Beyond the Cusp

April 8, 2017

Will President Trump Really Demand Same Old Concessions of Israel?

 

President Trump is definitely not Barack Hussein Obama as he does not even set any red lines to turn pink as he backs away digging a ditch deeper and deeper and never figuring out he should stop digging. President Trump does not believe in red lines, he just acts. He has proven it time after time. The first sign that things were going to be drastically different came early on at the United Nations. Nikki Haley was President Trump’s voice of change at the United Nations presumably laying down the law that the United States is done with Israel bashing in the General Assembly and elsewhere at the United Nations and will no longer allow the world to continue ignoring the war crimes committed throughout the rest of the world. Syria just found this out in probably the only language Bashir al-Assad and his ilk understand. The destruction of the airfield used to launch the planes used in the chemical attack with fifty Tomahawk missiles was overkill and that was the point. This was more than a message to Syria; this was a message to North Korea, to Iran, to Libya, to Venezuela, to the terror organizations throughout the world and to any dictator who was thinking of popping his head up and murdering, even potentially Putin. Unfortunately this was also a wake-up call taken by Hamas, Hezballah, Fatah, PLO, Islamic Jihad and all the smaller groups often overlooked but no less violent.

 

It is that those last groups and the message they received which will be the real problem. They realize that the way to persuade Trump is to show him dead babies and children, lots of dead babies and children. We can expect that there will be another round of violence with Hamas and Islamic Jihad or Hezballah or both as well as trouble with Fatah, PLO and the Palestinian Authority Security Forces, actually the PA’s armed forces, and the one thing we are guaranteed to see will be dead babies and children, lots of dead babies and children. The pictures will be plastered across the media, the newspapers, television, everywhere. There will be these images even if they need to stage them or, if necessary, murder them themselves. The blame will be aimed at Israel and many in the media will reinforce the story line even to the point of editorializing and expanding on the story line with great flourishes and emphasis on the horrors of these dead children. All the children shown on the media will be from the side of the Palestinians with none being shown from Israel. Many will be asking why this has come to be. The answer is simple; Israel spends millions upon millions of shekels on shelters for the people, armoring schools, kindergartens, children’s centers and required that all new residences have a bombproof room built into every apartment or home. The first concern in Israel is the safety of the people while the military remains out in the open for as long as there is any threat to the people. On the Arab side they have tunnels and command centers dug in well under ground where the terrorists hide coming out inside people’s homes firing rockets into Israel and then disappearing back underground hoping to get there before the Israelis can fire on the launch point of the attack. When the Arab terror forces do attack, they will do so from behind civilian cover using children as their bullet proof vests knowing that the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) will not engage them if doing so endangers civilians, especially children.

 

Those who have witnessed previous wars between Israel and the terrorist forces surrounding her know the story and understand what happens. Unfortunately, the majority of people watching the news broadcasts will jump to the exact conclusion the terrorists desire, that the Israelis are slaughtering children needlessly. Hamas, Fatah, PLO, Islamic Jihad and Hezballah have all been known to shoot from atop apartment buildings using the balconies as their launching pads while ringing the roof with women and children in the hopes that Israel will return fire without checking to see who might get harmed. Where this can occur as not every target which is launching rockets into Israel can be checked out before returning fire, but Israel does so whenever possible and even at times when doing so means they will miss the opportunity to return fire on that target. Israeli pilots when engaging a target must check with an information officer who also checks with an IDF Human Rights Officer who is a lawyer specialized in human rights and these officers will have either a drone or spotter aircraft checking the target and only if it appears that there will be no civilian casualties is the go ahead given. Israel drops leaflets and sends radio broadcasts and SMS messages as well as cell phone calls to all the civilians in a region where they are going to be operating telling them where they can go to be safe. The IDF does this knowing that the terrorists will also either leave the area or set up ambushes for the IDF soldiers sent to clear the area. As insane as this appears, the IDF still manages to operate with a high degree of proficiency despite such warnings telegraphing exactly where they will be about to operate. They often do such warnings simply to get into an area where surveillance has indicated there exist entrances into the tunnel entrances knowing that it is worth giving away where they are coming if it will allow them to gain entrance to the tunnel systems where the command and control operations are hiding and where the stores of rockets and often launch positions are also concealed.

 

This is not the only problem the IDF soldiers face. Hamas places their top commanders, leaders and central command and control operations center in the basement of Gaza’s largest hospital. This is known to the world but the media will never utter a word about this because doing so would mean that their reporters would be thrown from Gaza if they were lucky and worse if not. The other dirty little secret never discussed is that all reports, pictures and media the networks and news services send from Gaza is first approved by Hamas officials and any failure in following these prescribed procedures results in reporters being expelled from Gaza and no more coverage from the scene. The media outlets do not want to have such occur as the best pictures are made available by the Arab stringers who provide the media with the pictures they use in their reports. They also receive most of their stories from other stringers all of whom are actually Hamas or Islamic Jihad information and propaganda officers. This is how stories such as the shooting death of Mohammed al-Dura, the twelve year old boy who French television news showed huddled behind cement barrels (video below revealing hoax as presented by DePaul University) with his father and presumably shot be IDF troops during a shootout with PLO terrorists. The story proved to be Pallywood and not reality and the entire story unraveled over the following months which included a high profile slander trial against the reporter who revealed the hoax by the French Television 2. There is an entire system producing such events to try and make the IDF appear as child killers, indiscriminant murderers, and simply horrific criminals and the system is referred to using an innocuous term of Pallywood. One of the major contributors to this is the Tamimi family where the father uses his children as props often sending his young daughter to curse, spit, kick and generally abuse IDF soldiers in the hopes to find that one soldier who loses his cool and even just push the girl as she is well versed in taking the fall making it look like she was struck viciously. The Timimi father was invited to talk to a third grade class in the Ithaca, New York Beverly J. Martin Elementary School on human rights and Israeli crimes in particular against Palestinians. As if the job of the average IDF soldier was not difficult enough and besmirched in the media sufficiently without any real objectivity.

 

 

With their new understanding of President Trump’s sensitivity towards any horrors involving children, we can expect this information to be utilized and stories of Israeli brutality and their general disregard for Arab children to increase exponentially. But even this aside, there is another hint of coming events which we find to be an even bigger threat. This was something we feared and warned that the Prime Minister must do everything in his power to inform President Trump of the futility of following down the “Two State Solution” road in our article Advice for Netanyahu When Visiting Trump before the two men first met and then how the refusal by Prime Minister Netanyahu to even speak about the “Two State Solution” being a dead end with President Trump and instead boring in laser-like on Iran, a problem President Trump was already on the Israeli side to begin with, instead would lead to another trip down that road in Israel and the Netanyahu-Trump Effect. Rumor now has it that President Trump is about to impose a requirement that Israel once again make concession to the Palestinian Authority and Mahmoud Abbas in particular in order to reengage and get the peace process moving ahead after being moribund for the past decade and a half. The reason is easy to understand. No matter what Israel gives to Mahmoud Abbas, he cannot accept the deal and remain alive. Without the IDF along with the Shin Bet and other Israeli intelligence networks protecting Abbas from Hamas, ISIS, Islamic Jihad and even others in Fatah and the PLO, the other two groups which he presumably rules. One need understand that Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is also the Chairman of the political party Fatah, the terrorist organization PLO as well but still needs an entire company of soldiers surrounding him in order to survive the day and they require the IDF and Israeli intelligence to prevent any serious threats from reaching those soldiers. Further, Mahmoud Abbas has made a simple promise, that he will never accept any deal less than the complete eradication of the Jewish State, the Zionist Entity as the Arab World calls Israel. Abbas is just one person in the entire Arab opposition to Israel and his assignment is to carry on the Yasser Arafat role of pure opposition to everything Israel. The only real difference between Arafat and Abbas is Arafat sported a two day beard growth and often wore a revolver strapped to his side (even when addressing the United Nations, the only person to manage to do so), Abbas wears a suit and tie and is clean shaven.

 

Yasser Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas

Yasser Arafat and Mahmoud Abbas

 

The entire Arab World and their relations with Israel can be traced to Khartoum, Sudan and the Khartoum Resolution and its “Three No’s” agreed upon and sworn to by the Arab League and all the Arab leadership. These “Three No’s” were “No peace with Israel, no recognition of Israel, and no negotiations with Israel.” When Egypt made peace with Israel the Arab League was troubled as what could they do as Egypt is the most populous Arab state. Well, the Arab League temporarily voted and Egypt was suspended from the Arab League in 1979 after signing a peace treaty with Israel and then Egypt was readmitted in 1989. There was an even more violent reaction to the Camp David Accords where Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin and Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat signed a peace treaty in 1979. United States President Carter was present at the signing and given large amounts of credit despite his insistence that the peace be negotiated into a grand peace including the establishing of a Palestinian State which Egypt not only could not force to happen and was not even interested in trying and President Carter’s constant insisting almost crashed the treaty. Fortunately Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat was not to be deterred as he realized that his country would only gain from peace and would not be denied and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin was equally driven to make the peace work. Egyptian President Anwar El-Sadat paid the ultimate price as a Muslim Brotherhood member and soldier in the Egyptian military broke from formation during a pass in review and rushed the Presidential stands shooting Sadat assassinating him. Fortunately the peace survived beyond him and despite being a cold peace, that peace continues to exist and under President Sisi there has even been increasing coordination concerning the terrorists and criminal enterprises present in the Sinai Peninsula. Jordanian King Hussein followed Egypt’s lead and made peace with Israel in 1994 and surrendered their claims and previous illegal annexation of Judea and Samaria which they had renamed West Bank to remove the links to Jewish and Israeli history.

 

It took another two years for the concept to arise that the lands Jordan had occupied illegally and Israel liberated in the 1967 Six Day War should be stolen from Israel again and made into an Arab State for some invented group of Arabs named the Palestinians. This was brought about coinciding with the first Intifada and was fully accepted by the world which has been anxiously attempting to take as much of the lands left for Israel, the mere 22% of the original lands of the British Mandate, and turn them into another failed Arab State. The entire world is aware that the sole purpose of such a state would be identical to that of the Hamastan State in Gaza, and that is to launch rockets into Israel murdering as many Jews as possible until the State of Israel has been erased from the world and the Jews no longer allowed to determine their own futures being returned to living at the permission of some foreign state being chased from here to there around the world stateless. This will once again enter the world stage as President Trump attempts to buy a peace which can only be purchased with the Jewish blood of the entirety of Israel in sacrifice after sacrifice. After Israel regained the lands illegally occupied by Jordan in the Six Day War, they should have been incorporated into Israel and the Jordanian citizens residing in these lands sent back to Jordan. If Israel cared to be benevolent, then they might be given the value of any property they had occupied and that should have been that. Israel absorbed almost nine-hundred-thousand Jews alienated from their homelands in the Arab world and the Arab world should have been made to accept the less than eight-hundred-thousand Arabs who had fled Israel in 1948 fully expecting the Mufti’s promise to have been realized and return in a few weeks after the Jewish infestation (we believe that is how he referred to the Jews in Israel) had been eradicated. The Jews managed, with the grace of Hashem, to survive that war despite losing some lands to Egypt (Gaza) and Jordan (Judea and Samaria and half of Jerusalem). Once these lands had been reunited with Israel in 1967 the Arabs residing there in these areas should have been returned to their countries of origin from before the 1967 war (Gazans to Egypt and Judea, Samaria and East Jerusalem to Jordan plus Golan Heights to Syria). As far as Israel surrendering lands for another Arab state, such a concept should be pronounced dead on arrival as every time Israel has retreated from lands they have sooner or later become a haven for terrorists and criminal activities. This is what occurred in southern Lebanon (Hezballah), in Gaza (Hamas and Islamic Jihad) and after some time now in the Sinai Peninsula (ISIS, al-Qaeda and criminal gangs). Should Israel ever be forced to surrender Judea and Samaria (East Jerusalem has been annexed and reunited with the remainder of Jerusalem and the Arabs residing there have been granted a limited form of citizenship lacking only the right to vote in national elections for the time being), then at best the PA will be replaced by the PLO or worse by Hamas, ISIS, Hezballah or even Iran. This inevitability must never be permitted to happen and any demand for Israel to make further concessions, even if it is giving Abbas one shekel, should be rejected and fought with every ounce of energy available as the entire concept of a “Two State Solution” must be put to rest permanently.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 25, 2017

Return of Permanent Limbo in Israel

 

The Trump opportunity has passed at least for the summer. There was the opportunity for a change in Israel and the standoff with the Arab world. The Israeli hesitation over moving the American Embassy to Jerusalem, specifically the warnings of potential violence which, according to Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, was something Israel was not prepared to face at the time forced President Trump to hesitate and at best postpone any actions on the embassy or possibly totally abandoned, time will tell. President Trump was elected President with a Republican platform which had refused to continue with the two state solution as part of its Middle East policy, a first for United States policy since the Oslo Accords were signed in September of 1993. The Republicans managed to do something which apparently far too many Israeli politicians are unprepared to do, reject the paradigm of the two state solution and accept something entirely separate. President Trump has stated even since taking office that he is ready to accept whatever decision is presentable to the individuals, which guarantees that he is open to almost any solution providing it is a workable solution. Between President Trump’s statements, the appointments made concerning Israel and the Republican platform, anything is potentially acceptable once one takes all of these particulars together and weighs all of the possibilities. Unfortunately it appears that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is not prepared to take any alternative before other issues including but not limited to Iran, Hezballah, Islamic State and the stability of the areas surrounding Israel are more secured and balanced. Netanyahu also is most concerned with the Iranian race to produce nuclear weapons and properly fears their finally becoming nuclear weapons capable, or worse, having tested and produced a nuclear weapons arsenal which would permit them to project power and terrorism throughout the entirety of the Middle East and across North Africa threatening Europe and possibly beyond to include the United States, China and even Russia. None of the current main nuclear weapons powers should consider their position secure as the potential for Iran to commit nuclear terrorism must not be considered as impossible or out of the question as such will be a definitive and dangerous possibility once Iran has produced miniaturized nuclear weaponry, something they are predicted to have the capability to produce within the next decade.

 

Another threat which Israel is facing has ties to Iran as well. Syria is allied with Iran and Hezballah which controls Lebanon under Iranian direction to the point that Hezballah commands the Military of Lebanon using their strength in the war in Syria against the Sunni rebels including the Islamic State. This conflagration which has destroyed much if not almost all of Syrian infrastructure outside of a thin strip along the Mediterranean Sea, particularly Latakia where the Russians have their active port facilities in the Mediterranean Sea. The losses being taken by Iran and Hezballah in the Syrian catastrophic civil hostilities have produced much consternation within their respective publics which is demanding good and understandable reasoning as to why they should continue to support such bloodshed. Thusfar they have not been rewarded with results which show that their involvement is of any worth as Syria is beginning to appear as a killing field where they are being asked to sacrifice for no good reason. There is a building demand that Assad be replaced allowing for an end to a seemingly endless and pointless waste of resources. The one means for making the Syrian war to appear to have an acceptable reason, at least in Lebanon as well as much of Iran and vast numbers of the IRGC and Hezballah soldiers and their families would be an expansion of the war to include a full on war with Israel. Such a war against the Zionist entity would make the efforts in Syria appear to have a payoff which would be understood and well received thus rejuvenating the support for the forces which are fighting in Syria and an excuse for the losses. Such a decision requires for Iran, as it is the Iranian leadership, the Mullahs and the Supreme Leader who decide, to decide to take such a move as they will be the ones providing the majority of the military resources should such a war be initiated. The cost of such a war for Syria would be inconsequential as much of the nation is already in ruins and most of the military supplies would be provided by Iran. On the other hand, for Hezballah such a war would be a double sided sword cutting both ways as Lebanon has not been near as torn asunder as has Syria. Any war with Israel which included Hezballah would also endanger much of the infrastructure south of the Litani River and the length of the Bekaa Valley as well as parts of Beirut as well as potentially the Beirut International Airport should it be utilized by Iran to fly in provisions for Hezballah using the airstrips of this airport.

 

Where losing men and munitions fighting in Syria is growing less and less popular, a war with Israel if it should bring destruction raining down within Lebanon itself could backfire. While it is possible to have Hezballah troops only attack Israel from areas such as across the Golan Heights, this would not guarantee that Israeli responses would only be targeting Hezballah forces in Syria and not their rocket stores and command and control headquarters within Syria. This would be a definite possibility as Hezballah has sufficient stores of rockets and missiles provided by Iran and placed under the noses of UNIFIL forces assigned by the United Nations to prevent exactly that buildup, they failed completely. These rockets pose an existential threat to Israel and should Hezballah forces be fighting Israel, even if just across the Golan Heights, Israel could not permit Hezballah to have the opportunity to choose the point at which to introduce these assets into such a conflict. In any conflict with Hezballah, Israel correctly feels that their first and most important targets are the stores of rockets and missiles, their launching facilities and the command and control nexuses in order to remove this threat from their civilians, their infrastructure and the Israeli Defense Forces. Even with the Arrow systems, the Iron Dome and David’s Sling, the well over one-hundred-thousand rockets and missiles held by Hezballah could be launched in such a manner as to overwhelm the Israeli defenses and thus inflict unacceptable damage. Where Israel has exceptional interception capabilities, no such system is one-hundred percent successful and with the numbers of weapons Hezballah alone has, not even counting the potential from Syrian, Iraqi and Iranian stores, Israel would be hard pressed to rely on interception thus only destruction of these threats before they can be utilized is the only answer.

 

There is another set of reasons which might cause Iran to seek a war with Israel, and these include Russia and the United States. The Iranians would probably desire testing President Trump as well as pressing him to take a stand one way or the other concerning supporting Israel. If Iran can show that President Trump supports Israel against them, they could attempt to portray themselves as leading the fight against the Zionists and use any United States support as proof that President Trump was fighting a war against Islam. They would use all the claims by the left and the United States liberal media who claimed that the immigration restraint against seven terror prone nations which were so labeled by the Obama Administration and simply that classification was used by President Trump for his imposing an immigration hold until proper vetting could be arranged for these nations but Iran could use the media claims of that being President Trump starting a war against Islam. This would be blown into a full-fledged campaign by President Trump and the United States in supporting Israel as simply the next step in Trump’s war on Islam which Iran would claim they and Hezballah were fighting for the entire Muslim world and in the name of the Prophet Mohammad. The Iranians could attempt to persuade some, if not all, the Gulf States to join them in this noble war against the evil Zionist entity and then attempt to pull Turkey’s Erdogan into the war using popular pressure to drag him into a war thus using his own program of using anti-Semitism to raise his own support levels. How much success Iran might have in turning the Islamic world against Israel and the United States could be debated but results would need to wait to be seen. Further, Iran could use such a war with Israel as a means of forcing Russia to take sides thus driving a wedge between Russia and the United States or driving a wedge between the United States and Israel as Trump would have to choose which side to inflame should Russia be forced to support Iran against Israel. This could lead to a whole new proxy war in the Middle East pitting the two powers, Russia and the United States on opposing sides and once again drag much, if not all, of the Arab world into the Russian sphere of influence and heighten the risk of embroiling the entire Middle East in a war even broader in scope than the 1948 War where the Arab League attempted to wipe Israel from the map. Now the idea of wiping Israel from the map is a wholly, or is it holy, Iranian concept. Iran has threatened to open a front against Israel as a means of leading the rest of the Islamic world into a general war with Israel and granting themselves with the title of the great leaders of the new Caliphate which is what they would use as their alliance’s title so as to give it an Islamic rallying cry. Iran has already made some inroads with some of the Gulf States much to the chagrin of the Saudi Royals who used to have an iron grip on these states.

 

Iranian Crescent Resulting from an Iranian Surge Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad Connecting Iran to Mediterranean via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon

Iranian Crescent Resulting from an Iranian Surge
Retaking Syria for Bashir al-Assad Connecting
Iran to Mediterranean via Iraq, Syria and Lebanon

 

Further reasoning behind Iran taking the lead in a charge to try and bring down Israel is to bring themselves to the fore of the Islamic world and to attempt to sell their brand of Shia Islam as the real bold, brave and action center for all Islam and thus start to turn the Islamic world from Sunni to Shiite. Iran has had this dream to form a crescent of Shia states across the heart of the Middle East, their Iran, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon crescent which was looking good until Syria disintegrated. What Iran needs now is some means by which to force much of the Syrian resistance to come across to their side and thus reestablish their hold on most if not all of Syria. Iran might even try to win the Kurdish to their side by sacrificing a small section of northwestern Iran and northern Iraq along with some of northeastern Syria forming a Kurdish nation state if they will ally and take up Shia Islam. This would sandwich the Sunnis in central Iraq placing them in a very precarious position which just might force many to accept Shia Islam in exchange for protection from Islamic State. This would leave Iran with a smaller set of opponents to their taking the lead as the great power in Islam allowing their reestablishment of the power which once was Persia. With such a success and Russian backing, the Iranians might even be able to really crack the back of Sunni Islam and convert the Muslim Brotherhood over to Shia Islam if Iran would work with them to remove President Sisi in Egypt and place the Muslim Brotherhood back into power in Egypt which could be assisted with pressure from the south using their friendly relations with the Sudan as their wedge. From this they could then take control of the Horn of Africa and complete their vanquishing of their opposition in Yemen and now have Saudi Arabia surrounded. All of this is speculation and highly unlikely but this is also seen by the Mullahs as potentially plausible if only they could gain an upper hand along the Gulf States and win over many in the Islamic world through a war with Israel. The one catch there is that any war with Israel promises to be as short as Israel can possibly make it which would very possibly not turn out so well for Hezballah or Lebanon. The only thing that Iran would not be risking is the infrastructure of Syria. Also, getting Russia to work against Israel is iffy at best as Russia and Israel have already been working in cooperation sharing intelligence and Israel warning the Russians before striking at targets in Syria or near the Syrian Lebanese border in the Bekaa Valley. Add to that the news that the missile shot from the sky by an Israeli Arrow System was a Russian made SA-5 missile proving that the Israeli military technology is everything it is cracked up to be and this should make Putin wary of any plans to go against Israel. Iran would be treading dangerously trying to force such a conflict and may find they could lose Russian assistance in Syria and that Russia might just take Western Syrian coastal cities as their own just as they did the Crimea with one difference, Israel would welcome Russia as their new friend in the region and that would leave Iran weaker for their efforts.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

March 9, 2017

The Grand Deal or Death by Consequences

 

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will do anything necessary to win himself his place in history. He sees that image as coming in the form of a Nobel Peace Prize which he plans on winning on the graves of thousands of Israelis, the majority being Jews of course. But there is another idea which if this is where Prime Minister Netanyahu is going, as he has gone this route before and each time Mahmoud Abbas came through in spades rejecting even the most advantageous of deals because he simply cannot allow anything offered by Israel in particular and the West in general, so Bibi is probably counting on this rejection to save Israel again. With Abbas having his life depend on his being as completely uncooperative as humanly possible, he will continue being uncooperative. When your entire society is built on rejectionism and the people are almost always at a fevered pitch on the verge of full mania, you cannot just turn the switch and they will become calm and understanding. This is the problem he and his allies from Fatah, the PLO and in the Palestinian Authority (PA) have caused. They built this engine of hatred and now they are simply riding the dragon hoping not to get eaten in the process. So this Grand Bargain, which it appears he has agreed to have Trump offer to the Arab World, mainly Saudi Arabia and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) which includes the oil sheikdoms of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, United Arab Emirates and considering adding Jordan plus the United States might include some more of the Arab League nations such as Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon and maybe also add Turkey though that might be a nation too far, is for the Arab world to press Abbas and we will watch Abbas reject them too. The Grand Bargain will be a promise from President Trump that the United States will defend from Iranian hostilities these nations and in turn they will dictate a settlement to Mahmoud Abbas and Israel will pull back probably to the Green Line with some moderations and possibly even land swaps making the Palestinian State of Palestine a reality. That is our best guess as to the Grand Deal which President Trump will try to sell in the Middle East, remember, this is his first rodeo here in the really wild, wild world of Arab fanaticism.

 

If Prime Minister Netanyahu is depending on the Arab League and the GCC states to reject this bargain then he may have a surprise coming but the ace in the hole is Mahmoud Abbas who even the Arab powers will be unable to budge. They crafted this monster Abbas to be uncooperative and they will see how well their handiwork has turned out. The other side of the equation is the Arab World. They observed with calm panic as President Obama sold Israel down the river and broke every understanding the Arab World had with Washington in order to create his new Hegemonic Iranian Monster (HIM). This HIM will become a nuclear power within a decade if they have not already started building a nuclear weapons stock with which to make themselves near to invulnerable to any outside influence and free to spread their Shia terror arms around the world starting in their own backyard, the Middle East. HIM had designs on the Saudi oil fields as well as the rest of the GCC wealth and knows that if they have the strength to devour the economic heart of the Arab League, they will be capable of replacing the Arab League with one large nation called Iran. The Mullahs of Iran are keyed on using HIM to reconstruct Persia and once again deal a deathblow to Greece except to them Rome is the new Athens and Paris, London, Berlin and Moscow are the other Greek City States and the area that HIM has designs on incorporating into their new world empire. Their conquests also include Israel though they are more likely to attempt to destroy Israel and turn it into a wasteland rather than fight any costly war on the ground. Their attack on Israel will come right before HIM attacks the United States. The Arab States will likely remember this betrayal and realize that Presidential promises are only as good as the length of that President in office and then it will be up to the next President to decide if they desire keeping any previous promises. They will know that somewhere down the line the United States will not be there as promised and will simply sell them out as too costly to defend or actively joining the other side, Iran in this case. Prime Minister Netanyahu may simply be waiting for this Grand Bargain to be rejected which is the most likely outcome. The only real question is how far the bargain will get before falling apart and failing.

 

Still this is a risky maneuver because such opportunities can turn out far different than one predicts. We would not desire to be anywhere near Prime Minister Netanyahu or the Likud Party if such a deal were made and it became the Israelis turn to fulfill their obligation to establish Palestine in Judea and Samaria and then face the Israeli public in the next elections. We can visualize the temper of such an election with Yitzhak “Bougie” Herzog and his Labor Party claiming that they are the solution to the mess Netanyahu created and can protect Israelis from the terror monster on our border with reason and cooperation with the United States and Meretz Party head Zehava Gal-On joining in on how the left has all the answers and mixed in somewhere will be the ever present and Prime Minister hopeful believing she is still relevant and owed her place as Prime Minister, Tzipi Livni, clamping onto probably Labor as her ticket to the Big Show. Hopefully the Israeli public will realize and remember this entire scenario was the left’s idea and we have been stuck with this two state solution monster since Peres and company brought it down on our heads with the Oslo Accords and all the violence and the Gaza debacle with it. But this will all depend on what the Religious Zionist Jewish Home Party offers up as an alternative along with Israel Beiteinu and Avigdor Lieberman claim to be offering.

 

Minister of Justice Ayelet Shaked

Minister of Justice Ayelet Shaked

 

There was that interesting bit of news from an interview with Ayelet Shaked, from the Jewish Home Party where she is currently the number two seat and holds the position of Minister of Justice in the current government, who voiced an interest in the future of potentially running for the top spot in Jewish Home and trying to become the first Jewish Home Party Prime Minister, or the second if Naftali Bennett should become their first Prime Minister. We fully support Ms. Shaked as she is a competent, intelligent, energetic and true religious Zionist with an emphasis on Zionist. We can even let the world in on a little secret, though Naftali Bennett was the initial draw for us to become members of the Jewish Home, Ms. Ayelet Shaked was another factor along with Uri Ariel and Eli Ben-Dahan and their platform of recognizing all of Israel as promised in the Mandate system and other treaties and papers. We would support any of these members of the Jewish Home and would further like Jewish Home to try and gain a wider reach by offering the olive branch to other Religious Zionist Parties as we are stronger together than we can ever be competing against one another. The dream of Israeli politics has always been combining like-minded shards to create a single faction, always the dream and seldom the reality. But the point is that should such a Grand Bargain the Likud Party would see many of its more Zionist members fleeing the party like rats from a doomed ship. The Likud would make the next Knesset but would be in no position to be the kingmaker and would simply be scurrying to gain whatever scraps were offered if they were even approached to be in any coalition. For who knows how long they would remain a stained and injured party but rehabilitation would start with the removal of Bibi Netanyahu as he would receive the blame for this Grand Bargain as President Trump would likely never have tried such without Prime Minister Netanyahu onboard. So, apparently Israel, if this Grand Bargain goes through, is once again counting on the Palestinians, this time along with the Arab World, to not miss this opportunity to miss an opportunity, something they have become known for doing. We will all have to wait and see what develops but the ball is in the Trump-Netanyahu side of the court in this dangerous game of doubles.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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