Beyond the Cusp

June 3, 2015

President Obama, Israel, and the Threat Dilemma

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,1967 War,Absolutism,Act of War,Administration,Amalekites,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Appointment,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab World,Arabs,Armed Services,Article 80,Article Five,Article Four,Attack,Benyamin Netanyahu,Binding Resolution,Blood Libel,Border Patrol,Calaphate,Chancellor Merkel,Civilization,Conflict Avoidnce,Congress,Consequences,Covert Actions,Coverup,Department of Defense,Divided Jerusalem,Domestic NGOs,East Jerusalem,Europe,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs,Executive Order,Federica Mogherini,Foreign Funding,France,Francois Hollande,Gaza,Germany,Golan Heights,Government,Green Line,Hamas,Hamas Charter,Hate,History,IDF,Infiltration Tunnels,International Politics,Intifada,Iran,Iranian Pressure,IRGC,Islam,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Islamic State,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Israeli Interests,Jerusalem,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,Jihad,Jihad,Jordan,Jordan River,Jordan Valley,Jordanian Pressure,Judea,Judean Hills,Kotel,Land for Peace,Leftist Pressures,Liberate Occupied Lands,Light unto the Nations,Mahmoud Abbas,Maniacal Fear,Mediterranean Sea,Middle East,Military Intervention,Military Intervention,Military Option,Mohammed,Muslim World,Muslims,Nationalist Pressures,NATO,Non Binding Resolution,Nuclear Weapons,Old City,Oslo Accords,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,Peace Process,Pentagon,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,Promised Land,Promised Land,Recep Tayyip Erdogan,Recognize Israel,Response to Muslim Takeover,Response to Terrorism,Saeb Erekat,Samantha Power,Samaria,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Secular Interests,Settlements,Six Day War,Special Forces,Susan Rice,Susan Rice,Syria,Taqiyya,Tel Aviv,Temple Mount,Temple Mount,Texas,Theocracy,Threat of War,Threat of War,Turkey,Turkish Military,Turkish Navy,United Nations,United Nations Charter,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,US Air Force,US Army,US Marines,US Navy,War,Western Wall,World Opinion,World Pressures,World War III,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 2:02 AM
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There is a situation developing which either President Obama has not been informed or really desires to destroy Israel and gift all the lands between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea for the forming of an Arab state of Palestine completely erasing the State of Israel and very probably leading to the mass slaughter of the over Six Million Jews living in Israel along with probably most of the Baha’I, Christians and other non-Muslim Israelis and who knows even about many of the Muslims who may not meet the criteria for being a follower of Mohammad and Islam should Abbas apply some standard or tests killing all who fail to measure up. Once again this week President Obama renewed his threat during an interview given to an Israel news outlet that should Prime Minister Netanyahu not enter into renewed negotiations with the Palestinians that the United States would be hard pressed to support Israel in the United Nations Security Council should a resolution be presented concerning the situation with the Palestinians legitimate rights to a state with the 1967 lines, actually the 1949 Armistice Lines which the Arab League demanded never be considered or applied to becoming a border for any entity, especially Israel thus leaving Israel without an actual legally recognized border along the Green Line thus technically making it ineligible for statehood. This was the umpteenth time that President Obama has communicated this threat publically and who knows how many times he has demanded the negotiations reconvene or else to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and other members of the coalition and likely the opposition members as well. President Obama is sounding like a broken record (which refers to this vinyl disk which was the CD of its era, perhaps CD is a bad reference as they too are so dated already but we need a playable reference and not a memory stick with speakers, and the record would hit the damaged groove and jump back one or more grooves and keep skipping back repeating the same part ad nauseum) stuck on repeating that threat to the point that he might actually mean this red line as compared to his Syria red line. But there is a problem also of President Obama’s making he appears to be ignoring and likely intentionally.

 

This little snag is that there is no willing partner with whom for Prime Minister Netanyahu to negotiate. Chairman Mahmoud Abbas of the Palestinian Authority refuses to permit negotiations on any borders or other potential demands and situations which stand in the way of Abbas making peace with Israel, namely the existence of Israel as you will soon realize. Abbas and all the other members of the supposed supportive ruling structures of governance for the Arabs denizens of Judea and Samaria residing in Area A and parts of Area B, with Area C presumably under Israeli sovereignty and thus beyond Arab rule by the terms of the Oslo Accords and the Roadmap for Peace (a restating of the Oslo Accords which additionally allowed for certain guarantees for Israel to retain many of the recognized Israeli settlement cities and blocks which were established, guaranteed by President Bush and his administration which was given Israel in a letter of intentions and refined definitions of terms, in exchange for Israel turning over Gaza to the Arab Palestinian Authority, of which Mahmoud Abbas is its Chairman, in order for the Palestinian Authority to be allowed to show the world their intent and ability to reside in peace with Israel and build a functional society within Gaza which would lead to the turning over of Judea and Samaria except for the recognized areas defined in the letter of intent which restated the inferences in the document of the Roadmap which set the standard for areas beyond Area A and Area B being turned over to Arab control in Judea and Samaria and East Jerusalem. The problem is that the Roadmap demanded that the Arabs demonstrate their leadership and ability to govern and live peaceably with the Israeli neighbors. Abbas and company almost from day one had a small problem, they really had no control over Gaza as the people of Gaza did not desire for Abbas to be in charge and stealing the majority of the funding that was supposed to be used for their betterment and the building of infrastructure and upkeep and all those other pesky and annoying items which is a part of leadership. This led to the expelling in disgrace the United States trained Arab Palestinian Authority Security Forces, an actual small army, replacing them with the peoples chosen leaders, Hamas the terrorist entity. So the demonstration on how Abbas would rule Gaza or any other area was to be thrown out unceremoniously and replaced with a terrorist group, namely Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Europe has slowly but surely taken a rather expected route for a continent mostly ruled by weasels of which the worst of the bunch are at the top in the European Union. The path taken by these illustrious genuflectors to anything anti-Israel, anti-Zionist and moving rapidly to including anti-Semitic was to remove Hamas, or at least try to but have to retreat due to the cries of protest which are beginning to wane and retreat as they adjust to the idea that there are no real terrorist groups, just many misunderstood bomb-makers and assassins, and soon Hamas will be cleared of accusations of terror activity and accepted as a ruling body in Gaza.

 

Now we reach the little problem, the burr the size of Texas under the saddle. Mahmoud Abbas and supporting kleptomaniacs have decided that they will demand the same exact demand put forth originally by none other than President Obama during his first year in office when he demanded that the 1967 lines be the actual border for any Arab State and that negotiations should begin on this idea. Abbas has taken that and demanded that all Israelis be removed from beyond the 1967 Lines, the Green Line, before he will even consider restarting negotiations. Thus far he has not particularly stated he is including the Eastern sections of Jerusalem, especially the areas surrounding the Temple Mount and reaching to the Western Wall as much of these areas have been either modernized inside leaving the outside of the building as its original and historic structure and stones as well as much additional new buildings as Israel will Never Again allow for the Temple Mount and surrounding environs to be stolen from us as long as we continue to breathe, period. But Abbas likely will include every inch of Jerusalem occupied by Jordan between 1948 and 1967 until they declared war on Israel on the second day of the Six Day War in June of 1967 where Israel, subsequent to the Jordanian assault, artillery barrage and tank advance through western Jerusalem, repelled and drove back the Jordanian Army across the Jordan River behind the recognized Jordanian border and liberating Judea and Samaria. The unit which retook the Western Wall and Temple Mount stopped their advance and prayed upon these holy grounds being liberated and returned to Jewish possession. This was the spiritual highpoint of the entire Six Day War which itself brought out a spiritual high for all Israelis, Zionists and their supporters, and they were numerous and even included Europe back in those times, before the universal campaign to besmirch the Israeli reputation and utilize old anti-Semitic tropes to label and defeat Israel making Israel and her supporters the new Jew to be scorned and destroyed at all costs. The old blood libels of killing babies for their blood for baking Matzoth became modern blood libel against the Israeli Defense Force (IDF), the Israeli government and the Jews of Israel as well. Now Israel is faced with President Obama demanding Israel enter negotiations or else he will support the presumably soon to be presented French Plan in the United Nations Security Council while Abbas demands that Israel pull all of her citizens, IDF, security forces, and border police from all of Judea and Samaria including the Jordan River Valley (a strategic defensive area which is essential if Israel is to survive any mass assault from out of the east such as Iran, Iraq and even Jordan with the potential of Syria or Turkey using that approach), all of the established cities east of the Green Line which includes nearly one-million Israelis both Arab and Jewish and most likely all of East Jerusalem.

 

One may wonder why Abbas would make such an outlandish and maximalist set of demands in order to even begin any negotiations. It actually is fairly obvious though a bit difficult to believe. The initial hint is the fact that there have been claims for quite some time from Arabs that they should be awarded all of Jerusalem for their capital city and that every trace of Israeli presence be removed thus giving all of Jerusalem and probably the majority of the neighboring areas which would be considered generally a part of the greater Jerusalem area. This would push Israel almost back to Tel Aviv and its neighboring areas and completely out of any of the high ground of which Jerusalem and the established cities beyond the Green Line are Israel’s first line of defense against both attack and terrorist infiltrations. But Abbas is fully aware of the ramifications of what he demands. Also, should Israel completely pull out of all the areas previously occupied by Jordan, what is left to negotiate? Abbas and his band of cutthroats will have received what even most Europeans, for now, recognize as the maximalist demands of the Arabs and should Israel retreat from all such areas past the Green Line even the Europeans, United Nations, United States, Russians, and virtually everybody else except those desiring that all of Israel be destroyed, and groups that includes Abbas and fiends. That is what Abbas deems needful of negotiations and why he can demand exactly the same that President Obama once demanded and has countlessly stated as an intended border, all of the lands east of the Green Line, as the initial point for negotiations and for all Israeli presence be removed, thus he also established possession, which we all know, possession is nine-tenths of the law. Once Israel has been forced from their cities, neighborhoods, factories, commercial developments, shopping malls and all other areas, many of which were established over forty years ago when the world recognized these areas as to be retained by Israel in even the most sacrificial of agreements and now are no longer in question a part of the Arab state to be formed upon the corpse of the state of Israel and the graves of her Jews, Christians and others.

 

So we have President Obama threatening to allow or possibly even support, which will be important as we will explain, the soon to be released French proposed peace plan in the United Nations Security Council and we have Abbas demanding that Israel abandon every inch of the contested lands, likely even East Jerusalem, before he will even consider gracing the negotiations table with a representative; Abbas is beyond and above such trivialities as bothering to negotiate. He is too busy looking at the real estate offerings in Northern Tel Aviv and choosing which mansion he will likely claim as his retirement estate, the place he will hide behind international troops guarding his safety after he destroys all of Israel through negotiations supported by President Obama; though I am tempted to make a Freudian typo of Preditorent Obama. Truth be told, there are those within President Obama’s innermost circle of advisors, which include Susan Rice and Samantha Power and others, including at least one self-loathing Jew, who would advise he support the eradication of Israel and the genocidal slaughter of her peoples replacing all with the twenty-third Arab state as a just and fitting crown of achievement and legacy of President Barack Hussein Obama, and for such an accomplishment perhaps his middle name should be in all caps, italicized, bolded and flashing red just for emphasis. This has to be behind Mahmoud Abbas demand for all of the contested areas be just the introductory sacrifice by Israel in order for there to be negotiations where Abbas will have his negotiators instruct the Israelis of their eventual demise within the next few months as President Obama, the United States military and all the NATO nations descend on Israel siding in its complete removal and sterilization of the lands purifying all of the area between the River and the Sea of every last vestige of Israeli heritage or sign of its ever having existed establishing the Arabs now known as Palestinians as the sole historic residents of the areas going back to the initial explosion which created the universe.

 

So, what is this French plan of which we have mentioned, you ask? Well, it can be simplified to a sentence or two. It calls for the restart of negotiations using the 1967 Lines (Green Lines) as the initial starting point for borders allowing for mutually agreeable exchanges of lands for establishing the final borders for both Israel and Palestine allowing for negotiations to last up to eighteen months and if no agreement can be reached by that point then the United Nations will establish borders based on the Green Line as they see acceptable and should this be a Chapter Seven Resolution, then it will be enforceable by use of force of arms. The force of arms is why having the United States not just oppose nor veto, nor only abstain, but to vote in favor of this plan and promise to fully support the enforcement at the end of the eighteen months with American military might. The one change I might think that Obama would demand be set is that the eighteen months countdown begin at some date past such as when the talks last collapsed such that he is assured that he will still be in office long enough to see the implementation by force of arms be carried out. And yes I do believe that President Obama would use force of arms to the point of overwhelming use of military might against Israel though he has refused to use it anywhere else. I can even make the argument whereby President Obama can make it appear that he has no other choice but to attack Israel to enforce the United Nations decree. He would initially refuse to use force of arms against Israel to force a solution which would then have the European Union and all the nations of Europe get cold feet and refuse to use force of arms and instead whine at Israel loudly and annoyingly in the hopes that such was enough (the question is would Israel even notice that Europe was now whining rather than droning on and on about the Palestinian Arabs). Finally, there would be a few nations who would tepidly send a few troops, certainly not sufficient to force five grandmothers to cross a street, and they would take over a hotel in Bethlehem or Ramallah and spend their time in the bar patting each other and commenting on their brave commitment. Finally there would be a single nation which would give Israel a deadline for them to leave the contested areas or else face the use of force to establish the terms of the French Proposal and enacted United Nations edict.

 

Next Turkey would mass naval forces offshore and land forces along the Golan Heights as there would be no Syrian forces to protest and the likely responsible entity would be Iran who would gladly approve and give permission. The Turkish troops would act as if they were advancing but not cross the Israel border though they would probably remove the fence and other restrictive barricades leaving a large defenseless area which would serve well for an attack. Eventually the Turkish forces would advance with speed towards the Israeli border accompanied by armor such as tanks and Armored Personnel Carriers (APCs) eventually drawing an Israeli response which they would tout as a hail of bullets and munitions threatening Turkish troops who were not being threatening in any manner and were on the former nation of Syria’s side of the border. Turkey would then a few days later force an actual engagement which both sides would accuse the other of fomenting the firefight. Both sides would take casualties and Turkey would demand the support of the member nations under Article Five of the accord of which Turkey is still a member, for reasons that escape me. Then there would be a flurry of activity in Brussels and capital cities across Europe, the United Kingdom along with the United States and Canada all discussing what will eventually be a moot-point, whether or not they must support the call to arms by NATO member Turkey against Israel. Eventually, probably a very short eventually, they would realize that they were treaty bound. Here is the according of Article Five of the NATO Charter also known as the Washington Treaty:

Article 5 of the Washington Treaty

The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defense recognized by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area. Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security.

 

Once the NATO Alliance members have received an Article Five request and the aggression has been verified, something in such a scenario set-up above, such a debate would be quite short and soon followed by some deep breathes and a fair amount of hemming and hawing attempting to discover some way to avoid committing troops unless the United States leads the way. There would very likely be a brief statement made by President Obama in the White House during primetime evening hours so that the television stations could carry the announcement that despite reservations and with no desire to engage Israeli forces, the United States is treaty bound to come to the aid of a fellow NATO nation suffering attack while in support of an Article Seven Binding Resolution which the United States is also treaty bound to support and is why the United States has provided Turkey with intelligence data gathered by satellites and other means on the Israeli positions and troops movements etc. Such information was unnecessary which President Obama was aware when he offered such information in place of actual assistance. If one desires to know about any Israeli call-up of reserve forces, IDF troop movements, defensive placements and intended plans of actions, all a commander of an enemy force needs to have is a subscription to Haaretz and all the intelligence information will be in the first section, first page, with any above the fold coverage being of special and paramount importance to any opposing force. With the advent of the Article Five NATO treaty request as well as the Chapter Seven United Nations Security Council Resolution and all other considerations, President Obama would claim remorse and having his hands tied forcing his offering the complete and total support of the entirety of the United States military capabilities for the duration.

 

It is such a scenario which, no matter how ridiculous and impossible as it may appear, would force the United States to use force, that we can expect that in talks President Barack Obama likely personally told with French President Francois Hollande to submit the Israel Peace Resolution as a Chapter Six Resolution which is not binding even to the point of use of military force to implement. They would have noted that such would be sufficient to allow every nation wishing to do so to recognize the Green Line as the border of the new state of Palestine; it would still be debatable if the Green Line would then also be the recognized Israeli border. Then they would continue on debating over some fine French wine, some truffles, some foie gras stuffed into sautéed mushrooms and some coq au vin as to which nation would get to recognize Palestine officially. Of course this conversation would take place in Paris as when has President Obama ever used the phone when a trip to some luxurious location was the alternative as one can only be President for at most eight long travel mile years. Even with the recognition there will likely not be a clompete retreat from the contested lands and no way the Israelis will accept totality of defeat and be debating the terms of surrender after pulling back within the Green Line as Abbas demands. The demand is the insistence that Israel accept their defeat in a war of world public opinion and the talks Abbas describes would be to discuss the terms of Israeli surrender of all the lands all the way to the Sea along with a schedule for vacating the lands as the Arabs enlarge their state of Palestine until it reaches the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea, just as the chant one can hear at every Israel Apartheid Week (or month) on their local university campus, a celebration required of any university deeming themselves relevant to the modern age of political correctness in all things and a required hatred of Israel and all things related including the concept of a Jewish State, the Jews having the same rights as any other peoples or simply against Jews period. The one thing which requires our attentions are to see whether the French Arab-Israeli peace talks resumption resolution is filed as a Chapter Six, non-binding resolution, or a Chapter Seven, binding resolution with required options for use of military force to implement should any nations or group challenge and not conform to the demands of said resolution. If the French resolution is filed as a Chapter Seven then we will be watching the debate and vote on whether or not the world should run full steam barreling headfirst into World War III. Isn’t it wonderful to live in “interesting times”, just as the old Chinese curse states.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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March 1, 2014

A Tale of Two Potential Conflicts

Filed under: 1949 Armistice Line,1967 Borders,Act of War,Administration,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab Appeasement,Arab League,Arab World,Arabs,Armed Services,Ayatollah,Ayatollah Khamenei,Ayatollahs,Blood Libel,Borders,Chuck Hagel,Civil War,Civilization,Condemning Israel,Conflict Avoidnce,Covert Actions,Ditherer in Chief,Divided Jerusalem,Domestic NGOs,Europe,European Governments,European Pressure,European Union,Executive Order,Fatah,Foreign Funding,Foreign NGOs,Former Soviet Republic,General Assembly,Government,Green Line,Hamas,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,Hezballah,History,Holy Sites,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Pressure,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Israel,Israeli Capital City,Jerusalem,Jerusalem Day,Jewish Heritage,Jewish Home,Jewish Leadership,Jewish State,Jews,John Kerry,Judea,Judean Hills,Kiev,Mahmoud Abbas,Middle East,Military,Military Intervention,Military Option,Mohammad Javad Zarif,Muslim World,Muslims,Netanyahu,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Weapons,Old City,Oppression,Palestinian,Palestinian Authority,Palestinian Pressures,Partition Plan,Peace Process,Permanenet Members,Pogroms,Politics,President Obama,President Vladimir Putin,Russia,Russian Pressure,Sanctions,Secretary of Defense,Secretary of State,Security Council,Soviet Union,Taqiyya,Temple Mount,Terror,Threat of War,Ukraine,United Nations,United Nations Presures,United States,United States Pressure,Veto Power,Waqf,War,Western World,World,World Opinion,World Pressures,Zionism,Zionist — qwertster @ 4:07 AM
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Of all the potential flashpoints existing in the world, we would like to compare and contrast two separate potential conflicts; the possible intervention in the political unrest in the Ukraine by Russia and the possibility that Israel might intervene to attempt to address and mute the several threats across numerous fronts including Hezballah, Hamas and their sponsor Iran. Where any Israeli action against the growing threats made out of Iran would also require that Israel to take into consideration how they would address the additional arms that Iran has direct influence and could turn loose to attack Israel utilizing the tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of rockets and missiles ranging through the gamut from Katyusha and Grad rockets to Scud, Fajr and Zelzal-2s. The questions in each case run the full range from what would be the reactions of the United Nations to reactions from the major powers and other significant groups and entities.

 

Starting with the possibility of a Russian intervention in the Ukraine, what are the various scenarios and resultant ramifications. It is very possible that the Russians will be able to claim that their intervention is in response to requests from the people of the Ukraine who saw the overthrow of the government as a direct threat to their interests and safety. Such a request could easily be made by the majority Russian citizens living in the eastern and southern provinces of the Ukraine who have made clear their preference for the Ukraine to align with Russia over aligning with the European Union. There are reports that the Russians have placed a large force on their border with the Ukraine including fighter and other aircraft wings which would be necessary to assist with any military intervention. United States President Obama, Secretary of State Kerry and Secretary of Defense Hagel have all made statements warning the Russians that the United States Administration is opposed and demands that they not enter or otherwise interfere with the political process currently occurring in the Ukraine. The odds that Russian President Putin will heed such a warning and have it influence his decisions are basically nil. Much of this has to do with the complete lack of the United States to back earlier warnings given to Syria when American President Obama announced his red-line and serious consequences on Syrian President al-Assad against his deploying chemical weapons. The complete ineffectiveness of the American threat of serious consequences resulting in dithering and equivocation by President Obama leading to inaction and a stalemate which was almost painful to witness and was thankfully brought to a definitive end when President Putin intervened proposing the confiscation and destruction of al-Assad’s chemical weapons arsenal granting President Obama a way to climb down from the embarrassment of being caught on his own petard.

 

Should the Russians intervene in the Ukraine the world is most likely to sit on their hands and not offer even the mildest rebuke. The truth is that the Russians, especially under President Putin’s leadership, are sufficiently feared and retain sufficient threat to cause any sane and reasoned person or nation to carefully consider if the Ukraine is really worth their potentially confronting the Russians and challenging President Putin. Furthermore, as the Russians are one of the permanent nations on the Security Council and possess a full right of vetoing any actions or proposals presented for consideration by that body, there is absolutely no possibility to condemn any Russian actions in the Security Council. The possibility of Russia being rebuked by the General Assembly is one of the most laughable proposals anybody could ever make. The General Assembly often appears like it exists for denouncing the United States, Israel and even the European nations while forgiving any transgressions by the entirety of the non-free and third world nations. The end result of a Russian intervention in the Ukraine would likely be very similar to the results decades ago when the Soviet Union rolled tanks and troops into the rebellious republic of Czechoslovakia on August 21, 1968, bringing the reforms and attempt to move out from under the Soviet thumb by Czechoslovakia with nary a significantly effective complaint from the entire world. Putting it succinctly, Russia could walk into the Ukraine and annex the entire nation reestablishing Russian control of the entirety of the Ukraine and outside of any demonstrations by Ukrainians there would be little effective protest. The resistance by any Ukrainians would be short lived and ended with whatever brutality was deemed necessary as that is the Putin way.

 

In the other situation, the cacophony of denunciations and demands for the world to completely condemn Israel would be deafening and seemingly universal. There would be a race between the different nations to bring condemnations of Israel before the General Assembly and the Security Council would be in emergency session before the sun set and possibly before the jets returned from a strike on Iran. There would be claims upon claims quoting International Law as requiring the condemnation of Israel for their wanton assault on another United Nations member nation. The justification which Israel could offer would never be given the slightest consideration in the rush to condemnation. But is such condemnation appropriate or would Israel have a right and justifiable reasoning behind such an attack that would be backed by International Law? Surprisingly to most, the answer is a definitive yes. The Iranian leadership including Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khomeini, numerous Imams, many of the Ministers from the Iranian Parliament and numerous other members of the leadership both political and religious have publically called repeatedly for the annihilation of Israel. There have been large assemblies of Iranians, often weekly on Friday after services where the Imam likely gave a sermon demonizing Israel and calling for Jihad to reclaim Islamic lands, who chanted in unison repeating the chant often spoken from the podium by a high government or religious official calling out, “Death to Israel” as well as religious chants proclaiming the supremacy of Allah and their dedication to serve Allah often by actions to destroy the Jewish State. Speeches given by leading government leaders at parades and other events which almost always include martial demonstrations such as parading missiles on launchers in parades these leaders claim that the military strength displayed will soon be loosed on Israel destroying the Zionist Entity. These provocations, if they can be believed as actual statements of intent and the probability of their being a true forecast of actions exists, then Israel would have sufficient cause to attack Iran to destroy the Iranian ability to make war upon Israel under International Law. That is the crux of the argument behind the threats to strike the Iranian nuclear sites and the same arguments would also hold for an Israeli strike on Iranian military targets.

 

Where Israel would face a series of severe threats would be from the terror forces which are available to carry out any Iranian calls for attacks on Israel. These include minimally Hezballah and Hamas and could also include terror forces in the areas under the control of the Palestinian Authority, Judea and Samaria, also called the West Bank. This very likely was one of the subjects which was discussed when Palestinian Authority Chairman Abbas visited Tehran, Iran recently. Such would most definitely have come up if Chairman Abbas was requesting any funding or other assistance from the Iranians, something which is very likely as Abbas appears to be incapable of visiting anywhere and not begging for funding. Where Israel would be hard-pressed in making an argument for attacking the Palestinian Authority areas, they would easily be able to make a convincing argument concerning both Hezballah and Hamas as both have left no doubt that their intent is the destruction of Israel and the genocidal slaughter of every Jew, often referred to as Zionists, residing in Israel no matter their political persuasions. The reality of any Israeli attack is that you would be able to count the number of nations that would actively support the Israelis would likely be countable on your two hands. Bless United States, the Czech Republic, Panama, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, Palau and especially Canada (with a salute to Prime Minister Harper). These were the only nations which found the nerve and good conscience to vote against recognition of the Palestinian Authority as a non-member state. Israel would face a boycott from the European Union and the Arab League would be red-faced in angry denouncements. Israel might not even be able to count on having the United States defend them with their veto in the Security Council. It might even be prudent for Israel to resign their membership in the United Nations which for the vast majority of its recent history has been the place Israel could go to be denigrated and denounced for her audacity to exist. The differences between a Russian military intervention in the Ukraine and Israel acting in her own self-interest and defense would be diametrically opposite in act and reasoning. Some things are only remarkable in their obvious predictability as in their lack of moral conscience and convictions.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

September 8, 2013

Ramifications of Obama’s Syria Blundering

The news stories have spent much ink and headlines pointing out the fiasco around Syria, chemical weapons, and President Obama’s pronouncement of the necessity for a strike against Bashir al-Assad’s military infrastructure in order to send a message that his use of such weapons will not and cannot be tolerated by the United States, the world, and in particular, President Obama and his advisers. We have read and heard about the shrinking credibility President Obama may suffer if he does not strike even if he should have the excuse that Congress would not authorize his request to use force. Many have pointed out that President Obama does not require anything from Congress in order to exercise his option as President to use force for up to ninety days before any Congressional action is required. I have always thought this was somewhat of a joke as a way to curtail the power of a President to engage in military actions as should a President instigate a military intervention and have even a mere thirty days freedom to act as he believes is necessary, a President could easily get American forces so engaged and deeply into a mission that no sane Congress would vote to pull the rug out from under them at that point. The reality that President Obama could have ordered his strikes on Syria and they would have been planned and executed all before the Congress returned from their Labor Day break assuming President Obama was being forthright when he said all he planned to do was strike selected military targets from the air using Tomahawk Missiles and other stand-off air assets fired from over the Mediterranean Sea from B-2 and B-52 heavy bombers. So, what has President Obama gained and lost by invoking Congressional approval and once again choosing dithering over acting?

 

The gains are easy for one to see but they are not envious gains and are likely going to cause the President serious harm and probably Congressional approval. The grandest gain is the American people have been allowed to give voice to their feelings on the whole matter of Syria and it appears they are almost unanimously against any form of United States military actions for any purpose in the Syrian conflict. Not sure if this is exactly a gain, but we now have a few more gems of complete inane and completely ridiculous comments from Senator McCain who among his brilliant opinions comes his defining the meaning of “Allahu Akbar” for the rest of us members of the ignorant masses which he defined as the same as a Christian exclaiming, “Thank G0d” and not what we had all likely assumed which was, “Allah is the greatest.” Many Americans are finding out whether or not their Congressional representative, be they either Senator or their Representative in the House, are able to understand that when hundreds if not thousands of their constituents call in demanding they vote against a military intervention, that such actions actually means the people do not want them to give the President blessings to go ahead and strike Syria. There may be a future lesson when at the next election for these same representatives who decide not to heed their public comes around and we will see if their constituents have any memory and actually meant what they said. There have already been a number of Senators and Representatives who have been interviewed specifically on why they changed their position from originally supporting the President for a strike on Syria and within a day or two changed their minds. Of the few I have been fortunate enough to hear or watch, and I always love watching politicians backing away from a previous position, it is just so amusing watching them stumble and try to sound contrite and convincing all at the same time, none of them have simply stated the plain truth. I sometimes wonder how difficult it is for a grown person to simply state, “After the barrage of calls my offices have received on this issue demanding my vote on this issue I have listened to the people and will do as they elected me to do and vote their desired position.” There you have it, all you politicians looking for what to say to the cameras in explaining your change, plain, simple, and oddly enough, it is the truth which would be nice to hear for a change. The final and possibly only advantage President Obama has gained by invoking Congress is he will have a way out of backing his poorly chosen red line threat without completely losing face as he can claim it is the will of the American people and after all, he will be able to claim he is nothing if not a man of the people.

 

The real ramification will have little effect on actions the United States was ever actually going to commit but at least that is now a certainty. If the Israeli leadership ever entertained the idea that President Obama actually intended to prevent the Iranians from gaining nuclear weapons, they have now been completely disabused of that notion. The evidence is now overwhelming and the truth is plain to see, President Obama is completely ineffectual on foreign policy. He is exactly as was warned coming in to the last elections by us here that the main problems on the doorstep of the world and especially the United States were not the seemingly immense problems with the economy or other items concerning the home-front but the affairs of state and the international crisis which were all coming to a boil almost in a tsunami. The world can only be left on autopilot so long before it begins to lose altitude and a crash becomes inevitable if nobody takes hold of the controls and steers it back on course. This has been the case numerous times throughout history, recent history even. Anyone observing the world stage during President Obama’s first term watched as Iraq slowly devolved back into sectarian violence with Sunni-Shia fighting growing almost daily by the end of the first term. Terrorism has been steadily rising and the Iraqi government has become a puppet of the Mullahs of Iran who have completely replaced the United States as the guiding influence. Egypt also has become unstable as President Morsi with the backing of the Muslim Brotherhood attempted to install an Islamic governance structured around Sharia and get the equivalent of what has taken Turkey’s Prime minister Erdogan almost a decade to do there and the Egyptian people revolted. The Egyptian military has subsequently intervened and replaced the Morsi government and now comes the slow decent into civil strife with terrorist bombings, shootings, burning buildings, and worst of all, the complete dissolution of Egypt’s oldest establishment, the Coptic Christians who are helplessly watching their churches and monasteries burned to the ground or converted into Mosques; their homes and businesses looted and destroyed; their women and children kidnapped, forced into marriages, forced to convert, or even murdered; watched as their numbers dwindle away as those who can get out of Egypt flee, and they realize that one of the oldest Christian communities is on the verge of following Egyptian’s once flourishing Jewish community into oblivion and wiped from the pages of history. Turkey is also experiencing violence between Shia and Sunni segments of the population and there have even been some demonstrations against the creep towards Islamist Sharia Law which the people are resisting at long last. Syria has completely melted down and the Christian community is being slowly decimated. There is also growing violence between the Kurdish elements and militias and the Sunni rebel forces. Al-Qaeda and the Muslim Brotherhood have supplanted the pro-democracy forces of the rebel cause and the fight is now between Sunni and Shia forces with Iran and Hezballah supporting Shia al-Assad and his predominantly Alawite military forces while the al-Nusra Front, al-Qaeda, Muslim Brotherhood, and mujahedeen fighters are flocking into Syria to fight for Sunni preeminence in the Muslim world. Then there has been the financial collapse of much of Europe with Germany and France trying to prevent the complete meltdown of the Euro as an effective and useable currency. These are just the highlights of a world in complete upheaval almost anywhere one looks. We have not mentioned the still completely out of control Horn of Africa, the struggles between Christians and Muslims in Nigeria and Mali, the continuing friction between China and both Japan and the Philippines over claims on solitary islands and free travel within the South China Sea, the drug wars in Mexico, the collapsing scene in Afghanistan and Pakistan where terrorist forces are once again growing in power, civil strife in a number of Asian nations, financial difficulties among many South American countries and a plethora of lesser problems almost anywhere one looks. Add in the growing adversarial relations between the United States and Russia as well as China and it almost seems the Cold War has returned.

 

And lastly there is the Iranian drive to produce nuclear weapons which recently was uncovered is not only enriching uranium but is also producing plutonium making their drive a dual route pursuit for nuclear weapons doubling at the least their likelihood of attaining nuclear status that much sooner. With the now obvious punting of any possibility of an intervention by the United States concerning Iran, the entire responsibility will likely fall on Israel, just as it did in the early eighties when nobody was willing to prevent Saddam Hussein and the French had even built him a reactor aiding his drive for nuclear weapons. Israel addressed that problem and the world was fortunate that Saddam Hussein’s nuclear program was so easily derailed. Despite what eventually was a grateful United States who years later quietly thanked Israel for preventing a nuclear Iraq, at the time of Israeli action against the Osirak reactor President Reagan joined the rest of the Security Council in condemning the Israeli strike. Preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon will not be as easy as a single sortie on one location but will require days or maybe weeks of sorties covering almost the entirety of Iran in order to cripple the majority of the nuclear sites strewn strategically throughout the vast country. Making matters worse is that Israel has to fly routes which would take her aircraft over such hostile nations as Turkey, Iraq, Syria, and of course Iran. It is also not guaranteed that such as Saudi Arabia or Kuwait or any other nations which control alternate and much longer routes would be willing to stand down. The only probable nation which would be agreeable would be Jordan and I guess one should be thankful for any favors. Add to Iran the seeming determination of President Obama to divide Israel up in order to form a Palestinian state even to the point of dividing Jerusalem once again and Israel really has a difficult immediate future. The claims made by a number of Palestinian official spokespeople that President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry provided the Palestinians with assurances that the borders would be crafted along the 1949 Armistice lines with only the land swaps the Palestinians allowed to alter the borders and one might decide that the best hope would be no success to the talks. Such possible outcomes make one hopeful that the Palestinians continue in their past tendencies to never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity. Unfortunately, they only have to not miss one opportunity to make up for all those missed in the past, may it not be this one.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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