear is planning or even believing is a far cry from actually doing. As a child I dreamt about many unattainable goals including being the next King of Siam after watching Yul Brynner and Deborah Kerr in the King and I (imagine my upset when I realized that Siam was no longer a country and had become Thailand). The attack Mr. Todenhofer writes about, as disclosed in an excerpt released from his book, entails “the terrorists plan on killing several hundred million people. The west is drastically underestimating the power of ISIS.” This would be accomplished by Islamic State acquiring numerous nuclear weapons in order to unleash a “nuclear tsunami preparing the largest religious cleansing in history.”

 

Speaking to his trepidations before spending time within the Islamic State Mr. Todenhofer relates that, “Of course I’d seen the terrible, brutal beheading videos and it was of course after seeing this in the last few months that caused me the greatest concern in my negotiations to ensure how I can avoid this. Anyway, I made my will before I left.” Further comments told of how he had held intense negotiations with “the leadership of the Caliphate, via Skype, over several months, hammering out the security details.” Mohammed Emwazi (Jihadi John of beheading fame) oversaw Mr. Todenhofer on his visit and likely acted as translator and facilitator as well. The most unnerving part of the article told that this self-proclaimed war correspondent’s claims that the Islamic State “are supported by an almost ecstatic enthusiasm the like of which I’ve never encountered before in a war zone. Every day hundreds of willing fighters from all over the world come.” He went further stating, “They are the most brutal and most dangerous enemy I have ever seen in my life. I don’t see anyone who has a real chance to stop them. Only Arabs can stop IS. I came back very pessimistic.”

 

If Mr. Todenhofer’s assessment that “Only Arabs can stop IS” is accurate then the world is in much worse shape than I had realized or even in my worst nightmares ever imagined. My bet is that Mr. Todenhofer is quite probably not a veteran of any armed services and has drastically underestimated the power and force a well-trained Marine or Army infantry company can apply on a battlefield and the horrific amounts of force they can project when backed by modern artillery, air support using helicopter gunships, A-10 Warthogs (I am likely dating myself but these are some ferocious and intimidating close air support and an infantryman’s most welcome sight against armor, even the stolen armor that IS currently uses) and other support features too numerous to name. Another contributing force multiplier is intelligence and battlefield awareness. Being able to see the entire battlefield using drones, satellites or even overflight with high altitude spy planes and knowing where the enemy is and in what numbers and with what resources is invaluable. Taking nothing away from Mr. Todenhofer assessments, a modern military attacking in force would dismantle the bulk of the Islamic State forces within six weeks if it even took that long and once that had been accomplished, the rest would disintegrate right along with their presentation of invulnerability.

 

What is more worrisome is the idea which appears to have infected much of the Islamic world that they have been chosen by Allah to rule over the world and to make all follow Islam or be subjugated as a second class human being or face the wrath of the Islamic sword, the beheading thing which Islamic State has shown such a great propensity to utilize as a weapon of fear. Equally depressing is the predisposition in the Western world that such an idea as world conquest had passed permanently into history and is no longer viewed as a viable goal. Where that is quite a valid assessment of the Western mindset, that is nowhere near universal truth and there are still many sources of thoughts for world conquest. We have seen numerous such thoughts ever since World War II starting with the Soviet Communists and followed by the Chinese Communists and also from Saddam Hussein, the Saudi Wahabbists, the Muslim Brotherhood, al-Qaeda, Hamas, Iranian Mullahs, Hezballah and now Islamic State and I am certain there are others. The one weakness the West suffers is their inability to view the world through the eyes of other peoples, places, religions, political ideologies, nationalities or any filter other than their own. Much of the Western world would have difficulty even seeing things through other Western national viewpoints. It is just such a weakness which makes the West vulnerable as they rule out any ability to see the potential ramifications of many of the threats they currently or may in the future face. We saw just such weakness with understanding what Hitler was planning and that he also believed he was destined to have his Reich rule the world and would have succeeded if not for some very fortuitous developments.

 

More precisely it will be necessary for Western powers, potentially partnering with such rivals as Russia and China, to develop the means and implementation of a monitoring of nuclear materials and especially those which can be utilized or have already been used to produce nuclear weapons, both atomic and thermonuclear weapons. There must be a network of detectors, be they space based or ground based, that will alert all parties involved whenever any such materials or weapons are moved from any point to another locations for any number of reasons. First and foremost it would reveal any potential intention to use such weapons either as a threat, or even worse, a first strike weapon. Such a system if deployed universally as a part of an international treaty similar or as an attachment to the NPT (Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty) where all nuclear armed states would be subjected to such monitoring equipment and those nations wishing to avail themselves of the protection of advanced warning of the movement of nuclear weapons or nuclear materials. Such would minimize the ability for rogue entities such as the Islamic State to achieve nuclear terrorism as they would be incapable of acquiring such weapons without their movement being detected. Further, any nations not a signatory to such a treaty would become suspect and with sufficient peer pressure be coerced into signing this treaty. It should be noted that this treaty would not be used as a method for spying and revealing the numbers or types of nuclear weapons any particular nation may possess and would only relate when such materials were moved without first informing the other signatories of such intents. Such would also be useful in tracking nuclear waste from power plants and the safety of any nuclear power fuel shipments thus making sure that such shipments were making their way as per their intended path for delivery.

 

In the meantime it would be worth noting the potential for the Islamic State to make good on their threats to use nuclear weapons or at the very least dirty bombs to lay waste to as many lives as they would have the capability must not be underestimated. The potential for the Islamic State to acquire the necessary weapons and managing to smuggle them into place must not be dismissed as impossible without detection as has been proven with every terror attack since the world received the massive and tragic wake-up call on 9/11 and the felling of the World Trade Center towers and striking the Pentagon and only by the brave actions of the passengers was a fourth far more serious calamity avoided as they sacrificed themselves rather than be used as a terror weapon. How many attacks, not just the main assaults such as London, Madrid, Mumbai or others but even the small “lone wolf” terror acts such as the much overlooked Trolley Square attacks in Utah reported in our article >a href=http://wp.me/pIou8-Z target=blank>Terror Attack at Trolley Square Mall, Utah. We could needlessly list other such attacks as well as the better known but it is already obvious that when it comes to preventing terror attacks the authorities have not been a full hundred percent successful. I would not dare to venture that they have not very probably done an herculean job of catching and preventing far more terror attacks than we will ever know about as such success is best guarded by keeping the unknowing, unknowing. Such efforts become all the more difficult when it becomes known how they attain their information thus we are not told when a terror attack was thwarted, or at least hopefully not every time as I am hopeful that there have been far more prevented than the paltry numbers we have been privileged to.

 

The real problem facing the Western world as its primary challenge and the rest of the world is simply due to the suffering and loss of life the current resurgence of Jihadi terror and militant actions of which the Islamic State and is the latest broad-frontal-threat the world is facing. The most tragic deaths and largest numbers slain by the Islamic State have been those of other Muslims and the minority who live in the immediate areas which have come under the Islamic States’ terror war victories. Mosul lost the entirety of their Christian population as they either fled or died within days of that city of over one and a half million people where the Christian population fled if fortunate and were otherwise converted or murdered or both while from surrounding areas of Mosul the Yazidis and Shabaks are kidnapped, converted, murdered or forced to flee with little more than the clothes on their backs while their cultural and holy sites faced destruction. Even were Islamic State to be utterly defeated and their will broke and forces killed or scattered, the ideas of Islamic supremacy and reforming the Caliphate to regain the glories of the seventh through fifteenth centuries would continue and be utilized by the next al-Baghdadi or Osama bin Laden in gathering a following and by winning a few high profile battles claiming to be the real deliverer to bring Islam back to the dominance it once knew would be in the making and potentially the next great threat. We need remember that al-Qaeda was presumably destroyed, the Taliban routed yet both have made comebacks though they are currently outshone by Islamic State and before al-Qaeda there was Hezballah, Hamas, the PLO, the Muslim Brotherhood, which was the progenitor of Hamas, al-Qaeda, PLO and others, and before any of these were the Ottoman Empire and the original Caliphate which burst out from the Arabian Peninsula and spread as far as western France at one end of Europe and eventually to the outskirts of Venice in the east leaving Europe all but overrun.

 

Expansion of Islam Across MENA and threaten Europe before Ottoman Rule

Expansion of Islam Across MENA and threaten Europe before Ottoman Rule

 

 

The same driving force behind that expansion of Islam is being reawakened today and the only thing that lies between a similar expansion today is the military power of the West, in particular the United States, though one would be hard pressed to prove that at this juncture. As far as what will it take for the United States to use its forces to put an end to the Islamic designs on world conflict, which is not something which can be brought to an end by sheer force of arms; force of arms can only push it back into remission. The world has been experiencing one extremely long hudna, what is by strict definition a ceasefire of ten years length during which the Islamic forces regroup, train and achieve military superiority and as soon as the forces of Islam believe they have sufficient means to defeat their enemy they may break the ceasefire and attack without warning of any kind. Needless to point out that the other side is not afforded such advantageous terms and must abide by the ceasefire even after the ten years has passed as they have been told that this was a treaty in that when the power opposing Islam claimed they were signing a treaty the Islamic leaders are obliged to inform them that they call it a hudna. The opposition replies, treaty, hudna, what’s the difference and the Islamic leaders reply, think as you will or some such non-comment. Such deceit is called Taqiyya as defined in the graphic below. This prolonged hudna was entered into by the Ottoman Empire after their defeat during World War I. There have been treaties, or so treated by the signatories, with Islamic forces since then with the treaties between Israel and Egypt and Jordan respectively being the most obvious. The fragility of these treaties became all the more evident during the one year in which the Muslim Brotherhood through President Morsi ruled Egypt and there were almost daily calls for them to end the peace with Israel and to reopen warfare and finally and once more trounce Israel in a race back across the Suez Canal, assuming the results mirrored their previous encounters. President Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood advisors did not perceive any advantage and the peace held solely due to the uncertainty of doubt of their ability to defeat Israel, nothing more.

 

Taqiyya defined in plain and simple easy to understand terms

Taqiyya defined in plain and simple easy to understand terms

 

 

There is yet another front where the religious war of Islam against everybody else is being played out and that is the infiltration and undermining of European governance and the slow Islamization of large neighborhoods in many of the European capitals and major cities where the Muslim areas are run under some form of Sharia and the police of the city or nation dare not tread. Even fire and ambulance service is often problematic at best with the fire department being either unable to respond to fires started during rioting or needing armed escort to extinguish the fires. Even under normal conditions there are doubts as to the safety of firefighters should they response to an alarm in one of these areas. Even people riding busses, trolleys or subways which pass through these neighborhoods often find themselves molested or otherwise terrorized. Women are particularly vulnerable to harassment and sexual intimidations and molestations or worse depending on the time of day or night. The current refugee situation and the floods of refugees from the east originating in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Turkey and other areas of the Middle East plus the inundation of the beaches along the Mediterranean from origins such as Nigeria, Libya, Algeria, Mali, Somalia, Eritrea, Sudan, South Sudan, Egypt, Cameroon, Morocco and other North African nations threaten to overrun Europe. These Muslim refugees very easily could produce a long term problem far more dangerous than the financial burden these refugees, many unskilled, not fluent in any European languages and traumatized by the situations which sent them fleeing seeking a better chance at life. If not already radicalized, the next generation or the one after could be easy targets for radicalization being sold the ideas that the Europeans are racist and have stolen their future and taken from their communities all the wealth and left them without hope or any possible way out other than to take back that which has been denied them. Once any riots start they will begin a cycle where the charges become self-fulfilling as security forces attempt to restore order which will simply be met with cries demanding that the police be withdrawn as they are simply reinforcing the message and oppressing the Muslims, especially the out of work youths and young adults. As many will have attended madrassa instead of public schools, they will have an excellent memorization of the Quran and will be capable of siting the Hadiths as well as the Five Pillars of Islam (see below chart).

 

Five Pillars of Islam

 

 

With an idea coming to the fore and gaining adherents partially due to the flow of information proving to many that the world has a very slanted wealth curve and except for a small percentage, that wealth curve has been unfavorable to the Islamic world. Further, it has also been proven that grievance mongering and terrorism pay and pay very well. Further, as a leader of terror and being the mouthpiece extolling the masses about their having been cheated out of their share of the wealth which was gained often at the cost of the natural resources of the Muslim world, one never need actually do anything about the inequality beyond assuring their own place at the receiving end of the cash flow. Further, should one choose their targets selectively, they can rail against the inequality without any real fear of retribution; something which would come violently and swiftly should they attack the Western world instead of pointing the finger at those wealthy oil sheiks or the corrupt leaders who have stolen from the poor far more than the average Westerner despite the Western citizens having vastly more wealth. Additionally, there is money to be made trafficking humans to the “promised lands where the streets are paved with gold.” These refugees are not offered a home in any of the wealthy Arab states who have far greater wealth and space to absorb them but that might cost the leaders a trip to Monte Carlo and that would be a travesty greater than the plight of their brothers and sisters. The Europeans should demand that at the very least two-thirds of these refugees be accepted and cared for by their wealthy cousins in the oil rich regions of the Arabian Peninsula. Instead the leaders of the Islamic and Arab worlds are viewing this situation as their best hope for conquering Europe without firing a shot or having to spend any of their own monies. All they need do is point the refugees northwestward and then wait for the demographic change which will overtake Europe within three or four generations. Then the Islamic world will look more like the map below.

 

Arab and Muslim World After the Islamization of Europe except for Switzerland and Israel in Red Both Standing Against any Islamic Assault or Tide

 

 

The choice facing European leaders at this juncture is whether they will leave a legacy that will bring an end to Christian Europe and all the advances of the Enlightenment or to find an alternative to permanently settling the refugees now streaming into Europe by any and all means at their disposal. What alternative you ask? One might be to set up camps at the entry points and through the European Union use funds to pay for the camps with the understanding that the refugees housed in these camps will be returned to their homelands as soon as conditions there improve. This means for some that end would be immediate as there is no war zone in Pakistan, Afghanistan or much of North Africa outside of Libya and in the Middle East the same applies except for Iraq and Syria. Another step the Europeans might want to look at is assisting in ending the Syrian civil war and end the bloodshed while also combating the Islamic State otherwise the fighting is not going to end. None of these options are pretty nor are any of them desirable. What the Europeans are facing is an unenviable choice of which evil is the least damaging and which side should face the damage. Asking for Europe to absorb the hundreds of thousands if not millions of refugees which could be aimed at them is asking for Europe to commit suicide. It is not financially responsible for the Europeans to attempt to care for, house, feed, educate and provide health care for any of these refugees which neither are not exactly their problem nor is the problem one caused by Europe for the most part. Europe has sufficient problems with their own poor and wretched underclasses which have stretched the majority of European national budgets near the breaking point. Adding even more on top would be more than most European nations could absorb, let alone pay for. Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal and the eastern European nations are facing slow growth or no growth economic indicators and are at risk of defaulting if they have not already done so. The only nations currently having healthy, relatively healthy, economic outlooks are Britain, France and Germany, not necessarily in that order. Even the best of these three could easily be subsumed economically and dragged into the same quagmire facing Greece as an example. None of the European nations can absorb over a million unemployed and destitute refugees and expecting them to do so is next to lunacy, which is exactly why that is exactly what is going to happen. The real problem is what will become of such a situation where refugees take funds beyond their contribution to repay in the next half millennia the Europeans will themselves seek a solution in traditional European fashion and that will not be a pretty sight. Such may lead to the next great conflagrations as it spills over into the Middle East and perhaps beyond. This will not end well no matter how it initially shakes out and gets past the lockout and closed borders currently facing the refugees.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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