Beyond the Cusp

November 14, 2018

When You Question Your Own Right to Defend Yourself

Filed under: Israel — qwertster @ 2:54 AM
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The current open fire conflict between Hamas and their terror allies with Israel has entered that troublesome stage where one side is attempting to bring calm and restore a less confrontational situation while from Gaza rockets continue at a lesser but sustained level. We keep being told that the Prime Minister is taking the stand that there is little to be gained from a full-on conflict with Hamas, Islamic Jihad and other Iranian proxies in Gaza. The reports claim that Netanyahu’s main political adversaries on the Security Cabinet probably pressing for a definitive series of acts to sweep much of the terror infrastructure from within Gaza so as to limit the ability of the terror entities to harm Israel further. Hamas is claiming that their actions are perfectly acceptable and understandable since they caught an IDF Special Forces team inside their territory on what was supposedly an intelligence-gathering mission. They were caught because the target was not empty when they arrived and that sounded the alarm which led to a firefight as the Israeli forces retreated back into Israel. Israel lost a Lieutenant Colonel and another soldier was wounded while Hamas lost a brigade commander and six other terrorist fighters. Where Hamas may believe that it is not permissible for Israeli forces to operate within Gaza, they have no problem when, as we reported yesterday, when their terrorists infiltrate Israel and set fire completely destroying a greenhouse or when they tunnel under the border in attempts to build infiltration tunnels from which they intend to kidnap civilians and destroy structures as well as murdering any Israeli they cannot subdue and take hostage. This double standard continues into who should stop striking targets first and how long the other side should be permitted to continue to fire into the other side. Hamas has always demanded that Israel cease first while they and their terror allies continue firing rockets for up to a day to a day and a half as long as the numbers of rockets slowly taper off. But all of this is completely ridiculous and is the result of a double standard which the world imposes on this situation.


Let us compare how the United States and the world operate when terrorists strike. When the horrific attacks of September 11, 2001, which destroyed the Twin Towers in New York City and the Pentagon across the river from Washington D.C., this resulted in the United States attacking the Taliban and al-Qaeda in Afghanistan and then carrying this war into Iraq. When the Islamic State declared themselves to be a new nation holding far more territory than the size of Gaza, the United States with NATO support went across the world aiding the Kurdish fighters providing air support and tactical assistance including some Special Forces. When the Falkland Islands were attacked by Argentina, the British sailed an entire attack fleet in order to retake the Falkland Islands which Britain claims as their protectorate, where this was not even an attack on British homelands and only took place in a region both nations claim. When French citizens were affected by terrorists in Mali, France sent troops to exact their revenge and remove the terror threat. Well over four-hundred rockets have been launched into Israel targeting Israeli civilians and an RPG anti-tank missile was fired at a bus from which soldiers had just disembarked severely injuring the nineteen-year-old IDF driver while heavy mortars have also been launched at the residential neighborhoods closest to Gaza.


The Iron Dome has intercepted well over one-hundred rockets which require often a second interceptor to be fired when a first one had lost its lock on the target. Each of these intercepting missiles which Israel deploys cost $50,000 which places the cost to this point at likely over six and a half million dollars. But currently the United Nations and Egypt, we are told, are working to enact an end to the violence. The latest news is that Hamas has promised to lessen their rate of rocket barrages as they wait to see that Israel has really stood down and is no longer striking targets in Gaza. So, the great deal being offered is to lessen the rate of fire while demanding that Israel simply allow these attacks without responding. What Hamas is demanding is that they be permitted to claim complete victory over Israel because they intimidated the scared Israeli government to stop all military strikes because Hamas was so effective in destroying the Israeli ability to fight back. This has been their modus operandi, as well as the Palestinian Authority, in every confrontation with Israel. They demand that they be permitted the victory over Israel so they do not lose face and are the stronger force at the end of every conflict. The terrorists must be permitted hours to a day or a week of undeterred attacks while Israel is made to appear weak and simply begging for the terrorists to stop striking Israeli people and cast as being the beggar. Meanwhile, Arabic news services have reported that Hamas has agreed to give Israel peace at 3:30 this afternoon. Israel has not struck any sites in Gaza for the last few hours but they are demanding that they be permitted to fire for a while longer while Israel simply plays the poor and defenseless victims. One can expect that there will be numerous more rockets ending in a likely crescendo as the ceasefire is presumed to take effect.


The interviews with politicians have been with members of the opposition as those in the coalition need remain near the Knesset building in case they may be required to take a vote to back any decision reached by the Security Cabinet. We can guess what is occurring within this high level Security Cabinet debate. First, they receive briefings from the IDF General Command of the situation and the options which they can offer for discussion. The IDF General Command has been talking with the media, unofficially and insisting on anonymity. Their complaints have been that they cannot dedicate troops into any Gazan offensive and still remain capable of defending the north of the country should Hezballah also attack. Were this true, the entirety of the General Command should be replaced with leadership capable of making the IDF the formidable military force which used to place the fear of Heaven into any considering becoming an enemy to Israel. There are some commentators who claim that the Hamas, Islamic Jihad terror threat as well as the Hezballah terror threat will never be defeated unless Israel can also mitigate the threats originating from Iran, the nation which backs all of these terrorist forces. This is not an honest assessment as the threat from Gaza could be reduced to next to nothing by Israel retaking Gaza, weeding out the terrorist supporters, and pushing them into the wilds of the Sinai Peninsula. This would leave this an Egyptian problem which Egypt would act against as Hamas is also backed by the Muslim Brotherhood which opposes the government of President Sisi in Egypt. Israel could coordinate such an offensive to remove the terror existence within Gaza and press the terrorist forces between IDF troops and Egyptian military. There are means by which to completely mitigate the threat for the future. Any agreed upon ceasefire will simply mean that Israel will continue to have the rioting on the border which has been a constant threat since the end of March of 2018. Further, the calm such may succeed in attaining would be temporary until Hamas and Islamic Jihad decided it was time to return to launching up to a dozen rockets and mortars per week or more into Israel knowing that Israel would merely bomb a few empty buildings. Even when Israel retaliates, they have a drone drop a loud explosive device which does next to no damage onto the roof of the structure a few minutes before it is actually struck. This is called knocking the target which is the message to those inside to vacate the structure. More often than not, those inside are Hamas and Islamic Jihad related terrorists yet the desire not to take any life, even terrorists if it is avoidable, leads to this being the established policy. Name me another nation which warns their enemy combatants before bombing targets, name just one. Allow us to make it simple, there is no other nation where such is their policy or even something they would ever consider.


Many Israelis are becoming disillusioned with their governance leaving such threats intact and not working to completely eradicate these enemies of the state and leaving their own people under threat. There are still rockets being fired into Israel and the presumed time for them to end is now passed. The barrage we expected is currently being fired into Israel and we will need to wait and see if this is a final barrage or simply the leading launches of the next set of rockets into Israel. Meanwhile, the Security Cabinet is in their seventh hour attempting to decide what steps Israel should employ, very likely with Prime Minister Netanyahu attempting to wear down all opposition so that when elections come he can claim that the entire Security Cabinet was in agreement and thus he was not to blame, he was forced into doing next to nothing. There are many who have been paying attention and realize that Netanyahu believes that as long as the threats remain the same, then he can play the card claiming that he is the only leader with the level-headed approach which has kept the country largely at peace. Then he simply asks, who else do you think can handle this job of Prime Minister, who has the experience as Prime Minister as he has. As he has been Prime Minister for approximately the last decade, of course he is the sole person with experience as Prime Minister, but by his reasoning, only former Prime Ministers would be eligible to be considered by the Israeli people. That idea is absurd, but thus far, it has worked for Netanyahu to keep a stranglehold on the top spot. Here we are well past the time which the rockets were supposed to stop and there are more alerts sounding as the rockets continue to be launched.


Yet, believe it or not, Israel is continuing to permit truckloads of goods to enter into Gaza, Israel is still providing natural gas, electricity and other utilities to Gaza and Israel just passed fifteen-million dollars sent by Qatar by an envoy with the intent to end the Gaza rioting on the border. We cannot respond to whether or not the border riots are continuing as the rocket launchings have taken over the entirety of the news. We suspect that the rioting has continued as one Gazan was shot when he destroyed part of the border fence and was attempting to infiltrate Israel and that is a fairly accurate sign that the riots are continuing as well as the rocket barrages. Reports are in that Turkish President Erdogan has demanded Israel cease their strikes against Hamas. This is the same Erdogan who sent his troops across the border into Syria taking advantage of the disorder of the civil war as cover to annihilate as many Kurdish as possible. He attacked the Kurds who had not struck anywhere in Turkey but Erdogan declared them terrorists which he claimed that he had every right to murder even the noncombatants as well as those who were combatants in the Syrian civil war, not anything to do with Turkey. Why does the world demand that Israel treat terrorist entities as if they were developed nations which must have their territory respected by Israel and no harm must be committed against the Hamas leadership as when Israel did target leadership of Hamas and Islamic Jihad and the world went berserk as if Israel was targeting the leadership of respected nations. There were hearings at the United Nations General Assembly and even in the Security Council as well as by the Human Rights Council while the European Union and numerous European nations condemned Israel for assassinating the ruling leaders of Gaza. When did Gaza become an independent nation? Do they have a representative in the United Nations? We do not believe so. How about having a representative in the Arab League? Nope, they do not have one even there. So, what makes this terrorist group into a protected status to be treated with the respect of an actual country despite knowing that they do not keep agreements and act in every manner exactly like what they are, terrorists. There is an answer, and it is frightening. They are granted so much respect because of two simple items, one is they largely target Jews, in this case Israel and nobody else, and Israel has not simply taken the initiative and wiped them from the face of the earth. Eventually, Israel will be forced to do exactly that, wipe Hamas and Islamic Jihad and hopefully Hezballah as well and end the terror threats which surround Israel. There would be an additional benefit from doing so, the Palestinian Authority would realize that their time was up and if they desired any form of a solution, then they are required to reach one immediately. This would actually serve to end the entirety of the Arab-Israeli conflict once and for all, as the surrounding Arab nations would also be forced to reach their own ends of animosity and realize Israel is not going to go away, ever.


There are reports that when Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu visited Oman and permitted the transfer of funds to Hamas in order to establish peace on the border, Iran was upset and ordered Islamic Jihad to launch rockets into Israel at the first available excuse or even without an excuse. They had launched one barrage over the firefight which took place this week and by doing so, they compromised any position Hamas could take for peace forcing them to also launch. Islamic Jihad, like Hamas and Hezballah, receive money and weapons from Iran but while Hamas is not directly subordinate to Iran, Islamic Jihad is exactly like Hezballah as a direct group which takes its marching orders from Tehran and the Iranian Mullahs. Iranian leaders like to refer to Israel as a “One bomb state” as they feel that one nuclear bomb dropped on Tel Aviv would end Israeli abilities to resist any attack. Newsmax reported about Khamenei’s writing a four-hundred-sixteen-page book titled “Palestine,” where “Supreme ruler Ayatollah Khamenei of Iran has published expounded on how to destroy Israel,” arguing that his position is based on “well-established Islamic principles.” This makes any activities against Israel acceptable under the Iranian definitions taken from the Quran and thus these actions must be recognized as being permissible by the rest of the world. We also need to remind everyone that the Supreme Leader of Iran has a few delusions of grandeur and honestly believes his position makes him the world leader as he rules the world’s foremost superpower. Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but in this individual’s case, he only recognized his own reflection in the mirror and all others are inconsequential in his contorted views of the world. While Khamenei refers to anti-Semitism as being a European notion, he claims that his perspective is based on “well-established Islamic principles,” and is thus his anti-Semitism is justified and not at all racist. For a small taste of his views, allow us to refer you to his diatribe on Twitter which apparently is not against Twitter’s policies, at least up to now. Well, guess this adds another spin on events and one must decide if it is worth adding to the mix. It does explain why rockets continued being fired after the deadline, possibly.


The Security Cabinet came to their unanimous decision to back the stand down position of Bibi Netanyahu after he literally wore them out. Thus far, there is calm for the last few hours but whether it lasts through the night is the first test. A second test will come if and when Iran demands of Islamic Jihad that they break the calm with yet another barrage of rockets in order to force Israel into taking more serious and drastic actions. When such should occur, and we hope it does not, you can bet that Iran will lead the world in condemning Israel in the General Assembly and in demanding that the Security Council condemn Israel. We are still waiting for Iran to demand first that Israel be removed from the United Nations, then demand that Article 80 of the United Nations Charter be reworded such that Israel becomes no longer a part of the Mandate and then finally that the United Nations strike the November 1947 decision which they claim is what allowed Israel to come into existence. What Iran probably does not understand is that Israel declared itself a nation and this was accepted by the international community at that time and these are some things which can never be reversed.


Now there will be the endless debates as to what should have been done, why what was done had been done, and why what had not been done did not get done. There will be interviews with the Security Cabinet members where some, potentially many, who will claim that they did not vote for the presumably unanimous decision. The one person who will likely be the most duplicitous will be Bibi. He will be playing the rest of the Security Cabinet off against one another. Then there are going to be interviews with numerous members of the communities bordering Gaza who will be extremely upset as they will be the people whose lives are going to be destroyed when Hamas or Islamic Jihad decide to launch into another round of destructions. They will make different demands, claims and solutions all the while demanding they desire to have the same feelings of security and safety which people residing in the wealthy neighborhoods surrounding Tel Aviv. Their will be the claim that they are left to suffer the slings, arrows and rockets of outrageous displays of hatred towards Israel. We will hear that it also comes down to they lack the monetary leverage and that this is what is behind the lack of action to relieve the terror from their doorstep. All of these arguments have their validity and there will be one other claim which does not hold water, the claim that the rest of the country does not care what happens to them with these insane rocket assaults. Meanwhile, the people in Gaza are celebrating showing up Israel and its mighty IDF and that Israel ran at the sight of their determination like a little girl whose dress was just ruined by the schoolyard bully. That will be laid against the demonstrating of the Gaza area Israelis who are most visibly upset.


We do not need rehash what we desired but it is worth noting that there are many Israelis very upset outside of the Gaza region. Israelis know that Israel just displayed weakness which Iran knows is due to their problem on the northern border, Hezballah and over one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets of varying sizes and that the largest to smallest are aligned to be given guidance systems which will change them into guided missiles and thus far more dangerous. Iran has tested Israel and her grade was F, for fraught with fear. Next is the media war against Israel where the world will question whether Israel has the right to enter Gaza to gather intelligence and if it was intelligent for them to do so when a lasting peace was within reach. Eventually, especially in Western Europe, the intelligence gathering by Israel will be the reason for this round of rockets. The question will come down to the Gazans under Hamas who still do not have a place to live because Israel destroyed their apartment building or a place to work because Israel stifles their economy or any of a multitude of sins all committed by Israel against the people of Gaza. There will be no mention or minimal emphasis on the facts that Hamas and Islamic Jihad steal over 80% of the rebuilding provisions sent to construct the needed apartments, schools, clinics and other necessities in order to build their underground network of tunnels, bunkers and also infiltration tunnels into Israel for the purpose of surprise attacks and the attempts to kidnap Israeli civilians. We will see pictures of destroyed areas many of which have sat like that for approaching five or more years as there has been little if any work performed despite building supplies provided by the European Union, United Nations, different European nations and the United States, the vast majority of which was confiscated to build the above mentioned and whatever pipes which could be made into launchers and rockets. The media will be attempting to maximize the sympathy for the Gazans in order to provide cover for giving them massive reconstruction aid which will accomplish nothing, but that aid will go a long way towards the next round where the rockets will fly and some Israelis will pay for that with their lives.


Distance Between Israel and Iran with Size Comparison

Distance Between Israel and Iran with Size Comparison


In the end, there is the reality that Iran can call for attacks on either or both the northern and southern borders of Israel. Where Hezballah has the rocket inventory which has numerous, possibly close to half, of their rockets capable of striking anywhere within Israel with some very heavy payloads as well as a vast array of smaller rockets which will plague the norther communities as Israel concentrates on the larger rockets and protecting the nation from larger rockets which could rain down on Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Beersheva and even to Eilat at the southern tip of Israel. Hamas, from the south, is incapable of striking throughout Israel but has proven to be capable of reaching much further than was anticipated during the last war. Tel Aviv is definitively within their range and they have shown the capability of striking Jerusalem and Haifa which leaves only the farthest north communities still outside their reach. Both of these terrorist forces can strike Tel Aviv and the fear is that Hamas will develop an arsenal with the same capabilities as Hezballah and in similar numbers and they too will be provided with these guidance systems which Hezballah is now retrofitting their rockets with to make them deadly accurate. All of these developments will come to pass, as Iran is deadly serious about their desire to wipe Israel out to the last Jew. If they murder some two and a half million Israelis who are not Jews and even includes a fair number of Muslims, so be it, such does not bother them. The best possible scenario for Iran would be to be able to turn over the destruction of Israel to their terrorist proxies and not be required of directly striking Israel until Israel has been severely degraded through weeks of missile barrages of rockets which could take out all of the airfields and destroy much of the IDF capability to resist an Iranian invasion. This is the question and it is Iran which is the eight-hundred-pound gorilla currently destroying the Middle East. Look at the violence which has destroyed much of Iraq, all of Yemen, and turned Lebanon into a terror state and devastated Syria while assisting Turkey in the depopulation of the Kurdish regions. Hezballah and Islamic Jihad are just two of the terrorist armies which are simply appendages of Iran and Hamas has become their puppet. The center of the problems in the Middle East and coming soon to the remainder of the world is Iran, and Iran is not merely an Israeli problem. Iran has delusions that they will be the rulers of the world and that Shia Islam the sole religion in the world, and that all of this is simply a matter of time. They have built and are continuing to construct nuclear weapons for use to destroy all who resist their world conquest starting with the United States and Israel. The main question is whether or not they have the technology to build thermonuclear weapons, the H-bomb, as well as the deuterium and tritium required to construct them. If they wish to use hydrogen, well, they have access to oceans of water from which to extract it. The real problem is the world must realize that just as Hamas, Islamic Jihad and Hezballah claim to have a love for the land which is Israel and, to prove so, they are willing to explode and burn every square millimeter of it to the ground; Iran craves to control the world and if this means that they rule over a nuclear cinder, they are willing to destroy the entirety if they are not allowed to rule over all the world. Such threats are not to be taken lightly and for peace to come to our world, there are a few disorders left which threaten all we have become and it really would be nice to go to the far reaches of space before the world is destroyed by maniacal forces looking to lord over its entirety. The current largest threat originates in Tehran and the people of Iran are suffering the consequences of their Mullocracy. This is one problem the world should not leave for Israel and really does not want Israel to try and take Iran on alone. Unfortunately, that appears to be the case if President Trump remains hamstrung by the media, Congress and the plethora of other emergencies and troubles he sees on his plate. Iran may be drowned out and their threat not clearly heard over the cacophonic din.


Beyond the Cusp


March 25, 2017

Return of Permanent Limbo in Israel


The Trump opportunity has passed at least for the summer. There was the opportunity for a change in Israel and the standoff with the Arab world. The Israeli hesitation over moving the American Embassy to Jerusalem, specifically the warnings of potential violence which, according to Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, was something Israel was not prepared to face at the time forced President Trump to hesitate and at best postpone any actions on the embassy or possibly totally abandoned, time will tell. President Trump was elected President with a Republican platform which had refused to continue with the two state solution as part of its Middle East policy, a first for United States policy since the Oslo Accords were signed in September of 1993. The Republicans managed to do something which apparently far too many Israeli politicians are unprepared to do, reject the paradigm of the two state solution and accept something entirely separate. President Trump has stated even since taking office that he is ready to accept whatever decision is presentable to the individuals, which guarantees that he is open to almost any solution providing it is a workable solution. Between President Trump’s statements, the appointments made concerning Israel and the Republican platform, anything is potentially acceptable once one takes all of these particulars together and weighs all of the possibilities. Unfortunately it appears that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is not prepared to take any alternative before other issues including but not limited to Iran, Hezballah, Islamic State and the stability of the areas surrounding Israel are more secured and balanced. Netanyahu also is most concerned with the Iranian race to produce nuclear weapons and properly fears their finally becoming nuclear weapons capable, or worse, having tested and produced a nuclear weapons arsenal which would permit them to project power and terrorism throughout the entirety of the Middle East and across North Africa threatening Europe and possibly beyond to include the United States, China and even Russia. None of the current main nuclear weapons powers should consider their position secure as the potential for Iran to commit nuclear terrorism must not be considered as impossible or out of the question as such will be a definitive and dangerous possibility once Iran has produced miniaturized nuclear weaponry, something they are predicted to have the capability to produce within the next decade.


Another threat which Israel is facing has ties to Iran as well. Syria is allied with Iran and Hezballah which controls Lebanon under Iranian direction to the point that Hezballah commands the Military of Lebanon using their strength in the war in Syria against the Sunni rebels including the Islamic State. This conflagration which has destroyed much if not almost all of Syrian infrastructure outside of a thin strip along the Mediterranean Sea, particularly Latakia where the Russians have their active port facilities in the Mediterranean Sea. The losses being taken by Iran and Hezballah in the Syrian catastrophic civil hostilities have produced much consternation within their respective publics which is demanding good and understandable reasoning as to why they should continue to support such bloodshed. Thusfar they have not been rewarded with results which show that their involvement is of any worth as Syria is beginning to appear as a killing field where they are being asked to sacrifice for no good reason. There is a building demand that Assad be replaced allowing for an end to a seemingly endless and pointless waste of resources. The one means for making the Syrian war to appear to have an acceptable reason, at least in Lebanon as well as much of Iran and vast numbers of the IRGC and Hezballah soldiers and their families would be an expansion of the war to include a full on war with Israel. Such a war against the Zionist entity would make the efforts in Syria appear to have a payoff which would be understood and well received thus rejuvenating the support for the forces which are fighting in Syria and an excuse for the losses. Such a decision requires for Iran, as it is the Iranian leadership, the Mullahs and the Supreme Leader who decide, to decide to take such a move as they will be the ones providing the majority of the military resources should such a war be initiated. The cost of such a war for Syria would be inconsequential as much of the nation is already in ruins and most of the military supplies would be provided by Iran. On the other hand, for Hezballah such a war would be a double sided sword cutting both ways as Lebanon has not been near as torn asunder as has Syria. Any war with Israel which included Hezballah would also endanger much of the infrastructure south of the Litani River and the length of the Bekaa Valley as well as parts of Beirut as well as potentially the Beirut International Airport should it be utilized by Iran to fly in provisions for Hezballah using the airstrips of this airport.


Where losing men and munitions fighting in Syria is growing less and less popular, a war with Israel if it should bring destruction raining down within Lebanon itself could backfire. While it is possible to have Hezballah troops only attack Israel from areas such as across the Golan Heights, this would not guarantee that Israeli responses would only be targeting Hezballah forces in Syria and not their rocket stores and command and control headquarters within Syria. This would be a definite possibility as Hezballah has sufficient stores of rockets and missiles provided by Iran and placed under the noses of UNIFIL forces assigned by the United Nations to prevent exactly that buildup, they failed completely. These rockets pose an existential threat to Israel and should Hezballah forces be fighting Israel, even if just across the Golan Heights, Israel could not permit Hezballah to have the opportunity to choose the point at which to introduce these assets into such a conflict. In any conflict with Hezballah, Israel correctly feels that their first and most important targets are the stores of rockets and missiles, their launching facilities and the command and control nexuses in order to remove this threat from their civilians, their infrastructure and the Israeli Defense Forces. Even with the Arrow systems, the Iron Dome and David’s Sling, the well over one-hundred-thousand rockets and missiles held by Hezballah could be launched in such a manner as to overwhelm the Israeli defenses and thus inflict unacceptable damage. Where Israel has exceptional interception capabilities, no such system is one-hundred percent successful and with the numbers of weapons Hezballah alone has, not even counting the potential from Syrian, Iraqi and Iranian stores, Israel would be hard pressed to rely on interception thus only destruction of these threats before they can be utilized is the only answer.


There is another set of reasons which might cause Iran to seek a war with Israel, and these include Russia and the United States. The Iranians would probably desire testing President Trump as well as pressing him to take a stand one way or the other concerning supporting Israel. If Iran can show that President Trump supports Israel against them, they could attempt to portray themselves as leading the fight against the Zionists and use any United States support as proof that President Trump was fighting a war against Islam. They would use all the claims by the left and the United States liberal media who claimed that the immigration restraint against seven terror prone nations which were so labeled by the Obama Administration and simply that classification was used by President Trump for his imposing an immigration hold until proper vetting could be arranged for these nations but Iran could use the media claims of that being President Trump starting a war against Islam. This would be blown into a full-fledged campaign by President Trump and the United States in supporting Israel as simply the next step in Trump’s war on Islam which Iran would claim they and Hezballah were fighting for the entire Muslim world and in the name of the Prophet Mohammad. The Iranians could attempt to persuade some, if not all, the Gulf States to join them in this noble war against the evil Zionist entity and then attempt to pull Turkey’s Erdogan into the war using popular pressure to drag him into a war thus using his own program of using anti-Semitism to raise his own support levels. How much success Iran might have in turning the Islamic world against Israel and the United States could be debated but results would need to wait to be seen. Further, Iran could use such a war with Israel as a means of forcing Russia to take sides thus driving a wedge between Russia and the United States or driving a wedge between the United States and Israel as Trump would have to choose which side to inflame should Russia be forced to support Iran against Israel. This could lead to a whole new proxy war in the Middle East pitting the two powers, Russia and the United States on opposing sides and once again drag much, if not all, of the Arab world into the Russian sphere of influence and heighten the risk of embroiling the entire Middle East in a war even broader in scope than the 1948 War where the Arab League attempted to wipe Israel from the map. Now the idea of wiping Israel from the map is a wholly, or is it holy, Iranian concept. Iran has threatened to open a front against Israel as a means of leading the rest of the Islamic world into a general war with Israel and granting themselves with the title of the great leaders of the new Caliphate which is what they would use as their alliance’s title so as to give it an Islamic rallying cry. Iran has already made some inroads with some of the Gulf States much to the chagrin of the Saudi Royals who used to have an iron grip on these states.


Iranian Crescent Resulting from an Iranian Surge Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad Connecting Iran to Mediterranean via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon

Iranian Crescent Resulting from an Iranian Surge
Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad Connecting
Iran to Mediterranean via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon


Further reasoning behind Iran taking the lead in a charge to try and bring down Israel is to bring themselves to the fore of the Islamic world and to attempt to sell their brand of Shia Islam as the real bold, brave and action center for all Islam and thus start to turn the Islamic world from Sunni to Shiite. Iran has had this dream to form a crescent of Shia states across the heart of the Middle East, their Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon crescent which was looking good until Syria disintegrated. What Iran needs now is some means by which to force much of the Syrian resistance to come across to their side and thus reestablish their hold on most if not all of Syria. Iran might even try to win the Kurdish to their side by sacrificing a small section of northwestern Iran and northern Iraq along with some of northeastern Syria forming a Kurdish nation state if they will ally and take up Shia Islam. This would sandwich the Sunnis in central Iraq placing them in a very precarious position which just might force many to accept Shia Islam in exchange for protection from Islamic State. This would leave Iran with a smaller set of opponents to their taking the lead as the great power in Islam allowing their reestablishment of the power which once was Persia. With such a success and Russian backing, the Iranians might even be able to really crack the back of Sunni Islam and convert the Muslim Brotherhood over to Shia Islam if Iran would work with them to remove President Sisi in Egypt and place the Muslim Brotherhood back into power in Egypt which could be assisted with pressure from the south using their friendly relations with the Sudan as their wedge. From this they could then take control of the Horn of Africa and complete their vanquishing of their opposition in Yemen and now have Saudi Arabia surrounded. All of this is speculation and highly unlikely but this is also seen by the Mullahs as potentially plausible if only they could gain an upper hand along the Gulf States and win over many in the Islamic world through a war with Israel. The one catch there is that any war with Israel promises to be as short as Israel can possibly make it which would very possibly not turn out so well for Hezballah or Lebanon. The only thing that Iran would not be risking is the infrastructure of Syria. Also, getting Russia to work against Israel is iffy at best as Russia and Israel have already been working in cooperation sharing intelligence and Israel warning the Russians before striking at targets in Syria or near the Syrian Lebanese border in the Bekaa Valley. Add to that the news that the missile shot from the sky by an Israeli Arrow System was a Russian made SA-5 missile proving that the Israeli military technology is everything it is cracked up to be and this should make Putin wary of any plans to go against Israel. Iran would be treading dangerously trying to force such a conflict and may find they could lose Russian assistance in Syria and that Russia might just take Western Syrian coastal cities as their own just as they did the Crimea with one difference, Israel would welcome Russia as their new friend in the region and that would leave Iran weaker for their efforts.


Beyond the Cusp


April 10, 2016

Palestinians and Israeli Arabist Jihadist War


Mahmoud Abbas has two faces, one that screams ‘peace, peace but there is no peace’ to the West and they dutifully blame Israel for not simply giving Abbas all the lands he desires. Nobody ever attempts to discover the land Abbas demands as if they did they might soon catch their first glimpse of his other face. That is the face that demands ‘jihad, jihad, kill the Jews’ and take all the land from the river to the sea, Palestine will kill until free. That face is easy to find if one just translates his speeches from Arabic to English, French, whatever language the Western politicians need to understand what more and more Israelis have learned. There is a reason nobody from Europe or the United States translate Abbas speeches and the lessons taught using the textbooks dripping with Jew hatred that the Western nations are paying to provide and poison another generation and guarantee there will be no peace as long as the Jews are alive. There are those who believe that the reason nothing is ever demanded of Abbas is because all too many of the political class agree with what Abbas is instigating and know that as long as they berate Israelis and blame only Israel for the lack of peace then Abbas will kill some more Jews for them. One hopes that such is not the reality and that peace is actually what all sides desire and ignorance is the only reason that no demands are made of Abbas and the West actually does not know that the Charter never was altered and still calls for the death of all Israelis and the liberation from the river to the sea and nothing less is acceptable to Abbas or the Palestinians as they are assured by the lack of any real actions demanding both sides compromise and that all demands for concessions have and apparently always will be demanded solely of Israel. As long as they are never called upon to compromise and continue to vocally demand every inch of land with the erasure of Israel and her Jewish population then all must be on their side. One can only be confused that the Israelis have never bolted and rejected this status quo. Perhaps that time is way overdue.



Burning Israel Star of David


Perhaps the United States will finally elect a President who understands the lies upon which all previous Presidents have followed and finally break this fatal trend and strike out on a more realistic and fair path which demands both sides meet in the middle and that the Palestinians at long last actually change their charter such that it no longer demands the death of the Jews and the complete destruction of Israel replacing it with Palestine. That would require that the United States elect the candidate who would break with the past and actually seek a real peace and if Abbas refuses to compromise to simply walk away and free Israel to do that which removes the jihadi threat that Abbas poses and end the cycle of violence which is always initiated by Abbas and his band of jihadists. That would mean the removal of Abbas, Fatah, the PLO and the entire alphabet soup of terror mongers and allow those Arabs who would desire to live in peace to remain and those who act against Israel be deported and never permitted to return. This would also allow for replacing the texts and the hate that they teach and instead teach academics which would train the Arabs for gainful employment and a future of freedom and productivity. This would finally give the Arabs in Judea and Samaria to improve their lives and have something to live for which would have to be better than training them such that they only know how to die for Abbas and his war which he will never fight as he demands of them and he will not throw his life away attacking soldiers as he has the youth who he indoctrinates on hatred and chasing the afterlife as if that is the best future these youth can desire, it is criminal and is enough of a reason to rid the Arab society of his poisonous hate. But which of the four leading Presidential candidates would best walk that new path?


Since the Israeli leadership feels with good reason that Israel is dependent on the United States for too much to make a go without United States aid at this time, there is a sense of indentured servitude. One of the main reasons that this is so dates back to the deal where Israel accepted the United States promise to provide air superiority for Israel in the Middle East and bought Israel subservience with F15s and F16s if Israel gave up their designing and production of the Lavi fighter which was similar to the F16 but did not have the F15 strike capabilities. The F15s made that deal near impossible to pass up and Israel fell into the trap of dependence on the United States for their fighter and most other aircraft and the Israeli aircraft industry retooled to research, design and produce other military and civilian products. Now it would likely take Israel five to ten years to retool, design and start to produce her own fifth generation or even sixth generation, whatever capabilities and design features those airframes might entail. Likely the sixth generation fighters would be such that one pilot and gunner would control five other birds as well as their own and fly their own cover, and thus a dozen airmen would control thirty-six attack aircraft and with 360o helmets as the canopies of all the aircraft would be solid carbon fiber and Kevlar composite formed under aluminum skin making the aircraft bullet resistant and that much more difficult to shoot down. These aircraft would also have laser intercept such as the Elbit Systems C-MUSIC anti-missile Protection retooled and upgraded to divert and destroy all versions of antiaircraft missiles, heat seeking and radar lacking as well as ground-to-air and air-to-air thus removing much of the need for aircraft to need to use avoidance maneuvers as their inboard systems would remove the necessity. This could be just one of the systems incorporated along with stealth and low frequency anti-radar systems making the aircraft ultimately improbable to intercept or shoot down. But such designing and resting would take likely a dozen years to design and put into production and in the meantime Israel would need to depend on the F35JSF fighters she has already contracted for with the United States.


Meanwhile, what would the future most likely be like depending on each of the four Presidential frontrunners? First off, let’s take Donald Trump. He is the most difficult to gauge. Would we get the debate Donald Trump who distanced himself placing wiggle room between his foreign policies and Israel or would we get the AIPAC Donald Trump who proclaimed the United States had no closer friend and to whom he pledged his unfaltering support. The truth probably lies somewhere in between and just might be better on Mondays, Thursdays, Saturdays and Sundays while colder on Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Fridays, who knows. One thing likely is whatever the relations, they would constantly be fluid which would mean that no might not always mean no, it might mean ask again next week and remember which are your good days. So, Donald is what he will be on many issues, a puzzle which will develop and change with time and mood, not necessarily a great thing.


Donald Trump


Then we have Hillary Clinton. We got a good measure of her approach when she lectured Prime Minister Netanyahu for close to an hour if not more about how when President Obama or herself told him to jump the only response they want to hear was, “How high?” Hillary did pay Israel some lip service when she was running, or should we say buying and collecting her consolation prize of Senator from New York. That was supposed to give her the Presidency in 2008 but apparently somebody was not in on that arrangement so she got another consolation prize instead, Secretary of State, which again was supposed to prepare her for a cakewalk to the Presidency but apparently somebody did not get the memo again, imagine that. So, Hillary Clinton and the Clinton Foundation now being a wholly owned subsidiary of Saudi Arabia and the rest of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) will not exactly be all that enamored with Israel or Egypt and there will be more contribution likely coming from Iran just to complicate matters. Israel can expect tire tracks up and down the Prime Minister’s back with a Hillary Presidency along with more telephone berating demanding he toe the line and know his place. Should there be an election in Israel we can also expect the entire Democrat election machinery to set up camp in Tel Aviv and work diligently to elect whoever a coalition backing either the Labor Party or Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid Party depending upon who promises to be the best little soldier doing whatever they are bid to do.


Hillary Clinton


Next we will discuss Ted Cruz. Ted is the easiest of the candidates to predict only rivaled by Bernie Sanders. Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders are polar opposites when it comes to Israel. Ted Cruz has stated and can be believed that he will invite Prime Minister Netanyahu to the White House as his first act after being sworn in. The next item on Ted Cruz’s list will be setting in motion a grand White House dinner and possibly grand black tie ball. The meal will be Kosher and the prayer before eating will be performed by a Rabbi of note and probably recommended by the Zionist Organization of America (ZOA). Ted Cruz might just be the President who breaks with the past and ignores the State Department and might even clean out the State department which has often acted as the main functionary for America’s enemies. They appeared to back the Soviet Union and once it collapsed, they quickly swung over to support the Arabist and jihadists. Ted will be the first President to completely ignore Mahmoud Abbas and his litany of complaints and back Israel in their fight against the same Jihadist enemies the United States and the free world are facing. There is little if any difference between Hamas and Islamic State, Hezballah and the IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps), Fatah and the PLO (Palestinian Liberation Organization), Islamic Jihad and al Qaeda. These are all either Sunni or Shiite jihadist movements all of which desire an entire world under the boot of Islam; they just differ over which flavor of Islam, rocky road or peanut butter fudge ripple. Ted Cruz fully understands this and if he is smart and can get Allen West for either Secretary of Defense or, if cleaning out the State department is on the to do list, Secretary of State. With Col. West Israel will have another friend in high places.


Ted Cruz


This leaves Bernie Sanders. Bernie Sanders was born Jewish, or at least into what was a Jewish family. Bernie Sanders himself is not all that caught up in the Jewish thing; actually he appears to run from it as fast and far as he is able. On Israel Bernie Sanders is the one candidate who makes Hillary appear friendly to Israel. Bernie while in the Senate voted to defund Israel. He would quite possibly decide to save money by cancelling the Israeli order for F35JSF fifth generation fighters. He would then likely cut all aid to Israel as well as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Turkey and the rest of the Middle East right before he slashed the Defense budget seeing it all as unnecessary and monies which could be better used correcting income inequality. Bernie would possibly cut all aid to the Palestinians until the leftist and his friends from the socialist camp demanded he continue or possibly increase the aid to these people as they deserved every penny and were not getting sufficient because if the United States supported them half as well as they had Israel all these years the Arab-Palestinian Israel conflict would have been resolved and Palestine would be freed from the river to the sea as it deserves. Bernie Sanders would be a disaster initially for Israel making them potentially endangered for the immediate future but fortunately Hezballah is quite preoccupied and Hamas is nowhere near strong enough to take on Israel and the Islamic State has sufficient problems holding what they have gained and also are in no position to attack Israel. Should Bernie Sanders walk away from supporting Israel it would take Israel less than a year to reinforce their position and be ready for any challenge and could then work on designing their next generation fighter. In the long run Israel would be ahead and more self-reliant and would actually owe Bernie a thank you visit where the Israelis could give him a demonstration of the new Israeli fighter which was going to make many decide to purchase from Israel and forgo the limitations and the leash which the F15JSF has connecting them permanently to the United States which requires regular uploads and downloads feeding the United States every bit of information on how the fighter was used, where it flew, when it flew and any other data including weapons loads that it carried on each mission and if they were deployed and any of the armaments fired and if so at what and whether they hit target or missed. Surely nobody could be concerned about the F35JSF relating such data during maintenance which it would require regularly. So, by cutting Israel off, Bernie Sanders might actually be providing Israel with the incentive to become self-reliant and self-sufficient for her own defense for the immediate and longer future.


Bernie Sanders


The one thing which was obvious from the start of the American primary elections, the only party which had any chance of offering a candidate who would back Israel even slightly was the Republicans. This stands in stark contrast to elections past where supporting Israel was a guaranteed given in word even if action was less convincing. Things have turned in the United States and we are witnessing the slow but inevitable erosion of the American Israeli love affair. The marriage is without a doubt heading for a divorce and Israel had best get their arms around this inevitability and begin to make whatever adjustments will become necessary and required. The first is get prepared to at the least make their own aircraft as American jets may not be forthcoming after the F35JSF, and that is a fact, not conjecture. We know not how much longer the Republicans will be able to be trusted to support Israel, but once they slide the end will be in sight.


Beyond the Cusp


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