Beyond the Cusp

January 6, 2019

Iran on the Offensive

 

The world thinks nothing about the fact that the United States has at least one naval fleet in every ocean and in some cases there are two. For example, there have been as many as three carrier groups stationed in the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean for months at a time, usually two carrier groups in the Pacific Ocean, and two carrier groups covering the Atlantic Ocean with one in the North Atlantic and another usually in the western Mediterranean Sea. Usually the United States fields six carrier groups at any one time with one more in reserve and another being overhauled. These are the huge floating city aircraft carriers with their entire flotilla of escorting vessels. There was the period where President Trump decided to give a small show of force to North Koreas’ Kim Jong-Un with three carrier groups parked off his coast in the Sea of Japan (see image below). Such a group of ships with their compliment of escorting vessels will tend to get one’s attention as a single such carrier could decimate a nation as small as North Korea. They should have had a similar effect when parked in the Persian Gulf off the coast of Iran. The problem is they had little if any effect on the rulers of Iran, and their latest announcement could be seen as their response, a response that took around two years or more to come to fruition. Iran recently announced their intentions to send warships into the North Atlantic Ocean, very likely close to the United States eastern seaboard. This should prove to be very interesting.

 

Three United States Aircraft Carriers Dispatched to Sea Of Japan off North Korean Coast

Three United States Aircraft Carriers Dispatched
to Sea Of Japan off North Korean Coast

 

We can all expect that when they arrive, in about three to five months depending on average speed and any requirements to hold their positions while repairs to any of the convoy becomes required. We must point out that Deputy Navy Commander Touraj Hassani stated that the armada would set out for the Atlantic in March and that, “The Atlantic Ocean is far and the operation of the Iranian naval flotilla might take five months.” We will point out that when Argentina sent troops to the Falkland Islands it took the British flotilla almost three months to sail down and settle matters. The assessment of five months could be realistic and will also depend on which route they plan on taking. They could sail through the Panama Canal after traversing the Indian and Pacific Oceans or pass through the Suez Canal through the Mediterranean and into the Atlantic or, if truly daring, could pass around the southern tip of Africa into the South Atlantic and head north. The one route we would seriously doubt would be passing across the Pacific Ocean and then around the southern tip of the Americas as those are fairly treacherous waters even for modern ships. The main questions are why they are sending these ships, how many are in the convoy, and what is the number of “warships” versus support vessels and what are their nature and kind. The other question is what will be the responding moves from Washington. Our bet is there will be a response of United States warships waiting to greet the Iranian vessels in the Mediterranean Sea if they pass the Suez Canal and definitely in the North Atlantic upon their arrival no matter the route. What might the responding ships from the United States appear to the Iranians? Our guess is the picture below would be the minimal response, a single carrier strike group with normal escort and not the entirety of the Atlantic fleet, which would entail three times the number of surface vessels and possible a second carrier (see image below). The one item we can promise the Iranian fleet is they will not be lonely. What could result which would be interesting and really make Iran appear weak, rather than this being their great show of strength, would be their requiring assistance from the United States Navy should one of their ships require extensive repairs for which they were not prepared. The odd thing is that the United States Navy, after receiving clearance, would offer whatever assistance the Iranian fleet may require to make any repairs to a floundering ship.

 

Carrier Strike Group

Carrier Strike Group

 

What is interesting is that the Iranians are attempting to send vessels beyond their range of ability to service the ships. They have sent warships into the eastern Mediterranean Sea before which they could easily have docked in Beirut or any other Syrian or Lebanese port should they need fuel or repairs and have had parts sent from Iran. In the North Atlantic Ocean, the Iranians would not have a port of call in which they could seek repairs, fuel or anything else they may require. The closest friendly ports would be again in Syria or Lebanon which is quite a distance from the North Atlantic for a floundering or stricken vessel to limp on its own, or worse, be towed by another ship, something which requires additional fuel. This is the most distant attempt to station warships by Iran to date to the best of our knowledge. What their intention may be, beyond a show of presumed strength and an ability to actually stage warships that far from their homeports, is difficult to predict. What is of additionally interest will be the numbers and kinds of escort vessels, as they will require bringing additional fuel and supplies for their fleet. Further, it is not known what their ulterior motives may be. Also, it is known that the Iranians have practiced and have specially adapted merchant type vessels which could also be used as escort ship which are adapted for launching of ballistic missiles with ranges up to and over two-thousand miles. These specially adapted ships are to be utilized for attacking land targets anywhere on the globe from these ships as they can take their launching location anywhere. From the North Atlantic Ocean, such a launch could reach as far into North America to easily reach Chicago and the major cities along the Mississippi River. From well out to sea they could also be a threat to New York, Boston, Washington D.C. and the rest of the Atlantic seaboard. Iranian leaders often make no secret of their intents to one-day replace the United States as the preeminent power of the world. They also regularly chant slogans such as “Death to Israel, Death to America” with the Supreme Leader sometimes joining the chant and at other times simply observing appreciatively.

 

Iranian Fleet on Previous Maneuvers

Iranian Fleet on Previous Maneuvers

 

There can be no mistake that this is intended to pose a threatening image letting the United States know that Iran has the capability to reach its shores with naval forces. The other unknown is how the United States reacts to the Iranian presence in what the United States considers their playground. One can be assured that the North Atlantic is not big enough for two such powers and it is likely that the United States will make such very clear. The unknowns on the United States side will be the number of ships which shadow the Iranians and whether their will also be overflights of the Iranian fleet by United States aircraft, and whether such aircraft will be carrier launched or provided by the Air Force from its bases along the Atlantic coastal regions. All told, there is a third potentiality. That is that the Iranian fleet never does arrive in the Atlantic Ocean at all and returns to Iran after sailing partially to the destination only to be forced to return due to fleet problems forcing their return. It may also be the Iranian intent to merely sail into the Mediterranean Sea, make port in Beirut, and then sail back to Iran, as that is the furthest they have sailed previously, and simply announce that they went into the North Atlantic claiming that all denials are simply foreign propaganda intended to denigrate the capabilities of Iran. That would then be something done for their internal consumption. Never underestimate the power of claims made to impress the masses.

 

What would be the worst-case scenario? I think we all know the answer to that question. The absolute worst-case scenario would be any confrontation between Iranian vessels and those of the United States. Even worse would be the launching of missiles by the Iranians towards the United States targeting cities. What people should have assessed by this time that as Iran has been working towards producing nuclear weapons for over twenty years, it is obvious that they would have produced a number of, at the very least, atomic warheads and potentially thermonuclear warheads to place atop their ballistic missiles. Should they launch multiple ballistic missiles targeting New York and Washington D.C. in sufficient numbers to assure that at a minimum at least a few reach their intended targets, that would be the beginning of World War III. Fortunately, this is an extremely remote possibility, but it cannot be completely ruled out. Should such a turn of events unfold, it will be time for everyone to brace themselves for the worst. At the top of the brace yourself list will be a tie between Israel and Saudi Arabia which both would likely be attacked simultaneously as Iran would know that they would have a very narrow window in which to attack whomever they hold the greatest hatreds before the United States would respond ending their ability to conduct further attacks. The next issue would be if such an attack would draw others into making their moves to be the most powerful nations surviving such a conflict. There are the possibilities for North Korea to move on South Korea, China to move on Taiwan and possibly India, Russia to move on reestablishing its control over many of the former Soviet States and who knows what other nations might decide this was their opportunity. This will most likely not be the result of anything Iran may have in its plans. The leadership of Iran often has made statements that it would be worth having their nation wiped off the map if they could take the United States or Israel, not to mention both, with them. Hopefully that was simply more bluster and not their intentions for some future war they would initiate. The first thing which the world need to witness is Iran actually making it with this fleet to the North Atlantic. Should they accomplish this, that will be a feat in and of itself and something which would not bode well for the future.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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August 20, 2018

Why the Entirety of the World Hates Israel

 

This is the real truth which all the screaming, tearing out of hair, denunciations and hatred over the Nation-State Basic Law just recently passed by Israel is about. As we noted recently, virtually every nation has a nationality law and gave a nice long though partial list provided by Wikipedia. A recent article in Arutz Sheva noted that fifty nations have a national religion and many others only recently rid themselves of such. Some nations have national families such as the Royalty as in Britain which the world treats as their monarchs every time one of them marries, others have dictatorial families such as the Jong family in North Korea while still others have their elites such as the Rockefellers, Clintons, Kennedys, Bushs and others in the United States. Every nation has their own flag and national anthem and chooses their own Capital City. This was the extent of the Israeli Nation-State Basic Law. (The entirety of the Israeli Nation-State Basic Law can be read at the end of our article Leftists, the Israeli Nationality Law and President Trump)

 

It is the answer of how Israel filled in the blanks after each of those items. You need to understand exactly what the conflagrating radical protests were really all about. Israel declared itself a Jewish nation. Israel will remain a Jewish majority nation though all other religions and peoples will share equal rights with Jews. Our royalty come from the family of King David should we reestablish our royalty, though curiously left out of this law as we are a parliamentary democracy of sorts. Our flag will be a white field with a blue Star of David in the center between two blue horizontal lines towards the edges. Our National Anthem is Hatikvah. And finally, we declared our ancestral capital city of Jerusalem to still be the eternal city of the Jewish People.

 

Israeli Flag

Israeli Flag

 

We did not bother to mention that our nation is actually almost four thousand years old, though we have had a rough go of it the last half of that time being conquered, dispersed all over the world and then thrown out of every place imaginable on earth even to include briefly by General Grant in the United States who issued General Order No. 11 (included because there will be those who will claim such never happened in America and quite emphatically may we add). The Ancient Greeks, Ancient Assyrians, Babylonians, Ancient Persians, Ancient Egyptians, Romans, Byzantines, Caliphate, British, Ottomans, French, Russians, Nazis and a large number of others either attempted to wipe us from the face of the earth or, at the very least, from their territory. India, China, Japan and the Philippines are amongst the very few who have never attempted to destroy their Jewish populations. The Japanese refused to turn over their Jewish population, some of whom they had taken in to save from the Holocaust, rumored even to have refused when a visiting very high ranking Nazi officer Josef Meisinger, the Butcher of Warsaw, demanded that the Jews should be dealt with correctly by the Japanese or they could be dealt with accordingly in Germany, since the Japanese were obviously incapable of taking care of their presumed Jewish problem. When the Japanese, in order to satisfy their curiosity and placate the Nazis, in 1941 summoned two representatives from the Jewish community while understanding what the Nazi treatment of Jews would result in doing, and asked them a simple question, “Why do the Germans (Nazis) hate you so much?” The Jewish leaders gave a perfect and brilliant reply, “They hate us because they consider us Asians.” The Japanese understood the implication that they would soon be the Nazi enemy should the Nazis win their war of purification of the Earth for only the Aryan Race.

 

Flags of Many of the Nations Who Persecuted Jews Throughout History

Flags of Many of the Nations Who Persecuted Jews Throughout History

 

The reason the world is in such an uproar, well, certain segments of the world including virtually if not all anti-Semites, extreme leftists, neo-Nazis, Communists, the Arab World, most of the Islamic World, anti-nationalists, one worlders and an assortment of others from virtually every group and nationality, is simple, because we used the name Jewish. It is really that simple and goes even deeper. They are angry because in a time where the developed world is committing suicide by one means or another starting with declining populations and unrestrained immigration of unskilled peoples and they are attempting to erase all borders, curiously starting with Israel, we had the audacity to not only define ourselves as separate, but also as Jewish and displayed that we are proud of this. Almost every nation has thrown us out and now they demand that we be removed from the only place we are truly welcome, Israel. We mentioned Jewish flag with a large Jewish Star of David, Jewish song and National Anthem, Jewish race as the majority race, Jewish lineage of kings from King David, we proclaimed our pride in being of the Jewish faith while the developed world, except flyover country and other few exceptions, is adopting forms of atheism as their religion declaring that to them as Friedrich Nietzsche had famously claimed, “G-d is dead.” Nietzsche was lamenting the loss of Hashem in the modern world of Rationalism. Israel declares that those who first chose to follow Hashem and his Law has not perished and have reestablished their ancient home just as prophesized. The People who are the Jews were declared, the Religion that is Judaism lives, the Nation of the Jews survives, the Family of Avraham, Izsak and Jacob survives and all this survival has bloomed in the deserts of the Middle East and thrives. This is what drives the frenzied exasperation.

 

It is the fact that despite the best efforts of the world for three thousand years plus trying to rid themselves of those they believe are the conscience of the world, we Jews have never declared to be such, those who declared us such and scorned us for being what they labelled us is what is driving them mad. Torah teaches us that it is our position to keep the Torah in our hearts and allow it to guide our actions and from doing this, we were to thrive. The fact that living Torah also would beget us a nation which would by an example of a system which works and would be sufficient for others to build their civilization using ours as their foundation. The Christians did exactly that and the result is that once they ceased attempting to murder the Jewish People, they thrived. As Jews, we do not wish the world all become Jews nor do we wish to rule over the world. Our desires are simple, we wish the lands promised us which were from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, no more and no less. We then wish to be left alone and we promise that we will share our discoveries, inventions and anything else we create with the world should they desire such. Thus far, the world appears to love the things we helped to develop or developed completely. Cell phones and instant messaging appear to be amongst the favorites but for the record, here is a link to Wikipedia and their list of Israeli inventions. Just in case everybody missed it, we know you have not missed it totally, but Israel is always amongst the first of the nations to get to any nation having suffered a natural disaster and amongst the last to leave. Israel even assisted the United States after Katrina and other disasters.

 

All Israel desires is living in peace and being treated as an equal by the other nations and for the world to honor the promises they made to the Jewish People. But for the Jews to have returned to their ancestral homeland, this is something that the atheists cannot take as this makes for a Jewish nation, and many religions who have for centuries based much of their raison d’etre on replacement theology where they replaced the Jewish People as the chosen by Hashem or Allah for the Islamic religion. The argument went that since the Jews had been dispersed from their ancient homeland presumably never to return, they must have become cursed by Hashem and Hashem had chosen their faith as a replacement for Judaism. The reestablishment of Israel was terrible enough for these religions, but to now declare this is the Israel of prophesy, that is like a dagger through their heart and thus cannot be permitted to remain. This is the reason for the outbursts with so much more from the far left and their hatred of all religion with the exception of Secular Humanism, a form of atheism mixed with socialism and just a pinch of a royal class of people who have attained enlightenment realizing what is truly good for everybody else and who insist everyone live in a frugal state of self-imposed poverty while the elites of the religion of Secular Humanism reside in Malibu estates clinging to the side of cliffs or in other posh places of political politeness and correctness. These people also hate the fact that Israel is turning more religious and this has not dulled the spirit or inventiveness of the people and the nation plus Israel proves virtually all of Secular Humanism has missed an important point, mankind is a better being when he has Hashem.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 8, 2018

AIPAC Suffers Disoriented Moments

 

Perhaps it was a case of mass dementia or some fast spreading contagion caused derangement. We are unsure what caused so many speakers of repute including Avi Gabbay who leads the Zionist Union and is the Labor Party candidate for Prime Minister who expects to replace Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu. Of course, this is immediately after he is forced to resign over some cigars and champagne which he received as gifts from dinner guests who passed up giving him a nice set of matching glass crystal ashtrays. Then there was newly appointed American Israel Public Affairs Committee CEO Howard Kohr in his coming out appearance he agrees with Gabbay that for peace to be found for Israel, it will require granting the Arabs a new state (see video below) peopled by the citizens of the Palestinian Authority (PA), the fun group who reward terrorists commensurate on the number of Israelis they are able to murder and this payment continues for life. These men honestly believe that rewarding the group of people who pay terrorists for murdering Israelis, try and overthrow governments in almost every nation they find themselves, backed Saddam Hussein in his takeover of Kuwait, invented hijacking aircraft and holding the passengers hostage, invented suicide bombing and invented nearly every single terrorist act which are not spreading to the remainder of the world with their own nations overlooking Tel Aviv and the heart of Israel by using the Green Line* as the border and splitting Jerusalem in half once more. They believe that the United Nations would be able to control the holy spaces which would be within this newly created Arab nation and thus permit universal visitation. Such a nation would be able to look westward from the Judean highlands overlooking the nine mile wide (see map below) waist of Israel seeing downtown Tel Aviv and beyond the Mediterranean Sea and the entirety of the heartland of Israel where three-quarters of Israeli population and economy is located as well as energy production and desalination producing needed water.

 

 

 

The PA uses as one of their plans for the eventual destruction of Israel is to do so in stages. This plan was to take the best offer they are capable of negotiating and appearing to permit peace to break out. Then, after a period of quiet, there would be a massive series of terror attacks followed by demands that if only some more of the occupied lands were ceded to them, then there would be true peace. Once Israel relents and cedes these demanded lands, another period of quiet would be sustained. This quiet would soon be broken leading to the eventual point when they would finally have attained regaining the borders lost by Jordan in the Six Day War. Well, these two men spoke of simply giving all of the lands which had been occupied by Jordan before the Six Day War in one fell swoop. This would give the Palestinian Arabs everything they had once believed would take them years of intermittent periods of quiet and intense terrorism to achieve. This would grant them that view described above of downtown Tel Aviv and direct rocket fire ability where they could adjust their targeting simply by sight. This would result in a terrifying potential scenario where there would be little if any warning to a rocket attack on central Tel Aviv with the largest of buildings in the heart of its business district completely vulnerable. For an idea of what the Arab rocketeers would be able to see from their firing positions in two pictures below depicting their ability to use such a vantage point.

 

Nine Mile Wide Israeli Waist

Nine Mile Wide Israeli Waist

 

As noted, this was the intent of UNSC Res 2334 which was allowed to pass by President Obama in the closing days of his second term. There are many, ourselves included, that believe this UNSC Resolution, which could have been so completely devastating to the life of Israel, was actually written with the knowledge and final approval of President Obama personally. The UNSC Res 2334 was mostly diluted by President Trump having recognized Jerusalem as the capital city of Israel and moving the American Embassy to Jerusalem, an opening ceremony of this fact scheduled for middle of the coming May of 2018. This was the best possible means of showing that there was a new reality in the Middle East with a pro-Israel administration in Washington D.C. and a very strong defender of Israel in American Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley. Unfortunately, we are also witnessing strong evidence that the Deep State retains near universal control over the State Department which has also suggested that the Two State solution is still alive and well. The State Department also claims the 1967 borders are the panacea for peace in the Middle East claiming that should such a plan be implemented, then all wars including Yemen, Syria, Libya, Nigeria and everywhere where terrorism is a problem will be resolved by the very implementing of peace between Israel and the Arabs. The one saving grace is that the PA has sold their most violent and fanatical professional terrorist that they will accept nothing less than the complete and total destruction of Israel. Settling for anything less, would result very likely in an immediate coup to overthrow the ineffective fools who would accept a peace where Israel remains as the Zionist entity.

 

Tel Aviv Before and After UNSC Res 2334 Once Enacted and Enforced

Tel Aviv Before and After UNSC Res 2334 Once Enacted and Enforced

 

Giving the Palestinian Arabs and their PA government their own state is rewarding seventy plus years of terrorism. It also sends the message that terrorism will be rewarded providing you never let up. It will tell Boko Haram, Islamic State, Hezballah, Iran’s IRGC and every other terrorist group in the world to simply stick to their plan until they are given everything they demand. Further, it will be seen as backing for the Quranic verses commanding the followers of Islam to commit to terror as a tactic. Quran 8:12:16 “I will cast terror into the hearts of those who disbelieve. Therefore strike off their heads and strike off every fingertip of them.” Quran 3:151:6 “We will cast terror into the hearts of those who disbelieve for what they have associated with Allah of which He had not sent down [any] authority. And their refuge will be the Fire, and wretched is the residence of the wrongdoers.” Quran 33:26 “And He brought down those who supported them among the People of the Scripture from their fortresses and cast terror into their hearts [so that] a party you killed, and you took captive a party.” Quran 59:2 “It is He who expelled the ones who disbelieved among the People of the Scripture from their homes at the first gathering. You did not think they would leave, and they thought that their fortresses would protect them from Allah ; but [the decree of] Allah came upon them from where they had not expected, and He cast terror into their hearts [so] they destroyed their houses by their [own] hands and the hands of the believers. So take warning, O people of vision.” These verses from the Quran will be validated and have renewed meaning. The Islamists who believe that terror is the means by which they will conquer the weak-willed West will take this as a badge of glory and with this victory, they will act with new heart. Terrorism will be vindicated as the weapon to use against the civilized West as if it worked to destroy Israel, it will destroy the other nations just as readily.

 

As we noted in our article yesterday, Leaked “Deal of the Century” Isn’t, the PA will reject even this peace offering by the State Department. They will believe that their terrorism will soon give them all of Israel, as they will drive the Jews from these lands as they did the Byzantines, the Crusaders, and the British. They believe that like those former conquerors that the Jews have no actual attachment to these lands and that the Jews are but colonists placed here to hold the lands as long as they are able and then to flee back to their natural homes. The Arabs honestly believe that the Jews are simply members of a faith like Christians who reside wherever and everywhere with no real attachment to any lands through their religion. They believe their own propaganda that the Jews all came from Poland, Russia, France, Germany, the United States and the rest of Europe and North America. They do not even remember the Jews which were driven from the Arab lands across MENA** and that most of which ended up in Israel and these Jews make up a fair percentage of the Israeli population.

 

The Arabs will need to come to grips with a new reality which is fast approaching where the Jews are no longer welcomed in Europe. These Jews will end up half in Israel and the rest in North America. What will really bring the reality of the Jews and their ancient homelands of Israel will be after the Jews of Canada are forced to move south into the United States which will simply serve to expedite the Jews being forced from the United States. The influx of over three-hundred-fifty-thousand Jews arriving from Canada will result in bringing to an end the welcome for the Jews in the United States. It will take a while but still result in a severe rise in what has thusfar been an undercurrent of anti-Semitism. The current state of anti-Semitism in the United States is well behind that in Europe where much of it has been kept under wraps existing in the shadows and in whispers. The whispers are slowly becoming murmurs which are a step louder and closer to becoming evident within numerous areas of the culture. From there it is a much shorter step which only requires some new strain or change in reality such as one-third of a million Jews appearing on your doorstep from Canada after nearly half-million European Jews already fled to the United States. Such stress will result in steadily ramping friction with imagined slights and actual slights taken with some more invented and soon you have real problems in areas with few Jews, leading shortly to greater problems where the Jewish population is more significant. Eventually, the Jews from the United States will be heading for Israel with the only question is how many will leave comfortably on their own before they start being pressed to leave. Eventually, the remaining Jews will be fleeing leaving most of their belongings behind and there will always be those few who never catch that their welcome has worn out. Many in the United States will take offense at these estimates of what is likely in the near future, but perhaps if they were to read more of the commentary made on articles concerning Israel or the Jews generally and they might see something to alter their perception.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

* Green Line is the 1949 Armistice Line which delineated the final position of the front line at the end of the 1948-9 war where six Arab nations attempted to destroy the Jewish State at her birth. The Arab League demanded that this demarcation never be used to imply or actually be utilized as any form of border so as to leave the Israeli borders undefined.

** MENA refers to the nations of the Middle East and North Africa

 

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