Beyond the Cusp

July 10, 2018

Preview of Middle East Coming Attractions

 

We open our fictional projection somewhere in the not too distant future with the Mullahs in Iran officially announcing their entrance into the nuclear age and as a full-fledged member of atomic weapons club. They went further with actions to showcase their accomplishments with two detonations. The first detonation was a test in a deep bunkered test facility which they had dug in the southwestern desert region which measures approximately twenty-five kilo-tons. Reactions referred to this blast as being a Hiroshima type atomic weapon and minimized the threat. This reaction was corrected early the next morning when an above ground test was conducted where the Iranians has launched a missile from eastern Iran towards northern Syria near the border with Turkey. This missile struck its target, a Kurdish strongpoint where they were dug in against the Turkish forces. This weapon was a thermonuclear device and was approximated to have been in the twenty to twenty-five megaton yield and was sufficient to complete obliterate the small Kurdish stronghold and the entirety of the city. This has drawn responses from the European signatories to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA) filled with ire blaming President Trump for the failure of the agreement solely because he pulled the United States support for the deal. The French, German, British, European Union and United Nations all condemned these events laying all the blame at the front door of the White House in Washington D.C.

 

The new American President, sworn in just hours before these tests were carried out, stood steadfast that the United States was not in approval of the Iranian use of a nuclear device against the Kurdish population and the resultant killing of tens of thousands of civilians. The Iranian Supreme Leader blamed their need to use the weapon on the United States arming the Kurdish forces leading to the stand-off in northern Syria. Also, in reaction to these events, Israel has mobilized half of the IDF reservists and placed the military on an emergency stand-by mode where all reserves are required to carry a phone or be near to a phone with which they could receive any call-ups which may be deemed necessary. The Israeli Knesset called an emergency meeting for this afternoon and the Prime Minister’s emergency cabinet is meeting this morning. The newly crowned King of Saudi Arabia announced his nation’s intention to process uranium and build nuclear weapons as a response to the Iranian threat. Pakistan announced that they had already honored their commitment to Saudi Arabia which they made when the Saudis financed the Pakistani nuclear research and production of their atomic weapons they felt the need to produce in response to India going nuclear. Informed sources tell that Pakistan released six planes which have already landed in three separate Saudi Air Bases each craft carrying two compatible warheads which will fit atop the existing Saudi missiles. Each of the Pakistani devices can be programmed to produce yields from ten to twenty-five megatons. These weapons are being considered a gift from Pakistan and they claim they are now paid in full to the Saudis.

 

The above is a fabrication of what the Middle East could soon have as its appearance. The major situation at that point would be an Iranian-Saudi exchange with Iran figuring their losses would be minimal compared to waiting and having the Saudi produce hundreds of weapons. Nobody would know exactly how many warheads the Iranians would have produced because of the fact that Iran has uranium mines with which to provide their own raw materials for nuclear warhead production (see map below). Iran also has the reactors from which they can produce additional types of weapons fuels. The problem is it is also such a scenario which could become reality next year, next month, next week, later today. This is the reality with which we live with the exception of the Iranians testing their weapon themselves. The Iranian scientists and engineers have been on-board at every nuclear test conducted by North Korea and some have surmised that at least two of these tests were of Iranian design being tested by North Korea as part of their cooperation in nuclear weapons and missile systems. Anyone believing that anything stands between the Iranians building a thermonuclear warhead should immediately disabuse themselves of such thinking. Iran not only had the plans but has probably found the means of either smuggling in the required electronic devices or building them in Iran. The world leaders should not be talking about how to prevent Iran from building nuclear weapons and start thinking of how they might contain an already nuclear armed Iran, as that is a far more likely current reality than the lollipop hallucinatory views taken by the Europeans Union, European nations and United Nations. It is far more likely that Iran has fifty to one-hundred thermonuclear devices than it is they do not even have their design for a weapon already completed.

 

Iranian Nuclear Sites and Uranium Mines

Iranian Nuclear Sites and Uranium Mines

 

The world will go on thinking what they want to believe is true and dictatorial regimes with delusions of reestablishing their empires of old and dominating the world scene once again will continue to arm themselves to their teeth and when the real shooting starts, once again Europe will be caught unprepared. The problem is that this time unprepared will equal dead and conquered with many major cities having been turned into smoldering nuclear wastelands uninhabitable for the next twenty to ten-thousand years. The other reality is that the next major war will yield results by the end of two days and the war will be largely over after two days. Whatever nation starts the next conflagration will not survive the first day and will receive a doubling down the second day just for good measure. The countries initially targeted will be in one of two states. Those without adequate anti-missile technology will be the greatest losers with however many missiles sent targeting them will very likely strike their targets. The United States nuclear umbrella is largely a promise to provide a return strike on the culpable nation and not an anti-missile shield. The United States is not adequately protected from the track of Iranian missiles and would have to rely on strategically placed naval assets. Congress has not seen it necessary even to discuss closing the southern gap in the old Soviet Union and Chinese defensive grid which NORAD commands. Those anti-missile defenses are barely functional to intercept many of today’s Russian and Chinese fourth generation missiles and warheads. Add to this the southern gap which reaches in an arc from just north of Los Angeles across the entire southern United States and up the other coast to the central region of the Carolina’s (see map below). These systems protect Canada quite adequately but rely on less proven systems for detection of incoming missiles to cover the southern exposures. This was why both North Korea and Iran have practiced launching polar orbiting spacecraft which approach the United States from the south on numerous passes each day. The Chinese and Russians realized this weakness and had determined the launch angles. It is uncertain which power gave this information to North Korea or Iran.

 

Existing NORAD and Coastal RADAR Shows Southern Open Region Reliant on Over-the-Horizon Systems which Detect Aircraft and Cruise Missiles Better than ICBMs

Existing NORAD and Coastal RADAR Shows Southern Open Region
Reliant on Over-the-Horizon Systems which
Detect Aircraft and Cruise Missiles Better than ICBMs

 

There is one nation which is fairly well prepared if for no other reason than the absolute need and a constant state of threat facing her daily. That nation, of course, is Israel. Israel has developed a multi-stage intercept system where four separate systems each perform in their set range parameters providing maximal coverage. Also, Israel is not a United States, being merely the size of New Jersey, thus Israel can cover all her borders equally as every system can intercept missiles from all directions. Intercept systems placed in the northern Negev cover every border just as well as a system placed just east of Ben Gurion International Airport. The only system requiring strategic placement is the Iron Dome which is not designed for interception of ballistic missiles but for shorter range rockets and missiles and having a very short acquisition time. Still, even the vaunted Iron Dome which has proven its effectiveness with close to a 90% intercept rate when including not firing at systems determined not to be striking vital civilian areas and most likely to strike an open field. Not firing when unnecessary is an important feature as each missile interceptor costs approximately fifty-thousand dollars and are used against fifty dollar rockets. Of course, if it is your house and children who are saved by the Iron Dome, then we all agree that it is well worth the costs. But Israel has a layered series of longer ranged interceptors which include but are not limited to Arrow Systems I, II, and III as well as David’s Sling. Other systems are in the works and remain classified, as do some of the newest deployed systems still being tested. These make sleeping at night much easier. Still, the best deterrence against Iran using nuclear weapons as a threat or in actuality would be regime change and the installing of democratic based governance, the exact system the multitude of demonstrators are hoping they will be granted the opportunity to put in place and work from there. This is something which we might speak of when its coming to fruition is more likely as currently, with the Mullahs possessing all the firearms and the military still supporting them, the demonstrators have little chance for success. At best, they could end up facing a fate similar to that in which Syria is suffering with the Mullahs on one side, MEK (Mujahedeen Khalq) on the other, and the people with hopes separate from both caught in the middle. That would not be helpful or desirable. There would be little difference between the current regime in Iran and any system put in place by the MEK terrorists, as both are simply different forms of radical Islam. The Iranian people desire an opportunity to choose their leaders and have a constitution with a nation operating under laws, not men, and all deserve a system such as this and all too few are permitted to keep such.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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June 18, 2018

Gaza

 

Gaza, the word itself gives thought to meaning, and that meaning is different for every individual. It should not convey such latitude of thoughts, but that is largely due to the media and its mendacious reporting. With the world of reporting as it is, one often will have feelings on issues divorced from reality and stuck forever on a single picture and the caption or the repeated description of the amount of violence from both sides. The range of the “facts” when it comes to Gaza, and to everything touching Israel, is frightening and a threat to even the most basic truths. Once, back in college Intro to Philosophy class, we discussed and even argued fiercely over whether or not such concept of truth and reality had any meaning and how, if at all, were they related. In the end, we agreed to disagree and this was the exact point the professor was attempting to make. His conclusion was that reality and truth had about the same relationship to one-another, as we were able to reach an agreement. Put simply, truth and reality are relative to the viewer and as for is there an absolute reality, according to the professor, such only exists in the imaginary realm described by Plato. My thoughts on that were they probably sat next to the perfect three-legged chair with the perfect two-legged dinner table making them the perfect set for a meal with discussion.

 

While we are on the subject of college, it was in a physics course where we were introduced to the thought experiment, so let us try a thought experiment. First is we are going to represent the United States by using New Jersey, it is roughly the size and shape of Israel. We are going to move New Jersey into the Middle East replacing Israel. Gaza will be placed in the southwestern corner of New Jersey just as it is in Israel and New Jersey will be bordered by the Mediterranean Sea to the west, Lebanon to the north, Syria to the northeast, Jordan to the east, Saudi Arabia to the southeast and Egypt to the south. These borders differ slightly from Israel but are fairly representative of reality. For those who disapprove of President Trump, you can choose to have John Fitzgerald Kennedy as the President acting as he did during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Now to put all of what has happened into a familiar setting, this is what would have been occurring. First thing is there have been violent riots continuously for the past two and a half months and are showing no signs of letting off. Over one-hundred rockets have been fired into New Jersey (Israel) striking as deep as Willianstown/Rahat and as far north as Camden/Ashkelon. Further, there have been hundreds upon hundreds of acres of crops and forests burned down by having incendiary kites and balloons flown over your border and this has started to show signs of increasing and using larger helium balloons to penetrate deeper into New Jersey (Israel). Your intelligence bureau has found maps showing the quickest and most direct routes to the neighborhoods bordering the points where these rioters have attempted to breach the border which have been provided to the rioters. The leader of Hamas and ruling power in Gaza has stated publically and loudly that the rioting would continue until the border is erased, all of New Jersey (Israel) has been liberated, and its people killed. He has urged that the rioter upon breaching the border tear out their hearts and eat their livers of those they come across and murder. Hamas and Islamic Jihad have been provided with technology and the required molds for making larger rockets and even rudimentary guidance systems which allow for far larger rockets which can be targeted at specific areas striking within a couple of hundred yards. The largest of these are the M75 which is called the Jerusalem Rocket and the R160 (see chart for increased ranges over the years). That is where things stand currently with the kites and balloons still being launched, the rioting and burning of thousands of tires daily sending plumes of acrid smoke into Israel and across Gaza, the introduction of drones carrying incendiary devices and always the threat of more rockets and even having Iran order Hezballah to join the assault upon Israel.

 

New Jersey Representing Israel in Middle East New Jersey City’s name on the top Israeli City’s name on the bottom

New Jersey Representing Israel in Middle East
New Jersey City’s name on the top
Israeli City’s name on the bottom

 

We promised a map showing the increased range that the projectiles launched from Gaza have attained but allow us to add another item to the scenario, rocket payloads and ranges. The list goes as follows; Qassam-1 has a one and a quarter pound warhead with range of four and a half miles, Qassam-2 has a eleven pound warhead with a range of just over six miles, Qassam-3 has a thirty-three pound warhead with a range of seven and a half miles, Grad has a forty pound warhead with a range of twelve and a half miles, WS-1E has a forty-eight and a half pound warhead with a range of twenty-eight miles, R-60 has a two-hundred pound warhead with a range of over forty-five miles, and the M-75 has a three-hundred-thirty pound warhead with a range of over ninety miles. Looking at the map below and it is not beyond reality to believe that Hamas, supplied by Iran, now has even larger warheads on rockets which can strike anywhere in Israel and, if they overshoot, possibly striking Lebanon and Hezballah (one can only hope).

 

Hamas Rockets and Missiles Depicting Increasing Ranges by Conflict with Yellow – Dec. 2008-Jan 2009 Tan - November 2012 Orange - July-August 2014

Hamas Rockets and Missiles Depicting
Increasing Ranges by Conflict with
Yellow – Dec. 2008-Jan 2009
Tan – November 2012
Orange – July-August 2014

 

So, we have set the stage. What do you believe an American President would do in case of such threats and provocations? Do you think his Security Cabinet would be discussing ways to alleviate the collapsing economic problems within Gaza by doing, as many in the IDF general staff have suggested, providing Gaza with building materials including plumbing supplies of all sizes, cement in the thousands of pounds, masonry in equal amounts, provide them with additional water from Israel as well as additional natural gas and electricity with Israel providing 100% of the necessary power to Gaza? The Israeli leaders actually believe that the problem is the economic conditions in Gaza causing the rioting and all the hatred and not that the hatred and throwing all of their funds into weapons and tunnels designed to destroy Israel ruining the Gaza economy. They were discussing doing what the United Nations and European Union claim is necessary to end the problems in Gaza. Really? Does any rational person anywhere on the planet not think that should Israel do exactly what is described above that the supplies would not be utilized with the plumbing used to make more rockets and mortar tubes and the cement and masonry to build tunnels and not schools, housing and hospitals. This is exactly what they used the plumbing from the greenhouses Israelis left so they could have at least one industry to help start an economic viability became Qassam-1 rockets, and whenever the United Nations, European Union or other nation or organization provided building materials, it almost all went into their tunnels throughout Gaza and into Egypt and Israel, the former for smuggling and the latter for infiltration and terror attacks. Watching the United States over the years and the only conclusion we can reach is if they were in the place of Israel, the world would not have a Gaza problem to discuss. Gaza would have been wiped clean off the map and replaced with casinos along the coast and track housing in the interior with greenhouses and crops of fruit being grown in every open area, which there would be quite a fair deal of after the American military was done. The morning after those one-hundred-plus rockets were fired across an area covering almost one quarter of New Jersey (Israel), the President would have already given the orders and every living thing in Gaza would be cleared from the land and if they resisted, shot on the spot. Everyone who was participating in the rioting would be targeted using facial recognition software such that every soldier would be notified by having the face of the rioter shaded in red in his visor telling them that this person was a legitimate target. Smart drones would be hunting out the leaders of Hamas and Islamic Jihad with anti-personnel missiles ready for launching upon discovery. As for them hiding in their bunker under the al-Shifa Hospital in Gaza City, that just might be the initial strike target. As for the rest of their tunneling systems, we are sure the United States has by now after Viet Nam developed an automated system for destroying tunnels and for shooting anyone found in the tunnel and not identified as an American soldier. What would be even more amazing is that there would be no meetings of the United Nations Security Council, the UN Human Right Committee or the General Assembly or any of the plethora of United Nations Agencies filled with busybodies usually just hunting for their next target. The deed would be done and the problem resolved quickly but not so quietly.

 

Israel, on the other hand, is expected to not only suffer these attacks, but the world demands that we feed and give relief to these very same people who are doing everything in their power to murder every last Israeli. As Israelis, we are not overly pleased with their intentions. There is a growing consensus amongst Israelis that the time has come to stop playing so nicely with these murderous terrorists and dealing with them just as any normal nation would deal with terrorists within their midst, destroying their ability to pose even the slightest threat and then making dead sure that they never gain have any hope of attacking Israelis with more than a sideways glance, and even that would cost them. This is a war between civilization and barbarians who are at our gates. The last time the barbarians at the gates were treated with kindness brought down the existing Chinese royalty when those barbarians swept across China. That should be one of the advantages of the location of Israel, we can look just as easily at Asia and Africa as we can Europe as the three meet at our doorstep. That has been an advantage as well as a curse as every empire seems to go through Jerusalem. The reality of what Gaza poses is written across the map showing the progressive increase in range and payload which Hamas and Islamic Jihad have at their disposal. This is traceable straight to Iran, and it is Iran who has a burning desire to eliminate the Jewish State, the Zionist Entity as they refer to Israel. This threat does not stop at Hamas and Islamic Jihad; it also comes from other quarters.

 

Iran currently has IRGC and al-Quds forces within Syria presumably assisting Bashir al-Assad in winning the civil war which attempted to overthrow him. What is interesting is the presence of al-Quds forces which are trained and presumably solely assembled with only a single target, Israel. Additionally, Hezballah has spread into Syria also under the guise of assisting with the civil war. Hezballah is another Iranian proxy who initially was to take control of Lebanon politically and destroy Israel. They now rule Lebanon and have replaced many of the Lebanese military officers with Hezballah officers but are still working on the second goal of destroying Israel. Hezballah is currently estimated to have over one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles with over two thirds capable of striking anywhere within Israel and some which could reach Cairo and Medina. Many of these missiles are fitted with fairly accurate guidance modules provided by Iran and made in Iran, North Korea or China. One can only ask the simple question, what are our leaders waiting for, Hamas to have one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles with similar capability to those possessed by Hezballah? What exactly will it take for them to wake-up and smell the trinitrotoluene (C6H2(NO2)3CH3)? We pray that the shot fired that the Iron Dome and other anti-missile defensive systems Israel has developed all fail to intercept taking down a forty-plus floor tower in central Tel Aviv is what it finally takes to force Israeli leaders to finally give the order to unleash the full power of the IDF to destroy Gaza and then have the infantry backed by armor retaking Gaza and sending whatever remains of the population into exile not caring where they end up. We have our doubts that even such a tragedy would even get such a reaction.

 

Sometimes we fear that our leaders fear being criticized by the leaders in Europe more than they are of Hamas to Hezballah. If that is the case, then please allow somebody more worried about the people in South Tel Aviv who are under daily attacks by illegal immigrants who should have been deported and if no place will take them, then fly them to The Hague and allow the United Nations deal with the problem. We want leaders who are concerned about the farmers and people in the kibbutzim along the Gaza border whose town centers are on maps showing the rioters the quickest route to reach them to find victims once they cross the border after destroying the fence (picture of the map). We had a mortar land in a kindergarten less than an hour before it would have been filled with young children in the yard (picture of mortar round remains and of damaged tree and area where children were due to arrive shortly). People have had their homes partially destroyed, their vehicles struck and there have been scores of dead and injured over the years from terrorist attacks and offensives which started actually calmer than this round.

 

The big fear is that all of this from Gaza is the lead up to a planned all-out attack from three sides with Hamas from not only Gaza but with Iranian backed terrorists assisting Hamas from the Sinai Peninsula along the Egypt-Israel border, Hezballah along the northern Lebanon-Israel border and a combination of al-Quds, IRGC and Hezballah attacking the Golan Heights. There are ongoing efforts by Iran to gain control over Fatah and the Palestinian Authority and once Mahmoud Abbas leaves office by some means, there is the possibility that Iran will back any number of those who contend for the crown. Iran desires surrounding Israel with proxies to do their fighting for them. They have been doing this in Iraq (Badr Brigades), Yemen (Houthis), Lebanon (Hezballah), Syria (Hezballah and Badr Brigades), Gaza (Islamic Jihad and taking control of Hamas) and Qatar which has adopted the Iranian side against the best efforts by Saudi Arabia. Iran wants to take at least the Shia majority northeastern area of Saudi Arabia with the majority of the oil fields and the western coastal region along the Red Sea in order to control the Red Sea and thus the Suez Canal as well as taking control of the Two Holy Cities, Mecca and Medina. Iran believes that without Mecca and Medina, the Saudi Royal Family would be overthrown and in the aftermath and confusion, they could simply take over the remainder of Saudi Arabia, thus become the largest oil producer, and control the price of oil making them masters of the Middle East and power beyond.

 

Iran has established an adherent base through Shia Islam who follows blindly the Khomeini innovated ideology which declared Islamic jurists to be the only true source of religious and political authority. Their pronouncements must be obeyed “as an expression of obedience to God,” and their rule takes “precedence over all secondary ordinances [of Islam] such as prayer, fasting, and pilgrimage.” That gives the Supreme Leader (Rahbar) in Tehran almost complete control over these religious followers the world over. The goal is even greater with the “export our Revolution to the whole world” one of “the great goals of the revolution,” for the purpose of “establishing the Islamic state world-wide.” For a deeper coverage on this and Iran generally, we might advise this article (long) which goes into intricate details. The reality is Iran sees their largest and most hated enemies to be the United States and Israel in that order. They refer to the United States as the Great Satan and Israel as the Little Satan. Iran has a number of items on their to-do list which need be completed before they even consider taking on the Great Satan directly, but that day has been planned. The one thing that Iran has in their favor is patience. They are willing to take a hundred years, thousand years, and the rest of time to complete their conquest of the world. They will be careful and proceed with what they can take and rest until things calm and start again and repeat as needed. Iran has a training and action center in the Tri-Border region (PDF file) where Paraguay, Brazil and Argentina borders converge. This has become a Hezballah training center and operation hub in the Americas. As we stated, they have plans on the Americas which eventually will lead to the United States. Their initial imperative is to prove that Shia Islam is the strong horse and the true inheritor of Muhammad and turn the Sunni followers into converts to Shia Islam. This they believe they will accomplish once they control Mecca and Medina and have defeated Saudi Arabia. From there they would plan to spread across northern Africa sweeping the heart of Islam and making Shia Islam the main power of the Islamic world. In the meantime, Israel has an Iran problem on almost every border and that should be concern one which must be addressed, and not by providing Gaza with more resources with which to attempt to murder Israelis because eventually they will succeed, and that day will become another day of mourning, and we have sufficient of those already, thank you.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

June 5, 2018

Time to Stop Playing the Hamas Game

 

Before getting to the heart of this matter, there have been a number of developments on the European front concerning Israel and her security which bear noting as they do have an effect on what Israel need do concerning the current Gaza War. The first comes from an article in Der Spiegel where NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg announced that NATO will not support Israel in the event that Iran decides to attack the Jewish State. He went on to point out that, NATO has no interest in involving itself in conflicts in the Middle East. Despite the fact that Israel has formed a partnership with NATO in 1994, though she is not a full member, apparently Europe, as usual, has decided that Israel being threatened with annihilation is none of their concern. The European members of NATO, Turkey included, apparently are still in their final solution mindset. At the very least, Stoltenberg did note that the Iran Nuclear Deal was in dire jeopardy, something he appeared concerned over. It is nice to realize there are things about which he actually does care. Finally, Stoltenberg appeared somewhat anxious over Iran funding terrorism which he believes contributes to the “instability” in the region.

 

Meanwhile, the European Union (EU) has not changed their stripes as they are protesting an internal Israeli matter. The EU has demanded that Israel refrain from the demolition of an illegal outpost put up in direct violation of all building codes and licensing requirements by a Bedouin group smack in the middle of land of a planned Israeli project. This is the same EU which builds ramshackle structures which nobody will ever reside within as they have no electricity, running water, sewage or roads yet the EU places stickers claiming the structures are Palestinian housing built by the EU and they then deplore Israel destroying these structures built in Area C, the Area Israel has complete control and the Palestinian Authority (PA) is forbidden from building within. The EU response is that nobody said that they did not have the right to build for the PA in Area C. The EU also appears to believe that they do not need building license or governmental permission or any other formality as they have the right to do as they please within Israel. Our conclusion is that Europe has declared that they owe Israel nothing and that Israel, in turn, owes them complete freedom to walk over Israel whenever they so desire. We believe that Israel should simply proceed with whatever they desire and simply ignore Europe relegating them to the dustbin of history, a direction they are taking themselves with great alacrity and without anybody else lifting a finger.

 

Illegal European Union structures bearing obvious EU Identification signs

Illegal European Union structures bearing obvious EU Identification signs

 

The Gaza War has escalated with the launching of over one-hundred rockets and 107 mm mortars over the past week. The rioting and attempts to breach the border continue apace. The only thing standing between the Gazans murderous attempts and Israeli civilian safety has been a combination of the staunch defense provided by the IDF and a fair amount of luck. Fortunately, thusfar the Iron Dome has operated nearly perfectly and has contributed to the safety of the Israelis near the border. Unfortunately, even the wonder of Israeli technical abilities has proven not as effective against the rocket and mortar fire closest to the border where a fair number of Israeli communities and kibbutzim reside. One need only glance at the map below to realize how fortunate Israelis have been that so few have been injured or killed, though three IDF soldiers were wounded with one requiring hospitalization, that soldiers condition is unknown to us at this time, and also a Kindergarten was struck with the building and other surrounding buildings being pot marked from shrapnel a mere five to ten minutes before the children were expected to start arriving and would have been playing in the yard. The rocket and mortar fire has been concentrated largely at the times when Israelis are heading to work and school with the obvious attempt to catch the maximum numbers in vulnerable conditions so as to inflict the most possible civilian casualties.

 

Area in Israel Struck by Gazan Hamas and Islamic Jihad Rocket and Mortar Fire

Area in Israel Struck by Gazan Hamas and Islamic Jihad Rocket and Mortar Fire

 

This has become a war, declared or not. The Israeli people were promised by their political leadership that such would no longer be tolerated from any direction when attacks came and that in particular should an offensive be launched from Gaza or in the Shomron by the PA that such would be dealt with by sweeping the area clean of all terrorists and other responsible parties. The political heads promised there would be zero tolerance and that any escalations would result in the threat being terminated once and for all. There has been no fulfillment of that promise, something we expected and are not surprised but still feel let down and lied to. I know, they are politicians and that is their number one function, to promise everything and deliver nothing. When it comes to Gaza and Hamas, it is imperative that this end. When Israel withdrew from all of Gaza, the promise given by the Bush administration was that should things go south, then Israel could simply sweep in and retake Gaza removing all terrorist presence. Well, simply place that in the political promises broken file, a file that is filling fast. So, what should be done concerning Gaza and the terror threat which has grown from small rockets with a five-kilogram explosive charge and five-kilometer range to its present known ability to fire missiles, guided missiles and not merely hit or miss rockets, with a range of one-hundred-sixty-kilometer, if not more, and an explosive charge of one-hundred-forty-four-kilograms, if not more. That is far more than a simple twenty-fold increase in one decade but also guidance systems on their larger payloads which easily reach Tel Aviv and even Jerusalem and Haifa (see map and images below). Hamas, with Iranian assistance has taken what was a nuisance and transformed it into a threat which includes ballistic missiles which can take down a city block. To allow Hamas to gain any further capabilities before acting would be to open Israel to a dire threat beyond imagination. How long before Iran finds a means of smuggling armored vehicles into Gaza or building them within Gaza as they have done with the guidance systems and missiles. Israel does not have the luxury of being able to wait and hope she can continue to counter whatever Hamas throws her way.

 

Hamas Rockets and Missiles with Ranges and Warhead Capabilities

Hamas Rockets and Missiles with Ranges and Warhead Capabilities

 

We know, so what is the answer? The time has come for Israel to do what she was promised she should do if Gaza became a terrorist threat. Gaza, with Hamas ruling and Islamic Jihad now operating as a second Hamas military arm, has become a very real threat and should Iran get their wish, a staging area for an additional front for the IRGC and Quds Force against Israel. There is no greater terror threat than being capable of striking over eighty percent of Israeli population and economic and power generation and making large areas of Israel into a potential wastelands. The time has well past when Gaza threats are simply a menace to the south and the cards are being played for another Gaza Hamas and Islamic Jihad, with friends, war with Israel. This is not something to be taken any way other than a direct threat to the life and continuation of Israel and her way of life, something too many Israelis have worked their lives to produce and others given their lives to protect. Now is the time to strike Gaza and remove the entirety of its supposed governing structure, remove the entirety of the Hamas, Islamic Jihad, terror and criminal hierarchy either by decapitation or deportation into Syria where they can join their fellow Iranians fighting a war there. The intent of any operation taken on in the near future where the IDF need enter Gaza should have no other end result than the liberation and reconquest of Gaza. Once all of the terror threat has been completely removed, including the entirety of the terror supporting infrastructure and the people who provide such, then the remaining population can have their lives and their future returned to them. These remaining people will find that living under Israeli rule of law will allow them to use any aid they receive to rebuild decent lives with real places to live, real jobs other than sacrificing family for the cause and that the aid Israelis will provide as they move to reside in Gaza, build hotels along the beachfront, rebuild the damaged infrastructure and repair all that fell into disrepair and remained so just to try and eradicate Israel.

 

The Gazans should be permitted to return to ruling their own lives after a couple of years where Israel completes repairs and structural reconstruction with improvements to water treatment, sewage treatment, electrical power generation and the rest of utilities as well as apartments, schools, hospitals, clinics and the rest of what they should have built with the materials gifted to Gaza over the years. This will provide jobs and an economy will return to Gaza as they will no longer be living under the tyrannical rule of terrorists and instead live under proper governance. There will be a downside for many Gazans as from all appearances, the majority of the Gazan population fully supports Hamas or Islamic Jihad, the Hamas government is supported by over three-quarters of the population including near complete support from the Arab refugee camps. This will result in the near depopulating of Gaza as these supporters of the destruction of Israel will require being removed. Precedents for this abound from the deportations of all Germans from areas which became parts of France and Poland after World War II, the populations altering establishment of Pakistan where Hindus and Buddhists fled into India and many Muslims moved into Pakistan, the depopulating of the Jewish communities throughout the Arab world during the 1950’s and early 1960’s. Israel would be within her rights to completely sweep all Arabs from Gaza pushing them into the Sinai Peninsula or taking them all the way to the north and placing them in Syria. This action should be performed for another reason, Lebanon and Hezballah. Currently within the Bekaa Valley and Lebanon south of the Litany River, Hezballah has an arsenal of potentially over one-hundred-fifty-thousand rockets and missiles. Many of these are modern missiles capable of striking deep into Saudi Arabia and Egypt south of all Israel. Every man, women and child within Israel is under Iranian threat from Hezballah and this is a grave and definitive threat to all Israel.

 

Once the southern threat supported by Iran has been eradicated permanently, then Israel can address the norther Iranian backed front. Insisting that Iran remove the missile threat from Lebanon voluntarily or promise that Israel will do so for them would be the logical next step. When Iran and Hezballah decide that they simply need call Israel’s bluff, this is when Israel would be permitted under all rules of war and international law to strike preemptively to remove the threat to Israeli continued existence. Knowing that Russia would dearly love to extricate themselves from the Syria quagmire, they are stuck with if they are to continue to hold Mediterranean Sea ports, Israel could provide that escape. Lebanon was a Christian nation until the terror proxy of Iran, Hezballah, took root and eventually replaced normative governance. As now the actual government of Lebanon is a recognized terrorist group, there is no actual and recognized governance as a nation cannot be ruled by a terrorist force. Israel could make an offer to have Russia become the guarantor of free elections without an overriding terrorist threat running to be the government while having full use of the Mediterranean Sea ports north of the Litany River. Russia would need remove Hezballah from the Bekaa Valley and then assure that Iran did not return to take over Lebanon as they return to being a Christian nation. As the Lebanese Christians are mostly of the Eastern Orthodoxy, they would be a good fit with the Russian Orthodox Church as their protectors. Israel, in this arrangement, would be permitted to regain her former natural northern border as the Litany River. This was the border which Israel established with her northern neighbors who were the Hittites at that time well over three-thousand-years ago. With the Iranian menaces removed from the northern and southern borders, if peace would ever be reached with the PA, that would be the time. President Trump could then place his offer he has referred to as the “Deal of the Century” and see if there are any Arab takers. Once this has been accomplished and the Russians have naval bases in Tripoli and Beirut in Lebanon, they could add their support for the Trump peace deal and work with President Trump to end the conflagration raging in Syria.

 

Eretz Yisroel from back in the time immediately after Exodus and before the additional conquest by King David and King Solomon with the original division of the lands between the Tribes covering both sides of the Jordan River. The Israelis and Jews in general could attempt to demand that Eretz Yisroel, the Land of Israel be made whole as was First Apportioned by Hashem.

 

Would there be peace after these things have transpired? That is a very good question and the answer comes down to can the Arab world accept the existence of a Jewish governed state within the Middle East. Thus far, the Arab League has never accepted or recognized Israel and probably never will. The PA will never permit Israel to remain Jewish so they will refuse to even consider President Trump’s grand deal. This leaves Jordan and whether King Abdullah would accept to oversee the Arab autonomy within the Shomron and recognize Israel as the Jewish State. The reason this is important is basic, if the Jordanian King did accept such a deal, he would cease to rule Jordan. There would be an uprising which would replace the King with a parliamentary governance which would very soon thereafter become a dictatorship of whoever won the elections. Jordan would then become the Palestinian Arab state and Israel could simply transfer the Palestinian into Jordan. This would initially be done by granting Arabs, both Palestinian and Israeli, who desire to move into Jordan or anywhere else a buyout of their properties plus and incentive to cover the expenses of moving and to get them started in their new country. Eventually, the remaining Arabs would get the picture and decide to take the offer and leave. There might even be an additional bonus for being amongst the first wave and after a period of about six-weeks, that additional incentive would be dropped. In order to do this, the PA would need to be dissolved and members of the PLO would necessarily be deported as no nation should be made to permit terrorist organizations to remain within their borders. Removal of the PA would become rather simple actually. All Israel would require to make this easy is to wait for Mahmoud Abbas to step down. Israel could pay him to step down with such a bonus that he could redeploy his lifestyle to the French Riviera. If he refuses to step down, Israel could rely on nature as his health has become a concern of late. When a dictatorial leader like Abbas spend as much time as he has recently in a hospital for unspecified procedures and all his doctors who are permitted to speak to media claim he is in the greatest health of his life, you know he is in serious trouble.

 

We can all but guarantee that when Abbas dies, if he is in office, then Israel will be blamed. We will be revisiting the Israel poisoned our leader routine once again. Abbas, now eighty-one years old, is going to soon prove he is not immortal and there is no obvious heir to his throne. The PA will dissolve into numerous small entities run in each region around a city by either the former PA leader or the presiding ruling family. There will be no more central PA governance and this will be the background that Israel will face. Suddenly, Israel will be tasked with governing the PA regions and repairing the infrastructure and providing it with defense of any kind required. The death of Abbas will bring with it the death of the PA and the dissolution of its security apparatus and disarming of the former security forces. This will need to be done simply to prevent a civil war to break out for control of the former PA regions. Hamas would also make a push to take control of these areas and that is another reason for destroying all of the Hamas military infrastructure and to do so with haste and urgency of purpose. Israel is simply three initiatives from totally securing her future against attacks and removing over three-quarters of the terrorist threat she faces all within the timeframe of this summer. These opportunities are very likely to be thrust before her whether the politicians are ready or not. The people need to demand actions of a definitive and final nature from the government to end these threats surrounding Israel and end them permanently and in the resulting end make Israeli borders secure and defined. The poor old sappy excuse that Europe will hate us; please reread the first two paragraphs and realize that they will hate whether we do these necessary items or not, they have already announced that such is so. It is well past time for Israel to take care of Israel first and foremost and ignore what others are going to say or whose feelings will get trounced. There is a supportive United States President and with Nikki Haley as the United States Ambassador to the United Nations, Israel can consider herself quite safe from any Security Council sanction. This might just be a once in the Israeli lifespan where such an opportunity presents itself and the government would be foolish beyond description to pass up this gift.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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