Beyond the Cusp

February 15, 2016

Radically Changing Power Structures in the Middle East

 

First allow us to note the passing of a great Constitutional scholar and jurist, Antonin Scalia, who was seventy-nine and had served for twenty-nine years on the Supreme Court. There will be a ton of second guessing on whom exactly President Obama will pick to replace the conservative, Constitutional scholar but the one thing we would like to put forth is they will mostly be wrong. President Obama’s previous choices of Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan surprised almost all in his previous Supreme Court appointments. Our guess is of a more general nature as we believe his choice will be an academic who shares the leftist view of a living and ever mutating Constitution in which all forms of new and existing rights can be found to be implied if only the founders had the wisdom of the leftists of today. Whoever President Obama chooses will have the effect of changing the nature and status of the Supreme Court likely for a long while into the future. President Obama has had the rare opportunity to leave an indelible mark on the Supreme Court as he has had the opportunity of appointing one third of the current members sitting on the Supreme Court. This will be the true legacy next to Obamacare and the initiating the accepting of tens if not hundreds of thousands of Syrian and other Middle Eastern “refugees” and potentially resulting in millions by the time the entire story becomes known. One can hope to be pleasantly surprised that the President’s appointment turns out to be more of a purist when interpreting the Constitution as being appointed to the Supreme Court has shown some strange and unexpected results as people take the honor to heart and have the importance of the position lay heavily on their minds and their direction of thoughts on the exact definition of protect and defend the Constitution will inevitably mean to them. We can only hope for a discerning and wise person who weighs all the ramification of their decisions.

 

 

Antonin Scalia Supreme Court Judge 79 years old, 29 years on Supreme Court

Antonin Scalia Supreme Court Judge
79 years old, 29 years on Supreme Court

 

 

Everyone has, including us to some extent, expressed their feelings on the path to nuclear weapons power that Iran received in the Iran Nuclear Agreement 7/14/2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action and the inevitable ways it will change the entire makeup and distribution of power across the Middle East and many, again including us, have attempted to predict what the wholesale introduction of nuclear weaponry across the Middle East and potentially slowly seeping across Norther Africa and whether it will make Nuclear Armageddon more likely or usher in an understanding of the new and ruinous implications of starting a war might cause to bring as the outcome. Of course if anyone was looking to bring the greatest possible turmoil, chaos, death and destruction on the world as a whole and not care about the consequences because that turmoil, chaos, death and destruction actually was their only goal, then the nuclearization of the Middle East and beyond is exactly what the doctor ordered. A nuclear armed apocalyptic maniac is the exact formula to a future which could act to set human development back ten centuries or potentially lead to the next round of massive mutations across all surviving life forms eventually leading to the next apex predator to rise to the top of the food chain and with any luck also me closer to human development than the simple brute power of T-rex had attained before they and their species being brought down by an assumed impact wiping clean the slate of development leading to mankind’s rise to eventual dominance.

 

There have been other changes which are probably not as dire or noticeable as yet on how these developments will play out. The biggest has been the introduction of highly effective antiaircraft missile batteries at both ends of the Middle East with Iran to soon have delivery of the Russian S-300 antiaircraft batteries to Iran and the recent deployment by the Russian forces defending their port and the Alawites in the area including Bashir al-Assad of the S-400 antiaircraft batteries. These systems render an air assault or targeting within their range far riskier and problematic. Further, with Russians manning the S-400 antiaircraft batteries in Syria, they are far less likely to be shut-down as was the entirety of the Syrian air defense network by the Israelis when they bombed the nuclear development complex facility in September 6, 2007. These changes in the balance of power brought by these changes are going to be difficult to discern as the variables are significant. One also has to add two other important notes to this volatile mix of conditions, one from the Middle East and the other affecting the Middle East.

 

 

Russian S-400 Antiaircraft Batteries Now Stationed Around Latakia, Syria Placing Israel’s Ben Gurion International Airport Easily Within Range for Interception

Russian S-400 Antiaircraft Batteries
Now Stationed Around Latakia, Syria
Placing Israel’s Ben Gurion International Airport
Easily Within Range for Interception

 

 

The first is the affect that North Korea may play onto the Middle East puzzle as well as the future of the United States. As we and numerous others have pointed out is the fact that both Iran and North Korea have practiced and actually placed satellites into low earth orbits which have polar orbits rather than an equatorial orbit which makes them pass over the United States mainland alternately from the direct north and from the direct south. The northern approach is not that important as it would pass over the teeth of the United States NORAD and other defensive systems placed to intercept any Russian attack during the cold war and thus would be facing formidable defensive structures. The interesting passes are the one approaching from the south, particularly those passing over Mexico or the Gulf of Mexico and crossing over the United States anywhere from New Mexico to Arizona where the entirety of the United States monitoring systems have one of the largest blind-spots and thus vulnerability. Both Iran and North Korea have practiced what is understood by military strategists to be the perfect height and orbit for delivering an EMP, or Super EMP which is the latest craze, device to explode near the center of the United States and southern Canada taking out the entirety of the North American power grid. The resultant damages to the transformers and other high voltage system hardware as well as destroying virtually all of the software run control systems would result in as high as ninety-five percent civilian deaths in the first decade with the largest loss being at the front end two years having the greatest impact.

 

Such an assault could effectively take out almost all of the ground based systems the United States would be reliant on for its defense from invasion or to retaliate against their attacker. This would not mean the perpetrators of such an assault would be free and clear of retribution raining down on their heads as the United States has a large enough contingent of its forces located around the globe that United States power projection would remain credible. The large nuclear missile carrying submarines, often called Boomers (hey, we do not make up these names, honest) would still carry in their tubes sufficient nuclear strike capabilities of destroying virtually the entirety of human existence globally and definitely could remove the populations of North Korea and Iran without losing their critical and definitive threat against any others planning in taking advantage of the problems back home caused by such an attack. Where this would bring little solace to the Americans facing brutish conditions as their entire food and other supply networks would have been destroyed in such an attack, this deterrent power of the United States nuclear powered Navy that eventually the United States would return onto the world stage meaner and leaner but even more determined to take vengeance unto which the world has never known. The last part in this section of the puzzle is that Iran and North Korea have had a high level of cooperation in nuclear development and rocket/missile technology. Keeping such in mind, the recent test carried out by North Korea of a hydrogen powered nuclear device now believed to be, here comes the new buzzword, Super EMP device capable of on detonation generating a series of EMP Gama-radiation waves which could destroy if detonated over Kansas City or St Louis or anywhere between which would be sufficiently potent to effect sensitive electronics in San Francisco, Seattle, Los Angeles, Boston, New York City, Philadelphia, Washington D. C., Norfolk Naval Base, Andrews Airforce Base, the Pentagon (except for its shielded emergency generators), Richmond on down to Atlanta, Georgia. That would include the East and West Coasts leaving potentially the Coronado Naval Base and Marine Base intact and slight possibility of not destroying the Bremerton shipyards. Still, such a wide ranging area of destruction of electronic devices would be devastating and would be felt world-wide as there would be other ramifications such as GPS satellites not receiving update information largely controlled by the United States and a loss of large sectors of the Internet, phone networks and any other functions which pass through the United States communications hubs which carry the largest volume of the entire world’s communications. This would have far reaching effects many of which are irreplaceable and even unpredicted. The best case scenario, and only best case scenario, is that such an attack never occurs; but with a child-like egotistical and maniacal megalomaniac in charge in North Korea who believes himself one of the most powerful people ruling a giant amongst nations who murders any general or even family member who attempts to implant even the slightest glimmer of reality into the equation being executed on the spot, who knows? Just think about the day, which might be today or tomorrow, when Kim Jung-un decides it is time to teach the United States a lesson. Just ponder that for a moment and then try to return to your normally scheduled day as such would never happen, would it? Adding the Iranian fanatical and suicidal Mullahs in Iran and have fun sleeping tonight, they do not really mean it when they claim to desire bringing chaos, turmoil, misery and a general state of conflagration worldwide just so their messiah the Twelfth Imam, Muhammad al-Mahdi, who will emerge from his hiding place down a well in Qom where he has been hiding since before the year 1000 AD. You cannot make this stuff up. So there is that threat and they share technology and many believe the tested nuclear Super EMP device tested by North Korea recently was actually an Iranian design and was carried out by North Korea for the Iranians so they would not break their treaty quite yet.

 

 

North Korean President for Life Kim Jung-Un Signaling that He’s Number One!

North Korean President for Life Kim Jung-Un
Signaling that He’s Number One!

 

 

The other side of the coin is Israel. The Israelis have not been taking all these developments as fait accompli but instead have been working, one could say feverishly, on their layered missile and aircraft defense systems. The world was given a demonstration of the effectiveness of the Iron Dome on locally launched missiles, mortars and rockets during the last Gaza war. Since then there have been further upgrades made possible by the data acquired during that conflict. Many of the upgrades were software but the other was a new interceptor which would improve the accuracy and lethality of the system, a system which already proved to be over ninety percent accurate in its initial deployment during the last Gaza Hamas war. Israel also has a multi-layered system of interceptor which would make interception possible on an ICBM or Continental Ballistic Missile such as what Iran would need to use if launching from within their borders. Should they launch from Syria or Lebanon then the intercept would be performed by a faster reacting system such as the Iron Dome or other slightly more encompassing system. The kind of layered system which will be required to keep Israel and the Israeli population safe from any device with the emphasis on early detection and removal of threats on their ascendant prefecture over the downward flight as it is most often on the approach to target after apogee that missile systems deploy avoidance technologies. While the Israeli nuclear capability has been pondered and guessed at, it is still not 100% proven if such systems exist or where and how they would be stored and/or deployed, what delivery systems exist and whether these systems kept in hardened bunkers atop ICBM and Continental Ballistic Missiles or if they exist, are they simply bombs requiring aircraft to fly the mission to deliver these weapons which may not even exist. As we covered recently on February 13, 2016 in our article What Israel Must Learn from President Obama concerning, amongst other items of importance, the F-35 JSF and its serious limitations and no freedom of action when using these fifth generation fighters that they make second guessing any nation relying on these systems to come under United States control potentially at the most critical of moments. Further, the fact that an EMP device would necessarily affect the very support systems which would allow the F-35 JSF to deploy would be destroyed or isolated such that they could not release the aircraft when most needed, the F-35 JSF would become just so much advanced electronics and composites composited dead on the runway. There are a number of other links to other articles both ours and outside corroborative articles all worth a quick read as they lay out much of the thought patterns since even before 2010 when we first finally got around to addressing the next generation of aircraft which are going to become a necessity for air defense at close range and possibly further missions run from a control aircraft. Perhaps another article is due on such future systems; we will try to look into such but no absolute promises on when.

 

 

The Mouse that Roared A comedy to lift the spirits

The Mouse that Roared
A comedy to lift the spirits

 

 

As is noticeable the world is changing, the sides are lining up and one errant move could force ramifications too dire to face but face them we must; otherwise, they could occur and have no mitigating systems in place to avoid hostilities falling into place where one act creates another leading to a more vigorous act which forces a full deployment and the next thing you know the Grand Duchess Gloriana XII of the Duchy of Grand Fenwick will order Prime Minister Count Rupert of Mountjoy to deploy their finest archers to voyage across the seas and attack to defend the honor of the wines of the Duchy of Grand Fenwick from a California cheap imitation. The troops under Field Marshal Tully Bascombe, a recent promotion of sorts, assault the United States and , well, you will need to rent the movie “The Mouse that Roared” and enjoy Peter Sellers at his hysterical best, well, next to the Pink Panther. Unfortunately the world today is almost as insane as the Mouse that Roared but all too dangerous to really joke about, but we must keep a balance and our sanity so some light hearted entertainment might mitigate the sense of dread, well, for around an hour and a half. Think we will make some buttered popcorn and watch a movie, later.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

January 19, 2016

Iran the New Aryan Nation

Filed under: Act of War,Amalekites,Anti-Israel,Anti-Semitism,Anti-Zionist,Appease Islamic Interests,Appeasement,Arab League,Ayatollah Khamenei,Ayatollah Khomenei,Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini,Ayatollahs,Blood Libel,Calaphate,Civilization,Coverup,Cyrenaic Greeks,Cyrus the Great,Enlightenment,Europe,European Historic Anti Semitism,European Pressure,Germany,Government,Greece,Hassan Rowhani,Hate,History,Hitler,Imam,International Politics,Iran,Iranian Military,Iraq,IRGC,Islam,Islamic Pressure,Islamist,Israel,Leftist Pressures,Missile Attacks,Muslim Expansionism,Muslim Invade Europe from the East,Muslim Invasoin of Europe from the West,Muslim World,Nationalist Pressures,Nazi,Nazi,Nuclear Program,Nuclear Weapons,Ottoman Empire,Persians,Plutonium Production,Politicized Findings,Politics,President Obama,Religious Pressures,Saudi Arabia,Saudi Arabian Pressure,Saudi Military,Shah,Sharia Law,Shiite,Smiling Cheshire Man,Sudetenland,Sunni,Threat of War,United States Pressure,Uranium Enrichment,War,World Opinion,World War III,World Without Zionism or America — qwertster @ 3:35 AM
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Few of us were alive when the Persians disappeared and instead became Iranians all in a single day. In 1935, Reza Shah asked foreign delegates to use the term Iran, the historical name of the country before the Greek conquest where the name Persia was born. Surprisingly, the word chosen to represent the master race was chosen carefully by the Nazis and they found their new name from a nation of great age and lineage but not in use by that nation from where it originated. This master race predecessor had all the necessary requirements, it was the name of one of the oldest and most stable of empires and apparently they disappeared from history so the Nazis grabbed their name and used it as their term of the master race, the Aryan race. The former owners of this name when they fell before Alexander the Great, were renamed by the Greeks using the word for nation, Persica or Persis, which in time became Persia. All the great accomplishments of that early and great empire were written into the history books using the Greek name as the name stuck until, as noted above, 1935. This was an act of deference and also a demand of an alliance with Germany as the Persian leader, Reza Shah, ordered that all diplomats for Persia now, immediately and without explanation, begin using the ancient, pre-Greek racial name of Cyrus the Great’s tribe and the tribes of peoples he took to the edge of ruling the known world, Iran. This name derived from Middle Persian Ērān, Pahlavi ʼyrʼn, and in modern pronunciation, Iran or Aryan. The change of name can only raise questions about Persia/Iran and where they sided during World War II.

 

So let us discuss Iran, Nazis, Aryan, Persia and World War II. Initially the Shah declared neutrality; but when the British, who held ownership of the majority of the Iranian oil fields, the British grew ever more nervous over the German engineers and workers manning their oil interests and demanded the Shah send them back to Germany. The British concerns were that many of these Germans may be spies or could damage the oil fields. The history was unclear as to whether this demand was made in a threatening nature or as a polite favor requesting their preference for different workers but the one thing which was made obvious is the successive requests became demands but were all met with the same answer from the Shah declaring his neutrality while refusing to fire and send packing workers who had given him any reason for doing so other than they suspected there might be German Nazi spies amongst them who could sabotage the oil fields. The Shah having no cares and doubting these people would risk their jobs and his neutrality by any such foolish acts refused the British demands. This went through a couple of renditions before the British nerves and politics and the war took over and forced their hand. In September of 1941 the British and Soviets took control of Iran. They refer to it a wartime occupation and not any effort to compromise Iranian national freedom and that the entire necessity was due to the dangers that the Axis Powers were poised to move on Iran and the British and Soviets were simply protecting their investments and Iranian freedoms from the Nazi threats. The British and Soviets withdrew after the war but had changed the Shah rule for that of his more compliant son; otherwise the damage was minimal though there are those who claim the invasion shook the people’s faith in their rulers.

 

 

Reza Shah of Iran 1935

Reza Shah of Iran 1935

 

 

There have been rumors that the Reza Shah was in negotiations with the Nazis to provide the Third Reich with much needed petroleum for their war machine which was running drastically low and even marginalizing operations. The Nazis were desperate and had likely offered the Shah great riches and power and potentially the reemergence of Persian like power in the Middle East, possibly a similar set of promises as they had given to the Mufti of Jerusalem Haj Amin al-Husseini while he was living in Berlin to avoid the British forces who were poised to arrest him for allying with the Nazis. The British had much difficulty with different Arabs throughout World War II. The main thing to understand was that Iran actually was poised to assist the Nazis, allied with their cause and found a sympathy to their idea of an Aryan super race of perfected humans but the Iranian description might have varied from that of the Nazis who sought blond haired blue eyed men and women of above average height and physical fitness. The Iranians may have held for different qualities but they did believe in a pure Aryan race though theirs would be best represented in English as Ērān or ʼyrʼn.

 

 

Mufti of Jerusalem Haj Amin al-Husseini in His One of Many Personal Meetings with the Führer Adolf Hitler

Mufti of Jerusalem Haj Amin al-Husseini
in His One of Many Personal Meetings
with the Führer Adolf Hitler

 

 

Part of the above history shows there is a historic sense of grandeur and importance exuded by many Iranians which has been played to every extreme by the current rulers. The Islamist Ayatollahs take full use of this sense as well as a sense of entitlement and supremacy, especially when it comes to Israel and the United States. They have worked on that entitlement behavior to blame the United States and Israel, especially with the sanctions which the United States pioneered and joined by Europe to a pressure Iran into compliance and to explain a few things as objectively as possible. Considering I am a Jew living in Israel and as such have a bullseye emblazoned between my eyes makes me particularly sensitive to the fact that the Arab and Muslim nations and many of their peoples who sided with the Nazis but did not face the destructions and defeat as did the Nazis, never had those anti-Semitic views expunged. In the case of many of the Arab nations, they were exposed to the poisonous broadcasts by the Mufti of Jerusalem Haj Amin al-Husseini who had anti-Semitic leanings and blamed the Jews of the Holy Lands around Jerusalem for the poverty and what he viewed as miserable living conditions of his Arab peoples compared to the Jewish farmers and entrepreneurs and shop owners in Jerusalem many of which sold Jewish items needed in religious observances, marketed the produce, as did several Arab families who gained wealth, and serviced farm needs such as fertilizers and pesticides and finally had foreign contacts mostly in Europe but also across the Arab lands of MENA (Middle East and North Africa) and possibly even in the far east where the farmers could sell their harvests. The Mufti blamed the Jews for taking all of the economic pie and not leaving any wealth available to his Arab subjects thus forcing them into poverty. He never considered that they should improve their lot in life by working the lands or finding other means for earning a living instead of relying largely on the good graces of others who did produce to gift them charity, something he found demeaning and where he blessed Arabs who would give alms he always blamed the Jews, even those who might have given similarly or even greater amounts or percentages of their income, for being stingy and not granting the Arabs a greater share in their wealth. The one thing which has to be remembered is that nobody was become a millionaire working the Holy Lands in this era.

 

When the Mufti of Jerusalem Haj Amin al-Husseini fled Jerusalem fearing arrest by the British, who he also saw as favoring the Jews over the Arabs, not exactly an accurate appraisal as there may have been British who favored the Jews to an extent, British policy was either equally damning or anti-Semitic in its application on orders or preferences of the higher officers. The Mufti made broadcasts into the Arab lands with a very powerful directions broadcast tower spewing the Nazi supremacy and equating them with Arab and Muslim ideals of supremacy and equated Nazism and Islam in some unholy marriage of joining forces against the evil Jew who stole the food from Arab and Muslim mouths and refused to share and were enslaving the Arabs and Muslims in poverty by cruel and inhuman measures of attempted superiority born out of jealousy of the true Master Races, Nazis and Islamic, against the base and animalistic Jews. These broadcasts cast hatred of the Jews as the Jews selfishly stole all the wealth and held to it tightly were themes repeated by Imams as you preach to the masses basing your message on some of their ready beliefs as that is the path easiest to their attentions. So the message of Jewish hoarding became the legal tender on which much of the anti-Semitism was based and much of that was based on the Jews having stolen all the land from its rightful Arab, Muslim owners, the people in the Mosques for the sermons. This combinations drummed this hatred and the deceits such that many, nowhere near all, but a possible plurality bought into this message and it became their legal tender to claim the possessions of the Jews because they were only returning the lands and other wealth to its rightful owners.

 

 

Grand Ayatollahs Ruhollah Khomeini and Ali Khamenei

Grand Ayatollahs Ruhollah Khomeini and Ali Khamenei

 

 

These alliances with the Nazis further poisoned the well against the Jews and many of the British chose not to intervene or actually harbored their own anti-Semitic leanings and thus their not opposing these beliefs only served to amplify their validity. This further amplified the latent anti-Semitic feelings, especially amongst the Arabs who were living in poverty and who were seeking a reason and the Jew selfishly stealing all the wealth and controlling the distribution of assets and their control of the British played heavily into that market. In Iran there was their neutrality which always appeared to favor the Germans as there were numerous German citizens working within Iran and the Shah had changed the name their nation was known by internationally to the Iranian Farsi word which meant Aryan, namely Iran, and this was often seen as tacit approval of the Nazi principles of the Master Race and the poignant hatred and casting of the Jews as an animalistic sub-human species which polluted the genetic superiority of the rest of the human race and as such needed to be extinguished. When Israel became a nation they soon afterwards enjoyed good relations with Iran of open friendship and embassies were exchanged and all the benefits which goes with such. All of this was shut down almost immediately after the revolution and the betrayal of the Shah by his former ally, the United States. President Jimmy Carter ‘understood’ the heart of the Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini in 1979 as President Carter saw him as a holy man and thus he must uphold Christian principles from the post-enlightenment period of modern Western thought.

 

The American President could not have been any more mistaken, much like the current American President who trusts Iran to hold to the limitations of the treaty he signed with them. The treaty itself is lenient and pro-Iranian in its make-up but likely does not suit the immediacy of the Ayatollahs drive for nuclear weapons with which to claim preeminence in the Arab and Muslim world and thus as the rightful leader of such in the conquest of the world. The Ayatollah likely see their ascendance to be the rightful leaders of the Muslim world and as such the ones who will bring the Ummah from predominant Sunni beliefs to almost entirely Shiite in their beliefs as Iran, as the titular leader of Shia Islam will have ascended unarguably the strongest of position and have gained dominance over Saudi Arabia and Egypt and as such gained the title as the next and only true claimant to Caliph. Should the Saudi Royal family refuse to basically kneel before the Ayatollah Khamenei, they may have earned Riyadh the initial test of the Iranian super weapon in their nuclear armed quest to gain the world. Any upset or obstruction to the Iranian claim and smooth path to world dominance will have a ready-made and golden diabolical reason, Israel as the Jew amongst the nations and the Jews world-wide as they will be cast as all serving Israel against the perfection of the World by the Ayatollahs. Israel will actually be spared initially as they are required to serve as the true source of any difficulties because the Grand Ayatollah is a position of ultimate perfection and a straight connection to Allah if ever such could exist. They would be assuming a similar position to Emperor and Pope Constantine the Great who was crowned Pope after he conquered most of Europe, ending the many squabbles and smaller wars, uniting all under his banner. Unfortunately for Europe all men die and when Constantine died, so went his empire.

 

Emperor and Pope Constantine the Great with Map of Conquest Preserving the Byzantine Empire

Emperor and Pope Constantine the Great
with Map of Conquest
Preserving the Byzantine Empire

 

 

How this will end? That, my friends and acquaintances, is the really big question. The things we know is that Iran will be at its weakest and most vulnerable and have given the world cause for alarm and a call for action right after they move on any nation whether directly or through terrorist proxies beyond their actions in Syria. What will be interesting is who allies with Iran and who starts to slide into the position of leaders of the opposition other than Saudi Arabia and possibly Egypt and other Sunni Arab nations. They would be uniting against both Shia Islam and the fact that Iran is of Persian lineage and thus not Arab and this also is an abomination to many Muslims, especially Arab Muslims. We know also that the Saudi oil fields have a majority Shiite population and could be the next war’s Sudetenland which Iran will claim as part of bringing all of Shia Islam under their rule which is what has already occurred for all intents and purposes in Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. Where else they will initially turn will be telling. We expect their first move will be to co-opt Pakistan through some alliance deal as the two Islamic nuclear powers with similar goals, though that is not entirely true. Iran could promise Pakistan that one of their first moves would be to subsume by means other than direct war possibly as a treaty with India, to gain them the lands which they and India have fought wars over and potentially some of north-western India where there is a large Muslim presence. All things will become fungible when Iran becomes a nuclear armed nation with a war chest of nuclear weapons and the will to use them. This has us thinking of Alice in Wonderland and the disappearing Cheshire Cat’s smile and Alice commenting that everything was becoming “Curiouser and curiouser!”

 

 

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani smiling for report on how he and Iran charmed the world reminding all of the evil laugh as the Cheshire Cat faded away leaving only his wicked smile and it just fit calling him the ‘Smiling Cheshire Man’

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani smiling for report on how he and Iran charmed the world reminding all of the evil laugh as the Cheshire Cat faded away leaving only his wicked smile and it just fit calling him the ‘Smiling Cheshire Man’

 

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

January 8, 2016

Who to Believe Over North Korea H-Bomb Test

 

North Korean dictator Kim Jong-Un’s word is truth, at least in North Korea where even looking at him askance will put you before a firing squad within the hour providing Kim Jong-Un doesn’t just have you shot on the spot. Knowing this, the rest of the world cannot put any real weight behind any unverified claims coming from any sources in North Korea including any journalist, western or otherwise, reporting from Pyongyang. Still, any explosive tests which register as in excess of a five on the Richter scale had to come from a very impressive explosive test. I remember when the North Koreans first tested a nuclear bomb and the measurement showed a yield of between four and five kilotons where some Western experts suggested that the North Koreans had simply loaded four or five kilotons of high explosive in the test chamber and detonated the entirety of the charges within a few milliseconds. Personally, I would find pulling of such an explosion using high explosives in a single mass more impressive and far more difficult than building a nuclear bomb producing the same yield. Within days there were the final reports which showed that the North Koreans had truly tested a nuclear device but it was relegated to being a crude device which was not likely a deliverable device. It took a couple of weeks before some experts put forth the premise that if the North Korean device had been designed to generate an EMP output, it would have been a fairly high radioactive signature and low yield of the size detected and that their having accomplished this would have been quite an impressive and threatening development. When the North Koreans tested another device with only a slightly higher yield, more in the range of the devices first used against Japan ending world War II, there was official admissions that there had been sufficient radioactive measurements detected by both satellite and earth bound test instruments.

 

 

North Korean President for Life Kim Jung-Un Signaling that He’s Number One!

North Korean President for Life Kim Jung-Un
Signaling that He’s Number One!

 

 

So, where does all this leave us, the average and confused person worried about our stock prices, the new boss at work and all the other life troubles and mysteries? Honestly, waiting for more information on which to base a credible assessment, but since when had lack of concrete data ever stop us from giving it the old college try, whatever that is. There was one piece of so very vital and unbelievably obvious information in two out of every three articles we read informing us the reader that Hydrogen bombs are much more powerful and much more difficult to make than nuclear bombs. Well, thank you Captain Obvious. Now that we are all so vastly more well informed, let us venture forth. We also had the boilerplate reaction from South Korea expressed so succinctly by South Korean news agency Yonhap reporting that the South Korean government issued the following response to the test, “South Korea will cooperate with regional partners to make North Korea pay a price for its hydrogen bomb test. We strongly denounce the North for conducting the fourth nuclear test as the North pushed ahead with it despite repeated warnings by the international community.” Additionally there was the report that the United Nations Security Council will be holding a special meeting to discuss the recent test, which has garnered significant international worry. Well, guess we can rest assured that the Ace number one whiz kids from New York in Turtle Bay are on the case so we can all sleep assured of absolutely nothing.

 

Perhaps we should find out what the experts have to say now that the political absurdity class has chimed in with their normal blather. Despite the seismic shockwave of moderately impressive magnitude, we did not feel a thing so we are with the experts here; experts say a hydrogen bomb most definitely would have had to generate one many times as greater than what was measured, OK, with them on that as attested, nothing felt here. Oh, strike that, our science advisor said not to be silly, we were way too far to have felt anything, and we are reporting from the wrong planet, what? Oh, wrong side of the planet, whew, was getting worried. Bruce Bennett, an analyst with the Rand Corporation was quoted telling the BBC, “The bang they should have gotten would have been ten times greater than what they’re claiming. So Kim Jong-Un is either lying, saying they did a hydrogen test when they didn’t, they just used a little bit more efficient fission weapon, or the hydrogen part of the test really didn’t work very well or the fission part didn’t work very well.” Chinese military expert Du Wenlong made a similar statement which many have taken as further proof that the test was a dud or simply not as advertised, a hydrogen bomb. This sounds so much like the initial reporting on the first nuclear test by the North Koreans where they claimed they would have gotten an explosion nearly a factor of ten times with a real nuclear device only to find out later that there are actual nuclear devices which such a low yield is the exact signature their test or even use would produce. When further data was gathered it became obvious that there were anomalies still present at the test site which might have been induced by an extremely large magnetic pulse, exactly what would have resulted from an EMP device, or so many nuclear scientists reported. I was waiting to hear from President Jimmy Carter as he, after all, received a B.S. degree from the United States Naval Academy in 1946 in physics and in the Navy he became a submariner, serving in both the Atlantic and Pacific fleets and rising to the rank of lieutenant. He was also chosen by Admiral Hyman Rickover for the nuclear submarine program. He was assigned to Schenectady, N.Y., where he took graduate work at Union College in reactor technology and nuclear physics, and served as senior officer of the pre-commissioning crew of the Seawolf, the second nuclear submarine. Would we have finally had him speak on something he was actually trained to know? Maybe not, we might have been expecting too much from old Jimmy.

 

Every expert simply had to show us their credentials were valid by pointing out that nuclear bombs are fission and hydrogen bombs are fusion, glad they cleared that up. Now let us muddy their simplistic description. A regular nuclear bomb actually detonates in two stages. The first stage is a high explosive charge which either propels a bullet into a core forcing them to reach critical mass and produce the nuclear fission or shaped charges are carefully triggered using flash detonators as they provide the separation of detonations such that only the triggered section of shaped charge explodes when its particular detonator is triggered and these flash detonators fire with very accurate timing far beyond the capability of a normal detonator and this compresses the fissile material which cause the nuclear explosion. Despite there being two stages to the nuclear fissile explosion due to critical mass being achieved, only the nuclear explosion would be detected by satellite monitoring as they monitor the flash wave of light. For a hydrogen bomb there is the a nuclear fissile explosion, a normal nuclear bomb, which then forces the fusion by reaching sufficient pressures and temperature for the fusion of hydrogen atoms and these emit two separate, though closely sequenced flashes which can be detected by satellites. These satellites use a system referred to as ‘bang meters’ which if they receive the double strike with the correct separation they know a hydrogen bomb has been detonated. The United States, Russia and probably China if not others have such detection satellites in orbit so if the North Koreans did detonate a hydrogen bomb successfully these and other satellites would have reported the test almost immediately and the main nuclear powers would have received such data almost immediately so any ambiguity on their part is completely intentional.

 

On the completely trustable front, White House press secretary Josh Earnest suggested Pyongyang was lying, according to comments carried by Business Insider quoting him as saying, “We’re obviously going to continue to look at this by monitoring the situation, assessing the available data and evidence,” Earnest said, adding, “But the initial analysis is not consistent with the claims that the regime has made of a successful hydrogen-bomb test. There’s nothing that’s occurred in the last 24 hours that has caused the U.S. government to change our assessment of North Korea’s technical and military capabilities.” Well, that ought to settle it and we bet that President Obama likely called President Carter and after speaking about his brush with cancer got down to the important stuff, like if President Carter had viewed the tapes of President Obama and his problematic sand trap golf swing and as a side not requested President Carter’s expertise on the North Korean hydrogen bomb test at which point President Carter likely blamed the test on Netanyahu and the IDF. Then there was the State Department spokesman John Kirby who issued a statement positing that, “The United States government judges North Korea to have conducted a nuclear test yesterday. We strongly condemn this violation of U.N. Security Council Resolutions.”

 

What do we know for sure? North Korea has definitely tested a nuclear device magnitudes more powerful than any past nuclear test. Whatever knowledge was gleaned from this test will be, if it already has not been, shared with their scientific fellow scientists in Iran. Additionally these two powers have shared technical developments and carried out test for each other for quite a number of years now. Both sides are gaining knowledge without having to test these items within their own national borders thus North Korea gains rocket and missile as well as other weapons systems while Iran can test new nuclear designs in North Korea thus appearing to have observed at least that part of the nuclear agreement. Whether the device was fission or fusion, it was considerably more powerful than any previous test. The Western World is playing down any significance of the test despite whatever nervous feelings may be being felt in Europe knowing that Iran will benefit from this North Korean tested nuclear device. We have not received a straight answer about the complete knowledge that Western Intelligence Agencies actually know about this nuclear test in North Korea right down to whose design was being tested. We cannot rule out the probability that this was a joint effort between Iran and North Korea and if this was just a more efficient nuclear test, then we need to ascertain if the device was weaponized through miniaturization such that the device can readily be fitted to the Ballistic Missiles both Iran and North Korea possesses. There are more additional questions than there have been official statements and this is not likely to change in the near future and will only come to the surface if somebody leaks the true reality to the news services and they see fit to run with this potential bombshell of information. We cannot rule out Russian assistance in these events or anybody else. So, all we can do is pray and wait to see what comes next. North Korea has previously tested such devices twice in rapid succession; so we can expect a second test within the next four to six weeks. Such developments are simply further proof that the world keeps getting more and more dangerous and we are rushing forward without a care that the brakes are out and the downhill grade has increasing steepness and the only consolation we can take is it will be a wild and dangerous ride.

 

Beyond the Cusp

 

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