Beyond the Cusp

October 14, 2017

Israel Palestinian Conundrum

 

There is action again on the pretense of making some form of peace out of whole cloth. President Trump said at the UN General Assembly in September. “I certainly will devote everything within my heart and within my soul to get that deal made.” Meanwhile, there is a conference to be held in the Menachem Begin Heritage Center in Jerusalem convened by Mudar Zahran, Secretary-General of the Jordan Opposition Coalition, to pursue his concept of “Jordan-is-Palestine” starting Tuesday, October 17, 2017. Then there was the recently completed initial step towards reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas presumably to permit the Palestinian Authority (PA) to resume civil control over Gaza once more. Hamas will be permitted to retain their police force, which is a twenty-five-thousand man military force, the Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades, not so much a police force. Lastly, there was the response to the reconciliation which we concur with by Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, who claimed this was nothing more than a rouse to make peace agreement, and we add especially the Jordan conference by Mudar Zahran, completely impossible. Now, please allow us to attempt and untangle this bird’s nest.

 

Let us start by taking the promise by President Trump which derives back to the debates where he made the claim that his business was built on making deals, and finding the deal to make peace in the Israeli-Arab conflict would be making the deal of a lifetime and that this challenge was one he dreamt of taking on and succeeding. This was a great story and campaign dream to tell the world, but accomplishing such is an entirely different matter. I would not demean the President of the United States by claiming that other capable men have tried for the past quarter century with nothing to show for it except a weakened position for Israel. These stabbings at peace have allowed the constant Israeli concessions for the privilege of shaking the hand of the source of the terror sent to murder Israeli citizens, both Arab and Jew, both Muslim and Jew; and Arab propaganda eroding the Israeli position calling into question International Law and the rights under treaty and resolved again under Article 80 of the United Nations Charter which called for enforcement of the Mandates from the League of Nations which defined the Jewish State as from the Mediterranean Sea to the Jordan River. President Trump will unfortunately also fail for a very simple reason; the Arabs will only accept Israel Destroyed and the Jews all dead. If one were to read the Hamas Charter, they would find that after Israel they want to next murder every Jew on the planet and then rule the planet as the Caliphate leadership enforcing their version of Sharia. It would be more beneficial for President Trump to learn the reality before he too demands another set of concessions from Israel for the pleasure of shaking the hand of the leader of those who wish to murder them in their sleep. Unfortunately, President Trump will press on and in the end, he too will run out of time as has every President before him as eight, or a mere four, years pass quickly.

 

The Menachem Begin Heritage Center will definitely be an interesting place on Tuesday. There will be some arguing, some congratulatory rhetoric, mutual support pledges, numerous declarations predicting a future of peace and prosperity and hopefully it will end quietly and everybody will go home with hope in their heart. As far as the realization of a Palestinian homeland in Jordan with King Abdullah II abdicating allowing a peaceable transference of power, that future has little hope. The Middle East is a strange place where the strong horse gathers followers and the weak horse ends up in exile in London and talks about a glorious future where democracy wins the day and the people prosper all as a ruse to gain wealth from the crazed Westerners who invest in pipe dreams. The conference will have a number of people with reputable names and great credentials, which explains why we were not invited, and their names will definitely add to the credibility of Mr. Mudar Zahran allowing him to probably rake in much needed funds to continue paying his supporters and others their salaries for their hard work at selling the dream. Do not get us wrong, we would like to see this idea of Jordan is Palestine actually occur though we envision such with King Abdullah II still ruling the western parts of Jordan with his supporters retaining their leader. The hope for a democratic Palestinian Arab state in Jordan has as much chance as the Arab Spring (we called it the Arab Winter way back) resulting in a democratic Middle East and North Africa. The only good thing is as long as there is no civil war in Jordan, then Jordan will not end up like Libya, Syria, Iraq and Lebanon where the people have no real government and their countries are dysfunctional. But a democratic Jordan, when peace comes to Israel and the two might actually be linked, who knows.

 

Then there is the announced agreement between Fatah and Hamas, which gave each side what they required; Fatah and the PA can now reject any peace agreement which does not include Gaza. This puts an end to the Jordan is Palestine as Gaza was under Egyptian control and not Jordanian. This allows the PA to demand that any Jordanian resolution is unsatisfactory, as it does not allow any solution for Gaza. Gaza will be their defense claiming that Jordan and Gaza are mutually exclusive. The demand will be simple, only a return to the pre-Six Day War lines will be acceptable. Even should President Trump find some magic crystal ball granting him magical powers that such a deal is reached, then will come the demand that the Palestinian Arab refugees, all five to eight million of them, be permitted to return to Israel and be granted citizenship and payment to all Palestinians to compensate them for their losing the war in 1948 and again in 1967. The Arab world has a dream that with their new modern weaponry, which presumably is equal to anything Israel can currently field, that if only they could force Israel back to the pre Six Day War lines and have a do-over then they will prevail this time. They have likely done their math and find that their forces measure up close to the Six Day War odds and that this time they will win. Further, the idea of another try at eliminating Israel, the Zionist Entity, will somehow draw all the warring factions together in Syria, allow the Muslim Brotherhood to take power in Egypt if President Sisi refuses to join the effort and unite the Arab world into a unified force which might be able to be molded into a Caliphate. Just for an idea of the odds they hope to field, here are the odds from before the Six Day War in the image below. The Arab armies vastly outnumbered the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) yet they managed to lose. They believe they will not lose as third time’s the charm, or so they hope. You can see why the Israelis believe their win was a miracle. The odds in 1948 were even higher as Israel had no actual organized military and managed to patchwork sufficient forces to turn the tide but still lost Gaza to Egypt and Judea and Samaria to Jordan. The Six Day War saw these lands liberated and the Golan Heights taken to end the Syrian practice of using snipers to shoot Israeli farmers working their fields. This is why Israel annexed the Golan Heights quickly after the Yom Kippur War of 1973.

 

1967 Six Day War Initial Odds in Military Forces

 

The gain that Hamas gets from their reconciliation is a lifting of the strangulation imposed by Mahmoud Abbas, which left Gaza with limited electricity, and other difficulties that was going to lead to a challenge of Hamas rule. By placing the PA presumably responsible for civil rule, now they must provide electricity, water, trash pick up, sewage and other civil duties while Hamas retains their army that means that they are actually in control. Mahmoud Abbas will be permitted to visit as will other PA officials as a show of their glorious victory but it is ephemeral. The power still resides with Hamas and even Islamic Jihad will wield greater power than the PA will. At any point in the future, should Hamas decide to end the ruse; the PA will be sent scurrying back to Judea and Samaria where IDF forces and intelligence protect them from Hamas. We would really hate to be one of the PA assigned to the new governance in Gaza as that could prove to be one’s final position should Hamas become upset at Fatah. The reconciliation also has yet to be finalized and there is to be another meeting to work out the minutia around November 21 in Cairo where everything will unravel and go back to where it was before the so-called reconciliation.

 

Finally, the reconciliation between Hamas and Gaza is exactly what Prime Minister Netanyahu claims, a ruse to end any chance at peace. Hamas and Fatah already have stated to their respective citizens that nothing has actually changed as far as Israel and their efforts to end the Jewish State. The PA saw that they were about to face pressures which could have forced them to make concessions instead of Israel and feared that President Trump might actually apply leverage. Now they can count on their partners to provide the cover for rebuffing any advance by President Trump as well as make the Jordan initiative a mute point. They are getting two birds with one stone and Hamas is getting financial relief, a twofer, or does that make it a threefer? That is where the peace initiatives now lay, scattered across the parched sands of the Arab Middle East where any chance of peace is whittled and eroded away by the dry windswept sands. Israel remains an oasis of green and peace where equality exists for every Israeli citizen regardless of their heritage be it Arab, Jewish, Muslim, Christian or anything else. But once again, we are to witness the PA do whatever it takes to negate all hopes for peace.

 

More to come.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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August 3, 2017

Temple Mount Show and Tell the Truth

 

Three Arab terrorists entered the Temple Mount followed briefly later carrying a satchel with fully automatic weapons and one pistol (see video below). They use al-Aqsa Mosque to exchange the weapons and then another mosque in which they change clothing making themselves ready for their attack. When entering the Temple Mount they wear light clothing so as not to raise suspicions wearing heavy clothing. The jackets used to conceal the weapons were likely in the same satchel as the weapons. They put on their jackets used to conceal their weapons until they launch their attack, their design was to murder Jews, to commit Arab terror (no longer will BTC use the term Palestinian in reference to these murderous terror prone groups and will reserve it for the true Palestinian Arabs of the Jordan Opposition Coalition (JOC) headed by Mudar Zahran).

 

 

The next video is what followed, the Arab terror assault on two police guarding one of the areas just off the Temple Mount, a relatively narrow passage with little room to move to escape the automatic fire. The attack murders two police and injures a third police officer (see video below). The two police officers were Druze, not Jews as the terrorists were hoping to murder, and are just as mourned as any Jewish officer for they are also our brave youth. This was the reality faced by Israel and the people desired, demanded, action from their government. The ability to use the Temple Mount for terrorist attacks and infiltration with weapons had to be prevented as such actions threaten every Jew throughout Israel and all feel the possible threats.

 

 

This was what brought the instillation of magnetometers at the entrances in order to prevent anyone from taking weapons up onto the Temple Mount. These scanners were placed outside the Temple Mount entrances, not inside so as not to change the atmosphere on the Temple Mount. The Arabs rioted because they demand to have the right to carry weaponry onto their sacred grounds and possibly stash arms in numbers inside al-Aqsa. This would simply be an escalation as not that long ago the Arabs stored rocks of throwing size and other objects including Molotov Cocktails which used to be employed to attack police on the Temple Mount in the last round of riots (see image below). This is the inside of the precious and most holy of places for Muslims in Jerusalem, presumably the third holiest city in Islam currently (that denotation changes as history unfolds), the al-Aqsa Mosque. This is a place that the Arabs demand that Israeli police must never be permitted to enter, as that would defile the sanctity. The pile of rocks apparently does nothing to the sanctity.

 

al-Aqsa Mosque Rock Pile for Rioting

al-Aqsa Mosque Rock Pile for Rioting

 

That was the picture inside the al-Aqsa Mosque a few year ago after Mahmoud Abbas demanded that Arabs protect the sanctity of the al-Aqsa Mosque when he first used the video he made, the same video which was released again just over two weeks ago on July 19 in our article Rebroadcast of Abbas is Declaration of War where we warned that another round of violence was being readied. The murder of the two police and the murder of three members of a family and the severe wounding of a fourth attacked while having a celebratory Shabbat dinner after the birth of a grandson discussed by us in our article It is a War and the War Claimed Four More Victims. Now we would like to do a thought experiment. No, don’t fret, we promise that it will be an easy thought experiment. Remember the picture above of the weapons, the throwing rocks, in the al-Aqsa Mosque. Replace each rock with one of the items below which were the new weapons smuggled onto the Temple Mount, into the al-Aqsa Mosque and then used to murder the two Israeli police officers (see picture below). Imagine what would happen with a riot breaking out on the Temple Mount and hundreds of Arab young men and women storming out from the al-Aqsa Mosque into Jerusalem murdering as they swarm across the city’s western business districts. Perhaps Prime Minister Netanyahu desires preventing just such a result by placing the detectors outside the entrances to the Temple Mount. Should something like this actually happen and the Israelis manage to prevent a worsening situation resulting in close to or over one hundred Arab deaths, the world media would run headlines which would resemble this, “Israeli Response Kills Hundreds of Arabs in Jerusalem,” and you would read until the fourth or fifth paragraph out of seven, eight or at most nine before you would find reporting that it was a response to Arabs attacking Israelis. The words which would never make it into their reporting would include, but not be limited to, Israeli defenders, Arab terror, or anything else which would clear the picture and illustrate that it was not an Israeli attack where the Arabs were on the defensive but actually the opposite, an Arab mass terror attack initiated from the al-Aqsa Mosque with hundreds of armed Arabs storming the western end of Jerusalem murdering all they encounter until stopped by the Israeli emergency response. Why the world, especially leftists in the media, will blame Israel, as they have in every previous such event, is a question which can have only one answer, anti-Semitism.

 

Military Type Weaponry used in Police Murderous Assault from Temple Mount

Military Type Weaponry used in Police Murderous Assault from Temple Mount

 

Now we can proceed to discuss briefly the reason the riots in Jerusalem, Hevron, in Judea and Samaria as well as in Amman, Jordan around the Israeli Embassy where a Jordanian worker stabbed an Israeli embassy guard with a screwdriver and was shot dead. The guard who shot the attacking workman was arrested by Jordan and then the real threats began. King Abdullah II then contacted the ever-ready Europeans and United States State Department claiming, that should the situation with Israel destroy the sanctity of the Temple Mount with their equipment, metal detectors and all the cameras, his kingdom might erupt and overthrow him; and he asked that they assist him in restoring the peace Israel was threatening both in Jordan and the Arab areas in Judea and Samaria. He added an addendum for the United States claiming that Jordan, under his rule and only his rule, is vital and necessary for the Trump Doctrine against terrorism will fail with devastating consequences should he be overthrown and the rioting threatened just such a consequence. Europe does not require all that much to demand Israel surrender to the Arabs at every turn. Proof comes in the buildings built for the Arabs, which all have European Union flags placed in an emblem detailing their construction and purpose, to change realities on the ground in Area C and force Israel to surrender all the lands liberated in the Six Day War. The State Department of the United States used the threat to President Trump and his efforts started in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia as their reason for pressuring Israel. Israel folded; there is nothing more to say about the result, Israel simply folded before world pressure.

 

We really hope that the Temple Mount does not become the central point and supply cache for a general revolt where arms and explosives smuggled onto the Temple Mount and stored in the al-Aqsa Mosque and other Islamic buildings spread throughout the Temple Mount. The work such as the attack which took the lives of the two police officers and the other which took the lives of three members of the Salomon family (Yosef Salomon age 70, his daughter Chaya Salomon age 46, and son Elad Salomon age 36) was that of a small group and of limited scope not expected to destroy the nation of Israel. What would be far worse would be a planned assault with grand and devastating objectives. We do not desire placing ideas in anybody’s head, but the Temple Mount had been utilized before to smuggle arms and explosives but fortunately, there has never been an organized use of such smuggling to arm an uprising with the intent of overthrowing the Israeli governance since the Second Intifada. What is unfortunate is another intifada is exactly what we expect unless security measures are returned to the entrances, every entrance, of the Temple Mount. We fear that the murders of the Salomon family and the police officers and the ensuing rioting against increased security, the metal detectors may not have even been foreseen and ended up being an added and obvious alteration around which to rally the Arab protests. Now all surveillance has been removed and that, we believe, was the intent of the riots both in Israel and in Jordan and now the Waqf will likely try to harass the remaining Israeli police forcing them from manning the entrances at least every Friday.

 

Friday may become the critical day used by the Arabs to smuggle their provisions for whatever they are planning and the world will attempt to force Israel to remain as vulnerable as possible. What will be so devastating is another intifada will very possibly be a final straw and the end of Arab hopes to force Israel to surrender even an inch of land for them to make anything. Friday is the day when the greatest numbers of Muslims attend services around mid-day, hear a riveting and stirring sermon often about supremacy of Islam, the messiah (the Mahdi) will only come when Muslims kill the Jews and often the immediacy for individual Muslims to work to bring the Mahdi as their acts may prove vital to their savior’s arrival. Friday has been the day of the week when offensives are often began which has often been the case in many of the Arab Spring revolts which toppled a number of Arab leaders and started the Syrian multifaceted warfare. It was a Friday when Saudi Arabian forces stood firm preventing an uprising in their nation. It was Friday, March 14, 2011, when those same Saudi Arabian Troops put down the uprising which had started earlier that day after services in Bahrain intending to overthrow the Saudi friendly Monarch. It was Friday, September 29, 2000, on which day the Second Intifada began with rioting on the Temple Mount replete with rocks, rods, bats and other handheld weapons which eventually led to, according to B’Tselem reports, one-thousand-fifty-three Israelis were killed and many reports claim tens of thousands of Israelis being injured with many receiving life-altering injuries. Magnetometers could prevent virtually all weapons from reaching the Temple Mount and cameras could warn of potential gathering of groups which could be a sign of impending troubles allowing for timely intervention. These were logical reactions to a situation which would be intolerable in any other civilized nation and should their leadership take similar measures after the murder of two police officers and three members of a family in their home at their dinner table. Israel, for some reason, taking the same steps which were taken internationally at virtually every international airport after the 9/11 terror strike in New York and Washington D.C. is not permitted the same response as the entire world demanded Israel leave her nation unprotected and vulnerable to terrorism and the murder of their innocents. No, Israel should take the courage and place these devices back where they will do the most good to protect their citizens and tell the world that her citizens, each and every one of them, be they Arab, Jew, Druze, Baha’I, Christian, Muslim or anything else, these individuals are more important than the opinions of every leader of every nation and Israel will serve to protect these precious denizens of Israel and they may as well not bother to say a word and just save their breath.

 

What Israel should do quietly and through political maneuvering would be to promote Jordan Opposition Coalition and a compromise that will permit King Abdullah II to remain with a nation while the Palestinians in Jordan are permitted to establish what the British denied them by forcing the Hashemite Family over them. Once the true Palestinian Arab State, which was supposed to be the reason for Jordan, has been established, they will be able to give their fellow Arabs the homeland in which to have self-rule. Mudar Zahran, the chairman of the JOC, has promised democracy and a home for all Arabs who wish to come and live in the new Palestine, the name he intends to give his new nation. Israel and President Trump would be wise to assist Mudar Zahran while guaranteeing King Abdullah II that there will be a nation of Jordan where he will remain the monarch, which is better than his uncle did in Iraq, and allow him to separate from a disgruntled majority of his people before there is an Arab Spring style revolt against his rule. This would be the smart route to ending the strife between the Arab populations of two nations and provide peace, even if it will come at the price of the dethroning of Mahmoud Abbas, a President in the twelfth year of his four-year term. Perhaps his retirement is well overdue.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

August 2, 2017

Time is Coming for Israel and Israelis to Finally Decide

 

The backing down to the pressures from Jordan, Arab Palestinians, Jordanian display of a threat to the embassy, European demands, Muslims universally and the United States was necessary for reasons beyond the obvious. Questions need be asked about the handling of the placement of the metal detectors and the additional security cameras. What was interesting and possibly unnecessary were the angry demands from the United States. One might be tempted to inquire if the United States had been informed of the decision before the detectors were installed. We do not mean to intend that the United States needed to sanctify the move, merely that as one of, if not the closest, of Israeli allies would it not have been prudent to include them in the loop of important entities to notify. It is understandable why much of Europe would not be included in the list of entities to notify, as they would likely have submarined the idea before it got off the ground. It might also have been part of the strategy to inform the Waqf, the King of Jordan, the Saudis, the Egyptians and the Russians as the metal detectors were being installed and informed them this was nonnegotiable. Instead, apparently, nobody outside of Israel was consulted, informed or any prior or simultaneous notification was included. If all the above proves true, then it is possible that this was handled potentially with a clumsy plan doomed for failure. We will try not to judge the moves or motives of the situation, as that is more than water under the bridge but also over the dam and out into the ocean by now.

 

What needs to be readied is what to do when what is most assuredly going to come hits the fan. The Temple Mount will be completely vulnerable for the flow of weapons smuggling and even if numerous or even most of the attempts are somehow managed to be intercepted, there will be at least an additional ten percent which will succeed and possibly as much as seventy-five percent of the attempts succeeding. This will lead to an increase in shooting and stabbing terror attacks. These will cause unrest but many will be prevented by Israeli citizens as many have permits for firearms and there are off duty IDF soldiers nearly everyplace in Israel. There is a greater threat that an open Temple Mount will pose and this will only be able to be prevented by very diligent and ever vigilant intelligence work. The real problem will be the smuggling of explosives for making bomb belts and car bombs. Such weapons will not be utilized immediately as these will not be smuggled by youth seeking their fifteen minutes of fame, a new playground in their name and their family paid handsomely for as long as the Palestinian Authority (PA) terror machine is permitted to operate. Things such as explosives will be smuggled by PA operatives with a set of plans already decided and planned for years ago just waiting for an open opportunity to be set in motion. Turkey has been subjected to such attacks as depicted in the picture below. This was a single car loaded with explosives used to murder and injure soldiers in the Turkish Military. Such an attack near a bus station near an IDF base would be a catastrophic shock in Israel as these young men and women are the best and many noble of heart who would likely have joined even if it were not required. Anyone who has read about what happens when one of these young soldiers is killed by a terrorist and tens of thousands and more come to the funeral or attend some ceremony dedicated to their memory even though many attendees have no relation nor even knew the family from whence they came, but they are all struck as if the loss was one from their own family.

 

Ankara Car Bomb Attack Explosion Near Buses Used by Military in Turkish Capital

Ankara Car Bomb Attack Explosion
Near Buses Used by Military in Turkish Capital

 

The reason is simple, because each loss is a member of their family, the family of Abraham, Isaack and Jacob. The Jews are a unique People as we are a People, a Nation, a Religion and most of all, a Family. This is something that the Israeli politicians need be reminded about from time to time, they are leading a family. Even those within our borders who choose to live in peace with us we consider like family. Torah teaches that we must show kindness to the stranger, as we were strangers in a strange land, Mitzraim. Torah instructs that we are to permit those living amongst us in our land three choices and to treat them according to their choice. Those who are willing to live within our land respecting our laws and following the seven laws of the Noahic Code (see below) are to be treated as an accepted person. Those who choose not to live by these restrictions but willing to leave and seek life elsewhere where their expectations would be better met, we are to permit them to leave with their possessions, family and wealth. The final group are those who refuse our ways and the laws and demand we accept their rule over us, these are the ones who desire to war with Israel and are to be granted that desire and we are to war with them until they are vanquished or fled from our lands.

 

Noahic Codes

Noahic Codes

 

Should the Arab Palestinians choose that they desire to have war with Israel, they should be accommodated. Those who choose not to fight and prefer to live in peace should be accepted as alien residents with basic religious, legal, and ownership rights just as if they were a Jew living in our lands. But as far as our neighbors, they should be treated fairly and we should not meddle in their affairs and neither should they be permitted to meddle in our affairs. This goes for all nations both near and distant. Further, those nations desiring peaceful and normal relations should be treated with respect exactly in the same measure as they show Israel. Nations desiring adversarial relations should be spurned and relations withheld. As far as supporting the King of Jordan in not upsetting his Arab population such that they do not arise and depose him, that should be left to Jordanian governance and people and be no concern for Israel, especially in our internal actions. As far as the Waqf is concerned, they may be permitted to care for the Dome of the Rock and the al-Aqsa Mosque but their jurisdiction should end at the doors to these Islamic shrines. Such is more than fair and far better consideration than anything Jewish is granted by any Arab Muslim nation has given any Jewish holy site. Should Jordan refuse such a proposal, then perhaps the time has arrived for the Waqf to be returned to Jordan where their mischief can eventually be forgotten.

 

The Hashemite King claims that only he offers Israel peace and friendship but his actions and demands are not those of a friend. What is of even greater interest are the offers made by the Jordanian who is Palestine leader Mudar Zahran, currently the Secretary General of the Jordan Opposition Coalition (JOC), who propose the deposing of the Hashemite rule and the installation of a democracy allowing the Palestinian Arab majority to free themselves. Mudar Zahran and the JOC have proposed that they also incorporate the Arab Palestinians from Gaza, Judea and Samaria who wish to live under their own rule without any restrictions in their own nation. The JOC has proposed changing the name of Jordan to Palestine thus ending the PLO and PA claims to Israel and granting the Jews sovereignty from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, as was the agreement in countless treaties. This is a group that the Israelis should allow to progress to its logical conclusion. Israel should support and work with the JOC and the United States to divide Jordan into Palestine and Jordan allowing the Hashemites to continue their rule with those who desire remaining with the King and the State of Palestine for the Arabs from Jordan and those presumably exiled within Israel and elsewhere. The JOC has expressed their desire to unite the entirety of Arab Palestinians in their rightful nation formed by the British out of 78% of the Mandate leaving the remaining 22% for the Jewish State with the Jordan River as the border between the two nations. Theirs is an idea to get behind and is the most uncovered and undiscussed solution to what has been an unsolvable situation. We wonder why this is the best-kept secret the world never wants to see the light of day? Perhaps it is because it leaves Israel intact, undestroyed, healthy and free from threats. Imagine that.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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